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  • The Bum's Thursday's MLB Best Bets !

    Slumping Cardinals In LA To Face Struggling Dodgers

    If the St. Louis Cardinals can qualify for the postseason, it looks like it won’t resemble how they did it a year ago when literally flying down the stretch to make up what was once a 10½-game deficit to the Braves in the NL Wild card race in late August.

    Instead, this season the Cards appear to be hanging on for dear life as they ride on fumes in September while other contenders, such as the Dodgers, continue to flounder.

    Appropriate then, perhaps, that St. Louis and Los Angeles get together for a four-game series this weekend at Chavez Ravine, maybe the tonic each needs to revive flagging playoff hopes. But only one of these sides can exit the weekend having picked up any momentum. The way each has been playing lately, a stalemate is more likely while the menacing shadows of Philadelphia and Milwaukee, each inhaling ground in the playoff chase over the past few weeks, move into more-serious wild card contention.

    The first of the weekend set between the Redbirds and the Vin Scullys takes place Thursday night at Dodger Stadium, with St. Louis sending ex-Ole Miss Rebel Lance Lynn to the mound to face L.A.’s Josh Beckett. First pitch at the Ravine is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. (ET); those with satellite or extended cable packages can pick up the action on either Fox Sports Midwest or Fox Sports Prime Ticket.

    Very early MLB odds made the Dodgers $1.30 favorites with a Game 1 total of 7½ runs priced to the 'under.'

    Recent results indicate that neither of these teams appears in the mood for a sprint to the wire in these final three weeks of the season. Entering respective Wednesday games, the Cards had lost 10 of 14 (including 7 of the last 8 on the road) while the Dodgers had dropped 13 of their last 20. Yet, as of midweek, St. Louis still retained a one-game lead over L.A. for the final NL wild card spot, although the fading Pirates (still only three games back as of Wednesday) and the surging Brewers and Phillies (both just four games back at midweek) were rapidly entering the frame.

    The Cards are rolling the dice that putting Lynn back in the rotation will provide a boost to a sagging staff that hadn’t delivered a quality start in 12 straight road outings prior to Adam Wainwright’s Tuesday effort in San Diego (where only two of the five runs he allowed were earned). Lynn has not started a game since getting drilled on August 24 at Cincinnati when allowing four runs and six hits in just two innings of work. His last six outings have all been in a relief role.

    For the season, Lynn’s numbers don’t look so bad (14-7 record and 4.04 ERA), but note that much of the positive was accomplished in the first portion of the season when the Redbirds won the first six and 15 of Lynn’s initial 20 starts. Since June 19, Lynn has posted a subpar 5.97 ERA. He was also mostly ineffective in an early-season start at L.A., allowing four runs and nine hits in 6 IP of an eventual 6-5 St. Louis loss.

    Of course, the Dodgers were playing a lot better in the first half of the season, too. But they have been in a steady descent since June and have yet to pull themselves of out of a nosedive in recent weeks.

    Unlike the Cardinals, however, L.A.’s main problem in recent weeks has been at the plate, where they entered Wednesday’s game at Arizona having scored just 25 runs in their last 11 games. It hasn’t helped that star OF Matt Kemp has been in and out of the lineup the past week with shoulder problems; Kemp ended a recent 0-for-13 slump with a double in the seventh inning of a 1-0 loss to the D-backs on Tuesday night.

    But the lineup problems have been widespread, as Los Angeles continues to suffer from a lack of reliable table-setters in a batting order that seems more interested in swinging for the fences and posting gaudy stats. Opposing pitchers, however, have been able to effectively pitch around the free-swingers in the lineup such as Kemp, Andre Ethier and the recently-added Hanley Ramirez.

    All of the Dodgers’ recent trade maneuvers haven’t helped much, either, including the addition of Thursday’s starting pitcher Beckett, whose inclusion in the recent blockbuster deal with the Red Sox could turn out to be quite dubious for the Blue. Beckett has been ineffective in two of three starts since the move from Boston, and his numbers over the past month are revealing; his Bosox and Dodger teams have won just one of his last six starts, as he has posted a 6.69 ERA in those outings.

    The series pattern this season, however, has favored the home team, with the Dodgers sweeping three at the Ravine in mid-May but then losing three in late July at Busch Stadium.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Rebounded from yesterday's loses.....

    Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

    09/12/12 18-*10-*0 64.29% +*4015 Detail
    09/11/12 11-*19-*0 36.67% -*4225 Detail
    09/10/12 11-*8-*1 57.89% +*1535 Detail
    09/09/12 16-*11-*1 59.26% +*3980 Detail
    09/08/12 9-*7-*2 56.25% +*895 Detail
    09/07/12 15-*14-*1 51.72% +*215 Detail
    09/06/12 5-*5-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
    09/05/12 9-*5-*2 64.29% +*1985 Detail
    09/04/12 17-*9-*3 65.38% +*5270 Detail
    09/03/12 17-*11-*0 60.71% +*3655 Detail
    09/02/12 18-*11-*1 62.07% +*3840 Detail
    09/01/12 14-*13-*2 51.85% -*735 Detail

    Totals 160-*123-*13 56.54% +20330
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      MLB

      Thursday, September 13

      Game Score Status Pick Amount

      Tampa Bay - 12:35 PM ET Baltimore +103 500
      Baltimore - Under 8.5 500

      Oakland - 3:35 PM ET Oakland +130 500
      LA Angels - Under 7.5 500
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Diamond Trends - Thursday

        September 13, 2012

        SU TREND OF THE DAY:

        -- The Athletics are 10-0 since April 19, 2012 after a win in which their opponent left fewer than 10 men on base in a night game for a net profit of $1220.

        OU TREND OF THE DAY:

        -- The Rangers are 0-10 OU since May 19, 2011 vs a team below .540 on the season that has lost at least their last three games and it is the last game of a series after playing in a night game for a net profit of $990 when playing the under.

        STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

        -- The Tigers are 13-0 since May 07, 2011 when Justin Verlander starts when the bullpen allowed at least three runs yesterday for a net profit of $1300.

        MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

        -- Jered Weaver has produced a team record of 20-0 in his career when he is off a start in which he had a WHIP of at least two.

        TODAY’S TRENDS:

        -- The Indians are 0-6 since July 21, 2012 when Zach McAllister starts after the team lost their last two games for a net profit of $650 when playing against.

        -- The Twins are 0-9 since May 12, 2012 as a home dog after allowing 6+ runs in a night game for a net profit of $900 when playing against.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Yankees-Red Sox play rubber game Thursday

          NEW YORK YANKEES (80-62)

          at BOSTON RED SOX (64-79)


          First pitch: Thursday, 7:10 p.m. EDT
          Line: New York -145, Boston +135, Total: 9½

          Tied with the Orioles atop the AL East, the Yankees will look to take the rubber game of their three-game set with the archrival Red Sox, who are out of contention and looking to play spoiler.

          The Red Sox have been just dreadful lately, with losses in 12 of their past 14 games, a span in which they have reached five runs just twice. Felix Doubront takes the hill for Boston looking to reverse the team’s fortunes, but he’s been just as much of the team’s problem. He is 0-4 with an 8.27 ERA in his past seven starts, and has struggled even more in his past three outings with a 10.50 ERA, 2.00 WHIP and 0-2 record. The Red Sox will face Phil Hughes, who has a 14-12 record as a starter in 2012 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. He’s coming off a strong win against the Orioles and has won two consecutive starts in 2012 against Boston, combining for 14 innings and three earned runs (seven total runs) in those outings, both wins. Ultimately the Yankees excel against left-handed starters with a 31-22 (.585) record against them, and the Red Sox struggle against righties with a 39-58 (.402) mark, the fourth-worst such record in the majors. And given Boston’s woes lately, play on NEW YORK to take this one.

          This rare five-star FoxSheets trend also backs the Yankees:

          BOSTON is 9-28 (24.3%, -28.9 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was BOSTON 4.7, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating = 5*).

          Hughes is 2-1 in his past five starts with a 2.81 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. He has given up the second-most homers in the majors (33), but has an excellent 3.6 K-to-BB ratio (141 K’s, 39 BB). In his career, he is 3-5 with a 5.84 ERA against the Red Sox, but those past two outings are encouraging. It also helps that he can rely on a bullpen with a 3.08 ERA and 24 saves in 29 chances (83%) on the road this year. Although 1B Mark Teixeira remains out (calf), the Yankees should have no problem beating this team in Fenway Park, where they are 6-2 already this season.

          The Red Sox may have to play this game without Dustin Pedroia (wife pregnant), which could mean bad things for Doubront’s run support. Doubront has been quite good against the Yankees in his career, with a 1-0 record (team 2-1), 2.41 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 10.1 K’s/9 in three starts, all coming this year. However, New York’s 5.4 runs per game against southpaws could mean he is due to get hit around again. The Yankees offense is averaging 6.4 per runs over their past seven games, an output the struggling Boston lineup cannot match.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Thursday, September 13

            Hot pitchers
            -- Harrell is 0-0, 2.25 in his last three starts.

            -- Hellickson has a 2.61 RA in his last five starts.
            -- Anderson is 4-0, 1.04 in his last four starts.
            -- Holland is 3-0, 3.54 in his last four starts, 1-0, 1.80 in his last two.
            -- Sale is 4-0, 1.91 in his last four home starts.

            Cold pitchers
            -- Cloyd is 1-1, 4.24 in three starts this season.
            -- Beckett is 1-2, 3.86 in three starts for the Dodgers. Lynn is 0-1, 7.79 in his last four starts, last of which was August 24.

            -- WChen is 0-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
            -- Weaver is 1-3, 6.44 in his last five starts, last of which was Sept 2.
            -- FHernandez is 0-2, 8.25 in his last couple starts. Alvarez is 1-5, 7.57 in his last seven outings.
            -- Hughes is 1-3, 6.75 in his last four road starts. Doubrant is 0-4, 9.76 in his last seven starts.
            -- McAllister is 0-3, 7.03 in his last five starts.
            -- Verlander is 1-1, 5.19 in his last five starts.
            -- Mendoza is 0-1, 6.86 in his last four starts. Hendriks is 0-7, 8.21 in his last ten starts.

            Hot Teams
            -- Phillies won eleven of their last thirteen games.

            -- Toronto won four of its last six games.
            -- Orioles won 12 of their last 16 home games.
            -- Rangers won ten of their last thirteen home games.
            -- Royals won four of their last five games.
            -- Oakland won 15 of its last 18 games.

            Cold Teams
            -- Astros lost 19 of their last 25 games.
            -- Cardinals lost eleven of their last fifteen games.Dodgers lost six of their last seven games.

            -- Rays lost four of their last six games.
            -- Mariners are 3-4 in their last seven games.
            -- Angels lost their last three games, scoring seven runs.
            -- Boston lost 12 of its last 14 games. Bronx Bombers are 5-8 in their last thirteen games.
            -- Detroit lost 16 of its last 22 road games. White Sox are 5-8 in their last 13 games overall.
            -- Twins lost 14 of their last 19 home games.
            -- Cleveland lost 14 of its last 17 road games.

            Totals
            -- Last five Houston games stayed under the total.
            -- Seven of last nine St Louis games went over the total.

            -- Six of last seven Seattle road games stayed under.
            -- Five of last seven Tampa Bay games stayed under.
            -- Five of last seven Bronx games went over the total.
            -- Seven of last ten Texas home games went over the total.
            -- Over is 8-1-2 in last eleven Kansas City games.
            -- Under is 17-3-1 in last 21 Detroit games.
            -- Over is 9-4-1 in Oakland's last fourteen games.

            Umpires
            -- Sea-Tor-- Underdogs are 14-10 in last 24 Meals games.
            -- TB-Balt-- 14 of last 15 Culbreth games stayed under total.
            -- NY-Bos-- Eight of last eleven Hallion games went over.
            -- Cle-Tex-- Underdogs are 9-7 in last 16 Carlson games.
            -- Det-Chi-- Underdogs won four of last five Randazzo games.
            -- KC-Min-- Six of last eight Estabrook games stayed under total.
            -- A's-LA-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Diaz games.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              Evening Games:

              MLB

              Thursday, September 13

              Game Score Status Pick Amount

              Seattle - 7:07 PM ET Toronto +135 500
              Toronto - Over 7.5 500

              NY Yankees - 7:10 PM ET Boston +135 500
              Boston - Under 9.5 500

              Philadelphia - 8:05 PM ET Philadelphia -134 500
              Houston - Under 8 500

              Cleveland - 8:05 PM ET Cleveland +206 500
              Texas - Over 10 500

              Detroit - 8:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox +112 500
              Chi. White Sox - Over 7 500

              Kansas City - 8:10 PM ET Kansas City -108 500
              Minnesota - Over 9 500

              St. Louis - 10:10 PM ET St. Louis +114 500
              LA Dodgers - [B]Over 7.5 500 [B]
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment

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