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**StarDust Bum** · 09-11-2012, 06:20 PM

Diamond Trends - Tuesday

September 11, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Indians are 0-10 since May 12, 2012 as a 140+ dog after allowing 6+ runs in a night game for a net profit of $1000 when playing against.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Astros are 8-0-2 OU (and 0-10 SU) since May 28, 2011 at home after a loss in which they allowed 5+ walks when it is not the first game of a series and they’re facing a starter with at least a 2.50 ERA for a net profit of $800 when playing the over.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Blue Jays are 0-8 since May 26, 2011 when Brandon Morrow starts as a favorite in the first game of a series for a net profit of $1127 when playing against.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Rangers are 11-2 since September 2010 after a regular season game where they were shutout.

TODAY’S TRENDS:

-- The Diamondbacks are 0-9 since June 13, 2012 after a 5+ run loss for a net profit of $1087 when playing against.

-- The Phillies are 8-0 since April 24, 2011 when Roy Halladay starts as a 140+ favorite after the team won their last three games for a net profit of $800.

**StarDust Bum** · 09-11-2012, 06:23 PM

Hot & Not

September 10, 2012

Only three-plus weeks remain in the 2012 regular season with teams continuing to make that one final push that will guarantee themselves a place in the postseason. Here's a look at what some of the best and worst teams did over the course of the last week against the closing lines.
Money-Makers

Los Angeles Angels (6-0, $616): If ever a team made a statement this past week, it was manager Mike Scioscia's Halos who swept respective series against Wild Card hopefuls Oakland and Detroit. When the Angels were running hot earlier this season, they destroyed everything in their way. That looks to once be happening again with Los Angeles registering series wins in five of their last six opportunities.

On The Docket: Now 2 1/2-games in back of the A's for the overall Wild Card lead, LA can leap frog everyone in front of them if they sweep its four-game series with Oakland that starts Monday and follow it up with a series win in Kansas City; LA's won 23 of 41 vs. the AL West (-$260).

Philadelphia Phillies (5-1, $478): It's nearly impossible to believe, but the Phillies still have a mathematical shot at qualifying for the second season. Though manager Charlie Manuel's squad sits a hefty 11 1/2-games in back of the Wild Card leading Atlanta Braves, they only trail the play-in holding St. Louis Cardinals by six-games heading into Monday night's series opener with the Marlins. That in and of itself is amazing considering this team was at one point the laughing stock of the NL East.

On The Docket: If Philadelphia somehow manages to inch closer to the Wild Card leaders, it will be over this next stretch of games with them matched up against Miami, Houston, and the Mets in their next three series. Ryan Howard and his mates check in 31-22 ($410) against losing ball clubs this season; 13-6 L/19 ($600).

Atlanta Braves (6-1, $428 ): Manager Fredi Gonzalez's squad had their hearts ripped out in the final game of their 2011 season a year ago to miss out on all the postseason festivities. With that memory fresh in their minds, the Braves have made it a point not to suffer that same kind of letdown in successive seasons. Though the offense has been held in check of late, the pitching staff has picked up the slack limiting the opposition to an average of just 1.7 runs per game through the L/7 games.

On The Docket: The Braves will close out their six-game road trip in Milwaukee before returning home to battle the NL East leading Washington Nationals through the weekend. Atlanta's 36-20 versus sub .500 teams to date, but has struggled vs. +.500 teams winning on 40 of 85 occasions.

Honorable Mentions: San Diego Padres (4-2, $325), Miami Marlins (4-3, $294), Toronto Blue Jays (4-2, $273), Tampa Bay Rays (4-2, $186), Milwaukee Brewers (4-3, $107)

Money-Burners

Detroit Tigers (1-5, -$631): To be perfectly honest, I'm getting sick and tired of alternating between money-makers and money-burners with this poor excuse of what was expected to be a division winner. The Tigers are so up and down that it's already had to have driven its fans completely bonkers. Thankfully the NFL season has arrived, but if Sunday's last second win by the Lions over the Rams is a sign of things to come, the upcoming pigskin campaign might be as nerve-racking as the baseball season has been.

On The Docket: This week, the Tigers trail the White Sox by two-games in the AL Central standings. However, if we go by the season long "MO", Verlander and his mates will either hold a one-game lead or be tied next Monday. That notion could come to fruition with the Tigers and Palehose squaring off for the last four times of the year starting Monday night at "The Cell."

Cincinnati Reds (2-4, -$610): Owners of a healthy 8 1/2-game lead in the NL Central, we're going to look past the Reds bankroll bursting week since every team is allowed to have a couple of blunders over the course of a 162 game regular season. The Reds have been nothing short of consistent all season long, though we would feel better about them if the offense started scoring some runs again (2.5 RPG L/7).

On The Docket: If the offense fails to get much done this upcoming week against the Pirates and Marlins pitching staff, there might be some cause for concern with the second season rapidly approaching.

Pittsburgh Pirates (2-4, -$499): It's official! The Buccos ship has officially run out of steam. Once a major player in the NL Central and a surefire Wild Card entrant, manager Clint Hurdle's outfit now sits 11-games out in the division and is in jeopardy of getting leapfrogged by the Brew Crew in the standings. Over the last two seasons, Pittsburgh has shown MLB bettors that it has enough to be a force for the first four months, but is nothing but fade city after; unfortunately!

On The Docket: The Pirates only hope for the postseason would be to qualify as a Wild Card. Catching Atlanta looks to be extremely far-fetched, but they only trail the Cardinals by 3 1/2-games and only have the Dodgers to pass as well. If they could win their next series in Cincinnati and then avenge the series sweep they were just dished out by the Cubs, some new life could be pumped into the Pirates postseason dreams; Andrew McCutchen and company have won 34 of 64 versus NL Central opposition ($340).

Dishonorable Mentions: Boston Red Sox (1-5, -$516), Colorado Rockies (1-6, -$436), New York Mets (1-5, -$391), Los Angeles Dodgers (2-4, -$320), Seattle Mariners (2-4, -$241)

**StarDust Bum** · 09-11-2012, 06:26 PM

Tigers-White Sox continue series Tuesday

DETROIT TIGERS (73-67)

at CHICAGO WHITE SOX (76-64)

First pitch: Tuesday, 8:10 p.m. EDT
Line: Chicago -110, Detroit +100, Total: 8

After losing game one of the crucial four-game series against Chicago Monday night 6-1, the Tigers will look gain ground in the AL Central sitting three games behind the division-leading White Sox.

The Tigers enter this game the losers of four in a row, a span in which their offense has not given them a chance, averaging just 1.5 runs per game in that span. They will look to reverse those fortunes against Jake Peavy, who Detroit has faced twice since the All-Star Break and beat him in both games, saddling Peavy with a 6.92 ERA. Peavy has faced the Tigers a remarkable five times in 2012 and is just 1-2 with a 5.79 ERA in those starts. Overall, he is 10-10 with a 3.22 ERA this year. In turn, Doug Fister will look to shut down the White Sox, with a 3.54 ERA and 1.22 WHIP this year, earning an 8-8 record. He faced Peavy on Aug. 31, a game in which the Tigers won 7-4. While Fister is 0-2 (team 1-4) in five career starts against Chicago, he has regularly pitched well with a 3.52 ERA. Look for him to lead DETROIT to victory in this one.

This rare FoxSheets five-star trend favors the UNDER:

DOUG FISTER is 19-2 UNDER (+16.8 Units) after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record). The average score was FISTER 3.1, OPPONENT 2.6 - (Rating = 5*).

Fister’s success against the White Sox comes from his ability to limit hits from some of the marquee members in the Chicago lineup. Paul Konerko, Kevin Youkilis and A.J. Pierzynski are a combined 6-for-41 in their career against Fister. And without Adam Dunn (oblique) in the lineup, he should be in great shape. Averaging 6.2 innings per start on the season, Fister has shown an ability to go even deeper into games on the road, where he averages 6.5 innings per start with a 3.32 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. That could help the Tigers win when they have a mediocre 4.25 bullpen ERA on the road.

Peavy’s greatest strength is his ability to go deep into games, averaging 6.9 innings per start this year, which starts with his ability to limit base runners and his 1.11 WHIP. And he has dominated at home this year with a 6-3 record, 3.05 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. But with his struggles as of late—he hasn’t beaten any team since the All Star Break except the lowly Twins—he is a sketchy play. And while the White Sox are 4-2 against the Tigers at home this year, the Tigers are 10-5 overall and 33-18 over the last three years.

**StarDust Bum** · 09-11-2012, 06:31 PM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, September 11

Hot pitchers
-- Halladay is 3-0, 4.15 in his last four starts.
-- Dickey is 3-0, 1.21 in his last four starts.
-- Hudson is 8-1, 3.45 in his last twelve starts. Estrada is 2-1, 3.13 in his last four starts.
-- Chacin is 2-2, 1.69 in his last four starts.
-- Kershaw has a 2.17 RA in his last four starts, but has been bothered by a sore hip flexor lately.

-- Lester is 4-1, 3.55 in his last five starts.
-- Fister is 1-0, 3.00 in his last two starts.
-- Straily is 1-0, 3.18 in three starts, last of which was August 16.

Cold pitchers
-- Eovaldi is 0-3, 6.60 in his last three starts.
-- Zimmerman is 1-2, 6.49 in his last five starts.
-- Correia is 2-2, 5.64 in his last four starts. Leake is 2-2, 7.91 in his last four.
-- Germano is 0-4, 11.57 in his last four starts. Lyles is 1-2, 7.32 in his last four outings.
-- Bumgarner is 0-3, 7.02 in his last three starts.
-- Kennedy is 2-3, 6.21 in his last six starts.
-- Wainwright is 0-2, 12.91 in his last couple starts. Volquez is 2-3, 8.00 in his last six starts; he's been battling blister problems.

-- ERamirez is 0-2, 5.49 in four starts this season. Morrow is 1-1, 3.63 in his three starts since coming off the DL.
-- Moore is 0-2, 5.30 in his last three starts. MGonzalez is 1-2, 4.42 in his last three starts.
-- Kuroda is 1-2, 4.43 in his last three starts.
-- Jimenez is 0-4, 7.16 in his last five starts. Harrison is 0-2, 10.80 in his last couple starts.
-- Smith is 0-3, 7.36 in his last three starts. Diamond is 1-1, 4.97 in his last five starts.
-- Peavy is 1-3, 4.38 in his last six starts.
-- JWilliams is 0-5, 8.16 in his last five starts, last of which was July 19.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Nationals won seven of their last nine games.
-- Cubs won their last four games, scoring 24 runs.
-- Braves won seven of their last nine games. Brewers won 16 of last 21.
-- Giants won eight of their last ten road games.
-- Padres won 15 of their last 20 games.

-- Toronto won its last four games, scoring 26 runs.
-- Orioles won 10 of their last 14 home games. Tampa Bay won six of its last eight games.
-- Rangers won eight of their last eleven home games.
-- Minnesota won its last three games, scoring 18 runs.
-- Angels won 11 of their last 13 games. Oakland won 13 of its last 16 games.

Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Mets lost six of their last seven games.
-- Pirates lost eight of their last eleven games. Cincinnati is 4-5 in its last nine games.
-- Astros lost 18 of their last 23 games.
-- Colorado lost six of its last eight games.
-- Dodgers lost four of their last five games. Arizona lost eight of its last ten home games.
-- Cardinals lost nine of their last thirteen games.

-- Mariners lost four of their last five games.
-- Boston lost 11 of its last 12 games. Bronx Bombers are 4-7 in their last eleven games.
-- Royals are 3-5 in their last eight road games.
-- Detroit lost 15 of its last 20 road games. White Sox lost seven of their last eleven games overall.
-- Cleveland lost 12 of its last 15 road games.

Totals
-- Over is 6-1-1 in Miami's last eight games.
-- Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Washington games.
-- Under is 7-0-2 in last nine Cincinnati games.
-- Over is 4-2-1 in Cubs' last seven games.
-- Ten of last twelve Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- 16 of last 22 Colorado games stayed under the total. Over is 10-4-2 in last sixteen Giants' games.
-- Last seven Arizona games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven St Louis games went over the total.

-- Four of last five Seattle road games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Last five Bronx games all went over the total.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Cleveland games.
-- Over is 6-1-2 in last nine Kansas City games.
-- Under is 16-2-1 in last 19 Detroit games.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in Oakland's last twelve games.

Umpires
-- Mia-Phil-- Over is 7-1-1 in last nine Wegner games.
-- Wsh-NY-- Under is 5-2-1 in Drake's last eight games.
-- Pitt-Cin-- Favorites won five of last six Davis games.
-- Chi-Hst-- Visiting team won eight of last nine Nauert games.
-- Atl-Mil-- 11 of last 12 Cederstrom games stayed under total.
-- SF-Col-- Four of last five Cooper games went over total.
-- StL-SD-- 15 of last 18 Joyce games went over the total.

-- Det-Chi-- Underdogs won nine of last thirteen Gorman games.
-- A's-LA-- Favorites won last ten Schrieber games; five of his last six games went over the total.

**StarDust Bum** · 09-11-2012, 06:42 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

09/10/12 11-*8-*1 57.89% +*1535 Detail
09/09/12 16-*11-*1 59.26% +*3980 Detail
09/08/12 9-*7-*2 56.25% +*895 Detail
09/07/12 15-*14-*1 51.72% +*215 Detail
09/06/12 5-*5-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
09/05/12 9-*5-*2 64.29% +*1985 Detail
09/04/12 17-*9-*3 65.38% +*5270 Detail
09/03/12 17-*11-*0 60.71% +*3655 Detail
09/02/12 18-*11-*1 62.07% +*3840 Detail
09/01/12 14-*13-*2 51.85% -*735 Detail

Totals 131-*94-*13 58.22% +20540

Tuesday, September 11

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Tampa Bay - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore +120 500
Baltimore - Under 8 500

Miami - 7:05 PM ET Miami +192 500
Philadelphia - Over 8 500

Seattle - 7:07 PM ET Seattle +146 500
Toronto - Under 8.5 500

NY Yankees - 7:10 PM ET NY Yankees -125 500
Boston - Over 9 500

Washington - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets -112 500
NY Mets - Under 7 500

Pittsburgh - 7:10 PM ET Pittsburgh +143 500
Cincinnati - Over 9 500

Cleveland - 8:05 PM ET Cleveland +215 500
Texas - Under 9.5 500

Chi. Cubs - 8:05 PM ET Chi. Cubs +106 500
Houston - Over 8.5 500

Atlanta - 8:10 PM ET Atlanta -115 500
Milwaukee - Under 8 500

Detroit - 8:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -110 500
Chi. White Sox - Over 8.5 500

Kansas City - 8:10 PM ET Minnesota -137 500
Minnesota - Under 9 500

San Francisco - 8:40 PM ET San Francisco -140 500
Colorado - Over 9.5 500

LA Dodgers - 9:40 PM ET Arizona +132 500
Arizona - Under 7.5 500

St. Louis - 10:05 PM ET San Diego +129 500
San Diego - Under 7 500

Oakland - 10:05 PM ET Oakland +127 500
LA Angels - Under 8.5 500

Announcement

The Bum's MLB Best Bets + 205 Units for Sept.

The Bum's MLB Best Bets + 205 Units for Sept.

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