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  • The Bum's Wednesday's MLB Best Bets !

    Cardinals & Giants In ESPN Prime-Time Clash

    ESPN was undoubtedly hoping to have a little more name recognition in the starting pitching matchup when scheduling the San Francisco Giants and St. Louis Cardinals for Wednesday night's prime-time broadcast. Adam Wainwright of the Cardinals, perhaps, against either Matt Cain or Tim Lincecum of the Giants would've gotten the public's attention.

    Instead, Ryan Vogelsong gets the call for San Francisco while Joe Kelly takes the mound for St. Louis. But what the two lack in notoriety, they've made up for with some solid pitching of late, and the game definitely has history in the Cards-Giants rivalry to fall back on in addition to the importance in the current National League standings.

    First pitch from Busch Stadium will be around 8:15 p.m. (ET), and early odds have the Redbirds priced at -120. An 8½-run total is going to cost $1.15 or more to the 'over.'

    The odds are partly a reflection of the direction the two teams have been going the past couple of weeks. San Fran has dropped seven of its last 11 following Monday's 8-2 setback to the Cardinals in the series opener. The victory was St. Louis' 10th in its last 13, and 13th of the last 17 trips to the diamond.

    San Francisco was nursing a slim half-game lead over the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West heading into Tuesday's second game, while the Cardinals were six back of the Cincinnati Reds in the Central and in third place. St. Louis was a heavy $2.00 favorite to keep the wins coming in a pitching matchup between Lance Lynn and Barry Zito.

    Vogelsong has put up one solid outing after another to help the Giants to a 14-6 record in his 20 assignments. Any bettor who has been following the righty in 2012 is smiling at the nearly nine units of profit earned. Though his numbers away from AT&T Park aren't up to par with his home stats, he still owns a respectable road ERA of 3.60 with San Francisco 6-3 in the contests.

    In fact, the biggest news of Vogelsong's last road performance was it stopped a string of quality starts that dated to April 26, a span of 16 games. But four runs allowed over 6-1/3 innings at Coors Field, as he posted this past Friday, will count as a quality start to manager Bruce Bochy any day, and the final result was a victory for both Vogelsong and the Giants.

    Kelly also grabbed a dubya last Friday as the Cards popped the Milwaukee Brewers, 9-3. The rookie had to come out before he finished the sixth frame, but it halted a string of three losing starts, all of which were quality efforts. Kelly didn't get rattled early on when the Brew Crew knocked him around to score all three of their runs in the second, and that might have been the most impressive part of the game for a hurler with just 10 career starts under his belt.

    This will be Kelly's first crack at the Giants, and only the second time Vogelsong has seen the Cardinals since the 2006 campaign. He endured some rocky performances vs. St. Louis in his early days while playing for the Pittsburgh Pirates, but tossed five pretty good innings at Busch in May 2011 and allowed just a single run. Vogelsong didn't figure into the decision which went the way of the Cards thanks to a late uprising.

    Monday's win gave the Cardinals a short 2-1 edge in the season series and left the two squads a level 10-10 in Archway City since the present version of Busch Stadium opened in 2006. Game 1 busted the 8-run total, the fifth time in six games played in St. Louis that 'over' bettors went home happy.

    Veteran Tim McClelland is in line to call balls and strikes on Wednesday, and given his past in prime-time games, one can't help but wonder if some rhubarb might erupt over a controversial call. McClelland's previous plate assignments in 2012 are divided 11-11 'over/under' with two 'pushes.'

    The weatherman is calling for temperatures to climb into the upper-90s during the day in St. Louis, with plenty of humidity and a 40 percent chance of scattered thunderstorms in the evening.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Tigers And Yankees Tangle In Motown

    Two of the top teams in the American League battle on Wednesday night when the New York Yankees visit the Detroit Tigers in Motown. First pitch is at 7:05 p.m. (ET).

    Early odds made the Yankees 135 favorites and set the total at 8½. The pitching matchup is a good one with Yanks ace CC Sabathia against newly acquired Anibal Sanchez.

    This 4-game set opened on Monday with Justin Verlander his normal dazzling self allowing just two unearned runs over eight innings. The 7-2 Tigers win was their 5th-straight, scoring 40 total runs in the process (the ‘over’ 4-1).

    The Tuesday night result is still pending, currently around even odds. The run total is a decent sized 9½ with a couple of right-handers on the mound in Phil Hughes and Rick Porcello. Detroit is 6-1 in Porcello’s last seven starts with excellent run support.

    Sabathia (11-3, 3.53 ERA) has made four starts since coming off the DL with a groin strain. The Bronx Bombers split those games with the rotund lefty sporting a 3.86 ERA. He has been plagued by the home run ball recently, allowing five over his last three games.

    The 32-year-old does have a significantly higher ERA away (4.26) than home (2.81) this season. New York is 7-3 in his road starts however, scoring a healthy 6.1 runs per game. The ‘over’ is 8-2 in those contests, including 5-0 in the last five.

    Sabathia has a lot of experience pitching in Detroit from his Cleveland days. He is 8-5 with a 4.27 ERA in 15 lifetime starts at Comerica Park. He’s 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA against Detroit this year, surrendering three earned runs over seven innings at Detroit on June 1.

    Sanchez (6-8, 3.99 ERA) was acquired on July 23 from Miami in addition to infielder Omar Infante. Jacob Turner was the main piece used as bait as a touted 21-year-old right-hander.

    The 28-year-old Sanchez has made two starts since the swap, allowing five earned runs (three homers) over six innings at Toronto in a 5-1 defeat. He was much better at home last Friday versus Cleveland, one earned run over six innings in a 10-2 victory.

    Sanchez didn’t pitch well in front of the home Miami fans this year (2-5, 5.21 ERA), so it was nice to get off to a good start in Motown. His one career appearance against the Yankees came in his first MLB start, throwing 5 2/3 scoreless innings in New York in 2006.

    These teams have split the four games in Detroit, with the Tigers catching fire at home since July 4, 15-1 overall and nine-straight currently.

    A quick look at the injury report shows New York’s Alex Rodriguez still out until at least September with a broken hand.

    As always, the Don Best Pro Odds is the place to go for all breaking news and betting information. Give it a try and see for yourself.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Around the Horn - Wednesday

      August 7, 2012


      NATIONAL LEAGUE

      Cincinnati at Milwaukee - 2:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Latos (10-3, 3.94 ERA) 66-44 UNDER 7-0-1 L8 away during day
      Wolf (3-8, 5.57 ERA) 50-59 9-3 L12 home Game 3's


      -- Brewers beat Reds, 6-3 on Monday
      -- Brewers beat Reds, 3-1 on Tuesday

      Chicago at San Diego - 6:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Samardzija (7-9, 4.37 ERA) 43-65 2-11 L13 away during day
      Richard (8-11, 4.01 ERA) 48-64 5-2 L7 home during day


      -- Padres beat Cubs, 2-0 on Monday
      -- Padres beat Cubs, 7-4 on Tuesday

      Atlanta at Philadelphia - 7:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Hudson (11-4, 3.45 ERA) 63-47 11-4 away Game 3's
      Kendrick (4-9, 4.45 ERA) 50-60 OVER 8-1 L9 on Wednesdays


      -- Braves beat Phillies, 6-1 on Monday
      -- Phillies beat Braves, 3-0 on Tuesday

      Arizona at Pittsburgh - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Kennedy (10-8, 4.15 ERA) 56-54 UNDER 12-3-1 away Game 3's
      Correia (8-6, 4.49 ERA) 62-47 8-1 L9 home Game 3's


      -- Pirates beat Diamondbacks, 4-0 on Monday
      -- Diamondbacks beat Pirates, 10-4 on Tuesday

      Miami at N.Y. Mets - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Eovaldi (2-7, 4.66 ERA) 50-60 1-10 L11 away vs RHP
      Young (3-5, 4.22 E) 53-57 2-5 L7 home Game 2's


      -- Marlins beat Mets, 4-2 on Tuesday

      San Francisco at St. Louis - 8:05 PM EST (Game 3/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Vogelsong (9-5, 2.38 ERA) 60-50 2-9 L11 away Game 3's
      Kelly (2-4, 3.14 ERA) 60-50 13-4 on Wednesdays


      -- Cardinals beat Giants, 8-2 on Monday
      -- Giants beat Cardinals, 4-2 on Tuesday

      Washington at Houston - 8:05 PM EST (Game 3/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Gonzalez (13-6, 3.34 ERA) 67-43 7-1 L8 away Game 3's
      Galarraga (0-1, 5.23 ERA) 36-75 9-5 home vs LHP


      -- Nationals beat Astros, 5-4 on Monday
      -- Nationals beat Astros, 3-2 on Tuesday

      Colorado at Los Angeles - 10:15 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Francis (3-4, 6.02 ERA) 40-68 UNDER 8-0 L8 away Game 3's
      Billingsley (7-9, 3.74 ERA) 59-52 11-6 home Game 3's


      -- Rockies beat Dodgers, 2-0 on Monday
      -- Rockies beat Dodgers, 3-1 on Tuesday


      AMERICAN LEAGUE

      Minnesota at Cleveland - 12:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Duensing (2-6, 4.39 ERA) 49-61 0-5 L5 on Wednesdays
      Masterson (7-10, 4.78 ERA) 50-60 OVER 7-1 L8 home during day


      -- Twins beat Indians, 14-3 on Monday
      -- Twins beat Indians, 7-5 on Tuesday

      Texas at Boston - 1:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Harrison (13-6, 3.17 ERA) 64-45 2-5 away on Wednesdays
      Beckett (5-9, 4.54 ERA) 55-56 13-6 home vs LHP


      -- Red Sox beat Rangers, 9-2 on Monday
      -- Rangers beat Red Sox, 6-3 on Tuesday

      Los Angeles at Oakland - 3:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Greinke (0-1, 5.14 ERA) 59-52 2-5 L7 away during day
      Straily (0-0, 1.50 ERA) 59-51 UNDER 15-2 L17 home vs RHP


      -- Angels beat Athletics, 4-0 on Monday
      -- Athletics beat Angels, 10-4 on Tuesday

      Seattle at Baltimore - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Millwood (4-9, 4.01 ERA) 51-61 2-6 L8 away Game 3's
      Hunter (4-7, 5.55 ERA) 59-51 5-1 L6 Game 3's


      -- Orioles beat Mariners, 3-1 on Monday
      -- Orioles beat Mariners, 8-7 on Tuesday

      N.Y. Yankees at Detroit - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Sabathia (11-3, 3.53 ERA) 63-46 8-1 L9 away Game 3's
      Sanchez (1-1, 4.50 ERA) 60-50 9-0 L9 home vs LHP


      -- Tigers beat Yankees, 7-2 on Monday
      -- Tigers beat Yankees, 6-5 on Tuesday

      Toronto at Tampa Bay - 7:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Alvarez (7-8, 4.47 ERA) 53-56 1-5 L6 away Game 2's
      Cobb (5-8, 4.60 ERA) 57-52 2-7 L9 on Wednesdays


      -- Rays beat Blue Jays, 4-1 on Tuesday

      Kansas City at Chicago - 8:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Guthrie (0-3, 7.71 ERA) 46-63 UNDER 11-4 away vs LHP
      Quintana (4-1, 2.80 ERA) 60-49 9-2 L11 home Game 3's


      -- White Sox beat Royals, 4-2 on Monday
      -- Royals beat White Sox, 5-2 on Tuesday
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        MLB
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Wednesday, August 8

        Hot pitchers
        -- Latos is 3-0, 1.77 in his last three starts.
        -- Samardzija is 2-2, 2.82 in his last six starts. Richard is 1-0, 2.19 in his last couple starts.
        -- Kennedy is 4-0, 2.54 in his last four starts. Correia won his last five starts, but with a 5.46 RA; Pirates scored 33 runs in those five games.
        -- Hudson is 4-0, 2.63 in his last four starts.
        -- Vogelsong is 2-1, 2.84 in his last four starts.
        -- Billingsley is 3-0, 0.89 in his last three starts.

        -- Straily allowed one run in six IP vs Toronto in his MLB debut.
        -- Sabathia is 2-0, 3.86 in his last four starts.
        -- Villanueva is 4-1, 2.76 in his last five starts. Cobb is 1-1, 2.57 in his last couple starts.

        Cold pitchers
        -- Wolf is 0-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.
        -- Kendrick is 0-5, 6.43 in his last seven starts.
        -- Eovaldi is 1-2, 5.94 in his last four starts. Young is 0-2, 3.67 in four home starts this season.
        -- GGonzalez is 1-2, 5.92 in his last four starts. Galarraga is 0-1, 6.10 in his two starts this season.
        -- Kelly is 1-4, 4.00 in his last six starts.
        -- Francis is 1-2, 8.68 in his last four starts.

        -- Duensing is 1-4, 7.46 in six starts this season. Masterson allowed 17 runs in 9.2 IP in losing his last two starts.
        -- Beckett is 0-2, 5.74 in his last three starts. Harrison is 1-2, 5.03 in his last three outings.
        -- Greinke is 0-2, 6.17 in his last seven starts.
        -- Millwood is 1-3, 5.23 in his last five outings. Hunter is 0-3, 5.00 in his last three starts.
        -- ASanchez is 1-1, 5.25 in two starts for the Tigers.
        -- Guthrie is 0-3, 7.71 in three starts for the Royals. Quintana is 0-0, 5.13 in his last four starts.

        Hot Teams
        -- Braves won 11 of their last 14 games. Phillies won seven of their last nine home games.
        -- Pirates won seven of their last ten home games.
        -- Washington won 14 of its last 18 games.
        -- Milwaukee won eight of its last eleven home games.
        -- Giants won six of last eight road games. St Louis won 13 of its last 18 games overall.
        -- Padres won four of their last five games.

        -- Baltimore won seven of its last nine games.
        -- Tigers won 16 of their last 17 home games.
        -- Minnesota won nine of its last twelve games.
        -- Rangers won five of their last seven games.
        -- White Sox won ten of their last fourteen games.

        Cold Teams
        -- Astros lost 32 of their last 36 games.
        -- Arizona lost three of its last four games.
        -- Cincinnati lost its last three games, scoring six runs.
        -- Marlins lost six of their last nine games. Mets lost eight in row at home.
        -- Cubs are 3-10 in their last thirteen road games.
        -- Rockies lost 12 of their last 16 games, but won last two, holding Dodgers to a total of one run.

        -- Mariners lost four of their last five games.
        -- Bronx lost 12 of its last 18 games.
        -- Indians lost their last eleven games, outscored 95-36.
        -- Blue Jays lost seven of their last nine games. Rays lost four of six at home.
        -- Red Sox lost eight of their last twelve home games.
        -- Kansas City lost eight of its last twelve games.
        -- Oakland is 4-6 in its last ten games. Angels are 6-12 in last 18 road games.

        Totals
        -- Eight of Philly's last eleven games stayed under total.
        -- Under is 14-6-1 in Pittsburgh's last twenty-one games.
        -- Under is 10-3-1 in Miami's last fourteen road games.
        -- 13 of Astros' last 20 games went over the total.
        -- Over is 6-3-2 in last eleven Cincinnati games.
        -- Over is 17-6-1 in Giants' last twenty-four road games.
        -- 16 of last 23 San Diego games went over the total.
        -- Under is 4-1-1 in Dodgers' last six games.

        -- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Seattle road games.
        -- 14 of last 17 Tampa Bay games stayed under total.
        -- Six of last nine Bronx road games stayed under.
        -- Eight of last eleven Cleveland games went over the total.
        -- 22 of last 32 Texas games stayed under the total.
        -- Six of last nine White Sox home games went over the total.
        -- Under is 14-7 in Oakland's last twenty-one home games.

        Umpires
        -- Atl-Phil-- Eight of last nine Foster games stayed under.
        -- Az-Pitt-- Favorites won six of last eight Vanover games.
        -- Mia-NY-- 20 of 21 Emmel games went over the total.
        -- Wsh-Hst-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Hernandez games.
        -- Cin-Mil-- Underdogs won five of last seven Campos games.
        -- SF-StL-- Underdogs won five of last seven McClelland games.
        -- Chi-SD-- Underdogs won seven of last eleven Davis games.
        -- Col-LA-- Home side won five of last six Schrieber games.

        -- Sea-Blt-- Knight's last four games behind plate went over total.
        -- Min-Cle-- Underdog won seven of last nine Reynolds games.
        -- NY-Det-- 11 of last 14 TWelke games stayed under total.
        -- Tor-TB-- 11 of last 15 Barksdale games stayed under the total.
        -- Tex-Bos-- Six of last seven Nauert games went over the total.
        -- KC-Chi-- Last four Kulpa games stayed under the total.
        -- LA-A's-- Last nine Miller games stayed under the total.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Early Games:

          Wednesday, August 8

          Game Score Status Pick Amount

          Minnesota - 12:05 PM ET Cleveland -135 500
          Cleveland - Over 9 500

          Texas - 1:35 PM ET Boston -104 500
          Boston - Under 9.5 500

          Cincinnati - 2:10 PM ET Milwaukee +122 500
          Milwaukee - Under 8.5 500

          LA Angels - 3:35 PM ET Oakland +121 500
          Oakland - Under 7 500

          Chi. Cubs - 6:35 PM ET Chi. Cubs +118 500
          San Diego - Under 7 500
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Thanks for all the info, great help to all i'm sure
            jt4545


            Fat Tuesday's - Home

            Comment

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