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  • The Bum's Wednesday's MLB Best Bets !

    Tigers And Red Sox Finish Series At Fenway Park

    Are the Boston Red Sox finally becoming playoff contenders, or is this just another tease like a couple of their spurts during the first half?

    We might have a better idea of that come Wednesday evening when the Red Sox finish their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers in front of a nationally televised audience on ESPN (7:00 p.m. ET). The Tigers opened as slight 115 favorites for the finale when Rick Porcello is slated to take his turn in their rotation. Boston counters with Aaron Cook and the early total on the Don Best Pro Odds screen was 10½.

    Boston upped its current win streak to three games with a 7-3 win as small chalk in Monday's opener. Will Middlebrook's 2-run homer in the eighth pushed the final just above the 9½-run mark, and it's the longest string of dubyas for the BoSox since a 5-game stretch in mid-June.

    The Red Sox have seemingly been ready to break out several times this season just as they crossed over the .500 mark, only to fall back into the doldrums as they did recently by losing six of seven from July 20-27. Monday's victory left Boston 52-51 (-10.6 units), and staying above level was going to require beating Justin Verlander in Tuesday's tilt vs. Detroit. The Tigers were priced at -130 in that contest which was still pending, and were facing Red Sox righty Josh Beckett.

    Beating Verlander to stay above .500 is tall enough of an order; if Boston fails, the job to not drop below even becomes another tough task with Cook on the mound Wednesday. The Yankees slapped the veteran around last Friday in New York, scoring six times in his four innings. He has fashioned a nice 2:1 grounder-to-fly ratio his last two starts, but of the 14 total flies he has allowed, four were long enough to get over the fence.

    Cook's lone career assignment vs. Detroit came a year ago while a member of the Rockies. He did well by Coors Field standards (6 IP, 4 ER), but the end result was a loss.

    All of the work the Tigers did to get to the top of the AL Central following the all-star break has been undone by five losses in their last seven games heading into Tuesday's match. Detroit needed wins Tuesday and Wednesday to avoid a third consecutive series loss.

    The Tigers had won five consecutive games started by Porcello before he took the defeat last weekend in Toronto (6 IP, 5 ER). The lanky right-hander missed facing the Red Sox the two previous series between the clubs this season, and Detroit has lost all three of his previous starts vs. the Beantown 9.

    His lone appearance at Fenway Park was just under three years ago, and ended before he could get an out in the second inning when Porcello was ejected for beaning Kevin Youkilis. All told, he has worked 8-1/3 innings in three starts against Boston and allowed 10 runs, all earned.

    One Red Sox hitter who should be licking his chops at the prospects of facing Porcello is Jacoby Ellsbury who is a perfect 5-for-5 with a homer in previous confrontations.

    Angel Campos is slated to be south of the dish calling balls and strikes on Wednesday. He has worked the plate 10 times in 2012, splitting the totals 5-5.

    The weatherman is calling for a muggy evening in Boston with a first-pitch reading on the thermometer in the mid-70s. A slight SSW breeze is also in the forecast (out to left/left-center).
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Orioles & Yankees Finish Series In Bronx

    One question on the minds of many the first four months of this season has been when will the Baltimore Orioles finally cave in and drop out of the American League playoff race? If Monday night's rare win over the New York Yankees – in the Bronx, no less – is any indication, the answer is not anytime soon.

    The Orioles and Yankees finish off their fourth series meeting of the season on Wednesday with an early matinee (1:05 p.m. ET). Zach Britton is in line to take the hill for the O's against Phil Hughes of the Yanks.

    Monday's contest was the 2,121st between the franchises, and the Yankees – who ironically began life in 1901 as the Baltimore Orioles – have enjoyed huge success in the series. New York owns a .595 win percentage (1,253-852) on the all-time ledger, and an even greater .631 mark (666-390) in home encounters. Both marks are even more pronounced in the Yankees' favor since the infamous Jeffrey Maier incident during the 1996 ALCS, going 169-91 overall (.650) and 85-45 (.654) in the Bronx.

    As infrequent as a win in New York has become for Baltimore over the years, that hasn't been the case this season with Game 1's triumph the third in four games for the Orioles. They were going for a fourth in five tries on Tuesday as underdogs in the +165 to +170 range. The contest was still pending with a 9½-run total.

    Monday's dubya also lifted the O's to within 6.5-games of the Yankees at the top of the AL East standings. A third defeat in as many games left New York just percentage points ahead of Texas for the best record in the American League.

    That Baltimore is in the playoff picture at this point is tough to explain. The Orioles are the only team in either league with a winning record (54-49) yet sporting a negative differential in the scoring columns (-57 entering Tuesday). It would possibly be more easily explained if they had a strong record at home, but they don't at 25-26. Their offense is below average in the AL (4.13 rpg) while their ERA is above average (4.15).

    The two areas that Baltimore has excelled in this season are extra inning games (10-2) and an outstanding mark in 1-run contests (20-6), such as Monday's affair. Oriole relievers deserve much of the credit for that with a 3.18 bullpen ERA that ranks second in the AL.

    Shoulder problems kept Britton (1-0, 5.74) on the shelf through the all-star break, and Tuesday will mark just his fourth start of the 2012 campaign. The southpaw was lit up by the Oakland Athletics at Camden Yards last Friday (5-2/3 IP, 6 ER, 2 HR). Four previous assignments vs. the Yankees, all in 2011, have yielded a 4.66 ERA, and his two outings at Yankee Stadium a year ago produced a double-digit ERA thanks to one very ugly trip to the mound in late-July when he could only coax one out while allowing nine runs (6 earned).

    Britton's best performance in three outings came against the Indians, and one might think that was due to the predominant left-handed hitting lineup the Tribe trots out. That wasn't the case, however, as Cleveland started the game with six hitters batting from the right side, including the switch-hitters. Lefties have actually done much better against Britton this season (.389) than righties (.205).

    Hughes (10-8, 4.08) served up three gopher balls to the Red Sox last Friday in New York, but they were all solo shots and accounted for the only runs he allowed in New York's 10-3 victory. The O's beat him earlier this year in the Bronx, and have in fact done well against Hughes at Yankee stadium in his last three home starts against them, winning twice and scoring 11 times in his combined 16 innings of work.

    One crucial note on the injury front involves New York 1B Mark Teixeira who left Monday's game due to a sore left wrist. Teixeira was scheduled for an MRI on Tuesday, and is doubtful to return to the Yankees lineup for either of the last two games in this series.

    Alan Porter, in just his second full season as an MLB umpire, should have plate duty Wednesday afternoon, and brings an 11-10-1 'over' record into the contest, 6-2 'over' his last eight. The weather forecast calls for an afternoon high of 86º, a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms and an 8-10 mph southerly breeze (right to left).
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Around the Horn - Wednesday

      July 31, 2012

      NATIONAL LEAGUE

      Houston at Milwaukee - 2:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Lyles (2-7, 5.54 ERA) 35-70 0-8 L8 away during day
      Fiers (4-4, 1.77 ERA) 46-53 8-3 L11 home Game 3's


      -- Brewers beat Astros, 8-7 on Monday
      -- Brewers beat Astros, 10-1 on Tuesday

      Pittsburgh at Chicago - 2:20 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Karstens (3-2, 3.88 ERA) 59-44 OVER 6-2-1 L9 away Game 3's
      Wood (4-6, 4.98 ERA) 43-59 9-1 L10 home during day


      -- Cubs beat Pirates, 14-4 on Monday
      -- Pirates beat Cubs, 5-0 on Tuesday

      Arizona at Los Angeles - 3:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Corbin (2-4, 4.15 ERA) 53-51 0-6 L6 away during day
      Fife (0-0, 1.46 ERA) 56-49 10-5 home Game 3's


      -- Diamondbacks beat Dodgers, 7-2 on Monday
      -- Diamondbacks beat Dodgers, 8-2 on Tuesday

      Philadelphia at Washington - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Worley (5-6, 3.88 ERA) 46-57 OVER 7-1 away on Wednesdays
      Jackson (6-6, 3.52 ERA) 61-41 12-4 home Game 2's


      -- Phillies beat Nationals, 8-0 on Tuesday

      Miami at Atlanta - 7:10 PM EST (Game 3/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      LeBlanc (1-1, 1.15 ERA) 47-56 1-5 L6 Game 3's
      Sheets (3-0, 0.50 ERA) 59-44 4-1 L5 home vs LHP


      -- Braves beat Marlins, 8-2 on Monday
      -- Braves beat Marlins, 7-1 on Tuesday

      San Diego at Cincinnati - 7:10 PM EST (Game 3/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Wells (2-3, 3.82 ERA) 44-61 6-2 L8 Game 3's
      Arroyo (6-6, 3.76 ERA) 62-41 3-5 L8 home Game 3's


      -- Padres beat Reds, 11-5 on Monday
      -- Reds beat Padres, 7-6 on Tuesday

      St. Louis at Colorado - 8:40 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Westbrook (9-8, 3.61 ) 55-48 12-4 on Wednesdays
      Pomeranz (1-6, 4.99 ERA) 37-64 1-13 L14 home Game 2's


      -- Cardinals beat Rockies, 11-6 on Tuesday

      N.Y. Mets at San Francisco - 10:15 PM EST (Game 3/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Niese (7-5, 3.86 ERA) 50-54 7-3 L10 away Game 3's
      Cain (10-3, 2.80 ERA) 56-47 11-5 home vs LHP


      -- Mets beat Giants, 8-7 on Monday
      -- Giants beat Mets, 4-1 on Tuesday


      AMERICAN LEAGUE

      Baltimore at N.Y. Yankees - 1:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Britton (1-0, 5.74 ERA) 55-49 11-4 away during day
      Hughes (10-8, 4.08 ERA) 60-43 UNDER 12-4 home during day


      -- Orioles beat Yankees, 5-4 on Monday
      -- Orioles beat Yankees, 11-5 on Tuesday

      Chicago at Minnesota - 1:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Peavy (8-7, 3.15 ERA) 56-47 UNDER 1-10-1 L12 away during day
      Diamond (9-4, 2.88 ERA) 44-59 4-10 home Game 3's


      -- Twins beat White Sox, 7-6 on Monday
      -- White Sox beat Twins, 4-3 on Tuesday

      Tampa Bay at Oakland - 3:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Cobb (4-8, 4.93 ERA) 54-50 6-3 L9 away during day
      Parker (7-4, 3.38 ERA) 56-47 10-4 home Game 3's


      -- Athletics beat Rays, 4-3 on Monday
      -- Rays beat Athletics, 8-0 on Tuesday

      Detroit at Boston - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Porcello (7-6, 4.56 ERA) 54-50 UNDER 11-4-1 away Game 3's
      Cook (2-4, 4.50 ERA) 53-51 6-3 L9 on Wednesdays


      -- Red Sox beat Tigers, 7-3 on Monday
      -- Red Sox beat Tigers, 4-1 on Tuesday

      Los Angeles at Texas - 8:05 PM EST (Game 3/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Richards (3-2, 3.91 ERA) 57-47 8-4 L12 on Wednesdays
      Darvish (11-7, 4.05 ERA) 59-43 9-2 L11 home Game 3's


      -- Angels beat Rangers, 15-8 on Monday
      -- Angels beat Rangers, 6-2 on Tuesday

      Cleveland at Kansas City - 8:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      McAllister (4-2, 3.18 ERA) 50-53 0-8 L8 away Game 2's
      Mendoza (4-7, 4.47 ERA) 42-60 UNDER 5-2 L7 on Wednesdays


      -- Royals beat Indians, 8-3 on Tuesday

      Toronto at Seattle - 10:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Villanueva (6-0, 2.92 ERA) 51-52 UNDER 8-1-1 L10 away vs RHP
      Beavan (6-6, 5.20 ERA) 49-57 UNDER 6-0-1 L7 home Game 3's


      -- Mariners beat Blue Jays, 4-1 on Monday
      -- Mariners beat Blue Jays, 7-2 on Tuesday
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Diamond Trends - Wednesday

        August 1, 2012

        SU TREND OF THE DAY:

        -- The Yankees are 10-0 since April 09, 2011 when playing a day game after a loss in which they allowed 12+ hits for a net profit of $1070.

        OU TREND OF THE DAY:

        -- The Braves are 0-12-2 OU since May 17, 2011 as a 140+ favorite when they are off a win in which they came back from a deficit and score in more than one inning in a night game for a net profit of $1200 when playing the under.

        STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

        -- The Mets are 11-0 OU since June 25, 2011 when Jon Niese starts as a dog after his team lost the last time he started for a net profit of $1100 when playing the over.

        MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

        -- The Dodgers are 12-0 (2.3 rpg) since April 18, 2010 at home after a 5+ run loss and it is the last game of a series.

        TODAY’S TRENDS:

        -- The Pirates are 5-0 since April 23, 2011 when Jeff Karstens starts after giving up 2 or more home runs for a net profit of $545.
        -- The Astros are 0-15 since June 05, 2011 when Jordan Lyles starts as a road dog for a net profit of $1500 when playing against.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          MLB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Wednesday, August 1

          Hot pitchers
          -- Fiers is 3-2, 0.95 in his last seven starts.
          -- Karstens is 3-0, 2.65 in his last five starts.
          -- Fife is 0-0, 1.46 in two starts for the Dodgers.
          -- Jackson is 1-1, 0.64 in his last couple starts.
          -- Sheets is 3-0, 0.50 in his first three starts for Atlanta.
          -- Arroyo is 3-1, 2.64 in his last five starts.
          -- Westbrook is 2-0, 2.57 in his last couple starts.

          -- Hughes is 1-1, 2.91 in his last three starts.
          -- Diamond is 4-1, 3.27 in his last six starts.
          -- Richards is 1-1, 3.00 in his last couple starts.
          -- McAllister is 1-1, 3.15 in his last three starts.
          -- Beavan is 3-0, 3.05 in his last three outings. Villanueva is 4-0, 1.93 in his last four starts.

          Cold pitchers
          -- Lyles is 0-3, 8.16 in his last five starts.
          -- Wood is 0-3, 13.21 in his last three starts.
          -- Corbin is 1-3, 5.40 in his last four starts, last of which was May 21.
          -- Worley is 1-2, 6.43 in his last five starts.
          -- LeBlanc is 18-23, 4.37 in 52 career starts with San Diego; he is 1-1, 1.15 in 15.2 IP for Miami this year, in 11 games.
          -- KWells is 1-2, 5.57 in his last four starts.
          -- Pomeranz is 0-3, 10.13 in his last three starts.
          -- Cain is 1-1, 4.72 in his last five starts. Mets lost last four Niese starts (0-2, 6.33).

          -- Britton has a 5.74 RA in three starts for Baltimore.
          -- Peavy is 1-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.
          -- Parker has a 6.46 RA in his last four starts. Cobb is 1-4, 6.08 in his last five starts.
          -- Cook is 0-3, 5.79 in his last four starts. Porcello is 1-1, 5.40 in his last four.
          -- Darvish is 2-3, 5.88 in his last five starts.
          -- Mendoza is 1-3, 4.38 in his last four starts.

          Hot Teams
          -- Washington won eight of its last ten games.
          -- Reds won 11 of their last 12 games.
          -- Braves won ten of their last twelve home games.
          -- Padres are 16-11 in their last 27 games.
          -- Pittsburgh is 10-4 in its last fourteen games overall. Cubs won ten of last 14 games at Wrigley.
          -- Cardinals won eight of their last eleven games.
          -- Arizona won four of its last five games.

          -- Orioles won their last three games, scoring 22 runs.
          -- Red Sox won their last four games, scoring 22 runs.
          -- Minnesota won four of its last five games. White Sox won six of their last eight games.
          -- Angels won six of their last nine games.
          -- A's won 19 of their last 24 games. Tampa Bay is 7-4 in last 11 on road.
          -- Mariners won nine of their last eleven games.

          Cold Teams
          -- Marlins lost ten of their last thirteen games.
          -- Phillies lost three of their last four games.
          -- Astros lost 28 of their last 31 games. Brewers lost nine of their last 12.
          -- Rockies lost eight of their last nine games.
          -- Dodgers lost last two nights, 7-2/8-2.
          -- Mets lost 15 of their last 19 games. San Francisco lost five of last six.

          -- Bronx lost eight of its last 11 games.
          -- Detroit lost six of its last eight games.
          -- Rangers are 4-8 in their last 12 games.
          -- Kansas City lost five of its last six games. Indians lost their last four games, outscored 36-9.
          -- Toronto is 6-8 in its last 14 games.

          Totals
          -- Eight of last eleven Philly games went over the total.
          -- Nine of last thirteen Miami games stayed under.
          -- 12 of last 17 San Diego games went over the total.
          -- Under is 12-4 in Cubs' last sixteen games.
          -- Over is 11-4 in Houston's last 15 games, 7-2 in Brewers' last nine.
          -- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Colorado games.
          -- 10 of last 13 Dodger games went over the total.
          -- Over is 15-8-2 in Mets' last 25 games, 9-5 in Giants' last 14.

          -- Ten of last fourteen Baltimore games stayed under the total.
          -- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Detroit games.
          -- 19 of last 25 Texas games stayed under the total.
          -- Over is 6-2-2 in Kansas City's last ten games.
          -- Eight of last ten Minnesota games went over the total.
          -- Eleven of last fifteen Tampa Bay games stayed under.
          -- Under is 25-9 in last thirty-four Seattle games.

          Umpires
          -- Phil-Wsh-- Underdogs won four of last five TBarrett games.
          -- Mia-Atl-- Five of last six West games stayed under total.
          -- SD-Cin-- Last five Hallion games all went over the total.
          -- Pitt-Chi-- Underdogs won six of last eight BWelke games.
          -- Hst-Mil-- Eight of last nine Bell games stayed under.
          -- StL-Col-- Favorites won last 10 games with Demuth behind plate.
          -- Az-LA-- Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Cuzzi games.
          -- NY-SF-- Favorites won last eight games with Scott behind dish.

          -- Blt-NY-- Six of last eight Porter games went over the total.
          -- Det-Bos-- Six of last eight Layne games tayed under total.
          -- LA-Tex-- Seven of last nine Hoye games went over the total.
          -- Cle-KC-- Last three Everitt games went over the total.
          -- Chi-Min-- Last six Culbreth games stayed under the total.
          -- TB-A's-- Eight of last ten Conroy games went over total.
          -- Tor-Sea-- Over is 8-4-2 in last fourteen Randazzo games.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Early Best Bets !

            Wednesday, August 1

            Game Score Status Pick Amount

            Baltimore - 1:05 PM ET NY Yankees -190 500
            NY Yankees - Over 10 500

            Chi. White Sox - 1:10 PM ET Minnesota +112 500
            Minnesota - Over 8.5 500

            Houston - 2:10 PM ET Houston +224 500
            Milwaukee - Over 8.5 500

            Pittsburgh - 2:20 PM ET Chi. Cubs +110 500
            Chi. Cubs - Under 8.5 500

            Arizona - 3:10 PM ET Arizona -110 500
            LA Dodgers - Over 7.5 500

            Tampa Bay - 3:35 PM ET Oakland -121 500
            Oakland - Over 7.5 500
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              Evening Games:

              MLB

              Wednesday, August 1

              Game Score Status Pick Amount

              Philadelphia 0 Bot 0 Philadelphia +126 500
              Washington 0 Over 8.5 500

              Detroit 0 Bot 0 Boston -105 500
              Boston 0 Over 10.5 500

              Miami - 7:10 PM ET Atlanta -180 500
              Atlanta - Under 8 500

              San Diego - 7:10 PM ET San Diego +163 500
              Cincinnati - Over 8.5 500

              LA Angels - 8:05 PM ET LA Angels +153 500
              Texas - Over 10 500

              Cleveland - 8:10 PM ET Kansas City -105 500
              Kansas City - Over 9 500

              St. Louis - 8:40 PM ET St. Louis -124 500
              Colorado - Under 10.5 500

              Toronto - 10:10 PM ET Toronto -114 500
              Seattle - Under 7 500

              NY Mets - 10:15 PM ET San Francisco -169 500
              San Francisco - Under 6.5 500
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment

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