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  • The Bum's Saturday's MLB Best Bets !

    Reds & Brewers Continue Weekend Set In Cincinnati

    No one game on a regular season slate single-handedly determines a team's success or failure. Wins and losses count the same in April as they do in September, and in the end those with the most wins advance into October while the others stay home.

    However, there are individual games that define a team's character and resolve. Thursday's contest in Cincinnati just might be that game for the Reds.

    Cincinnati heads into a big home series with the Milwaukee Brewers this weekend off a thrilling rally into the winner's circle against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Trailing six-zip heading into the bottom of the sixth, the Reds came back for a 7-6 victory thanks to Brandon Phillips' bat and solid work from four relievers.

    The triumph gave Cincinnati a split in the 4-game set with Arizona, and maybe more importantly proved to the Reds that they can deliver on the offensive end without their leading hitter Joey Votto who will miss the next three weeks or so following knee surgery. Now comes the job of building on the momentum from Thursday as the Reds close out a long homestand with three against the Brew Crew.

    Milwaukee and Cincinnati get things started Friday night at Great American Ball Park where the Reds are $1.20 favorites after opening in the -140 to -145 range. The Reds were sending Homer Bailey to the mound against Marco Estrada, and the total was listed at 8½-9. The outcome was still pending.

    Saturday's second game (7:10 p.m. ET) pits Yovani Gallardo of the Brewers against the Reds' Bronson Arroyo. Early odds priced Cincinnati at -120 with an 8½-run total.

    Arroyo had been dormant for 10 days when he climbed the hill in Cincinnati this past Monday, and whether it was the long layoff or simply a case of the Diamondbacks being in an offensive mood, the end result was a loss for the Reds. The veteran right-hander lasted just three innings and 48 pitches, few of which fooled Arizona batters.

    The abbreviated outing followed an impressive 3-hit shutout in San Diego just before the all-star break, and ended a string of three consecutive quality starts for Arroyo. He has had success against the Brewers throughout his career, and both assignments vs. Milwaukee this season have resulted in Cincy wins with Arroyo combining for 14-1/3 frames and just four runs allowed.

    Most of Gallardo's success vs. the Reds has come in Milwaukee. Pitching in Cincinnati has gone the other way, however, with the Brewers 1-5 in his last six starts at Great American Ball Park. Gallardo's 4.37 ERA isn't real ugly, but his big downfall has been the 18 walks in 35 innings.

    He pitched well here in late-June (6 IP, 2 ER), but Milwaukee hitters couldn't overcome a fine performance by the Reds' Mat Latos.

    A key to this series, as with most, will be the two bullpens, and Cincinnati has a pronounced edge right now. The Reds relief corps leads the majors with a 2.55 ERA and is anchored by the fire-balling Aroldis Chapman at the back end. Milwaukee relievers rank 28th in the majors with a 4.53 ERA, meanwhile, and a recent switch to Francisco Rodriguez as closer has brought anything but comfort to the Brewers. The former Angels and Mets closer did pick up back-to-back saves vs. the Cardinals earlier this week, but they were adventures to say the least.

    The Reds have a 4-2 advantage against the Brewers in this year's series, winning two of three at Milwaukee in early-May and repeating that at home in late-June. The 'under' is also 4-2 (2-1 in each locale) and Cincinnati hasn't lost a season series to the Brew Crew since 2006.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Athletics Look To Stay Hot Against NY Yankees

    The red-hot Oakland Athletics continue to turn heads around Major League Baseball as they host the mighty New York Yankees on Saturday night.

    The Athletics’ Jarrod Parker will throw the first pitch at 9:05 p.m. (ET) and he’ll be opposed by the Yankees’ Phil Hughes. The Bronx Bombers are $1.20 road favorites on the Don Best Pro Odds and the total is eight, shaded to the ‘under.’

    Oakland opened the 4-game set with a 4-3 win on Thursday. Rookie right-hander A.J. Griffin allowed just two earned runs over six innings and he’s part of a young, rebuilt staff by the always-resourceful Billy Beane.

    The Yankees did have very good success at O.co Coliseum before Thursday. They had won nine in a row, including a 3-game sweep in late May, and covered the run line during the entire streak.

    The Athletics are now 5-1 since the All-Star break and 11-2 overall in July, putting them right back in the wild-card chase despite a payroll just a fraction of the size of New York.

    Note the Friday night result is still pending with the Yanks $1.25 favorites behind Ivan Nova.

    Parker (6-4, 3.16 ERA) is 3-1 in his last four starts, but only a mediocre 4.44 ERA. He allowed four earned runs over six innings at Minnesota last Sunday, but was fortunate to get nine runs of support.

    The 23-year-old right-hander was acquired from Arizona in the Trevor Cahill trade last December. He is 2-2 with a 2.45 ERA in eight home starts. However, the ‘over’ is 3-1 in his last four home outings, with run support again playing a part.

    Hughes (9-7, 4.22 ERA) has nice numbers his last four starts at 2-1 with a 2.22 ERA. The ‘under’ is 3-1 in those contests. The team is 6-2 in his last eight outings overall after going 4-6 in the first two months.

    The 26-year-old right-hander is 2-0 in seven lifetime appearances against the Athletics, but with a 6.08 ERA. Three of those outings came from the bullpen where he also registered a save.

    New York has the best record in baseball and a huge 9-game cushion over everyone else in the AL East. The 147 team home runs easily leads the majors as well and anyone from 1-9 in the lineup is capable of going deep.

    The Athletics’ .227 batting average is the worst in baseball, but they do get some timely hits. They have the fourth-best ERA (3.42) in the majors, which keeps them in games, and they will certainly battle for all nine innings (and more if necessary).

    Note there are some heavy total betting trends for both teams. New York is +15 units for the season and Oakland +21 units.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Saturday FOX Tips

      July 20, 2012

      The Saturday FOX baseball card provides bettors with three fantastic matchups, including two in the American League that involves four potential playoff teams. In the National League, it's a rematch of the 2010 Championship Series between two clubs heading in different directions.

      Giants at Phillies

      These two teams send out their aces to the mound in the second matchup of this three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. San Francisco continues to keep a hold of the NL West lead over Los Angeles as both rivals are on the East Coast this weekend with the Dodgers in New York. The Phillies are running out of time inside the loaded NL East division and are on verge of missing the postseason for the first time since 2006.

      Cole Hamels (11-4, 3.07 ERA) has been rumored to be moved before the trading deadline on July 31, but that hasn't stopped the former World Series MVP from pitching extremely well. Hamels put a halt to a three-start winless streak with an eight-inning gem at Colorado in his first outing since the All-Star break, a 5-1 drubbing of the Rockies as a $1.35 road favorite. The southpaw missed the Giants in Philadelphia's visit to the Bay Area in April, but Hamels pitched effectively in two starts against San Francisco in 2011. Hamels lost as a $1.60 home 'chalk' in a 2-1 defeat, in spite of putting together 7.2 innings of six-hit ball. He rebounded at AT&T Park one week later with a complete game triumph as a $1.20 road favorite.

      The Giants counter with their stud right-hander as Matt Cain (10-3, 2.56 ERA) attempts to win on the road for the first time since mid-June. Nearly five weeks after tossing a perfect game, Cain shut down the anemic Astros' once again in his last trip to the mound, a 3-2 victory as a $2.20 favorite. In Cain's previous two starts away from AT&T Park, the righty has been the victim of a bullpen meltdown as he left losses at Washington and Oakland with leads after the seventh inning. Cain is one of the top pitchers to back during the daytime, owning a 7-0 record and ERA of 2.09 in matinee action.

      Angels at Rangers

      The AL West race to the finish between Texas and Los Angeles will likely be the most exciting in baseball. The Rangers are coming off consecutive division titles (and pennants), while the Angels have found a way to come up short when October rolled around. However, the Halos are finally finding their stride after a slow start out of the gate to trail by six games in the division heading into the weekend.

      Yu Darvish (10-6, 3.96 ERA) started off on fire for the Rangers, but his struggles over the last two months have come away from Arlington. The Japanese product couldn't find the strike zone in the first inning of his last start at Seattle by walking two and hitting a batter. The Mariners put up four runs in that frame and never looked back in a 7-0 blowout of the Rangers as short home underdogs. Darvish is winless in five of his last six road outings, including a 3-2 defeat to the Angels in early June.

      One night after ace Jered Weaver took the mound, the Angels send out another right-hander when Ervin Santana (4-9, 5.60 ERA) looks to get on track. Santana's problems began with an 0-6 start to the season, but things haven't been fixed as the 29-year old is winless in his last four trips to the rubber. The righty will see the Rangers for the first time this season, as Los Angeles lost three of Santana's four starts against the two-time defending AL Champions in 2011 (the only victory came in Arlington).

      White Sox at Tigers

      After Cy Young winners Jake Peavy and Justin Verlander pitched on Friday night in the opener of this crucial series, a worthy candidate to take the game's top pitching prize goes on Saturday afternoon. Chris Sale has stolen plenty of headlines with his unorthodox pitching style, but the Chicago southpaw continues to deliver strikeouts and wins for the division-leading Sox.

      Sale (11-2, 2.11 ERA) ranks in the top three of the American League in WHIP (0.98), while his ERA is best in the Junior Circuit among qualified pitchers. The left-hander has allowed two earned runs or less in 12 starts this season, as the Sox are 6-2 in his six road outings (both losses by one run each). Sale lost at home to the Tigers back in April as a short favorite, 5-2, while his counterpart in that defeat will take the mound in Saturday's matchup.

      Rick Porcello (6-5, 4.66 ERA) outdueled Sale in that road victory by tossing 7.2 innings of five-hit ball, the fifth straight time the Tigers have beaten the White Sox when the righty has started. Detroit is 4-0 in Porcello's last four starts overall, even though he allowed eight earned runs and 20 hits in previous two trips to the hill.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

        07/20/12 17-*13-*0 56.67% +*2030 Detail
        07/19/12 12-*8-*0 60.00% +*1690 Detail
        07/18/12 7-*7-*3 50.00% +*5 Detail
        07/17/12 10-*14-*1 41.67% -*2455 Detail
        07/16/12 8-*15-*1 34.78% -*4135 Detail
        07/15/12 14-*14-*0 50.00% -*135 Detail
        07/14/12 17-*13-*0 56.67% +*1590 Detail
        07/13/12 15-*13-*2 53.57% +*455 Detail
        07/08/12 18-*11-*1 62.07% +*3810 Detail
        07/07/12 16-*13-*1 55.17% +*1155 Detail
        07/06/12 17-*13-*0 56.67% +*1390 Detail
        07/05/12 5-*15-*0 25.00% -*6175 Detail
        07/04/12 16-*12-*0 57.14% +*2300 Detail
        07/03/12 12-*18-*0 40.00% -*3155 Detail
        07/02/12 13-*11-*0 54.17% +*305 Detail
        07/01/12 13-*15-*1 46.43% -*860 Detail

        Totals 210-*205-*10 50.60% -*2185




        MLB

        Saturday, July 21

        Game Score Status Pick Amount

        Atlanta - 1:05 PM ET Atlanta +107 500
        Washington - Over 8 500

        LA Dodgers - 1:10 PM ET LA Dodgers -121 500
        NY Mets - Over 8.5 500

        San Francisco - 4:05 PM ET San Francisco +122 500
        Philadelphia - Over 7 500

        Chi. White Sox - 4:05 PM ET Chi. White Sox -114 500
        Detroit - Over 8.5 500

        Texas - 4:05 PM ET LA Angels +114 500
        LA Angels - Over 8 500

        Baltimore - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore +139 500
        Cleveland - Over 9 500

        Atlanta - 7:05 PM ET Washington -113 500
        Washington - Over 8.5 500

        Miami - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh -130 500
        Pittsburgh - Under 8 500

        Toronto - 7:10 PM ET Boston -125 500
        Boston - Under 10 500

        Seattle - 7:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -148 500
        Tampa Bay - Under 8 500

        Minnesota - 7:10 PM ET Minnesota +119 500
        Kansas City - Over 9.5 500

        Milwaukee - 7:10 PM ET Milwaukee +101 500
        Cincinnati - Over 8.5 500

        Chi. Cubs - 7:15 PM ET Chi. Cubs +128 500
        St. Louis - Over 8 500

        Colorado - 8:35 PM ET San Diego +103 500
        San Diego - Over 7 500

        NY Yankees - 9:05 PM ET Oakland +114 500
        Oakland - Under 7.5 500
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment

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