Announcement

**Udog** · 07-10-2012, 07:48 AM

Tuesday's betting tips: Slumping Lynx without inside threat

Who’s hot

MLB: The National League has won the last two All-Star games.

WNBA: The over is 8-2 in Los Angeles’ last 10.

Who’s not

MLB: The over is 0-2 in the last two All-Star games.

WNBA: Washington is 1-7 against the spread in its last eight road games.

Key stat

52-33 – The New York Yankees head into the All-Star break with the best record in baseball at 52-33, but they aren’t the World Series favorite. That distinction belongs to the Texas Rangers, who are 52-34 at the break.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Rebekkah Brunson, Minnesota Lynx – Brunson has already been ruled out of this week’s games due to a strained left calf. The Minnesota center/forward is a force inside averaging 11.1 points and 8.5 rebounds per game. The Lynx, who have dropped three in a row both straight up and against the spread and are set as 12-point favorites against Tulsa Tuesday.

Game of the day

National League vs. American League (-120, 8.5)

Notable quotable

"I'm glad that's done. I'm extremely proud of them. Everything's going to get knocked to the mat in this league, but it's how you get up, and I thought we responded to rest. I thought we responded to practice. I think we really focused in on these three home games against three quality opponents.'' - Los Angeles Sparks coach Carol Ross after her club bounced back from three straight losses to win and cover in its last three. The Sparks are set as 9.5-point road favorites in Phoenix.

Notes and tips

Matt Cain and Justin Verlander will start in the 2012 All-Star Game Tuesday night.It's been an eventful four months for the National League starter Cain. He signed a megadeal with the Giants worth up to $127 million on April 2 and threw a perfect game against the Houston Astros on June 13, the first in franchise history. Verlander (9-5, 2.58) shares the MLB lead with 128 strikeouts. The Tigers (44-42) are 3.5 games behind the White Sox in the AL Central. Texas Rangers' manager Ron Washington went with Verlander, the reigning Cy Young winner, over Angels' ace Jered Weaver (10-1, 1.96).

Both managers released their starting lineups for Tuesday’s games. American League: 1. Derek Jeter, SS 2. Robinson Cano, 2B 3. Josh Hamilton, LF 4. Jose Bautista, RF 5. Prince Fielder, 1B 6. Adrian Beltre, 3B 7. David Ortiz, DH 8. Mike Napoli, C 9. Curtis Granderson, CF. National League: 1. Carlos Gonzalez, DH 2. Melky Cabrera, CF 3. Ryan Braun, LF 4. Joey Votto, 1B 5. Carlos Beltran, RF 6. Buster Posey, C 7. Pablo Sandoval, 3B 8. Dan Uggla, 2B 9. Rafael Furcal, SS

With Miami Marlins slugger Giancarlo Stanton scheduled to go under the knife to repair a knee issue, rookie sensation Bryce Harper will join the NL All-Star team. Harper, 19, who’s hitting .283 with eight homers and 25 RBI, becomes the youngest position player to ever play in the Midsummer Classic.

The Dwight Howard trade rumor mill continues to push out daily reports. The latest deal on the table as of Monday involved Howard, Jason Richardson and Earl Clark going to the Nets in exchange for Brook Lopez, Damion James, Sheldon Williams and three future first-round picks from the Nets. Cleveland would trade Luke Walton to Orlando and in return the Cavaliers would reportedly receive Quentin Richardson from Orlando, Sundiata Gaines and Kris Humphries from the Nets, who would also throw in $3 million and a future first-round pick. The final part of the deal: the Nets would need to find a fourth team willing to trade a first-round pick for guard MarShon Brooks. The pick would be sent to Orlando.

**Udog** · 07-10-2012, 07:48 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

According to PhilSteele.com, the teams that gained the most Yards per Point LY, which is bad; these teams almost always improve the following season, partly because they've been so awful to get on this list......

New Mexico, 24.7—Bob Davie is the new coach in Albuquerque.

Akron, 19.6—Terry Bowden inherits team that was 5-31 last three years.

FAU, 19.3—Five of six teams on this list have a new coach this season.

UAB, 18.1—Last four years, are 7-3-1 vs spread as a home underdog.

Middle Tennessee, 18.0—Covered just two of last twelve home games.

Penn State, 17.7—Need better QB play to keep spotlight on the field.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Taking an early look at SEC football......

Alabama—Saban was 1-6 vs spread as a favorite in his first year with the Crimson Tide, but in four years since, is 28-16 (12-5 road/16-11 at home).

Arkansas— 19-6-1 vs spread in last 26 home games; senior QB Wilson and four starters back on OL will help new coach JL Smith, who has experience in the bigtime at Michigan State.

Auburn—Last four years, are just 3-9 vs spread as road underdog. Won last five bowls, with four wins by exactly three points.

Florida—8-5/7-6 in post-Tebow era has natives restless; were minus-12 in turnovers LY, after being +59 in six years before that.

Kentucky—Favorite is 15-8 in Wildcat games since Phillips has been coach; were outgained by 183 ypg in SEC games LY. UK was 30-22 in Brooks’ last four years, 11-14 since. Joker is on hot seat.

LSU—Miles is 75-18 in Baton Rouge, even winning when he has lousy QB’s, but he is 16-26-1 vs spread as a home favorite in Death Valley. One of his QB’s this year is Philip Rivers’ brother.

Ole Miss—Had negative turnover ratio seven years in row (-41), covered just two of last nine as home dog. Won last four bowls, but only two of them have been since Eli graduated in ‘03.

Mississippi State—4-10-1 vs spread in last 15 games as road dog. All-time school passing leader at MSU is the immortal Wayne Madkin (6,336 PY). I know they ran wishbone under Ballard for while, but how has an SEC team never had a better passer than Madkin?

Missouri—Since ’05, Mizzou is 19-10 vs spread in non-conference games, now they’re in new conference. Last three starters QB coach Yost has had are all in NFL now, good news for returning starter Franklin.

South Carolina—19-12-2 vs spread on road under Spurrier. Were +5 in turnovers LY, first time they were plus in TO’s since ’05. Lost three starters on OL, which makes it tougher to open holes for star RB Lattimore.

Tennessee—Five starters back on OL and experienced QB (12 starts) Bray should help Dooley improve on 11-14 (4-12 in SEC) record in Knoxville, where natives aren’t patient. Favorite is 18-6 in Dooley’s games at UT, 12-3 at home.

Vanderbilt—Played in bowl LY for second time since ’82; their QB is Aaron Rodgers’ brother. 3-21 in SEC games last three years. Were 1-4 LY in games decided by six or less points.

**Udog** · 07-10-2012, 07:49 AM

Public opinion: Bettors ride Sun's hot streak

WNBA:

Connecticut Sun at Washington Mystics (+9, 155.5)

The Connecticut Sun put an exclamation mark on their recent hot streak, dropping the Minnesota Lynx 86-80 as 9-point underdogs. The Sun have now won six of their last eight to move 2.5 games ahead of Indiana at the top of the Eastern Conference. Connecticut is also 9-3-1 against the spread in its last 14 meetings with struggling Mystics.

Consensus: Sun, 67 percent

**Udog** · 07-10-2012, 07:49 AM

MLB All-Star Game: Who has the better starting lineup?

The busiest guys in the building at the MLB Midsummer Classic might just be the play-by-play announcers.

Forget for a moment that the game decides home-field advantage in the World Series, because the two managers are often more concerned about getting everybody in the game than anything else. Still, most starters usually stick around for the first few innings before all the double and triple switches begin.

With that in mind, let’s take a look at both starting lineups to see who has the edge.

Catcher:

AL – Mike Napoli, Texas Rangers
NL – Buster Posey, San Francisco Giants

No contest here. Napoli is hitting just .233 with 12 homers and 30 RBIs and only got a spot on the team because everyone hates A.J. Pierzynski. Posey is having a great bounce-back year with a .295 average, 10 homers and 43 RBIs.

Edge: NL

First base:

AL – Prince Fielder, Detroit Tigers
NL – Joey Votto, Cincinnati Reds

Votto’s nursing a sore knee and may not be able to start, but if he does, that gives the NL the edge. He’s hitting .345 with 14 homers and 50 RBI, although Fielder’s .298 batting average and 58 RBI are pretty solid.

Edge: NL

Second base:

AL – Robinson Cano, New York Yankees
NL – Dan Uggla, Atlanta Braves

Cano carried the Yanks for the entire month of June and is hitting .316 with 20 homers and 50 RBIs. Meanwhile, Uggla’s batting just .225.

Edge: AL

Shortstop:

AL – Derek Jeter, New York Yankees
NL – Rafael Furcal, St. Louis Cardinals

Hard to argue against Jeter. He just passed Cal Ripken on the all-time hits list for a shortstop and is hitting over .300 with seven homers at 38 years of age.

Edge: AL

Third base:

AL – Adrian Beltre, Texas Rangers
NL – Pablo Sandoval, San Francisco Giants

Let’s get past the fact that David Wright and not Kung Fu Panda should be starting for the NL – it’s a popularity contest after all. Beltre’s having a heck of a year with 14 homers, 53 RBIs and a .325 batting average.

Edge: AL

Outfield:

AL – Josh Hamilton, Texas Rangers, Curtis Granderson, New York Yankees, Jose Bautista, Toronto Blue Jays.
NL – Melky Cabrera, San Francisco Giants, Carlos Beltran, St. Louis Cardinals, Ryan Braun, Milwaukee Brewers

Even if Matt Kemp was healthy after being voted a starter, the AL still has the edge with all that power. The NL will likely put Braun or possibly Carlos Gonzalez in the outfield to fill Kemp’s spot.

Edge: AL

Starting pitching:

The managers haven’t announced their starters yet, but it this already looks too close to call. Jered Weaver seems like the best bet to start for the AL, but the NL could go with knuckler R.A. Dickey, Stephen Strasburg or Matt Cain.

Edge: Even

Bullpens:

Again, a lot of guesswork here since most of these guys won’t seem more than an inning of work. Based on the overall quality and experience, you might lean slightly to the AL. Justin Verlander, Yu Darvish, Felix Hernadez and David Price are hard to argue against in the mid-innings.

Edge: AL

Reserve position players:

I love that Mark Trumbo and Mike Trout both made the AL squad, but I’m leaning toward a bit of an edge to the NL’s bench. With Gonzalez, Wright, Jay Bruce and the only two kids on the Cubs worth watching, they have a nice mix of experience and raw talent. Slight edge to the NL.

Edge: NL

Overall Edge: AL

**Udog** · 07-10-2012, 07:50 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Minnesota at Tulsa
The Lynx look to build on their 11-5 ATS record in their last 16 Tuesday games. Minnesota is the pick (-12) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by 13 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-12). Here are all of today's picks

TUESDAY, JULY 10

Game 651-652: Connecticut at Washington (11:30 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 113.915; Washington 106.763
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 7; 156
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 9; 152 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+9); Over

Game 653-654: New York at Indiana (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 106.400; Indiana 118.241
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 12; 147
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 10 1/2; 152
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-10 1/2); Under

Game 655-656: Minnesota at Tulsa (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 120.709; Tulsa 107.256
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 13 1/2; 160
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 12; 164
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-12); Under

Game 657-658: Los Angeles at Phoenix (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 113.463; Phoenix 106.778
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 6 1/2; 173
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 9 1/2; 169
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+9 1/2); Over

WNBA

Tuesday, July 10

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Trend Report
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11:30 AM
CONNECTICUT vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Connecticut's last 11 games on the road
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Washington is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Connecticut

12:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. INDIANA
New York is 2-20 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 16 of New York's last 24 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 10 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 12 games

12:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. TULSA
Minnesota is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Tulsa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tulsa's last 11 games when playing at home against Minnesota

3:30 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Los Angeles is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

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**Udog** · 07-10-2012, 09:30 AM

WNBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, July 10

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CONNECTICUT (12 - 4) at WASHINGTON (3 - 12) - 7/10/2012, 11:35 AM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 131-174 ATS (-60.4 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 134-174 ATS (-57.4 Units) vs. division opponents since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 59-85 ATS (-34.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 7-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 9-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (6 - 10) at INDIANA (9 - 6) - 7/10/2012, 12:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 9-7 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 8-8 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
12 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (13 - 4) at TULSA (3 - 13) - 7/10/2012, 12:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 59-86 ATS (-35.6 Units) in July games since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 60-86 ATS (-34.6 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
TULSA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) on Tuesday over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-4 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 8-2 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOS ANGELES (13 - 6) at PHOENIX (4 - 13) - 7/10/2012, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 62-89 ATS (-35.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 29-10 ATS (+18.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-6 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-6 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 07-10-2012, 09:56 AM

CFL
Long Sheet

Thursday, July 12

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CALGARY (1 - 1) at MONTREAL (1 - 1) - 7/12/2012, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, July 13

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WINNIPEG (0 - 2) at EDMONTON (1 - 1) - 7/13/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 62-89 ATS (-35.9 Units) as a favorite since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 3-1 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 2-2 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, July 14

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (2 - 0) at SASKATCHEWAN (2 - 0) - 7/14/2012, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in July games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 105-68 ATS (+30.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-3 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (1 - 1) at HAMILTON (0 - 2) - 7/14/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 5-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL

Week 3

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Trend Report
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Thursday, July 12

7:30 PM
CALGARY vs. MONTREAL
Calgary is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Montreal is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary

Friday, July 13

9:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. EDMONTON
Winnipeg is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games ,when playing on the road against Edmonton
Winnipeg is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Edmonton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg

Saturday, July 14

3:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. SASKATCHEWAN
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 5 games on the road
British Columbia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. HAMILTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games at home
Hamilton is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Toronto

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Announcement

Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 7/10 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 7/10 (MLB, WNBA, CFL, Misc.)

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