Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 6/28(MLB, WNBA, Misc.)

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, June 28

Good Luck on day #180 of 2012!

At this time, the sports menu in this thread consists of MLB, and WNBA until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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MLB Matchups

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MLB Hot or Not

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MLB Weather

NASCAR Schedules

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[Udog]

Thursday’s betting tips: D-Backs’ top SP prospect makes MLB debut

Weather to watch

Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants – 12 mph winds are expected to blow out to centerfield.

Who’s hot

MLB: Under is 20-8 in Yankees last 28 games as a home favorite.

MLB: Athletics are 10-4 in their last 14 overall.

WNBA: Silver Stars are 6-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.

Who’s not

MLB: Padres are 5-23 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

MLB: Rockies are 4-15 in their last 19 overall.

WNBA: Sparks are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.

Key stat

2 – Candace Parker scored just two points in the Los Angeles Sparks’ loss to Tulsa Tuesday. The former MVP has scored only 20 points in two games since coming back from a knee injury as the Sparks get set to play their eighth game in 14 days Thursday against San Antonio.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

CC Sabathia, New York Yankees - Sabathia was placed on the 15-day disabled list with a strained left adductor muscle. Yankees manager Joe Girardi said Sabathia is likely to return after the All-Star break and would miss only two starts. Sabathia (9-3, 3.55 ERA) felt pain in his groin area during his last start but didn't inform the team until Tuesday's bullpen session. Freddy Garcia will fill his spot in the rotation, making his first start Friday.

Game of the day

Germany -125 vs. Italy +330, Draw +225

Notable quotable

"I think the time has come to beat the next big opponent. We have already beaten Argentina, England, Netherlands and Brazil and I think Italy are next. We certainly have respect for them for what Italy have achieved here, especially with the football scandals back home. But we have no fear." Germany midfielder Bastian Schweinsteiger ahead of Thursday's match with Italy.

Notes and tips

The Arizona Diamondbacks’ star pitching prospect Trevor Bauer will make his MLB debut Thursday on the road against the Atlanta Braves. Bauer, the No. 3 overall pick in last year’s draft, was tearing it up in Triple-A Reno with a 4-0 record and a 2.82 earned-run average in eight starts. He had 116 strikeouts in 93 innings spanning 16 starts in Double-A and Triple-A. Arizona is set as a +115 underdog.

Two weeks ago, Bears coach Lovie Smith said he fully expected Brian Urlacher to be on the field when training camp begins in Bourbonnais on July 25. Urlacher told the Chicago Tribune he'll be back "for sure" after missing offseason workouts and minicamp recovering from a sprained MCL and PCL in his left knee on Jan. 2 at Minnesota. "I could have participated in minicamp, but there was no reason to," Urlacher said. Urlacher, 34, likely won't practice more than three straight days and will be rested on days with dual practice.

Deron Williams, one of the top free agents in the NBA this summer, isn't expected to take a tour of cities of interested teams. He has narrowed his choices to his hometown Dallas Mavericks and re-signing with the Brooklyn Nets. If the past week is any indication, the Mavericks have ground to gain on the Nets. It's unlikely another suitor, such as the Houston Rockets, will gain traction in pursuit of Williams. Williams is keeping a regular workout scheduled at the Nets' facility in New Jersey and celebrated his birthday with a dinner in New York that included Nets' coach Avery Johnson.

[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- There have been 29 games this year where a pitcher got 20+ swings/ misses; if you bet $100 on that pitcher’s team in his next start, you’d be 16-10, +$222.

-- UConn-Michigan State are playing hoops at an Army base in Germany next November, a real game.

-- Scapegoat alert: Bob Apodaca is out as pitching coach in Colorado, which will solve nothing. The Rockies don’t have any good pitchers, well other than Chacin and de la Rosa, who are both hurt.

-- Gas is $3.59 here, as low as its been in a long time, but its $3.13 in San Antonio, under $3.00 in South Carolina. What the hell’s going on up here?

-- Jim Irsay actually tweeted about the Colts being a 10-point dog in their season opener at Chicago. Think he’ll be getting a phone call from Park Avenue about that one.

-- Odd: Doc Rivers is spending draft night with his son, not the Celtics’ brass. Not like he’s the coach or anything.


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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Our major league baseball List of 13......

13) Pirates 39-35—Over his last nine starts, Burnett has turned into Bob Gibson; need another hitter to help McCutchen.

12) Mets 40-36—Santana/Dickey formidable 1-2 punch in rotation; after Wright, who’s their next-best hitter?

11) Braves 40-34-- Can they send Chipper out in style? Beachy’s injury hurts this rating. Need Jurrjens to return to form.

10) Rays 40-35—Longoria needs to train more for durability; second year in row he’s missed extended time. Brooks Conrad hit cleanup Wednesday.

9) Red Sox 40-35—Giving Youkilis away makes Valentine’s life easier, but didn’t improve team. They could see Youkilis again in October.

8) Dodgers 43-33— Kemp/Ethier are both hurt; they didn't score a run in three games at San Francisco. Need the All-Star break, and soon.

7) Orioles 41-33—Will Hammel maintain excellence after he goes to All-Star Game? Showalter is Manager of the Year, to this point.

6) Reds 41-33—Only NL team to use only five starting pitchers this season. Is Chapman the long-term answer at closer?

5) Nationals 43-30—Not sure if it is cortisone shot, Coors Field or poor Colorado pitchers, but Zimmerman hit ball well last four games.

4) Angels 42-33—Pujols has 34 RBI in last 39 games; Frieri has solidified bullpen. A team you will not want to see in a short series.

3) Giants 43-33— If they ever get Lincecum back on track, should pass Dodgers. Might do it anyway. Pagan/Cabrera have been godsends.

2) Bronx 46-28—Would be more impressed if they could score without hitting homers. That said, they do hit lot of homers. Sabathia/Pettitte both got hurt Wednesday; Sabathia is irreplaceable over long term.

1) Rangers 47-29—Two-time AL champs have some holes in rotation, but they do score lot of runs.

[Udog]

Public opinion: Bettors fade King Felix vs. BoSox

Odds and consensus percentages current as of 9 p.m. ET, Wednesday.

MLB:

Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners (-105, 7)

Seattle has won each of Felix Hernandez’s last two starts as the big ace held his opposition to just two runs while striking out 17 over 14 innings. Still, Seattle has won just seven of his 15 starts this season averaging only 3.9 runs in his outings.

Consensus: Red Sox, 68 percent

WNBA:

Los Angeles Sparks at San Antonio Silver Stars (-4.5, 162.5)

The Silver Stars have owned the Sparks lately, covering in seven of the last eight meetings between the two teams. The Sparks have been having a terrible time covering a spread against anyone. They head into Thursday’s action riding a 1-5-1 skid against the number.

Consensus: Silver Stars, 57 percent

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Los Angeles at San Antonio
The Sparks look to build on their 6-2-1 ATS record in their last 9 games when playing on 1 days rest. Los Angeles is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Silver Stars favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

THURSDAY, JUNE 28

Game 601-602: Los Angeles at San Antonio (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 110.656; San Antonio 112.779
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 2; 158
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 4 1/2; 162 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+4 1/2); Under




WNBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, June 28

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LOS ANGELES (10 - 5) at SAN ANTONIO (5 - 5) - 6/28/2012, 12:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 32-49 ATS (-21.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) in May, June, or July games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in June games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 8-2 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-2 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Thursday, June 28

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Trend Report
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12:30 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Los Angeles is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games at home
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


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[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

Arizona at Atlanta
The Braves look to build on their 8-1 record in Jair Jurrjens last 9 starts during Game 3 of a series. Atlanta is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Braves favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-135). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JUNE 28

Game 901-902: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burnett) 15.314; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 14.108
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115); Under

Game 903-904: Washington at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Jackson) 15.400; Colorado (Outman) 15.973
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Washington (-150); 11
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+130); Over

Game 905-906: Arizona at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Bauer) 15.883; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 16.337
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-135); Over

Game 907-908: San Diego at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Cashner) 15.431; Houston (Keuchel) 14.003
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+100); Under

Game 909-910: NY Mets at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Young) 15.920; LA Dodgers (Capuano) 14.545
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+115); Over

Game 911-912: Cincinnati at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.390; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.853
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-110); 6
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-110); Under

Game 913-914: LA Angels at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Haren) 17.082; Toronto (Cecil) 15.026
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-120); Under

Game 915-916: Chicago White Sox at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Axelrod) 15.429; NY Yankees (Nova) 16.616
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-185); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-185); Over

Game 917-918: Cleveland at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (McAllister) 13.870; Baltimore (Chen) 14.975
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-145); Over

Game 919-920: Detroit at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 14.814; Tampa Bay (Shields) 13.995
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+115); Under

Game 921-922: Oakland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Ross) 15.477; Texas (Feldman) 15.861
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Texas (-230); 11
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-230); Over

Game 923-924: Boston at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Morales) 16.815; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.792
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 6
Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-110); Under

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, June 28

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PITTSBURGH (39 - 35) at PHILADELPHIA (36 - 41) - 1:05 PM
A.J. BURNETT (R) vs. KYLE KENDRICK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BURNETT is 71-98 (-33.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 30-50 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 39-35 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 30-21 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 25-18 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 39-35 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BURNETT is 10-2 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 10-2 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 36-41 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-23 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-16 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-16 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-38 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-24 (-14.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-3 (+0.7 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
BURNETT is 6-10 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.38 and a WHIP of 1.561.
His team's record is 7-12 (-8.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-10. (-2.0 units)

KYLE KENDRICK vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
KENDRICK is 4-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.111.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.1 units)

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WASHINGTON (43 - 30) at COLORADO (28 - 46) - 3:10 PM
EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. JOSH OUTMAN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 43-30 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 31-19 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 120-112 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 27-15 (+11.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
COLORADO is 28-46 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 16-23 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
COLORADO is 7-18 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
COLORADO is 28-46 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 68-98 (-38.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 0-9 (-9.7 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more this season.
COLORADO is 59-78 (-21.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 39-64 (-24.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-1 (+0.2 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. COLORADO since 1997
JACKSON is 1-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 13.92 and a WHIP of 2.592.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)

JOSH OUTMAN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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ARIZONA (37 - 37) at ATLANTA (40 - 34) - 7:10 PM
TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. JAIR JURRJENS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 22-29 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 8-20 (-12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ATLANTA is 31-21 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
JURRJENS is 39-18 (+16.8 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 134-109 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 134-109 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 96-70 (+29.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 109-100 (-35.5 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-1 (+4.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.9 Units)

TREVOR BAUER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

JAIR JURRJENS vs. ARIZONA since 1997
JURRJENS is 2-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.24 and a WHIP of 1.656.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

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SAN DIEGO (27 - 49) at HOUSTON (32 - 43) - 8:05 PM
ANDREW CASHNER (R) vs. DALLAS KEUCHEL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 27-49 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 27-49 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 56-98 (-38.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 6-19 (-12.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 17-12 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
HOUSTON is 23-18 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 23-18 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 89-150 (-36.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 56-113 (-41.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 (+0.7 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

ANDREW CASHNER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

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NY METS (40 - 36) at LA DODGERS (43 - 33) - 10:10 PM
CHRIS YOUNG (R) vs. CHRIS CAPUANO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 77-53 (+19.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 12-2 (+9.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
LA DODGERS are 52-30 (+16.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 40-36 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 22-14 (+11.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 60-57 (+20.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 46-32 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 113-119 (+4.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHRIS YOUNG vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
YOUNG is 2-5 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.02 and a WHIP of 1.391.
His team's record is 6-8 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-7. (-0.7 units)

CHRIS CAPUANO vs. NY METS since 1997
CAPUANO is 0-4 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.518.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

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CINCINNATI (41 - 33) at SAN FRANCISCO (43 - 33) - 10:15 PM
JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-33 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-33 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 155-118 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 584-668 (+49.3 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 521-612 (+33.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 384-430 (+38.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 36-21 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CUETO is 27-12 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CUETO is 27-11 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CUETO is 16-4 (+11.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CUETO is 14-5 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
CUETO is 2-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.64 and a WHIP of 0.955.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
BUMGARNER is 0-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 8.56 and a WHIP of 1.902.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

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LA ANGELS (42 - 33) at TORONTO (38 - 37) - 7:05 PM
DAN HAREN (R) vs. BRETT CECIL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 99-106 (-27.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
HAREN is 5-10 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 14-19 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAREN is 21-29 (-19.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 314-222 (+56.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CECIL is 20-12 (+13.7 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 642-628 (+66.8 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 27-10 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in road games in June games over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 623-612 (+45.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 (+0.4 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

DAN HAREN vs. TORONTO since 1997
HAREN is 6-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.74 and a WHIP of 1.118.
His team's record is 7-4 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-3. (+4.6 units)

BRETT CECIL vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
CECIL is 1-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 6.43 and a WHIP of 1.393.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.6 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (40 - 35) at NY YANKEES (46 - 28) - 7:05 PM
DYLAN AXELROD (R) vs. IVAN NOVA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 19-5 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in June games this season.
NY YANKEES are 46-23 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 29-13 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NOVA is 12-2 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
NOVA is 12-2 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
NOVA is 10-1 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
NOVA is 9-1 (+7.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 21-14 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 106-88 (+28.0 Units) against the money line in road games in June games since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 60-47 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 17-8 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 34-24 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 25-19 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 252-166 (-65.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DYLAN AXELROD vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
No recent starts.

IVAN NOVA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
NOVA is 2-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 1.37 and a WHIP of 0.966.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

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CLEVELAND (37 - 37) at BALTIMORE (41 - 33) - 7:05 PM
ZACH MCALLISTER (R) vs. WEI-YIN CHEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 202-228 (-60.6 Units) against the money line in June games since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 5-16 (-11.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 41-33 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 38-27 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 29-25 (+8.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 120-119 (+5.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 25-18 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 126-125 (-45.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 285-360 (-97.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ZACH MCALLISTER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

WEI-YIN CHEN vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

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DETROIT (36 - 39) at TAMPA BAY (40 - 35) - 7:10 PM
MAX SCHERZER (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 36-39 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 7-15 (-14.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
DETROIT is 116-182 (-52.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 16-24 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 65-43 (+16.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 13-4 (+10.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 59-34 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-1 (+0.4 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SCHERZER is 0-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.132.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. DETROIT since 1997
SHIELDS is 5-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.169.
His team's record is 7-1 (+5.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.2 units)

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OAKLAND (37 - 39) at TEXAS (47 - 29) - 8:05 PM
TYSON ROSS (R) vs. SCOTT FELDMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 154-101 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 147-94 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 113-67 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 111-68 (+19.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 36-33 (+33.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 since 1997.
FELDMAN is 12-20 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 16-27 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 1-8 (-8.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 16-27 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 11-22 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
FELDMAN is 6-13 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-2 (+3.6 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

TYSON ROSS vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

SCOTT FELDMAN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
FELDMAN is 3-6 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 7.43 and a WHIP of 1.538.
His team's record is 3-7 (-5.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.5 units)

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BOSTON (40 - 35) at SEATTLE (32 - 45) - 10:10 PM
FRANKLIN MORALES (L) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 83-76 (-25.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HERNANDEZ is 25-10 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in June games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 38-23 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MORALES is 8-0 (+9.6 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 99-141 (-30.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 13-21 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SEATTLE is 9-30 (-22.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 13-21 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 20-43 (-18.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-14 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

FRANKLIN MORALES vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 5-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.329.
His team's record is 7-4 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, June 28

Hot pitchers
-- Burnett is 7-0, 2.09 in his last seven starts.
-- Jackson is 3-1, 2.63 in his last four starts.
-- Jurrjens allowed one run in 7.2 IP at Fenway in his first start back from the minors (103 PT).
-- Keuchel is 1-0, 1.29 in his first two MLB starts.
-- Ex-Met Capuano is 1-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.
-- Cueto is 4-0, 1.47 in his last four starts. Bumgarner is 4-0, 3.28 in his last five starts.

-- Cecil is 1-0, 2.45 in his first two starts this season.
-- WChen is 3-1, 2.84 in his last four starts.
-- Nova is 3-0, 1.59 in his last four starts.
-- Scherzer is 1-1, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- FHernandez is 1-0, 1.29 in his last couple starts. Boston won both Morales starts (1-0, 4.09), scoring 15 runs.

Cold pitchers
-- Kendrick is 0-3, 9.00 in his last four starts.
-- Outman is 0-2, 10.06 in his last four starts.
-- Prospect Bauer is making MLB debut; he was 11-1, 2.23 in his 16 starts in minor leagues this season.
-- Padres sent Cashner to AA to become a starter; this is his third start in MLB (2.35 RA in first two). He threw 95 pitches in his last AA start.
-- Young is 1-1, 4.18 in four starts this season.

-- Haren has a 7.56 RA in his last three starts.
-- Axelrod is 0-1, 6.52 in two starts this season.
-- McAllister is 0-1, 4.74 in his last three starts.
-- Shields is 1-2, 6.60 in his last five starts.
-- Ross is 0-4, 6.41 in his last five starts. Feldman is 1-6, 8.23 in his eight starts this season.

Hot Teams
-- Washington won its last two games, scoring 23 runs.
-- Astros won four of their last five games.
-- Giants won four of last five home games, with last four home wins all by shutout- they haven't allowed a run in three games.

-- Angels won eight of their last ten games.
-- Bronx Bombers won 15 of their last 18 games. White Sox won four of their last five.
-- A's won 11 of their last 15 games. Rangers won ten of their last twelve.
-- Red Sox won 11 of their last 14 games.

Cold Teams
-- Phillies are 5-10 in last 15 home games. Pirates lost three of their last four games overall.
-- Colorado lost 16 of its last 20 games.
-- Arizona lost its last four road games, outscored 18-5. Atlanta lost six of its last eight home games, but won last two.
-- Padres lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Mets lost four of their last five games. Dodgers lost nine of last 11.
-- Reds lost six of their last nine games.

-- Blue Jays lost three of their last four games.
-- Indians lost eight of their last nine road games. Baltimore lost three of its last four games.
-- Tampa Bay lost six of its last eight games. Tigers lost four of six.
-- Mariners lost 12 of their last 17 games.

Totals
-- Over is 24-8 in Philly's last 32 games.
-- Six of last eight games at Coors Field went over the total.
-- Under is 10-4-1 in last fifteen Arizona road games.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Houston home games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in Dodgers' last ten games.
-- Seven of last eight Cincinnati games stayed under total.

-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Angel games.
-- Six of last eight White Sox games stayed under total.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in last twelve Cleveland road games.
-- Six of last eight Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Oakland games.
-- Last five Seattle games stayed under the total.

[Udog]

MLB

Thursday, June 28

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Trend Report
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1:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Pittsburgh is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh

3:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. COLORADO
Washington is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Washington is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Colorado is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games
Colorado is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home

7:05 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

7:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games

7:07 PM
LA ANGELS vs. TORONTO
LA Angels are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games on the road
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels

7:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. ATLANTA
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing at home against Arizona

7:10 PM
DETROIT vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Detroit

8:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. HOUSTON
San Diego is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 9 games when playing Houston
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games when playing at home against San Diego

8:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Oakland's last 24 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Texas's last 24 games when playing Oakland
Texas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oakland

10:10 PM
BOSTON vs. SEATTLE
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Boston's last 19 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Seattle's last 19 games when playing at home against Boston

10:10 PM
NY METS vs. LA DODGERS
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games
LA Dodgers are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games at home

10:15 PM
CINCINNATI vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Francisco's last 16 games at home


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[Udog]

MLB

Thursday, June 28

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Thursday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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Streaking

A.J. Burnett, Pittsburgh Pirates (8-2, 3.24 ERA)

Burnett keeps forcing us to include him in this section every time he takes the ball. In his last trip to the hill he fired six shutout innings, allowing only two hits while striking out four. It was his seventh straight win and he has allowed more than two runs just once in the last nine starts. He ranks third in the MLB starter money standings, having earned 9.66 units for his supporters.

Johnny Cueto, Cincinnati Reds (9-3, 2.21 ERA)

Cueto looks to cap off a terrific month Thursday against the San Francisco Giants. He improved to 4-0 in June by blanking the Twins over seven innings while striking out a season-high nine batters. Cueto now has 25 strikeouts over his last three starts and has thrown at least 105 pitches in each of his last five outings.

Slumping

Josh Outman, Colorado Rockies (0-3, 8.64 ERA)

There isn't much in the way of true Slumping pitchers set to go Thursday, but Outman is one to tread carefully with after his start was pushed back a day. He has allowed at least four runs in four of his five starts and gave up five runs in 4 2/3 innings in a no-decision against Texas. He fired 92 pitches in that one, the most he has thrown in a start all year. Outman owns a 9.00 ERA and has allowed four homers in his last three.


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[Udog]

MLB

Thursday, June 28

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Afternoon delight: Best day-game bets in baseball
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What do Superman, your high school calculator and the Detroit Tigers have in common?

They’re all powered by the sun.

That must be the case for Detroit. How else can you explain the Tigers’ flip-flopped 20-16 record in day games and their 16-22 record in the evening?

And, even though Detroit has been much better during the day, it still hasn’t produced profits for bettors. The Tigers are -3.16 units in the hole in the afternoon, which stings less than the -11.17 units burned at night.

Detroit may not be the best day-game bet in baseball, but these five clubs are:

Stats as of June 27, 2012.

Cincinnati Reds (20-9 in day games for 9.98 units)

The Reds are the big surprise of the NL Central, using an insane record in day games to climb to the top of the standings. Cincinnati is hitting at 68 percent during matinees, compared to a sub-.500 record at night (21-23). The Reds’ team ERA dips to 3.30 during the day (from 3.66 in the evening) and they're averaging 4.78 runs in the summer sun, compared to 4.06 at night.

Baltimore Orioles (14-8 in day games for 10.23 units)

The Orioles were the No. 1 stunners in the first quarter of the schedule, dropping jaws all the way to the top of the AL East. Now, Baltimore is coming back to earth, losing five of its last seven. However, the O’s remain the most profitable day-game bet in baseball – for now – bringing in more than 10 of their total 16.34 units under the sun.

New York Mets (18-11 in day games for 8.47 units)

The difference between the Mets at day and night is, well, night and day. New York is just 21-25 under the lights this season, nearly erasing all those day-game earnings. The Mets’ bats heat up from the sun, hitting .272 during the day (fourth best in MLB), compared to .245 at night. David Wright, New York’s finest bat, is hitting .400 with four home runs and 17 RBIs during day action, despite having 70 fewer at-bats than night games.

San Francisco Giants (20-13 in day games for 7.36 units)

When the lights go down in the city and the sun shines on the bay, do I want to be there in my city. Ohoh ohohoh ohoh! You better believe you want to be there in the City by the Bay. The Giants are storming up the NL West standings thanks to a stellar record in day games. San Francisco’s pitchers boast a collective 3.05 ERA in day games – third lowest in baseball. Preach on it Journey.

Chicago White Sox (18-11 in day games for 5.37 units)

The other Chicago club is known more for its day-heavy schedule, but the Southsiders' motto has always been "When it's right, it's right". The White Sox have turned modest profits during day games this season, but are among the most consistent breadwinners during day games for the past four seasons. Chicago has gone 137-111 in matinees since 2008, bringing in more than 19 units for ChiSox bettors.


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[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet

Thursday, June 28

National League

Pittsburgh at Philadelphia, 1:05 ET
Burnett: 10-2 TSR in games played on a grass field
Kendrick: Philadelphia 9-16 SU in June games

Washington at Colorado, 3:10 ET
Jackson: Washington 31-19 SU in June games
Outman: Colorado 1-12 SU after allowing 9 runs or more

Arizona at Atlanta, 7:10 ET MLB
Bauer: Arizona 22-29 SU in night games
Jurrjens: Atlanta 18-9 SU after having won 2 of their last 3

San Diego at Houston, 8:05 ET
Cashner: San Diego 9-22 SU after a game where the BP gave up no runs
Norris: Houston 17-12 SU when the total is 8 to 8.5

NY Mets at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Young: NY Mets 17-8 SU after allowing 2 runs or less
Capuano: LA Dodgers 33-58 SU after scoring 2 runs or less

Cincinnati at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Cueto: 16-4 TSR after a loss
Bumgarner: San Francisco 1-8 SU after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games


American League

LA Angels at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Haren: 5-10 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher
Cecil: 14-5 TSR after 2 or more consecutive losses

Chicago White Sox at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
Axelrod: CHI White Sox 7-0 SU on the road when the total is 10 or higher
Nova: NY Yankees 28-30 SU when the total is 10 or higher

Cleveland at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
McAllister: Cleveland 5-16 SU against left-handed starters
Chen: Baltimore 12-6 SU after 2 or more consecutive overs

Detroit at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET MLB
Scherzer: Detroit 7-15 SU when the total is 8 to 8.5
Shields: Tampa Bay 12-1 SU after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8

Oakland at Texas, 8:05 ET
Ross: Oakland 7-2 SU as a road underdog of +150 to +200
Feldman: Texas 9-15 SU after allowing 9 runs or more

Boston at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Morales: 8-0 TSR after a win
Hernandez: Seattle 9-30 SU when playing on Thursday