The Bum's Sunday's MLB & WNBA Best Bets !

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Diamond Trends - Sunday


June 24, 2012


SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Brewers are 0-12 since May 01, 2011 on the road and it is the last game of a three game series when they split the first two for a net profit of $1272 when playing against.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Dodgers are 0-14 OU since August 27, 2006 after a win in which they had 6 or fewer hits and it is the last game of a series.


STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

The Rangers are 13-0 since May 28, 2011 when Matt Harrison starts as a 140+ favorite after throwing more than 100 pitches for a net profit of $1300.


MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

The Athletics are 0-8 (-3.0 rpg) in database history when they committed at least four errors last game and it wasn’t the season opener.


TODAY’S TRENDS:

The Cubs are 9-0 OU since May 17, 2011 when Matt Garza starts on the road after the team lost their last two games for a net profit of $900 when playing the over.

The Rays are 1-11 O/U in database history (since 2004) the first game of a doubleheader.

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Sunday Night Baseball

June 23, 2012


Interleague play wraps up on Sunday night with a terrific pitching matchup in the Subway Series finale in Flushing. R.A. Dickey is quickly turning into a Cy Young front-runner in the National League with a 11-1 record and ERA of 2.00, as the veteran knuckleballer is spearheading this Mets' rotation. The Mets weren't expected to do much this season in the competitive NL East, but Dickey has turned not only into a reliable pitcher for New York, but also for bettors.

Dickey won just eight games last season in 32 starts, while bouncing back this season with 11 victories in 14 outings. It's been hard to find a pitcher as dominating as Dickey, who hasn't allowed an earned run in his last five starts, as the former University of Tennessee standout is coming off consecutive complete game one-hitters. Each of those gems came against AL East clubs, beating the Rays as a road underdog and the Orioles as a home favorite.

The Yankees send out a Cy Young winner in CC Sabathia (9-3, 3.55 ERA), who has tossed six consecutive starts of at least seven innings. Sabathia is fresh off back-to-back wins over the Braves, including a complete game victory over Atlanta in the Bronx as a $2.00 favorite. The ERA and WHIP blows up on the highway for Sabathia, as the road ERA sits at 4.58 (compared to 2.33 at home) and the away WHIP is 1.44 (compared to 0.99 at home).

This is only the fifth career start against the Mets for Sabathia, with the last three coming as a member of the Yankees. Sabathia is seeing the Mets for the first time since 2010, as the southpaw split a pair of meetings against Johan Santana with the home team winning each time. In fact, since Sabathia lost at Citi Field on May 23, 2010, the Yankees own a spectacular 8-1 mark in his previous nine interleague starts (3-0 on the road).

The Mets are cashing 'unders' at a solid pace when Dickey takes the mound at pitcher-friendly Citi Field by going 6-1 to the 'under' in seven home starts. The last three home outings were shutouts by the Mets, while Dickey is listed as a home favorite for just the fifth time in eight outings. The Mets beat the Yankees twice last season when Dickey started, including a 2-1 victory in the Bronx as $1.85 underdog.

This series has been owned by the home team, who is 4-1 this season, including a close-shave victory by the Mets on Friday. The Mets scored five runs in the first inning off Andy Pettitte, while holding off a Yankees' rally in a 6-4 triumph. The Bronx Bombers grabbed the first three matchups earlier this month, including a walk-off win in the series finale. However, the Yankees rallied from a 3-0 deficit in last night's 4-3 victory as road favorites to improve to 4-1 against the Mets this season.

The Yankees are listed as $1.20 away favorites, while the total is set at 6 ½, shaded to the 'over' at $1.20. The game will be televised nationally on ESPN, starting at 8:00 PM EST from Citi Field.

Interleague Wrap-up


The Rangers dominated the National League in the regular season once again, even though Texas can't figure it out in the World Series. Ron Washington's team won five of six games against cross-state rival Houston, while knocking off weak sisters San Diego and Colorado convincingly. Texas begins post interleague play against Detroit on Monday in a rematch of last October's ALCS, which was won by the Rangers in six games.


The Angels made a nice comeback over the last few weeks thanks to interleague action, by posting an 11-5 mark. The Halos swept the Rockies in Colorado, while winning three of the first four meetings with the rival Dodgers. Jered Weaver returned from the disabled list to shut down the Giants last Thursday, as the Angels' pitching staff has the cashed the 'under' in seven of the previous 10 interleague games.


Not one team dominated from the National League, but the one club that stuck out in a negative way was the Colorado Rockies. Jim Tracy's squad won just two of 14 games, including Saturday's surprising blowout of Texas. The Rockies lost all nine games at home, while getting swept by the Mariners and Athletics. Colorado has sunk to near the bottom of the NL West before the end of June, as the Rockies welcome in the Nationals for a four-game series starting Monday.

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, June 24

AL teams were 5-9 Saturday, they're 131-106 against NL teams in interleague play this season, 11-16 this weekend, with one day to go.

Remember there are DHs in games in American League parks, no DHs in National League parks. It doesn't seem to affect totals either way.

Hot pitchers
-- Miley is 2-1, 1.19 in his last three starts.
-- Price is 3-1, 3.73 in his last five starts.
-- Leake is 3-0, 3.35 in his last seven starts.
-- Verlander is 2-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Minor is 1-1, 2.95 in his last three starts.
-- Lynn is 4-2, 3.75 in his last six starts.
-- Quintana has a 1.57 RA in his last four starts.
-- McCarthy is 3-0, 1.35 in three starts since coming off the DL. Cain is 5-0, 2.27 in his last five starts.
-- Richards is 2-0, 1.35 in three starts this season.
-- Harrison is 6-0, 1.43 in his last six starts.
-- Dickey is 6-0, 0.37 in his last six starts. Sabathia is 4-1, 3.89 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Garza is 1-4, 7.03 in his last six starts.
-- Lee is 0-2, 4.87 in his last six starts. Hamels is 2-2, 6.07 in his last four starts. Cobb is 1-3, 4.91 in his last four starts,
-- Diamond is 0-2, 6.35 in his last couple starts.
-- Arrieta is 1-5, 7.99 in his last six starts. Detwiler is 1-2, 7.53 in his last four starts.
-- Cook allowed seven runs in 2.2 IP in his only start this season.
-- Correia is 2-6, 5.11 in his last ten starts.
-- Buehrle is 0-4, 5.48 in his last four starts. Chavez allowed four runs in his 2.2 IP in his first '12 start.
-- Happ is 1-4, 6.59 in his last five starts. Lowe is 1-4, 8.13 in his last six outings.
-- JSanchez is 0-3, 6.29 in his last seven starts.
-- Fiers is 1-2, 4.50 in his last three starts.
-- Harang is 1-1, 4.32 in his last three starts.
-- Volquez is 1-2, 7.02 in his last three starts. Noesi is 0-5, 5.51 in his last eight outings.
-- White is 0-2, 8.56 in his last three starts.

Hot Teams
-- Arizona won nine of its last ten home games.
-- Blue Jays won six of their last eight games.
-- Nationals won 15 of their last 21 road games.
-- Pittsburgh won 12 of its last 14 home games.
-- Mets won four of their last five games.
-- Braves won three of their last four games. Red Sox won eight of their last ten games.
-- Indians won four of their last five games.
-- Rangers won six of their last seven games, scoring 47 runs.
-- Brewers are 5-3 in their last eight games.
-- St Louis won three of its last four games. Royals won seven of their last eleven games, but lost last two.
-- San Francisco is 6-4 in its last ten road games. A's won eight of their last eleven games, but lost last two.
-- Angels won five of their last seven games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost 18 of their last 22 road games.
-- Baltimore lost four of its last five games, scoring six runs.
-- Tigers lost three of their last four games.
-- Phillies lost 11 of their last 16 home games. Tampa Bay lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Miami lost 15 of its last 17 games.
-- Twins lost seven of their last ten games. Cincinnati lost four of its last five games.
-- Bronx Bombers lost three of their last four games.
-- Houston lost six of its last eight games.
-- Rockies lost 13 of their last 16 games.
-- White Sox lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Mariners lost nine of their last thirteen games. San Diego lost six of its last eight games.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last seven games.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Miley starts stayed under total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Washington games.
-- Over in 10-5 in Detroit's last fifteen road games.
-- Over is 20-7 in Philly's last 27 games.
-- Five of last six Toronto road games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven games at Citi Field stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last 14 Cincinnati home games went over the total.
-- Under is 10-4-1 in Atlanta's last fifteen road games.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Cleveland road games.
-- Over is 9-4-1 in last fourteen Texas home games.
-- Six of last eight Milwaukee road games stayed under.
-- 10 of last 14 St Louis games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last thirteen Seattle road games went over the total.
-- 13 of Giants' last 17 road games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Dodger games stayed under the total.

Umpires
-- Chi-Az-- Four of last five Barry games went over the total.
-- Tor-Mia-- Road team won seven of eight LBarrett games.
-- StL-KC-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven West games.
-- Col-Tex-- Over is 5-2-1 in Bell's last eight games behind plate.
-- TB-Phil-- Five of last six Carapazza games stayed under total; Favorites won Hoye's last five games behind the plate.
-- Cle-Hst-- Baker is a rookie umpire; no info on him. Pretty sure this is his first big league game behind the plate.
-- Det-Pitt-- Over is 3-1-1 in Foster's last five games.
-- Min-Cin-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Michlinski games.
-- NY-NY-- Under is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Runge games; he's already worked plate for two no-hitters this season.
-- Atl-Bos-- Road team won eight of last nine Porter games, with four of his last five staying under total.
-- Wsh-Balt-- This is Rackley's first game behind plate this year; over was 7-4 in 11 games he worked last season.
-- LA-LA-- Under is 8-3-2 in Bucknor games this season.
-- Mil-Chi-- Home team won five of six Campos games this season.
-- SF-A's-- Road team won seven of last nine Gorman games.
-- Sea-SD-- Home side won ten of last twelve Carlson games.

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MLB

Sunday, June 24

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Tampa Bay - 1:05 PM ET Tampa Bay +114 500
Philadelphia - Over 7.5 500

Toronto - 1:10 PM ET Toronto +131 500
Miami - Over 9 500

Minnesota - 1:10 PM ET Minnesota +145 500
Cincinnati - Over 9 500

Washington - 1:35 PM ET Baltimore -120 500
Baltimore - Under 9 500

Atlanta - 1:35 PM ET Boston -104 500
Boston - Under 10.5 500

Detroit - 1:35 PM ET Pittsburgh +166 500
Pittsburgh - Over 7 500

Cleveland - 2:05 PM ET Cleveland +107 500
Houston - Over 9 500

Milwaukee - 2:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -132 500
Chi. White Sox - Over 9 500

St. Louis - 2:10 PM ET Kansas City +136 500
Kansas City - Over 9.5 500

LA Dodgers - 3:35 PM ET LA Angels -172 500
LA Angels - Over 8 500

San Francisco - 4:05 PM ET San Francisco -120 500
Oakland - Under 6 500

Seattle - 4:05 PM ET San Diego -130 500
San Diego - Over 7.5 500

Chi. Cubs - 4:10 PM ET Chi. Cubs +143 500
Arizona - Over 8.5 500

Colorado - 7:05 PM ET Texas -238 500
Texas - Over 11 500

NY Yankees - 8:00 PM ET NY Mets +100 500
NY Mets - Over 7 500

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WNBA

Sunday, June 24

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Atlanta - 4:00 PM ET New York -7 500
New York - Over 147 500

Washington - 7:00 PM ET Seattle -9 500
Seattle - Under 139.5 500

San Antonio - 8:30 PM ET San Antonio +6 500
Los Angeles - Over 160 500