Announcement

**StarDust Bum** · 06-19-2012, 06:45 PM

Santana looks to retain home dominance

BALTIMORE ORIOLES (39-28)

at NEW YORK METS (36-32)

First pitch: Tuesday, 7:10 p.m. EDT
Line: New York -155, Baltimore +145, Total: 8

After R.A. Dickey’s second consecutive one-hitter in Monday’s series opener, the Mets will look to blank the Orioles again in the middle game of a three-game set at Citi Field on Tuesday night.

Johan Santana takes the hill for the Mets, having struggled in his past two starts (9.00 ERA) since he threw a no-hitter in his last home start. The good news for him is that those two poor outings were on the road and he has been far better at Citi Field this year (1.30 ERA, 0.91 WHIP), than away from home (6.37 ERA, 1.48 WHIP). On Tuesday, he’ll faces Tommy Hunter, who has a 5.58 ERA on the season. The bad news for Baltimore is that he’s even worse on the road with an 8.31 ERA and 1.81 WHIP. And in his past three starts (2 at home, 1 on road), he has a 7.31 ERA and .343 opponents’ BA. While the Orioles have been strong against left-handed starters this season at 11-6 (.647), the Mets have dominated righty starters in a larger sample size at 28-17 (.622). The Mets are also 4-0 against the Orioles over the past three seasons and even as significant favorites, should be the play here. Take NEW YORK to win again.

This rare four-star FoxSheets trend also favors the Mets:

Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (BALTIMORE) - after a game where they had 4 or less hits, with a rested bullpen - threw 5 innings or less over last 3 games. (42-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.7%, +31.5 units. Rating = 4*).

Hunter has never started against the Mets in his career, and averaging fewer than six innings per start this season, will need help from his bullpen. Fortunately, Baltimore relievers have been willing to oblige him with a fantastic 2.39 ERA and 1.10 WHIP on the season. Those numbers are even better away from home with a 1.67 ERA and 0.99 WHIP to go along with a perfect 9-0 record. Still, their floundering offense with just nine total runs over their past four outings make the O’s a sketchy play.

Santana does not have the same benefit of an elite bullpen with Mets’ relievers sporting a 5.40 ERA and 1.54 WHIP on the season. However, they have been better at home with a 4.23 ERA and 1.42 WHIP at Citi Field. The Mets offense has also been cold with just 10 runs in their past four games, but hopefully with the emergence of 1B Ike Davis, who hit a grand slam in their 5-0 win over Baltimore last night, they can continue to pick up the offensive production. Davis, who has a .196 BA for the season, is currently on a tear, batting .462 with 2 HR and 11 RBI in his past nine games. Take the home favorites here.

**StarDust Bum** · 06-19-2012, 06:50 PM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, June 19

AL teams were 3-6 Monday, they're 99-78 against NL teams in interleague play this season, with six days to go.

Remember there are DHs in games in American League parks, no DHs in National League parks. It doesn't seem to affect totals either way.

As I type this at 2:25am late Monday night, neither Houston-Milwaukee had named a starting pitcher for Tuesday's game.

Hot pitchers
-- Kuroda is 3-0, 1.29 in his last four starts. THudson is 1-1, 1.80 in his last couple starts, but he did miss a start with an injured foot in between those two games.
-- Reds won five of last six Leake starts (3-0, 4.25).
-- Lynn is 4-1, 3.00 in his last five starts. Verlander is 1-0, 2.57 in his last couple starts.
-- Price is 2-2, 3.16 in his last five starts.
-- Diamond is 2-1, 3.32 in his last three starts.
-- Buchholz is 3-0, 1.45 in his last four starts.
-- Peavy has a 2.79 RA in his last three starts.
-- Angels won last five Wilson starts (3-0, 0.77).
-- McCarthy is 5-0, 2.31 in his last six starts. Harang is 2-0, 2.84 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Hamels is 1-2, 7.71 in his last three starts. Outman is 0-1, 11.25 in his last couple starts.
-- Tomlin is 2-2, 6.95 in his last four starts.
-- Wang is 1-2, 5.02 in three starts this season.
-- Correia is 1-6, 5.65 in his last nine starts.
-- Hunter is 1-1, 8.00 in his last four starts.
-- JSantana is 1-1, 9.00 in two starts since his no-hitter.
-- Buehrle is 0-3, 4.00 in his last three starts.
-- Hochevar is 0-4, 5.45 in his last six starts. WRodriguez has a 9.28 RA in his last four starts.
-- Wood is 0-3, 4.59 in six starts this season.
-- DHudson has a 5.40 RA in his last four starts. Ramirez allowed six runs in five IP in his first '12 start.
-- Zito is 0-2, 7.36 in his last couple starts.
-- Feldman is 0-6, 9.31 in seven starts this season. Volquez is 1-4, 4.98 in his last six starts.

Hot Teams
-- Cincinnati won six of its last seven games.
-- Detroit won six of its last eight games. Cardinals won three of their last four road games.
-- Tampa Bay won last four road games, scoring 29 runs.
-- Pirates won eight of their last nine home games.
-- Bronx won its last ten games, scoring 52 runs.
-- Orioles won ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Red Sox won four of their last five games.
-- Royals won five of their last seven games.
-- Brewers won five of their last six home games. Toronto won three of its last four games.
-- Rangers won seven of their last eight games.
-- Diamondbacks won their last six home games.
-- Angels won seven of their last ten games. Giants are 5-3 in their last eight away games.
-- Oakland won five of its last six games. Dodgers won six of their last seven road games.

Cold Teams
-- Rockies lost 10 of their last 11 games; Phillies lost 12 of last 15.
-- Cleveland lost six of its last nine games.
-- Nationals lost last three games, scoring six runs.
-- Twins lost four of their last five games.
-- Braves lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Mets lost three of their last four games.
-- Miami lost ten of its last twelve games.
-- Astros lost 15 of their last 21 games.
-- Cubs lost 12 of their last 17 games. White Sox lost five of six.
-- Mariners lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Padres lost five of their last six home games.

Totals
-- Five of last six Hamels starts went over the total.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven Bronx home games.
-- Eight of last ten Cleveland home games went over total.
-- Seven of Lynn's last nine starts went over the total.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Price starts.
-- Over is 9-4 in last thirteen Pittsburgh games.
-- Five of last six Baltimore games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Buehrle starts went over the total.
-- Ten of last eleven Houston games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of Cubs' last thirteen games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Seattle road games went over the total.
-- Nine of last thirteen San Diego games went over the total.
-- Six of Angels' last seven games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-3 in Harang's last eleven starts.

**StarDust Bum** · 06-19-2012, 07:13 PM

MLB

Tuesday, June 19

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Atlanta - 7:05 PM ET Atlanta +129 500
NY Yankees - Under 9 500

Tampa Bay - 7:05 PM ET Tampa Bay -136 500
Washington - Under 7.5 500

Colorado - 7:05 PM ET Colorado +210 500
Philadelphia - Over 7.5 500

Cincinnati - 7:05 PM ET Cleveland -104 500
Cleveland - Over 9.5 500

St. Louis - 7:05 PM ET St. Louis +141 500
Detroit - Over 7.5 500

Minnesota - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh -101 500
Pittsburgh - Over 8.5 500

Baltimore - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets -150 500
NY Mets - Under 7.5 500

Miami - 7:10 PM ET Miami +137 500
Boston - Under 9.5 500

Kansas City - 8:05 PM ET Houston -120 500
Houston - Under 8 500

Toronto - 8:10 PM ET Milwaukee -120 500
Milwaukee - Under 9.5 500

Chi. Cubs - 8:10 PM ET Chi. Cubs +184 500
Chi. White Sox - Under 9 500

Seattle - 9:40 PM ET Seattle +152 500
Arizona - Over 9 500

San Francisco - 10:05 PM ET San Francisco +192 500
LA Angels - Over 7 500

LA Dodgers - 10:05 PM ET Oakland -117 500
Oakland - Under 7 500

Texas - 10:05 PM ET Texas -126 500
San Diego - Over 7 500

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