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**StarDust Bum** · 06-18-2012, 07:01 PM

Weekly Betting Notes

June 18, 2012

The New York Yankees have won nine games in a row through Sunday and in the process, their future odds have been cut in half. At the beginning of that streak, the LVH Super Book had the Yankees posted at 10-to-1 odds to win the World Series and now they currently listed at 5-to-1 as a co-favorite to win it all with the two-time defending American League champion Texas Rangers.

The Yankees (40-25) just swept three straight series of three games or more for the first time since 1998, a year they walked away with one of their 27 championships, and they did it all against National League teams. This is nothing new for the Yankees, who own the best interleague record (167-109) in MLB history. After sweeping the Mets, the Yankees also took down the Braves, followed by the first-place Nationals over the weekend. The Nationals had a six-game winning going into that series.

With six more interleague games to go, the Yankees probably wish they could keep slapping the NL around for a little longer as they’ve gone 10-2 this season.

But the Yankees rise to the top began after a three-game losing streak on May 21 when they were tied for last in the AL East with a 21-21 record. In the time span since, the Yankees have gone 19-4 using a steady dose of a winning baseball formula with everyone contributing and getting outstanding starting pitching.

A new hero seems to come up with a key hit every game and the pitching staff has allowed four runs or more only twice in the in the 19 wins since May 22nd.

“You feel like your guys are going to get it done when you’re playing as well as we are,” Yankees manager Joe Girardi told reporters after the Washington series. “No matter what the situation is, you feel like you’re going to get it done.”

It hasn’t mattered whether Andy Pettitte, Hiroki Kuroda or Phil Hughes is pitching, the Yankees just get the job done. While C.C. Sabathia continues to pile up wins in his traditional consistent fashion, the standout through the streak has been Ivan Nova who has started a streak of his own going 5-0 with a 2.50 ERA during the Yankees 19-4 run.

“I’ve got five in a row, but we’ve got nine in a row,” Nova told reporters. “That’s amazing for me, the way I feel right now. I’m so happy the way we’ve been throwing the ball.”

Nova pitches again on Saturday in Queens against Chris Young and the Mets. Before that series the Yankees have a three-game set in the Stadium against the Braves.

We're only in June with lots of baseball to go, but it seems like we've seen this story before out of the Yankees and it usually plays out with the final scene happening deep into the playoffs.

Because of the Yankees current form, it could be a strong argument that the Yankees are baseball's best team right now. The Las Vegas odds certainly say they are, but we'll see what their made of when they finish off wiping out NL teams and get back to their own league. The four series they play just before the All-Star break are against the Indians, White Sox, Rays, and the always tough Red Sox.

Dodgers Saturday Streak is Over
The Dodgers streak of winning 10 consecutive Saturday games to begin the season is over after a 5-4 loss to the White Sox over the weekend. The streak was just one of those freak things that happened to come out of good consistent play by the Dodgers, but there may a little more it and says a lot about the make-up of this years Dodgers squad.

The Dodgers (42-25) don’t seem to find themselves in many losing streaks which is why they have the best record in baseball. Saturday is usually the second game of a series and in four instances, the Dodgers were coming off a Friday night loss. They’ve only had six instances this season of losing two games or more and in only one stretch did the Dodgers lose three or more.

Because of their consistent nature, the Dodgers are 8-to-1 to win the World Series, the second choice to come out of the NL behind the Central leading Reds who are 7-to-1.

Help is on the Way Philly
The Phillies have lost 12 of their past 15 games, but there is some good news on the horizon, which is why despite being in last-place in the NL East, the Phillies are still listed at moderately low odds of 25-to-1 to win the World Series. Consider that teams above the Phillies such as the Marlins (30/1) and Mets (40/1) both have higher odds.

The reason for some possible optimism comes with the possibility of their heart and soul of the team returning to the lineup soon. The Phillies have lost 13 players to the disabled list this season, but the biggest impact was not having Ryan Howard at first base and Chase Utley at second base. Both players are rehabbing at the Phillies’ spring training facilities in Clearwater, Fla. with progress being made. Howard homered twice in an intra-squad game and Utley got in four innings of work.

More good news for Phillies fans is that Roy Halladay threw for the first time in over three weeks over the weekend.

It’s still not too late for the Phillies (31-37) to make some noise and they have the added incentive of having an extra wild card spot beginning with this seasons playoffs. They are currently only nine games out of first, but need their swagger back. Getting a healthy Howard, Utley, and Halladay back just might be the ticket to make a big run after the All-Star break.

**StarDust Bum** · 06-18-2012, 07:03 PM

Diamond Trends - Monday

June 18, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Brewers are 18-0 since April 22, 2011 at home after a loss in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent and did not hold a 5+ run lead for a net profit of $1802.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Cubs are 12-0-1 OU since April 08, 2011 on the road after a loss in which they allowed 12+ hits for a net profit of $1210 when playing the over.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

The Giants are 0-10 OU since May 23, 2009 when Matt Cain starts as a road favorite after going at least 6 innings and giving up no home runs and ts:site=home for a net profit of $1000 when playing the under.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

C.C Sabathia has produced a team record of 16-0 (4.8 rpg) since May 2009 as a favorite when his team is in the first game of a series with no rest, if he allowed fewer than 7 runs in his last start.

TODAY’S TRENDS:

The Astros are 0-8 since June 03, 2011 when J.A. Happ starts in June for a net profit of $803 when playing against.
The Mets are 5-0 since May 20, 2011 when R.A. Dickey starts vs a team that has won at least their last two games and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $715.

**StarDust Bum** · 06-18-2012, 07:06 PM

Hot and Not

June 18, 2012

With the final week of interleague play set to go, it means the All Star break is just around the corner! Division leaders managed to build upon their leads over the past week, so it will be interesting to see what transpires over the course of the next seven days. The following is a list of the hottest and coldest teams entering the eleventh week of the season.

$$$-Makers

New York Yankees (6-0, $603): Slowly but surely, Manager Joe Girardi has seen a majority of his squad get nursed back to full health, and with that the case, the team with the highest payroll in all of baseball has played like the team with the highest payroll in all of baseball. After rattling off a 6-0 week, the Yanks will head into Monday night's series opener with the Atlanta Braves the proud owners of a nine-game winning streak ($903). They've won 13 of their 15 June tussles ($1110) and now possess a 1.5-game lead atop the AL East standings. No point in getting in front of this runaway train!

On The Docket: The Yankees will close out their 2012 interleague schedule versus the NL East with three vs. the Braves at home before heading to Flushing to close out the "Subway Series" with the Mets; the Bronx Bombers are 10-2 ($680) vs. the NL this season.

Cincinnati Reds (6-0, $610): After dropping two of three to the Detroit Tigers, Manager Dusty Baker's squad let it be known that they are one of the top tiered teams in the National League after taking it to the in-state rival Indians at home before going to New York and sweeping a Mets outfit that just went into Tropicana Field and swept the Rays. If the starting pitching staff continues to rattle off quality efforts, and the offense continues to mash, the Reds just might find themselves back in the postseason after a year hiatus.

On The Docket: Cincy will finish off its regular season rivalry with the Tribe at Progressive Field before turning its attention to the Minnesota Twins back at home to close out interleague play; the Reds have won six of their nine games vs. the AL ($380) and possess +$$$ returns both home (20-13) and away (18-14).

Baltimore Orioles (5-1, $598): We admit, after the O's dropped seven of eight through early June, we started to lose faith that Manager Buck Showalter's squad had the intestinal fortitude to compete with the rest of the AL East for the season's entirety - boy were we wrong! Since that point, Baltimore has won each of its next four series played, and just closed out a week that saw them sweep what was a red hot Pittsburgh Pirates squad at home before taking two of three from the Braves at Turner Field. This club just might possess some staying power after all!

On The Docket: It doesn't get any easier for Adam Jones and his mates this week as they must travel to New York to battle a Mets squad that was just swept, and follow it up with a Nationals team at home that just got humbled by the Yankees; Baltimore took two of three from Washington in the rivals first go round. Lock us in as season-long believers if a +.500 record is achieved during this stretch!

Honorable Mentions: Kansas City Royals (5-1, $571), Oakland A's (5-1, $363), Texas Rangers (5-1, $356), Boston Red Sox (4-2, $174), Detroit Tigers (4-2, $113)

$$$-Burners

Atlanta Braves (1-5, -$479): The month of June has been truly unkind to the Braves who've split their seven overall games ($20), but in doing so, have fallen four-games in back of the Washington Nationals for the top spot in the NL East. Injuries have plagued Manager Fredi Gonzalez's squad. Brian McCann, Chipper Jones, and Freddie Freeman were all expected to shoulder the major scoring load for this offense, but unfortunately, the trio hasn't been able to get going due to a myriad of injuries ranging from blurred vision to the flu.

On The Docket: Making matters worse for this snake-bitten outfit is a six-game road trip that will take them to Yankee Stadium and Fenway Park for their next six games; Atlanta's 20-14 on the road ($727) but just 5-7 vs. the American League (-$230).

Cleveland Indians (1-5, -$474): We're now two and a half months into the regular season, and still, we never know what to expect from the Tribe every time they step onto a baseball diamond. They can go out and win road series against Detroit and St. Louis one week, and then go out and get swept by their in-state rivals before returning home and dropping two of three to the Buccos. Consistent is a term that will never be brought up with the 2012 version of the Indians, and until Manager Manny Acta's roster figures it out, consider them a pretender moving forward.

On The Docket: The Indians will look to pay the Reds back for the sweep they were handed in the rivals first go round before closing their interleague schedule out at Houston; Cleveland's dropped four of its 12 overall games versus NL opposition (-$490).

Colorado Rockies (1-5, -$371): Since finding themselves on the "$$$-Makers" list a couple weeks back, Manager Jim Tracy's Rockies reside on the "$$$-Burners" list for the second consecutive week after losing all but one of their interleague match-ups over the last seven days. A couple more losses paired with Cubs wins, and the Rockies will be the not so proud owners of the worst money mark in the league!

On The Docket: The Rockies get a day off to reevaluate their situation before traveling to Philadelphia to battle the also struggling Phillies. Unfortunately, they have to close out their interleague schedule in Arlington against the Texas Rangers through the weekend; the Rox check in 1-11 versus the AL to date (-$1130).

Dishonorable Mentions: Houston Astros (1-5, -$390), Miami Marlins (2-4, -$196), Minnesota Twins (2-4, -$213), Chicago Cubs (2-4, -$158), Chicago White Sox (2-4, -$127)

**StarDust Bum** · 06-18-2012, 07:08 PM

Sabathia tries to lead Yanks to 10th straight win

ATLANTA BRAVES (35-31)

at NEW YORK YANKEES (40-25)

First pitch: Monday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
Line: New York -195, Atlanta +182, Total: 9

The Yankees go for their 10th straight win, all versus National League clubs, when they host the slumping Braves Monday in the opener of a three-game set.

Atlanta has lost six of its past seven games, which includes dropping all three meetings with New York last Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. It also includes getting shut out in the past two games to the Orioles. Although the pitching matchup is a bit lopsided with Braves lefty Mike Minor carrying a 6.01 ERA and Yankees southpaw CC Sabathia sporting a 3.70 ERA (2.41 at home), Minor has pitched very well in June, allowing just two runs in 12.1 innings. His last start was on Tuesday against these same Yankees and he held them to one run on five hits in 7.1 strong innings. He fanned four and walked just one batter. Sabathia also took the hill that game and the Braves hit him pretty well with 10 hits and four runs in seven innings. Also, Atlanta’s hitting slump has come in pitcher-friendly Turner Field, and the club should be able to bust out in Yankee Stadium, a hitter’s haven. With such a great payoff, the pick here is ATLANTA to improve upon its stellar 20-14 road record (fifth-best in majors) with a series-opening victory.

This rare four-star FoxSheets trend shows that Braves manager Fredi Gonzalez knows how to win games as a huge underdog:

GONZALEZ is 20-12 (62.5%, +27.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 in all games he has managed since 1997. The average score was GONZALEZ 4.2, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 4*).

Minor (3-4, 6.01 ERA, 1.42 WHIP) has certainly had his troubles on the road this season (6.58 ERA, 1.59 WHIP), but his last away outing was a good one. On June 7, he limited Miami to one run in five innings in an 8-2 blowout win. Despite his poor road numbers, the Braves are still 5-2 when Minor takes the mound as the visitor. And although his bullpen blew his win opportunity in his last start against New York, which he left with a 4-0 lead, Atlanta relievers have been great this year on the road with a 2.61 ERA, converting 14-of-16 save chances. But it’s tough to win games when you don’t hit, and the Braves are in a major slump with just 2.0 runs per game and a .303 on-base percentage during their 1-6 slide. They will probably be missing 1B Freddie Freeman (sore finger) for a fifth straight game too, but 2B Dan Uggla (11 HR, 41 RBI) has a good chance to break out of his 1-for-18 slump considering he’s reached base four times (1 double, 3 walks) in five plate appearances versus Sabathia.

Sabathia (8-3, 3.70 ERA, 1.27 WHIP) hasn’t been particularly sharp recently, allowing 3+ runs in five of his past six starts. He has a 3.95 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in this six-start span. However, Sabathia is always tough to beat in Yankee Stadium and this year is no exception as he carts an impressive 2.41 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in his five starts in Pinstripes. He has faced the Braves three times in his career, posting a 3.80 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Sabathia expects to be supported by a bunch of runs considering his team is scoring 5.1 runs per game with a .338 OBP and .449 slugging percentage during the nine-game win streak. However, the club will likely be missing OF Nick Swisher, who is nursing a quad injury. Swisher hit a game-winning homer in the eighth inning off Cory Gearrin in the last meeting when Minor started.

**StarDust Bum** · 06-18-2012, 07:14 PM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, June 18

Series won-lost records are now below the daily wrteup.......

AL teams were 21-7 Saturday/Sunday, they're 96-72 against NL teams in interleague play this season, with one week to go.

Remember there are DHs in games in American League parks, no DHs in National League parks. It doesn't seem to affect totals either way.

Hot pitchers
-- Minor is 1-0, 1.42 in his last couple starts. Sabathia is 3-1, 4.50 in his last four starts.
-- Dickey is 5-0, 0.45 in his last five starts.
-- Wolf is 0-0, 1.32 in his last couple starts.
-- Miley is 4-2, 2.53 in his last six starts.
-- Harrison is 5-0, 1.42 in his last five starts. Marquis is 1-1, 2.92 in two starts for the Padres.
-- Cain is 7-0, 2.54 in his last seven starts; he tossed a perfect game in his last start.

Cold pitchers
-- Latos has a 6.75 RA in his last four starts; despite that, Cincinnati still won his last five outings, scoring 34 runs. Lowe is 1-4, 7.27 in his last five starts.
-- Arrieta is 1-4, 8.77 in his last five starts.
-- Toronto lost last six Alvarez starts (0-4, 6.21).
-- Happ is 0-4, 7.59 in his last four starts. JSanchez was 0-2, 7.52 in his last five starts, before going on the DL.
-- Garza is 0-4, 7.62 in his last five starts.
-- Noesi is 0-3, 5.26 in his last five starts.
-- Williams is 2-3, 5.23 in his last five starts.

Hot Teams
-- Cincinnati won its last six games, scoring 38 runs.
-- Bronx won its last nine games, scoring 46 runs.
-- Orioles won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Royals won five of their last six games.
-- Brewers won four of their last five home games. Toronto won its last three games, allowing seven runs.
-- Rangers won six of their last seven games.
-- Angels won seven of their last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Cleveland lost six of its last eight games.
-- Braves lost six of their last seven games.
-- Mets lost their last three games, scoring five runs.
-- Astros lost 15 of their last 20 games.
-- Cubs lost 12 of their last 16 games. White Sox lost four of five.
-- Arizona lost its last two games, both by 2-0 scores. Mariners lost six of their last eight games.
-- Padres lost four of their last five home games.
-- Giants lost three of their last four games.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Cleveland home games went over total.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Bronx home games.
-- Four of last five Baltimore games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last ten Houston games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of Cubs' last twelve games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Seattle road games went over the total.
-- Nine of last twelve San Diego games went over the total.
-- Angels' last six games stayed under the total.

2012 baseball series records

thru 6/11 Home Away Total
Arizona 4-6 4-4-2 8-10-2
Atlanta 4-2-3 7-3-1 11-5-4
Cubs 4-5 0-8-3 4-13-3
Cincinnati 5-4-1 5-3-2 10-7-3
Colorado 6-4-1 1-7-1 7-11-2
Houston 5-6 1-8 6-14
Dodgers 7-2-1 5-4-1 12-6-2
Miami 5-3-2 5-4-1 10-7-3
Milwaukee 5-6 2-6-1 7-12-1
Mets 5-4-1 4-6 9-10-1
Philadelphia 3-6-1 5-4-1 8-10-2
Pittsburgh 7-3 3-4-3 10-7-3
St Louis 5-3-1 5-5-1 10-8-2
San Diego 3-6-2 0-8-1 3-14-3
San Francisco 7-2-2 5-3-1 12-5-3
Washington 5-2-3 7-3 12-5-3
Baltimore 5-4-1 7-3 12-7-1
Boston 4-7 5-3-1 9-10-1
White Sox 4-6-1 4-3-2 8-9-3
Cleveland 4-6-1 7-2 11-8-1
Detroit 4-5-1 3-5-2 7-10-3
Kansas City 2-6-1 6-3-2 8-9-3
Angels 4-3-3 4-6 8-9-3
Minnesota 3-5-2 4-5-1 7-10-3
Bronx 7-2-1 4-4-2 11-6-3
A's 3-4-2 3-6-3 6-10-5
Seattle 4-4 5-7-1 9-11-1
Tampa Bay 5-3-2 5-5 10-8-2
Texas 5-3-1 6-5 11-8-1
Toronto 6-4 3-4-3 9-8-3

**StarDust Bum** · 06-18-2012, 07:25 PM

MLB

Monday, June 18

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Atlanta - 7:05 PM ET NY Yankees -195 500
NY Yankees - Over 9 500

Cincinnati - 7:05 PM ET Cincinnati -107 500
Cleveland - Under 8.5 500

Baltimore - 7:10 PM ET Baltimore +163 500
NY Mets - Over 7.5 500

Kansas City - 8:05 PM ET Kansas City +110 500
Houston - Over 8.5 500

Toronto - 8:10 PM ET Toronto -104 500
Milwaukee - Over 9 500

Chi. Cubs - 8:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox -121 500 Chi. White Sox - Over 8.5 500

Seattle - 9:40 PM ET Seattle +155 500
Arizona - Over 9 500

San Francisco - 10:05 PM ET San Francisco -105 500
LA Angels - Over 7 500

Texas - 10:05 PM ET Texas -175 500
San Diego - Under 7.5 500

Announcement

The Bum's Monday's MLB Best Bets !

The Bum's Monday's MLB Best Bets !

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