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**Udog** · 06-04-2012, 08:44 AM

Monday's betting tips: Devils-Kings on under roll

Weather to watch

Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants – A 17-mph wind will be blowing out to left-center at AT&T Park Monday afternoon. There’s a 40 percent chance of showers, with temperatures hovering in the mid-50s.

Who’s hot

NBA: OKC is 20-6 ATS in its last 26 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points.

NHL: The under is 6-0-1 in the last seven Devils-Kings games.

MLB: The Dodgers are 6-0 in Clayton Kershaw’s last six starts vs. winning teams.

MLB: The D-Backs are 7-2 in Joe Saunders’ last nine starts vs. losing teams.

Who’s not

NBA: The under is 2-6 in the last eight Thunder-Spurs games.

NHL: The Kings are 0-7 in their last seven games as a favorite of -151 to -200.

MLB: St. Louis is 5-16 in Kyle Lohse’s last 21 road starts vs. winning teams.

MLB: Texas is 1-10 in Scott Feldman’s last 11 starts vs. AL West teams.

Key stat

49.7 – That’s the percentage of baskets that the Thunder had assists on during the regular season, an NBA low. But in Game 4, OKC assisted on 27 of 44 field goals (61.3 percent). Kevin Durant dished out eight assists, his most since April 9. Game 5 is Monday night in San Antonio.

Injuries that shouldn’t be overlooked

Brewers left fielder Ryan Braun and third baseman Aramis Ramirez got the day off Sunday to rest minor injuries. Ramirez strained his left quadriceps on Saturday, and Braun is dealing with a tight right Achilles. Milwaukee is off Monday, and it’s unclear whether the team’s Nos. 3 and 4 hitters will play in Tuesday’s opener against the Cubs.

Game of the day

Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs (-5, 202.5)

Notable quotable

“It’s embarrassing the way we play on the power play. We think it’s going to be easy, but we have to work, we have to be sharp.” – forward Ilya Kovalchuk, whose Devils trail the Kings 2-0 heading into Monday’s Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Finals. New Jersey is 0-for-6 with the man advantage in this series after going 3-for-23 in the conference finals against the Rangers.

Notes and tips

Braves catcher Brian McCann, who was hit in the left knee by a Jonny Venters wild pitch on Saturday, sat out Sunday but hopes to return to the lineup following Monday’s off day. The All-Star is having a subpar season, hitting .248 with seven homers and 28 RBIs.

Red Sox second baseman Dustin Pedroia (thumb) plans to be back in the lineup Tuesday, wearing a molded plastic brace under his batting glove. Boston is off Monday. Pedroia is hitting .295 with five homers, 21 RBIs and 30 runs scored.

Blue Jays DH Edwin Encarnacion left Sunday's game after being hit on the right hand by a Daniel Bard pitch. X-rays came back inconclusive. Encarnacion is hitting .279 with 17 homers and 42 RBIs. The Blue Jays are off Monday before opening a series at the White Sox on Tuesday.

**Udog** · 06-04-2012, 08:45 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Phil Steele's college football magazine is out; lot of great info in there for the coming season. Here are the six teams that lost the most starts to injuries last season.......

6) Colorado State 52-- Brought in Alabama's OC to fix this 9-27 mess.

5) Toledo 53-- Old coach bolted to Illinois; lost 14 of 22 starters.

4) Oregon State 54-- Played ten true freshmen LY, usually a good sign.

T2) Ohio State 55-- Meyer has nine returning starters on defense.

T2) Boston College 55-- Working with 4th OC in last 13 months.

1) Maryland 59-- 2-9 last season despite a +4 turnover ratio.

*************

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend..........

13) Home teams are now 8-0 in this round of NBA playoffs; Miami closed as a 2-point favorite Sunday night, so betting favorites' 20-game straight-up winning streak came to an end.

Rajan Rondo has 77 points, 35 assists in his last three games.

12) Comedian Bill Maher likes to bust peoples' balls on his TV show, but as a new minority investor in the Mets, he has given significant money to owners of the Mets, the hideously creepy Wilpons. This is where your right to be a ball buster ends, when you act stupidly yourself.

11) New Jersey Devils are in Los Angeles for Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Finals, the first time they've left the eastern time zone since January 14; its the first time they've been on an airplane since May 8.

10) Rickie Fowler was paired with Eldrick Woods Sunday, and responded by shooting 84. Not good to wear bright orange and hack around like that.

9) Daniel Bard became the first pitcher in the last 90 years to walk 6+ guys and hit two more in less than two innings on the mound, wrapping up one of the worst weeks of fantasy baseball I've ever had. Hard to imagine Bard staying in the rotation; he might not even stay in the big leagues.

8) Then there are my Oakland A's, the first major league team since 1954 to get shut out 11+ times in their first 54 games. Maybe they should make a movie about that. Moneyball II, only this time, don't bash Art Howe.

7) Rangers have allowed 26 unearned runs in their last 30 games, part of why they're struggling. A visit to Oakland this week should help them.

6) Angels traded for reliever Ernesto Frieri on May 3; since then, batters are 1-41 against Frieri, with 10 walks and 25 strikeouts. 1 for freakin' 41. By the way, the Halos are now only 4.5 games behind Texas in AL West.

5) In case you were wondering, the odds of flopping four of a kind after being dealt a pocket pair: 407-1. Now you know.

4) Bruins' goalie Tim Thomas is sitting out next season, forfeiting his $5M salary, to deal with "friends, family and faith". $5M still counts against the Bruins' salary cap for next season.

3) Florida State's first two football games this fall are against Murray State and Savannah State; seriously? If this was basketball it would be OK, with Murray State being good, but for a football power, this is a joke. Would it be that horrible to schedule some cruddy Sun Belt team or a MAC squad?

2) Pitcher Carlos Zambrano is a .237 career hitter who hit his 24th homer on Sunday. Only 10 walks with 237 strikeouts, though.

1) David Wright isn't going to negotiate with the Mets during the season, but the word is he's going to ask for eight years, $150M; wonder how much Bill Maher is going to kick in towards that?

**Udog** · 06-04-2012, 08:46 AM

Public opinion: Bettors see another West finals shootout

Odds and consensus percentages current as of 8 p.m. ET, Sunday.

NBA:

Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs (-5, 202.5)

This series has alternated unders and overs, but the over hit six times in a row in the OKC-San Antonio meetings leading up to the conference finals. No one expects the Thunder's big men to shoot 22-for-25 again, but it's clear the Spurs are in a defensive quandary. They either let the big men shoot open jump shots or watch Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook and James Harden go off. An overwhelming percentage of Covers users are on the over.

Consensus: Over, 70 percent

NHL:

New Jersey Devils at Los Angeles Kings (-158, 4.5)

The Kings have shut out the Devils' power play so far, leading to a pair of overtime wins in New Jersey. Now Staples Center will be rocking as Los Angeles nears the first Cup championship in franchise history. The price might be steep, but bettors are backing the Kings. They have not fallen behind in eight of their last 10 playoff games.

Consensus: Kings, 57 percent

MLB:

Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies (110, 7)

It's scary to go against the Dodgers' Clayton Kershaw, but the Phillies' Vance Worley is no slouch either. Worley was just activated from the DL and is making his first start since May 11. He'll be pitching in front of the team's 232 consecutive regular-season sellout. In six career starts against the Phils, Kershaw is 0-4 with a 5.18 ERA.

Consensus: Phillies, 58 percent

**Udog** · 06-04-2012, 08:48 AM

NHL
Dunkel

New Jersey at Los Angeles
The Kings look to build on their 8-1 record in their last 9 playoff games as a favorite. Los Angeles is the pick (-165) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-165). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JUNE 4

Game 5-6: New Jersey at Los Angeles (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 12.499; Los Angeles 13.069
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-165); 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-165); Over

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, June 4

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NEW JERSEY (60-33-0-9, 129 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (54-29-0-15, 123 pts.) - 6/4/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-2 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 4-2-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.1 Units)

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NHL
Short Sheet

Monday, June 4, 2012

Stanley Cup Finals, Game Three (Los Angeles Leads, 2-0)
New Jersey at Los Angeles, 8:05 ET NBCSN
New Jersey: 15-5 Under in Stanley Cup Finals
Los Angeles: 10-2 SU when leading in a playoff series

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, June 4

Devils @ Kings (2-0) - Devils are outside the eastern time zone since January, and on an airplane for first time since May 8. New Jersey has been behind in all three series, 2-1 to Rangers and Florida, 1-0 to Flyers, so they've been in this spot before, but not to a team this hot, and not by more than one game. West #8-seed Kings are on an amazing 14-2 playoff run; both losses came here at home. OT goals in first two games has Kings pencilled in as a team of destiny. Devils are 6-4 on road so far in playoffs. LA outshot New Jersey 11-3 in 13:42 of OT of Game 2, after having total of only 21 shots in regulation. Kings are 0-3 on power play so far in series, Devils 0-7. Five of Kings' last six games stayed under the total.

NHL

Monday, June 4

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. LOS ANGELES
New Jersey is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
New Jersey is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games

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NHL

Monday, June 4

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Cross-country trip won't do the Devils any favors
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For the first time since the seventh game on the schedule, the New Jersey Devils are flying to the Pacific Time zone.

New Jersey has been a bit of a homebody this season, venturing past the Rockies only once, on Oct. 25, to take a 3-0 road win against the Los Angeles Kings – the same team it travels to play in Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Finals on Monday.

The Devils have been especially stingy on gas during the playoffs. Outside of four opening-round road games against the Florida Panthers, who reside in the Eastern Time zone, they’ve only had to make short jaunts to Philadelphia and New York in the last two rounds.

Outside of the early-season trip to Los Angeles, the Devils only ventured as far west as Edmonton, Calgary and Phoenix, all of which fall in the Mountain Time zone. They played the two other California clubs – Anaheim and San Jose – at home and also hosted the Vancouver Canucks in their only meeting this year.

New Jersey was 24-15-2-0 away from the Garden State this season (5-4 in the postseason) and went 10-6-2 against Western Conference opponents, including a 4-2-1 mark versus the Pacific Division. In the playoffs, New Jersey has played its best hockey later into a series, going 4-6 in Games 1-3 but 8-1 in Games 4-7.

The Devils dropped the first two games of the Stanley Cup Final, both in overtime, to Los Angeles. The Kings improved to 10-0 on the road this postseason with Saturday’s 2-1 OT victory and hold a 4-2 playoff record inside the Staples Center.

Oddsmakers opened New Jersey as a +140 road underdog for Monday’s Game 3, while Los Angeles sits as a -160 favorite. The Devils are 1-5 all-time in series after losing the opening two games.

The total for Game 3 is set at 4.5 goals.

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**Udog** · 06-04-2012, 08:50 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Oklahoma City at San Antonio
The Thunder are coming off a 109-103 win in Game 4 and look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games after scoring 100 or more points in the previous game. Oklahoma City is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+5). Here are all of today's picks

MONDAY, JUNE 4

Game 717-718: Oklahoma City at San Antonio (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 128.038; San Antonio 131.229
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 3; 199
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 5; 202
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+5); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, June 4

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OKLAHOMA CITY (57 - 22) at SAN ANTONIO (60 - 18) - 6/4/2012, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 8-6 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 10-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, June 4

WC Finals, Game Five (San Antonio Leads, 2-2)
Oklahoma City at San Antonio, 9:05 ET TNT
Oklahoma City: 13-4 Over off a win by 6 points or less
San Antonio: 19-8 ATS when tied in a playoff series

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, June 4

Thunder @ Spurs (2-2)-- Home teams are now 8-0 in this round of the playoffs, with Spurs losing twice in Oklahoma City last week, so ton of pressure on them to hold serve at home, after their 20-game win streak was snapped. Durant/Ibaka were combined 24-31 from floor in Game 3, with Ibaka 11-11- they're better team when Westbrook distributes ball instead of shooting it. Under is 8-4 in Spurs' playoff games, 4-2 both at home and on road. San Antonio is 5-1 vs spread as home favorite so far in playoffs. Four of six Thunder road playoff games went over.

NBA

Monday, June 4

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Trend Report
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9:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. SAN ANTONIO
Oklahoma City is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

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NBA

Monday, June 4

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Thunder at Spurs: What bettors need to know
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Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs (-5, 202.5)

THE STORY: Back-to-back wins by the Oklahoma City Thunder have turned the Western Conference finals into a best-of-three affair. Now the San Antonio Spurs look to regain the upper hand in the series when they host Game 5 on Monday night. The Spurs appeared on the verge of a third straight four-game sweep after a dominating effort in Game 2, but the Thunder roared back to crack San Antonio's aura of invincibility – and snap its 20-game winning streak – to deadlock the series.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE THUNDER: Kevin Durant's jaw-dropping fourth quarter, in which he scored 16 consecutive points to single-handedly repel a Spurs comeback, was the lasting imprint of Game 4. Yet the performance of Serge Ibaka and the rest of Oklahoma City's "bigs" made Durant's heroics possible. Ibaka, the league leader in blocked shots, hit all 11 of his shots and scored a career-high 26 points while Perkins had 15 points and nine rebounds after scoring a combined 12 points in the first three games. The duo combined with reserve center Nick Collison to shoot 22 of 25 from the field. “If you did a shooting drill with nobody guarding you, I don't think you could do that,” Spurs coach Gregg Popovich said. All-Star guard Russell Westbrook had a playoff-low seven points.

ABOUT THE SPURS: San Antonio trailed by double digits at halftime in both losses in Oklahoma City, mainly because it managed to score only 17 points in the second quarter of each game. The Spurs did almost everything right in storming back from a 15-point deficit Saturday, getting as close as two points and shooting 65 percent in the fourth quarter, only to be trumped by Durant's virtuoso performance. One positive is that forward Tim Duncan bounced back from a pair of 11-point performances to score 21 in Game 4. Point guard Tony Parker was contained in both games in Oklahoma City, while starting shooting guard Danny Green has struggled mightily in the series, averaging only 5.0 points and going 4 of 21 on 3-point attempts.

TRENDS:

*Spurs are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 games following an ATS loss.
*Over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.
*Over is 8-2 in OKC's last 10 games playing on one day's rest.
*Thunder is 20-6 ATS in its last 26 games as a road dog of 5.0-10.5 points.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. San Antonio has not lost three consecutive games this season.

2. Ibaka’s 11-for-11 effort tied for the second-best shooting performance without a miss in NBA postseason history, behind only Larry McNeill's 1975 effort.

3. Oklahoma City is aiming to become only the 15th team in NBA history to erase a 2-0 deficit and win a best-of-seven series.

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**Udog** · 06-04-2012, 08:50 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Texas at Oakland
The A's look to take advantage of a Texas team that is 1-10 in Scott Feldman's last 11 starts against the AL West. Oakland is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JUNE 4

Game 901-902: St. Louis at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 15.201; NY Mets (Hefner) 14.912
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130); Under

Game 903-904: Chicago Cubs at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Samardzija) 13.674; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 14.792
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-140); Over

Game 905-906: LA Dodgers at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.015; Philadelphia (Worley) 15.223
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-125); Under

Game 907-908: Colorado at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Friedrich) 14.251; Arizona (Saunders) 15.952
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-135); Over

Game 909-910: Minnesota at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (DeVries) 15.651; Kansas City (Smith) 14.017
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+120); Over

Game 911-912: Texas at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Feldman) 14.595; Oakland (Parker) 15.028
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+120); Under

Game 913-914: Seattle at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 16.666; LA Angels (Santana) 15.659
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+140); Over

**Udog** · 06-04-2012, 08:51 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, June 4

Hot pitchers
-- Gee is 2-0, 2.66 in his last three starts.
-- Vogelsong is 3-1, 1.73 in his last six starts. Samardzija is 3-2, 2.12 in his last seven starts.
-- Worley was 3-1, 2.81 in his last five starts before going on DL.

-- Parker is 0-0, 1.69 in his last couple starts, but A's lost his last four outings, scoring a total of 10 runs.

Cold pitchers
-- Lohse is 0-0, 6.08 in his last four starts.
-- Kershaw is 0-2, 6.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Saunders is 1-2, 10.43 in his last three home starts. Friedrich has 9.00 RA in his last three starts overall.

-- Smith is 1-1, 6.75 in his first two '12 starts. De Vries is 0-1, 5.40 in his first two starts.
-- Feldman is 0-3, 7.24 in his last three starts.
-- Santana is 0-0, 8.10 in his last couple starts. Vargas is 2-2, 4.72 in his last four outings.

Hot Teams
-- Mets won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Giants won six of their last seven games.
-- Colorado won six of its last seven games. Arizona won three of four.

-- Minnesota won five of its last six games. Royals won six of their last eight games.
-- Mariners won six of their last nine road games. Angels won ten of their last twelve games.

Cold Teams
-- Cardinals lost nine of their last ten road games; they scored twice in their last three games.
-- Cubs lost their last ten road games.
-- Philly lost six of its last eight home games. Dodgers lost six of their last seven games overall.

-- Oakland lost ten of its last eleven games. Texas lost four of five.

Totals
-- Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen games at Citi Field.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in Cubs' last eight road games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Kershaw starts.
-- Five of last six Saunders starts went over the total.

-- Over is 6-2-1 in Minnesota's last nine road games.
-- This is ***************.com. Hope you enjoy it.
-- Three of last four Parker starts stayed under total.
-- Seven of last nine Santana starts stayed under the total.

**Udog** · 06-04-2012, 08:51 AM

MLB

Monday, June 4

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Trend Report
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1:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. NY METS
St. Louis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
NY Mets are 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against St. Louis

3:45 PM
CHI CUBS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Chi Cubs are 3-15 SU in their last 18 games
San Francisco is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs

7:05 PM
LA DODGERS vs. PHILADELPHIA
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
LA Dodgers are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games

8:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. KANSAS CITY
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Minnesota's last 23 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Kansas City's last 23 games when playing at home against Minnesota

9:40 PM
COLORADO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Colorado
Arizona is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games at home

10:05 PM
TEXAS vs. OAKLAND
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas's last 9 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games at home

10:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games at home
LA Angels are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Seattle

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**Udog** · 06-04-2012, 08:51 AM

MLB

Monday, June 4

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Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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Streaking

Jarrod Parker, Oakland Athletics (1-2, 2.88 ERA)

The 23-year-old right-hander has allowed one earned run over his last two starts covering 13 innings, but continues to get little run support. Batters are hitting .228 against him. In six of his seven starts, Parker has given up two or fewer runs.

Ryan Vogelsong, San Francisco Giants (3-2, 2.36 ERA)

The 34-year-old right-hander has given up just four homers all season, and is coming off a strong seven-inning performance against Arizona. Vogelsong allowed one run on six hits, striking out eight. Batters are hitting .222 against him this season. However, he’s 3-5 with a 6.19 ERA in 14 career appearances against the Cubs.

Slumping

Christian Friedrich, Colorado Rockies (3-1, 5.59 ERA)

A 24-year-old rookie southpaw, Friedrich has been tagged for 16 earned runs over his last three starts. Batters are hitting .314 against him. He’s allowed 38 hits in 29 innings, and carries a WHIP of 1.59 into Monday’s start in Arizona.

Scott Feldman, Texas Rangers (0-3, 4.50 ERA)

The Rangers have lost Feldman’s last three starts, and he’s failed to go five innings in any of them. The 29-year-old right-hander likely will be dumped from the rotation when Roy Oswalt joins the team in late June following tuneup starts in the minors. Feldman has walked 12 batters in 24 innings this year.

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**Udog** · 06-04-2012, 08:52 AM

MLB

Monday, June 4

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MLB Top 5: Worst pitchers to bet on the road
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Forty-nine-year-old pitcher Jamie Moyer was designated for assignment by the Colorado Rockies, then officially released Sunday after the veteran hurler opened the season 2-5 with a 5.70 ERA over 10 appearances.

Moyer burned Rockies bettors for -6.38 units, with -5.38 of that damage coming in five road starts. He suffered four of his five losses away from Coors Field and lugged an ERA north of 8.00 when toeing the opposing rubber.

Finding a solid road pitcher is a great way to get maximum value out of MLB moneylines. But wagering on these five arms away from home can leave MLB bettors with a nasty case of road rash.

Not only are these big-name hurlers who demand a hefty price tag, but some of their clubs are among the chalkiest public faves on the MLB board.

Mark Buehrle, Miami Marlins (2-4, 3.66 ERA on the road, -3.59 units)

The Marlins’ big offseason addition has been steady in South Beach but shaky away from the sun and surf. Buerhrle hasn’t been terrible on the road, losing most games due to a lack of run support. But he was just knocked around for four runs on 11 hits in Friday’s 6-4 loss at Philadelphia. The Marlins' ace is hovering in the red when it comes to units, thanks to his road record.

Matt Garza, Chicago Cubs (1-4, 6.10 ERA on the road, -4.13 units)

Life away from the Friendly Confines hasn’t been friendly to the Cubs' ace. Garza is down 4.73 units on the year, suffering the bulk of those losses away from Wrigley Field. In fact, the right-hander has lost his last three starts, all coming on the road. Following rough outings in Houston and Pittsburgh, Garza looked sharper, allowing two runs over six innings in San Francisco. However, Chicago mustered only one run of support.

Francisco Liriano, Minnesota Twins (0-4, 8.84 ERA on the road, -4.19 units)

Liriano is back in the Twins’ rotation after being demoted to the bullpen following a horrid start to the year. The southpaw looked good in his most recent outing – six shutout innings Wednesday – but that start came inside Target Field. Liriano will make his first road start Tuesday in Kansas City since a four-run, 5 1-3 inning-effort in Los Angeles on May 1.

Hiroki Kuroda, New York Yankees (1-4, 4.17 ERA on the road, -4.81 units)

Anytime a New York pitcher stumbles, those issues are especially expensive thanks to the ever-present Yankee Tax. Those juiced up moneylines aren’t as bad on the road, where Kuroda has performed well in recent outings but hasn’t received the support of the Bronx Bombers’ big bats. He’s given up just two runs on 11 total hits over 15 innings in his last two road starts. The Yankees are providing just 3.19 runs in support during Kuroda’s road starts, compared to the 9.00 in Ivan Nova’s (4-0) and 8.44 in C.C. Sabathia’s away outings (4-1).

Joe Blanton, Philadelphia Phillies (1-4, 6.30 ERA on the road, -0.78 units)

Blanton has posted a respectable 3-1 record and 3.90 ERA inside Citizens Bank Park but has left Phillies bettors saying “Oh brother” away from the City of Brotherly Love. The righty has been lit up in his last two road outings. He was smacked for seven runs on 10 hits in just 4 1-3 innings in St. Louis, followed by a six-run, nine-hit blood bath that lasted five innings in New York Tuesday. Blanton has been serving up watermelons, giving up 11 home runs over his last five games, including two dingers in Sunday’s home game against Miami.

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**Udog** · 06-04-2012, 08:52 AM

MLB

Monday, June 4

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Rounding the bases: Hottest bets in the big leagues
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Every week, we update you on who's hot, who's not and situational betting spots in Major League Baseball (All records and statistics through Saturday):

HOT TEAM: Chicago White Sox

THIS SEASON: 30-23.
LAST WEEK: 5-1.
THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: Home to the Blue Jays for three, home to the Astros for three.

THE SKINNY: A 10-8 loss to Ichiro Suzuki and the Seattle Mariners on Saturday did not dampen what was one incredible run for Robin Ventura's scrappy crew in Chicago. The White Sox had won nine in a row prior to that defeat, and they did it so many ways.

In a three-game sweep of Cleveland during the surge? They scored 35 runs. In a three-game sweep of Tampa Bay right after the Indians series? The pitched in and out of trouble and won two one-run games.

Adam Dunn, left for dead after last year's disaster of a season, had 17 home runs and 38 RBIs headed into Sunday's action, and the ageless A.J. Pierzynski was hitting .291 with 33 RBIs

COLD TEAM: Houston Astros

THIS SEASON: 22-31.
LAST WEEK: 0-7.
THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: Home to the Cardinals for three, at the White Sox for three.

THE SKINNY: On the opposite end of the spectrum is the Astros, a spunky, nameless group that turned some heads with a decent start. They are now, however, falling back to reality, and when the pitching is going, the hitting isn't, and vice versa.

It was the latter, for sure, on Saturday, when Joey Votto went 4 for 4 with a home run as the Reds outlasted Houston, 12-9. It was the eighth straight loss for the Astros, and the only thing that's keeping them out of last place in the National League Central is the overall malaise that's hovered over the Cubs this season.

OVER TEAM: Boston Red Sox

O/U THIS SEASON: 32-20-1.
O/U LAST WEEK: 5-2.
THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: Home to the Orioles for three, home to the Nationals for three.

THE SKINNY: Just when you thought panic had soaked in all across Red Sox Nation, the bats come alive a bit. Though they are shopping Kevin Youkilis, and are likely to deal him soon, Boston’s offense has picked up, and if nothing else, it has made the Red Sox an attractive over buy.

Remember a few years ago, when it appeared David Ortiz was done? Too slow a swing, not getting on base enough, right on down the line? Well, through Saturday, Ortiz was batting .322, with 13 homers and 37 RBIs. He had a 1.006 OPS and 26 walks. As a result, the Red Sox had scored at least six runs in five of the past six games headed into Sunday, and were 7-3 over in their last 10 games.

There will always be a price to pay at the window for a public team like Boston. But overs are overs, folks, and this team is producing enough of them to warrant the cost.

UNDER TEAM: San Francisco Giants

O/U THIS SEASON: 24-27-2.
O/U LAST WEEK: 0-5-1.
THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: Home to the Cubs for one, at the Padres for three, home to the Rangers for three.

THE SKINNY: The Giants personify a great under team on many levels. Hosting teams in a far different time zone, often times in the San Francisco elements, helps the cause. But a terrific pitching staff, of course, and some light bats are the prime factors, and the Giants have utilized both lately for a quality run of unders.

Last week alone, the Giants squeeked out three one-run games, and were held to three runs or less four times. No one's going to discount the start that journeyman Melky Cabrera has had, taking a .373 average, 40 runs and nine steals into Sunday's game. But he had 57 singles, many of the hollow variety, and San Francisco’s offense was 22nd in the majors in runs scored (210), and 23rd with 357 strikeouts.

And the pitching is there, as always. The Giants were fourth in baseball with a 3.33 ERA, and 10th with a 1.25 WHIP. And what a find reliever Sergio Romo has been, sporting a 2-0 record, an 0.60 ERA, 20 strikeouts, nine holds and a save in just 19 appearances. No wonder the unders have been rolling in.

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**Udog** · 06-04-2012, 10:56 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, June 4

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ST LOUIS (27 - 27) at NY METS (31 - 23) - 1:10 PM
KYLE LOHSE (R) vs. DILLON GEE (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

KYLE LOHSE vs. NY METS since 1997
LOHSE is 2-4 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 5.91 and a WHIP of 1.817.
His team's record is 5-4 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.4 units)

DILLON GEE vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
GEE is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (18 - 35) at SAN FRANCISCO (30 - 24) - 3:45 PM
JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. RYAN VOGELSONG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 3-12 (-9.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 18-35 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 6-20 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 8-26 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 18-35 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 888-956 (-167.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 160-98 (+60.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
VOGELSONG is 3-5 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.57 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 3-5 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.4 units)

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LA DODGERS (33 - 21) at PHILADELPHIA (28 - 27) - 7:05 PM
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. VANCE WORLEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WORLEY is 20-8 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WORLEY is 20-8 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WORLEY is 16-3 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 72-47 (+19.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
KERSHAW is 27-10 (+12.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 12-15 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-10 (-10.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-15 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-9 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
KERSHAW is 0-5 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.487.
His team's record is 1-6 (-5.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.4 units)

VANCE WORLEY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
WORLEY is 0-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 13.50 and a WHIP of 2.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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COLORADO (23 - 30) at ARIZONA (25 - 29) - 9:40 PM
CHRISTIAN FRIEDRICH (L) vs. JOE SAUNDERS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 96-121 (-40.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 29-39 (-16.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 23-44 (-18.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 74-113 (-39.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 11-26 (-16.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 40-58 (-26.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 96-121 (-40.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 119-135 (-36.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 40-53 (-22.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 84-91 (-32.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 122-101 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 45-29 (+14.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 57-41 (+15.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 122-101 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 70-52 (+17.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 70-47 (+17.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAUNDERS is 101-75 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 56-32 (+20.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 39-17 (+17.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 93-100 (-33.8 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 13-22 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-2 (+0.7 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

CHRISTIAN FRIEDRICH vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

JOE SAUNDERS vs. COLORADO since 1997
SAUNDERS is 5-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.154.
His team's record is 6-1 (+6.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.3 units)

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MINNESOTA (20 - 33) at KANSAS CITY (23 - 29) - 8:10 PM
COLE DE VRIES (R) vs. WILL SMITH (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 6-21 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 80-126 (-28.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 83-133 (-31.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-10 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 7-18 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 231-346 (-103.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 7-18 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-1 (-0.1 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

COLE DE VRIES vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

WILL SMITH vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

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TEXAS (32 - 22) at OAKLAND (23 - 31) - 10:05 PM
SCOTT FELDMAN (R) vs. JARROD PARKER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 129-70 (+47.0 Units) against the money line in home games in June games since 1997.
TEXAS is 102-62 (+18.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FELDMAN is 19-10 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 90-116 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-1 (+0.6 Units) against TEXAS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

SCOTT FELDMAN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
FELDMAN is 3-5 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 6.27 and a WHIP of 1.432.
His team's record is 3-6 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.6 units)

JARROD PARKER vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

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SEATTLE (24 - 32) at LA ANGELS (28 - 27) - 10:05 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 153-228 (-60.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 48-87 (-32.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 21-48 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 629-542 (+66.1 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997.
VARGAS is 15-9 (+11.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 130-137 (-29.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 4-0 (+4.3 Units) against SEATTLE this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
VARGAS is 3-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.37 and a WHIP of 1.024.
His team's record is 4-6 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-7. (-4.4 units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
SANTANA is 11-6 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.66 and a WHIP of 1.257.
His team's record is 17-9 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 15-11. (+2.7 units)

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**Udog** · 06-04-2012, 11:00 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, June 4

Update

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NEW JERSEY (60-33-0-9, 129 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (54-29-0-15, 123 pts.) - 6/4/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 10-2 ATS (+7.9 Units) when leading in a playoff series this season.
LOS ANGELES is 34-25 ATS (-2.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LOS ANGELES is 23-10 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NEW JERSEY is 60-41 ATS (+15.8 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 20-14 ATS (+35.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
NEW JERSEY is 39-26 ATS (+9.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
NEW JERSEY is 28-17 ATS (+45.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
NEW JERSEY is 31-24 ATS (+58.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW JERSEY is 20-15 ATS (+36.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
LOS ANGELES is 40-40 ATS (-21.3 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 49-76 ATS (-53.6 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-2 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 4-2-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.1 Units)

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**Udog** · 06-04-2012, 11:01 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, June 4

Update

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OKLAHOMA CITY (57 - 22) at SAN ANTONIO (60 - 18) - 6/4/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 50-25 ATS (+22.5 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 40-18 ATS (+20.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 28-9 ATS (+18.1 Units) in home games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 89-62 ATS (+20.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 43-35 ATS (+4.5 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 76-54 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 8-6 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 10-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 6/4(NBA, NHL, MLB, WNBA, Misc.)

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 6/4(NBA, NHL, MLB, WNBA, Misc.)

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