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  • The Bum's Wednesday's MLB Best Bets !

    Dodgers, Diamondbacks Part Of Packed Hump Day

    Hump Day has it all this week, from a half-dozen matinees, to a prime-time game on ESPN plus a late-night affair in the desert. I'm ordering one from Column A, another from Column C and an update from Column B.

    We'll start in the middle of Wednesday's sandwich with a combination review and preview of the Nationals-Phillies series in Philadelphia. Washington took Monday's opener 2-1 behind the pitching of Gio Gonzalez and his bullpen. The Nats closed at -130 for the game which never threatened the 7-run total.

    The setback in Game 1 dropped the Phils a game below .500 (21-22, -8.7 units) in last place of the NL East, still five behind first-place Atlanta who also suffered defeat on Monday. The victory improved the Nationals to 25-17 (+4.6 units) and inched them to within a half-game of the Braves.

    Tuesday's tilt opened with the Phillies 160 favorites in a mound matchup between Roy Halladay and Washington's Jordan Zimmermann. The price was bet down to -150 on the Don Best odds screen with the initial 6½-run total holding. Philadelphia is 6-1 in Halladay's seven starts vs. the Nats since joining the club before the 2010 season.

    It is Wednesday's series finale that has created most of the buzz surrounding this series as Cole Hamels faces the Nationals for the first time since admitting to beaning Bryce Harper a little more than two weeks ago in DC. The Phils have cashed each of his last seven trips to the mound, and they opened as $1.60 chalk. Edwin Jackson is slated to start for the Nats with a 6½-run total ('over' -120).

    Rangers, Mariners close set at Safeco Field
    Shifting to Column A, the Texas Rangers and Seattle Mariners will wrap up their 3-game set with a 3:40 p.m. (ET) first pitch on Wednesday. Texas sends Scott Feldman to the mound for just his third start of the campaign; Seattle counters with Kevin Millwood who is coming off a 2-hit shutout last Friday at Coors Field.

    Texas is as high as -150 on some Wednesday openers and the total is eight runs.

    The Mariners scored a mild upset as +125 'dogs Monday when Felix Hernandez bested Rangers rookie Yu Darvish by a 6-1 count. Texas was a favorite in the -150 to -160 range for Game 2 on Tuesday, with those results still pending. Matt Harrison was scheduled for the visitors against Seattle's Hector Noesi.

    Feldman has been pressed into the rotation in place of Neftali Feliz who was placed on the DL due to an elbow injury. Feliz is expected to miss the next 6-8 weeks, and there is concern he won't be able to return to a starting role once he does come back. That has prompted talk that Texas is looking for another starter, and the name Roy Oswalt has popped up after the former Astros and Phillies pitcher recently worked out for the Rangers.

    Don't look for more than 4-5 innings (80 pitches or so) out of Feldman on Wednesday. The lanky right-hander has made seven starts (plus four relief outings) vs. the Mariners since the '09 campaign got underway, and Texas is 4-3 in his starting assignments.

    Millwood's shutout in Denver was his first blank job since he hurled three for the Phillies in '03. He also had a solid outing in a win at the Yankees before that start, and did a great job in his season debut at Texas back on April 11 (6 IP, 1 ER), failing to get the decision in the Mariners' 4-3 comeback win.

    Lilly & Saunders Meet In Desert Finale
    We reach dessert on Wednesday's slate that concludes with an NL West clash between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks. The first pitch at Chase Field (9:40 p.m. ET) will be delivered by Joe Saunders, and he'll be opposed by LA's Ted Lilly in a matchup of veteran southpaws.

    Chris Capuano's arm and three homers from the Dodgers lineup helped Los Angeles to a 6-1 win on Monday as small road pups. The Diamondbacks were once again favored in Game 2 with Trevor Cahill priced at -140 against LA's Aaron Harang.

    The Dodgers are rolling along with the best record in the bigs – 29-13, +14.3 units entering play Tuesday – and Lilly has been a big factor behind the fast start. Los Angeles is 6-1 when he takes the mound, 2-0 on the road. Lilly has made six starts vs. Arizona since donning LA blue during the 2010 season, and the Dodgers are 3-3 with his ERA a respectable 3.40.

    Saunders rolled through April but has since struggled a bit, especially in his last two starts at home (12 ER, 8-1/3 IP). The D-Backs have dropped three of his four assignments so far at Chase Field. Like Lilly, Saunders joined Arizona midway through 2010 and he's seen LA eight times since that point. Arizona is 3-5 in those games (1-3 at home) with Saunders sporting a 4.53 ERA.

    Wednesday's finale opened close to a pick 'em and carried a total in the 8½-9 run range.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Around the Horn - Wednesday

    May 22, 2012

    NATIONAL LEAGUE

    N.Y. Mets at Pittsburgh - 12:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
    Niese (2-2, 4.85 ERA) 23-20 12-7 L19 during day
    Morton (2-4, 4.35 ERA) 20-23 6-0 L6 home vs LHP

    Pirates beat Mets, 5-4 on Monday
    Mets beat Pirates, 3-2 on Tuesday

    San Francisco at Milwaukee - 1:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
    Zito (3-1, 3.00 ERA) 23-20 11-4 L15 during day
    Estrada (0-3, 4.63 ERA) 17-26 4-7 L11 vs LHP

    Giants beat Brewers, 4-3 on Monday
    Giants beat Brewers, 6-4 on Tuesday

    Washington at Philadelphia - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
    Jackson (1-1, 3.31 ERA) 26-17 UNDER 5-0 L5 away vs LHP
    Hamels (6-1, 2.48 ERA) 21-23 OVER 5-1 L6 on Wednesdays

    Nationals beat Phillies, 2-1 on Monday
    Nationals beat Phillies, 5-2 on Tuesday

    Atlanta at Cincinnati - 7:10 PM EST (Game 3/4)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
    Hanson (5-3, 3.31 ERA) 26-18 9-3 L12 Game 3's
    Arroyo (2-2, 3.46 ERA) 23-19 9-2 L11 Game 3's

    Reds beat Braves, 4-1 on Monday
    Reds beat Braves, 4-3 on Tuesday

    Colorado at Miami - 7:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
    White (0-3, 5.09 ERA) 15-27 6-1 L7 on Wednesdays
    Zambrano (2-2, 1.96 ERA) 24-19 7-2 L9 Game 3's

    Marlins beat Rockies, 7-4 on Monday
    Marlins beat Rockies, 7-6 on Tuesday

    Chicago at Houston - 8:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
    Samardzija (4-2, 3.00 ERA) 15-28 1-6 L7 vs LHP
    W. Rodriguez (3-4, 2.24 ERA) 20-23 4-8 L12 Game 3's

    Astros beat Cubs, 8-4 on Monday
    Astros beat Cubs, 2-1 on Tuesday

    San Diego at St. Louis - 8:15 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
    Suppan (2-2, 3.00 ERA) 16-28 4-8 L12 Game 3's
    Lynn (6-1, 2.31 ERA) 24-19 6-1 L7 on Wednesdays

    Cardinals beat Padres, 4-3 on Monday
    Cardinals beat Padres, 4-0 on Tuesday


    Los Angeles at Arizona - 9:40 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
    Lilly (5-0, 1.79 ERA) 30-13 8-3 L12 Game 3's
    Saunders (2-3, 3.55 ERA) 19-25 1-7 L8 vs LHP

    Dodgers beat Diamondbacks, 6-1 on Monday
    Dodgers beat Diamondbacks, 8-7 on Tuesday

    AMERICAN LEAGUE


    Boston at Baltimore - 12:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
    Bard (3-5, 4.85 ERA) 21-22 1-5 L6 away during day
    Arrieta (2-4, 4.72 ERA) 28-16 10-3 L13 during day

    Red Sox beat Orioles, 8-6 on Monday
    Orioles beat Red Sox, 4-1 on Tuesday

    Toronto at Tampa Bay - 1:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
    Romero (5-1, 3.64 ERA) 24-20 UNDER 8-2-1 L11 away vs RHP
    Shields (6-2, 3.77 ERA) 26-18 0-5 L5 vs LHP

    Blue Jays beat Rays, 6-2 on Monday
    Rays beat Blue Jays, 8-5 on Tuesday

    Los Angeles at Oakland - 3:35 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
    Weaver (6-1, 2.80 ERA) 19-25 UNDER 11-3 L14 during day
    Parker (1-2, 3.90 ERA) 22-22 UNDER 10-2 L12 home vs RHP

    Athletics beat Angels, 2-1 on Monday
    Angels beat Athletics, 5-0 on Tuesday


    Texas at Seattle - 3:40 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
    Feldman (0-1, 3.00 ERA) 27-17 1-5 L6 during day
    Millwood (2-4, 4.17 ERA) 20-25 8-4 L12 Game 3's

    Mariners beat Rangers, 6-1 on Monday
    Rangers beat Mariners, 3-1 on Tuesday

    Detroit at Cleveland - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
    Fister (0-2, 1.59 ERA) 20-22 2-5 L7 Game 2's
    McAllister (1-1, 4.34 ERA) 24-18 OVER 5-1 L6 on Wednesdays

    Indians beat Tigers, 5-3 on Tuesday

    Kansas City at N.Y. Yankees - 7:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
    W. Smith (NR) 17-25 2-8 L10 vs LHP
    Pettitte (1-1, 2.51 ERA) 22-21 2-6 L8 Game 3's

    Royals beat Yankees, 6-0 on Monday
    Yankees beat Royals, 3-2 on Tuesday

    Minnesota at Chicago - 8:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
    Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
    Diamond (3-0, 1.40 ERA) 15-27 4-1 L5 Game 2's
    Sale (4-2, 2.91 ERA) 21-22 UNDER 8-4 L12 vs LHP

    Twins beat White Sox, 9-2 on Tuesday
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Diamond Trends - Wednesday

      May 23, 2012


      SU TREND OF THE DAY:


      The Pirates are 10-0 since May 18, 2011 after a loss in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits for a net profit of $1365.


      OU TREND OF THE DAY:


      The Mariners are 0-10 OU since May 05, 2011 as a dog and it is the last game of a three game series when they split the first two after playing in a night game for a net profit of $1000 when playing the under.


      STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


      The Angels are 10-0 since May 23, 2011 when Jered Weaver starts as a favorite after throwing more than 100 pitches on the road for a net profit of $1000.


      MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


      The Diamondbacks are 0-14 OU (-3.1 rpg) since May 2011 in the last game of a series after a loss, which did not end a 5+ game winning streak, where they led.


      TODAY’S TRENDS:


      The Braves are 9-0 since April 12, 2011 when Tommy Hanson starts after the team lost their last two games for a net profit of $900.

      The Rays are 7-0 since July 21, 2011 when James Shields starts at home after more strike outs than hits allowed for a net profit of $735
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        MLB
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Wednesday, May 23

        Hot pitchers
        -- Hamels is 6-0, 2.20 in his last seven starts. EJackson is 0-0, 2.70 in his last three starts.
        -- Hanson is 2-1, 2.50 in his last three starts.
        -- Zambrano is 2-0, 1.20 in his last four starts.
        -- Samardzija is 2-1, 1.60 in his last five starts.
        -- Lynn is 6-1, 2.31 in eight starts this season.
        -- Lilly is 5-0, 2.98 in seven starts this season.

        -- Weaver is 5-1, 2.68 in his last seven starts. Parker has a 2.37 RA in his three home starts.
        -- Millwood won his last two starts, allowing one run in 16 IP.
        -- Mendoza is 2-0, 3.86 in his last four outings. Pettitte is 1-1, 2.51 in his first two starts this season.
        -- Fister is 0-2, 1.99 in four starts this season.
        -- Diamond is 3-0, 1.40 in three starts this season. Sale is 2-1, 2.76 in his last three starts.

        Cold pitchers
        -- Niese is 0-2, 7.94 in his last four starts. Morton is 1-3, 6.85 in his last four starts.
        -- Zito has a 5.19 RA in his last three starts. Estrada is 0-3, 6.00 in his last four outings.
        -- Arroyo is 0-1, 5.64 in his four home starts.
        -- White is 0-3, 5.60 in three starts for Colorado.
        -- WRodriguez is 0-2, 3.27 in his last three starts.
        -- Suppan is 0-2, 5.73 in his last couple starts.
        -- Saunders is 0-2, 8.27 in his last four starts.

        -- Bard is 0-2, 6.19 in his last three road starts. Arrieta is 0-3, 9.77 in his last three home outings.
        -- Romero is 1-1, 4.44 in four road starts. Shields has a 6.23 RA in his last five starts.
        -- Feldman is 0-1, 4.50 in two starts this season.
        -- McAllister is 1-1, 5.79 in three starts this season.

        Hot teams
        -- Washington won five of its last six road games.
        -- Pirates are 5-3 in their last eight home games.
        -- Braves won 11 of their last 16 road games. Cincinnati is 9-5 in its last fourteen home games.
        -- Miami won 16 of its last 21 games.
        -- Astros won 12 of their last 17 home games.
        -- Giants won eight of their last eleven games.
        -- Dodgers won 11 of their last 13 games.

        -- Red Sox won nine of their last 12 games. Orioles won six of eight.
        -- Indians won six of their last eight games.
        -- Blue Jays won five of their last seven games.
        -- White Sox won four of their last five games. Minnesota won five of its last six games.
        -- Mariners won four of their last five games.

        Cold teams
        -- Phillies lost their last four games, scoring nine runs.
        -- Mets are 6-8 in their last fourteen road games.
        -- Rockies lost six in row, 15 of last 18 games.
        -- Cubs lost their last eight games, allowing 50 runs.
        -- Brewers lost eight of their last ten games.
        -- Padres lost 12 of their first 16 road games. St Louis lost eight of its last twelve games.
        -- Arizona lost nine of its last ten home games.

        -- Royals lost four of their last six games. Bronx lost six of their last seven games.
        -- Tigers are 4-7 in their last eleven games.
        -- Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games.
        -- Angels lost 15 of their last 21 road games. Oakland is 3-5 in its last eight games.
        -- Rangers are 3-5 in their last eight games.

        Totals
        -- Eight of last ten Washington games went over the total.
        -- 11 of Mets' last 13 road games went over the total.
        -- Five of last six Atlanta games stayed under the total.
        -- Eight of last nine Miami home games went over the total.
        -- Under is 11-3-1 in Houston's last fifteen games.
        -- Seven of last eight games at Miller Park went over the total.
        -- Over is 8-3-1 in last twelve St Louis games.
        -- Over is 4-1-1 in the Dodgers' last six games.

        -- Nine of last eleven Bronx games stayed under the total.
        -- Last five Detroit games stayed under the total.
        -- Over is 7-4 in last eleven games at Camden Yards.
        -- Under is 8-4-2 in last fourteen Tampa Bay games.
        -- Seven of last nine White Sox home games went over the total.
        -- Under is 15-5 in Angels' last twenty road games.
        -- Six of last eight Texas road games went over the total.

        Umpires
        -- NY-Pitt-- Last five Schrieber games went over the total.
        -- Wsh-Phil-- Home team won five of last six Barksdale games.
        -- Atl-Cin-- Five of last six Hernandez games stayed under total.
        -- Col-Mia-- Underdogs won six of last eight McClelland games.
        -- Chi-Hst-- Home side won eight of nine Tschida games.
        -- SF-Mil-- Under is 7-3 in Kellogg games this season.
        -- SD-StL-- Over is 6-3-1 in Davidson games this season.
        -- LA-Az-- Five of seven Wolf games went over the total.

        -- KC-NY-- Home side won 22 of last 30 Muchlinski games.
        -- Det-Clev-- Over is 5-1-1 in last even Meals games.
        -- Bos-Balt-- Seven of last eight Gorman games went over total.
        -- Tor-TB-- Seven of last eight Fletcher games went over total.
        -- Min-Chi-- Five of last six Danley games stayed under total.
        -- LAA-A's-- Favorites won five of last six Kulpa games.
        -- Tex-Sea-- Home teams won five of last six Marquez games.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Last Two Days:

          Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

          05/22/12 19-*11-*0 63.33% +*3810 Detail

          05/21/12 18-*7-*1 72.00% +*5650 Detail


          Wednesday, May 23

          Game Score Status Pick Amount

          Boston - 12:35 PM ET Baltimore -109 500
          Baltimore - Under 9 500

          NY Mets - 12:35 PM ET Pittsburgh -105 500
          Pittsburgh - Over 7.5 500

          Toronto - 1:10 PM ET Tampa Bay -120 500
          Tampa Bay - Over 7 500

          San Francisco - 1:10 PM ET San Francisco +136 500
          Milwaukee - Over 8 500

          LA Angels - 3:35 PM ET Oakland +145 500
          Oakland - Under 6.5 500

          Texas - 3:40 PM ET Seattle +129 500
          Seattle - Under 8 500
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Evening MLB Best Bets :

            Kansas City - 7:05 PM ET Kansas City +183 500
            NY Yankees - Under 9 500

            Washington - 7:05 PM ET Washington +143 500
            Philadelphia - Over 6.5 500

            Detroit - 7:05 PM ET Cleveland +102 500
            Cleveland - Over 8.5 500

            Atlanta - 7:10 PM ET Atlanta -109 500
            Cincinnati - Under 8.5 500

            Colorado - 7:10 PM ET Colorado +150 500
            Miami - Under 8 500

            Chi. Cubs - 8:05 PM ET Chi. Cubs +116 500
            Houston - Over 7 500

            Minnesota - 8:10 PM ET Minnesota +137 500
            Chi. White Sox - Under 8 500

            500 San Diego - 8:15 PM ET San Diego +210
            St. Louis - Over 8 500

            LA Dodgers - 9:40 PM ET LA Dodgers +115 500
            Arizona - Under 9.5 500
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment

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