The Bum's Monday's MLB Best Bets !

[StarDust Bum]

Phillies Host Nationals In Key NL East Clash

It's a series that will feature some of the best pitching in the majors, and one that could very well determine the fate of the two NL East squads who will battle each other the next three days in the City of Brotherly Love. The three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals will reach a crescendo heading into Wednesday's finale after bad blood recently developed in the rivalry.

But before we get to Game 3, the Nats and Phils have two to play starting Monday at Citizens Bank Park where Washington is 130 chalk behind young lefty Gio Gonzalez. Philadelphia is sending Kyle Kendrick to the mound with a 7-run total ('over' -120). All three games will begin at 7:05 p.m. (ET).

The week and series begins with the Nationals (24-17) in second place, 1.5-games behind Atlanta at the top of the NL East. The Phils sit last with a .500 record at 21-21, five games behind the Braves.

Philadelphia is certainly still within striking distance in the tightly-packed division after beginning the season as a -185 favorite to capture a sixth straight division flag, and +170 chalk to win a third NL Pennant in five years. The club awaits the return of the infield's right side with 1B Ryan Howard and 2B Chase Utley still mending on the DL where they've resided all season. Things were looking up last week when the Phils went on a 6-game win streak only to see that halted with home losses Saturday and Sunday to the Boston Red Sox.

Washington appears about a year ahead of schedule as far as being a contender in the division. The Nationals were supposed to play fourth-fiddle to the Phillies, Braves and Miami Marlins this season before becoming a true force in 2013, but Davey Johnson's got the club believing that next year is now. The offense remains a weak link – 3.78 RPG, 12th in the NL at the week's outset – but the pitching staff is more than making up for that with a 2.93 ERA, tops in the majors.

Gonzalez has definitely been a big contributor to the latter with a 2.22 ERA and six quality starts among his eight assignments. The 26-year-old southpaw also ranks second among all starters with 11.1 K/9 tally, and bettors who have been following him are 7-1 with a +5.8 unit return (third-highest).

One of those seven wins came in Washington on May 5 when Gonzalez worked seven frames and allowed just one run in a 7-1 victory as a 120 favorite.

Kendrick had one disastrous game at Arizona and a nightmarish inning of relief against the Mets, but has otherwise been a reliable arm for Charlie Manuel's club. This is just his fifth start of the season after opening in the 'pen, and his last three have been a combined 17 innings with just four earned runs crossing the plate (2.11 ERA).

The middle tilt of the series is set to be a dandy duel pitting Jordan Zimmermann for the Nats opposite Philadelphia's Roy Halladay. As expected, the Phils are favored with a -160 price and the 6½-run total is pointing 'under' (-120).

Halladay could very easily be making his 10th start of the campaign with an 8-1 record, but Philly's lineup snoozed in four of his outings during a 5-start stretch that saw the Phils lose all five games. His bullpen then tried to blow his last assignment, but managed to stave off defeat at the Cubs last Thursday. Doc missed facing the Nationals a couple of weeks ago, but has practically owned them since joining the Phillies in 2010. Seven starts have yielded a 6-1 record for the Phils with Halladay's ERA at 1.94.

A lack of run support has also victimized Zimmermann in 2012 as he brings a 2.58 ERA into Tuesday's game, yet the Nats are just 4-4 in his eight trips to the mound. He dropped his third decision in four starts last Thursday when the Pirates banged three homers in a 5-3 upset at Washington as +140 underdogs.

Another loss in the recent tough stretch for Zimmermann came against these Phillies in the series finale at Nationals Park on May 6. Washington was going for a series sweep in the Sunday night prime-time contest, but Philadelphia prevented being broomed thanks in part to Wednesday's starter Cole Hamels.

Hamels was suspended following the game when he openly confessed to plunking Washington's young phenom Bryce Harper with a 1st-inning pitch. Harper would eventually come around and steal home for the only run the Nats mustered off Hamels in his eight innings that night. The 5-game suspension wasn't really much of a punishment since it effectively only pushed his next start back a day and allowed the Phils to pitch Halladay on his normal rest the following weekend.

The 'old school' left-hander has won both of his starts since taking five games off, and Hamels once again helped save the Phils from another potential sweep vs. Boston this past weekend when he got the win in Friday's series opener. Philadelphia has won his last seven assignments, each a quality start for the 28-year-old.

Odds are still forthcoming for Game 3, but Hamels figures to be a 140-150 favorite when he goes up against Edwin Jackson for Washington. Jackson will be pitching against the Phillies for just the third time in his career after not facing them earlier this month. He made one start here in Philadelphia while a member of the Arizona staff in 2010 (5 IP, 5 ER, Lost) and also had a 2-inning relief stint vs. the Phils during the '08 World Series.

[StarDust Bum]

Diamond Trends - Monday

May 21, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:July 14, 2011 vs a divisional foe that is behind them in the divisional standings after playing in a day game for a net profit of $1210.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:




The Rangers are 12-0 since
The Mets are 10-0 OU since July 22, 2011 on the road when they lost the last two games their starter started for a net profit of $1000 when playing the over.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Giants are 0-7 OU since April 22, 2011 when Madison Bumgarner starts after the team lost his last two starts for a net profit of $700 when playing the under.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


The Padres are 10-1 (3.4 rpg) since 2007 as a 110+ dog when they won by one run while scoring three or less runs as a dog last game.

TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Orioles are 7-0 since August 15, 2011 when Tommy Hunter starts in the first game of a series for a net profit of $1068.

The Brewers are 7-0 since June 08, 2011 when Randy Wolf starts at home after his team lost the last time he started vs this opponent for a net profit of $702

[StarDust Bum]

Hot and Not

May 21, 2012

The first round of 2012 Interleague match-ups are now in the books, and some teams really came out ahead for their betting backers through the weekend. It’s back to regular league play this week, and here’s a look at some of the hottest and coldest teams heading into it.
Money-Makers

Chicago White Sox (5-2, $398): By sweeping the Crosstown Classic against the hated rival Cubs at Wrigley Field over the weekend, rookie Manager Robin Ventura’s Palehose have evened up their 2012 ledger at 21 games up and 21 games down; good for a $24 return on the year. The key to Chicago’s modest success at this point of the season has largely been due to the club’s pitching both from the starters and bullpen along with the ability to play sound defense. Adam Dunn is in the midst of a bounce back campaign already leaving the yard 14 times, while Jake Peavy has resurrected his starting career by posting five wins to go along with one loss in his nine overall starts.

On The Docket: The White Sox gave up a total of just seven runs in their last four games and now get to throw at the weak hitting Minnesota Twins before turning their attention to the Cleveland Indians in what could amount to be a battle for first place within the AL Central.

Baltimore Orioles (5-2, $382): The novice baseball bettor will look at the Orioles sitting atop the AL East and start making excuses as to why this phenomenon has actually occurred. However, diehard baseball fans that dig deep into the numbers know manager Buck Showalter’s Birds possess a staying force that if kept intact can see this team competing come the end of September. From Adam Jones being in the midst of a breakout season, to the O’s trotting out one of the league’s top ranked bullpens, Baltimore is not to be looked upon as a joke within the AL East anymore! With positive money returns both at home ($405) and especially on the road ($1,371), the Orioles are to be backed more often than not until oddsmakers start posting some outrageous lines; which will happen soon enough.

On The Docket: The Orioles return home from a successful five-game road trip that saw them go 4-1 to face the surging Boston Red Sox and Kansas City Royals before hitting the road for nine straight within the division.

Los Angeles Dodgers (5-2, $322): After splitting their four games with the division rival Diamondbacks and Padres and Matt Kemp landing on the DL, the prospects hardly looked great for manager Don Mattingly’s squad heading into their weekend series with the NL Central leading St. Louis Cardinals. Be that as it may, the Dodgers moved to an NL best 19-4 ($1,426) at home by sweeping all three contests. Included was a masterful performance by Clayton Kershaw who tossed a complete game shut-out against one of the league’s most potent offensive attacks.

On The Docket: The Dodgers will head to the desert to face the Arizona Diamondbacks looking to improve upon their road marks (9-9, -$83) before returning home to face the Houston Astros where they’ll likely go off the board as gargantuan chalk in every game.

Money-Burners

Chicago Cubs (1-6, -$570): The week was highlighted with the tear jerking moment at Wrigley on Friday afternoon when Kerry Wood got a standing ovation after striking out the last batter of his 12-year career, but it was the only thing that went right for the loveable losers who went on to drop six in a row and got swept by the hated White Sox. This club currently ranks amongst the worst in every statistical category from hitting to the bullpen. Jeff Samardzija was the only starter to log a quality effort last week, and that’s just not going to cut it for a team that’s averaging just 3.63 RPG (#27) with a pen that possesses a 4.50 ERA (#25).

On The Docket: Chicago will hit the road to battle the division rival Astros and Pirates this week, and if they fail to make any hay at either of those venues, Cubs’ fans might just turn the page and start looking forward to Bears season.

Milwaukee Brewers (2-5, -$485): The Brew Crew once again finds themselves on this list after managing just two wins in seven tries last week which includes dropping two of three at home to the woeful Minnesota Twins. Manager Ron Roenicke has been forced to deal with a multitude of injuries up and down his line-up, but that still makes no excuse for getting swept at Houston and dropping the series to the Twinkies. Milwaukee has now cost its betting supporters $1,260 to date which makes them the not so proud title holder of “the worst bet in the National League.”

On The Docket: Their hit or miss offense must now deal with the revitalized San Francisco Giants pitching staff at home for three before invading the desert where they dropped four of six last season.

Colorado Rockies (2-5, -$415): What the heck is going on in the thin air of the Mile High City? Colorado came out on top in just two of its seven games played this past week which followed up a horrendous 1-5 tally the previous week. Manager Jim Tracy isn’t getting enough out of his roster which is loaded with some stellar young hitting talent. On top of that, his pitching staff continues to be a flat out joke as it just allowed the weak hitting Mariners to plate 20 runs over the course of their weekend Interleague set. The Rox now sit in the basement of the NL West standings tied with San Diego a whopping 12 ½ games out! A changing of the guard might be in order as this team has grossly underachieved each of the last 2-plus seasons.

On The Docket: It doesn’t get any easier this week for Troy Tulowitzki and his mates who must travel to Miami to face the Marlins and Cincinnati to battle the Reds; Colorado’s just 7-20 its L/27 away from Coors versus +.500 opposition.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB Betting Notes

May 21, 2012

Dodgers 10/1 to Win World Series
When looking at the chances of all the baseball teams to win the 2012 World Series, the club that looks to have the best shot is the Dodgers. It’s not even June yet, but getting 10/1 (Bet $100 to win $1000) odds on a team that has a seven-game lead in the NL West and the best record in baseball, there really is no better future value. It doesn't mean they'll win, but they have the best chance to at least be there.

The first thing all of the contending teams have to do is make the playoffs and only the Rangers have as much of a five-game lead in their division with all others being tightly contested. This is why the Orioles are still 50/1 to win despite leading their division. The AL East is the toughest division in baseball with the four other teams having lower odds to win the World Series than the Orioles according to LVH Super Book odds. Yes, even the Blue Jays are 25/1.

Despite playing in a pitcher’s park, the Dodgers hitters have been producing at a high level good enough for the NL’s fourth most runs scored (183) and third best average (.267). Even with MVP candidate Matt Kemp going on the DL, the Dodgers have continued to hit and win ball games.

The Dodgers usually always have good pitching and this year is no different. The staff has the second best ERA (2.99) in the NL, led by a surprisingly good starting rotation.

Perhaps the main variable in supporting the Dodgers moving forward is the new ownership group, in particular, president Stan Kasten. Whatever glaring need the Dodgers might appear to have in July, Kasten will make the necessary moves to get to the next level just like he did every year with the Braves in their glory years.

The Braves won 14 straight division titles -- the first 12 with Kasten -- and the final push to the playoffs was always made easier with Kasten going out and getting the missing piece of the puzzle. Look for the Dodgers to do the same thing this year.

Aging Pitchers Getting it Done

As it becomes clearer each ensuing year that baseball has finally cleaned itself up with players use of performance enhancing drugs, we’ve seen home run totals and ERA’s drop simultaneously. Along the way we’ve also seen some pitchers “Long in the Tooth” hang around a few more years than they might of in the past because the game looks somewhat easier for them now than during their steroid era.

It’s getting to the point now where you might have a hard time telling the difference between players and coaches because of the gray in their hair and beards.

Last month, Jamie Moyer -- at 49 years of age -- became the oldest pitcher in baseball history to win a game. The win came one year removed from retiring. He missed the entire 2011 season, but still felt he could throw strikes and keep hitters off-balance with his array of slow pitches. Should he play next season, he’ll be the first player at 50 to play in the majors in a non-publicity stunt since 1933.

The topic of age had me thinking last Friday because I saw some irony in how a few events transpired. On the day that 35-year-old Kerry Wood retired, he struck out his final batter with a 92 mph fastball that had some nasty movement. On the same day, 39-year-old Andy Pettitte went eight scoreless innings in his second start of the season after sitting out the entire 2011 campaign. Then another gray-beard dominated with 37-year-old Kevin Millwood pitching a complete game shutout.

We also have 38-year-old Derek Lowe, who is having an amazing season with Cleveland. He’s 6-2 with a 2.15 ERA in nine starts for the Tribe.

We’ve seen future Hall of Famers go deep into their 40’s with some success like Randy Johnson and Roger Clemens. We’ve had knuckleballers like Hoyt Wilhelm pitch until he was 49, Phil Niekro 48, Charlie Hough 46 and the recently retired Tim Wakefield at 45. Nolan Ryan, Tommy John and Gaylord Perry all pitched at the age of 45. It's at least nice to know there is still a place for craftiness in baseball.

With hitters being less amped up, translating to being less aggressive and angry at the plate, pitchers have been more willing to throw that first strike and get ahead in the count which ultimately leads to hitters swinging at questionable pitches later in the count. With a pitcher like Moyer, who tricks hitters with speeds varying from 62 to 77 mph, he is using all his wealth of pitching knowledge from 269 big league wins to get hitters out and chew up innings.

He’s Back!

Manny Ramirez turns 40 on May 30, the same day he‘s eligible to return to the majors after serving his second suspension for use of performance enhancing drugs. He’ll be playing all this week for the Sacramento River Cats with hopes that he finds his swing again and gets the call back to the show from the A’s. Oakland is in a major power outage right now with Brandon Inge and Yoenis Cespedes on the DL and could use Manny being Manny.

"I still think I can play this game,'' Ramirez told reporters over the weekend while playing in Albuquerque. "When I retired last year, I was all over the place. And I went to the fans, and they told me, ‘We miss you. The game is not the same without you.' Why not come back when I'm doing something I love?''

Who’s Hot?

While Josh Hamilton (22 hits, 13 runs, 9 home runs, 22 RBIs, .440 average last 15 days) has been getting all the well deserved superstar attention over the last two weeks, a few other players have kind of got lost in the shuffle. Over the same stretch, David Wright (22 hits, 12 runs, 1 HR, 10 RBIs, .478 average) has been on fire and he’s currently leading baseball with a .412 average through Sunday and doing all he can to provide some offense for a team that is struggling to get good pitching (MLB fourth worst ERA, 4.60).

The Baltimore Orioles currently lead baseball with 64 home runs and two of the players providing much of the pop have been overlooked during their remarkable run to stay atop the AL East. J.J. Hardy (5 HRs, 12 RBIs) and Adam Jones (7 HRs, 15 RBIs) may not be house hold names, but they’re doing enough for their teams to warrant early MVP considerations and they combined for 12 home runs and 27 RBIs in the last 15 games.

Melky Cabrera, Martin Prado and Robinson Cano are all hitting over. 400 over the last two weeks, but perhaps the biggest name to jump out over that span is last year’s NL MVP Ryan Braun, who has hit .423 over that span. After a slow start without having Prince Fielder hitting behind him and all the media scrutiny from the botched performance enhancing test, Braun’s current run has us all reminded that he’s one of the best players in the game despite the cloud of uncertainty hanging over him.

Young Player Deserving of Hype

The baseball world can’t seem to get enough of Bryce Harper, especially here at his home in Las Vegas. Not everyone who is a No. 1 draft pick has such a dynamic personality with such endless potential, nor do they play on a team battling for first-place for the first time ever. But Harper has struggled as many expected with a .244 average and two home runs in his first 21 games.

Coming up from the minors about the same time as Harper was Angels outfielder Mike Trout, who has hit .355 with four home runs and six stolen bases. Over the last 15 days Trout has hit .420 and given the struggling Angels a spark with plenty of scoring chances for the boppers to bring in. Trout was in the same position last year that Harper is in this season. He took his lumps (.220) when first brought up, started this season in the minors, made adjustments and now it looks like he’s completely comfortable to show off all his skills and be a mainstay in the majors.

Technically, Trout is not a rookie because he had 123 at-bats last season and isn’t eligible to win Rookie of the Year award, but he looks like a player that has the chance to put bigger and better hardware on his mantle.

Instant Replay

When will it be the appropriate time to get plays called right in baseball? They’ve made the first step by having instant replays for questionable home runs, so why not do it now for balls, strikes and outs? Just this past week, the number of bad calls alone has given us a great reason to upgrade with technology, but traditionalists of the game still protest that the naked eye of the umpire is an essential part of the game that should never be changed.

However, baseball has shown to be more progressive in other areas where there was plenty of backlash. We have 10 teams in the postseason now. Up until 1969, there were only two teams that made the playoffs making the long regular season mean much more and more pure to the traditionalists. Why do we have to stand with tradition when everything else in baseball has been de-traditionalized? We have lights in stadiums, cable and satellite television, Interleague play and the designated hitter. We even had a World Series cancelled due to modern greed when even world wars and terrorist attacks couldn’t stop baseball.

Best Days of the Week

We’ve got seven weeks in the books the season that have given us plenty of data to come up with some ridiculous statistics that don’t really mean a thing other than just bar room talking points. One of those stats is how a team does on each individual day of the week. The Reds went 7-0 on Sunday’s with their win at Yankee Stadium this past weekend. It‘s not that big of a deal, but the fact remains that they are only two games above .500 and for some reason they always play big on Sunday.

Other trends include the Dodgers going 7-0 on Saturday’s while the Phillies, Rockies and Diamondbacks are all 1-6 on Saturday. The Braves love Friday’s (6-0) while the Pirates hate them (0-6). The Phillies best day of the week is Thursday (5-0), but if the Angels (0-5) could do without that day, they’d be .500. The D’Backs don’t like Wednesday’s (0-6), but the Rays love them (6-0). And the best, or worst, trend on Monday is the Braves going 0-6.

Hurry Up and Get to the Pen

We always hear about how good teams' bullpens are in regards to blown saves and ERA, but how about actual wins and losses. How about teams that go into the seventh inning with a lead always make you feel comfortable with a bet on them? Only three teams in baseball are perfect. The first one shouldn’t come as a surprise because the Braves (19-0) are highly regarded for their bullpen. But the other two are kind of shock. The Pirates (13-0) and Brewers (13-0), despite losing records, both slam the doors shut without fail when they have a lead.

On the opposite side we have teams that -- for the lack of a better word -- 'quit' when they're down heading into the seventh and records reflect their surrender flag. The Angels (0-16) and Rockies (0-17) have shown no fight in the late innings and is most of the reason the teams haven't had much rah-rah in their club houses and W's in the win column.

[StarDust Bum]

Aces duel on Monday night in Seattle

TEXAS RANGERS (26-16)

at SEATTLE MARINERS (19-24)


First pitch: Monday, 10:10 p.m. ET
Line: Texas -140, Seattle +130, Total: 6½

Two of baseball’s premier arms go head-to-head when Yu Darvish and the Rangers visit Felix Hernandez and the Mariners on Monday night.

While the Rangers have dominated Seattle over the past two seasons, going 18-5 against the Mariners including 7-3 in Seattle, this matchup is much more even than the money line would suggest. Darvish has had control issues all season (4.5 walks per 9 innings) and hasn’t pitched as well as his 2.60 ERA would indicate. Hernandez has thrown 20 consecutive scoreless innings at home, and the Mariners are coming off a three-game sweep at Colorado. Their bats have been uncharacteristically lively of late, as the M’s have scored 25 runs over their past four games. SEATTLE is the pick as the heavy underdog.

The FoxSheets have a few three-star trends working in their favor, including this one:

Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, with a team on-base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL). (45-24 over the last 5 seasons, 65.2%, +28 units. Rating = 3*).

Despite his command issues, Darvish (6-1, 2.60 ERA, 1.33 WHIP) has been excellent in his first big league season. But the Mariners did get to him in his first (and worst) start of the year on April 9, smacking eight hits to go along with four walks and a hit batsman over 5.2 innings. Darvish has a 2.16 ERA in four road starts, striking out 29, but also walking 15 over 25 innings.

Hernandez was roughed up on the road in each of his past two starts (12 runs, 10 earned, over 10.1 innings at New York Yankees and Cleveland). But he’s thrown eight shutout innings in each of his past two home starts, striking out 21 while allowing just nine base runners over 16 innings.

The Rangers have knocked him around pretty good over the years, as Hernandez is 10-16 with a 4.03 ERA over 32 career starts against Texas. The Mariners are 12-20 (.375) in these 32 starts. Last year, he dropped all four starts against the Rangers while posting a 5.04 ERA and allowing 18 runs on 36 hits in 25 innings.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, May 21

AL teams were 24-18 this weekend, with over 20-21-1, 13-10-1 in NL parks, 7-11 in AL stadiums. We're back to the normal schedule today.

Hot pitchers
-- GGonzalez is 5-1, 1.60 in his last seven starts. Kendrick has a 2.45 RA in his last couple starts.
-- JSantana is 1-0, 2.51 in his last five starts. Bedard is 2-1, 3.71 in his last four outings.
-- Buehrle is 2-0, 2.91 in his last three starts.
-- Norris is 2-0, 2.36 in four home starts. Garza is 1-0, 2.45 in his last four starts.
-- Wolf is 1-1, 3.00 in his last three home starts.
-- Capuano is 4-1, 1.59 in his last five starts.

-- Paulino has a 1.93 RA in three starts this season.
-- Hellickson is 2-0, 2.67 in his last five starts.
-- JWilliams is 3-0, 2.05 in his last four starts. Milone is 3-0, 0.78 in his three home starts.
-- Darvish is 5-1, 2.33 in his last seven starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Minor is 0-2, 11.76 in his last four starts. Leake is 0-5, 7.41 in seven starts this season.
-- Moyer is 0-2, 6.19 in his three road starts.
-- Bumgarner is 0-2, 6.18 in his last couple starts.
-- Richard is 0-3, 9.51 in his four road starts. JGarcia is 1-2, 5.19 in his last four starts.
-- Corbin is 2-2, 5.73 in his four starts this season.

-- Kuroda is 1-2, 6.61 in his last three starts.
-- Buchholz has an 8.18 RA in eight starts this season. Hunter is 0-1, 5.71 in his last three starts.
-- Drabek is 1-4, 4.13 in his last five starts.
-- FHernandez is 0-2, 10.45 in his last couple starts.

Hot teams
-- Pirates won four of their last six home games.
-- Braves won 11 of their last 14 road games. Cincinnati is 7-5 in its last dozen home games, but lost last three home series openers.
-- Miami won 14 of its last 19 games.
-- Astros won 10 of their last 15 home games.
-- Giants won six of their last nine games.
-- Dodgers won nine of their last eleven games. Arizona won three of its last four games, but lost seven of last eight at home.

-- Red Sox won eight of their last ten games. Orioles won five of six.
-- Blue Jays won four of their last five games.
-- Mariners won their last three games, scoring 20 runs. Texas won five of its last seven road games.

Cold teams
-- Nationals lost three of their last four games. Phillies lost last couple games, after winning their previous six.
-- Mets are 5-7 in their last dozen road games.
-- Rockies lost four in row, 13 of last 16 games.
-- Cubs lost their last six games, allowing 40 runs.
-- Brewers lost six of their last eight games.
-- Padres lost 10 of their first 14 road games. St Louis lost eight of its last ten games.

-- Royals lost four of their last five games. Bronx lost five of their last six games.
-- Tampa Bay lost three of its last four games.
-- Angels lost 14 of their last 20 road games. Oakland is 3-5 in its last eight games overall.

Totals
-- Seven of last eight Washington games went over the total.
-- Ten of Mets' last eleven road games went over the total.
-- Four of last six Cincinnati games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Miami home games went over the total.
-- Under is 10-2-1 in Houston's last thirteen games.
-- Last six games at Miller Park went over the total.
-- Over is 8-1-1 in last ten St Louis games.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in the Dodgers' last four games.

-- Seven of last nine Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in last dozen Tampa Bay games.
-- Under is 13-5 in Angels' last eighteen road games.
-- Five of last six Texas road games went over the total.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Short Sheet

Monday, May 21

National League

Washington at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Gonzalez: 32-10 TSR as a favorite of -110 or higher
Kendrick: Philadelphia 6-12 SU after the bullpen allowed 0 runs

NY Mets at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
Santana: Mets 12-4 Over off BB road games
Bedard: 1-5 TSR at home with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs

Atlanta at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET ESPN
Minor: Atlanta 10-2 SU after scoring 2 runs or less
Leake: Cincinnati 6-14 SU night games

Colorado at Miami, 7:10 ET
Moyer: Colorado 4-14 SU in May
Buehrle: 25-5 TSR at home in May

Chicago Cubs at Houston, 8:05 ET
Garza: 8-21 TSR off BB starts allowing 2 runs or less
Norris: 8-1 TSR as a home underdog of +125 or less

San Francisco at Milwaukee, 8:10 ET
Bumgarner: 28-12 Under with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs
Wolf: Milwaukee 1-7 SU after scoring 8+ runs

San Diego at St. Louis, 8:15 ET
Richard: San Diego 0-11 SU after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Garcia: St. Louis 15-3 SU off BB games with 1 or 0 extra-base hits

LA Dodgers at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Capuano: Dodgers 13-3 SU after the bullpen allowed 0 runs
Corbin: Arizona 10-5 Under off a combined score of 2 runs or less


American League

Kansas City at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
Paulino: Kansas City 7-1 SU as a road underdog of +150 or higher
Kuroda: 14-3 Over at home in night games

Boston at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Buchholz: Boston 18-5 Over as a favorite of -150 or less
Hunter: Baltimore 18-5 SU with a line of +125 to -125

Toronto at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
Drabek: Toronto 7-18 SU after winning 4 of their last 5 games
Hellickson: Tampa Bay 20-9 SU vs. right-handed starters

LA Angels at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Williams: Angels 7-14 SU in road games
Milone: 9-1 TSR with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs

Texas at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Darvish: Texas 47-19 vs. division opponents
Hernandez: 4-11 TSR in May

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Monday, May 21

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Boston - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore +106 500
Baltimore - Under 9.5 500

Kansas City - 7:05 PM ET Kansas City +139 500
NY Yankees - Under 9 500

NY Mets - 7:05 PM ET Pittsburgh -107 500
Pittsburgh - Over 7 500

Washington - 7:05 PM ET Washington -127 500
Philadelphia - Under 7.5 500

Toronto - 7:10 PM ET Toronto +122 500
Tampa Bay - Over 8 500

Atlanta - 7:10 PM ET Atlanta +100 500
Cincinnati - Over 9 500

Colorado - 7:10 PM ET Miami -157 500
Miami - Over 8 500

Chi. Cubs - 8:05 PM ET Houston -107 500
Houston - Over 7 500

San Francisco - 8:10 PM ET San Francisco -103 500
Milwaukee - Under 8 500

San Diego - 8:15 PM ET St. Louis -185 500
St. Louis - Under 8 500

LA Dodgers - 9:40 PM ET Arizona -127 500
Arizona - Over 9 500

LA Angels - 10:05 PM ET Oakland -101 500
Oakland - Under 7 500

Texas - 10:10 PM ET Seattle +136 500
Seattle - Under 6.5 500