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Diamond Trends - Sunday

May 13, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Astros are 0-13 since April 03, 2011 when playing a day game as a dog after a loss in which they drew 1 or fewer walks for a net profit of $1300 when playing against.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Cardinals are 14-0 OU since April 13, 2011 after a loss in which they allowed 12+ hits and it is not the first game of a series in a night game for a net profit of $1400 when playing the over.


STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Giants are 0-11 since June 23, 2010 when Barry Zito starts after losing as an away dog in his last start for a net profit of $1205 when playing against.


MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


The Diamondbacks are 15-0 (2.9 rpg) since September 16, 2008 at home as a -140+ favorite when their starter lost his past two starts and wasn’t a -200+ favorite for the last start.


TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Tigers are 12-0 since July 22, 2010 when Justin Verlander starts as a 140+ favorite when the bullpen has allowed at least one run for two straight games for a net profit of $1200.

The Royals are 0-10 since May 13, 2011 on the road after a win in which they had 12+ hits in a night game for a net profit of $1000 when playing against.

[StarDust Bum]

Diamondbacks Begin Week At LA Dodgers

Bettors may soon start to identify the acronym TGIF as standing for Thank God It's Free cash day at MLB betting windows. Friday's results saw a season-long trend continue that's getting difficult to ignore, even if it is without rhyme or reason.

Eleven of the 15 games on the May 11 slate went 'over' the total, marking the fifth time in six Fridays that high-side wagers have won out. For the season, the 'over' now stands 49-30-4 on the final day of the conventional workweek, while the 'under' is 209-178-15 the other six days.

Again, there isn't a logical explanation other than maybe it's tied to this 2012 Mayan calendar stuff. We'll keep an eye on the strange little phenomenon as the season progresses, but in the meantime, here's a look at a Sunday contest to wrap up Week 6 and another to begin Week 7.

Hamilton Continues Tear As Halos, Rangers Wrap Up Series
The price of Josh Hamilton's next contract continues to go up as the Texas Rangers slugger maintains his assault on American League pitchers. Hamilton popped two more homers in Friday's 10-3 Texas win over the Los Angeles Angels, giving him eight long balls this week and an MLB-best 17 for the season.

Game 2 of the series includes a strange twist as CJ Wilson, whose Friday outing was cut very short by a rain delay, will start again Saturday for LA. Texas counters with Matt Harrison, and the Rangers are priced around $1.60 for the matchup that is carrying a 9½-run total on the Don Best odds screen.

The series finale will be the weekly ESPN Sunday Night Baseball broadcast (8:00 p.m. ET), and pits Jered Weaver on the hill for the Angels against Texas' Neftali Feliz.

It will be Feliz' first career assignment vs. the Halos after spending the past three seasons in the Rangers bullpen. It's also just his second start this year at home, the other coming more than a month ago when he tossed seven scoreless frames vs. Seattle in his season debut. Feliz is coming off an excellent performance Tuesday in Baltimore where he worked six innings, allowed just one run and four hits, and struck out a career-high eight batters.

Weaver brings a perfect 5-0 record (Angels 5-2) into Sunday's clash to go with his 1.60 ERA, second in the AL. He has won two straight starts while allowing just a single run over the last three, a span that includes his May 2 no-hitter vs. Minnesota. He has seen the Rangers plenty during his career, and has struggled at their ballpark in Arlington. The Halos have won just two of his last nine starts in Texas while Weaver's ERA is a lofty 5.74 in the hitter-friendly confines.

D-Backs & Dodgers Begin Series In LA
We've reached that quirky part of the MLB schedule when teams play a pair of short 2-game series before heading into next weekend's round of interleague play. One of those 2-game quickies gets underway Monday in Los Angeles where the Dodgers host the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 10:10 p.m. (ET) first pitch.

The starting pitching matchup for Game 1 lends promise for a low-scoring affair as Ian Kennedy gets the call for Arizona opposite LA's Clayton Kershaw.

It's the first meeting of the season between the division rivals, and an important one for Arizona who snapped a 5-game skid Friday with a 5-1 home triumph over San Francisco. The Dodgers are all alone at the top of the NL West standings, and the D-Backs can ill-afford to drop both games at Chavez Ravine despite it still being early.

It is also an important start for Kennedy who is coming off a rough outing vs. St. Louis in general and Carlos Beltran specifically (7 IP, 6 ER, 2 Beltran HR). Arizona has now lost his last three trips to the mound, but perhaps a game away from Chase Field can help get Kennedy back on track. The California native owns a 5.40 ERA at home compared to a 1.86 mark on the road.

The good news for the D-Backs is they went a perfect 4-0 in Kennedy's matchups with the Dodgers a year ago, including a couple of dubyas in Los Angeles.

The bad news is Arizona will be going up against a tough customer in reigning NL Cy Young winner Kershaw. After winning the southpaw's first five starts of the season, LA has now dropped his last two assignments. Kershaw was 3-1 with a 1.42 ERA when facing the Diamondbacks in 2011, and the Dodgers have won 16 of his last 20 starts at home (1.85 ERA in those games )

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Public opinion: Sunday's biggest consensus bets

Check out Sunday’s biggest consensus plays in the NHL, NBA and MLB.

NBA

Los Angeles Clippers at Memphis Grizzlies (-8, 178)

The Memphis Grizzlies barely edged the Los Angeles Clippers for the No. 4 seed and home-court advantage, putting them in position to host Sunday’s winner-take-all Game 7. The Grizzlies have clawed back from a 3-1 series deficit with two straight victories, including Friday's night's 90-88 win in Los Angeles over the hobbled Clippers. Memphis has won two of three at home in the series, but blew a 27-point lead in Game 1 and frittered away most of a 24-point edge in Game 5.

Consensus: Los Angeles (75 percent)/Memphis (25 percent)

NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Phoenix Coyotes (+101, 4.5)

Goaltending will be the focus as the Los Angeles Kings visit the Phoenix Coyotes in Game 1 of the Western Conference finals Saturday night. Kings netminder Jonathan Quick is enjoying the best season in franchise history, nominated for the Vezina Trophy following a dominant regular season and boasting similarly stingy numbers so far in the playoffs. Phoenix has its own star goalie in Mike Smith, the only player in the postseason with two shutouts on his resume.

Consensus: Los Angeles (60 percent)/Phoenix (40 percent)

MLB

San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies (-200, 7.5)

Despite persistent trade rumors surrounding Philadelphia starter Cole Hamels, the betting public is all over him even with the hefty price tag. He missed his last start after being suspended for intentionally hitting rookie Bryce Harper with a pitch. Hamels allowed just one run in eight innings during that win while striking out eight. The Phillies are just 6-8 at home this season.

Consensus: Philadelphia (74 percent)/San Diego (26 percent)

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, May 13

Hot pitchers
-- EJackson is 0-0, 2.75 in his last three starts. Arroyo is 2-1, 2.45 in his last five outings.
-- Zambrano has a 1.29 RA in his last five starts.
-- WRodriguez is 3-2, 2.06 in his last five starts. Burnett is 1-0, 1.20 in his two home starts.
-- Hamels is 4-0, 2.06 in his last five starts. 37-year old Suppan is 2-0, 0.90 in his first two '12 starts.
-- Samardzija is 2-0, 0.84 in his last three starts.
-- Lynn is 6-0, 1.40 in six starts this season. Hanson has a 2.74 RA in his four road starts.
-- Zito is 1-1, 2.70 in six starts this season.
-- Lilly is 4-0, 1.69 in five starts this season. White allowed two runs in 6.1 IP in his first '12 start, at Petco.

-- Masterson is 1-0, 3.05 in his last three starts.
-- Romero is 1-0, 2.57 in his last couple road starts. Diamond blanked the Angels for seven innings in his first '12 start.
-- Parker is 1-0, 1.80 in first three starts for Oakland. Verlander is 3-0, 3.35 in his last five starts.
-- Weaver is 4-0, 0.98 in his last five starts. Feliz is 2-1, 3.19 in his five starts this season.

Cold pitchers
-- Niese is 0-1, 5.14 in his last four starts.
-- Estrada is 0-2, 6.92 in his last two starts.
-- Saunders is 0-1, 9.31 in his last couple starts.

-- Millwood is 0-4, 7.81 in his last five starts. Pettitte is making his first '12 start; he was 0-2, 3.71 in four minor league starts, allowing 10 runs in 17 innings pitched.
-- Arrieta is 1-3, 5.50 in his last six starts. Shields is 2-1, 5.50 in his last three outings.
-- Bard is 1-2, 5.59 in his last three starts.
-- Duffy is 1-1, 6.28 in his last three starts. Humber has allowed 20 runs in 13.1 IP in three starts since his perfect game.

Hot teams
-- Marlins won nine of their last 11 games. Mets won six of their last seven games.
-- Washington won its last three games, allowing six runs.
-- St Louis won four of its last six games. Braves won eight of their last ten road games.
-- Brewers won three of their last four games.
-- Dodgers won seven of their last eight home games.

-- Bronx won five of its last six games.
-- Angels won five of their last seven games. Texas won four of six.
-- Orioles are 8-4 in their last twelve home games.
-- Cleveland is 8-6 in its last fourteen games.
-- Chicago won three of its last four games. Royals are 9-6 in their last fifteen games.
-- Blue Jays won three of their last four games.
-- A's won five of their last seven games.

Cold teams
-- Pittsburgh is 2-8 in game following its last ten wins. Astros lost nine of their last thirteen road games.
-- Phillies lost six of their last eight games. San Diego is 3-8 on road.
-- Cincinnati lost three of its last four games.
-- Cubs lost ten of their last thirteen road games.
-- Arizona lost six of its last seven games. Giants lost seven of eleven.
-- Rockies lost seven of their last eight games.

-- Mariners lost three of their last four games.
-- Rays lost six of their last seven games.
-- Boston lost eight of its last eleven games.
-- Minnesota lost 15 of its last 19 games.
-- Tigers lost three of their last four games.

Totals
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Pittsburgh games.
-- Seven of Phillies' last eight games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-2-1 in Miami's last twelve home games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Cincinnati games.
-- Seven of Cubs' last ten games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Atlanta games stayed under total. Over is 11-3 in last fourteen Cardinal games.
-- Last four Arizona home games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Colorado road games stayed under total.

-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Bronx games.
-- Six of last nine Baltimore games went over total.
-- Seven of last nine Boston games went over the total.
-- Under is 12-2 in Angels' last fourteen road games.
-- White Sox' last three home games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Minnesota games stayed under total.
-- Under is 10-5 in Detroit's road games this season.

Umpires
-- Chi-Mil-- Over is 23-18 in last 41 Johnson games.
-- NY-Mia-- Underdogs won four of six Tichenor games.
-- SD-Phil-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Scott games (hosts 6-0).
-- Hst-Pitt-- Over is 5-2-1 in Reynolds games, with underdogs winning his last five games behind plate.
-- Wsh-Cin-- Home team won last four Foster games.
-- Atl-StL-- Visiting team won last four Knight games.
-- SF-Az-- Under is 18-13 in last 31 Fairchild games.
-- Col-LA-- Over is 4-0-1 in Carlson games this season.

-- LA-Tex-- Five of six Bellino games stayed under total.
-- Sea-NY-- Three of last four Barry games stayed under.
-- TB-Blt-- Last three Davis games stayed under the total.
-- Tor-Min-- Six of last seven Nelson games stayed under.
-- KC-Chi-- Underdogs won three of five West games.
-- Cle-Bos-- Home side won four of last five Kulpa games.
-- Det-A's-- Favorites won five of six Diaz games.

[StarDust Bum]

MLB

Sunday, May 13

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Seattle - 1:05 PM ET Seattle +169 500
NY Yankees - Over 10 500

NY Mets - 1:10 PM ET NY Mets +130 500
Miami - Over 7 500

Washington - 1:10 PM ET Cincinnati -125 500
Cincinnati - Under 8.5 500

Tampa Bay - 1:35 PM ET Tampa Bay -120 500
Baltimore - Over 8.5 500

Cleveland - 1:35 PM ET Cleveland +126 500
Boston - Under 9 500

San Diego - 1:35 PM ET San Diego +185 500
Philadelphia - Over 7.5 500

Houston - 1:35 PM ET Houston +110 500
Pittsburgh - Over 7 500

Toronto - 2:10 PM ET Toronto -150 500
Minnesota - Over 8 500

Kansas City - 2:10 PM ET Kansas City +118 500
Chi. White Sox - Over 8.5 500

Chi. Cubs - 2:10 PM ET Milwaukee -121 500
Milwaukee - Under 8 500

Atlanta - 2:15 PM ET Atlanta +136 500
St. Louis - Over 7 500

Detroit - 4:05 PM ET Detroit -170 500
Oakland - Under 6.5 500

San Francisco - 4:10 PM ET San Francisco +131 500
Arizona - Over 9 500

Colorado - 4:10 PM ET LA Dodgers -151 500
LA Dodgers - Under 7.5 500

LA Angels - 8:05 PM ET Texas -130 500
Texas - Under 8 500

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