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  • The Bum's Sunday's MLB Best Bets !

    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Sunday, May 6

    Hot pitchers
    -- Dickey is 1-0, 2.77 in his last couple starts.
    -- Morton is 1-1, 2.25 in his two home starts.
    -- Garza is 1-0, 1.29 in his last couple starts.
    -- Beachy is 2-0, 1.63 in his last four starts. Nicasio is 2-0, 3.38 in his last three outings.
    -- Cain has a 1.39 RA in his last four starts. Marcum has a 3.24 RA in his last four starts, but no wins.
    -- Nolasco is 2-0, 2.29 in his last three starts.
    -- Hamels is 3-0, 2.33 in his last four starts. Zimmerman is 1-2, 2.43 in his five starts this season.

    -- Darvish is 3-0, 0.83 in his last three starts.
    -- Hunter is 1-0, 2.07 in his last couple starts.
    -- Moore is 1-0, 3.71 in his last three starts.
    -- JWilliams is 2-0, 1.99 in his last three starts.

    Cold pitchers
    -- Cahill is 1-2, 5.79 in his last three starts.
    -- Latos is 1-2, 5.97 in five starts this season.
    -- Harang is 1-2, 6.04 in his five starts this season.
    -- Happ has a 4.60 RA in five starts this season. Wainwright is 1-3, 6.75 in his five starts this season.
    -- Padres were outscored 23-6 in Weiland's (0-4, 5.73) four starts.

    -- Porcello is 1-2, 9.77 in his last three starts.
    -- Jimenez is 0-2, 9.28 in his last couple starts.
    -- Buchholz allowed 29 runs in 29 IP in five starts this season.
    -- Milone is 1-2, 8.04 on road (2-0, 0.00 at home).
    -- Hochevar is 1-2, 8.85 in his last four starts. Hughes is 1-4, 9.14 in his five starts this season.
    -- Noesi is 0-2, 9.75 in his last three starts. Minnesota is 0-4 when Blackburn starts (0-3, 6.64).

    Hot teams
    -- Cincinnati won four of its last six road games.
    -- Houston won its last six home games.
    -- Braves won seven of their last nine road games.
    -- Marlins are 5-0 on this road trip, with four one-run wins.
    -- Washington won three of its last four games.

    -- Cleveland won four of its last six games.
    -- Tampa Bay won 12 of their last 14 games. A's are 7-4 in their last 11 road games.
    -- Orioles won six of their last seven games.
    -- Royals won six of their last nine games, but are 2-11 at home.
    -- Angels won six of their last nine home games. Toronto won six of their last eight games overall.

    Cold teams
    -- Diamondbacks lost three of their last four games. Mets lost four of their last five games.
    -- Dodgers lost four of last six road games. Cubs are 6-9 at home.
    -- Pirates lost six of their last nine games.
    -- Cardinals lost four of their last five road games.
    -- Colorado lost five of its last seven games.
    -- Giants are 5-7 in their last dozen home games. Brewers are 3-6 in their last nine games overall.
    -- Padres are 4-7 in their last eleven games.
    -- Phillies lost three of their last four games.

    -- Detroit lost six of its last eight home games. White Sox lost eight of their last eleven games.
    -- Rangers lost four of their last six games.
    -- Dating back to LY, Red Sox are 8-19 in their last 27 home games.
    -- Bronx lost seven of its last eleven games.
    -- Mariners lost seven of their last eight games. Minnesota lost ten of last twelve games.

    Totals
    -- Nine of Cubs' last eleven games stayed under the total.
    -- Eight of Phillies' last ten road games went over the total.
    -- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Pittsburgh home games.
    -- Six of Mets' last eight games went over the total.
    -- Nine of last eleven St Louis road games stayed under total.
    -- Eight of last nine games at Coors Field went over total.
    -- Ten of last eleven Miami road games stayed under the total.
    -- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven San Francisco home games.

    -- Seven of White Sox' last ten games went over the total.
    -- Under is 8-3 in Cleveland's last eleven home games.
    -- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Tampa Bay home games.
    -- Under is 9-3 in last dozen Baltimore games.
    -- Last seven Bronx games stayed under the total.
    -- Under is 11-2 in Angels' last thirteen games.
    -- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Minnesota games.

    Umpires
    -- Az-NY-- Over is 5-2 in Davidson games this season.
    -- Cin-Pitt-- Four of five Wolf games went over the total.
    -- StL-Hst-- Road teams won all five Meals games this year.
    -- LA-Chi-- Five of six Kellogg games stayed under the total.
    -- Atl-Col-- Home teams won four of six Runge games.
    -- Mil-SF-- Under is 21-16 in last 37 Hernandez games.
    -- Mia-SD-- Underdogs won three of five Barksdale games.
    -- Phil-Wsh-- Last four Fletcher games went over the total.

    -- Balt-Bos-- Underdogs won four of last five Hoye games.
    -- Chi-Det-- Four of last five BWelke games went over total.
    -- Tex-Clev-- Home side won four of five Campos games.
    -- A's-TB-- Road teams won four of last five Demuth games.
    -- NY-KC-- Home teams won three of four Gonzalez games.
    -- Tor-LA-- Four of five Wegner games stayed under the total.
    -- Min-Sea-- Road teams are 22-18 in last 40 Everitt games.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Diamond Trends - Sunday

    May 6, 2012

    SU TREND OF THE DAY:


    The Brewers are 0-10 since May 01, 2011 on the road and it is the last game of a three game series when they split the first two for a net profit of $1072 when playing against.


    OU TREND OF THE DAY:


    The Diamondbacks are 0-10 OU since May 12, 2011 on the road when they are off a loss in which they held the lead and it is the last game of a series for a net profit of $1000 when playing the under.

    STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


    The Pirates are 0-7 OU since July 18, 2011 when Charlie Morton starts at home for a net profit of $700 when playing the under.

    MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


    The Indians are 0-25 OU (-2.7 rpg) in database history when the total is at least 8 when closing a series in a home day game starting at 1:00 p.m. or later vs a non-divisional American League team which they played at night the game prior.

    TODAY’S TRENDS:


    The Mariners are 0-10 since May 07, 2011 at home after a win in which their opponent left fewer than 10 men on base for a net profit of $1110 when playing against.

    The Rockies are 7-0 since June 14, 2011 when Juan Nicasio starts when he is off a start in which he needed more than 4 pitches per batter for a net profit of $700
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Giants Close Homestand Before 6-Game Road Trip

      It's been an abysmal homestand so far for Bruce Bochy and the San Francisco Giants. Swept by the Miami Marlins earlier this week, the Giants also fell in Friday's series opener vs. the Milwaukee Brewers to enter Saturday's contest on a 4-game skid.

      San Francisco was priced at -150 to even the set with a win against the Brew Crew in Game 2. That game was still pending and featured an all-lefty mound clash between the Giants' Madison Bumgarner and Milwaukee's Randy Wolf. If San Fran can grab the dubya in that game, Bochy's squad can get back to .500 on the season with another win Sunday (4:05 p.m. ET) when ace Matt Cain takes the mound opposite Shaun Marcum of the Brewers.

      To be fair, injuries to key personnel have dogged the Giants in the early going, beginning with 2B Freddy Sanchez who started the season on the DL while he continued to rehab from shoulder surgery. That rehab has been slow, and his return to action is without a timetable.

      San Francisco then lost closer Brian Wilson to season-ending elbow surgery, with the bullpen taking another hit when Jeremy Affeldt hit the DL with a knee injury. The Giants have also been without 1B Aubrey Huff because of anxiety disorder, and just placed 3B Pablo Sandoval on the shelf this week because of a broken hand that needed surgery. Sandoval is expected to miss 4-6 weeks.

      Fortunately for Bochy, his starting rotation remains intact and ranked among the top 5 in the NL in ERA (3.16), batting average against (.216) and WHIP (1.14) when play started Saturday.

      Cain has dropped his last two starts and the Giants are just 2-3 in his 2012 assignments despite the right-hander owning a 2.35 ERA. His last four outings have each been quality starts and his ERA at AT&T Park is a tiny 0.69 in three games (26 IP).

      The Brewers have been a bit troublesome for him recently, with Cain 2-3 in his last five tries vs. Milwaukee while posting a 4.36 ERA.

      Meanwhile, Ron Roenicke's rotation has been anything but the team's strength to this point. Milwaukee starters rank 15th in the NL in ERA (4.97), WHIP (1.50) and BAA (.284), and the offense hasn't been able to do enough to make up for the poor effort from the mound corps.

      Marcum has the lowest ERA among the starters (3.19), yet the Brewers have dropped each of his last four trips to the hill with the offense supplying just nine runs total in those games. His lone career outing in San Francisco came last July, and Marcum picked up the win with seven 4-hit innings while allowing just two runs as a +120 underdog.

      The unpredictable Angel Hernandez should have the plate for the series finale. Two of his first three games calling the balls and strikes have gone 'under' the total, and that comes on the heels of a 2011 campaign in which the low side prevailed at a 19-15-2 clip.

      Zito Gets Nod As Giants Begin Road Trip In LA
      Staying with the Giants as we head into next week, they'll skip town after Sunday's game vs. the Brewers to make a short trip south to Los Angeles for Monday's matchup against the Dodgers. The contest begins a 6-game road trip for San Francisco who will be in Arizona following the 3-game set in LA.

      Game 1 in Los Angeles is another all-lefty mound duel for the Giants who send Barry Zito up against the Dodgers' Ted Lilly for the 10:10 p.m. (ET) start.

      Don Mattingly's club will be returning to LA after a 6-game tour through Colorado and Chicago. That trip started by dropping three of the first four contests, and the Dodgers will no doubt be happy to come back to Chavez Ravine where they've started the year 10-2 and outscored the opposition 50-32. Los Angeles is also 6-1 at home so far in 1-run games.

      The Dodgers are also off to a 3-1 beginning to the season with Lilly on the hill, and why not with the Cali native sporting a 1.38 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in those four assignments. The 13-year vet has been immensely efficient on the mound, using under 83 pitches on average and twice working seven full frames. He came out of his last start in Colorado after six innings and 79 pitches due to a mild oblique strain, but is reportedly ready to go on Monday.

      Lilly has made four starts vs. San Fran since joining the Dodgers midway through the 2010 campaign, and LA has lost all four. Lilly's ERA in those games is a batting practice-esque 6.86.

      Zito's excellent start to the 2012 season was jerked back into reality his last time out when he couldn't get through the fourth inning vs. Miami while burning through 91 offerings and walking seven. He's been stellar away from San Fran in three assignments, allowing just three earned runs 22 innings.

      San Francisco is just 1-6 in Zito's last seven battles with the Dodgers despite his ERA below 3.00 in those games, and 0-3 in his last three starts in Los Angeles.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        MLB

        Sunday, May 6

        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Sunday Night Baseball: Phillies at Nationals
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals (-115, 6)

        Led by what has been easily the best pitching staff in baseball thus far, Washington has given itself an early lead in what was expected to be a tight National League East race. The Nationals have put defending division champ Philadelphia in an early hole, winning the first two games of this weekend’s series to leave the Phillies 5 1/2 games back in fourth place.

        Washington still has one of the more sluggish lineups in the league, but it upgraded its pitching rotation in the offseason by acquiring Gio Gonzalez — who pitched seven solid innings for the win Saturday — and Edwin Jackson. The Phillies, who already boast one of the best pitching staffs in the game, have struggled almost as badly as the Nationals on offense, scoring one run or fewer nine times this season.

        TV: 8:05 p.m. ET, ESPN (national)

        PITCHING MATCHUP: Phillies LH Cole Hamels (3-1, ERA 2.78) vs. Nationals RH Jordan Zimmermann (1-2, ERA 1.89)

        Hamels was a hard-luck loser in his first outing of the year, but he has been solid ever since, turning in four straight quality starts, all of which Philadelphia won. The left-hander has shown excellent control, walking just five while striking out 36 in 32 1/3 innings. Hamels is 10-4 with a 2.71 ERA in 20 career starts against the Nationals.

        Zimmermann hasn’t gotten much run support this season, earning just one win despite yielding one earned run in each of his first four starts. He faltered somewhat in his last trip to the mound, a May 1 loss to Arizona (6 1/3 IP, 8 H, 4 R, 3 ER, 6 K). Zimmermann will be looking for his first win against the Phillies, having gone 0-2 with a 6.60 ERA in three prior starts.

        TRENDS:

        * Phillies are 4-0 in Hamels' last four road starts vs. Nationals.
        * Phillies are 9-1 in Hamels' last 10 starts vs. Nationals.
        * Over is 25-8-1 in the last 34 meetings in Washington.
        * Under is 10-4 in Hamels' last 14 starts vs. Nationals.
        * Phillies are 1-6 in the last seven meetings in Washington.
        * Phillies are 0-7 in the last seven meetings.

        UMP TRENDS - Sam Holbrook

        * Over is 20-8-1 in Holbrooks last 29 Sunday games behind home plate.
        * Over is 5-2-1 in Holbrooks last eight games behind home plate vs. Philadelphia.
        * Over is 45-22-5 in Holbrooks last 72 games behind home plate.

        WALK-OFFS

        1. The Nationals have allowed just nine homers, eight fewer than any other team in the majors.

        2. Hamels has 136 strikeouts in 129 1/3 career innings against Washington. Excluding injured 3B Ryan Zimmerman, current Nationals are 23-for-111 (.207) against him.

        3. Though the Phillies owned baseball’s best record (102-60) last season, the Nationals have been the better team lately, winning 32 of their last 45 compared with Philadelphia’s 19-26 mark over the same number of games.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

          05/05/12 6-*2-*0 75.00% +*1950 Detail
          05/04/12 14-*13-*1 51.85% +*305 Detail
          05/03/12 10-*8-*0 55.56% +*605 Detail
          05/02/12 18-*12-*0 60.00% +*3735 Detail
          05/01/12 3-*25-*0 10.71% -*13070 Detail

          Totals 51-*60-*1 45.95% -*6475



          Sunday, May 6

          Game Score Status Pick Amount

          Chi. White Sox - 1:05 PM ET Detroit -142 500
          Detroit - Under 9 500

          Texas - 1:05 PM ET Cleveland +154 500
          Cleveland - Under 8.5 500

          Arizona - 1:10 PM ET NY Mets -107 500
          NY Mets - Under 7.5 500

          Baltimore - 1:35 PM ET Boston -145 500
          Boston - Over 10.5 500

          Cincinnati - 1:35 PM ET Cincinnati -124 500
          Pittsburgh - Under 8 500

          Oakland - 1:40 PM ET Oakland +150 500
          Tampa Bay - Over 7.5 500

          St. Louis - 2:05 PM ET Houston +138 500
          Houston - Over 8 500

          NY Yankees - 2:10 PM ET Kansas City +113 500
          Kansas City - Over 9.5 500

          Atlanta - 3:10 PM ET Colorado +113 500
          Colorado - Under 9.5 500

          Toronto - 3:35 PM ET LA Angels -124 500
          LA Angels - Over 8.5 500

          Miami - 4:05 PM ET Miami -119 500
          San Diego - Under 7 500

          Milwaukee - 4:05 PM ET San Francisco -140 500
          San Francisco - Under 6 500

          Minnesota - 4:10 PM ET Seattle -125 500
          Seattle - Over 8 500

          Philadelphia - 8:05 PM ET Washington -111 500
          Washington - Over 6 500
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            get em BUM....thanks


            Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

            Comment

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