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  • The Bum's Saturday's MLB Best Bets !

    Pitching-Thin Red Sox Host Orioles At Fenway Park

    How desperately thin is Boston's mound corps? Try Aaron Cook thin.

    The Red Sox are planning to send Cook to the hill Saturday in place of Josh Beckett when they continue their weekend home set with the Baltimore Orioles. Beckett is nursing a sore back and will reportedly miss just this one start. Cook's role with the Sox after this game is unknown.

    Jason Hammel will get the call for Baltimore, making for an interesting mound matchup after Hammel and Cook were teammates the past three seasons in Colorado. First pitch is slated for 1:10 p.m. (ET). The series opened Friday night with those results still pending. Jon Lester and the Red Sox were $1.60 favorites against Wei-Yin Chen and the Orioles with an 8½-run total according to the Don Best odds screen.

    Cook was not re-signed by the Rockies after 10 years in Denver, the final two seasons seeing him go 9-18 with a 5.48 ERA. He hooked up with Boston on a minor league deal this spring, and the Red Sox either needed to call him up to the bigs at this time or release him. The right-hander made five starts for Triple-A Pawtucket and performed very well facing minor league hitters, posting a 1.89 ERA and averaging close to seven frames per outing.

    His Red Sox debut will be his first career start vs. Baltimore and just his second game at Fenway Park. Cook faced Boston in a 2007 interleague contest, working 7-1/3 innings and allowing two earned runs in a Rockies loss.

    Hammel has quickly established himself as the ace of the Orioles staff after coming to Baltimore in an offseason trade that sent Jeremy Guthrie to the Rockies. He's off his first loss of the season after pitching the O's into the win column his first four outings. Hammel didn't get much offensive support this past Monday at the Yankees, losing 2-1 with his only mistake in six innings turning into both New York runs courtesy of an Eric Chavez homer.

    Like Cook, this will be Hammel's second career start at Fenway. He saw the Sox while with the Rays (2006-08), making two starts and six relief appearances. The lone assignment in Boston saw Hammel work four innings and allow five runs.

    Wolf, Bumgarner Collide In San Fran
    A key NL series out west finds a pair of clubs languishing below .500 and each five games out of their respective division leads heading into the weekend. The Milwaukee Brewers and San Francisco Giants were set to begin the 3-game set Friday with a mound duel between Zack Grienke and Tim Lincecum. San Fran was an ever-so-slight favorite behind The Freak, with a 6-run total that leaned strongly to the 'under.'

    Saturday's contest is part of the FOX regional broadcast (4:05 p.m. ET) and pits a pair of southpaws, Randy Wolf for the Brewers and Madison Bumgarner for the Giants.

    The Giants enter the weekend having just been swept in a 3-game series by the visiting Miami Marlins. Adding to that bad news was 3B Pablo Sandoval hitting the DL with a broken bone in his left hand that will require surgery and keep him out of the lineup for at least four weeks.

    Bumgarner's season got off on a losing note, but he has since bounced back with four consecutive victories. The lanky lefty surrendered just five earnies in that 28-IP span and has been extra tough in three starts vs. the Brewers over his short career (2-1, 1.27 ERA).

    Wolf has strung together two straight wins after Milwaukee dropped his first three assignments on the schedule. He hasn't been fooling hitters at all (.336 BAA), and even in the two victories has struggled with his command (7 BB, 11 IP). He has performed well at AT&T Park in recent seasons, his clubs winning three of his four starts there while Wolf compiled a 1.24 ERA.

    'Ponce de Colon' Battles Rays In Tampa
    Spanish explorer Ponce de Leon once came to Florida seeking the Fountain of Youth. Oakland Athletics pitcher Bartolo Colon arrives in Florida to battle the Tampa Bay Rays after apparently finding that elusive fountain in the Dominican Republic a couple of years ago thanks to a controversial stem cell procedure.

    The chunky right-hander certainly has been pitching much younger than his age – he turns 39 in a few weeks – and will face Tampa's Jeremy Hellickson at Tropicana Field on Saturday (7:10 p.m. ET). It's the second game of a weekend series that got underway Friday when Rays' lefty David Price was a hefty -190 favorite against Tyson Ross and the A's.

    Colon has experienced just one hiccup on the season (April 7 vs. Seattle) to go with five quality starts. Even with that 4-1/3 IP, 7-ER spanking the Mariners administered, Colon is sporting a 2.53 ERA and 0.94 WHIP going into Saturday's assignment. Oakland's anemic offense is a big reason why the club is just 3-3 in Colon's outings despite his efforts.

    Hellickson also has just one poor outing among his five starts this season, with the Rays collecting a dubya in each of his last three trips to the mound. He's been especially tough at home (21-2/3 IP, 2 ER) where Tampa Bay is a perfect 3-0 in his contests, but has struggled in two career assignments vs. Oakland. The Rays are 0-2 in those games with Hellickson's ERA at 4.76.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Rays & Orioles Turning Biggest MLB Profits

    As promised a few weeks ago, we would be providing periodic updates of the “real MLB standings” that handicappers and wagerers find most valuable...performance vs. the Money Line and the Run Line.

    We have had just over a month’s worth of results to ****** and many of the numbers look similar to the ones we first posted in mid-April.

    Still, it’s a good idea to not only have an overview of season-long performance, but also more-recent results to account for current form, which are reflected in an additional calculation. Following are the unit standings vs. the Money Line through action of Thursday, May 3. Results from April 18-May 3 are in parentheses.

    AL WEST
    Texas +609 (+77)
    Oakland +283 (+434)
    Seattle -215 (-304)
    LA Angels -1241 (-628)

    AL CENTRAL
    Cleveland +232 (+216)
    Chicago White Sox -146 (-177)
    Detroit -454 (-877)
    Kansas City -480 (-46)
    Minnesota -905 (-547)

    AL EAST
    Tampa Bay +1071 (+1110)
    Baltimore +1049 (+584)
    Toronto +166 (+106)
    NY Yankees -320 (-275)
    Boston -400 (-50)

    NL WEST
    LA Dodgers +861 (+43)
    Arizona +49 (-208)
    Colorado +22 (+266)
    San Francisco -97 (-49)
    San Diego -730 (-111)

    NL CENTRAL
    St. Louis +532 (+21)
    Pittsburgh +74 (+208)
    Houston +41 (+202)
    Cincinnati -150 (-207)
    Chicago Cubs -410 (-9)
    Milwaukee -623 (-463)

    NL EAST
    Washington +559 (-21)
    NY Mets +251 (-225)
    Atlanta +109 (+179)
    Philadelphia -434 (-47)
    Miami -537 (-382)

    Stark about the numbers above in the AL is how the Angeles continue to burn investors. Even accounting for a three-game sweep at midweek over the slumping Twins, the Halos are nonetheless an MLB-worst -1241 units on the through May 3, and have continued to underachieve over the past two-and-a-half weeks since April 17, reflected in a -628 ML performance that span.

    Conversely, Baltimore continues to provide outstanding value, now at +1049 units for the season and +589 the past two-and-a-half weeks. Although the O’s aren't even the hottest team in their division at the moment, as surging Tampa Bay, on the heels of an astounding +1110 ML performance since mid-April, is now an MLB-best +1071 on the Money Line entering weekend action.

    Meanwhile, the National League board has changed little over since mid-April, with the Dodgers, Cardinals and Nationals continuing to offer good value. The biggest movers since mid-April are both on the negative side, with Milwaukee (-463 since April 17) and Miami (-382 since mid-April despite the three-game sweep earlier this week at San Francisco).

    Following are Run Line standings by division, also through May 3. Results from April 18-May 3 are in parentheses.

    AL WEST
    Texas +396 (+280)
    Seattle +299 (+50)
    Oakland -589 (+64)
    LA Angels -917 (-887)

    AL CENTRAL
    Chicago White Sox +655 (+350)
    Kansas City +59 (+110)
    Cleveland -493 (-54)
    Minnesota -565 (+26)
    Detroit -688 (-22)

    AL EAST
    Baltimore +1337 (+753)
    Toronto +649 (+74)
    Tampa Bay +29 (-546)
    Boston -363 (-454)
    NY Yankees -710 (-462)

    NL WEST
    Arizona +955 (+187)
    LA Dodgers +578 (+429)
    San Francisco +251 (+97)
    Colorado -124 (+326)
    San Diego -740 (-124)

    NL CENTRAL
    St. Louis +1146 (+557)
    Houston +703 (+513)
    Pittsburgh +240 (-32)
    Chicago Cubs -402 (-60)
    Cincinnati -494 (-277)
    Milwaukee -1014 (-615)

    NL EAST
    Philadelphia -115 (+104)
    Atlanta -172 (-86)
    Washington -215 (-157)
    Miami -598 (-177)
    NY Mets -837 (-1042)

    Results can vary from the Run Line to the Money Line because of the one-run decisions that can make a winning side a losing side (and vice versa) in this wager. As is often the case, there are some more pronounced numbers to review in the RL results.

    Still, much like the case with the Money Line in the AL, the Angels continue to be a poor investment, especially so since mid-April while posting a numbing -877 units on the Run Line. Tampa Bay, with a succession of one-run wins, is not lately providing the value on the Run Line that it does on the Money Line (the Rays have been -546 on the RL since April 17 despite their straight-up winning ways). The Yankees (-462 since April 17) and Red Sox (-434 since mid-April) have also provided poor value on the Run Line in the past two-and-a-half weeks.

    Meanwhile, look again at Baltimore, an MLB-best +1337 units on the RL for the season, and +753 since mid-April.

    The most interesting Run Line performance numbers in the National League are in the Central Division, where St. Louis (+1146 units for the season and +557 since mid-April) continues to set a brisk pace, with surprising Houston (+703 overall and +513 since April 17) also providing good value. Again, however, Milwaukee is underachieving, -1014 on the season (-615 over the past two-and-a-half weeks).

    The most-glaring recent Run Line deficiency, however, has been with the Mets, a staggering -1042 since mid-April.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Pitchers Report - May

      April 30, 2012

      The running of the Kentucky Derby each year signals MLB enters its 2nd month of play. And with it a handful of surprise teams take center stage. The key to sustaining will be success, or lack of it, from the pitching staffs. With that thought in mind, let's zero in on pitchers that will look to keep their team in the race and those that may pull up before they hit the wire.

      Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of May. On the flip side, we've also listed pitchers that struggle in May team starts, winning 33% percent or less of their efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each May over the last three years.

      I'll be back next month with June's Good Month Pitchers. Until then, enjoy…

      GOOD MONTH PITCHERS:

      Cueto, Johnny - 12-4
      Notes - The Cincinnati right-hander was very sharp in April, with right hand hitters batting a plaintive .127 against him. Cueto uses a low to mid-90's fastball and tilted slider that he expertly changes speeds with.

      Gallardo, Yovanni - 12-5
      Notes - Gallardo is the ace of the Milwaukee staff and challenges hitters with a 90-95 MPH fastball and has a late-breaking slider. His curveball spins tightly and has excellent downward movement and he'll mix in the occasional change to give hitters something different to look at. Gallardo has not been up to his usual standards just yet, having troubles with left-hand batters. Possibly in May, his rhythm will return.

      Hamels, Cole - 13-3
      Notes - Hamels is an underappreciated hurler who great command. The Phillies lefty mixes two and four-seam fastballs in the low 90's and thanks to Roy Halladay and Cliff Lee, has developed a nasty cutter he can work both sides of the plate with. When he throws his two-strike changeup, batters swear it seems to back up, like Hamels has it on a string.

      Johnson, Josh - 10-5
      Notes - After a rocky start, Johnson has begun to find a groove utilizing his hard slider and fastball combination. If the Marlins top pitcher can regain his command, he will start missing more bats (opponents hit .337 against him in April) and be the top thrower Miami needs to compete in the NL East.

      Kershaw, Clayton - 12-6
      Notes - One of the best lefty's in baseball has developed the skill to command his four-pitch repertoire. Still only 24 years old, Kershaw can throw strikes when he needs to spot any pitch where he wants. His continued growth has seen his ground ball-to-fly ball outs skyrocket this season.

      Lester, Jon - 12-6
      Notes - Normally, Lester is one of the finest early season pitchers in the American League, but his walks were up significantly for April (until his final start of the month vs. Chicago) and that number will have to come down in May to match previous win totals. Reports have his delivery a little sped up causing more pitches up and away.

      Lowe, Derrick - 13-5
      Notes - Lowe might not be as old as Jamie Moyer, but he seems to have been around as long. Lowe will be 39 years old on June 1 and no longer has the velocity with his sinker/slider combo package from his younger days and has more balls hit with pace even low in the zone. Strictly fifth starter material and at his age, will be more effective early in the season than late, when the innings take their toll.

      Peavy, Jake - 11-5
      Notes - Is Jake Peavy finally healthy? It sure seems that way as early returns have a 6-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio and opposing batters are hitting just .162 versus the White Sox right-hander. The fastball is not the same as younger days, but the snap on breaking pitches has made for lunging swings with little or no contact.

      Porcello, Rick - 10-4
      Notes - Though just 23, Porcello has not accelerated at the same pace as Kershaw, leaving Detroit fans yearning for more. For a guy 6'6 with a rangy body, his career 4.8 strikeouts per nine innings is unremarkable. The Tigers hurler needs to trust his mid-90's fastball more to become the pitcher he should be.

      Price, David - 9-4
      Notes - Have you noticed that four of May's top performers are left-handed? The last in alphabetical order is Tampa Bay's prized possession, David Price. The Nashville native has a nice loose delivery from the three-quarters arm slot and has lively late-moving fastball that occasionally touches 96-97 MPH.

      Verlander, Justin - 13-5
      Notes - Arguably the best pitcher in baseball who is at the peak of his skills, Verlander has old-school power pitchers durability and often will have greater velocity late in games with his electric fastball. The Detroit ace also is intelligent and keeps hitters off-balance by varying his pitch patterns.

      BAD MONTH PITCHERS:

      Floyd, Gavin - 4-11
      Notes - The White Sox right-hander is very close to a .500 record-wise for his big league career, despite always giving the appearance of having better stuff. Floyd, actually has three dependable pitches, but has a tendency to run hot or cold for a series of starts. May has traditionally been a "cold" month for him.

      Hernandez, Felix - 5-13
      Notes - King Felix deserves his fair share of the blame for his rumpled record this month; however, this is not all on him. Except for a couple of surprise seasons in 2009 and 2007, Seattle has not been a good team and their schedule over the past several years in May has featured many of the heavyweights in baseball, contributing to his second-rate record.

      Masterson, Justin - 4-12
      Notes - The Jamaican born right-hander has been on shabby Cleveland teams for the most part. Masterson is a rare side-armed starter and tosses a heavy sinker along with a low 90's fastball. Where he gets into trouble is when he cannot control the movement of his pitches, leading to walks and lineups that are lefty-laden. To start the month, lefties are hitting .281 against Masterson.

      Weaver, Jered - 6-12
      Notes - It is almost inconceivable the Angels top pitcher would ever have a bad month based on his history. Similar to Hernandez, the Halos of Anaheim and Weaver end up playing Boston and the Yankees frequently during this time period, along with division games, which has contributed to a faulty record.

      Wells, Randy - 3-8
      Notes - From the Ripley's Believe It or Not, the 6'6 Cubs pitcher is actually a converted catcher. Wells depends on placement because of his well-below average fastball and will use a change-up more than once to hitters in their time at bat. When Wells cannot spot his pitches, he's throwing room service pitches.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Hot and Not

        April 30, 2012

        Money Makers

        Tampa Bay Rays (5-1, $457): The biggest money earners this past week reside in St. Petersburg, FL where Joe Maddon’s Rays have gotten out to a tremendous start to their 2012 campaign. The final week of April started off with a home sweep of the struggling Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim. David Price set the tone of the series with a complete game 5-0 shut-out win in Game 1 and it was followed up by Jeremy Hellickson’s third win of the season in Game 2. The Rays pulled the sweep in Game 3 after Brandon Allen came off the bench and hit a walk-off two-run shot in the bottom of the ninth. Tampa Bay then went into Arlington and took two of three from the two-time defending AL champion Texas Rangers.

        On The Docket: Tampa Bay returns home to play its next six against the AL West representative Seattle Mariners and Oakland A’s; Tampa’s 5-1 its L/6 versus division, but it was the only one the Rays owned a losing record against last season (16-18).

        Baltimore Orioles (5-1, $419): Raise your hand if you saw this coming! If your hand is up, you’re either a bold faced liar or you somehow managed to grab ahold of Biff’s Sports Almanac from “Back to the Future.” Regardless, you can’t help but be impressed with what manager Buck Showalter and his staff has done to revitalize this defunct baseball franchise since taking over last season - and the club hasn’t been doing it with smoke and mirrors either! Baltimore’s pitching staff ranks 7th in the league with a 3.06 ERA, and the offense has flexed its power stroke launching the third most HRs overall (30). Last week, they swept the Blue Jays at home before taking two of three from the A’s; the last coming in an exhilarating walk-off fashion.

        On The Docket: It’s litmus test week for the O’s who must travel to Yankee Stadium and Fenway Park over the course of the next seven days; venues they check in a combined 12-28 in their L/40 combined visits.

        Los Angeles Dodgers (4-2, $216): Could the Dodgers be this year’s version of the Arizona Diamondbacks? Sure, LA didn’t bring up the rear of the NL West last season in winning 82 games, but they have that “can’t do anything wrong” mentality about them right now – the same mantra the D-Backs played with in cruising to the NL West pennant a short year ago. Though Matt Kemp has gotten out to an unreal start, the key to the Dodgers early season success has been on the heels of its starting pitching staff and bullpen. LA’s 15 quality starts through 22 games ranks fifth, while the pen has already combined for nine saves between Javy Guerra and Kenley Jansen.

        On The Docket: The Dodgers moved to 10-2 at home last week with the sweep of the Nats, but now it’s back to the road to face the division rival Rockies and recently surging Chicago Cubs.

        Money Burners

        Detroit Tigers (1-5, -$598): It was a sobering week for Tigers fans to say the least! Manager Jimmy Leyland’s squad started off the week with a shocking sweep at home against a Mariners squad that had a perfect game thrown at them heading into the series opener and proceeded to give up a combined 21 runs throughout the series. That was followed up by dropping two of three at Yankee Stadium – Verlander looked mortal giving up seven hits (2 HR) and four ER in the 7-6 Game 1 loss. The Tigers have been erratic offensively (#19 with a .243 batting average), and that paired with a pitching staff that possesses a 4.27 ERA (#24) finds them a .500 ball club heading into May.

        On The Docket: Detroit will get to reassert itself within the division this week with games scheduled to go versus Kansas City and Chicago, which is a good thing considering they went 50-22 in 2011 and stands 4-2 this season vs. division rivals.

        Miami Marlins (1-5, -$555): Manager Ozzie Guillen’s stay in Miami has gotten out to a rocky start with the Fish struggling and him already serving a five-game suspension due to his Fidel Castro remarks. The Marlins once again bring up the rear of the NL East and are the only member of that division yet to tally double-digit wins to date. The squad possesses just one win against divisional opposition in eight tries, and after closing out its four-game series with the Diamondbacks Monday afternoon, will have to hit the road for nine straight games – Miami has won just two of its 11 games as a visitor so far (-$690).

        On The Docket: Miami’s 3.24 runs per game average (#26) and .225 batting average (#27) don’t look to be getting much better with them invading AT&T and Petco Park this week – two of the toughest run producing ballparks in the Bigs!

        Minnesota Twins (1-4, -$310): The Twinkies might be hitting for a better average this season (#6 at .266) with Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau fully healthy, but the results have largely been the same with the squad once again bringing up the rear of the AL Central. When you average just 4.00 runs per game yourself (#17), it’s extremely hard to win games when your pitching staff owns a collective 5.69 ERA – the absolute worst mark in the league. Manager Ron Gardenhire has gotten just four quality starts from his starting pitching staff, and though the bullpen is playing better than the league averages in OBP, SLG, and OPS allowed, it’s barley been called upon to win a game with Matt Capps coming through in all four of his save opportunities.

        On The Docket: Minnesota will travel to the left coast to match wits with the Angels and Mariners over the course of the next week. It’s just 16-35 its L/51 on the road having gone 5-5 its L/10 in Angel Stadium (averaged 5.5 RPG) and 4-6 its L/10 in Safeco (averaged 2.2 RPG).
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Pitchers to Watch

          May 3, 2012


          Each year there are a few names that pop up on the early season lists of who’s hot and who’s not. This season is no different. We’re going to take a look at some of the pitchers that are making headlines, for better or worse, a month into the 2012 season.

          Here’s a guide to some of the abbreviations used in this article:

          ERA: Earned Run Average
          WHIP: Walks and Hits per Innings Pitched
          BABIP: Batting Average on Balls In Play
          K/9: Strikeouts per 9 innings

          OVERACHIEVERS

          Jake Westbrook, Lance Lynn, Kyle Lohse – St. Louis Cardinals

          Westbrook (1.30), Lynn (1.33), and Lohse (1.62) all rank in the top 10 in the MLB in ERA and are a combined 11-1. None of the three are big strikeout pitchers as Lohse leads the way with 24 K’s, which is tied for 52nd in the MLB. But they’ve given up just 19 walks in 88 combined innings, and each have their own areas of expertise. Lynn has the 2nd lowest WHIP in the NL. Westbrook is 2nd in the NL in forced ground balls. Lohse is 6th in the NL in BABIP. All three have benefitted from a strong offense as Westbrook and Lynn rank in the top eight in the NL in run support and Lohse isn’t far behind with 5.7 runs per game. It’s likely that the St. Louis offense will cool down a bit and batters will start figuring these three out more as the season goes on.

          Steven Strasburg, Gio Gonzalez – Washington Nationals

          These two are the main reason that the Nationals are the #1 pitching team in the MLB through one month. Strasburg is 2-0 in five starts with a 1.13 ERA (2nd in the NL). No one knew if he’d return to his power pitching ways after undergoing Tommy John surgery last winter, but he’s tied for 3rd in the NL in strikeouts so it appears that he hasn’t lost much velocity. Gonzalez is tied with Strasburg with 34 strikeouts and he also ranks 12th in WHIP and ERA in the NL. Gonzalez also ranks 3rd in the NL in opponents’ batting average, holding batters to just .155 average so far this season.

          Matt Cain – San Francisco Giants

          Cain leads the NL in WHIP and ranks 2nd in opponents’ batting average, surrendering just .154 to opposing hitters. He also has 30 strikeouts compared to just six walks in 38 innings, but only has a 1-2 record to show. That’s because the Giants’ offense is averaging just 3.52 runs in his five starts, including just four total runs in the previous three outings. Cain is a star entering his prime and we expect him to continue to dominate the rest of this season.

          Yu Darvish – Texas Rangers

          Darvish made a very public transition from Japan to the Rangers this offseason, but I don’t think anyone anticipated a start like this. Darvish is 4-0 and ranks 5th in the AL in ERA at 2.18. The Rangers have won each of Darvish’s five starts, including a 2-0 win over the Yankees in which Yu went 8.1 innings and struck out 10. There are a couple of areas for concern, however, as the Rangers average nine runs per game in his starts, a number that will be hard to maintain. Also, Darvish averages 9.00 K/9 and ranks 5th in the AL in strikeouts, but when he’s not getting strikeouts, opposing hitters are averaging .305 BABIP against Darvish.

          UNDERACHIEVERS

          Clay Buchholz – Boston Red Sox

          Buchholz is one of many areas of concern for the Boston to start this season. Buchholz has allowed 28 runs through 29 innings of play. He also has just 16 strikeouts and 15 walks. He boats below average 1.90 WHIP and .317 BABIP, but is somehow 3-1, mostly due to the fact that the Sox have scored an average of nine runs per game in his five starts. Buchholz was a combined 30-14 over the past three seasons and has a career 3.95 ERA, so expect him to shake off the rust as the year drags on.

          Josh Johnson – Miami Marlins

          Coming off of a serious shoulder injury in 2011, Johnson was expected to take a bit of a step back in terms of production. But no one expected him to struggle this much. Johnson is 0-3 and opponents are hitting .350 against him. He has a 5.34 ERA, .402 BABIP, and a 1.74 WHIP. To make matters worse, Johnson isn’t getting the strikeouts he is accustomed to (just 7.85 K/9) and offensively the Marlins are averaging just 3.77 runs per game with him on the mound.

          Yovani Gallardo – Milwaukee Brewers

          Gallardo has a 1-2 record with a 6.08 ERA. Opponents are batting .306 against him and he owns a .354 BABIP and a 1.65 WHIP. The good news is that he’s still getting the strikeouts at a rate of 9.11 K/9. But, much like Josh Johnson, the Brewers offense is averaging just 4.73 runs per game when he pitches. He’s also terrible against division rival St. Louis. Gallardo is already 0-2 against the Cards this season, allowing 14 ER, 4 HR, and 7 BB in just 5.2 innings of work.

          Tim Lincecum – San Francisco Giants

          It looks as though Lincecum has started to right the ship, with back to back wins with just one ER in 13 innings of work in his last two outings (albeit against the offensively challenged Mets and Padres). But his first three starts were so bad that it’s worth noting. Lincecum is allowing .346 BABIP, 1.58 WHIP and has a 5.74 ERA. He still has a strong strikeout rate 9.79 K/9 and his offense is averaging 7.43 runs per start. Expect the former Cy Young winner to get back to form as the season continues into summer.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            MLB
            Armadillo's Write-Up

            Saturday, May 5

            Early Pitchers

            Hot pitchers
            -- Capuano is 2-0, 1.37 in his last three starts.
            -- Worley is 2-0, 0.90 in his last three starts. GGonzalez is 2-1, 0.69 in his last four outings.

            -- Hammel is 3-1, 1.97 in five starts this season.

            Cold pitchers
            -- Volstad is 0-3, 7.04 in his last three starts.

            -- Cook is making first '12 start; he was 0-3, 8.41 in his lat four starts for Colorado last September.

            Hot teams
            -- Phillies won four of their last six road games.
            -- Reds are 9-4 in their last thirteen games.
            -- Diamondbacks won six of their last nine road games.
            -- Houston won its last five home games.
            -- Rockies won six of their last nine home games.
            -- Marlins are 4-0 on this road trip, with four one-run wins.

            -- Cleveland won four of its last five games.
            -- Tampa Bay won six in row, 12 of last 13 games. A's are 6-4 in their last ten road games.
            -- Orioles won five of their last six games.
            -- Royals are 5-3 in last eight games, but are 1-11 at home this season.
            -- Toronto won six of their last seven games.

            Cold teams
            -- Dodgers lost four of last five road games. Cubs are 6-8 at home.
            -- Nationals lost five of their last eight games.
            -- Pirates lost six of their last eight games.
            -- Cardinals lost three of their last four road games.
            -- Mets lost last four games, outscored 23-11.
            -- Braves lost three of their last four games.
            -- Giants are 4-7 in their last eleven home games. Brewers are 3-5 in their last eight games.
            -- Padres are 4-6 in their last ten games.

            -- Detroit lost five of its last seven home games. White Sox lost eight of their last ten games.
            -- Rangers lost four of their last five games.
            -- Red Sox lost four of their last five games.
            -- Bronx lost six of its last ten games.
            -- Mariners lost their last seven games, scoring 14 runs. Minnesota lost nine of last eleven games.
            -- Angels got shut out in their last two games.

            Totals
            -- Eight of Cubs' last ten games stayed under the total.
            -- Seven of Phillies' last nine road games went over the total.
            -- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Pittsburgh home games.
            -- Six of Mets' last seven games went over the total.
            -- Nine of last ten St Louis road games stayed under total.
            -- Seven of last eight games at Coors Field went over total.
            -- Nine of last ten Miami road games stayed under the total.
            -- Five of Giants' last six home games stayed under the total.

            -- Seven of White Sox' last nine games went over the total.
            -- Under is 7-3 in Cleveland's last nine home games.
            -- Eight of last ten Tampa Bay home games stayed under.
            -- Four of last six Boston games stayed under the total.
            -- Last six Bronx games stayed under the total.
            -- Under is 11-1 in Angels' last eleven games.
            -- Three of last four Minnesota games stayed under total.

            Umpires
            -- LA-Chi-- Under is 3-1-1 in Timmons games this year.
            -- Phil-Wsh-- All three Holbrook games went over the total.
            -- Mil-SF-- Four of five Rapuano games stayed under total.
            -- Az-NY-- Three of last four Layne games went over.
            -- StL-Hst-- Last three Barry games stayed under the total.
            -- Cin-Pitt-- Home side won last three Kulpa games.
            -- Atl-Col-- Three of last four TBarrett games stayed under.
            -- Mia-SD-- Favorites won four of five Cederstrom games.

            -- Balt-Bos-- Road team won both Estabrook games this season.
            -- Chi-Det-- Four of last five Nelson games stayed under.
            -- Tex-Clev-- Under is 2-0-1 in Bucknor games this season.
            -- A's-TB-- Over is 4-1-1 in Nauert games this season.
            -- NY-KC-- Underdogs are 3-2 in Gibson games this season.
            -- Tor-LA-- Five of six Winters games stayed under the total.
            -- Min-Sea-- Favorites won three of four Diaz games.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              MLB Best Bets !

              05/05/2012 @ 10:05 AM MLB [902] CHI CUBS 2.24
              ( ACTION )

              05/05/2012 @ 10:05 AM MLB [903] PHI PHILLIES 2.18
              ( ACTION )

              05/05/2012 @ 01:05 PM MLB [906] SFO GIANTS -1½ 2.50
              ( R WOLF -L / M BUMGARNER-L )

              05/05/2012 @ 01:05 PM MLB [908] TOTAL u7 2.05 (ARI D'BACKS vrs NY METS)
              ( P CORBIN -L / J SANTANA -L )

              05/05/2012 @ 05:10 PM MLB [914] TOTAL u10 1.95 (ATL BRAVES vrs COL ROCKIES)
              ( M MINOR -L / J MOYER -L )

              05/05/2012 @ 01:05 PM MLB [919] TOTAL o8½ 2.00 (CHI WHITE SOX vrs DET TIGERS)
              ( G FLOYD -R / M SCHERZER-R )

              05/05/2012 @ 04:05 PM MLB [922] CLE INDIANS 2.30
              ( ACTION )

              05/05/2012 @ 04:10 PM MLB [924] TB RAYS -1½ 2.40
              ( B COLON -R / J HELLICKSON -R )

              05/05/2012 @ 06:05 PM MLB [927] TOR BLUE JAYS +1½ 1.67
              ( K DRABEK -R / C WILSON -L )

              05/05/2012 @ 06:10 PM MLB [930] TOTAL u6½ 2.00 (MIN TWINS vrs SEA MARINERS)
              ( J MARQUIS -R / F HERNANDEZ-R )
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #8
                get em BUM


                Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

                Comment

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