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The Bum's Sunday's MLB Best Bets !

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  • The Bum's Sunday's MLB Best Bets !

    Rangers Wrap Rays Series, Begin 10-Game Road Trip

    Like a top-ranked golfer without a major title, the Texas Rangers close out the final full week in April and begin May as the best team in baseball. Their series finale with the Tampa Bay Rays will catch the spotlight of ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball crew (8 p.m. ET), and the same cameras will be on them Monday in Toronto when the Rangers begin a 10-game road trip against the Blue Jays.

    Tampa Bay and Texas have started to build a pretty good rivalry after meeting in the ALDS each of the past two seasons, both times with the Rangers emerging victorious. The Rays got a small measure of revenge in Friday's series opener, jumping out to a 4-zip lead in the top of the first en route to an 8-4 triumph as +135 underdogs.

    Friday's victory extended Tampa Bay's streak to six games. The Rays haven't had much luck at Rangers Ballpark the past few years, entering the series just 3-9 in regular season action since the start of the '09 campaign. Joe Maddon's crew was looking to extend the win streak on Saturday when the Rays were slated to send Jeff Niemann to the mound opposite Texas' Colby Lewis. The Rangers were priced at -155 for the contest with a 9-run total; results were still pending at press.

    Sunday night's clash features mound matchup between a pair of young left-handers as David Price gets the call for the Rays against Texas' Derek Holland in the 8:00 p.m. (ET) start.

    Price is off to a 3-1 beginning to '12, and coming off his second career shutout this past Tuesday vs. the struggling Los Angeles Angels. While the shutout was indeed nice, Price's best stat of the night was walking just one batter in the outing. The former Vanderbilt standout entered that game having issued nine free passes over his first 15 frames of the season.

    His control will be something to keep an eye on in the early stages of Sunday's game as Price has had his share of troubles with the Rangers lineup. Including his postseason work the past two years, Price owns a 5.29 ERA in nine career outings vs. Texas, with Tampa Bay 3-6 in those games. Two starts in Arlington have yielded a 15.63 ERA, though the Rays did manage to grab a win in one of those contests.

    Holland is coming off a rough go against the New York Yankees this past Monday when he walked four and allowed all seven runs in a 7-4 defeat. Like Price, he'll be facing a lineup that he's struggled against over his brief career; five regular season assignments vs. Tampa Bay have netted a 6.51 ERA for Holland, but Texas has won three of the games.

    Most of Holland's postseason work vs. Tampa has been out of the bullpen. The one October start he made against the Rays was Game 2 of last year's ALDS, a 5-IP, 1 ER effort to help Texas to the 8-6 victory.

    Dan Bellino, in just his third full season umpiring in the bigs, will be south of the dish calling the balls and strikes for Sunday's affair. All three of his previous plate assignments this season finished 'under' the total.

    Darvish & Drabek Duel On Monday
    Monday's matchup for Texas begins the first of three 10-game road trips the club will endure this season. Another is coming up in early June when the Rangers tour Anaheim, Oakland and San Francisco.

    Yu Darvish will be making the fifth appearance of his rookie campaign for Texas on Monday while Toronto sends Kyle Drabek to the hill at Rogers Centre (7:00 p.m. ET).

    Darvish has improved with each trip to the mound, and really flashed some of his potential last Tuesday against the Yankees. The right-hander worked into the ninth while keeping New York off the plate, finishing with 10 strikeouts – and most importantly, just two walks – in the Rangers' 2-0 win as -135 chalk.

    Texas is now a perfect 4-0 when Darvish pitches, with the total's splitting 2-2 'over/under' in the outings.

    Drabek has also been flashing some of his potential this year, helping Toronto to a 3-1 record in his four assignments while compiling a 2.25 ERA. The lone defeat came last Wednesday in Baltimore where the 24-year-old pitched well enough to win (6 IP, 2 ER) but received no support from his offense in the Orioles' 3-0 triumph.

    His only experience vs. the Rangers came in an April 2011 contest in the Lone Star State. Drabek tossed six frames and surrendered three runs, all earned, picking up the 6-4 victory.

    Toronto won six of the 10 meetings against Texas in 2011, and the Blue Jays are 7-3 in the last 10 clashes at Rogers Centre.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Diamond Trends - Sunday

    April 29, 2012

    SU TREND OF THE DAY:


    The Brewers are 0-13 since April 03, 2011 as a road dog and it is the last game of the series for a net profit of $1300 when playing against.


    OU TREND OF THE DAY:


    The Blue Jays are 9-0 OU since May 29, 2011 as a 140+ favorite and it is the last game of the series for a net profit of $900 when playing the over.


    STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


    The Yankees are 13-0 since June 03, 2010 when CC Sabathia starts as a 140+ favorite when the start time is earlier than 4:00 PM local time for a net profit of $1300


    MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


    The Marlins are 28-0 (3.4 rpg) since 2005 as a home favorite -130+ off a win where their starter faced 27+ batters and allowed eight or fewer hits and it is not a series opener.


    TODAY’S TRENDS:


    The Pirates are 0-14 since June 17, 2011 as a road dog when they are off a win in which they never trailed for a net profit of $1400 when playing against.

    The Rays are 0-7 since May 21, 2011 when David Price starts after winning as a home favorite in his last start for a net profit of $973 when playing against.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      MLB
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Sunday, April 29

      Hot pitchers
      -- Johnson has a 1.98 RA in his last two starts. Miley blanked Phillies for six innings in his first '12 start.
      -- Correia is 1-0, 2.00 in three starts this season.
      -- Garza is 1-1, 3.38 in four starts this season.
      -- JGarcia is 2-0, 2.49 in four starts this season. Greinke is 1-0, 2.77 in his last two starts.
      -- Moyer is 1-0, 2.07 in his last couple starts.
      -- Gonzalez is 2-0, 0.00 (20 IP) in his last three starts. Capuano is 2-0, 2.45 in his last three starts.
      -- Bumgarner is 3-0, 1.77 in his last three starts.

      -- Lowe is 3-1, 3.75 in his first four starts for Cleveland.
      -- Vargas is 3-1, 3.45 in five starts this season.
      -- Colon is 2-1, 0.82 in his last three starts.
      -- Beckett is 2-1, 2.57 in his last three starts. Floyd has a 2.79 RA in his last three starts.
      -- Price is 2-0, 1.23 in his last couple starts.

      Cold pitchers
      -- Kendrick allowed seven runs in three IP in his first '12 start.
      -- THudson is making first '12 start after being hurt in offseason; he was 2-0, 0.87 in his two rehab starts at AAA level.
      -- Latos is 1-2, 5.63 in four starts for the Reds. Lyles was 2-8, 5.36 in 15 big league starts LY; he is 4-0, 3.46 in four AAA starts this year.
      -- JSantana is 1-2, 4.00 in four starts this season.
      -- Richard is 0-1, 9.17 in his last three starts.

      -- ESantana is 0-4, 7.61 in four starts this season.
      -- Alvarez is 0-2, 4.87 in his last three starts.
      -- Sabathia has a 5.27 RA in four starts, but Bronx won three of those four games. Scherzer is 1-2, 8.53 in four starts this season.
      -- Hunter is 1-1, 7.13 in his last three starts.
      -- BChen is 0-2, 3.79 in his last three starts. Marquis has a 7.15 RA in his first two starts for Minnesota.
      -- Holland has a 4.79 RA in four starts this seaon.

      Hot teams
      -- Reds won six of their last nine games.
      -- Braves won 13 of their last 18 games.
      -- Cardinals won six of their last seven home games.
      -- Mets won four of their last five games. Colorado is 6-1 in game after their last seven losses.
      -- Dodgers won six of their last nine games.
      -- Giants won seven of their last ten games.

      -- Royals won their last three games, scoring 19 runs.
      -- Indians are 9-5 in their last fourteen games.
      -- Mariners won four of their last five games.
      -- Orioles won five of their last six games; A's won four of last six.
      -- Texas won 12 of its last 15 games. Rays won six of last seven.
      -- Red Sox won their last six games, scoring 45 runs.

      Cold teams
      -- Pirates are 1-6 in game following their last seven wins.
      -- Cubs lost six of their last seven road games. Phillies lost three of last five at home.
      -- Marlins lost six of their last seven games. Arizona lost eight of its last eleven games.
      -- Astros lost seven of their last ten road games.
      -- Brewers lost last six road games, allowing 47 runs.
      -- Nationals lost their last three games, scoring six runs.
      -- Padres lost six of their eight road games.

      -- Detroit lost seven of its last nine games. Bronx lost three of four.
      -- Toronto lost four of its last five games.
      -- Angels lost eight of their last ten road games.
      -- White Sox lost even of their last eight home games.
      -- Minnesota lost its last six games, allowing 41 runs.

      Totals
      -- Three of Phillies' last four home games stayed under.
      -- Six of last nine Arizona games went over the total.
      -- Seven of last ten Cincinnati games went over the total.
      -- Under is 16-3-1 in Pirate games this season.
      -- Six of last seven Milwaukee games went over the total.
      -- Over is 3-0 with umpire Emmel behind the plate.
      -- Seven of last ten Dodger games stayed under the total.
      -- Under is 5-2-1 in San Francisco's home games.

      -- Over is 6-2-1 in Bronx Bombers' last nine games.
      -- Over is 4-1-1 in Seattle's last six games.
      -- Nine of last ten Cleveland games stayed under the total.
      -- Seven of last nine Baltimore home games stayed under total.
      -- Seven of last nine Tampa Bay road games went over total.
      -- Six of last eight Boston road games went over the total.
      -- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Kansas City games.

      Umpires
      -- Mil-StL-- Road team won all four Cousins games.
      -- Hst-Cin-- Home team is 20-9 in last 29 Campos games.
      -- Chi-Phil-- Home side won four of five Miller games.
      -- Pitt-Atl-- Home team won four of five Eddings games, with the last three going over total.
      -- Az-Mia-- Favorites won four of five Joyce games.
      -- NY-Col-- Visiting team won all three Emmel games.
      -- SD-SF-- Home side is 12-6 in last 18 Conroy games.
      -- Wsh-LA-- Road favorites are 3-0 this year in Hickox games.

      -- LA-Clev-- Over is 22-16 in last 38 Johnson games.
      -- KC-Min-- Underdogs won last four Gorman games.
      -- Det-NY-- Under is 19-16 in last 35 Drake games.
      -- Sea-Tor-- Last three Carapazza games went over the total.
      -- A's-Balt-- Visiting team won three of four Foster games this year.
      -- Bos-Chi-- Underdogs are 3-2 in last five Hallion games.
      -- TB-Tex-- All three Bellino games stayed under the total.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

        04/28/12 15-*13-*0 53.57% +*540 Detail
        04/27/12 17-*12-*1 58.62% +*1650 Detail
        04/26/12 7-*8-*1 46.67% -*625 Detail
        04/25/12 15-*17-*0 46.88% -*1485 Detail
        04/24/12 13-*17-*0 43.33% -*2500 Detail
        04/23/12 5-*15-*0 25.00% -*5555 Detail
        04/22/12 12-*12-*0 50.00% -*380 Detail
        04/21/12 21-*11-*0 65.63% +*4910 Detail
        04/20/12 15-*11-*1 57.69% +*1380 Detail
        04/19/12 17-*6-*1 73.91% +*5910 Detail
        04/18/12 16-*14-*0 53.33% +*1125 Detail
        04/17/12 16-*13-*1 55.17% +*445 Detail
        04/16/12 11-*8-*1 57.89% +*1135 Detail
        04/15/12 15-*15-*0 50.00% -*605 Detail
        04/14/12 17-*11-*2 60.71% +*3405 Detail
        04/13/12 13-*17-*0 43.33% -*2560 Detail
        04/12/12 9-*8-*1 52.94% +*20 Detail
        04/11/12 16-*14-*0 53.33% +*1145 Detail
        04/10/12 13-*7-*1 65.00% +*2885 Detail
        04/09/12 13-*10-*0 56.52% +*1880 Detail
        04/08/12 13-*14-*0 48.15% -*640 Detail
        04/07/12 15-*14-*0 51.72% -*440 Detail
        04/06/12 3-*6-*1 33.33% -*1775 Detail

        Totals 307-*273-*11 52.93% +9865

        Sunday, April 29

        Game Score Status Pick Amount

        Detroit - 1:05 PM ET NY Yankees -177 500
        NY Yankees - Over 9.5 500

        LA Angels - 1:05 PM ET Cleveland -105 500
        Cleveland - Under 8.5 500

        Seattle - 1:07 PM ET Seattle +129 500
        Toronto - Under 8.5 500

        Arizona - 1:10 PM ET Miami -163 500
        Miami - Over 7 500

        Houston - 1:10 PM ET Cincinnati -182 500
        Cincinnati - Under 8.5 500

        Oakland - 1:35 PM ET Baltimore -105 500
        Baltimore - Over 8 500

        Pittsburgh - 1:35 PM ET Pittsburgh +155 500
        Atlanta - Under 7.5 500

        Chi. Cubs - 1:35 PM ET Chi. Cubs -106 500
        Philadelphia - Under 7.5 500

        Boston - 2:10 PM ET Boston -123 500
        Chi. White Sox - Over 8.5 500

        Kansas City - 2:10 PM ET Kansas City -116 500
        Minnesota - Over 8.5 500

        Milwaukee - 2:15 PM ET Milwaukee +110 500
        St. Louis - Over 7.5 500

        NY Mets - 3:10 PM ET NY Mets -110 500
        Colorado - Under 9.5 500

        San Diego - 4:05 PM ET San Francisco -160 500
        San Francisco - Under 7 500

        Washington - 4:10 PM ET Washington -107 500
        LA Dodgers - Over 6.5 500

        Tampa Bay - 8:05 PM ET Tampa Bay +115 500
        Texas - Over 9 500
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment

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