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  • The Bum's Monday's Best Bets MLB - NBA !

    New Week Begins With Yankees, Rangers In Texas

    UPDATE (April 23): Sunday's rainout in Boston led to the New York Yankees shuffling their pitching rotation. CC Sabathia will start Monday's game in Texas now, with Hiroki Kuroda pitching against the Rangers on Tuesday.

    The second full week of the 2012 season started with 11 opening day arms taking the mound on Monday, and it will end with 13 such pitchers throwing Sunday, a few of them the same hurlers.

    But while names like CC Sabathia, Tim Lincecum, Johnny Cueto and Ian Kennedy, to name but a few of Sunday's scheduled starters, are on the hill, no two pitchers will face bigger assignments the next two days than Francisco Liriano and Jair Jurrjens. Liriano will lead the Minnesota Twins on Sunday when they close out a weekend set in Tampa Bay against Jeff Niemann and the Rays. Jurrjens' regular turn is Monday for the Atlanta Braves who move from Arizona to Los Angeles to begin a new series opposite Chris Capuano and the Dodgers.

    Simply put, if the Twins or Braves are really going to seriously contend this season, both Liriano and Jurrjens are going to have to perform up to snuff. We'll begin with Liriano and the Twins since he's up first on Sunday in a 1:40 p.m. (ET) contest inside Tropicana Field against Joe Maddon's Rays who are playing .585 ball there since the start of the 2008 schedule (168-119).

    Liriano struggled in 2011 to continue his on-off seasonal offerings. He was third behind Justin Verlander and Jonathan Papelbon for the 2006 AL Rookie of the Year award, missed all of '07 following surgery, made a brief but successful return in '08, stunk it up in '09, solid again in 2010 and a bit stinky last year.

    Everything pointed to that continuing after Liriano enjoyed a very good spring – 7 starts, 33:5 strikeout-to-walk ratio, 2.33 ERA. But it didn't carry over, to put it mildly, with the southpaw sporting an ERA close to 12 after allowing five earned runs in each of his three starts to begin the regular season, lasting only into the third inning of the most recent outing at the Yankees. Minnesota has come out on top in just one of Liriano's last five starts vs. Tampa Bay, his lone game at The Trop in that span ending after just 12 outs and four Rays runs already across.

    Niemann isn't off to a good beginning to 2012 himself; Tampa Bay has dropped both of the big righty's efforts, though Evan Longoria's hat trick in the 'E' column the last time out played a big part in that defeat. The Rays are a perfect 5-0 in Niemann's career assignments vs. Minnesota with his ERA under 3.00.

    Dodgers Look To Continue Perfect Start In LA
    Jurrjens not only has to end his struggles, he has to do it at Chavez Ravine where the Dodgers are 6-0 to begin the season.

    Atlanta manager Fredi Gonzalez keeps saying Jurrjens' troubles are not related to the knee injuries that have shortened each of his past two seasons and his place in the Braves rotation is secure. We'll see how long that remains the case with batters slugging .690 against the right-hander to go with nine walks against just eight strikeouts in his first 13+ innings.

    The good news is Braves batters have come alive in each of Jurrjens' last two starts with 24 runs combined, and his lone assignment against LA a year ago was a fine outing at Dodger Stadium (6 IP, 1 ER), though Atlanta couldn't capitalize with the dubya.

    The bad news is Braves hitters have not had much success recently when facing Capuano. The lefty beat Atlanta twice last season while pitching in a Mets jersey, including a 2-hit, 13-K shutout at Citi Field.

    The Dodgers won three of the four games played in LA last season; Monday's first pitch is 10:10 p.m. (ET).

    Meanwhile Down In Texas...
    No rest for the weary as the Rangers come off a 9-game road trip to begin a series in Arlington against the New York Yankees on Monday. ESPN will have the first pitch a little after 7:00 p.m. (ET). Complicating the trip for Ron Washington's club was Friday's contest in Detroit being rained out, forcing the Rangers and Tigers to play two on Saturday.

    New York will be jetting into the Lone Star State after Sunday night's matchup in Boston. Joe Girardi has yet to officially announce his Monday hurler, though it is Hiroki Kuroda's turn in the order. The former Dodger has sandwiched two poor outings around one very good effort to begin his Yankees career with a 1-2 record and 5.00 ERA. He's seen the Rangers just once before, a 2009 start in Arlington that didn't go too well -- 5-1/3 IP, 4 ER -- in a 6-0 defeat.

    Derek Holland heads to the mound for Texas looking for his third consecutive victory. He limited the Red Sox to just four hits and two runs over the course of seven innings his last time out, but has not had much success in the regular season vs. the Yanks. Texas is 1-4 in his five starts against New York while Holland's ERA is a bloated 9.00.

    Holland did grab a dubya out of the 'pen vs. the Yankees during the 2010 ALCS when he tossed 5-2/3 scoreless innings of relief in that series. Former Ranger Mark Teixeira has given the left-hander the most trouble, banging three homers among his seven career hits off Holland (15 AB).

    New York won seven of the nine meetings between the two clubs a year ago, including two of three in Texas.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Hot and Not

    April 23, 2012


    We’re two weeks into the 2012 MLB regular season with teams having already developed betting trends both good and bad. We’re going to be taking a look at the three most lucrative and costly teams with every passing week, but remember, the regular season is an arduous one with every team going through numerous cycles; play accordingly.
    Money Makers

    Texas Rangers (13-3, $832): Where else would one start to look when breaking down the best investments of the young season other than in Arlington where the two-time defending AL champion Rangers have gotten out to a smoking hot start. It took the offense three games before exploding for the first double-digit offensive tally of the season (11), and ever since, Josh Hamilton and his mates have pounded out three-more 10+ run explosions en route to the best record in the league. Texas’ stats are simply eye-popping! Manager Ron Washington’s squad looks to have another “Murderers Row” at his disposal with Texas averaging 5.88 runs per game (#2) with a .303 team batting average (#1); oh yeah, they’ve also gone yard 26 times! Making them all the more lethal has been the starting pitching staff (#1 with 13 quality starts) and bullpen, which has converted all but one of their six save opportunities.

    On The Docket: Texas returns home for its next six to face the Yankees and Rays, but might be forced to go without the services of 3B Adrian Beltre who’s been a consistent source of offense in the middle of their potent line-up.

    Los Angeles Dodgers (12-4, $802): L.A. last qualified for the playoffs back in 2009. Since then, the franchise was marred in mediocrity as it dealt with the McCourt bankruptcy drama and a fledgling ball club. With the news of the Dodgers being sold for an outrageous amount at the season open, the squad has fed off the positive mojo by trotting out to a 3.5-game lead in the NL West. This in large part has been due to the Herculean efforts of one Matt Kemp who’s playing with an awfully big chip on his shoulder after getting snubbed for the NL MVP last season; he’s currently the leader in batting average (.450), HRs (9), RBI (22), and runs scored (17). The pitching staff has also been top notch with Clayton Kershaw dominant and Chad Billingsley getting out to an unforeseen start – sans @ HOU. The stoic Javy Guerra has also locked down seven of his eight overall save chances.

    On The Docket: We’ll get a clearer picture of what the Dodgers are all about this upcoming week with them scheduled to put their unblemished home record (6-0, $600) on the line against the Braves and Nationals. LA’s first five opponents combined for just 24 total wins in 64 tries (.375).

    Washington Nationals (12-4, -$728): The surprising NL East leading Nats have gotten it done in the early going with some exceptional pitching and timely hitting. Manager Davey Johnson’s squad is only hitting at a .243 clip (#24) and scoring an average of just 3.62 RPG (#24), but the pitching staff has been nothing short of lights out ranking top two in ERA (2.34), WHIP (1.05), and strikeouts (144). Ian Desmond has done a fantastic job setting the table for big boppers Adam LaRoche and Ryan Zimmerman who have combined for three HR and 20 RBI. The main story in our nation’s capital however has been the starting staff of Stephen Strasburg, Jordan Zimmerman, Gio Gonzalez, Ross Detwiler, and Edwin Jackson who’ve all put forth at least one quality start.

    On The Docket: The Nats have benefitted from playing each of their L/10 games in front of the hometown faithful, but will hit the road for six games versus the red hot Dodgers and weak hitting Padres. Still, the staff should thrive in pitcher’s paradises Petco & AT&T Park.

    Money Burners

    Los Angeles Angels (6-10, -$943): This is not the way it was supposed to go! After Arte Moreno threw Brinks trucks filled with cash at Albert Pujols and C.J. Wilson in the off-season, the Halos were hailed as one of the favorites to represent the AL in the World Series. Regardless of how good a team looks on paper, you still have to play the games, and right now, Manager Mike Scioscia would love for the “mulligan rule” to be implemented. A foreshadowing of what was to come might have taken place in their opening home series against the Kansas City Royals who went into the “Big A” and took two of three by limiting the Angels to a combined 11 runs (3.7 RPG); the power outage has continued with Pujols still in search of his first home run. As for the starting rotation, Jered Weaver and C.J Wilson have been rock solid, but the remaining three arms have combined for a 6.18 ERA.

    On The Docket: LA’s struggling pitching staff will be tested over the next week at Tampa Bay and Cleveland with both possessing offenses that can mash.

    Kansas City Royals (3-12, -$834): The Royals went into the offseason feeling very good about themselves after their young roster seemed to find its way en route to posting a lucrative September for their betting backers (15-10, $668). After splitting their first six games at Los Angeles and Oakland, the Royals returned home psyched to take to the diamond and play in front of a revitalized KC fan base. That said; Manager Ned Yost’s squad went on to drop each of its first nine home games of the year (-$956) by giving up an average of 6.7 RPG. The starting staff has only secured five quality efforts (#28) and constantly put the defense in precarious positions with a 1.46 WHIP (#28). If the Royals are to turn this thing around, the offense is going to have to start living up to its preseason expectations.

    On The Docket: They’ll be out for their first home win on Monday in the series finale with Toronto before hitting the road for nine against divisional opposition. KC’s 9-11 its L/20 versus the AL Central and 4-11 its L/15 when dogged.

    Chicago Cubs (4-12, $701): Would any list like this be complete without adding the “Loveable losers” to the mix? It might be a changing of the guard in Wrigleyville, but the story remains the same on the Northside with Manager Dale Sveum’s squad managing just four wins in their first 16 games. The offense is void of big sticks as it’s launched just five HRs into the bleachers (#30) while scoring an average of just 3.69 RPG (#22). Neither the starting staff (4.66 ERA) nor bullpen (5.06 ERA) has offered much in relief, and Carlos Marmol has blown two of his three overall save chances. It’s almost as if the games over if their opponent hangs a crooked number on the board early with this team unable to score runs themselves or prevent runs from going on the board late.

    On The Docket: Chicago hosts the Cardinals in the rivals second series of the season before heading out to Philadelphia which will be the first of two stops on a seven-game road trip. The Cubs have dropped seven of their L/26 when installed underdogs.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Around the Horn - Monday

      April 22, 2012

      NATIONAL LEAGUE


      San Francisco at N.Y. Mets - 4:10 PM EST (Game 3/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Lincecum (0-2, 10.54 ERA) 7-7 1-5 L6 away vs RHP
      Batista (0-0, 5.40 ERA) 8-6 4-1 L5 home vs RHP

      Giants beat Mets, 4-3 on Friday
      Mets beat Giants, 5-4 on Saturday

      Colorado at Pittsburgh - 7:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Moyer (1-2, 2.55 ERA) 8-7 5-2 L7 at PIT
      Correia (1-0, 1.50 ERA) 6-9 UNDER 3-0 L3 home off loss

      Rockies beat Brewers, 4-1 on Sunday
      Pirates lost to Cardinals, 5-1 on Sunday

      San Francisco at N.Y. Mets - 7:10 PM EST (Game 4/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Bumgarner (2-1, 3.63 ERA) 7-7 4-1 L5 at night
      Gee (1-1, 2.92 ERA) 8-6 OVER 3-1-1 L5 vs LHP

      Giants beat Mets, 4-3 on Friday
      Mets beat Giants, 5-4 on Saturday

      St. Louis at Chicago - 8:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Garcia (2-0, 3.06 ERA) 11-5 UNDER 7-1 L8 vs RHP
      Garza (1-1, 3.66 ERA) 4-12 0-3 L3 vs LHP

      Cardinals beat Pirates, 5-1 on Sunday
      Cubs lost to Reds, 4-3 on Sunday

      Houston at Milwaukee - 8:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Harrell (1-0, 2.55 ERA) 6-10 0-3 L3 off win
      Greinke (1-1, 5.09 ERA) 7-9 2-4 L6 home vs RHP

      Astros beat Dodgers, 12-0 on Sunday
      Brewers lost to Rockies, 4-1 on Sunday

      Philadelphia at Arizona - 9:40 PM EST (Game 1/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Kendrick (0-0, 1.93 ERA) 7-9 UNDER 4-1 L5 vs LHP
      Miley (1-0, 3.12 ERA) 8-8 OVER 3-1 L4 home off win

      Phillies lost to Padres, 6-1 on Sunday
      Diamondbacks beat Braves, 6-4 on Sunday


      Atlanta at Los Angeles - 10:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Jurrjens (0-1, 8.10 ERA) 12-4 5-0 L5 vs LHP
      Capuano (1-0, 4.50 ERA) 10-6 7-2 L9 vs RHP

      Dodgers lost to Astros, 12-0 on Sunday
      Braves lost to Diamondbacks, 6-4 on Sunday

      AMERICAN LEAGUE


      N.Y. Yankees at Texas - 7:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Sabathia (1-0, 5.59 ERA) 9-6 4-1 L5 vs LHP
      Holland (2-0, 3.10 ERA) 13-3 4-0 L4 vs LHP

      Rangers beat Tigers, 3-2 on Sunday
      Yankees beat Red Sox, 15-9 on Saturday

      Toronto at Kansas City - 8:10 PM EST (Game 4/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Morrow (0-1, 4.50 ERA) 9-6 OVER 6-2 L8 at night
      Chen (0-1, 2.00 ERA) 3-12 0-9 L9 home

      Blue Jays beat Royals, 4-3 on Friday
      Blue Jays beat Royals, 9-5 on Saturday
      Blue Jays beat Royals, 5-3 on Sunday

      Boston at Minnesota - 8:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Lester (0-2, 5.82 ERA) 4-9 2-8 L10 vs RHP
      Marquis (1-0, 7.20 ERA) 7-6 UNDER 4-1 L5 Game 1's

      Red Sox lost to Yankees, 15-9 on Saturday
      Twins lost to Rays, 6-2 on Sunday

      Chicago at Oakland - 10:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
      Peavy (2-0, 2.75 ERA) 8-6 4-1 L5 away vs RHP
      Colon (3-1, 2.63 ERA) 8-9 UNDER 9-3 L12 vs RHP

      White Sox beat Mariners, 7-4 on Sunday
      Athletics beat Indians, 5-1 on Sunday
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Diamond Trends - Monday

        April 23, 2012

        SU TREND OF THE DAY:


        The Brewers are 10-0 since April 22, 2011 as a 140+ favorite after a loss and it is the first game of the series for a net profit of $1000.


        OU TREND OF THE DAY:


        The Diamondbacks are 0-8 OU since August 12, 2011 at home after a win and it is the first game of the series for a net profit of $800 when playing the under.


        STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


        The Brewers are 19-0 since May 09, 2011 when Zack Greinke starts at home for a net profit of $1900.


        MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


        Derrick Holland has produced a team record of 11-0 (6.5 rpg) since 2011 when pitching the first game of a series if he faced less than 34 batters last game.


        TODAY’S TRENDS:


        The Mets are 0-6 since July 02, 2011 when Dillon Gee starts after a quality start for a net profit of $640 when playing against.


        The Rangers are 0-9 since April 25, 2011 when playing a night game as a home favorite after a one run win for a net profit of $1515 when playing against.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Yankees, Rangers open 3-game set Monday


          NEW YORK YANKEES (9-6)

          at TEXAS RANGERS (13-3)


          First pitch: Monday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
          Line: Texas -111, New York +101, Total: 9½

          Two red-hot teams begin a three-game set in Arlington when the Yankees visit the Rangers.

          New York has scored 28 runs during a three-game win streak, while Texas is 13-3 on the year, including 9-1 in its past 10 games. These are the two highest-scoring teams in baseball with the Yankees scoring 6.0 runs per game (27 HR) and the Rangers not far behind at 5.9 runs and 26 bombs. However, New York definitely has the edge in this southpaw pitching matchup with CC Sabathia taking on Derek Holland. Sabathia is 11-3 (team is 14-5) in 19 career starts against Texas, while Holland is 0-4 with an 8.77 ERA and 1.99 WHIP over five career starts versus the Bombers. The Yankees also dominated this series last year, winning seven of the nine meetings and outscoring the Rangers 62-35 and out-homering them 22-4. The pick here is slight underdog NEW YORK to prevail.

          This three-star FoxSheets trend expects the Yankees to start the series with a victory:

          Play Against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TEXAS) - with a team batting average of .295 or better on the season (AL), after a one-run win. (30-10 since 1997.) (75%, +20.7 units. Rating = 3*).

          Sabathia (1-0, 5.59 ERA, 1.35 WHIP) hasn’t pitched as bad as his ERA would indicate, posting a 1.13 WHIP with 15 strikeouts and just three walks in his 13.1 innings over his past two starts. After allowing four runs on eight hits in six innings at Baltimore, he was much more effective his last outing, holding the Twins to three runs and four hits in 7.1 innings, fanning seven and walking one.

          Although his career numbers versus Texas aren’t stellar (4.60 ERA, 1.47 WHIP), he has handled many of the team’s biggest bats with relative ease. Current AL home-run leader Josh Hamilton is 1-for-13 with 5 K off Sabathia, while Nelson Cruz is 0-for-11 with seven whiffs, Ian Kinsler is 3-for-19 (.158) and Adrian Beltre is 7-for-30 (.233). Beltre will likely sit this game out though after hurting his left hamstring on Saturday. The Yankees have won six straight meetings with the Rangers (including playoffs) with Sabathia on the hill. Since the start of 2010, the Yankees are 25-13 (.658) when Sabathia is their starting pitcher.

          Holland (2-0, 3.10 ERA, 0.89 WHIP) is off to a flying start to the 2012 season with three quality outings in three tries. In the past two starts (versus Seattle and at Boston), Holland has allowed just four runs in 14.1 innings (2.51 ERA), fanning 15 and walking only three.

          But facing the Yankees has been quite a chore for Holland in his brief career. In five starts, he has allowed at least four runs and nine base-runners in each of those outings. In three starts last year, Holland lasted only 15.2 innings, surrendering 15 runs, 19 hits (4 HR) and 12 walks, while fanning just nine. Current Yankees are batting .341 with a .425 OBP and .593 SLG (1.018 OPS) against Holland in their careers, highlighted by Mark Teixeira, who is 7-for-15 with 3 HR and 8 RBI against Holland. Teixeira hit two homers with 6 RBI in his team’s last game on Saturday, when the Yankees erased a 9-0 deficit to beat rival Boston 15-9. Holland has also struggled to get out three Yankees with high OPS marks against him -- Robinson Cano (1.067 OPS), Derek Jeter (1.045 OPS) and Nick Swisher (.967 OPS).
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Red Sox try to end 5-game skid Monday in Minnesota

            BOSTON RED SOX (4-10)

            at MINNESOTA TWINS (5-11)


            First pitch: Monday, 8:10 p.m. EDT
            Line: Boston -150, Minnesota +140, Total: 8½

            The Boston Red Sox hit the road amid a five-game losing streak, looking to reverse their fortunes against a struggling Minnesota Twins squad.

            Despite a slow start to the season, lowlighted by giving up seven earned in just two innings in his last start against the Rangers, Jon Lester will be in a good situation to break out of his funk facing the Twins. The 28-year-old southpaw is facing a lineup just 1-3 versus left-handed starters this season, posting a measly .225 BA. With a strong pitching performance, the Red Sox lineup will have its work cut out regardless of their recent offensive woes, having scored three or fewer runs in four of their past five games. The Red Sox, who are hitting .287 versus right-handed starters, should mash against a soft-tossing righty like Jason Marquis, who won his only start of the season, but undeservedly so, allowing four runs on seven hits in five innings. Marquis hasn’t faced Boston since the 2004 World Series. The Red Sox displayed their power in their most recent game versus the Yankees, a 15-9 loss Saturday in which they banged out 17 hits, but the bullpen blew a 9-0 lead. Look for the offense to keep that momentum and receive a strong performance for Lester, making BOSTON the pick over the Twins in this series opener.

            This three-star FoxSheets trend also favors the Red Sox:

            Play On - Any team (BOSTON) - after allowing 12 runs or more against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games. (80-42 since 1997.) (65.6%, +45 units. Rating = 3*).

            Although the focus on the Red Sox has been on new manager Bobby Valentine and his clubhouse issues, they do have some good things going for them, specifically on offense. David Ortiz is mashing to start the year, hitting .436 with 12 RBI already and a 1.166 OPS. Look for him to club Marquis—Ortiz’s BA is 26 points higher against righties in his career. Ryan Sweeney is also raking with a .390 average, while Mike Aviles, Dustin Pedroia and Adrian Gonzalez all have at least two home runs and a .280 BA. Gonzalez, like Ortiz, is a lefty and should be in a position to go yard with a career OPS 155 points higher against right-handers. This crew will be needed to make up for the woes of left-handed hitter Kevin Youkilis, batting .190 on the year. Monitor He injured his quad in the team’s last game against the Yankees, but is expected to play. Lester has not had great success in his career against Minnesota (1-3, 4.95 ERA, 1.53 WHIP), but this Twins lineup has scored three runs or less in seven of 16 games this season.

            The faces of the Twins, catcher Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau have been hitting well to start the season, although both may struggle as lefties facing Lester. Mauer has nine RBI and a .295 BA on the season while Morneau has four long balls. Denard Span, also a lefty, is hitting .328 on the season, but does not struggle against southpaws. So a large onus for the Minnesota offense may fall on him and Josh Willingham, who has five jacks already this season. Despite having a lower career BA against southpaws, Willingham has shown more power with a higher OPS. Still, this is a Minnesota team not built to beat a pitcher like Lester—play against these home underdogs.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              MLB
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Monday, April 23

              Hot pitchers
              -- Correia is 1-0, 1.50 in his first two starts this season.
              -- Bumgarner is 2-0, 1.98 in his last couple starts.
              -- JGarcia is 2-0, 3.06 in three starts this season.
              -- Harrell is 1-0, 2.55 in three starts this season. Greinke allowed two runs in 14 IP in two home starts this season.
              -- Capuano is 1-0, 3.18 in his last couple starts.

              -- Holland is 2-0, 3.10 in three starts this season.
              -- Chen has a 2.50 RA in his first three starts this season.
              -- Colon is 3-1, 2.63 in four starts this season. Peavy is 2-0, 1.98 in his last two starts.

              Cold pitchers
              -- 49-year old Moyer is 1-2, 5.09 in three starts this season.
              -- Lincecum is 0-2, 10.54 in three starts this season. Gee is 2-2, 5.26 in his last seven starts. Batista is making first '12 start; he was 2-0, 2.42 in his last four starts LY.
              -- Garza is 1-1, 3.66 in three starts this season.
              -- Miley is making first '12 start; he was 4-2, 4.12 in seven 2011 starts- he's allowed three runs in 8.2 IP in relief this year.
              -- Kendrick is making first '12 start; he was 2-1, 3.00 in last five starts LY.
              -- Jurrjens is 0-1, 8.10 in three starts this season.

              -- Sabathia has a 5.59 RA in three starts this season.
              -- Lester is 0-2, 9.00 in his last couple starts. Marquis is 1-2, 9.28 in his last five starts.
              -- Morrow is 0-1, 5.40 in three starts this season.

              Hot teams
              -- Rockies won four of their last five games.
              -- Giants won six of their last nine games.
              -- St Louis won six of its last eight games.
              -- Braves won five of their last six games. Dodgers won 12 of their first 16 games.

              -- Bronx won nine of its last twelve games. Rangers won 13 of their first 16 games.
              -- Blue Jays won five of their six road games.
              -- White Sox won four of their last five games.

              Cold teams
              -- Pirates are 4-8 in their last twelve games.
              -- Mets lost four of last six games, allowing 31 runs in last four.
              -- Cubs lost seven of their last eight games.
              -- Astros lost six of their last eight games. Milwaukee lost seven of its last ten games.
              -- Arizona lost five of its last six games. Phillies lost four of six.

              -- Red Sox lost their last five games, outscored 46-17. Minnesota lost seven of its last ten games.
              -- Royals lost their first nine home games.
              -- Oakland is 3-5 in its first eight home games.

              Totals
              -- Under is 10-1-1 in last twelve Pittsburgh games.
              -- Under is 5-2-1 in games at Citi Field this season.
              -- Over is 6-3-1 in Cubs' last ten games.
              -- Five of seven Houston road games went over total.
              -- Seven of ten Philly road games stayed under the total.
              -- Four of last five Dodger games stayed under the total.

              -- Six of seven Texas home games stayed under total.
              -- Minnesota's last five home games stayed under total.
              -- Over is 9-1-1 in last eleven Toronto games.
              -- Six of last seven Oakland games stayed under the total.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #8
                Hoop Trends - Monday

                April 23, 2012

                SU TREND OF THE DAY:


                The Nets are 0-16-1 ATS (-8.1 ppg) since April 14, 1996 as a home dog with at least one day of rest after a loss in which they made more baskets than their opponent.


                OU TREND OF THE DAY:


                The Raptors are 12-0-1 OU (13.5 ppg) since March 12, 2003 as a dog with no rest after a game on the road in which they shot less than 40% from the field.


                PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


                The Spurs are 12-0 OU (12.5 ppg) since March 21, 2010 after a win in which Manu Ginobili shot better than 66% from the field.


                CHOICE TREND:


                The Grizzlies are 12-0 ATS (7.2 ppg) since January 17, 2005 as a home favorite on Monday after playing on Friday and Saturday.


                TODAY’S TRENDS:


                The Wizards are 0-10 ATS (-12.2 ppg) since November 28, 2009 with at most one day of rest after a win in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.

                The 76ers are 10-0 OU (10.9 ppg) since November 10, 2010 on the road with at least a day of rest after a win on the road in which Jodie Meeks was not the 76ers’ high scorer.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #9
                  Grizzlies go for 5th straight win hosting Cavs

                  CLEVELAND CAVALIERS (21-42)

                  at MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (39-25)


                  Tip-off: Monday, 8:05 p.m. ET
                  Line: Memphis -13, Total: 191

                  The red-hot Grizzlies seek a fifth straight victory when Cleveland comes to town on Monday night.

                  Memphis is 14-4 in its past 18 games as it makes a run for home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. But the Cavs are on a 7-4-1 ATS run, showing that they will not quit despite their lottery-bound season. Can the Grizzlies cover the huge spread here? For the answer, connect to the NBA Three-at-Three Pass for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each day. The NBA Pass continues to roll with a 35-18-1 ATS (66%) mark in April, including a sensational 19-7-1 ATS (73%) record since April 12.

                  Cleveland’s offense is starting to show some signs of life to close out the season with back-to-back 98-point games (win versus New York, loss at San Antonio). The Cavs have actually scored more on the road (93.7 PPG, 42.3% FG) than at home (92.9 PPG, 42.2% FG) this season. Defensively is where the big concern is right now, as Cleveland has surrendered 104.6 PPG on 51% FG (42% threes).

                  PF Antawn Jamison (17.4 PPG, 6.3 RPG) has been in a major shooting slump in the past eight games, averaging just 14.3 PPG on 36.0% FG and 6-of-29 threes (20.7%). He scored 21 points at San Antonio Sunday, but needed 20 shots to do so, and grabbed just three rebounds. However, the Grizzlies are a team that Jamison has usually burned in the past, averaging 25.6 PPG and 9.3 RPG against them since 2004-05. Rookie PG Kyrie Irving (18.7 PPG, 5.5 APG) has 20.0 PPG in his past two games, but has just six assists and six turnovers in this span. However, the whole team has gotten a huge boost from SG Manny Harris (6.6 PPG), who has come on strong in the past five games with 13.6 PPG on 51% FG and 8-of-17 from downtown. The 6-foot-5 Harris also pulled down 12 rebounds in Friday’s upset win over New York. The FoxSheets provide this two-star trend backing the Cavs:

                  Play On - Underdogs of 10 or more points (CLEVELAND) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days against opponent extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days. (36-15 since 1996.) (70.6%, +19.5 units. Rating = 2*).

                  Memphis has won four straight, but all the victories have come versus teams with losing records, and none have been blowouts as the Grizzlies have prevailed by just 7.0 PPG. But despite the near losses, they are 14-4 SU (9-9 ATS) in the past 18 games, giving up 100 points just once in this stretch (91.0 PPG, 44% FG allowed).

                  The Grizzlies had pretty good balance in Saturday’s 93-89 win over Portland as five players scored at least a dozen points. SF Rudy Gay (19.0 PPG, 6.4 RPG) led the way with 21 points and six rebounds and came up with a key blocked shot on a three-point attempt in the closing seconds. This marked Gay’s fifth 20-point game in the past six contests, where he’s been averaging 22.3 PPG on 50% FG and 7.0 RPG. C/F Zach Randolph (11.8 PPG, 8.0 RPG) did not play on Saturday as head coach Lionel Hollins didn’t want to him to see the court in back-to-back games. But Randolph is surging right now with 13.3 PPG and 7.7 RPG in just 25.7 MPG over his past three games. That’s not a good sign for Cleveland, especially considering Randolph’s 21.3 PPG and 10.8 RPG over the past five seasons against the Cavs. The Grizzlies would like to see C Marc Gasol (14.5 PPG, 9.0 RPG) be more assertive on the offensive end. He’s averaging just 7.5 PPG and 3.5 RPG in his past four contests in 27.3 MPG of action. Gasol scored just 5.0 PPG on 5-of-14 FG in two meetings with Cleveland last season. The FoxSheets show this trend favoring the Grizzlies to win big:

                  MEMPHIS is 35-20 ATS (63.6%, +13.0 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MEMPHIS 98.5, OPPONENT 96.9 - (Rating = 1*).
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Spurs favored big over injury-riddled Blazers Monday


                    PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS (28-36)

                    at SAN ANTONIO SPURS (47-16)


                    Tip-off: Monday, 8:35 p.m. ET
                    Line: San Antonio -13, Total: 207½

                    The Spurs can take one step closer to clinching the best record in the West when they host the Blazers on Monday night.

                    The Spurs might be one of the NBA’s oldest teams, but they’ve effectively paced themselves all season. While they won in Cleveland on Sunday night, they kept Tim Duncan in street clothes and only rookie SF Kawhi Leonard played more than 28 minutes. Can the Spurs cover this mammoth spread on Monday night? For the answer, connect to the NBA Three-at-Three Pass for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each day. The NBA Pass continues to roll with a 35-18-1 ATS (66%) mark in April, including a sensational 19-7-1 ATS (73%) record since April 12.

                    The Blazers are in the process of limping to the finish of a disappointing season, losing five in a row SU (though they went 3-2 ATS) and continuing to play without their best player, PF LaMarcus Aldridge (21.7 PPG on 51.2% FG, 8.0 RPG), who’s out for the season with a hip injury. SF Nicolas Batum (13.9 PPG) is day-to-day with a quad injury, PG Raymond Felton (11.4 PPG, 6.5 APG) is battling an Achilles injury and may not return this season, and C Joel Przybilla (2.0 PPG, 5.2 RPG) is questionable for Monday with an ankle injury.

                    The Blazers were game at Memphis on Saturday, going in as 12-point underdogs but losing by only four. PF J.J. Hickson (14.9 PPG on 54.5% FG, 8.2 RPG in 17 games with Portland) continues to excel on the offensive end since sliding into Aldridge’s starting spot, averaging 17.8 PPG on 51.9% FG and 11.0 RPG over six games since re-joining the starting lineup. Sixth man Jamal Crawford (14.0 PPG on 38.4% FG) returned from a knee injury on Saturday to score 21 points, his second straight 20-point effort. And SG Wesley Matthews (13.5 PPG) has shot it well during their five-game losing streak, averaging 20.4 PPG and hitting 50.0% of his threes. The FoxSheets provide a two-star trend supporting the Trail Blazers.

                    Play Against - Favorites of 10 or more points (SAN ANTONIO) - revenging a same season loss vs. opponent, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days. (48-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.6%, +24.9 units. Rating = 2*).

                    The Spurs had no problem disposing of the Cavs on Sunday night despite holding back their best players. PF Tim Duncan (15.4 PPG, 9.0 RPG) got the night off purely for rest, something head coach Gregg Popovich has done a few times this season. Duncan is averaging 20.0 PPG on 65.2% FG and 8.2 RPG over his past five games.

                    C DeJuan Blair (9.4 PPG on 53.4% FG, 5.4 RPG) broke out of a bit of a funk with 15 points and seven rebounds against the Cavs. PG Tony Parker (18.3 PPG, 7.7 APG) had six points and handed out nine assists while playing just 21 minutes. He was averaging 21.3 PPG on 57.8% FG and 10.3 APG over his previous three games. Sixth man Manu Ginobili (13.2 PPG on 52.9% FG, 41.9% from three) needed just 22 minutes to score 20 points on 9-for-12 FG, his second straight 20-point game. He’s averaging 17.7 PPG and shooting 73.1% FG and 66.7% from three over his past three games. And SF Stephen Jackson (8.7 PPG in 19 games with San Antonio) had his best game since re-joining San Antonio, scoring 17 points in 22 minutes off the bench while hitting 5-of-9 FG and 2-of-3 from three. The FoxSheets have a four-star trend further illustrating that fatigue hasn’t been an issue for the Spurs:

                    SAN ANTONIO is 25-7 ATS (78.1%, +17.3 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. The average score was SAN ANTONIO 102.2, OPPONENT 93.2 - (Rating = 4*).
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Pacers look to stay hot vs. Pistons on Monday


                      DETROIT PISTONS (24-40)

                      at INDIANA PACERS (41-23)


                      Tip-off: Monday, 7:05 p.m. ET
                      Line: Indiana -8, Total: 191½

                      The Pacers have already locked up the No. 3 seed in the East, now they’re just looking so keep some momentum going when they host Detroit on Monday night.

                      Indiana just had seven-game SU and five-game ATS win streaks snapped in Saturday’s overtime loss to Philadelphia at home. But they could be getting the Pistons at the right time, as Detroit seems to be wearing down late in the year. Can the Pacers win comfortably in this matchup? For the answer, connect to the NBA Three-at-Three Pass for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each day. The NBA Pass continues to roll with a 35-18-1 ATS (66%) mark in April, including a sensational 19-7-1 ATS (73%) record since April 12.

                      The Pistons won an ugly slugfest over the Raptors on Sunday, 76-73. They shot just 36.6% FG and hit 2-of-15 from three. It was the third straight game that they have scored 84 points or less, and are shooting just 35.8% FG over those three contests.

                      Erratic rookie PG Brandon Knight (12.9 PPG) bounced back from two straight single-digit scoring games to score 19 against the Raptors. But he’s just 2-for-13 from three over the past three games. And the slump continued for SG Rodney Stuckey (15.1 PPG), who scored seven points and is now averaging just 4.8 PPG on 23.1% FG over the past four. Sixth man Ben Gordon (12.3 PPG) scored 19 points on 6-for-11 FG in a second straight solid night (he scored 14 in Thursday’s loss to Minnesota). And C Greg Monroe (15.5 PPG on 52.0% FG, 9.7 RPG) was held to single-digits for a second straight game, scoring just eight points on 3-for-9 FG, but did manage to grab 17 rebounds. The FoxSheets provide a four-star trend backing the Pistons.

                      INDIANA is 1-13 ATS (7.1%, -13.3 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread this season. The average score was INDIANA 93.2, OPPONENT 97.3 - (Rating = 4*).

                      The Pacers have hit their stride on the offensive end, scoring 100-plus points in eight straight games and 12 of 13. They’ve hit 40.8% of their threes during that eight-game run, and they’re now averaging 100.0 PPG at home on the year.

                      Veteran PF David West (12.6 PPG, 6.6 RPG) has really heated up of late. He scored 32 points on 13-for-22 FG in the overtime loss to Philly, and over the past four games, he’s averaging 22.0 PPG on 54.5% FG and 9.8 RPG. SF Danny Granger (18.7 PPG) hit a rough spot against Philly, hitting just 2-of-12 FG for four points, but prior to that he had averaged 23.1 PPG and hit 49.3% of his threes over his previous 12 contests. He’s also made 39 consecutive free throws.

                      The Pacers’ strong recent run coincided with PG George Hill (9.7 PPG) joining the starting lineup. Hill has averaged 14.8 PPG and 5.4 APG and less than one turnover per game in eight contests since moving into the starting five. PG Darren Collison (10.5 PPG, 4.8 APG) is still dealing with a groin injury and has suited up just twice in the past eight games, but did manage to make all three of his field goal attempts and score eight points in 16 minutes against the 76ers. This two-star FoxSheets trend sides with the Pacers.

                      Play On - Home favorites (INDIANA) - after scoring 105 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 175 points or less 2 straight games.(88-48 since 1996.) (64.7%, +35.2 units. Rating = 2*).
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

                        04/22/12 12-*12-*0 50.00% -*380 Detail
                        04/21/12 21-*11-*0 65.63% +*4910 Detail
                        04/20/12 15-*11-*1 57.69% +*1380 Detail
                        04/19/12 17-*6-*1 73.91% +*5910 Detail
                        04/18/12 16-*14-*0 53.33% +*1125 Detail
                        04/17/12 16-*13-*1 55.17% +*445 Detail
                        04/16/12 11-*8-*1 57.89% +*1135 Detail
                        04/15/12 15-*15-*0 50.00% -*605 Detail
                        04/14/12 17-*11-*2 60.71% +*3405 Detail
                        04/13/12 13-*17-*0 43.33% -*2560 Detail
                        04/12/12 9-*8-*1 52.94% +*20 Detail
                        04/11/12 16-*14-*0 53.33% +*1145 Detail
                        04/10/12 13-*7-*1 65.00% +*2885 Detail
                        04/09/12 13-*10-*0 56.52% +*1880 Detail
                        04/08/12 13-*14-*0 48.15% -*640 Detail
                        04/07/12 15-*14-*0 51.72% -*440 Detail
                        04/06/12 3-*6-*1 33.33% -*1775 Detail

                        Totals 235-*191-*9 55.16% +17840


                        Monday, April 23

                        Game Score Status Pick Amount

                        San Francisco - 4:10 PM ET NY Mets +136 500
                        NY Mets - Over 7.5 500

                        NY Yankees - 7:05 PM ET Texas -133 500
                        Texas - Over 10.5 500

                        Colorado 0 PPD Pittsburgh -109 500
                        Pittsburgh 0 Under 8 500

                        San Francisco - 7:10 PM ET San Francisco -113 500
                        NY Mets - Under 7 500

                        St. Louis - 8:05 PM ET St. Louis -113 500
                        Chi. Cubs - Over 7 500

                        Boston - 8:10 PM ET Minnesota +143 500
                        Minnesota - Under 8.5 500

                        Toronto - 8:10 PM ET Kansas City -105 500
                        Kansas City - Under 8 500

                        Houston - 8:10 PM ET Houston +215 500
                        Milwaukee - Under 7.5 500

                        Philadelphia - 9:40 PM ET Philadelphia +108 500
                        Arizona - Over 9 500

                        Chi. White Sox - 10:05 PM ET Oakland +102 500
                        Oakland - Over 6.5 500

                        Atlanta - 10:10 PM ET Atlanta +126 500
                        LA Dodgers - Over 7.5 500

                        -----------------------------------------------------------

                        NBA

                        Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
                        04/22/12 10-*8-*0 55.56% +*600 Detail
                        04/21/12 12-*3-*1 80.00% +*4350 Detail
                        04/20/12 5-*7-*0 41.67% -*1350 Detail
                        04/19/12 8-*2-*0 80.00% +*2900 Detail
                        04/18/12 17-*11-*0 60.71% +*2450 Detail

                        Monday, April 23

                        Game Score Status Pick Amount

                        Charlotte - 7:00 PM ET Washington -10.5 500
                        Washington - Under 190.5 500

                        Detroit - 7:00 PM ET Indiana -7 500
                        Indiana - Under 190 500

                        Philadelphia - 7:30 PM ET Philadelphia -9.5 500
                        New Jersey - Under 186.5 500

                        Toronto - 8:00 PM ET Toronto +10 500
                        Milwaukee - Under 199.5 500

                        Cleveland - 8:00 PM ET Memphis -12.5 500
                        Memphis - Under 190.5 500

                        Portland - 8:30 PM ET San Antonio -13.5 500
                        San Antonio - Under 207.5 500
                        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-23-2012, 05:57 PM.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          kick that arse BUM.........thanks PODNA


                          Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

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