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**Udog** · 04-23-2012, 08:29 AM

Betting tips: Alfie 'hopeful' he'll play in Game 6

Weather to watch

There’s an 85 to 90 percent chance of light rain when the Nats host the Marlins on Monday afternoon. The temperature will be 50, with 13-mph winds blowing straight in from center.

Who’s hot

NBA: Portland is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games against the Spurs.

NBA: The favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last nine Bobcats-Wizards games.

NHL: The Rangers have won seven of their last nine visits to Ottawa.

MLB: The Cubs are 7-2 in Matt Garza’s last nine starts.

MLB: The over is 12-3-1 in Milwaukee’s last 16 games vs. NL Central foes.

Who’s not

NBA: Memphis is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games against Cleveland.

NBA: Toronto is 1-8 ATS in its last nine meetings with Milwaukee.

NHL: The home team is 0-4 in the last four Phoenix-Chicago games.

MLB: The Royals are 5-16 in umpire Jeff Kellogg’s last 21 games behind the plate.

MLB: The over is 0-5 in Jake Peavy’s last five road starts.

Key stat

7 – The last seven playoff games involving the Blackhawks have gone to overtime, an NHL record. All five of their games against Phoenix have gone to OT, and Chicago finished last season playing two OT games against the Canucks. The 1951 Stanley Cup finals, between the Maple Leafs and Canadiens, also went to OT in each of the five games.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

X-rays were negative on Dwyane Wade’s dislocated finger, but the Heat star did not play Sunday against the Rockets and could miss the final two regular-season games as well. Wade vows he’ll be ready for the playoffs. He’s averaging 22.1 points, 4.8 rebounds and 4.6 assists.

Game of the day

New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators (100, 5)

Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers (-130, 7.5)

Notable quotable

"We take a little satisfaction in seeing some justice there, but Marian Hossa is still at home, not feeling like himself. It doesn't bring him back into our lineup and feel ready." -- Blackhawks captain Jonathan Toews, referring to the 25-game suspension Phoenix’s Raffi Torres received for his vicious hit to the head on Hossa. The teams play Game 6 in Chicago on Monday, with the Coyotes leading 3-2.

Tips and notes

Senators captain Daniel Alfredsson (concussion) could return for Monday’s Game 6 after he skated Sunday for the second straight day. Alfie was concussed by a Carl Hagelin hit in Game 2 and has not played since. Still, the Sens lead the series 3-2 and can close it out on home ice. Getting Alfie back would be a huge boost: he scored 27 goals and had 32 assists in 75 regular-season games. "I'm hopeful,” Alfredsson said. “We're obviously going to wait until [Monday]. But the way the last two days felt, I'm encouraged.”

Thunder swingman James Harden suffered a concussion when Metta World Peace elbowed him Sunday, and could miss the final two regular-season games. Harden, the likely Sixth Man of the Year award winner, is averaging 16.9 points, 4.1 rebounds and 3.7 assists. The former Ron Artest was celebrating a dunk when he elbowed Harden hard.

Nets point guard Deron Williams (calf) could miss his fifth straight game Monday when New Jersey visits Philly. "I just want to make sure it's OK," Williams said. "No reason to come back and do something stupid with three games left. We can't make the playoffs." Looks like Armon Johnson will continue to replace Williams, who is averaging 21.0 points and 8.7 assists.

The Clippers are vowing to protect star Blake Griffin more, as opponents continue to foul him hard. "They are doing it on a regular basis now," point guard Chris Paul said. "God forbid he gets hurt because it's getting crazy." Added center DeAndre Jordan: "I feel like people are intentionally trying to hurt him. It'll all come back around." The Clips had dropped two of four heading into Sunday night’s game vs. the Hornets.

**Udog** · 04-23-2012, 08:29 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- When was the last time a big league team scored 7+ runs in consecutive innings? Rough weekend when the highlight is a rainout.

-- Matt Kemp already has nine home runs, more than four teams do.

-- Pirates scored total of three runs in Erik Bedard's four starts.

-- A's are 6-0 when they score first, 2-9 when they don't.

-- Minnesota Twins are 5-11, their worst start since 1995.

-- Of the NBA's top 31 players in shooting percentage, only two play in the backcourt (Steve Nash/Dwyane Wade).

****************

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend........

13) There's going to be expanded instant replay in baseball really soon; the Rangers won in Detroit Sunday because the four umps didn't see a squeeze bunt hit the batter on the back knee. Bunt scored the go-ahead run in 11th inning and Texas won. It was clearly a wrong call on replay.

12) You can be sure that in the near future, you'll be seeing managers throw replay flags on the field, just like in football. Instant replay will solve some problems but cause new ones; there is no perfect system.

11) If you had the Orlando Magic +9.5 Saturday night, you suffered a very bad beat; Magic lost by 10 in overtime. Ugh.

10) Weird Baseball Dept: Francisco Liriano walks the first two Tampa Bay batters in top of 3rd Sunday (scoreless game); next batters tries to sacrifice on the first pitch. Why? Why make out on purpose when the pitcher can't throw the ball near the plate?
Because Liriano is horrible, he winds up hitting the batter and gives up two runs without giving up a hit. He's headed to the bullpen soon.

9) Saints/Hornets owner Tom Benson is 85; he planned to give control of the teams to his 35-year old granddaughter, but apparently now is changing his mind, because the granddaughter doesn't get along well with others, and seems more interested in the trappings of the job than the job itself. Lot of drama in New Orleans this offseason, thats for sure.

8) Looking at the college basketball coaching changes, aren't too many high profile jobs left; Southern Miss/North Texas appear to be the best two.

7) Its pretty pathetic when I flip on my computer and have to read another article by ESPN's Buster Olney about how the A's are trading one of their better pitchers. This time it was Bartolo Colon, who has started four games for Oakland. Can't we get to Memorial Day before we speculate on which players the A's will sell off before the trading deadline?

6) How have the Knicks not named Mike Woodson the permanent coach?

5) Blake Griffin got his 12th technical foul Sunday night, meaning if he gets one more, he is automatically suspended for a game.

4) University of Florida cut its Computer Science department in order to save $1.7M; their athletic department's budget is $99M, up $2M from LY. So if they had kept the athletic budget at $97M, they could've kept the Computer Science, right? What kind of a decision is that?

3) Of the four teams have advanced to the NHL's Elite 8, three are new to this round in recent years: Nashville, which hadn't won any playoff series before LY; St Louis, which won its first playoff series in a decade Saturday and LA Kings, who won their first playoff series since 2001 Sunday night. Thats good for the league.

2) Question for my Canadian readers: Now that Ottawa is only Canadian team left in the playoffs and a Canadian team hasn't hoisted the Cup since 1993 (Montreal), does the whole country root for the Senators now? Or is that not how it works? Feel free to e-mail me with your answers.

1) Sunday night was going to be an interesting broadcast; Bronx-Boston on ESPN, with Terry Francona in the booth and Bobby Valentine in the Sox' dugout, trading places from LY. Plus, Sunday was Francona's birthday. The rainout cost us some solid entertainment.

**Udog** · 04-23-2012, 08:31 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Phoenix at Chicago
The Coyotes look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 0-4 in its last 4 games as a home favorite. Phoenix is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Coyotes favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+130). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, APRIL 23

Game 59-60: NY Rangers at Ottawa (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.763; Ottawa 10.408
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-115); Over

Game 61-62: Phoenix at Chicago (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 13.161; Chicago 12.073
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+130); Under

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, April 23

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NY RANGERS (53-25-0-9, 115 pts.) at OTTAWA (44-33-0-10, 98 pts.) - 4/23/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 43-43 ATS (+43.0 Units) in all games this season.
OTTAWA is 15-8 ATS (+5.5 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
NY RANGERS are 53-33 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
NY RANGERS are 27-13 ATS (+11.1 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 35-41 ATS (-39.4 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 9-8 (+3.9 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 9-8-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.2 Units)

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PHOENIX (45-27-0-15, 105 pts.) at CHICAGO (47-26-0-14, 108 pts.) - 4/23/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 312-332 ATS (-111.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
PHOENIX is 140-121 ATS (+15.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 14-8 ATS (+23.0 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
PHOENIX is 32-26 ATS (+65.4 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 23-12 ATS (+10.3 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 28-22 ATS (+52.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHOENIX is 15-9 ATS (+24.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
PHOENIX is 80-64 ATS (+11.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 11-6 (+7.9 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 11-6-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
11 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.4 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 23

Senators @ Rangers-- #1 seed New York on verge of getting ousted much like Vancouver was last night; Rangers lost three of last four road games, seven of last nine games overall, with total of six goals being scored in Games 3-4 here. Ottawa is 6-4 in last ten games vs Rangers, but New York is 7-2 last nine trips here, in what has been a road-oriented series. Coach Tortorella won Cup with ’04 Lightning, but hasn’t won playoff series (0-4) since. Ottawa hasn’t won playoff series (0-2) since losing ’07 final to Ducks.

Coyotes @ Blackhawks-- All five games in series have gone OT, with visitor winning three of five; Chicago has outshot Phoenix 26-16 in OT, but Coyotes scored three of five GW goals, after being outscored 7-3 in third period in first three games. Coyotes have won six of last eight games with Chicago, allowing 16 goals. Chicago is 1-17, Coyotes 2-15 on power play so far in series. Phoenix hasn't won playoff series in 19 years- they've led in third period of both games they lost in series. Only other playoff series where first five games went into OT was 1951 Cup finals.

NHL

Monday, April 23

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
NY RANGERS vs. OTTAWA
NY Rangers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing Ottawa
NY Rangers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games
Ottawa is 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
Ottawa is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

9:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. CHICAGO
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Phoenix

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NHL

Monday, April 23

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Ice picks: Monday's best NHL bets
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New York Rangers at Ottawa Senators (100, 5)

Craig Anderson and the Senators have pushed the top-seeded Rangers to the brink of elimination. After registering a franchise-best 41-save shutout Saturday, Anderson will look to provide the final shove during Monday's Game 6 of the Eastern Conference quarterfinal series in Canada's capital city. Captain Daniel Alfredsson, who has missed the team's last three contests with a mild concussion, says he's "hopeful" to play.

After mustering only nine shots in the first four contests, Jason Spezza registered six during Game 5. The increase in shots also resulted in a pair of goals for Spezza -- his first of the series. Spezza's first goal was set up by Mark Stone, who was making his NHL debut. The 19-year-old threaded the needle on a brilliant pass to Spezza, who beat Henrik Lundqvist from the right faceoff circle. "It was pretty nice to get that assist, my first game in the NHL," Stone said. "It really means a lot to me."

New York's offensive woes have been pronounced in this series. Marian Gaborik, who led the Rangers with 41 goals in the regular season, hasn't scored since Game 1. In addition, Brandon Dubinsky and Derek Stepan have been held off the scoresheet throughout the series.

With three goals in the first three contests, Brian Boyle has been an unexpected offensive contributor for New York. Boyle's availability for Monday's game is in question after he sustained a concussion on a play which coach John Tortorella later equated to the one that got Raffi Torres suspended for 25 games. "Well, they have a blueprint," Tortorella said. "It was probably the exact same hit as Torres, different part of the ice. (Chris Neil) launches himself, (it's) a head shot, the puck's at the goal line when he's hit. So the blueprint's there. ... Not too much research to be done there."

Rangers rookie Carl Hagelin, who has served his three-game suspension for his elbow to the head of Alfredsson, is eligible to return Monday. He'll likely replace Boston College star Chris Kreider -- or Boyle, if he is unable to play.

Pick: Senators

Phoenix Coyotes at Chicago Blackhawks (-145, 5)

The Blackhawks hope to keep a pair of dubious streaks in play when they host the Coyotes on Monday in Game 6 of their Western Conference quarterfinal series. The Blackhawks staved off elimination and sent the series back to Chicago with a 2-1 overtime victory in Phoenix on Saturday. Jonathan Toews' goal prevented the Coyotes from ending a string of 13 straight postseason series losses and kept alive Chicago's hopes of ending an 0-for-10 skid when trailing a series 3-1.

Prior to Game 5, Blackhawks coach Joel Quenneville implored his star players to step up their play, and his biggest star responded when team captain Toews delivered the game-winner with a perfect shot. Toews, who missed the final 22 games of the regular season with a concussion, scored his second goal of the series after recording only one assist in the previous three games. Viktor Stalberg had an assist on the winning tally, a major relief after he committed four minor penalties in the contest.

The Coyotes were unable to protect a third-period lead for the fourth time in the series. Phoenix was outshot by a 2-to-1 margin and failed to capitalize on four power-play opportunities. Gilbert Brule scored the only goal for the Coyotes, who have given up the tying goal three times in the final 86 seconds of regulation to keep the Blackhawks breathing. Goaltender Mike Smith turned aside 36 shots and also had an assist on Brule’s goal. He hasn’t lost in regulation since March 15 against Calgary, a span of 14 games.

Phoenix was 33-1-0 when leading after two periods in the regular season, but has seen Chicago score the tying goal with 14.2 seconds, 5.6 seconds, 1:26 and 10:45 in the third period.

Pick: Blackhawks

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**Udog** · 04-23-2012, 08:33 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Toronto at Milwaukee
The Raptors look to take advantage of a Milwaukee team that is coming off a 106-95 win over New Jersey and is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Toronto is the pick (+10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bucks favored by only 8. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+10 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

MONDAY, APRIL 23

Game 501-502: Detroit at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 110.666; Indiana 125.347
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 14 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 9; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-9); N/A

Game 503-504: Charlotte at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 107.909; Washington 115.392
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 7 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 9; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+9); N/A

Game 505-506: Philadelphia at New Jersey (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 117.511; New Jersey 116.843
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia 9; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+9); Under

Game 507-508: Cleveland at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 108.810; Memphis 123.695
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 15; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 13; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-13); Over

Game 509-510: Toronto at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 112.773; Milwaukee 120.649
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 8; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 10 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+10 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Portland at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 112.081; San Antonio 133.263
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 21; 202
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 13 1/2; 206
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-13 1/2); Under

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 23

Hot Teams
-- Indiana won seven of its last eight games, covered six of seven.
-- Wizards won three of their last four games.
-- 76ers won four of their last five road games.
-- Memphis won its last nine home games (5-3 vs spread last eight).
-- Toronto covered five of its last seven road games.
-- Spurs won/covered their last seven games.

Cold Teams
-- Pistons lost five of their last six road games.
-- Bobcats have somehow lost 20 games in a row (5-15 vs spread).
-- Nets lost their last four home games (1-3 vs spread).
-- Cleveland won/covered once in their last five games.
-- Bucks lost five of their last seven games.
-- Trailblazers lost seven of their last eight games.

Wear-and-Tear
-- Pistons: 5th game/7 nites. Pacers: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Bobcats: 3rd game/4 nites. Wizards: 2nd game/5 nites.
-- 76ers: 2nd game/5 nites. Nets: 2nd game/5 nites.
-- Cavaliers: 10th game/14 nites. Grizzlies: 9th game/13 nites.
-- Raptors: 2nd in row, after 3 nites off. Bucks: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Blazers: 2nd game/5 nites. Spurs: 6th game/8 nites.

Totals
-- Four of last five Detroit road games went over total.
-- Five of last six Charlotte games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Philly road games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Memphis games stayed under total.
-- Under is 8-3 in Toronto's last eleven games.
-- Six of last eight Portland road games went over the total.

Back-to-Back
-- Pistons are 3-6-1 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Bobcats are 4-10 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Cavaliers are 3-1 vs spread when playing on road 2nd nite in row.
-- Raptors are 5-2 vs spread when playing on road 2nd nite in row.
-- Spurs are 4-1 vs spread at home if they played night before.

NBA

Monday, April 23

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. INDIANA
Detroit is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indiana's last 14 games

7:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. WASHINGTON
Charlotte is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Washington is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NEW JERSEY
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
New Jersey is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
New Jersey is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Philadelphia

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 12 games
Toronto is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

8:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. MEMPHIS
Cleveland is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Memphis is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland

8:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. SAN ANTONIO
Portland is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Portland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 11-1-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home
San Antonio is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Portland

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NBA

Monday, April 23

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Pick 'n' roll: Monday's best NBA bets
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Detroit Pistons at Indiana Pacers (-9.5, 193)

This is the time of year when most playoff-bound teams are resting their starters but the Indiana Pacers are still working in a new one. Darren Collison started 56 of 57 games for the Pacers. Then he got hurt, and backup point guard George Hill led the team to its longest winning streak of the season.

Now coach Frank Vogel says Hill will keep the starting job even when Collison returns from injury.

“The way (the team is) rolling right now, I don’t think you mess with that chemistry,” Vogel told the Indy Star. “You keep it, you stay the course and that’s the plan.”

The Pacers are 7-1 straight up and 5-3 ATS with Hill at the helm.

Pick: Pacers

Cleveland Cavaliers at Memphis Grizzlies (-13, 191)

The Grizzlies franchise hasn’t seen a lot of the postseason in its 17-year history, but for a second straight season Memphis is heading to the playoffs.

The Grizz are winning games and improving their position in the Western Conference but they aren’t covering the large spreads oddsmakers are giving them. Lionel Hollins’ ballers are 5-1 in their last six but just 1-5 ATS.

The Cavs are coming off a big win over the Knicks and are happy to have Kyrie Irving back in the lineup. The soon-to-be Rookie of the Year scored 21 points in 25 minutes against New York.

“I wish we would’ve been consistent throughout the season,” Irving told the Akron Beacon Journal. “We’ve beaten good teams throughout the season and we’ve shown we can play with the good teams.”

Expect the Cavs to keep this one close.

Pick: Cavs

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**Udog** · 04-23-2012, 08:34 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, April 23

St. Louis at Chicago Cubs
The Cardinals look to build on their 6-1 record in Jaime Garcia's last 7 starts as a favorite. St. Louis is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, APRIL 23

Game 901-902: Colorado at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Moyer) 15.252; Pittsburgh (Correia) 14.976
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+100); Over

Game 903-904: San Francisco at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 15.559; NY Mets (Gee) 14.425
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 905-906: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Garcia) 16.173; Cubs (Garza) 14.124
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); No Total
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-115); N/A

Game 907-908: Houston at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Harrell) 15.946; Milwaukee (Greinke) 15.048
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-225); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+195); Under

Game 909-910: Philadelphia at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 13.953; Arizona (Miley) 14.949
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Arizona (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-115); Over

Game 911-912: Atlanta at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 16.830; LA Dodgers (Capuano) 15.781
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+110); Under

Game 913-914: NY Yankees at Texas (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.123; Texas (Holland) 17.616
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-140); Under

Game 915-916: Boston at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 14.099; Minnesota (Marquis) 14.503
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+140); Over

Game 917-918: Toronto at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Morrow) 14.970; Kansas City (Chen) 13.671
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-110); Over

Game 919-920: Chicago White Sox at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Peavy) 16.649; Oakland (Colon) 14.902
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-110); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-110); Under

Game 921-922: San Francisco at NY Mets (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 14.506; NY Mets (Batista) 15.398
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

**Udog** · 04-23-2012, 08:34 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 23

Hot pitchers
-- Correia is 1-0, 1.50 in his first two starts this season.
-- Bumgarner is 2-0, 1.98 in his last couple starts.
-- JGarcia is 2-0, 3.06 in three starts this season.
-- Harrell is 1-0, 2.55 in three starts this season. Greinke allowed two runs in 14 IP in two home starts this season.
-- Capuano is 1-0, 3.18 in his last couple starts.

-- Holland is 2-0, 3.10 in three starts this season.
-- Chen has a 2.50 RA in his first three starts this season.
-- Colon is 3-1, 2.63 in four starts this season. Peavy is 2-0, 1.98 in his last two starts.

Cold pitchers
-- 49-year old Moyer is 1-2, 5.09 in three starts this season.
-- Lincecum is 0-2, 10.54 in three starts this season. Gee is 2-2, 5.26 in his last seven starts. Batista is making first '12 start; he was 2-0, 2.42 in his last four starts LY.
-- Garza is 1-1, 3.66 in three starts this season.
-- Miley is making first '12 start; he was 4-2, 4.12 in seven 2011 starts- he's allowed three runs in 8.2 IP in relief this year.
-- Kendrick is making first '12 start; he was 2-1, 3.00 in last five starts LY.
-- Jurrjens is 0-1, 8.10 in three starts this season.

-- Sabathia has a 5.59 RA in three starts this season.
-- Lester is 0-2, 9.00 in his last couple starts. Marquis is 1-2, 9.28 in his last five starts.
-- Morrow is 0-1, 5.40 in three starts this season.

Hot teams
-- Rockies won four of their last five games.
-- Giants won six of their last nine games.
-- St Louis won six of its last eight games.
-- Braves won five of their last six games. Dodgers won 12 of their first 16 games.

-- Bronx won nine of its last twelve games. Rangers won 13 of their first 16 games.
-- Blue Jays won five of their six road games.
-- White Sox won four of their last five games.

Cold teams
-- Pirates are 4-8 in their last twelve games.
-- Mets lost four of last six games, allowing 31 runs in last four.
-- Cubs lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Astros lost six of their last eight games. Milwaukee lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Arizona lost five of its last six games. Phillies lost four of six.

-- Red Sox lost their last five games, outscored 46-17. Minnesota lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Royals lost their first nine home games.
-- Oakland is 3-5 in its first eight home games.

Totals
-- Under is 10-1-1 in last twelve Pittsburgh games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in games at Citi Field this season.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in Cubs' last ten games.
-- Five of seven Houston road games went over total.
-- Seven of ten Philly road games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Dodger games stayed under the total.

-- Six of seven Texas home games stayed under total.
-- Minnesota's last five home games stayed under total.
-- Over is 9-1-1 in last eleven Toronto games.
-- Six of last seven Oakland games stayed under the total.

**Udog** · 04-23-2012, 08:35 AM

MLB

Monday, April 23

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Trend Report
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4:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. NY METS
San Francisco is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 9 games
NY Mets are 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
NY Mets are 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing San Francisco

7:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TEXAS
NY Yankees are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games on the road
Texas is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games at home
Texas is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

7:05 PM
COLORADO vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games
Pittsburgh is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games

7:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. NY METS
San Francisco is 3-9-1 SU in its last 13 games ,on the road
NY Mets are 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,
NY Mets are 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games ,when playing at home against San Francisco

8:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. CHI CUBS
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games

8:10 PM
BOSTON vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 15 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
Minnesota is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games

8:10 PM
TORONTO vs. KANSAS CITY
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto

8:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Houston's last 20 games
Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games

9:40 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. ARIZONA
Philadelphia is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Arizona
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing Philadelphia

10:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. OAKLAND
Chi White Sox are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games at home

10:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. LA DODGERS
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games
LA Dodgers are 13-4 SU in their last 17 games

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**Udog** · 04-23-2012, 08:35 AM

MLB

Monday, April 23

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Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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STREAKING

Derek Holland, Texas Rangers
2-0, 3.10 ERA

The smooth lefty has a ridiculous WHIP of 0.89 heading into Monday's start at Yankee Stadium, and opponents are batting .164 against him. He's been the picture of consistency, going at least seven innings in each of his last two starts. Holland emerged as a big-time pitcher in the second half of last season, and 2012 has been nothing but validation.

Bartolo Colon, Oakland A's
3-1, 2.63 ERA

The 38-year-old right-hander matched his age by throwing 38 consecutive strikes in dominating the Angels last week. Colon tossed eight shutout innings, allowing four hits and no walks. He has not been scored upon in two straight starts entering Monday's game against the White Sox. The league is hitting .194 against him.

SLUMPING

Tim Lincecum, San Francisco Giants
0-2, 10.54 ERA

The first inning has been a nightmare for Lincecum: Nine of his 16 runs allowed have come in the first. Opponents are hitting .344 against him, and Lincecum has given up least five runs in three consecutive games for the first time in his career. Desperate to regain his typical form, Lincecum had to wait an extra day due to Sunday's rainout in New York.

Jair Jurrjens, Atlanta Braves
0-1, 8.10 ERA

Jurrjens has not lasted more than five innings in any of his three starts. Opponents are raking him for a .362 average, and the 26-year-old right-hander has more walks (9) than strikeouts (8). The Braves insist his surgically repaired knee is not an issue, but we're starting to wonder. Jurrjens gets Matt Kemp and the Dodgers on Monday.

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**Udog** · 04-23-2012, 08:36 AM

MLB

Monday, April 23

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MLB Top 5: Best under bets in baseball
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No team in the big leagues makes a fifth starter look like an ace hurler with as much ease as the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Bucs are dead last in the majors in batting average, total bases and walks.

The amateur act at the plate is the reason Pittsburgh is dead last in runs scored, by a large margin, at 30 That's half the big league average.

Fans like crooked numbers on the board but sputtering offenses can make cranky, old under bettors perkier than a cheerleader at a pep rally. The under is 2-13 in Pittsburgh's first 15 games.

Entering Sunday's slate, the under was cashing at close to a 52 percent clip so far this season.

Here's a look at four other teams cashing for under players:

Detroit Tigers: Over/Under (4-10-1)

The Tigers regularly see some of the highest totals in the bigs because of the bashers in the middle of their lineup. But the under is a perfect 6-0 in Detroit's away games, where the AL Central leader has scored 18 runs and allowed 15 in six games.

Texas Rangers: O/U (4-10-1)

The Rangers lead the majors in runs (91) but are still one of the best under bets. Oddsmakers give Texas high totals to account for all that firepower in Ron Washington's batting order, especially at the Ballpark in Arlington. The Rangers opened on a 9-1 under tear to start the campaign but have cooled since.

Everyone knew the AL champs can hit. There were, however, some doubts about their pitching after losing C.J. Wilson in the offseason and seeing their closer jump into the starting rotation. The early results have been positive (fourth in team ERA), but you've got to wonder how long that'll last.

Washington Nationals: O/U (5-11)

Pitching is the story again. The preseason forecasters warned us the Nats had some filthy arms on staff, but who would have expected this team to carry a 2.34 ERA into the fourth week of the season?

Washington also tops the majors in strikeouts, opponent batting average and is second in WHIP (walks + hits per inning). The numbers would be even better if the bullpen would hold up its end of the bargain. The Nats' starting pitchers own a combined 1.89 ERA, a half run lower than those guys in Philly.

Oakland Athletics: O/U (5-11)

The A's have been a good under bet for years thanks to below average batting and an expansive home field. Of course, the club did go on a memorable 24-2-2 over run last summer.

Oakland ranks among the top 10 in most pitching categories despite losing arms like Andrew Bailey, Gio Gonzalez and Trevor Cahill. The production at the plate, outside of import Yoenis Cespedes, is underwhelming at best.

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**Udog** · 04-23-2012, 08:36 AM

MLB

Monday, April 23

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Rounding the bases: This week's best MLB betting trends
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Every week, we update you on who's hot, who's not and situational betting spots in Major League Baseball (All records and statistics through Saturday):

HOT TEAM: Washington Nationals

THIS SEASON: 12-4.
LAST WEEK: 5-1.
THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: At the Padres for three, at the Dodgers for three.

THE SKINNY: There was a lot of talk surrounding the Nationals in spring training. They were the chic team, the club that could surprise in a tough National League East. Well, if a small sampling is any indication, manager Davey Johnson seems to have the right mix, he’s pushing the right buttons, and there is baseball fever in the nation’s capital.

Last week, one win rolled right after another, it seemed, including a shutout of Houston (1-0) on Tuesday, and another against the Marlins (2-0) on Friday.

Jayson Werth, last year’s bust of a free-agent signing from Philadelphia, has turned a corner and sat with a .475 slugging percentage and a .322 average. The Nationals have little speed -- swiping just four bases as a team -- but when you have four players with at least seven RBIs, including Werth (13), maybe you don’t need to steal bags. As for the arms, it's all about the strikeouts. Stephen Strasburg (25), Gio Gonzalez (21) and Edwin Jackson (20) are sending NL batters back to the dugout at a regular rate, and for now, the bullpen is making leads hold up. Eventually, the books will account for Washington’s prowess. So you might want to jump on the Nationals now.

COLD TEAM: Kansas City Royals
THIS SEASON: 3-11.
LAST WEEK: 0-5.
THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: Home to the Blue Jays for one, at the Indians for three, at the Twins for three.

THE SKINNY: To be fair, the Royals had some tough sledding last week, but the numbers were not good regardless. They battled, give them credit for that, but that only made the losses tougher to swallow. Three defeats to Detroit by a combined score of 10-6, and another nailbiter against Toronto, 4-3 on Friday. Surprisingly, the Royals were 10th in the majors in team batting. But it just doesn't feel like it. Probably because a lot of those hits were of the hollow variety, and perhaps more important, they had only a .318 on-base percentage and .417 slugging clip as a club. On the pitching staff, no one had more than 15 strikeouts, and the Royals had more blown saves (three), than actual saves (two). It could be another long year for manager Ned Yost and Co.

OVER TEAM: Toronto Blue Jays

O/U THIS SEASON: 10-4.
O/U LAST WEEK: 4-1.
THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: At the Royals for one, at the Orioles for three, home to the Mariners for three.

THE SKINNY: Balance, balance, balance has been the order of the day in Toronto. Seven players -- Jeff Mathis (.400), Edwin Encarnacion (.328), Brett Lawrie (.281), Colby Rasmus (.321), Eric Thames (.256), Omar Vizquel (.250), and Ben Francisco (.250) -- owned at least a .250 batting average, and six of those players -- taking out Vizquel -- had at least an on-base percentage of .300, including Mathis (.900) and Encarnacion (.621). And a forgotten statistic always key to overs that Toronto has excelled in, is walks. Kelly Johnson and Jose Bautista both had 11, and in Toronto, if you're getting on, there seem to be enough bats to get them home. Last week, the Blue Jays scored 28 runs in five games. Another signal for overs? Batting average against for your pitching staff, and Toronto has abided. Drew Hutchison (.364), Sergio Santos (.316) and Francisco Cordero (.292) have made sure of that.

UNDER TEAM: Detroit Tigers

O/U THIS SEASON: 4-10-1.
O/U LAST WEEK: 2-4.
THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: Home to the Mariners for three, at the Yankees for three.

THE SKINNY: Just goes to show you that adjustments needs to be made when lineups change, no matter how much star power you bring in from other teams. Prince Fielder will pay dividends over the long haul. But as dangerous as he's made this lineup, the Tigers are not immune to unders. In a three-game sweep of the Royals, the Tigers posted a hat trick of unders, and did not score more than four runs in any game. They finished the series with just 10 runs total, and took just a .250 batting average into Sunday's action. That was good for 13th in the majors. And their on-base percentage (.392) clocked in at 17th. Not exactly how Detroit brass drew it up in the offseason. But style points aren't for them, and neither should they be for you. If Detroit remains an overvalued over play, continue to ride that under train, folks.

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**Udog** · 04-23-2012, 08:36 AM

MLB

Monday, April 23

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Hot lines: Monday's best MLB bets
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Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates (-110, 8)

The Rockies have won three straight series, and right fielder Michael Cuddyer is a big reason why. His two-run double lifted Colorado to a 4-1 win in Milwaukee on Sunday. He leads the team with a .345 average and 11 RBIs.

They'll send 49-year-old Jamie Moyer against the Pirates, who are pathetic offensively. Pittsburgh has scored two or fewer runs in 11 of its 14 games.

Kevin Correia gets the nod for the Pirates. He got a couple extra days of rest after dealing with discomfort in his left side.

Correia will have to face a hot Troy Tulowitzki. The shortstop went 6 for 14 with three runs scored and three RBIs in the weekend series in Milwaukee.

Colorado has won four of its last five games in Pittsburgh.

Pick: Rockies

Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins (140, 8.5)

Mother Nature must be a Boston Red Sox fan because apparently she couldn’t bear to watch them play the New York Yankees again. The Red Sox start a seven-game trip with a three-game set against the Minnesota Twins on Monday and got a head start to Minneapolis after their series finale with the Yankees on Sunday was rained out.

Boston (4-10), which has lost five straight, is still stinging from its 15-9 loss Saturday when it blew a 9-0 lead and allowed seven runs in each of the seventh and eighth innings.

Starter Daniel Bard walked seven, including one with the bases loaded, in a 1-0 loss to Tampa Bay on April 16. He allowed four hits and struck out seven in 6 2/3 innings. Bard has appeared in four games against the Twins, permitting one run and six hits in 6 1/3 innings. The current Minnesota roster is 0-for-12 against him, with only Joe Mauer (RBI) and Justin Morneau (two walks) having any success at all.

Minnesota isn’t much better than the Sox at 5-11, and enters having lost two of three at Tampa Bay. Minnesota’s Jason Marquis is set to make his second American League start. His debut resulted in a 6-5 victory over New York at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday when he allowed four runs and seven hits in five innings.

Adrian Gonzalez is 6-for-19 with six walks against Marquis. The Red Sox went 5-2 against the Twins last year, including taking two of three at Target Field.

Pick: Red Sox

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**Udog** · 04-23-2012, 09:26 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, April 23

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COLORADO (8 - 7) at PITTSBURGH (6 - 9) - 7:05 PM
JAMIE MOYER (L) vs. KEVIN CORREIA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 34-45 (-19.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 77-83 (-29.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 81-98 (-31.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 150-219 (-50.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
COLORADO is 69-101 (-33.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 81-98 (-31.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 109-121 (-32.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 54-72 (-28.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 438-419 (+51.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 298-319 (+38.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 15-8 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
CORREIA is 72-60 (+26.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 31-18 (+18.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 70-60 (+23.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 49-39 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 43-29 (+25.0 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 21-11 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games in April games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JAMIE MOYER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
MOYER is 2-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.276.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)

KEVIN CORREIA vs. COLORADO since 1997
CORREIA is 2-4 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.35 and a WHIP of 1.387.
His team's record is 6-6 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-6. (-0.8 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (7 - 7) at NY METS (8 - 6) - 7:10 PM
MADISON BUMGARNER (L) vs. DILLON GEE (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against NY METS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

DILLON GEE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

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ST LOUIS (11 - 5) at CHICAGO CUBS (4 - 12) - 8:05 PM
JAIME GARCIA (L) vs. MATT GARZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 102-94 (-35.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
GARCIA is 14-23 (-20.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 57-41 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 83-51 (+24.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 58-43 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1191-1278 (-241.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 78-95 (-31.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 72-99 (-34.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 78-95 (-31.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-38 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
GARZA is 18-24 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-1 (+0.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JAIME GARCIA vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
GARCIA is 2-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.31 and a WHIP of 1.244.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

MATT GARZA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
GARZA is 2-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.32 and a WHIP of 1.591.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)

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HOUSTON (6 - 10) at MILWAUKEE (7 - 9) - 8:10 PM
LUCAS HARRELL (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 40-87 (-35.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 63-117 (-36.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 61-116 (-37.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 66-31 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 52-22 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 64-29 (+27.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 66-31 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 19-0 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 19-0 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 13-0 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 14-24 (-14.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

LUCAS HARRELL vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
HARRELL is 0-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.938.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
GREINKE is 3-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.71 and a WHIP of 1.238.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (7 - 9) at ARIZONA (8 - 8) - 9:40 PM
KYLE KENDRICK (R) vs. DANIEL HUDSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 105-80 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 77-56 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 77-54 (+25.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 64-41 (+22.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 105-80 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 38-22 (+16.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 59-36 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KENDRICK is 45-26 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KYLE KENDRICK vs. ARIZONA since 1997
KENDRICK is 0-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.95 and a WHIP of 1.648.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

DANIEL HUDSON vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
HUDSON is 1-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

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ATLANTA (10 - 6) at LA DODGERS (12 - 4) - 10:10 PM
JAIR JURRJENS (R) vs. CHRIS CAPUANO (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JAIR JURRJENS vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
JURRJENS is 3-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.472.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-1. (+4.1 units)

CHRIS CAPUANO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
CAPUANO is 4-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.60 and a WHIP of 0.981.
His team's record is 4-4 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.1 units)

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NY YANKEES (9 - 6) at TEXAS (13 - 3) - 7:05 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. DEREK HOLLAND (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

C.C. SABATHIA vs. TEXAS since 1997
SABATHIA is 11-3 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.60 and a WHIP of 1.474.
His team's record is 14-5 (+6.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 14-5. (+8.7 units)

DEREK HOLLAND vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
HOLLAND is 0-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 8.77 and a WHIP of 1.987.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.5 units)

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BOSTON (4 - 10) at MINNESOTA (5 - 11) - 8:10 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. JASON MARQUIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 15-25 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 62-58 (-22.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 41-44 (-19.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 96-82 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUIS is 16-8 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 16-8 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 65-104 (-25.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 37-72 (-26.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 68-111 (-28.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-56 (-24.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 35-53 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 1-10 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUIS is 71-86 (-33.2 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 72-75 (-31.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JON LESTER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
LESTER is 1-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.95 and a WHIP of 1.525.
His team's record is 2-4 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.7 units)

JASON MARQUIS vs. BOSTON since 1997
MARQUIS is 0-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.169.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

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TORONTO (9 - 6) at KANSAS CITY (3 - 12) - 8:10 PM
BRANDON MORROW (R) vs. BRUCE CHEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 41-37 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 0-9 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
KANSAS CITY is 0-9 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 0-9 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games in April games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 0-9 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 0-7 (-7.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

BRANDON MORROW vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
MORROW is 1-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.477.
His team's record is 1-3 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

BRUCE CHEN vs. TORONTO since 1997
CHEN is 4-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.42 and a WHIP of 0.987.
His team's record is 5-3 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-2. (+3.0 units)

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CHI WHITE SOX (9 - 6) at OAKLAND (8 - 9) - 10:05 PM
JAKE PEAVY (R) vs. BARTOLO COLON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 48-35 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 75-60 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 317-312 (+28.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 50-41 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PEAVY is 8-1 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PEAVY is 8-1 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 95-127 (-33.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
COLON is 96-78 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLON is 57-51 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JAKE PEAVY vs. OAKLAND since 1997
PEAVY is 0-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

BARTOLO COLON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
COLON is 10-6 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.330.
His team's record is 11-9 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-10. (-1.9 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (7 - 7) at NY METS (8 - 6) - 4:10 PM
TIM LINCECUM (R) vs. MIGUEL BATISTA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against NY METS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

TIM LINCECUM vs. NY METS since 1997
LINCECUM is 3-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.87 and a WHIP of 1.319.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.2 units)

MIGUEL BATISTA vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
BATISTA is 3-8 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.70 and a WHIP of 1.505.
His team's record is 4-14 (-10.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-9. (-2.9 units)

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**Udog** · 04-23-2012, 09:29 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, April 23

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DETROIT (24 - 40) at INDIANA (41 - 23) - 4/23/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (7 - 56) at WASHINGTON (17 - 46) - 4/23/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 21-41 ATS (-24.1 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season.
CHARLOTTE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
CHARLOTTE is 11-33 ATS (-25.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
CHARLOTTE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
CHARLOTTE is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
CHARLOTTE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-36 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 46-66 ATS (-26.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 132-176 ATS (-61.6 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-5 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 6-5 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (33 - 30) at NEW JERSEY (22 - 42) - 4/23/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 64-80 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 85-107 ATS (-32.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
NEW JERSEY is 41-60 ATS (-25.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-5 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (21 - 42) at MEMPHIS (39 - 25) - 4/23/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 89-68 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (22 - 42) at MILWAUKEE (30 - 33) - 4/23/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 62-89 ATS (-35.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 24-7 ATS (+16.3 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 63-43 ATS (+15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 141-181 ATS (-58.1 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 45-68 ATS (-29.8 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 8-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 8-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (28 - 36) at SAN ANTONIO (47 - 16) - 4/23/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 29-9 ATS (+19.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 54-36 ATS (+14.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 297-245 ATS (+27.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 6-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 7-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 04-23-2012, 11:22 AM

NHL
Short Sheet

Monday, April 23

EC Quaterfinals, Game Six (Ottawa Leads, 3-2)
NY Rangers at Ottawa, 7:05 ET NBCSN
NY Rangers: 8-0 SU away off a home loss by 2+ goals
Ottawa: 3-11 SU off a combined score of 3 goals or less

WC Quaterfinals, Game Six (Phoenix Leads, 3-2)
Phoenix at Chicago, 9:05 ET CNBC
Phoenix: 18-7 SU off a combined score of 4 goals or less
Chicago: 3-8 SU at home off a win by 1 goal

Announcement

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 4/23 (NBA, NHL, MLB, Misc.)

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 4/23 (NBA, NHL, MLB, Misc.)

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