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The Bum's Friday's MLB-NBA Best Bets !

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  • #16
    Hawks try to take advantage of injury-riddled Celtics Friday


    BOSTON CELTICS (37-26)

    at ATLANTA HAWKS (37-25)


    Tip-off: Friday, 7:05 p.m. ET
    Line: Atlanta -10, Total: 178½

    Two teams playing great basketball in the season’s final month square off Friday night in Atlanta when the Hawks host the short-handed Celtics, who will be playing without their four best players in this game -- PG Rajon Rondo (back), SG Ray Allen (ankle), SF Paul Pierce (thigh) and PF Kevin Garnett (rest).

    Rondo (12.1 PPG, 11.6 APG) and SG Ray Allen (14.2 PPG, 45.3% 3-pt FG) did not make the trip to Atlanta, and Pierce (19.7 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 4.6 APG) and Garnett (16.0 PPG, 8.3 RPG) are expected to rest on Friday. Atlanta has been having a huge month, going 6-2 (SU and ATS) in eight April games. Can the Hawks cover this double-digit spread? For the answer, connect to the NBA Three-at-Three Pass for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each day. The NBA Pass is a sizzling 32-15-1 ATS (68%) in April, including a tremendous 16-4-1 ATS (80%) since April 12.

    Boston’s defense has been extremely tough in the past nine games (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS), limiting opponents to 89.8 PPG on 41.5% FG and 32.2% 3-pt FG. Six of these opponents have scored 86 points or less in this span. The Celtics offense has also been running smoothly with 98.1 PPG on 50% FG and 40% threes in the past eight contests. They have not been a great road team this season (15-17 SU and ATS), but the C’s are 8-4 (SU and ATS) in their past dozen games away from home.

    Pierce will be missed the most on the court after his recent scoring binge of pumping in 36.0 PPG on 61% FG in his past two games. But more impressive was his career-high 14 assists in Wednesday’s win over Orlando. PF Brandon Bass (12.8 PPG, 6.1 RPG) will be counted on even more in Boston’s small lineup on Friday. Bass scored 21 points on 7-of-11 FG against the Dwight Howard-less Magic, but grabbed only two rebounds in 37 minutes. Bass has done a nice job crashing the glass with 14.5 PPG and 10.0 RPG in two wins over Atlanta this season. SG Avery Bradley (7.1 PPG) stayed piping hot on Wednesday with 23 points on 10-of-14 shooting. He now has 19.0 PPG on 60% FG (11-of-16 threes) in his past five games. PG Keyon Dooling (3.5 PPG) will have to find his stroke in this game, as he is just 3-of-12 for seven total points in his past three games spanning 53 minutes. This FoxSheets trend supports the Celtics:

    Play On - Road teams (BOSTON) - after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days. (55-35 over the last 5 seasons.) (61.1%, +16.5 units. Rating = 1*).

    Atlanta has scored 105.4 PPG on 49% FG in its eight April games, and has allowed its opponent to reach 100 points just once this month, limiting these eight teams to a mere 90.9 PPG on 44% FG (32% threes). For the season, the Hawks are 20-9 at home (15-14 ATS), winning seven of their past nine (5-4 ATS) at Philips Arena.

    The Hawks did not have to exert much energy their last time out in a 116-84 thrashing of Detroit, as no starter played more than 22 minutes. Eleven of the 12 players in that game scored at least six points, led by F Ivan Johnson (6.4 PPG), who had 16 points and 10 rebounds off the bench. That gives Johnson 13.6 PPG and 6.3 RPG in seven games this month. PF Josh Smith (18.8 PPG, 9.6 RPG) has also had a strong April, going for 18.8 PPG and 8.6 RPG. Smith has been the standout against the Celtics as well with 15.0 PPG, 11.0 RPG and 6.5 APG in the two meetings. SG Joe Johnson (18.5 PPG, 3.9 APG) has shot poorly in his past five games (36.7% FG, 21.4% threes), but has done a nice job handling the basketball with 10 assists and just one turnover in his past three games. He has 19.5 PPG in two matchups with Boston this season, but has shot just 41.2% FG to get his points. This two-star FoxSheets trend expects the Hawks to win comfortably:

    Play On - Home favorites (ATLANTA) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games. (42-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +23.3 units. Rating = 2*).
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #17
      Mavericks favored big over Warriors Friday


      GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (22-39)

      at DALLAS MAVERICKS (35-28)


      Tip-off: Friday, 8:35 p.m. ET
      Line: Dallas -13, Total: 200½

      Dallas looks to build some momentum heading into the playoffs when it hosts the hapless Warriors on Friday night.

      Golden State is in the midst of a season-ending tailspin, losing six in a row SU (1-5 ATS) and playing without starting PG Stephen Curry and PF David Lee. But Dallas has a bad habit of taking it easy on the first night of a back-to-back (the Mavs will play in Chicago on Saturday). They’ve lost 10 of 11 SU, posting a 2-9 ATS mark on the first night of a back-to-back. Can the Mavericks cover this enormous spread? For the answer, connect to the NBA Three-at-Three Pass for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each day. The NBA Pass is a sizzling 32-15-1 ATS (68%) in April, including a tremendous 16-4-1 ATS (80%) since April 12.

      The Warriors have simply been torched defensively during their six-game losing streak. Opponents have scored 114.0 PPG against them during their slide. But Golden State did hold Nowitzki somewhat in check last Thursday, allowing him to score 27 points, but forcing him to take 23 shots to get them. The Warriors actually had a shot to knock off the Kobe-less Lakers at home on Wednesday, but went ice cold from three (21.1%) in a 99-87 loss.

      SG Klay Thompson (11.9 PPG, 42.4% from three) in particular struggled against the Lakers, scoring 17 points but shooting just 7-for-22 from the field and 1-for-8 from three. Still, he’s hitting 44.2% of his threes on the road this season, and is averaging 18.3 PPG and hitting 39.1% of his threes in 23 starts after the Warriors traded Monta Ellis. In his past four road games—at Utah, Denver, Portland and L.A. (Clippers)—Thompson has averaged 19.0 PPG while hitting 50.9% FG and 63.6% of his threes. The FoxSheets have a rare five-star trend working in favor of the Warriors:

      GOLDEN STATE is 12-0 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. The average score was GOLDEN STATE 101.3, OPPONENT 100.8 - (Rating = 5*).

      Dallas lost back-to-back road games before getting back in the win column against the Rockets at home on Wednesday night. Some of the Mavs’ veterans seem to be wearing down, but PF Dirk Nowitzki (21.8 PPG) is finishing the year out strong. He had 35 on 10-for-18 FG against Houston, two nights after he dropped 40 in a loss at Utah. He is averaging 30.0 PPG over his past five games. Sixth man Jason Terry (15.2 PPG) had another strong game against the Rockets, scoring 19 and hitting 6-of-11 FG and 3-of-6 from three. He’s averaging 22.3 PPG on 49.0% FG and 57.1% from three over the past three games. PG Jason Kidd (6.4 PPG, 5.5 APG) played 35-plus minutes for the third straight game against Houston. He averaged 11.7 PPG on 54.5% FG and 52.6% from three, 7.0 APG and just 1.3 TOPG in those contests. PG Delonte West (9.5 PPG) has a hot hand as well, averaging 17.0 PPG on 59.2% FG over the past four games.

      But some of Dallas’s other veterans are fading. Vince Carter (9.9 PPG) is averaging 20.5 PPG over the past two games, but he shot just 39.4% FG and 30.8% from three in those contests. After back-to-back double-doubles in Portland last Friday and L.A. on Sunday, SF Shawn Marion (10.8 PPG, 7.4 RPG) has scored just four points in each of his past two games. C Brendan Haywood (5.4 PPG, 6.2 RPG) lasted just 21 scoreless minutes in the Utah loss, and scored three points on 1-for-4 FG in 15 minutes against Houston. This three-star FoxSheets trend expects the Mavericks to win big:

      DALLAS is 23-7 ATS (76.7%, +15.3 Units) versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was DALLAS 99.8, OPPONENT 93.7 - (Rating = 3*).
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #18
        NBA Last 2 days:

        Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

        04/19/12 8-*2-*0 80.00% +*2900 Detail

        04/18/12 17-*11-*0 60.71% +*2450 Detail


        Friday, April 20

        Game Score Status Pick Amount

        Memphis - 7:00 PM ET Memphis -14 500
        Charlotte - Over 182 500

        Boston - 7:00 PM ET Boston +10.5 500
        Atlanta - Over 179 500

        New York - 7:30 PM ET New York -10 500
        Cleveland - Over 195 500

        Golden State - 8:30 PM ET Golden State +13 500
        Dallas - Under 200.5 500

        L.A. Lakers - 9:30 PM ET L.A. Lakers +6.5 500
        San Antonio - Over 203.5 500

        Oklahoma City - 10:00 PM ET Sacramento +10 500
        Sacramento - Over 214 500
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #19
          kick arse and take names later BUM......get em Podna


          Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

          Comment

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