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  • The Bum's Thursday's MLB - NBA Best Bets !

    CJ Wilson Faces A's In Angels Home Debut

    Fans in Anaheim finally get to cheer for CJ Wilson at the Big A when the Angels and Oakland Athletics close out a 4-game series Thursday. Tommy Milone is scheduled to start for Oakland in this matchup of lefties that gets underway at 10:05 p.m. (ET).

    Wilson has pitched off the mound at Angel Stadium before, but those appearances came in a Texas Rangers uniform. The southpaw was enormously successful for the Rangers the past two years when Texas went 45-22 in his regular season starts, 3-2 with a 1.25 ERA in Anaheim in five assignments.

    He's off to a 2-0 beginning with his new club following wins at Minnesota and New York, allowing just two runs in 13 innings of work as a -150 favorite and +115 underdog respectively. Eight assignments vs. Oakland the past two campaigns resulted in six Texas wins with Wilson sporting a 3.01 ERA.

    Milone was part of the return Oakland received in the winter deal that sent Gio Gonzalez to the Washington Nationals. He was up with the Nats last September with very good results, all five of his starts ending in Washington victories while the former Southern Cal Trojan posted a 3.81 ERA and 15:4 strikeout to walk ratio in 26 frames. He made a great first impression on the A's with eight shutout innings in a 1-0 win vs. Kansas City on April 9, but dropped a 4-0 decision last Saturday in Seattle (6 IP, 4 ER).

    The first two games of the series were split with the Angels winning 6-0 Monday as -170 chalk behind Jered Weaver and the A's rallying for a 5-3 victory Tuesday as +170 underdogs. Game 3 on Wednesday had the Halos laying -160 on the Don Best odds screen with a 7-run total.

    Off To Fast Start, Nats Close Series With Astros
    Davey Johnson has the Nationals off to their best start since relocating from Montreal after the '04 season, and Washington could be taking aim at a 4-game sweep Thursday in the series finale with the Houston Astros (7:05 p.m. ET).

    The Nationals (9-3, +5.6 units) won the first two games of the series (6-3 and 1-0) behind young hurlers Stephen Strasburg and Gio Gonzalez, favorites of -250 and -160 respectively. Washington was again heavy chalk for Wednesday's Game 3 (-190) with Jordan Zimmermann on the mound opposite Lucas Harrell. The result was still pending at press.

    Thursday's series ender could result in a bunch of K's on the scorecard with Houston's Bud Norris facing Washington's Edwin Jackson. Norris has two no-decisions to show for his starts this season, but both have ended with Houston triumphs. The beefy right-hander averaged nearly nine strikeouts per nine innings the past two seasons in 58 starts for the Astros. This will be his third career assignment vs. the Nats, Houston splitting the previous two.

    Jackson will be making his fifth start vs. Houston, and the previous four each finished in victory for his various teams. He's coming off a complete game 2-hitter last Saturday vs. Cincinnati, no-hitting the Reds over the final seven innings of the 4-1 triumph.

    Darvish Up In Rangers-Tigers Series Opener
    While those two 4-game series come to an end, a huge foursome of games in Motown begin. From the Don Best Sports "It's Never Too Early" Department, this potential ALCS clash between the Texas Rangers and Detroit Tigers gets underway at 7:05 p.m. (ET) Thursday when Adam Wilk makes his second career start for the home team against Yu Darvish who is making his third.

    Both clubs will be traveling after evening road games on Wednesday. The Rangers fly in from Boston while the Tigers are coming out of Kansas City. Motown has been on the list of places to avoid for Texas, who is 4-16 its last 20 games there and lost 11 straight in Detroit from 2007-2009. Of course, the Tigers have been beating a lot of teams at home; Detroit won at least 50 games at Comerica Park each of the past three years (4-2 vs. Rangers in 2011).

    Wilk filled the role of long reliever for about six weeks in '11, and was called up last weekend to be the fill-in for Doug Fister who is on the DL. It hasn't been a smooth transition from Toledo to Detroit for Wilk. Oh, he didn't pitch badly in his first MLB start Saturday at the White Sox – 5 IP, 2 ER both on solo homers. The reason he didn't come out in the sixth wasn't the stats, but instead due to getting drilled in the dugout by a Prince Fielder foul in the top of the inning.

    It hasn't exactly been a smooth transition into the major leagues by Darvish either. At times brilliant, other times rocky, the latest Japanese import has been otherwise effective with Texas winning both of his starts. He's undoubtedly going to draw at least a moderate chalk line in this game, and two stats really stand out: eight walks and .340 batting average against in 11-1/3 IP.

    Darvish will be pitching on 5-days rest in this one; Texas had Monday off and could've gone with Matt Harrison, but manager Ron Washington wanted to break up his southpaws (Harrison and Derek Holland), so gave Harrison the extra time off while keeping Darvish on his normal schedule.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    Nationals And Dodgers Lead Early MLB Betting

    The Dodgers have performed much better on the money line than the run line.

    The daily MLB standings that appear in the newspaper make for a good read, but handicappers are usually looking for something a little bit different as they gauge how teams are performing as the season progresses.

    A standings board, reflecting performance vs. both the Money Line and Run Line, might be more appropriate.

    Of course, the dynamics of such calculations can change quickly, which is why we would suggest looking at recent Money line and Run Line performance more than full-season numbers. That, however, comes into the equation once the campaign has progressed beyond the first few weeks, when we might suggest adding a more-recent calculation alongside the season-long numbers.

    In mid-April, however, we can take a look at the body of work for the entire season to date and come up with some interesting observations about which teams are really providing the value, and which one are not.

    Following, thus, are the unit “standings” vs. the Money Line through action of Tuesday, April 17.

    AL WEST
    Texas +531
    Seattle +89
    Oakland -151
    LA Angels -613

    AL CENTRAL
    Detroit +433
    Cleveland +107
    Chicago White Sox +31
    Minnesota -358
    Kansas City -434

    AL EAST
    Baltimore +460
    Toronto +60
    Tampa Bay -31
    NY Yankees -45
    Boston -350

    NL WEST
    LA Dodgers +718
    Arizona +257
    San Francisco -146
    Colorado -244
    San Diego -619

    NL CENTRAL
    St. Louis +511
    Pittsburgh -134
    Milwaukee -160
    Houston -161
    Cincinnati -357
    Chicago Cubs -419

    NL EAST
    Washington +580
    NY Mets +476
    Atlanta -70
    Miami -155
    Philadelphia -387

    Striking about the numbers above is how so few NL teams have been offering good value outside of the Dodgers, Cardinals, Nationals and Mets who have consumed most of the oxygen in senior circuit over the first two weeks of action. Indeed, only five of the 16 NL sides (Arizona in addition to the four just mentioned) sit on the “plus” side of the Money Line through April 17. Note exceptionally poor value in the early going offered by the Padres at -619 (which figures after losing 6 of 7 vs. the Dodgers in the early going) and the Phillies, who continue to be overpriced and stood at -387 on the Money Line through April 17.

    The Money Line numbers in the AL are not quite as illuminating, although the Rangers, Tigers and Orioles have provided excellent value thus far. It should be noted that Baltimore’s “non-Yankees” ML record would be +760 units minus that three-game sweep vs. the Bronx Bombers last week. On the negative side, be careful before backing the slow-starting Angels, who didn’t win any of their first three series and stood at an AL-worst -613 units on the Money Line through Tuesday’s action.

    Following are Run Line standings by division, also through April 17.

    AL WEST
    Seattle +349
    Texas +116
    LA Angels -33
    Oakland -653

    AL CENTRAL
    Chicago White Sox +305
    Detroit +134
    Kansas City -51
    Cleveland -439
    Minnesota -539

    AL EAST
    Baltimore +584
    Toronto +575
    Boston +94
    NY Yankees -248
    Tampa Bay -337

    NL WEST
    Arizona +668
    San Francisco +154
    LA Dodgers +149
    Colorado -450
    San Diego -616

    NL CENTRAL
    St. Louis +593
    Pittsburgh +272
    Houston +190
    Cincinnati -217
    Chicago Cubs -342
    Milwaukee -399

    NL EAST
    NY Mets +205
    Washington -58
    Atlanta -86
    Philadelphia -219
    Miami -421

    Run Line results, of course, aren’t going to always correspond exactly with Money Line results simply because of the one-run decisions that can make a winning side a losing side in this wager. That partially explains why the Dodgers, despite their 9-2 break from the gate and excellent Money Line performance to date, have not provided the same value on the Run Line, having lost in that wager in a handful of those one-run decisions.

    Conversely, a losing side can often “win” a Run Line, although the calculation apparatus can be skewed far away from the traditional Money Line in the Run Line, wherein a ML underdog can often be a high-priced favorite plus the extra run on the RL.

    Still, these are some similarities in the early Money Line and Run Line standings. In the AL, note that the Orioles (+584 RL) are providing good early value in both the RL and ML; Toronto is also rewarding its RL backers to the tune of +575 units thus far. Seattle (+349 RL) and the White Sox (+305) are other AL sides to note on the positive side of the RL through the first two weeks, while the Twins (-539) and A’s (-653) have burned their Run Line backers consistently.

    In the NL, the Cardinals have replicated their solid Money Line performance by also providing excellent value (+593) on the Run Line to date, although it’s Arizona (+668) leading the Run Line standings for all of the senior circuit. On the bottom end, the Rockies (-450 RL), Marlins (-421) and Brewers (-399) have hurt their Run Line backers. Curiously, the Mets (+205) are the only NL East side with a profitable Run Line performance to date.

    We’ll be periodically updating these Money Line and Run Line standings as the 2012 season progresses. Stay tuned!
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      Around the Horn - Thursday

      April 18, 2012


      NATIONAL LEAGUE


      Chicago at Miami - 12:40 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Samardzija (2-0, 3.95 ERA) 3-9 3-6 L9 vs RHP
      Nolasco (1-0, 3.46 ERA) 6-6 OVER 3-1 L4 during day

      Marlins beat Cubs, 5-2 on Tuesday
      Marlins beat Cubs, 9-1 on Wednesday


      Los Angeles at Milwaukee - 1:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Harang (0-1, 5.91 ERA) 9-3 3-1 L4 vs LHP
      Wolf (0-1, 10.61 ERA) 6-6 OVER 6-2 L7 vs RHP

      Brewers beat Dodgers, 5-4 on Tuesday
      Brewers beat Dodgers, 3-2 on Wednesday

      Cincinnati at St. Louis - 1:45 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Arroyo (0-0, 2.63 ERA) 4-8 1-6 L7 vs RHP
      Wainwright (0-2, 11.42 ERA) 9-3 8-3 L11 vs division

      Cardinals beat Reds, 2-1 on Tuesday
      Cardinals beat Reds, 11-1 on Wednesday

      Houston at Washington - 7:05 PM EST (Game 4/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Norris (0-0, 3.46 ERA) 4-8 3-7 L10 vs RHP
      Jackson (1-0, 2.57 ERA) 10-3 8-3 L11 vs RHP

      Nationals beat Astros, 6-3 on Monday
      Nationals beat Astros, 1-0 on Tuesday
      Nationals beat Astros, 3-2 on Wednesday

      Atlanta at Arizona - 9:40 PM EST (Game 1/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Minor (1-1, 4.38 ERA) 5-7 OVER 4-2 L6 away
      Collmenter (0-0, 12.86 ERA) 7-5 4-2 L6 home

      Braves beat Mets, 14-6 on Wednesday
      Pirates beat Diamondbacks, 2-1 on Wednesday

      Philadelphia at San Diego - 10:15 PM EST (Game 1/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Worley (0-1, 3.75 ERA) 5-7 OVER 7-2 L9 vs RHP
      Wieland (0-1, 10.80 ERA) 3-10 2-4 L6 vs RHP

      Phillies lost to Giants, 1-0 on Wednesday
      Padres lost to Rockies, 8-4 on Wednesday

      AMERICAN LEAGUE


      Baltimore at Chicago - 2:10 PM EST (Game 3/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Hammel (1-0, 2.08 ERA) 7-5 3-1 L4 during day
      Floyd (1-1, 3.09 ERA) 6-6 UNDER 4-1 L5 during day

      Orioles beat White Sox, 10-4 on Monday
      Orioles beat White Sox, 3-2 on Tuesday
      White Sox beat Orioles, 8-1 on Wednesday

      Texas at Detroit - 7:05 PM EST (Game 1/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Darvish (1-0, 4.76 ERA) 10-2 5-0 L5 away
      Wilk (0-1, 3.60 ERA) 9-3 5-1 L6 home

      Rangers beat Red Sox, 6-3 on Wednesday
      Tigers beat Royals, 4-3 on Wednesday

      Minnesota at N.Y. Yankees - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Swarzak (0-2, 3.75 ERA) 4-8 2-4 L6 away
      Hughes (0-2, 9.00 ERA) 6-6 5-3 L8 at night

      Twins beat Yankees, 7-3 on Monday
      Yankees beat Twins, 8-3 on Tuesday
      Twins beat Yankees, 6-5 on Wednesday

      Tampa Bay at Toronto - 7:05 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Hellickson (1-0, 3.29 ERA) 6-6 3-6 L9 away
      Alvarez (0-0, 2.77 ERA) 6-5 OVER 6-2 L8 home

      Blue Jays beat Rays, 7-3 on Tuesday
      Rays beat Blue Jays, 12-2 on Wednesday

      Oakland at Los Angeles - 10:05 PM EST (Game 4/4)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Milone (1-1, 2.57 ERA) 6-7 4-6 L10 vs division
      Wilson (2-0, 1.38 ERA) 4-8 UNDER 6-2 L8 off loss

      Angels beat Athletics, 6-0 on Monday
      Athletics beat Angels, 5-3 on Tuesday
      Athletics beat Angels, 6-0 on Wednesday

      Cleveland at Seattle - 10:10 PM EST (Game 3/3)
      Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
      Tomlin (0-1, 8.31 ERA) 5-5 OVER 4-1 L5 away
      Hernandez (1-1, 3.80 ERA) 7-6 OVER 9-3 L12 vs CLE

      Indians beat Mariners, 9-8 on Tuesday
      Mariners beat Indians, 4-1 on Wednesday
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #4
        Diamond Trends - Thursday

        April 19, 2012

        SU TREND OF THE DAY:


        The White Sox are 0-12 since April 13, 2011 at home after scoring 6+ runs in a night game for a net profit of $1499 when playing against.


        OU TREND OF THE DAY:


        The Cubs are 13-0 OU since April 16, 2011 when playing a night game as a road dog vs a team that has won at least their last two games for a net profit of $1300 when playing the over.

        STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


        The Brewers are 0-8 OU since May 17, 2011 when Randy Wolf starts after the team won their last two games for a net profit of $800 when playing the under.

        MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


        The Marlins are 27-0 (3.4 rpg) since 2005 as a home favorite -130+ off a win where their starter faced 27+ batters and allowed eight or fewer hits and it is not a series opener.

        TODAY’S TRENDS:


        The Yankees are 12-0 since April 14, 2011 at home when they lost the last two games their starter started for a net profit of $1200

        The Astros are 0-14 since April 05, 2011 as a 140+ dog vs a team that has won at least their last three games for a net profit of $1400 when playing against.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          MLB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Thursday, April 19

          Hot pitchers
          -- Nolasco is 1-0, 3.46 in two starts this season.
          -- Arroyo has a 2.14 RA in his last three starts.
          -- Jackson is 1-0, 2.57 in his first two starts for Washington.

          -- Hammel is 1-0, 2.08 in two starts this season.
          -- Hellickson has a 3.04 RA in his last eight starts. Alvarez has 2.77 RA in his first two starts this season, but doesn't have a decision yet.
          -- Wilk allowed three hits, two runs in five IP in his first MLB start.
          -- Milone has a 2.57 RA in his first two starts for Oakland. Wilson won his first two Angel starts, allowing two runs in 13 IP.

          Cold pitchers
          -- Samardzija has 5.27 RA in two starts, but Cubs scored 13 runs and won both games.
          -- Harang allowed eight runs in 10.2 IP in two starts this season. Wolf allowed 18 hits, 11 runs in 9.1 IP in two starts this year.
          -- Wainwright allowed 11 runs in 8.2 IP in two starts this season.
          -- Norris is 0-3, 4.98 in his last eight starts.
          -- Minor is 1-2, 3.81 in his last five starts. Collmenter allowed 11 runs in seven IP in two starts this season.
          -- Worley is 1-3, 5.16 in his last five starts. Weiland allowed six runs in five IP in losing his MLB debut Saturday.

          -- Floyd is 1-4, 4.26 in his last five starts.
          -- Swarzak is 1-6, 6.10 in his last nine starts. Hughes put 17 men on base, allowed eight runs in eight IP in losing his two starts this year.
          -- Darvish allowed 25 baserunners, seven runs in 11.1 IP in his first two major league starts.
          -- FHernandez is 1-4, 5.97 in his last six starts. Tomlin is 0-3, 7.71 in his last three starts.

          Hot teams
          -- Nationals won eight of their last nine games.
          -- Atlanta won seven of its last eight games. Arizona is 4-2 at home, with four one-run games.
          -- Marlins won four of their last five games.
          -- Cardinals won seven of their last nine games.

          -- Texas won its last six games, allowing 15 runs. Tigers won nine of their first twelve games.
          -- Bronx won six of its last nine games.
          -- Orioles won four of their last six games.
          -- Oakland won its last two games, allowing three runs.
          -- Indians won four of their last five games, scoring 42 runs.

          Cold teams
          -- Astros lost seven of their last eight games.
          -- Cubs lost seven of their last nine games.
          -- Brewers lost four of their last five games, but won last two. Dodgers lost last two games on walk-offs, after their 9-1 start.
          -- Cincinnati lost seven of its last nine games.
          -- Padres lost nine of their first thirteen games.
          -- Phillies are 2-4 in their first six road games.

          -- Tampa Bay lost five of its last eight games.
          -- White Sox lost three of their last four games.
          -- Minnesota lost eight of its first twelve games.
          -- Royals lost seven of their last eight games.
          -- Mariners are 4-5 in their last nine games.
          -- Angels lost eight of their twelve games.

          Totals
          -- Over is 6-2-1 in Cubs' last nine games.
          -- Over is 4-1-1 in Dodger road games this season.
          -- Seven of last nine Cincinnati games stayed under total.
          -- Six of last eight Washington games stayed under the total.
          -- Eight of last ten Atlanta games went over the total.
          -- Six of last nine San Diego games stayed under the total.

          -- Eight of eleven White Sox games stayed under total.
          -- Last four Bronx games went over the total.
          -- Five of last six Tampa Bay road games went over the total.
          -- Last six Detroit games stayed under the total.
          -- Under is 5-3 in last eight Oakland games.
          -- Six of last eight Seattle games stayed under the total.
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

            04/18/12 16-*14-*0 53.33% +*1125 Detail
            04/17/12 16-*13-*1 55.17% +*445 Detail
            04/16/12 11-*8-*1 57.89% +*1135 Detail
            04/15/12 15-*15-*0 50.00% -*605 Detail
            04/14/12 17-*11-*2 60.71% +*3405 Detail
            04/13/12 13-*17-*0 43.33% -*2560 Detail
            04/12/12 9-*8-*1 52.94% +*20 Detail
            04/11/12 16-*14-*0 53.33% +*1145 Detail
            04/10/12 13-*7-*1 65.00% +*2885 Detail
            04/09/12 13-*10-*0 56.52% +*1880 Detail
            04/08/12 13-*14-*0 48.15% -*640 Detail
            04/07/12 15-*14-*0 51.72% -*440 Detail
            04/06/12 3-*6-*1 33.33% -*1775 Detail

            Totals 170-*151-*7 52.96% +6020


            MLB

            Thursday, April 19

            Game Score Status Pick Amount

            Chi. Cubs - 12:40 PM ET Miami -152 500
            Miami - Under 7 500

            LA Dodgers - 1:10 PM ET Milwaukee -132 500
            Milwaukee - Under 8.5 500

            Cincinnati - 1:45 PM ET Cincinnati +148 500
            St. Louis - Over 7.5 500

            Baltimore - 2:10 PM ET Baltimore +128 500
            Chi. White Sox - Over 8 500

            Minnesota - 7:05 PM ET Minnesota +197 500
            NY Yankees - Over 10 500

            Houston - 7:05 PM ET Washington -157 500
            Washington - Over 7 500

            Texas - 7:05 PM ET Texas -115 500
            Detroit - Under 9 500

            Tampa Bay - 7:07 PM ET Tampa Bay +106 500
            Toronto - Over 8.5 500

            Atlanta - 9:40 PM ET Atlanta -111 500
            Arizona - Over 9 500

            Philadelphia - 10:05 PM ET Philadelphia -118 500
            San Diego - Over 7 500

            Oakland - 10:05 PM ET Oakland +182 500
            LA Angels - Under 7 500

            Cleveland - 10:10 PM ET Cleveland +137 500
            Seattle - Under 7 500
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-19-2012, 12:57 PM.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #7
              Phoenix Suns Host LA Clippers In TNT Nightcap

              With only five games on the NBA Thursday card, we quickly notice that seven of the 10 teams playing either have clinched and fighting for position, or are still in contention to make the 2012 NBA Playoffs.

              Let’s start in Indiana, where the Pacers host the “must-win” Milwaukee Bucks. Milwaukee pulled off a big trade deadline deal acquiring shooting guard Monta Ellis from the Golden State Warriors, but the Bucks are just 10-7 SU/8-9 ATS since the trade heading into Wednesday’s game vs. Washington.

              Since the Ellis trade, Milwaukee has had no problem beating up on the NBA weak sisters posting a perfect 9-0 record vs. teams under .500. The problem has been trying to compete with teams heading to the playoffs where they are an anemic 1-7 SU/ATS. Bottom line is Milwaukee must win out, and hope for the Sixers’ struggles to continue down the stretch. The Bucks are just 7-13 ATS this season playing on zero days rest.

              The Pacers are surging to the playoffs by quietly posting a league-best 9-1 (7-3 ATS) mark in their last 10 games. With just four games remaining, all at home, the Pacers have all but locked up the No. 3 seed in the Eastern Conference.

              After barely making the playoffs last season as a No. 8 seed, Larry Bird and Frank Vogel have completely changed the roster and culture of the Indiana Pacers. Out went Mike Dunleavy Jr., Josh McRoberts, TJ Ford, James Posey and Brandon Rush. In came George Hill, Leandro Barbosa, David West, Louis Amundson, Jeff Pendergraph and Kyrylo Fesenko. Frank Vogel has done a remarkable job this season leading Indiana and must be considered a Coach of the Year candidate alongside Gregg Popovich, Tom Thibodeau and Doc Rivers. Indiana is 2-0 SU/ATS vs. Bucks this season.

              Both Houston and Phoenix are also in action on Thursday. These two teams are tied for the No. 8 seed in the Western Conference; as of today, Phoenix would get the nod via tie-breaker.

              Phoenix will host the Los Angeles Clippers, a team they Suns beat two out of three this season. All three games have fallen 'under' the posted total. Phoenix, 7-3 SU/ATS in its last 10, has covered 13 of the last 16 at home. It goes without saying, this game matters a great deal more to the Suns than it does to the Clippers.

              The Rockets travel to New Orleans to face the suddenly surging Hornets. New Orleans has covered six straight overall and eight in a row at home. During their recent ATS win streak, the Hornets have knocked off playoff-bound Memphis, Denver and the Clippers.

              Speaking of streaks, Houston has lost four straight, all to teams battling to make the playoffs (Denver twice, Phoenix and Utah). The Rockets, who play Dallas on Wednesday, post an impressive 12-9 ATS record on zero days rest.

              You must go to the Don Best Screen for accurate injury updates before wagering on this game. Both teams have key players who will be “questionable” for this game to include both Rockets big men, Marcus Camby and Samuel Dalembert. The Rockets beat New Orleans in their only meeting this season 90-88 (OT).
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #8
                Hoop Trends - Thursday

                April 19, 2012

                SU TREND OF THE DAY:


                The Pacers are 16-0-1 ATS (10.1 ppg) since April 07, 1999 as a favorite with at least one day of rest after a road win in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was at least eight.


                OU TREND OF THE DAY:


                The Bucks are 0-10 OU (-14.8 ppg) since December 21, 2010 as a road dog after a game in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.

                PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


                The Hornets are 11-0-1 ATS (5.7 ppg) since February 23, 2011 after losing the previous matchup on the road in which Trevor Ariza was not the Hornets’ high scorer.

                CHOICE TREND:


                The Suns are 0-9 OU (-18.3 ppg) since November 14, 2001 at home with no rest when their opponent has averaged fewer than 13 turnovers per game on the road season-to-date.

                TODAY’S TRENDS:


                The Pistons are 8-0 ATS (6.2 ppg) since April 13, 2008 as a favorite when seeking revenge for a loss in which they led at the half.

                The Bulls are 8-0 OU (16.5 ppg) since November 30, 2009 after winning the previous matchup at home in which Derrick Rose played fewer than 30 minutes.

                The Suns are 0-7 OU (-12.2 ppg) since January 07, 2011 after a loss at home in which Steve Nash took fewer than 10 shots.
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #9
                  Inside the Paint - Thursday

                  April 19, 2012

                  Yesterday’s card in the Association featured an eye-opening 14 games and if you played the favorites, then you’re probably still out celebrating. The ‘chalk’ went 12-2 straight up and 11-3 against the spread yesterday and most of the results were never in doubt. It’s fair to say that Houston was the worst underdog beat of the night as it was outscored by 13 points against Dallas in the fourth quarter. And if you bet on the Bobcats or Raptors, then shame on you.

                  Total players watched the ‘over’ go 10-4 and that could’ve easily been 11-3 if Oklahoma City and Phoenix put up any points in the last two minutes. Then again, who would’ve expected Portland and Utah to combine for 62 points in the final quarter, right?

                  It’s been a wild season, especially for bettors, and the action continues tonight with five more matchups. Let’s break ‘em down!
                  Milwaukee at Indiana: This is a must-win spot for the Bucks, who are coming off a huge loss at Washington (112-121) last night. The Bucks now trail the 76ers by 2 ½-games for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. Indiana will clinch the No. 3 seed in the East with one win or one Boston loss. These teams met last Saturday in Milwaukee and the Pacers captured a 104-99 victory as 3 ½-point underdogs. They also met in late March and Indiana posted a 21-point (125-104) win at home. The Pacers are only giving 5 ½-points here which seems low considering they’ve won six straight and 10 of 11 (8-3 ATS). Meanwhile, Milwaukee has dropped four of five and the defense has allowed 109, 111, 105 and 121 points in those setbacks. Do you take the desperate team or the better team?

                  Minnesota at Detroit: Betting on a meaningless game between non-playoff teams doesn’t bode well for your bankroll. Can you really consider taking the Timberwolves with the points knowing that they’ve lost 11 straight (3-8 ATS) games? Or do you give the number with Detroit, who is coming off a 32-point whitewashing in Atlanta (84-116) last night. The Pistons have been respectable (8-12 SU, 10-10 ATS) on zero days rest this season. Delving into the numbers further, the ‘over’ has gone 15-5 (75%) in those 20 games, which could be the look tonight. The total opened 194 at BetOnline.com and has jumped up to 197. The Pistons have seen the ‘over’ go 10-1 in their last 11 due to a lack of defense and up-tempo style, plus they have some gunners on the outside. Minnesota’s offense isn’t as consistent, which could put this number in jeopardy. The pair met on Jan. 18 and the Wolves stopped the Pistons 93-85 as nine-point favorites.

                  Houston at New Orleans: Here we have another matchup where one team (Houston) faces the must-win situation. If Houston wins, it will be tied for the eighth and final playoff spot in the West with Utah. The public has backed the Rockets here, which has moved the line from 3 to 5 at most betting shops. A rule of thumb in gambling is to never bet on a slumping team and that’s exactly what Houston is these days. The Rockets are 0-5 in their last five, plus they’re playing on no rest after last night’s collapse in Dallas (110-117). New Orleans doesn’t have as much talent as Houston or a lot of other teams in the Association, yet it’s managed to produce a 6-4 SU and 7-3 ATS mark in April. Eric Gordon is listed as ‘probable’ for the Hornets and if you believe it matters, this is the last home game of the season for NOLA. The Rockets nipped New Orleans 90-88 in overtime on Jan. 18, but failed to cover as 9 ½-point home favorites. Make a note that Houston is 3-1 ATS as a road favorite this season.

                  Chicago at Miami: Even though these teams will most likely be squaring off in the upcoming Eastern Conference Finals, tonight’s matchup won’t have much buzz. The Bulls need to win two of their final four games to get the top seed in the East and three games for the top overall seed. Point guard Derrick Rose (foot) is ‘doubtful’ and most would expect Luol Deng (ribs) to take another day off too. Chicago is playing in a back-to-back spot after destroying Charlotte (100-68) last night, but none of the starters played over 24 minutes. Miami is coming off a layup win over Toronto (96-72) on Wednesday and it did so without the duties of Chris Bosh and Dwyane Wade. The Heat lost to Chicago 96-86 last Thursday in overtime and the game never sees the extra session if LeBron James makes a free throw. Miami is only giving 5 1/2-points tonight, which seems like a bargain for a team that has gone 26-4 at home and has routinely posted double-digit wins. However, this Chicago team has been tough without Rose (14-10) and it should be noted that the reigning MVP played the most minutes against the Heat when Miami beat Chicago 97-93 on Jan. 29. This game is set for 8:05 p.m. ET, with TNT providing national coverage.

                  L.A. Clippers at Phoenix: Very tough game to handicap here and coincidentally we have another matchup between a hot team and a desperate team. The L.A. Clippers started the season strong and now they’re finishing it even stronger. The Clips are 13-2 SU and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 and they bring a five-game win streak into the desert tonight. Last night, the Nuggets earned an impressive win at Denver (104-98) which was preceded by Monday’s home victory over Oklahoma City (92-77). The Clippers control their own destiny for the No. 3 seed but they’ll need to win their final four games or hope the banged-up Lakers give them some help. Similar to Houston, Phoenix can put itself into a tie with Utah for the final playoff spot in the West with a win here tonight. The Suns have played great lately too but they’re thriving more as bullies. Phoenix is 7-4 both SU and ATS in its last 11 with the four setbacks coming to quality clubs (Nuggets, Grizzlies, Spurs, Thunder) and it’s safe to say the Clippers are in that group. Fatigue could be a factor but both the Clippers (10-8 SU, 10-8 ATS) and Suns (11-8 SU, 11-8 ATS) have been decent on zero days rest this season. The two clubs played three times and March and the Suns won and covered two of the three. Total players should note that the ‘under’ cashed in all three yet tonight’s number (197.5) is higher than the previous games. TNT will provide national coverage at 10:35 p.m. ET.
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                  • #10
                    NBA
                    Armadillo's Write-Up

                    Thursday, April 19

                    Hot Teams
                    -- Indiana won its last six gams, covered last five.
                    -- Hornets won six of last eight home games (8-0 vs spread).
                    -- Bulls won four of their last five games. Miami won its last four tilts (3-1 vs spread).
                    -- Clippers won last five games, covered last three on road. Phoenix won 11 of its last 14 home games; they're 2-3 in last five overall.

                    Cold Teams
                    -- Bucks lost four of their last five games.
                    -- Minnesota lost its last 11 games (2-9 vs spread). Pistons lost six of their last eight games.
                    -- Rockets lost their last five games (0-5 vs spread).

                    Wear-and-Tear
                    -- Bucks: 2nd nite in row after three off. Pacers: 5th game/7 nites.
                    -- T'wolves: 3rd game/4 nites. Pistons: 3rd in row, 6th game/8 nites.
                    -- Rockets: 4th game/5 nites. Hornets: 4th game/5 nites.
                    -- Bulls: 4th game/5 nites. Heat: 6th game/8 nites.
                    -- Clippers: 5th game/7 nites. Suns: 3rd game/4 nites.

                    Totals
                    -- Last four Milwaukee games went over the total.
                    -- Four of last five Minnesota road games went over.
                    -- Five of last seven Houston games stayed under total.
                    -- Five of last seven Chicago road games stayed under.
                    -- Six of last nine Phoenix home games went over total.

                    Back-to-Back
                    -- Bucks are 0-3 vs spread when playing 2nd nite in row on road.
                    -- Pistons are 1-5 vs spread at home if they played on road nite before.
                    -- Houston is 4-8 vs spread on road if it played nite before. Hornets are 10-6 vs spread if they played night before.
                    -- Miami is 6-8 vs spread if it won the night before. Bulls are 5-3 vs spread on road if they played nite before.
                    -- Clippers are 4-2 vs spread on road if they played nite before. Phoenix is 6-3-1 vs spread at home if they played night before.
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                    • #11
                      NBA

                      Thursday, April 19

                      Game Score Status Pick Amount

                      Milwaukee - 7:00 PM ET Indiana -5.5 500
                      Indiana - Over 205.5 500

                      Minnesota - 7:30 PM ET Detroit -5.5 500
                      Detroit - Under 197 500

                      Chicago - 8:00 PM ET Chicago +5 500
                      Miami - Under 183 500

                      Houston - 8:00 PM ET New Orleans +4.5 500
                      New Orleans - Over 187 500

                      L.A. Clippers - 10:30 PM ET Phoenix -2 500
                      Phoenix - Under 197.5 500
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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                      • #12
                        PHOENIX - 2 and we have a 7 game sweep tonight......yeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee hawwwwwwwwwwwww.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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