The Bum's Monday's Best Bets MLB - NBA !

[StarDust Bum]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 16

Hot pitchers
-- Strasburg is 3-0, 0.47 in his last three starts.
-- Halladay is 4-1, 1.22 in his last five starts.

-- Arrieta is 1-0, 2.63 in his first two starts this season.
-- Verlander is 0-1, 2.20 in his first two starts this season. Duffy is 2-0, 4.50 in his last three starts.
-- Weaver is 3-1, 2.80 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- KWeiland is 0-4, 8.77 in his six major league starts.
-- Gee is 1-2, 6.12 in his last six starts. Hanson is 1-3, 5.68 in his last five outings.
-- Luebke is 1-4, 5.08 in his last seven starts. Guthrie has a 6.85 RA in his last four starts.
-- Saunders is 0-1, 3.52 in his last four starts. Bedard is 1-2, 4.18 in his last six starts, 0-2, 2.25 this season.
-- Lincecum allowed 11 runs in 7.2 IP in two starts this season.

-- Shields has a 5.49 RA in his last six starts. Bard allowed five runs in five IP in his first major league start, at Toronto.
-- FGarcia is 1-2, 7.31 in his last five starts. Pavano is 1-3, 4.64 in his last six starts.
-- Humber is 0-1, 5.84 in his last four starts.
-- McCarthy is 0-2, 3.55 in his last five starts.

Hot teams
-- Nationals won five of their last six games.
-- Atlanta won its last five games, after an 0-4 start. Mets won six of their first nine games.
-- Colorado is 3-2 in its last five home games.
-- Giants won four of their last six games.

-- Red Sox won their first three home games, scoring 31 runs.
-- Bronx won five of its last six games.
-- White Sox won five of their last seven games.

Cold teams
-- Astros lost four of their last five games.
-- Padres lost eight of their first ten games.
-- Pirates lost six of their last eight games. Arizona lost four of its last six games.
-- Phillies lost five of their last eight games.

-- Tampa Bay lost five of its last six games.
-- Minnesota lost seven of its first nine games.
-- Orioles lost four of their last six games.
-- Tigers lost three of their last five games. Royals lost four of their last five games.
-- Oakland is 3-5 in its last eight games. Angels lost six of nine games.

Totals
-- Last six Houston games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Four of last six San Diego games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in Pirate games this season.
-- Five of last seven Philly games went over the total.

-- Six of last eight Boston games went over the total
-- Five of last seven Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of eight White Sox games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Kansas City games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-3 in Angels' last eight games.

[StarDust Bum]

Staff Aces Accent Monday MLB Betting Schedule

Season debuts and the third-time through accent the starting pitching matchups as MLB segues from the end of Week 2 on Sunday to Monday's start to Week 3. But first, a look at some trends on the totals side of the baseball betting board as we continue to track early season returns.

Friday the 13th found the 'over' to be the lucky wager for a second straight week. Nine contests on the full 15-game card skipped above scoreboard hurdles a week after going 5-3-1 the previous Friday.

That leaves 'over' bettors a profitable 33-19-1 on Friday through Sunday, while Monday through Thursday are sporting a 36-18-3 showing on the 'under.' Though it is early, it's a trend that bears watching as the season continues to grind forward.

Three Hurlers Make 2012 Debuts On Sunday

Teams will be pressed into using their No. 5 arms more and more now that extra off days have petered out on the early slate. Among the three arms set to make their 2012 debuts on Sunday is Liam Hendriks who takes the mound for the Minnesota Twins in their 2:10 p.m. (ET) start at home vs. Neftali Feliz and the Texas Rangers.

Hendriks is in the Minnesota rotation in place of the injured Scott Baker who will undergo elbow surgery this week and miss the entire season. Hendriks got his first taste of the big leagues last September with four assignments, three of them going in the loss column for the Twins. The Aussie got into eight games this spring, four of them starts, and recorded a nice 2.84 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 25+ innings.

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Colorado Rockies will also be killing off a 3-game set with a Sunday matinee (3:10 p.m. ET) at Coors Field. Trevor Cahill is scheduled to toss for the Snakes while the Rocks send Drew Pomeranz to the mound for his first start of the year. Pomeranz was very impressive this spring with five exhibition outings in which he allowed just one run over 17 frames. The southpaw out of Ole Miss made four starts for Colorado last September with mixed results. Two of the starts came in the Mile High City where he totaled 10-2/3 innings and allowed just two runs on six hits.

Sunday is capped off with ESPN's Sunday evening broadcast from the Bronx where the New York Yankees and Los Angeles Angels conclude their weekend set (8:00 p.m. ET). Jerome Williams, who has been nursing a sore hammy to begin the campaign, will get the call for manager Mike Scioscia and the Halos. It's Williams' first start of the season, and he'll be opposed by Ivan Nova.

Williams made 10 appearances for the Angels last year, six in the starting role. Los Angeles won five of the six starts, and he ended the season 4-0 with a 3.68 ERA.

Aces Galore For Patriots Day

Ten games make up Monday's schedule, and 11 pitchers who earned opening day starts coming out of spring training are part of them. Two of the contests pit No. 1 starters, both of them late games in Anaheim and San Francisco.

Brandon McCarthy and the Oakland A's will be at the Big A for a 10:05 p.m. (ET) first pitch against Angels ace Jered Weaver. This will be McCarthy's fourth trip to the mound this season after he got the nod in Japan a few weeks back when the A's and Mariners played in Tokyo. The righty from just up I-5 in Glendale has posted a nice 2.50 ERA in the outings, but his offense and/or defense has let him down with the Athletics just 1-2 in those games.

Weaver hits the bump for the third time and coming off a rough performance in Minnesota on Wednesday when he allowed five runs in six innings. The Angels won four of his five starts vs. Oakland in 2011, Weaver fashioning a 1.42 ERA in 38 innings of work.

The final game on Monday's schedule is at AT&T Park where Roy Halladay and the Philadelphia Phillies open a 3-game series against Tim Lincecum and the San Francisco Giants. Halladay has been just about untouchable in his first two starts of the season, winning both outings while allowing just seven hits and a run in 15 innings. Lincecum has been throwing BP in his first two starts, meanwhile, giving up 11 runs in less than eight innings of work on the road at Arizona and Colorado. The Giants lost both tilts.

He could get back on track against a Phillies team that he's beaten in three of his last four assignments. That includes Game 1 of the 2010 NLCS when Lincecum bested Halladay in Philly, a 4-3 victory for San Fran.

Here's a quick look at the rest of the opening day pitchers who will be in action on Monday:
•James Shields gets the ball for the Rays in the annual Patriots Day contest at Fenway Park (11:05 a.m. ET). Shields is 1-6 with a 5.93 ERA in his last seven starts at the old park that is about to celebrate its 100th birthday, and will be opposed by Boston's Daniel Bard.
•Carl Pavano is slated to open a 3-game series for Minnesota at the New York Yankees. The game will be broadcast by ESPN (7:00 p.m. ET).
•Washington's Stephen Strasburg will begin a 4-game home series against the Houston Astros.
•Tommy Hanson and the Braves are home to face the New York Mets.
•Justin Verlander and the Detroit Tigers will start a 3-game series in Kansas City.
•Jeremy Guthrie and the Rockies begin a 3-game series at Coors Field opposite the San Diego Padres.
•Erik Bedard will make his third start of the campaign for the Pirates who continue a long 9-game trip out west with the first of three vs. Arizona.

[StarDust Bum]

Diamond Trends - Monday

April 16, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Pirates are 0-12 since June 17, 2011 as a road dog when they are off a win in which they never trailed for a net profit of $1200 when playing against.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Twins are 11-0 OU since May 01, 2011 as a dog when they came back from a deficit to win in their starter’s last start for a net profit of $1100 when playing the over.


STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Angels are 12-0 since September 04, 2006 when Jered Weaver starts at home when he is off a start in which their team scored first and lost for a net profit of $1225

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


The Rays are 0-20 (-4.4 rpg) since 2006 when their line is within 20 cents of pickem and they are off a multiple-run loss in which they left ten or fewer men on base individually.

TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Rays are 7-0 since April 08, 2011 when James Shields starts in April for a net profit of $832.

The Braves are 6-0 since May 16, 2011 when Tommy Hanson starts after facing 25 or fewer hitters for a net profit of $640

[StarDust Bum]

Hoop Trends - Monday

April 16, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Pacers are 15-0 ATS (11.8 ppg) since April 07, 1999 as a favorite after a road win in which they committed fewer than ten turnovers.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Pacers are 0-16 OU (-13.0 ppg) since January 24, 2003 as a home favorite with at least one day of rest after a win in which they committed fewer than ten turnovers.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Hawks are 0-10 ATS (-8.6 ppg) since February 28, 2007 on the road after losing the previous matchup at home in which Joe Johnson shot worse than 33% from the field.

CHOICE TREND:


The 76ers are 0-10 ATS (-6.2 ppg) since November 28, 2008 on the road after a home loss in which they scored less than 10% of their points from the three-point line.

TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Hornets are 0-9 ATS (-9.7 ppg) since December 28, 2008 as a favorite when they held their opponent to fewer than 80 points in their last game.

The Spurs are 0-11 ATS (-5.4 ppg) since January 15, 2007 on the road off a home win in which their leading scorer for that game had fewer than 20 points.

The League is 0-12 OU (-11.4 ppg) since December 06, 2010 after a double digit win in which less than 40% of their baskets were assisted. Active on Toronto.

[StarDust Bum]

Halladay's Phils visit Lincecum's Giants Monday


PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (4-5)

at SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (4-5)


First pitch: Monday, 10:15 p.m. EDT
Line: Philadelphia -115, San Francisco +105, Total: 6

Two 4-5 squads will each look to move back to .500 with their ace toeing the rubber on Monday night when Roy Halladay and Tim Lincecum square off in the opener of a three-game set between the Phillies and Giants.

Lincecum has not looked like his usual dominant self to start the season. He has lasted a total of 7.2 innings in his two starts, allowing 11 earned runs on 14 hits. Although the Philadelphia bats have been inconsistent this season, scoring two runs or less in five of nine games, they broke out Sunday with an eight-run barrage facing a Mets bullpen that had been dominant to start the year. Halladay, on the other hand, was on the hill for Philadelphia’s first two wins of the season, allowing just one earned run and seven hits in 15 innings in 2012. He has his work cut out for him against a Giants lineup that has averaged 4.8 runs per game, but over the past two seasons, Halladay has led his team to a 21-4 record when he faces a strong mound opponent that helps puts the total at less than 7. Take PHILADELPHIA and Halladay in this matchup of aces.

This strong FoxSheets coaching trend also favors the Phillies:

CHARLIE MANUEL is 98-57 (63.2%, +32.6 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 as the manager of PHILADELPHIA. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 5.3, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 2*).

A few Phillies in sore need of breaking out did just that against the Mets Sunday. Juan Pierre, who had been batting .250 on the season, upped that with a 3-for-4 performance. Ty Wigginton, batting just .222, came through with a four-RBI night, giving him five on the year. And others who had been playing well stayed hot, such as Jimmy Rollins (.351 BA) and Hunter Pence (.314 BA), who each added an RBI and two runs scored. All of this is a good sign for this offense that has needed players to step up in the absence of injured stars Ryan Howard (Achilles) and Chase Utley (knee). They might not need too much offensive support if Halladay continues to pitch as he has all season, but this confluence of good factors makes the Phillies the play here.

The Giants best hope for success in this game is that they continue their historical success against Halladay, even if it seems likely that the well will run dry eventually against such a dominant pitcher. In three regular-season starts against the Giants in his career, Halladay is 0-2 with a 7.23 ERA, with San Francisco hitters batting .313 against him. This inexplicable success may have to continue as Lincecum’s inexplicable woes have made him a dangerous bet, despite having a lineup that has scored at least four runs in all but one game this season. Halladay and Lincecum also met twice in the 2010 NLCS. Lincecum won the first matchup 4-3, as he allowed three runs on six hits in seven innings, and pitched even better in the second outing (7 IP, 4 H, 2 ER). But Halladay won that contest 4-2 as he allowed just two runs in six strong innings, the first time he allowed less than four runs in a start versus San Francisco.

[StarDust Bum]

Yankees look to retain dominance over Twins Monday

MINNESOTA TWINS (2-7)

at NEW YORK YANKEES (5-4)


First pitch: Monday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
Line: New York -180, Minnesota +170, Total: 10

After getting swept at home by the Rangers, things don’t get any easier for the slumping Twins when they begin a four-game series Monday in the Bronx against the surging Yankees.

After starting the season 0-3, New York has won five of its past six games, capped off by an 11-run explosion on Sunday night against the Angels. Minnesota has already lost seven times this year, scoring a total of just 12 runs in those defeats. The Twins are certainly capable of tacking on some runs against Freddy Garcia, but Monday’s starter, Carl Pavano, has never pitched well in the Bronx, posting a 6.12 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 13 starts at old Yankee Stadium. This will likely be a slugfest, and the Yankees certainly have the superior bats (5.1 runs per game, .343 OBP) to Minnesota (3.1 runs per game, .314 OBP) in this matchup. The pick here is with the chalk, NEW YORK to notch the series-opening victory, and improve to 10-2 versus the Twins in new Yankee Stadium.

This strong FoxSheets trend also favors the Yankees:

MINNESOTA is 34-71 (32.4%, -30.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MINNESOTA 3.6, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 2*).

The Twins were outscored 14-6 in their three losses to Texas. They cranked out 28 hits, but left 26 runners on base in the series. Minnesota is batting a dreadful .221 with runners in scoring position this season, and that number doesn’t expect to rise in the Bronx, where the team is a miserable 5-28 (.152) since 2002.

Pavano (0-1, 5.93 ERA) has pitched in new Yankee Stadium only once, back in 2009 with Cleveland, and did a nice job with 6 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, 1 BB and 4 K. He hasn’t faced New York in the regular season since that matchup, but he is certainly no fan favorite with Yankees fans after an injury-riddled four seasons in New York where he won just nine games and posted a 5.01 ERA and 1.51 WHIP. He’s faced four Yankee hitters at least 10 times, baffling Andruw Jones (2-for-20, 1 HR, 3 K) and Curtis Granderson to a lesser extent (6-for-21, 7 K). But Derek Jeter and Raul Ibanez are a combined 7-for-20 (.350 BA) lifetime versus Pavano.

The Yankees have scored 5.7 runs per game during their 5-1 surge, batting .272 with 21 extra-base hits (13 doubles, eight homers). They saddled Pavano with a 4.15 ERA in two ALDS matchups, as the Yankees prevailed each time.

Garcia (0-0, 5.79 ERA) did not pitch well in his 2012 opener in Baltimore (4.2 IP, 4 H, 4 R, 3 ER, 3 BB, 3 K), but he has been decent against the Twins in his career, going 10-7 with a 4.04 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Other than Joe Mauer (13-for-31, 1.260 OPS), Garcia has handled the rest of Minnesota’s current roster pretty well (.246 BA, 2 HR in 65 AB).

[StarDust Bum]

76ers visit injury-riddled Magic on Monday

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS (31-28)

at ORLANDO MAGIC (35-25)


Tip-off: Monday, 7:05 p.m. ET
Line: Philadelphia -5½, Total: 181½

If the Magic are going to continue their run of dominance over the 76ers, they are going to have to do it shorthanded when they host Philadelphia on Monday night.

Orlando actually won in Cleveland on Sunday night despite playing without superstar C Dwight Howard and losing his replacement, Glen Davis, to a knee injury in the first quarter. The Magic got by with seldom-used Daniel Orton as their only low-post presence for most of the game. Can the Magic win again without Howard? For the answer, connect to the NBA Three-at-Three Pass for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each day. The NBA Pass is an outstanding 24-11-1 ATS (69%) in April, including 8-0-1 ATS since Thursday.

The Sixers seem to have righted their ship with road wins at New Jersey and Toronto last week, though they still have some work to do to clinch a playoff spot. They followed up those two road wins at New Jersey and Toronto with a home loss to the Nets on Friday, their fifth SU defeat in seven games. Head coach Doug Collins continues to tweak his starting five, bringing SG Evan Turner (9.1 PPG, 5.8 RPG) and C Spencer Hawes (9.6 PPG, 7.6 RPG) off the bench the past three games in favor of SG Jodie Meeks (8.3 PPG) and rookie C Nikola Vucevic (5.9 PPG, 4.8 RPG). The switch has been more of a lateral move, with Turner going for 8.7 PPG on 50.0% FG over 23.0 MPG, Hawes getting 12.0 PPG and 7.3 RPG over 22.3 MPG, Meeks averaging 5.0 PPG on 25.0% FG over 25.0 MPG and Vucevic with 6.0 PPG and 6.0 RPG over 15.7 MPG.

Philadelphia is getting some excellent play from reserve PF Thaddeus Young (12.6 PPG, 5.2 RPG) of late though, as he’s averaged 16.3 PPG on 56.4% FG and 6.7 RPG over the past three games. Leading scorer Lou Williams (15.0 PPG) has shot a little bit better of late, averaging just 12.0 PPG, but shooting 48.6% FG over the past three games. This strong FoxSheets trend expects the 76ers to prevail:

Play Against - Home underdogs (ORLANDO) - good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against an average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's). (64-31 since 1996.) (67.4%, +29.9 units. Rating = 2*).

Orlando has won 12 of 14 SU (11-3 ATS) against Philly. With Howard (20.6 PPG, 57.3% FG, 49.1% FT, 14.5 RPG) out for a fourth straight game on Sunday, PG Jameer Nelson (11.6 PPG, 5.4 APG) stepped up with 21 points on 8-of-14 shooting and nine assists in a 100-84 win at Cleveland. But the Magic suffered another big loss when PF Glen Davis (8.9 PPG, 5.4 RPG), who had slid into Howard’s starting spot, went down with a knee injury in the first quarter. Davis had been averaging 18.7 PPG and 11.4 RPG over seven games since moving into the starting lineup on April 1.

In his absence, the Magic got a surprise performance from second-year C Orton. A developmental pick in the 2010 Draft who had made little progress bouncing between the D-League and Magic, Orton didn’t appear in an NBA game as a rookie and entered Sunday with six points on 1-for-8 FG and 10 rebounds in 44 minutes this season. Facing the Cavs’ undersized front line, he had 11 points (3-for-4 FG, 5-for-8 FT), four rebounds, five steals and three blocks in 29 minutes. This two-star FoxSheets trend sides with the Magic:

Play On - Home teams (ORLANDO) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, good rebounding team (+3 to +5.5 reb/game) against an average rebounding team (+/-3 reb/game). (107-66 since 1996.) (61.8%, +34.4 units. Rating = 2*).

[StarDust Bum]

Mavericks try to beat Jazz for 8th straight time Monday

DALLAS MAVERICKS (34-27)

at UTAH JAZZ (31-30)


Tip-off: Monday, 9:05 p.m. ET
Line: Utah -3½, Total: 192

The Mavs look to continue their dominance over the Jazz when the teams meet in Utah on Monday night.

Dallas has won seven in a row SU over the Jazz (6-1 ATS), including three straight, SU and ATS, in Salt Lake City. But the Mavericks expended a lot of energy in Sunday's overtime loss and Utah is a great home team, going 21-8 SU (17-11 ATS) this season. Can the Mavericks bounce back and earn a big road win? For the answer, connect to the NBA Three-at-Three Pass for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each day. The NBA Pass is an outstanding 24-11-1 ATS (69%) in April, including 8-0-1 ATS since Thursday.

The Mavs went for the win in L.A. on Sunday, burning four of their five starters for 38-plus minutes, including 43 for PF Dirk Nowitzki (21.3 PPG). Nowitzki scored 24 in the loss, but needed 28 shots to get them. But in the Mavs’ last meeting with Utah, Nowitzki had played 35 minutes in New Orleans the previous night, but still managed to torch the Jazz for 40 points on 14-for-21 FG in just 29 minutes.

Dallas is also getting better production out of its backcourt of late. Sixth man Jason Terry (15.0 PPG) scored 12 and hit 5-of-6 from three on Sunday. Delonte West (9.3 PPG) added 20 points on 9-for-15 shooting, which was his second straight 20-point game. He had 21 points on 10-of-17 FG in Portland on Friday. This strong FoxSheets trend expects the Mavericks to come out on top:

DALLAS is 19-6 ATS (76.0%, +12.4 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was DALLAS 100.6, OPPONENT 94.8 - (Rating = 2*).

The Jazz are coming off back-to-back road losses on Friday and Saturday, at New Orleans and Memphis. C Al Jefferson (19.4 PPG, 9.3 RPG) continued to score around the rim in those games, going for 19.5 PPG on 60.0% FG, though he only grabbed 5.5 RPG. Dallas has held him in check for the most part in their meetings this season, as Jefferson has averaged 17.3 PPG, but shot only 42.9% FG.

Streaky second-year SF Gordon Hayward (11.6 PPG) has shot the ball well of late, including a 29-point performance to start off Utah’s three-game road swing in Houston on Wednesday. Hayward is averaging 18.0 PPG and hit 58.3% of his threes over the past three games. And PF Paul Millsap (16.6 PPG, 8.7 RPG) is having a strong run as well, scoring 20.8 PPG on 51.5% FG and 8.0 RPG over his past four games. Millsap averaged 22.0 PPG on 60.0% FG in the teams’ last two meetings, both in Dallas. This strong FoxSheets trend supports the Jazz:

UTAH is 51-30 ATS (63.0%, +18.0 Units) when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons. The average score was UTAH 102.1, OPPONENT 98.9 - (Rating = 1*).

[StarDust Bum]

Clippers try to stay hot hosting Thunder

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER (44-16)

at LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (37-23)


Tip-off: MondaCy, 10:35 p.m. ET
Line: Oklahoma City -2½, Total: 198

Two teams peaking down the stretch meet in Los Angeles on Monday night when the Clippers host the Thunder.

Both teams are rolling, but L.A. is hotter, going 11-2 SU (9-4 ATS) in the past 13 games, which includes a win in Oklahoma City Wednesday. But the Thunder have won four of their past five contests. Which team will extend its win streak on Monday night? For the answer, connect to the NBA Three-at-Three Pass for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each day. The NBA Pass is an outstanding 24-11-1 ATS (69%) in April, including 8-0-1 ATS since Thursday.

Oklahoma City has won four of its past five games, including scoring exactly 115 points in each of its past two contests, both victories. The Thunder have been an excellent road team this year, going 19-10 SU (16-13 ATS) and scoring 100.3 PPG in opposing gyms. But Staples Center hasn’t been very kind to OKC recently, as it has lost by 15, six and 12 points in its past three visits in this series.

Although SF Kevin Durant (27.8 PPG, 7.9 RPG) and PG Russell Westbrook (24.3 PPG, 5.4 APG) combined to shoot 10-of-35 FG in Wednesday’s loss to the Clippers, both players have done just fine against them this season. Durant is averaging 30.0 PPG (50% FG, 47% 3-pt FG) and 10.3 RPG in the three meetings, while Westbrook has 23.3 PPG and 5.0 APG versus L.A. this season. SG James Harden (16.5 PPG), has not found the mark against the Clippers though, scoring just 11.3 PPG on 34.6% FG. He also threw up mostly bricks (1-for-11 FG, 0-for-8 threes) in Saturday’s 115-110 win at Minnesota, showing that he is still affected by his knee injury that kept him off the court during Friday’s win versus the Kings. PF Serge Ibaka (8.9 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 3.6 BPG) had a huge game defensively against the Wolves, grabbing 12 rebounds and blocking five shots in just 22 minutes of action. Ibaka is averaging a hefty 5.3 BPG in April. This two-star FoxSheets trend expects the Thunder to prevail:

Play Against - Underdogs (L.A. CLIPPERS) - off a home win scoring 110 or more points, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days. (91-50 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.5%, +36 units. Rating = 2*).

PG Chris Paul (19.5 PPG, 9.0 APG, 2.5 SPG) is having a strong season series against Oklahoma City, tallying 23.3 PPG (54% FG) and 9.3 APG, piling up 28 assists and just six turnovers. PF Blake Griffin (20.6 PPG, 10.9 RPG) has not dealt with Serge Ibaka and the other OKC interior defenders very well, as he is scoring just 15.0 PPG on 43% FG in three meetings this season. But in his past five games, Griffin has put up 20.2 PPG (61% FG) and 10.8 RPG. Unlike Griffin, SF Caron Butler (12.2 PPG) has shot the ball exceptionally well against the Thunder this year, scoring 15.5 PPG on 54% FG and 5-of-10 threes in two meetings. This strong FoxSheets trend favors the Clippers:

L.A. CLIPPERS are 15-5 ATS (75.0%, +9.5 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. The average score was L.A. CLIPPERS 95.8, OPPONENT 98.5 - (Rating = 1*).

[StarDust Bum]

Monday's NBA Best Bets:

Monday, April 16

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Atlanta - 7:00 PM ET Toronto +4.5 500
Toronto - Over 182.5 500

New Orleans - 7:00 PM ET New Orleans -6.5 500
Charlotte - Over 185.5 500

Philadelphia - 7:00 PM ET Orlando +4 500
Orlando - Over 181 500

Minnesota - 7:00 PM ET Indiana -10 500
Indiana - Under 198.5 500

Miami - 7:30 PM ET New Jersey +8.5 500
New Jersey - Under 195 500

Washington - 8:00 PM ET Washington +13 500
Chicago - Over 189 500

Denver - 8:00 PM ET Denver +4 500
Houston - Over 207.5 500

Dallas - 9:00 PM ET Dallas +3.5 500
Utah - Under 192.5 500

Portland - 10:00 PM ET Phoenix -11 500
Phoenix - Under 201 500

Oklahoma City - 10:30 PM ET Oklahoma City -2.5 500
L.A. Clippers - Over 198 500

San Antonio - 10:30 PM ET Golden State +10.5 500
Golden State - Over 210.5 500

[StarDust Bum]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

04/16/12 1-*1-*0 50.00% +*20 Detail
04/15/12 15-*15-*0 50.00% -*605 Detail
04/14/12 17-*11-*2 60.71% +*3405 Detail
04/13/12 13-*17-*0 43.33% -*2560 Detail
04/12/12 9-*8-*1 52.94% +*20 Detail
04/11/12 16-*14-*0 53.33% +*1145 Detail
04/10/12 13-*7-*1 65.00% +*2885 Detail
04/09/12 13-*10-*0 56.52% +*1880 Detail
04/08/12 13-*14-*0 48.15% -*640 Detail
04/07/12 15-*14-*0 51.72% -*440 Detail
04/06/12 3-*6-*1 33.33% -*1775 Detail

Totals 128-*117-*5 52.24% +3335


Monday, April 16

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Minnesota - 7:05 PM ET NY Yankees -179 500
NY Yankees - Over 10 500

Houston - 7:05 PM ET Washington -250 500
Washington - Over 6.5 500

NY Mets - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets +156 500
Atlanta - Over 7.5 500

Baltimore - 8:10 PM ET Baltimore +116 500
Chi. White Sox - Over 8.5 500

Detroit - 8:10 PM ET Detroit -180 500
Kansas City - Over 7.5 500

San Diego - 8:40 PM ET Colorado -130 500
Colorado - Over 9 500

Pittsburgh - 9:40 PM ET Arizona -132 500
Arizona - Over 8.5 500

Oakland - 10:05 PM ET Oakland +185 500
LA Angels - Under 6.5 500

Philadelphia - 10:15 PM ET Philadelphia -106 500
San Francisco - Over 6 500

[Kaptain]

get em BUM

[StarDust Bum]

Thanks Kapt........