Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 4/12 (NBA, NHL, MLB, Misc.)

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, April 12

Memphis at San Antonio
The Spurs look to bounce back from last night's 98-84 loss to the Lakers and build on their 11-1-1 ATS record in their last 13 games following an ATS defeat. San Antonio is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

THURSDAY, APRIL 12

Game 701-702: Detroit at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 110.564; Charlotte 107.114
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 3 1/2; 177
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 5; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+5); N/A

Game 703-704: Miami at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 121.234; Chicago 119.743
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Pick; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Miami; N/A

Game 705-706: LA Clippers at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 121.551; Minnesota 113.026
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-5 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: Memphis at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 120.731; San Antonio 127.724
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 7; 199
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 5 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-5 1/2); Over

Game 709-710: Dallas at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 117.992; Golden State 110.874
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 7; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 5 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-5 1/2); Under

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 12

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DETROIT (21 - 36) at CHARLOTTE (7 - 49) - 4/12/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 7-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-4 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (40 - 16) at CHICAGO (44 - 14) - 4/12/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-6 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 8-6 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (35 - 23) at MINNESOTA (25 - 34) - 4/12/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 266-318 ATS (-83.8 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 27-41 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 150-190 ATS (-59.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-5 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-5 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (34 - 23) at SAN ANTONIO (40 - 16) - 4/12/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 151-113 ATS (+26.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 107-74 ATS (+25.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 154-112 ATS (+30.8 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MEMPHIS is 88-62 ATS (+19.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 28-8 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 52-36 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 46-22 ATS (+21.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 11-6 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 9-8 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (32 - 26) at GOLDEN STATE (22 - 35) - 4/12/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 89-69 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 138-104 ATS (+23.6 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 12

Hot Teams
-- Bulls won five of their last seven home games.
-- Clippers won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Grizzlies won seven of their last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Pistons lost eight of their last ten road games. Bobcats lost their last 13 games (4-9 vs spread).
-- Miami lost three of its last four home games.
-- Minnesota lost its last seven games (1-6 vs spread).
-- Spurs lost last two games, but are 7-1-1 vs spread in their last nine home contests.
-- Golden State lost six of its last eight home games. Mavericks lost 10 of their last 13 road games.

Wear-and-Tear
-- Pistons: Last two nites off. Bobcats: 7th game/10 nites.
-- Heat: 3rd game/5 nites. Bulls: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Clippers: 6th game/9 nites. T'wolves: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Grizzlies: 5th game/7 nites. Spurs: 7th game/10 nites.
-- Mavericks: 2nd game/5 nites. Warriors: 7th game/10 nites.

Totals
-- Five of last six Detroit games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Miami games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Denver home games stayed under.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Memphis games.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Dallas road games.

Back-to-Back
-- Minnesota is 0-3 vs spread at home if it played night before. Clippers are 3-2 vs spread on road if they won night before.
-- Memphis is 6-2 vs spread on road if it played night before. Spurs are 3-1 vs spread at home if they played night before.
-- Warriors are 11-4 vs spread if they played the night before.

[Udog]

NBA

Thursday, April 12

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. CHARLOTTE
Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Chicago is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of the LA Clippers last 24 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the LA Clippers last 9 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home

8:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. SAN ANTONIO
Memphis is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Memphis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 11 games at home

10:30 PM
DALLAS vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Dallas's last 17 games
Golden State is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
Golden State is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Dallas


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[Udog]

NBA

Thursday, April 12

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Pick 'n' roll: Thursday's best NBA bets
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Oddsmakers have yet to post a line for the Detroit-Charlotte matchup. Pick should be considered an early lean.

Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors (5.5, 195)

Just as the Dallas Mavericks finally moved the troubled Lamar Odom out of the mix, another veteran returned to ignite the offense.

Jason Kidd put up seven points, seven assists, and six rebounds in 22 minutes to help Dallas earn a 110-100 victory over Sacramento as a 9-point favorite. It was Kidd’s first action since a strained groin kept him on the bench for four games.

"[Odom's] gone, but again our biggest difference is Jason Kidd is back," Jason Terry told reporters. "When you have your leader, your point guard, I think that's more of what we're looking at with the feel of everything out here."

The Mavericks covered just once in those four games that Kidd missed. They also failed to crack 100 points in any of those contests.

With the Odom situation behind them and Kidd healthy, the Mavs might be ready to make a run.

Pick: Mavericks


Detroit Pistons at Charlotte Bobcats (N/A)

The Pistons have reinvented themselves after their terrible start to the season. Everything was looking up until they hit the road three games ago.

They have lost all three contests and were blown out in Miami and Orlando after managing to cover in a loss at Atlanta to begin the trip.

"We put that 4-20 start behind us and we have been playing good basketball since then,” forward Charlie Villanueva told reporters. “The past two games we have let our guard down and kind of forgotten what got us to this point.”

Detroit shot just 38.9 percent from the floor in those two losses, but should be able to get back on track in Charlotte, the last stop on the Pistons’ road trip.

The Bobcats have dropped 13 in a row straight up and have covered only once over the last five games.

Pick: Pistons


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[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet

Thursday, April 12

National League

Cincinnati at Washington, 1:05 ET MLB
Latos: CIN 34-49 off a win
Gonzalez: 11-2 Over in day games

Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 ET
Greinke: 23-3 TSR as a favorite
Garza: Cubs 0-3 vs. Milwaukee

San Francisco at Colorado, 3:10 ET
Bumgarner: SF 28-13 Over in division road games
Moyer: COL 1-8 off division win by 6+ runs

Miami at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET MLB
Buehrle: MIA 33-27 in road night games
Blanton: 21-8 Over when the total is 8.5 to 10

Arizona at San Diego, 10:05 ET
Kennedy: 15-1 TSR vs. division
Bass: SD 12-27 as home underdog

Pittsburgh at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Karstens: PIT 31-78 in road night games
Capuano: LAD 20-5 at home after allowing 1 run or less


American League

Tampa Bay at Detroit, 1:05 ET MLB
Niemann: 10-3 TSR in road games
Smyly: DET 18-8 Over off BB Unders

LA Angels at Minnesota, 1:10 ET
Haren: LAA 19-8 Away off one run loss
Liriano: 14-23 TSR in day games

Seattle at Texas, 2:05 ET
Vargas: SEA 11-29 vs. lefties
Holland: TEX 52-26 off loss by 2 runs or less

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, April 12

Detroit at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Detroit: 6-1 Under playing 4th road game in 7 days
Charlotte: 8-20 ATS w/ double revenge

Miami at Chicago, 8:05 ET TNT
Miami: 9-2 Under off combined score of 205+ last game
Chicago: 15-3 Under after allowing 35 pts or less 1st Half last game

LA Clippers at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
LA Clippers: 11-3 ATS w/ double revenge
Minnesota: 2-13 ATS at home vs. Pacific Division

Memphis at San Antonio, 8:35 ET
Memphis: 28-8 ATS playing on back to back days
San Antonio: 10-5 Under vs. division

Dallas at Golden State, 10:35 ET TNT
Dallas: 10-1 ATS Away revenging 10+ pt loss
Golden State: 24-10 Under playing on back to back days