Friday's Trends and Indexes - 3/30 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

NHL

Friday, March 30

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Ice picks: Friday's best NHL bets
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Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers (+125, 5)

On paper, it looks as though the Los Angeles Kings have an inside track on a playoff berth.

Paced by Jonathan Quick’s team-record ninth shutout of the season in a 3-0 win over Calgary Wednesday, the Kings moved into eighth place in the Western Conference.

"He's our MVP this year by far," Justin Williams, who scored his 19th goal of the season in the third period, told reporters. "Even though we were up 1-0, they got a couple of chances on the power play and he shut them down. He's been stellar for us all year and in the biggest game of the year we needed him."

Quick only had to make 19 saves in the win and now the Kings have two games left against the lowly Edmonton Oilers (who were thoroughly outplayed in a 3-1 loss to Dallas Wednesday) and another against Minnesota.

The Oilers have been hit-or-miss at home recently, while Los Angeles needs to pile on the points before a home-and-home with San Jose to finish the regular season.

Pick: Kings


Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings (-130, 5.5)

The Detroit Red Wings franchise is the model of consistency in the NHL.

The club clinched its 21st consecutive playoff berth with Monday’s 7-2 win over the Blue Jackets. That’s why it was so surprising to see the Wings roll over when they lost the back end of that home-and-home 4-2 in Columbus on Wednesday.

It wasn’t just that the Wings lost, but that they looked completely lost on the ice. At one point, coach Mike Babcock called a timeout, only to say absolutely nothing to his team.

That’s not a good sign.

“We weren’t happy with our performance,” captain Nicklas Lidstrom told reporters after. “We knew they were going to be better. We as a team didn’t respond well to that. We made some mistakes early and that they capitalized on and that gave them a lot of momentum.”

As good as Nashville is on the road, the Predators are going to see a top-notch effort from the Wings in this one.

Pick: Red Wings


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[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, March 30

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MIAMI (36 - 13) at TORONTO (17 - 34) - 3/30/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (28 - 22) at WASHINGTON (11 - 39) - 3/30/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 8-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-5 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (27 - 24) at CHARLOTTE (7 - 41) - 3/30/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games in March games since 1996.
DENVER is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) on Friday nights this season.
CHARLOTTE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after scoring 85 points or less this season.
CHARLOTTE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (23 - 27) at CLEVELAND (17 - 31) - 3/30/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 119-97 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 58-40 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 45-65 ATS (-26.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (26 - 25) at ATLANTA (30 - 22) - 3/30/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (28 - 22) at MINNESOTA (25 - 27) - 3/30/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (18 - 32) at CHICAGO (41 - 11) - 3/30/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 10-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (29 - 23) at ORLANDO (32 - 19) - 3/30/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 86-66 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 247-189 ATS (+39.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 54-31 ATS (+19.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 2-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 2-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (27 - 21) at HOUSTON (27 - 24) - 3/30/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 82-59 ATS (+17.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 47-34 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 8-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (17 - 33) at UTAH (27 - 24) - 3/30/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 7-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW JERSEY (17 - 35) at GOLDEN STATE (20 - 29) - 3/30/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 58-74 ATS (-23.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 80-102 ATS (-32.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 34-52 ATS (-23.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-2 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (24 - 27) at LA CLIPPERS (29 - 21) - 3/30/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 40-59 ATS (-24.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 7-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 31

Final Four

Kentucky (-10) beat Louisville 69-62 on New Year's Eve; if I remember right, Cardinals hit two treys in last 0:10 to cover spread in game they trailed 31-16 early. Russ Smith had 30 off bench for Louisville, but two starting guards combined to shoot 4-23. Favorites covered three of four regional finals last week; going back 18 years, last four times favorites did that well in regional finals, underdogs covered two of three in Final Four all four times. Over last 25 years, #1 seed won/covered four of five against #4 seed in national semifinals. Kentucky shot 35.9% when it lost to Vanderbilt in this building 20 days ago; in its only other loss, Indiana made 9-15 from arc back on December 10, in 72-71 win. Since 1999, #1 seed is 7-1 vs spread in national semis against a #3 or lower seed.

Kansas (-1) beat Ohio State 78-67 in Lawrence Dec 10, shooting 58% in game Sullinger missed (back); Thomas had 13 assists despite a sore knee. This is first time since 1995 pair of #2 seeds meet in national semifinals; underdog won that game, which was only meeting of 2's in national semi since tournament went to 64 teams. Over last seven years, favorites are 9-5 vs spread in national semis, but dogs are 5-3 in semifinals if spread was less than 3 points. Kansas holds opponents to 40% inside the arc, (#1 in nation); they're 13-1 in last 14 games, losing only to Baylor in Big X tourney. Ohio State won eight of its last nine games, losing in final of Big Dozen tournament to Michigan State.

[Udog]

NBA
Short Sheet

Friday, March 30

MIAMI at TORONTO, 7:05 PM ET
MIAMI: 21-7 ATS in Friday road games
TORONTO: 11-2 Under if total is 190 to 199.5

PHILADELPHIA at WASHINGTON, 7:05 PM ET
PHILADELPHIA: 8-2 ATS vs. Washington
WASHINGTON: 9-0 Under L9 games

DENVER at CHARLOTTE, 7:05 PM ET
DENVER: 42-26 ATS in road games
CHARLOTTE: 4-13 ATS off home loss

MILWAUKEE at CLEVELAND, 7:35 PM ET
MILWAUKEE: 15-5 Over as favorite
CLEVELAND: 14-29 ATS revenging double digit loss

NEW YORK at ATLANTA, 7:35 PM ET
NEW YORK: 22-8 ATS as road dog of 6 pts or less
ATLANTA: 7-22 ATS off home loss by 20+ points

BOSTON at MINNESOTA, 8:05 PM ET
BOSTON: 23-50 ATS off double digit win
MINNESOTA: 3-10 ATS after scoring 90+ BB games

DETROIT at CHICAGO, 8:05 PM ET
DETROIT: 1-5 ATS off double digit division win
CHICAGO: 4-0-1 ATS at home vs. Detroit

DALLAS at ORLANDO, 8:05 PM ET ESPN
DALLAS: 31-12 ATS as road underdog
ORLANDO: 22-6 Under after allowing 105+

MEMPHIS at HOUSTON, 8:05 PM ET
MEMPHIS: 13-3 Under Away w/ revenge
HOUSTON: 10-2 ATS at home off loss

SACRAMENTO at UTAH, 9:05 PM ET
SACRAMENTO: 36-22 ATS w/ same season revenge
UTAH: 4-18 AYS off BB non-conf games

NEW JERSEY at GOLDEN STATE, 10:35 PM ET
NEW JERSEY: 7-20 ATS as road dog of 6 pts or less
GOLDEN STATE: 10-1 Under off loss by 15+ as home favorite

PORTLAND at LA CLIPPERS, 10:35 PM ET ESPN
PORTLAND: 7-0 Over revenging home loss
LA CLIPPERS: 0-8 ATS off 3+ home games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Friday, March 30

WINNIPEG at CAROLINA, 7:05 PM ET
WINNIPEG: 10-24 SU playing 4th time in 7 days
CAROLINA: 7-1 SU at home off BB road games

FLORIDA at COLUMBUS, 7:05 PM ET
FLORIDA: 0-3 SU vs. Columbus
COLUMBUS: 1-12 SU off home win

MONTREAL at NY RANGERS, 7:35 PM ET
MONTREAL: 7-19 SU playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
NY RANGERS: 18-6 SU after scoring 4+ goals

PITTSBURGH at BUFFALO, 7:35 PM ET
PITTSBURGH: n/a
BUFFALO: n/a

NASHVILLE at DETROIT, 7:35 PM ET
NASHVILLE: 6-0 SU Away off shutout loss on road
DETROIT: 4-9 SU in March

COLORADO at CALGARY, 9:05 PM ET
COLORADO: 1-9 SU Away off division game
CALGARY: 14-7 SU vs. division

LOS ANGELES at EDMONTON, 9:35 PM ET
LOS ANGELES: 0-7 SU Away off road win
EDMONTON: 10-32 SU after scoring 1 goal or less

DALLAS at VANCOUVER, 10:05 PM ET
DALLAS: 70-46 SU revenging 1 goal loss
VANCOUVER: 7-12 SU at home off BB home wins

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[myrjimmy3]

thanks udog

[Udog]

thanks udog

You're welcome jimmy! Good luck tonight!