Announcement

**Udog** · 03-21-2012, 08:14 AM

Wednesday's betting tips: NIT bettors backing Cardinal

Who’s hot

NBA: Atlanta has covered in its last eight meetings with Cleveland.

NBA: Detroit is 16-6 against the spread in its last 22 games overall.

NHL: Buffalo has won five of its last six.

NHL: St. Louis has won seven of its last 10 road games.

NCAAB: Nevada is 11-2 against the spread in its last 13 road games.

NCAAB: Minnesota has covered in each of its last six games.

Who’s not

NBA: New Orleans is 7-20 against the spread in its last 27 home games.

NBA: The over is 1-6 in the last seven meetings between Washington and New Jersey.

NHL: Montreal is 4-10 in its last 14.

NHL: Detroit has lost five games in a row.

NCAAB: Middle Tennessee State is 2-5 against the spread in its last seven home games.

NCAAB: The under is 0-5 in Stanford’s last five overall.

Key stat

30.3 – Minnesota Timberwolves forward Kevin Love leads the NBA in scoring during the month of March, putting up 30.3 points per contest. He’s also averaging 13.5 rebounds and 2.9 3-pointers through 10 games this month, though the Timberwolves are just 5-5 both straight up and against the spread heading into Wednesday’s date with San Antonio.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Jimmy Howard, Detroit Red Wings - Howard has re-injured his groin and is considered day-to-day. Howard returned from a groin injury a couple weeks ago and has reportedly suffered a relapse. The netminder allowed four goals on 21 shots in the Red Wings' 5-3 loss to the Washington Capitals on Monday night and has just one win in his last eight starts. Detroit has recalled goalie Ty Conklin on an emergency basis from Grand Rapids of the AHL. Conklin must clear re-entry waivers in order to join the team for Wednesday's contest against the New York Rangers. Howard has a 33-15 record with a 2.15 GAA and .920 save percentage in 52 games this season.

Game of the day

Los Angeles Lakers at Dallas Mavericks (-4.5, 188)

Notable quotable

"It definitely showed our fans' passion. It's frustrating for the players as well as the fans right now. We made a trade, which is, in my opinion, the reason why there was the reaction. We made a trade that's not going to help us this year. It's going to help us next year, when Andrew Bogut gets back." – Golden State Warriors forward David Lee after the team’s owner was booed relentlessly by the hometown crowd Monday for trading away Monta Ellis. The Warriors are set as 2-point underdogs against New Orleans on Wednesday.

Notes and tips

NIT bettors are jumping on the Stanford Cardinal in their semifinal matchup with the Nevada Wolf Pack on Wednesday. Stanford opened as a 5.5-point favorite but was pegged at -6 across the board by late Tuesday evening. A little more than 56 percent of *********** Consensus bettors are backing Stanford.

Denver Nuggets forward Danilo Gallinari could miss up to four weeks because of a broken left thumb. Gallinari left Monday's 112-95 loss to the Dallas Mavericks in the third quarter after attempting to block a shot and hitting the thumb on the backboard. X-rays revealed a fracture after the game. The 23-year-old leads the Nuggets in scoring at 15.6 points per game.

Philadelphia Flyers defenseman Andrej Meszaros will undergo surgery Wednesday to remove a small disk fracture in his lower back and will miss six to eight weeks. The procedure will be done by Dr. Alex Vaccaro at Thomas Jefferson Hospital in Philadelphia. Meszaros has missed the Flyers' last nine contests and has seven goals and 18 assists in 62 games this season.

The Memphis Grizzlies signed veteran guard Gilbert Arenas to a contract on Tuesday. Terms of the deal were not disclosed for Arenas, who worked out with the team on Monday. Arenas has been out of the NBA since the Orlando Magic used their amnesty provision to rid themselves of his $63 million contract this past offseason. The Los Angeles Lakers took a look at Arenas last month but passed on signing the veteran, who posted a career-low 10.8 points on 36.6 percent shooting last season. He’s undergone multiple surgeries on his left knee but has recently done platelet rich plasma therapy, which he says has helped.

**Udog** · 03-21-2012, 08:14 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- UMass came back from down 10 at the half to beat Drexel and advance to the NIT semifinals in New York next week.

-- Danny Hurley left Wagner for Rhode Island. Hard for low majors like Wagner to maintain excellence; as soon as a coach wins a little, he's off to greener pa$ture$. Just the way it is.

-- Florida State coach Leonard Hamilton is lobbying hard for the Illinois job; Michael Jordan once hired Hamilton to coach the Wizards, and one of his assistants has strong recruiting ties in Chicago. He would do well there.

-- Washington Huskies outlasted Oregon 90-86, are also headed to NYC for the NIT semifinals; curious to see if all the Huskies come back next season or stupidly bolt early for the NBA.

-- When Octavio Dotel gets in his first game this season, he'll set a new big league record by playing for his 13th big league team in only 13 years.

-- Best wishes go out to Jerry Tarkanian, who had a mild heart attack on Tuesday. Luckily for him, he was in a doctor's office when it happened and is said to be doing well. It is ridiculously stupid that the 81-year old Tarkanian isn't in the Basketball Hall of Fame.

*******************

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.........

13) 6.45M brackets were entered on ESPN.com; after the first weekend, only three were perfect. Three. Out of 6.45 million.

12) Ohio State played Cincinnati for the national title in basketball in both 1961 and 1962 (Robert M Knight was a Buckeye sub back in those days), but they’ve only played once since, in 2006, with Ohio State winning 72-50 in Mick Cronin’s first year as UC coach. Dick Vitale wrote some stuff on ESPN.com this week saying its Ohio State that doesn't want to play.

11) Four Big East teams are in the Sweet 16, but with three of them being Cincinnati-Louisville-Marquette, it might be more accurate to note that the old Conference USA is having an excellent tournament (had Memphis/ Florida State in, too).

10) You wonder why the 49ers went after Peyton Manning; they just had a great season with Alex Smith at QB- he bonded with his new coach, most every intangible went their way, and they seemed to have a bright future. Question has to be asked; did the pursuit of Manning damage the Harbaugh/ Smith relationship? Smith re-signed with the Niners, and we all know its a business, but some damage had to be done there.

9) How tough are football players? Patriots lineman Logan Mankins unknowingly played in the Super Bowl with a torn ACL; he had it operated on right after, which is why the Pats signed Robert Gallery this week to play some guard next season.

8) Danilo Gallinari broke his thumb Monday, is out 3-4 weeks, which is most of the rest of the regular season, which cripples Denver’s chances of making the playoffs. This is a year where anyone can win the title; just get in the tournament and see what happens, but this injury really hurts the Nuggets.

7) Southern Illinois wants Bruce Weber back as hoop coach, which makes sense- they won a lot when he was there the first time, which is how he got the Illinois gig. He seems like more of an MVC guy than a big-timer, and that’s a compliment. Illinois wants Shaka Smart; no idea what direction they’ll go in if Smart turns them down.

6) Why is Vladimir Guerrero unemployed? Wouldn't the A's be better off with Guerrero at DH and no Coco Crisp/Manny Ramirez, especially since Cespedes is going to play CF? Hard to believe the Bronx baseball team be improved if they had Guerrero as DH, or are they stuck with having to rest their aging stars as DHs every so often?

5) Top free agent pitchers next winter are Matt Cain/Cole Hamels. Both figure to get ridiculously wealthy if they stay healthy this season.

4) Southern Miss revoked the band scholarships of five musicians who hurled racial slurs at a Kansas State player last week; I had no idea band members even got scholarships. Now after seeing Oregon’s cheerleaders, I’m wondering if they get financial aid. Couple of them should.......lol

3) If the NBA playoffs started tomorrow, which they do not, the first round matchups would be:
East: Knicks @ Bulls; Celtics @ Heat; Pacers @ 76ers; Hawks @ Magic.
West: Rockets @ Thunder; Nuggets @ Spurs; Mavs @ Clippers; Grizzlies @ Lakers.

2) In the NHL, same scenario, matchups would be:
East: Washington-Rangers; Ottawa-Boston; New Jersey-Florida; Philly-Pittsburgh.
West, Kings-St Louis; Colorado-Vancouver; Chicago-Dallas and Detroit-Nashville.

1) Not a lot of enthusiasm for the Metropolitans in the Big Apple. Lousy ownership does that to a fanbase. Mets haven’t sold out their home opener yet. Think even the A’s and Pirates sell out the home opener.

**Udog** · 03-21-2012, 08:17 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Robert Morris at Fairfield
The Colonials look to build on their 7-0 ATS record in their last 7 games as an underdog. Robert Morris is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has Fairfield favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Robert Morris (+4). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 21

Game 771-772: Minnesota at Middle Tennessee State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 69.028; Middle Tennessee State 65.993
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 3; 137
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 3; 134
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3); Over

Game 773-774: Nevada at Stanford (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 61.640; Stanford 69.129
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 7 1/2; 134
Vegas Line: Stanford by 6; 138
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-6); Under

Game 779-780: Pittsburgh at Butler (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 62.837; Butler 64.939
Dunkel Line: Butler by 2; 133
Vegas Line: Butler by 1; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Butler (-1); Over

Game 781-782: Washington State at Oregon State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 62.013; Oregon State 67.297
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 5 1/2; 145
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 7; 149
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+7); Under

Game 783-784: Mercer at Old Dominion (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mercer 55.770; Old Dominion 64.677
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 9; 132
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 7; 128
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (-7); Over

Game 785-786: Robert Morris at Fairfield (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Robert Morris 59.531; Fairfield 61.465
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 2; 130
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 4; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Robert Morris (+4); Over

Game 787-788: Loyola Marymount at Utah State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 58.757; Utah State 62.239
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 3 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Utah State by 5; 132
Dunkel Pick: Loyola Marymount (+5); Under

**Udog** · 03-21-2012, 08:25 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 21

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MINNESOTA (21 - 14) at MIDDLE TENN ST (27 - 6) - 3/21/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEVADA (28 - 6) at STANFORD (23 - 11) - 3/21/2012, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PITTSBURGH (19 - 16) at BUTLER (22 - 14) - 3/21/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUTLER is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
BUTLER is 1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON ST (17 - 16) at OREGON ST (21 - 14) - 3/21/2012, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 4-3 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 5-2 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MERCER (24 - 11) at OLD DOMINION (22 - 13) - 3/21/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLD DOMINION is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
OLD DOMINION is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ROBERT MORRIS (26 - 10) at FAIRFIELD (21 - 14) - 3/21/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT (21 - 12) at UTAH ST (19 - 15) - 3/21/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 68-96 ATS (-37.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games this season.
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Thursday, March 22

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WISCONSIN (26 - 9) vs. SYRACUSE (33 - 2) - 3/22/2012, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
WISCONSIN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
WISCONSIN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
WISCONSIN is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CINCINNATI (26 - 10) vs. OHIO ST (29 - 7) - 3/22/2012, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
OHIO ST is 187-147 ATS (+25.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OHIO ST is 120-89 ATS (+22.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLORIDA (25 - 10) vs. MARQUETTE (27 - 7) - 3/22/2012, 10:17 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARQUETTE is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 145 to 149.5 since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
FLORIDA is 92-65 ATS (+20.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 58-32 ATS (+22.8 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LOUISVILLE (28 - 9) vs. MICHIGAN ST (29 - 7) - 3/22/2012, 7:47 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
LOUISVILLE is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
LOUISVILLE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all tournament games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Friday, March 23

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INDIANA (27 - 8) vs. KENTUCKY (34 - 2) - 3/23/2012, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
INDIANA is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
INDIANA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
INDIANA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 2-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 2-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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XAVIER (23 - 12) vs. BAYLOR (29 - 7) - 3/23/2012, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
XAVIER is 92-62 ATS (+23.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 1-0 against the spread versus XAVIER over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 1-0 straight up against XAVIER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OHIO U (29 - 7) vs. N CAROLINA (31 - 5) - 3/23/2012, 7:47 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 125-94 ATS (+21.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 125-93 ATS (+22.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
N CAROLINA is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
OHIO U is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
OHIO U is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NC STATE (24 - 12) vs. KANSAS (29 - 6) - 3/23/2012, 10:17 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
NC STATE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in March games this season.
NC STATE is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1997.
NC STATE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
NC STATE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
NC STATE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NC STATE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
NC STATE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
KANSAS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
KANSAS is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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**Udog** · 03-21-2012, 08:26 AM

NCAAB
Short Sheet

NCAA Tournament Trends

Thursday, 3/22/2012

WISCONSIN vs. SYRACUSE, 7:15 PM - NCAA Tournament - East Regional Semifinals - TD Garden - Boston, MA
WISCONSIN: 5-1 ATS on neutral court
SYRACUSE: 0-5 ATS in the Sweet 16

CINCINNATI vs. OHIO ST, 9:45 PM - NCAA Tournament - East Regional Semifinals - TD Garden - Boston, MA
CINCINNATI: 6-1 ATS off BB wins by 6 pts or less
OHIO ST: 13-4 Under vs. Big East

FLORIDA vs. MARQUETTE, 10:17 PM - NCAA Tournament - West Regional Semifinals - US Airways Ctr - Phoenix, AZ
FLORIDA: 8-1 ATS Away off win by 20+ pts
MARQUETTE: 0-5 ATS after holding prev. opp to 33% shooting or less

LOUISVILLE vs. MICHIGAN ST, 7:47 PM - NCAA Tournament - West Regional Semifinals - US Airways Ctr - Phoenix, AZ
LOUISVILLE: 6-0 ATS on neutral court
MICHIGAN ST: 2-6 ATS as neutral court favorite of 6 pts or less

Friday, 3/23/2012

INDIANA vs. KENTUCKY, 9:45 PM - NCAA Tournament - South Regional Semifinals - Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
INDIANA: 8-1 ATS vs. non-conference
KENTUCKY: 14-7 Under off win by 15+

XAVIER vs. BAYLOR, 7:15 PM - NCAA Tournament - South Regional Semifinals - Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
XAVIER: 3-0 ATS in Sweet 16 games
BAYLOR: 25-12 Over off ATS win

OHIO U vs. N CAROLINA, 7:47 PM - NCAA Tournament - Midwest Regional Semifinals - E.J. Dome - St. Louis, MO
OHIO U: 6-1 Over off win by 6 pts or less
N CAROLINA: 6-1 ATS in Sweet 16 games

NC STATE vs. KANSAS, 10:17 PM - NCAA Tournament - Midwest Regional Semifinals - E.J. Dome - St. Louis, MO
NC STATE: 6-0 ATS in March
KANSAS: 7-1 Under in Sweet 16 games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 03-21-2012, 08:28 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 21

Middle Tennessee had huge win Monday, winning at Tennessee, which avenged 30-point loss to Vols LY- they outscored Tennessee 15-0 over final 6:00 of play, won 71-64. Blue Raiders won last 13 home games- they lost in double OT at home to Belmont Nov 20. Minnesota already has road wins at LaSalle/Miami in this tourney- they shot 58% in easy win at Miami Monday. Sun Belt home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-5 vs spread. Big Dozen road underdogs of 5 or less points are 8-2.

Nevada beat Oral Roberts/Bucknell to get here; they move up in class to try and get to NYC. Stanford survived Illinois State making 15-30 from arc in 92-88 OT win Monday, its third straight win at home (by 5-11-4 points); Cardinal beat Fresno State by 16, in its only game vs WAC foe this season. Nevada is 2-0 vs Pac-12 teams, beating Washington/ ASU at home. Pac-12 home favorites of less than 7 points are 5-8 against the spread; WAC road underdogs of 8 or less points are 11-7 vs spread.

Pitt's season LY was ruined by 71-70 loss to Butler in second round of NCAAs, when Panthers committed a dumb foul at end to give Bulldogs winning points, now they meet again. Panthers have had losing streaks of eight and five games this season, but beat Wofford/Princeton to get here. Big East road teams are 12-13 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points; Horizon home teams are 5-9 when spread is less than 5 points. Butler won nine of its last eleven games.

Washington State swept both regular season games with Oregon State, winning 81-76/83-73, then lost to the Beavers 69-64 in Pac-12 tourney two weeks ago in LA. Coogs beat San Francisco/Wyoming to get here; Oregon State won six of last seven games, losing only to Arizona in Pac-12 tourney when they were playing third night in row. Both teams won by 20 points Monday, but Wazzu has to travel on short rest. Pac-12 home favorites of 7 or less points are 13-21-1 against the spread, but home favorites of 7+ points are 22-10-1 (33-29-2 total).

Mercer upset Georgia State at home Saturday, now they hit road, visit another club from CAA; Bears lost at Jacksonville/North Florida in last two road games, which were four weeks ago. Mercer's win Sunday was their first this year in seven games against top 100 teams. Old Dominion won six of last eight games; they beat SC-Upstate, another Atlantic Sun team, to get to here. CAA home favorites of 8 or less points are 10-12 against the spread. Mercer had extra day to rest/prepare for this game.

Fairfield beat MAAC rival Manhattan to get here; Stags beat Quinnipiac by 12 in its only game vs NEC opponent this season. Robert Morris has wins at Indiana State/Toledo to get here- they won at Ohio U when they somehow survived turning ball over 31 times, and is 6-2 in its last eight away games. MAAC home favorites are 6-8 vs spread in non-conference games. RMC beat St Peter's by 17 in only game vs MAAC opponent. Fairfield turns ball over way too much, makes just 64.7% on foul line.

Loyola Marymount is on road for first time since upsetting St Mary's Feb 15; Lions are 9-4 in last 13 games, 7-1 in last eight on road, losing only at Gonzaga by 19. Utah State won five of last six games, since loss in Bracket Buster game at home to UCSB; Aggies beat BYU by 7 in its only game vs WCC opponent. Utah State is 3-8 against teams ranked in top 150. WCC road underdogs of 7 or less points are 6-10-2 vs spread; WAC home favorites of 7 or less are 7-10 against the spread.

**Udog** · 03-21-2012, 08:29 AM

NCAAB

Wednesday, March 21

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
MERCER vs. OLD DOMINION
No trends available
Old Dominion is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Old Dominion is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
No trends available
Middle Tennessee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Middle Tennessee is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home

7:00 PM
ROBERT MORRIS vs. FAIRFIELD
No trends available
Fairfield is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fairfield's last 6 games

8:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. BUTLER
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Pittsburgh's last 22 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Butler is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Butler's last 5 games

9:00 PM
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT vs. UTAH STATE
Loyola Marymount is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Loyola Marymount's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah State's last 5 games at home
Utah State is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home

9:00 PM
NEVADA vs. STANFORD
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada's last 5 games on the road
Nevada is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Stanford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Stanford's last 5 games

10:00 PM
WASHINGTON STATE vs. OREGON STATE
Washington State is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
Washington State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
Oregon State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oregon State is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Washington State

Thursday, March 22

7:15 PM
WISCONSIN vs. SYRACUSE
No trends available
Syracuse is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Syracuse is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games

7:47 PM
LOUISVILLE vs. MICHIGAN STATE
No trends available
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State's last 6 games

9:45 PM
CINCINNATI vs. OHIO STATE
No trends available
Ohio State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Ohio State's last 9 games

10:17 PM
FLORIDA vs. MARQUETTE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Marquette's last 11 games
Marquette is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games

Friday, March 23

7:15 PM
XAVIER vs. BAYLOR
No trends available
Baylor is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baylor's last 6 games

7:47 PM
OHIO vs. NORTH CAROLINA
No trends available
North Carolina is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games

9:45 PM
INDIANA vs. KENTUCKY
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kentucky's last 11 games when playing Indiana
Kentucky is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Indiana

10:17 PM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. KANSAS
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 6 games
Kansas is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games

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**Udog** · 03-21-2012, 08:31 AM

NCAAB

Wednesday, March 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
College funds: Wednesday's best NIT bets
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Minnesota Golden Gophers at Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders (-3, 134)

A road victory over an in-state rival combined with Minnesota's upset of Miami gave Middle Tennessee State a home game with a chance to earn a trip to the NIT semifinals.

The Blue Raiders used a phenomenal finish - they closed the game on a 15-0 run - to knock off top-seeded Tennessee on Monday, setting up a home contest against Minnesota, which was dominant from the outset in a 78-60 win at Miami in the second round.

The No. 6-seed Golden Gophers have been road warriors in the tournament, winning at La Salle in the first round and at Miami in the second round. They never trailed against the Hurricanes, opening the game on a 12-0 run and extending their 12-point halftime lead with a 15-2 run early in the second half.

Perhaps the most impressive part of Minnesota's run through the first two rounds is that it has come without 6-foot-11 senior Ralph Sampson III, who averages 7.9 points and 4.6 rebounds and provides a menacing presence in the post. Sampson was expected to return for the opener against La Salle but still has not made his return from a knee injury.

Minnesota is one of six teams with 25 or more wins in the history of the NIT. The Gophers have reached at least the second round in 11 of their 14 NIT appearances.

Pick: Golden Gophers

Nevada Wolf Pack at Stanford Cardinal (-6, 137.5)

Less than 48 hours after rallying to beat Illinois State in overtime, third-seeded Stanford hosts No. 5-seed Nevada in the NIT quarterfinals with a trip to New York’s Madison Square Garden on the line.

Nevada, the Western Athletic Conference regular season champion, opened the NIT with wins over Oral Roberts and Bucknell, and the Wolf Pack have won nine of their last 11 games.

The Wolf Pack advanced to the quarterfinals for the first time in program history after forward Olek Czyz scored 24 points in the team’s 75-67 victory over eighth-seeded Bucknell on Sunday.

WAC Player of the Year Deonte Burton averages a team-high 14.8 points, and his matchup with Stanford point guard Chasson Randle should be worth the price of admission. One win away from equaling the school record of 29 victories set in 2006-07, Nevada held opponents to 40.9 percent shooting to lead the WAC.
Like Nevada, Stanford is a solid defensive team that holds opponents to an average of 63.7 points.

Pick: Wolf Pack

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**Udog** · 03-21-2012, 08:33 AM

NCAAB

Wednesday, March 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fullcourt report: Sweet 16 betting news and notes
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

East Region

The East held form in the top half of the bracket with No. 1-seed Syracuse and No. 4-seed Wisconsin advancing to the Sweet Sixteen. From the bottom half, No. 2-seed Ohio State is still alive with No. 6-seed Cincinnati rounding out the group. There were no upsets in the East in the first eight games played as the higher seed won every game and we only saw one upset in the Round of 32 when No. 6-seed Cincinnati beat No. 3-seed Florida State 62-56 as a 2-point underdog. However, of the top seeds, only Wisconsin made it through with a perfect 2-0 against the spread (ATS) record as Syracuse and Ohio State both went 1-1 ATS last week.

Ohio State is a solid 8-point favorite over Cincinnati on Thursday night, but the Bearcats have been on a terrific pointspread run since the second week of February, going 10-3 ATS over their last 13 games, including a 4-2 ATS mark as an underdog. Syracuse is a 3.5-point favorite over Wisconsin in the first game on Thursday.

Unlike Cincinnati, the Orangemen are on a terrible pointspread run at just 5-11 ATS over their last 16 games. However, Syracuse has won 14 of those 16 games straight up, with nine of those wins coming by seven or more points. Keep in mind Syracuse is now playing without their 7-foot center Fab Melo, who was ruled ineligible last week before the NCAA Tournament began. Melo is only sixth on the team in scoring at 7.8 points per game, however he is a force defensively and was name the Big East Defensive Player of the Year. He also led the Orangemen in rebounding (5.8) and blocks (2.9) per game this season.

West Region

The West has three of the top four seeds remaining alive with No. 1-seed Michigan State, No.3-seed Marquette, and No. 4-seed Louisville playing in the Sweet Sixteen. After No. 15-seed Norfolk State’s major upset of No. 2-seed Missouri as a 21-point underdog, the bottom of the bracket was wide open and No. 7-seed Florida took advantage to complete the foursome. Florida also had the easiest game in the Round of 32 as they beat Norfolk State by a whopping 34 points (84-50) as a 14-point favorite. Michigan State, Louisville, and Marquette won their games by a combined 16 points.

Both games in the West on Thursday night are projected to be close as Marquette is just a 1.5-point favorite over Florida and Michigan State is just a 5-point favorite over Louisville. Favorites cashed at a 75 percent clip (9-3 ATS) in the first two rounds in the West Region with their average win coming by a whopping 14.9 points per game.

Midwest Region

The Midwest didn’t quite play out as the other three regions. The top two seeds, No. 1-seed North Carolina and No. 2-seed Kansas are still alive. But the No. 3-seed through No. 10 seeds were all eliminated which left No. 11-seed NC State and No. 13-seed Ohio as two surprise teams in the Sweet 16. Kansas narrowly covered the spread against Detroit in their 85-70 win as a 14-point favorite and were never covering against Purdue as an 8-point favorite and the Jayhawks were lucky to escape with a 63-60 win as they trailed outright for the majority of that game.

North Carolina has been the most impressive team in the Midwest as the Tar Heels won their two games by 19 and 14 points, while going 2-0 ATS. However, UNC suffered a major blow on Sunday when point guard Kendall Marshall fractured his wrist against Creighton. Marshall underwent surgery on Monday and had a screw inserted in his injured wrist and his status for Friday's game versus Ohio is still uncertain. Marshall is shooting 46.7 percent from the floor this season, including 35.4 percent from 3-point range, and most importantly he leads the Tar Heels with 351 assists. No other player has more than 45 assists this season.

NC State and Ohio are a combined 4-0 ATS so far in the NCAA Tournament. The Wolfpack and the Bobcats are both sizeable underdogs on Friday night; NC State is +8 against Kansas, while Ohio is +10.5 against North Carolina. The Wolfpack are on a perfect 7-0-1 ATS run with five of those wins coming in the role of an underdog. Ohio actually came into this tournament on a downswing as the Bobcats were on a 1-4 ATS run prior to their two pointspread covers against Michigan and South Florida.

South Region

The South mostly played to form with three of the top four seeds remaining alive in the NCAA Tournament with No. 1-seed Kentucky, No. 3-seed Baylor, and No. 4-seed Indiana all making the Sweet 16. The bottom two games of the South bracket saw two upsets when No. 10-seed Xavier beat No. 7-seed Notre Dame and No. 15-seed Lehigh beat No. 2-seed Duke. Xavier completes the quartet. This will be the fourth time over the last five years in which the Musketeers have won at least two games in the NCAA tournament.

Kentucky (-9 over Indiana) and Baylor (-6 over Xavier) are both big favorites on Friday to advance to the Elite 8. After failing to cover their large 26.5-point spread against overmatched Western Kentucky, the Wildcats showed their superiority with an 87-71 win over Iowa State as an 11-point favorite. Baylor is 2-0 ATS if you are a good shopper as the Bears snuck inside the number (-7.5) with a 68-60 win over South Dakota State. Next, they blew out Colorado by 17 points (80-63) also as a 7.5-point favorite. Xavier is 2-0 ATS so far, while Indiana is 1-1 ATS. Overall, underdogs hold a slight edge in the South going 7-5 ATS with five outright wins so far.

Kentucky remains a heavy favorite to win the NCAA Tournament with a 30 percent chance based on their true mathematical odds, followed by Ohio State at 14 percent, and North Carolina at 11 percent.

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**Udog** · 03-21-2012, 08:35 AM

NCAAB

Wednesday, March 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
March Madness: Best Sweet 16 betting trends
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

There is nothing sweeter this time of the year than being alive in the Sweet 16 of NCAA tournament. But not all teams, coaches and conferences act the same when the going gets tough.

From the files of the PLAYBOOK, here are the best betting trends for the second weekend of March Madness.

SWEET 16 NOTES:

• No. 1 seeds favored by less than 11 points, and off back to back (BB) straight up and against the spread (SUATS) wins are 18-6 ATS

• No. 2 seeds are 13-5 ATS vs. opponents off an SU dog win

• Favored No. 3 seeds off BB SU and ATS wins are 2-10 ATS

• No. 4 seed dogs are 3-9 ATS vs. foes off BB SUATS wins

• No. 5 seeds are 5-0-1 ATS as double-digit (DD) dogs

• No. 6 seeds off DD ATS wins are 1-8 ATS

• No. 7 seeds (or lower) as underdogs of two points or more are 4-14 ATS

• Favorites of 9 or more points are 20-9-1 ATS vs. opponents off BB SU and ATS wins

• Favorites off BB SU wins of 15 or more points are 12-4 ATS

• Underdogs of 11 or more points are 7-2 ATS

Best team ATS record in this round

Louisville: 5-0, North Carolina: 4-0, Xavier: 3-0-1, Michigan St: 6-1

Worst team ATS record in this round

Syracuse: 0-5, Ohio State: 0-3

Best conference ATS records in this round

Atlantic 10: 6-1-1, Big 12: 6-1-1, SEC: 10-3 as dogs

Worst conference ATS records in this round

Big East: 1-7 when favored by seven or less, Big Ten: 1-7

ELITE 8 ROUND NOTES:

• No. 1 seeds favored by seven or more are 1-6-1 ATS vs. foes off BB ATS wins

• No. 2 seeds are 2-10-1 ATS off DD ATS wins

• No. 3 seeds are 1-6 ATS

• No. 4 seeds are 8-1 ATS

• No. 5 seeds are 7-0 ATS

• No. 6 seeds are 0-7 SU and 2-5 ATS

• No. 7 seeds are 0-5 SU

• No. 8 seeds are 4-1 ATS

• Teams that score fewer than 67 points are 12-39 SU and 12-38-1 ATS

• Teams that score more than 85 points are 27-7 SU and 24-8-2 ATS

• Teams off BB ATS losses are 4-1 ATS

• Teams with revenge are 14-4-1 ATS

• Dogs off three straight DD wins are 1-4-1 ATS

Best conference ATS record in this round

Big East: 5-0-1 as dogs, Big Ten: 7-1 as dogs of six or fewer points, SEC: 4-1 as faves off DD ATS wins.

Worst conference ATS record in this round

Big 12: 0-10, Big East: 1-6-1 off SU dog win

COACH ME IF YOU CAN:

• Florida’s Billy Donovan is 12-3 SU and 11-4 ATS in the NCAA tournament from the Sweet 16 out.

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**Udog** · 03-21-2012, 08:47 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 21

St. Louis at Anaheim
The Ducks are coming off a 5-3 win at San Jose and look to build on their 4-1 record in their last 5 games after scoring 5 or more goals in the previous game. Anaheim is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 21

Game 51-52: Florida at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 12.094; Carolina 11.712
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+100); Over

Game 53-54: Montreal at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.137; Buffalo 11.867
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-170); 5
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-170); Under

Game 55-56: Detroit at NY Rangers (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.157; NY Rangers 10.330
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+130); Under

Game 57-58: Vancouver at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 10.239; Chicago 12.587
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-110); Under

Game 59-60: St. Louis at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 10.833; Anaheim 12.245
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+115); Under

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 21

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FLORIDA (36-23-0-13, 85 pts.) at CAROLINA (29-29-0-15, 73 pts.) - 3/21/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 2-11 ATS (+14.3 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 129-162 ATS (-70.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
FLORIDA is 36-35 ATS (+73.4 Units) in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 18-10 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CAROLINA is 15-32 ATS (+51.6 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 3-17 ATS (+21.9 Units) after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 9-7 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 9-7-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)

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MONTREAL (28-32-0-13, 69 pts.) at BUFFALO (34-29-0-10, 78 pts.) - 3/21/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 27-45 ATS (+72.0 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 15-27 ATS (+42.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
BUFFALO is 48-39 ATS (-9.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 234-166 ATS (+32.4 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
BUFFALO is 1-6 ATS (-5.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
BUFFALO is 7-12 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 16-18 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 11-6 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 11-6-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
12 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+9.0 Units)

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DETROIT (44-25-0-4, 92 pts.) at NY RANGERS (45-20-0-7, 97 pts.) - 3/21/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 2-7 ATS (-7.1 Units) in March games this season.
NY RANGERS are 45-26 ATS (+3.1 Units) in all games this season.
NY RANGERS are 17-4 ATS (+11.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
NY RANGERS are 16-6 ATS (+7.6 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
DETROIT is 16-3 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 82-85 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 133-166 ATS (-133.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 162-170 ATS (-96.5 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 100-104 ATS (-54.2 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-0-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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VANCOUVER (43-21-0-8, 94 pts.) at CHICAGO (41-25-0-8, 90 pts.) - 3/21/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 306-327 ATS (-82.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 62-32 ATS (+18.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 88-86 ATS (+192.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 18-8 ATS (+7.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
VANCOUVER is 185-162 ATS (+352.1 Units) in road games second half of the season since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 9-1 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 12-12-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
12 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)

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ST LOUIS (46-19-0-8, 100 pts.) at ANAHEIM (31-32-0-11, 73 pts.) - 3/21/2012, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 8-18 ATS (+27.5 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 189-181 ATS (+417.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 50-34 ATS (+5.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 46-27 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 23-5 ATS (+14.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ST LOUIS is 13-2 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 25-10 ATS (+9.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 75-65 ATS (+148.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 30-43 ATS (-25.0 Units) in all games this season.
ANAHEIM is 4-10 ATS (+14.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 15-25 ATS (-16.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
ANAHEIM is 11-24 ATS (+36.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ANAHEIM is 6-15 ATS (-9.4 Units) after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 6-5 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 6-5-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.5 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 21

Hot teams
-- Florida won its last five games, allowing seven goals. Carolina won its last three games, allowing six.
-- Sabres won five of their last six home games.
-- Rangers won nine of their last twelve home games.
-- Blackhawks won eight of their last ten games.
-- Blues won ten of their last thirteen games.

Cold teams
-- Canadiens lost six of their last eight road games.
-- Red Wings lost last five games, outscored 20-9.
-- Canucks lost five of their last seven games.
-- Anaheim lost eight of its lat eleven games.

Totals
-- Florida's last three road games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 3-0-2 in last five Buffalo games.
-- Five of last six Ranger games went over the total.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in Chicago's last five home games.
-- Five of last six St Louis road games stayed under total.

Series records
-- Florida is 4-0 vs Carolina this season, allowing five goals.
-- Sabres won seven of last eight games against Montreal.
-- Rangers lost 3-2 at Detroit in LY's meeting.
-- Canucks won three of last four games against Chicago.
-- Home side won last eight St Louis-Anaheim games.

Back-to-Back
-- Florida is 2-6 on road if it played night before.
-- Blackhawks are 7-8 if they played night before, 5-1 at home.

NHL

Wednesday, March 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Carolina
Florida is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing at home against Florida
Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. BUFFALO
Montreal is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
Montreal is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Buffalo's last 14 games when playing Montreal

7:30 PM
DETROIT vs. NY RANGERS
Detroit is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
NY Rangers are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit
NY Rangers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Detroit

8:00 PM
VANCOUVER vs. CHICAGO
Vancouver is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Chicago
Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Vancouver
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

10:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. ANAHEIM
St. Louis is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Anaheim's last 24 games
Anaheim is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home

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NHL

Wednesday, March 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ice picks: Wednesday's best NHL bets
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Detroit Red Wings at New York Rangers (-145, 5)

The New York Rangers became the first team in the East to clinch a playoff spot with Tuesday’s win over New Jersey and look ready to fight to hold on to the No. 1 seed.

Brandon Prust, Stu Bickel and Mike Rupp all dropped their gloves just three seconds into Tuesday’s game, setting the tone for the club’s 4-2 victory.

"We've really worked hard all year for this opportunity," Brandon Dubinsky told reporters after recording a goal and an assist. "I think from the get-go we said the playoffs wasn't our goal. We want home-ice advantage. We want to put ourselves in a good position going into the playoffs, and more importantly, we want to try to be playing our best hockey going in."

That win was just New York’s third in eight games, but could be the victory that the club needs for the final push of the regular season.

The Rangers also catch a break with Detroit’s starting goaltender Jimmy Howard out again with a groin injury.

Pick: Rangers

St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks (+115, 5)

The trip back to St. Louis would have felt a lot longer if the Blues didn’t come away with a 3-1 win over Tampa Bay Saturday.

St. Louis had dropped consecutive games on the road, but managed to blanket Tampa Bay’s attack in a textbook Ken Hitchcock victory.

"We know that we've got a ways to go and that we can't take nights off like we did before tonight ... the last four or five games," forward T. J. Oshie told reporters. "That wasn't the way that we play and the way we can win. ... (This win) as a whole, we made a big jump as a team."

While the Blues are trying to lock down first place overall in the league, you just don’t know what you’re going to get from the Ducks these days. They made a good run for the playoffs but look to be running out of steam.

Pick: Blues

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**Udog** · 03-21-2012, 08:50 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Golden State at New Orleans
The Warriors look to take advantage of a New Orleans team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games as a home favorite of 1 to 4 1/2 points. Golden State is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+2). Here are all of today's picks

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 21

Game 751-752: New York at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 122.852; Philadelphia 124.391
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 4 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: New York (+4 1/2); Over

Game 753-754: Chicago at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 123.955; Toronto 116.439
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 7 1/2; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 7; 185
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-7); Over

Game 755-756: Phoenix at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 121.588; Orlando 122.058
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 1; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 8 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+8 1/2); Over

Game 757-758: Cleveland at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 112.532; Atlanta 121.854
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 9 1/2; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 7 1/2; 190
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-7 1/2); Under

Game 759-760: Washington at New Jersey (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 109.880; New Jersey 116.594
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 6 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 4 1/2; 204
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-4 1/2); Under

Game 761-762: Golden State at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 114.956; New Orleans 114.998
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 192
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 2; 188
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+2); Over

Game 763-764: LA Clippers at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 117.022; Oklahoma City 124.396
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 7 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8 1/2; 198
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+8 1/2); Under

Game 765-766: Minnesota at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 115.651; San Antonio 124.583
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 196
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 767-768: Detroit at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 114.210; Denver 123.749
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 9 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 769-770: LA Lakers at Dallas (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 118.931; Dallas 121.941
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 3; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 5; 188
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+5); Under

**Udog** · 03-21-2012, 08:54 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 21

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NEW YORK (22 - 24) at PHILADELPHIA (26 - 20) - 3/21/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 74-58 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NEW YORK is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 7-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (38 - 10) at TORONTO (15 - 31) - 3/21/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road games this season.
CHICAGO is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 32-56 ATS (-29.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (23 - 23) at ORLANDO (29 - 18) - 3/21/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 61-37 ATS (+20.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in March games this season.
ORLANDO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-0 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (17 - 26) at ATLANTA (26 - 20) - 3/21/2012, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (10 - 34) at NEW JERSEY (15 - 32) - 3/21/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 63-86 ATS (-31.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 56-71 ATS (-22.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 33-50 ATS (-22.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-2 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (18 - 25) at NEW ORLEANS (11 - 34) - 3/21/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after a non-conference game this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (26 - 19) at OKLAHOMA CITY (34 - 12) - 3/21/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 387-456 ATS (-114.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 184-231 ATS (-70.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 144-182 ATS (-56.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 127-179 ATS (-69.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 127-103 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (23 - 24) at SAN ANTONIO (29 - 14) - 3/21/2012, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (16 - 29) at DENVER (25 - 21) - 3/21/2012, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (28 - 18) at DALLAS (27 - 20) - 3/21/2012, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 61-76 ATS (-22.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in road games this season.
LA LAKERS are 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 84-63 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 35-15 ATS (+18.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 52-28 ATS (+21.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 30-12 ATS (+16.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 8-5 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-6 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-21-2012, 08:56 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 21

Hot Teams
-- Knicks won/covered all four games under Woodson.
-- Bulls won five of their last six games.
-- Suns covered their last five games (4-1 SU).
-- Cavaliers won three of last four on road, covered four of last five.
-- Wizards covered three of their last four road games.
-- Spurs covered eight of last 11 games as a home favorite.
-- Lakers won last four games, by 9-5-7-17 points.

Cold Teams
-- 76ers lost three of their last four games.
-- Raptors lost five of their last seven games.
-- Orlando lost three of its last four games.
-- Hawks covered twice in last seven games as home favorite.
-- Nets lost five of their last six games.
-- Golden State lost its last four games, by 2-22-6-4 points. Hornets lost their last four home games.
-- Clippers lost three of last four road games, but are 6-2-1 vs spread in last nine games as a road dog. Thunder is 3-4 in its last seven games.
-- Minnesota lost five of its last seven games.
-- Denver is 3-13-1 vs spread in its last 17 home games. Pistons lost six of last seven road games (3-4 vs spread).
-- Lakers lost last two games by 4-3 points, are 3-6 vs spread last nine.

Wear-and-Tear
-- Knicks: 4th game/6 nites. 76ers: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Bulls: 4th game/6 nites. Raptors: 8th game/12 nites.
-- Suns: 6th game/8 nites. Magic: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Cavaliers: 3rd game/4 nites. Hawks: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Wizards: Last two nites off. Nets: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Warriors: 6th game/9 nites. Hornets: Had last three nites off.
-- Clippers: 8th game/11 nites. Thunder: 5th game/7 nites.
-- T'wolves: 5th game/7 nites. Spurs: Last three nites off.
-- Pistons: Had last two nites off. Nuggets: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Lakers: 6th game/9 nites. Mavericks: 3rd game/5 nites.

Totals
-- Seven of last eight New York games went over the total.
-- Last three Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Phoenix road games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Six of Nets' last seven home games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-1 in Warriors' last eight road games.
-- Six of last eight Clipper road games went over the total.
-- Last six San Antonio games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Detroit games went over the total.
-- Lakers' last five road games all went over the total.

Back-to-Back
-- Knicks are 4-2 vs spread on road if they played at home night before.
-- Toronto is 5-4 if it lost night before, 0-2 if they're playing at home.
-- Suns are 9-4-1 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Clippers are 3-1 vs spread if they lost the night before.
-- Lakers are 4-6 vs spread on road if they played the night before.

Announcement

Wednesday's Trends and Indexes - 3/21 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Wednesday's Trends and Indexes - 3/21 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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