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**Udog** · 03-13-2012, 08:31 AM

Tuesday’s betting tips: BYU slumps into First Four

Who’s hot

NCAAB: Western Kentucky is 13-3 against the spread in its last 16.

NCAAB: Iona is 6-1 against the spread in its last seven neutral-site games.

NBA: The over is 20-8 in Atlanta’s last 28 road games.

NBA: Toronto has covered in seven of its last nine.

NHL: New Jersey has won five of its last six.

NHL: Dallas is 9-0-1 in its last 10.

Who’s not

NCAAB: Mississippi Valley State is 1-6 against the spread in its last seven.

NCAAB: BYU is 0-4 against the spread in its last four overall and 3-8 against the number in its last 11 NCAA Tournament games.

NBA: Houston has dropped eight straight against the spread.

NBA: Portland is 3-12 against the spread in its last 15 games against Indiana.

NHL: Toronto is 2-14 in its last 16 overall.

NHL: Detroit is 1-5 in its last six road games.

Key stat

1 – The Dallas Stars have allowed just one power play goal against over their last 31 shorthanded situations (97 percent). The Stars are the hottest team in the NHL right now and have moved all the way up to third place in the Western Conference. They are pegged as -160 road favorites at Minnesota Tuesday.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Rudy Gay, Memphis Grizzlies – Gay took an elbow to the head in Sunday’s win over Denver and was reportedly showing signs of a mild concussion. He’s listed as questionable for Tuesday’s matchup with the Los Angeles Lakers. Gay averages 18.8 points and 6.7 rebounds for the Grizzlies.

Game of the day

Iona Gaels at BYU Cougars (-2, 162)

Notable quotable

“It's going to be kind of that game, just up and down. But we talked about it. We're going to push the ball like we've always been doing. And every time we get a chance to get down in transition, we're going to try to take advantage of that.” – BYU’s Noah Hartsock on what he expects from the Iona Gaels, who averaged 83.2 points per game this season.

Notes and tips

Almost 62 percent of *********** Consensus bettors were backing Western Kentucky as 4.5-point favorites against Mississippi Valley State as of late Monday evening. Oddsmakers opened with the Hilltoppers set at -4 before moving the number a half point.

The Detroit Red Wings will reportedly welcome starting goaltender Jimmy Howard back to the crease Tuesday after he sat out the last three games with a groin injury. The Red Wings, who are 1-3 in their last four, visit the Los Angeles Kings Tuesday. Howard is 33-13-2 this year with a 2.05 goals-against average and six shutouts.

The next two teams scheduled to meet with Peyton Manning are the Miami Dolphins and Tennessee Titans. Chris Mortensen of ESPN reported Monday that Manning will sit down with members of each of the organizations over the coming days. The free-agent quarterback is not expected to decide on a team by Tuesday, according to the report. Manning visited with Denver and Arizona over the weekend. Both teams have been considered the front-runners to sign him. ESPN also reported that Manning will not meet with Kansas City or Seattle, dropping the clubs out of contention for his services.

Tiger Woods was diagnosed with a mildly strained left Achilles tendon but hopes to be able to play in next week's event at Bay Hill. Woods left on the 12th hole of the Cadillac Championship at Doral on Sunday with the injury. “Got good news from doc tonight,” Woods posted Monday on Twitter. “Only mild strain of left Achilles. Can resume hitting balls late in week and hopeful for next week.” Woods is scheduled to play at Bay Hill beginning March 22, the final tournament prior to the Masters. It is the same Achilles tendon that forced Woods to miss a pair of majors last season. He is set at +600 to win the Masters after opening at +400.

The San Francisco 49ers have reached an agreement with free agent wide receiver Randy Moss on a one-year deal, according to Adam Schefter of ESPN. Moss was at the 49ers' practice facility catching passes from San Francisco coach Jim Harbaugh during a Monday workout. The 35-year-old Moss did not play last season after announcing his retirement. He had worked out for the New Orleans Saints last week. Moss is a six-time Pro Bowler and has led the NFL in catches five times. His 23 touchdowns in 2007 were the most in the league.

**Udog** · 03-13-2012, 08:34 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Basketball budgets for some of the mid-major programs that are in this year's NCAA tournament.........thanks to Yahoo! Sports for these

-- Creighton Bluejays, $4.8M-- One of two teams in tournament where it is OK if the coach buys his star player a car (its his son).

-- Harvard Crimson, $990,000-- Library has bigger budget.

-- Memphis Tigers, $6.7M-- Off to Big East next season.

-- Murray State, $1.6M-- Will make lot selling apparel if they can get to Sweet 16 this season, a lot like Boise State does in football.

-- St Mary's, $2.2M-- Need their defensive stopper back this week.

-- VCU, $3.2M-- Fighting off bigger schools to keep coach Smart.

***************

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.........

13) Coaches generally get fired for losing, but Tulsa just fired Doug Wojcik for not winning enough, in other words, not making the NCAA tournament, which in turn hurt ticket sales. Wojcik is a high-quality person who played at the Naval Academy with David Robinson. Tulsa’s sports programs are in limbo because of the conference-juggling that’s going on- they haven’t found their landing spot yet. Don’t see how firing Wojcik helps them at all.

12) Tulsa has been burned in past by coaches leaving for greener pastures: Tubby Smith, Bill Self, Buzz Peterson. Next time that happens, we’ll think about Wojcik before we criticize the coach who bolts.

11) Over the last two NCAA tournaments, first round favorites of 3 or less points are 6-19 against spread. Lower seeded teams that are favored are 0-5.

10) Over last three tournaments, single-digit first round favorites are 15-42 against the spread. Maybe that’s why the spreads this March seems so much lower than usual.

9) More than 70% of the rum sold in this country comes from Puerto Rico.

8) Must be nice to be rich; had Eldrick Woods gutted out the last seven holes Sunday and played par golf, he stood to make $76,000. That’s more than I make in a year. For the record, his last drive went 321 yards.

7) Sergio Garcia got a 12 on a par-4 hole Sunday. Freakin’ 12. Not good.

6) Packer backup QB Matt Flynn is now a free agent, and will cash in as soon as the Peyton Manning drama is resolved. Browns/Miami/Seahawks all whiffed on Manning, so they’ll be in the market for Flynn, who dazzled in his only two NFL starts.

5) Mets have five guys out with oblique injuries, so now they’re reviewing their daily workout program. Brilliant. Here’s a hint fellas; too much weightlifting.

4) Big X hasn’t had a Final Four team since Kansas won national title four years ago. Jayhawks/Missouri are expected to get there this time around.

3) Long Beach State is a popular darkhorse this month, but the Big West hasn’t won a tournament game since Pacific won first round games in both 2004/2005, and New Mexico is a tough draw for the 49ers.

2) I’ve had a theory for a few years that CBS does some handicapping of its own when they pick TV times for games; for instance, I don’t think they put games they think are potential upsets on in the afternoon, they want those games for prime time, which is why I’m surprised the Harvard-Vandy game is a 4:40 tipoff. Lot of wealthy alums from Harvard, which hasn’t been in the tournament since 1946, and they’ve got a pretty good team- fully expected that to be a 10pm tipoff.

1) Teams that took lot of investment action as soon as the lines came out Sunday night:
UConn, opened +1.5, now -2
Alabama, opened +2, now -1.5.
Michigan State, opened -17.5, now -20
Belmont, opened +6.5, got bet down to +4
Kansas opened -12, got bet up to -15.

**Udog** · 03-13-2012, 08:37 AM

MLB betting Top 5: Best under parks in the bigs

Baseball has long been viewed as a statistics sport, something to pour over, column after column, during those long, summer months. We used to study the newspapers. Now, we study webpages.

But the desired results are the same. As total bettors, you want to give yourself the best advantage to win as much as possible through the grind of 162 games.

One of the best feathers you can put in your cap these days is ballpark statistics. Studying and analyzing how many runs a certain stadium produces on a daily basis can be a useful tool for over/under handicapping

Here are the ballparks that averaged the fewest runs scored last year. You might find a surprise or two:

Team: Philadelphia Phillies.
Stadium: Citizens Bank Park.
Average Runs Per Home Game: 7.65.
Home Over-Under Record: 36-39-6.

Wasn’t long ago that critics were calling “Citizens” the Coors Field of the North. Home runs were flying out of there during the early days. But now that the Phillies focus is on pitching, times have changed. Philadelphia no longer has big boppers. Ryan Howard is one, but he will start the season on the disabled list, and Raul Ibanez is with the Yankees now.

The Phillies draw walks now, steal bases, and try to grind out just enough offense to make their star starters -- Roy Halladay, Cliff Lee and Cole Hamels -- 20-game winners. Clearly, they’d still love to have some heavy lumber in the lineup, but they are what they are.

And along the way, they’ve become a decent under buy, like it or not. With the makeup of the team, it’s hard to argue. When you throw out those kinds of pitchers on a daily basis, you’re going to compile unders no matter where you play.

Team: Oakland Athletics.
Stadium: O.co Coliseum.
Average Runs Per Home Game: 7.95.
Home Over-Under Record: 43-30-8.

Call it what you will, this stadium, which loses names more than the Athletics traditionally lose stars to free agency, has long been a haven for unders. It's now O.co Coliseum, and in the past, it was the Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum, Network Associates Coliseum, McAfee Coliseum, and Overstock.com Coliseum.

But it doesn't matter. For the totals player, it's big, there's a ton of foul ground, and that leads to more unproductive outs. It helps, of course, that Oakland has been in love with the "Moneyball" approach that keeps star power out of uniform.

But oddmakers are an intelligent crew. They’ve seen what goes on in Oakland and so, traditionally, they adjust their lines. Which is why the Athletics were solid over buys last season at home, despite the fact that they couldn’t average eight runs a game.

Team: Seattle Mariners.
Stadium: Safeco Field.
Average Runs Per Home Game: 7.02.
Home Over-Under Record: 32-43-6.

Lots of reasons for unders in the Pacific Northwest. One, the books traditionally don’t value Safeco has much as they do O.co and that give totals players an edge. Two, the Mariners -- with Ichiro leading the way for what seems like forever -- have long been a doubles team, and not a homer run team.

And three -- and this is very underrated -- many, many East teams hit Seattle at the tail end of West Coast road trips. That means they’re worn out, they’re tired, and they miss their bedrooms. That often leads to some weary bats.

Let’s not forget the pitching, too. That played a big part in that 7.02 average. The Mariners had a team ERA of 3.90 last season at home, and when you hit just .233 at home as a club, you’re going to end up in under-land a bunch.

Team: San Diego Padres.
Stadium: Petco Park.
Average Runs Per Home Game: 6.69.
Home Over-Under Record: 41-37-3.

This one should be easy to figure out. The Padres lost Adrian Gonzalez to the Red Sox before last season, no batter had more than 25 RBIs at home last year, and in 81 games at Petco, the Padres compiled a .237 team batting average.

But again, beware of the books. Over the long haul of a season, nothing’s going to get by them. Lines were adjusted, and overs were hit simply because the totals were so low. You can always use that to your advantage, too. Jump on the over, grab that value, and see where it takes you. Your call.

On either side, though -- over or under, your preference -- you can rely on the consistency of Petco. There are very few shootouts in San Diego, and there are also a lot of afternoon, weekday games on Wednesdays and Thursdays, so teams can get to their next destination in time. They are known as getaway days, and they often feature less potent lineups because the stars tend to get a little rest before another series begins. Keep an eye out for those.

Team: San Francisco Giants.
Stadium: AT&T Park.
Average Runs Per Home Game: 6.01.
Home Over-Under Record: 30-48-3.

OK, here’s the bookmaker’s nightmare. There’s only so low they can go on a total from one night to the next. And when you have a loaded pitching staff, and you play out West where opponents get tired, that’s going to lead to some unders.

That’s what happened with the Giants here. Averaging 6.01 runs per game in AT&T, the books simply could not overcompensate. You’re not going to see many 5.5 over-under run lines in baseball these days. The typical AT&T line is seven or so, and with four pitchers in double-digit wins, including Tim Lincecum, and a home team ERA of 3.20, there’s not much you can do but think under.

It also helps that Pablo Sandoval lead the team in home RBIs with just 29, and the team combined to hit just .242 at home. And that doesn’t figure to change this season, so continue to monitor the Giants as perhaps the best home under buy in baseball.

**Udog** · 03-13-2012, 08:43 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Iona vs. BYU
The Gaels look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 neutral site games. Iona is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Iona (+2 1/2). Here are all of Tuesday and Wednesday's early picks.

TUESDAY, MARCH 13

Game 547-548: Western Kentucky vs. Mississippi Valley State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 56.317; Mississippi Valley State 44.094
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 12; 126
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 4; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-4); N/A

Game 549-550: Iona vs. BYU (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 61.377; BYU 61.366
Dunkel Line: Even; 162
Vegas Line: BYU by 2 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Iona (+2 1/2); N/A

Game 551-552: Massachusetts at Mississippi State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 58.942; Mississippi State 67.033
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 8; 149
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 6 1/2; 152 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-6 1/2); Under

Game 553-554: Stony Brook at Seton Hall (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stony Brook 52.401; Seton Hall 62.524
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 10; 129
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 12; 126 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stony Brook (+12); Over

Game 555-556: Dayton at Iowa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 63.208; Iowa 65.895
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 2 1/2; 152
Vegas Line: Iowa by 4; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (+4); Over

Game 557-558: Savannah State at Tennessee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Savannah State 53.001; Tennessee 69.974
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 17; 119
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 14; 122 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-14); Under

Game 559-560: Akron at Northwestern (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 58.551; Northwestern 67.985
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 9 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 6 1/2; 141
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-6 1/2); Over

Game 561-562: Marshall at Middle Tennessee State (9:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 60.027; Middle Tennessee State 61.696
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 1 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 5 1/2; 136
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+5 1/2); Under

Game 563-564: LSU at Oregon (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 59.991; Oregon 69.729
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 9 1/2; 140
Vegas Line: Oregon by 7; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-7); Over

Game 565-566: TX-Arlington at Washington (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-Arlington 56.923; Washington 63.592
Dunkel Line: Washington by 6 1/2; 152
Vegas Line: Washington by 9; 156
Dunkel Pick: TX-Arlington (+9); Under

Game 567-568: Cleveland State at Stanford (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 58.443; Stanford 62.472
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 4; 126
Vegas Line: Stanford by 6 1/2; 130
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (+6 1/2); Under

Game 571-572: Princeton at Evansville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 59.070; Evansville 63.426
Dunkel Line: Evansville by 4 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: Evansville by 3 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (-3 1/2); Over

Game 573-574: WI-Milwaukee at TCU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 57.716; TCU 60.803
Dunkel Line: TCU by 3; 144
Vegas Line: TCU by 4 1/2; 139
Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (+4 1/2); Over

Game 575-576: Washington State at San Francisco (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 57.891; San Francisco 64.453
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 6 1/2; 145
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 5; 148
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-5); Under

Game 581-582: Robert Morris at Indiana State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Robert Morris 55.182; Indiana State 58.100
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 3; 127
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 5; 130 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Robert Morris (+5); Under

Game 583-584: Tennessee State at Mercer (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 52.683; Mercer 59.749
Dunkel Line: Mercer by 7; 132
Vegas Line: Mercer by 5 1/2; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mercer (-5 1/2); Over

Game 585-586: Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Coastal Carolina 46.922; Old Dominion 64.390
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 17 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 10; 131
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (-10); Under

Game 587-588: Tennessee Tech at Georgia State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 52.262; Georgia State 60.283
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 8; 140
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 10; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+10); Over

Game 589-590: McNeese State at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: McNeese State 51.192; Toledo 58.635
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 7 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: Toledo by 5 1/2; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (-5 1/2); Over

Game 591-592: Utah Valley at Weber State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah Valley 46.533; Weber State 58.002
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 11 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Weber State by 13; 143
Dunkel Pick: Utah Valley (+13); Under

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 14

Game 625-626: Vermont vs. Lamar (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vermont 54.911; Lamar 59.384
Dunkel Line: Lamar by 4 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Lamar by 3; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Lamar (-3); N/A

Game 627-628: South Florida vs. California (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 63.961; California 68.180
Dunkel Line: California by 4; 116
Vegas Line: California by 2 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick California (-2 1/2); N/A

**Udog** · 03-13-2012, 08:47 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 13

Guys,

Tonight's NIT matchups are posted in the long sheet but there are no games with any trends to go along. They all say "No top trends available for this matchup".

I guess, for now, I'll just post the NCAA tourney matchups. If the NIT games update, I'll add the info.

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MISS VALLEY ST (20 - 13) vs. W KENTUCKY (15 - 18) - 3/13/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISS VALLEY ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
MISS VALLEY ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
MISS VALLEY ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
MISS VALLEY ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
MISS VALLEY ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 33-15 ATS (+16.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
W KENTUCKY is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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IONA (25 - 7) vs. BYU (25 - 8) - 3/13/2012, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 165-113 ATS (+40.7 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
BYU is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
BYU is 57-96 ATS (-48.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
BYU is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Wednesday, March 14

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LAMAR (23 - 11) vs. VERMONT (23 - 11) - 3/14/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VERMONT is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
LAMAR is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
LAMAR is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
LAMAR is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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S FLORIDA (20 - 13) vs. CALIFORNIA (24 - 9) - 3/14/2012, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 89-64 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
S FLORIDA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) on Wednesday games this season.
CALIFORNIA is 21-43 ATS (-26.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
CALIFORNIA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
CALIFORNIA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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**Udog** · 03-13-2012, 08:50 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 13

Tuesday's games
Last nine Western Kentucky games were decided by 7 or less points, as Hilltoppers won last seven, winning Sun Belt tourney even though they were #7 seed. Five of eight guys in Western's rotation are freshmen; the coach got fired in December, but new coach is older guy who won pair of national titles in NAIA. Mississippi Valley is coached by Sean Woods, a Pitino disciple; Delta Devils run/press- they overcheduled in preseason, playing five top 40 teams. Valley is 20-1 in league, 1-11 outside. SWAC are teams are 1-4 in play-in games, losing by 8-10-15-9 points. UALR of Sun Belt lost play-in game LY, first time Sun Belt team had been in one.

Over last nine years, WCC teams are 2-7 vs spread as tourney favorite; MAAC teams are 5-7 as underdogs, losing first game last two years by 8-22 points. WCC teams are 9-5 SU in first round games, even though they were underdog in 10 of the 14 games. Iona is small but plays fast; they're #12 in experience, and went over month without home game this season, so playing away from home not a problem, especially after they got reprieve with surprising bid to this event. BYU is 2-6 this season vs top 70 teams, but are 7-2 last nine games, with both losses to Gonzaga. Before last two Jimmer-led seasons, BYU had been 0-5 in NCAAs.

Other three tournaments
I'm not going to waste lot of time doing long write-ups on these other tournaments, but I'll give you a little on each game. No one knows how these teams will approach these games, including the coaches, since no one wants to be there, they all wanted to be in the NCAAs.

UMass @ Miss State-- UMass is young team that will run up/down all night. Over last two years, State might have worst chemistry in nation.

Stony Brook @ Seton Hall-- Seawolves lost conference title game on its home court Saturday. Pirates think they got hosed out of NCAAs- they are very young team that could make a run in this tournament.

Dayton @ Iowa-- Flyers beat Minnesota by 16 in November- they got beat by rival Xavier in A-14 tourney. Iowa is 12-6 against teams not in the top 50 in country. Dayton is #64.

Savannah State @ Tennessee-- Savannah is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 29-33-33 points. Vols had won eight of nine games before OT loss to Ole Miss in SEC tournament.

Akron @ Northwestern-- Zips play fast- they lost tough MAC final on Saturday night. Northwestern went 3-5 in last eight games to gag away one more chance to make NCAAs for first time.

Marshall @ Middle Tennessee-- Thundering Herd played four games in four days in conference tournament, with last game Saturday afternoon. Middle had been on 17-2 run before getting upset last two games- they are not happy to be here.

LSU @ Oregon-- Tigers lost four of last five games, are one of country's worst shooting teams. Oregon was 11-3 in last 14 games before getting beat in first round of Pac-12 tournament.

UT-Arlington @ Washington-- Mavericks were by far best team in their league, but got whacked in conference tourney; they force turnovers on 24.6% of possessions, 11th in country. U-Dub is totally unreliable team because they play a freshman PG.

Cleveland State @ Stanford-- Vikings lost six of last eight games after a 20-4 start; if they don't force turnovers, they're lost on offense. Stanford lost at home to Butler of Horizon 71-66 back in December.

Princeton @ Evansville-- Purple Aces played six overtime games this season, are #3 foul shooting team in America. Princeton won eight of last nine games, knocking Penn out of Ivy League race.

Milwaukee @ TCU-- Horizon League road underdogs of 5 points or less points are 6-4-1 vs spread. TCU lost home finale in OT to San Diego St, then laid an egg in conference tourney against Colorado State.

Washington State @ San Francisco-- Dons won 10 of last 15 games; not often a WCC team gets a Pac-12 team in its gym. Other than Moten, the Coogs struggle to score. Pac-12 road dogs of 6 or less points are 6-12.

Robert Morris @ Indiana State-- RMC was #3 seed in #26 conference; they're #15 in country at forcing turnovers. Sycamores are 3-5 last eight games. MVC home favorites of 6 or less points are 3-12 vs spread.

Tennessee State @ Mercer-- Tigers are only team to beat Murray State. Mercer lost conference tourney semifinals on home court to a sub-.500 team- they lost four of last six games. Tennessee State lost to Belmont, the A-Sun kingpin, by 13.

Coastal Carolina @ Old Dominion-- Chanticleers lost to Clemson by a point early in season, but lost six of last eight games at end. CAA home favorites of 10+ points are 5-4 against the spread.

Tennessee Tech @ Georgia State-- Tech has one of nation's best gunners in Murphy (43% behind arc). Georgia State plays great defense- foes are shooting just 32% against them, outside the arc.

McNeese State @ Toledo-- Cowboys knocked #1 seed UT-Arlington out of its conference tourney. MAC home favorites of 7 or less points are 12-8 against the spread. Surprised these teams are still playing.

Utah Valley @ Weber State-- Valley is 0-6 vs teams in top 150; four of the six losses were by nine or less points. Weber lost conference title tilt at Montana Wednesday. Big Sky home favorites are 6-11.

Wednesday's games
Lamar-Vermont both have coaches in first year at their school; Lamar is one of most experienced teams in country- they were #3 Southland seed, Vermont was #2 in its league, and won true road game to get automatic bid. Southland teams are 2-9 in tournament last nine years, with UTSA winning play-in game LY, its only previous appearance in game. This is first play-in game for America East, which is 1-9 in NCAAs over last nine years, with lone win Vermont's win over Syracuse in '06. Cardinals have five seniors in their rotation; four of top six Vermont players are freshman/sophs. Lamar plays the #121 pace, Vermont #282.

Pac-12 gets killed in media, but since 2007, their teams are 17-7 in first round games (10-2 last three years); Cal Bears won last 16 games when they allowed less than 70 points- they've lost three of last four games, a red flag. South Florida plays great defense, hideous offense; they're very relieved to be here, after being one of last teams announced Sunday nite. Bulls scored less than 60 points in last seven games, splitting their last six. USF turns ball over 22.9% of time, shoot 31% from arc, play #342 pace, so they play ugly games. Three of Cal's top five guys are freshmen or sophs. Three of USF's top six guys are seniors.

**Udog** · 03-13-2012, 08:58 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 13

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Trend Report
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6:30 PM
MISS VALLEY STATE vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games
Western Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
COASTAL CAROLINA vs. OLD DOMINION
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Old Dominion's last 7 games
Old Dominion is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games

7:00 PM
MCNEESE STATE vs. TOLEDO
No trends available
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toledo's last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
MASSACHUSETTS vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
Massachusetts is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Mississippi State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Mississippi State is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home

7:00 PM
TENNESSEE STATE vs. MERCER
Tennessee State is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee State's last 7 games on the road
No trends available

7:00 PM
TENNESSEE TECH vs. GEORGIA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee Tech's last 10 games on the road
Georgia State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Georgia State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

7:05 PM
ROBERT MORRIS vs. INDIANA STATE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana State's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana State's last 5 games

7:15 PM
STONY BROOK vs. SETON HALL
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seton Hall's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seton Hall's last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
DAYTON vs. IOWA
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Dayton's last 15 games on the road
Dayton is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa's last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
SAVANNAH STATE vs. TENNESSEE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games at home
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
PRINCETON vs. EVANSVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Princeton's last 5 games on the road
Evansville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Evansville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
WISC-MILWAUKEE vs. TCU
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Wisc-Milwaukee's last 8 games on the road
Wisc-Milwaukee is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU's last 5 games
TCU is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

9:00 PM
UTAH VALLEY vs. WEBER STATE
No trends available
Weber State is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Weber State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
AKRON vs. NORTHWESTERN
Akron is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Akron's last 17 games on the road
Northwestern is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northwestern's last 6 games at home

9:00 PM
IONA vs. BYU
No trends available
BYU is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
BYU is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

9:15 PM
MARSHALL vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Marshall is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marshall's last 5 games on the road
Middle Tennessee is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Middle Tennessee is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

9:30 PM
LSU vs. OREGON
LSU is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Oregon is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Oregon is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home

10:00 PM
WASHINGTON STATE vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Washington State is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington State's last 12 games on the road
San Francisco is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
San Francisco is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games

10:00 PM
TEXAS-ARLINGTON vs. WASHINGTON
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

11:00 PM
CLEVELAND STATE vs. STANFORD
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland State's last 9 games on the road
Cleveland State is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Stanford is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home

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**Udog** · 03-13-2012, 09:12 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 13

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Five teams that could screw over your bracket sheet
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March Madness seems to be getting more unpredictable.

Two years ago, three double-digit seeds reached the Sweet 16. Last year, four double-digit seeds made it, with No. 11 VCU dancing all the way to the Final Four.

In 12 of the past 15 years, at least two double-digit seeds played on the second weekend.

Here are five double-digit seeds that could follow suit and screw up brackets everywhere:

No. 13 Davidson Wildcats (25-7)

After the Wildcats beat Kansas 80-74 in Kansas City in December, Jayhawks coach Bill Self said, “That wasn’t an upset tonight.”

Davidson is in the tournament for the first time since Stephen Curry led the 2008 Wildcats to the Elite Eight as a No. 10 seed. This team doesn’t have an NBA lottery pick, but it has SoCon player of the year De’Mon Brooks (16.0 ppg) leading an attack in which five Wildcats average in double figures. This smooth offensive club ranks 12th nationally in scoring (78.4), 15th in rebounding margin (6.7) and ninth in free-throw percentage (76.4).

No. 4 seed Louisville has bowed out in the first round two straight years. And the Cardinals can go into offensive funks. They averaged 53.3 points in their final four regular-season games before getting hot in the Big East tourney.

If Davidson pulls the “upset,” the Wildcats will face the winner of New Mexico-Long Beach State.

No. 15 Detroit Titans (22-13)

Six of Detroit’s 13 losses came early while 6-10 Eli Holman, the Indiana transfer, sat out due to suspension. The Titans blew out Valparaiso in the Horizon League championship game. They’ve got the best guard most people have never heard of: Ray McCallum, son of Detroit coach Ray McCallum.

McCallum could have played for any D-I powerhouse. He stayed home to revive his dad’s moribund program. With the tourney in sight, McCallum took his game to another level, shooting 59 percent over the last five games while collecting 22 assists and 11 steals.

No. 2 seed Kansas is a tough draw. But the Jayhawks have been known to bow out way earlier than expected. With Holman and another 6-10 senior, LaMarcus Lowe, the Titans can contain Thomas Robinson.

Aside from the Power 6 conferences, the Horizon is the only league that’s won at least one NCAA tournament game the last seven years. The Titans would face the Saint Mary’s-Purdue winner if they advance.

No. 10 Virginia Cavaliers (22-9)

Under coach Tony Bennett, who picked up the “Pack-Line” defense from his dad’s Wisconsin teams, the Cavs lead the nation in defensive efficiency. They hold opponents to 53.7 points. Teams do not get easy baskets against UVA.

Senior forward Mike Scott probably should have won ACC player of the year over Tyler Zeller. Scott (18.1 ppg, 8.4 rpg) shoots 56 percent from the field, 81 percent from the foul line.

True, the Cavs have no bench. But with the long TV timeouts in the NCAA tournament, depth is overrated.

After frustrating Florida, Virginia likely would face another run-and-gun team in Missouri.

No. 14 Belmont Bruins (27-7)

The Bruins, who enter on a 14-game win streak, feature a trio of versatile and experienced guards. Kerron Johnson (14.1 ppg), Ian Clark (12.6 ppg) and Drew Hanlen (11.0 ppg) helped Belmont rank third nationally in scoring at nearly 82 points per game.

This team can play with anyone, as evidenced by its one-point loss at then-No. 6 Duke on Nov. 11.

Belmont faces a Georgetown squad that’s lost in the first round in two straight years. If the Bruins advance, they’ll face the San Diego State-N.C. State winner.

No. 13 New Mexico State (26-9)

The Aggies open against an Indiana team that just lost its backup point guard and doesn’t play well away from Assembly Hall.

New Mexico State ranks 11th nationally in scoring (78.5). Senior forward Wendell McKines, who had 27 points and 14 rebounds in the WAC final, averages 18.5 points and 10.7 rebounds and teams with senior center Hamidu Rahman to form a potent inside duo. The Aggies feature two playmakers in senior Hernst Laroche (12.0 ppg, 3.8 apg) and freshman Daniel Mullings (9.3 ppg, 4.1 apg).

All season, WAC coaches said New Mexico State, with its size and athletic ability, would be scary if the team jelled. That happened in the conference tourney. In the championship game, the Aggies led 36-16 and were never threatened. They swarmed Louisiana Tech, holding the Bulldogs under 33 percent shooting.

If the Aggies advance, they’ll face the Wichita State-VCU winner.

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**Udog** · 03-13-2012, 09:14 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 13

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NCAA preview & pick: Western Kentucky vs. Mississippi Valley State
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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (4.5, 138)

THE STORY: Mississippi Valley State and Western Kentucky will meet Tuesday as part of the NCAA tournament’s First Four, with the winner advancing to take on No. 1 seed Kentucky in the Round of 64’s South Regional on Thursday. This marks the fifth NCAA tournament bid for the Southwestern Athletic Conference champion Delta Devils, while the Hilltoppers will make their 22nd appearance in the dance, after capturing the Sun Belt Conference title.

TV: 6:40 p.m. ET, truTV. LINE: Western Kentucky -4.5

ABOUT MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE (21-12, 17-1 SWAC): The Delta Devils rolled through the SWAC tournament, defeating Jackson State, Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Texas Southern en route to the title. They have ripped off 20 wins in their last 21 games, including their championship run, after a 1-11 start to the season. MVSU has a nose for turnovers, ranking in the top 10 nationally with 8.8 steals per game. Paul Crosby and Terrence Joyner pace the Delta Devils’ offense, averaging 13.6 and 13.4 points, respectively, while Cor-J Cox adds an 11.4 average. MVSU’s last tournament appearance came in 2008, as a No. 16 seed, losing to UCLA 70-29.

ABOUT WESTERN KENTUCKY (15-18, 7-9 Sun Belt): The Hilltoppers enter as improbable conference champions, having won six straight games overall to claim their first NCAA tournament berth since 2009. WKU has developed a knack for edging out close wins, with just two of its 15 wins this season coming by more than 10 points. During their six-game win streak, the Hilltoppers have prevailed by an average of 4.2 points. Derrick Gordon is Western Kentucky’s leading scorer, averaging 11.8 points per game. The Hilltoppers last appeared in the NCAA tournament in 2009, upsetting fifth-seeded Illinois before falling to No. 4 seed Gonzaga 83-81.

TRENDS:

- Western Michigan is 24-9 against the spread in its last 33 neutral-site games
- Mississippi Valley State is 1-6 against the number in its last seven overall.
- The under is 17-8 in Western Michigan's last 25 non-conference games.

PICK: Hilltoppers -4.5

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**Udog** · 03-13-2012, 09:16 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 13

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NCAA preview & pick: Iona Gaels vs. BYU Cougars
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Iona Gaels vs. BYU Cougars (-2, 160.5)

THE STORY: BYU and Iona will help kick off the NCAA tournament’s First Four on Tuesday, with the winner moving on to tackle No. 3 seed Marquette as part of the West Regional in the Round of 64. The Cougars look to build on last year’s run to the Sweet 16 after securing an at-large bid to make the 27th tournament appearance in school history. This is the ninth NCAA berth all-time for the Gaels and their first since 2006.

TV: 9:10 p.m. ET, truTV. LINE: BYU -2

ABOUT BRIGHAM YOUNG (25-8, 12-4 WCC): Last year’s Cougars entered the tournament as a No. 3 seed and saw their dream cut short at the hands of Florida after wins over Wofford and Gonzaga. This season, BYU comes in a little more under the radar, falling to Gonzaga in the WCC semifinals and are 2-2 in their last four. The Cougars rank among the nation's leaders in assists per game, averaging 17. Noah Hartsock is BYU’s leading scorer, averaging 16.7 points per game and the Cougars have four players overall averaging double figures.

ABOUT IONA (25-7, 15-3 MAAC): The Gaels have marked their territory among national powers all season long from a statistical perspective, leading the NCAA in scoring at 83.2 points per game, and assists with 19.3 on average. Iona is also near the top in field goal percentage, connecting at a 50.4 percent clip on the season. Mike Glover leads the Gaels’ offense and topped all MAAC scorers with an 18.6 points per game average – good for 33rd in the nation. Scott Machado averages a near double-double with 13.6 points and a 9.9 assists per game.

TRENDS:

- The under is 5-0 in BYU's last five.
- Iona is 12-3-1 against the spread following an ATS loss.
- BYU is 1-5-1 against the number in its last seven non-conference games.

PICK: Iona +2

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**Udog** · 03-13-2012, 09:20 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (31 - 9) at ORLANDO (27 - 15) - 3/13/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-5 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (13 - 28) at CLEVELAND (16 - 23) - 3/13/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 31-54 ATS (-28.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (20 - 21) at INDIANA (23 - 16) - 3/13/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more this season.
PORTLAND is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 119-85 ATS (+25.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 2-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (25 - 16) at MEMPHIS (24 - 16) - 3/13/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 5-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (22 - 20) at OKLAHOMA CITY (32 - 9) - 3/13/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-5 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-5 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (9 - 31) at DALLAS (23 - 20) - 3/13/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-40 ATS (-25.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 136-176 ATS (-57.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 171-213 ATS (-63.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 82-61 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 124-91 ATS (+23.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (24 - 17) at DENVER (23 - 19) - 3/13/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 55-80 ATS (-33.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
ATLANTA is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 136-174 ATS (-55.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
DENVER is 71-55 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (17 - 21) at SACRAMENTO (14 - 27) - 3/13/2012, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-5 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 5-5 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-13-2012, 09:21 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 13

Hot Teams
-- Orlando won/covered five of last six home games.
-- Cleveland won its last three games, covered four of last five.
-- Memphis won its last six home games (4-2 vs spread).
-- Thunder won 15 of last 16 home games (6-6 vs spread last 12).
-- Hawks won five of their last six games. Denver won five of seven, but is 3-10 vs spread in its last 13 home games.
-- Warriors won three of their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Miami lost three of its last five games (1-4 vs spread).
-- Raptors lost four of last five on road, but covered four of the five.
-- Trailblazers lost five of their last seven games. Indiana lost its last four games (1-3 vs spread).
-- Lakers are 4-7 in their last eleven road games.
-- Rockets lost six of their last seven games.
-- Dallas lost seven of its last nine games. Wizards lost nine of last 11 games (1-4 vs spread last five on road).
-- Kings lost five of their last seven games.

Wear-and-Tear
-- Heat: Had last two nites off. Magic: 2nd game/3 nites.
-- Raptors: 3rd game/4 nites. Cavaliers: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Blazers: Had last two nites off. Pacers: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Lakers: 3rd game/5 nites. Grizzlies: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Rockets: 3rd game/4 days. Thunder: Had last two nites off.
-- Wizards: 3rd game/4 nites. Mavericks: Had last two nites off.
-- Hawks: 3rd game/5 nites. Nuggets: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Warriors: 3rd game/4 nites. Kings: 3rd game/5 nites.

Totals
-- Last four Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Toronto games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Portland games went over the total.
-- Five of Lakers' last seven road games went over.
-- Last six Houston games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-0-1 in last eight Washington games.
-- Under is 9-3 in Atlanta's last twelve road games.
-- Six of last seven Sacramento games went over total. Five of last six Golden State road games stayed under.

Back-to-Back
-- Washington is 3-4-1 vs spread if it played night before.

**Udog** · 03-13-2012, 09:28 AM

NBA

Tuesday, March 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Toronto is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cleveland's last 18 games

7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. ORLANDO
Miami is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Orlando
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. INDIANA
Portland is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Indiana
Portland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Indiana's last 19 games at home

8:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 9 of the LA Lakers last 12 games
LA Lakers are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games when playing Memphis
Memphis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

8:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Oklahoma City is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Houston

8:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. DALLAS
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games at home
Dallas is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games

9:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

10:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Golden State's last 16 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

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**Udog** · 03-13-2012, 09:30 AM

NBA

Tuesday, March 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pick 'n' roll: Tuesday's best NBA bets
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Portland Trail Blazers at Indiana Pacers (-3.5, 190)

Now that the Indiana Pacers are facing an opponent with a sub-.500 record, maybe they can grab a victory.

The Pacers have not beaten a winning team since Feb. 3, and enter Tuesday’s contest with the visiting Portland Trail Blazers having dropped four straight - all to Eastern Conference playoff contenders.

The Blazers are only one game under .500 but have lost five of their last seven. Portland is at the midway point of a seven-game road trip, with the lone victory coming at the lowly Washington Wizards.

Indiana has sandwiched a pair of lengthy skids around a six-game winning steak, but the run came against some of the worst teams in the NBA.

“We beat up on bad teams but just can’t compete against the good teams,” forward David West said after a 107-94 loss to the Orlando Magic. “Games we’ve had against playoff-caliber teams, we’ve lost them. That’s the measure of where we are.”

One of the better defensive teams in the league at the beginning of the season, the Pacers have surrendered an average of 100.4 points in their last nine losses.

Pick: Pacers

Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers (-4, 193.5)

Everyone expected big things from Kyrie Irving, but maybe not this big, this early.

He scored 16 of his 21 points in the fourth quarter of Sunday’s 118-107 win over Houston and at this point, his teammates are starting to get used to his late-game heroics.

“This was fun to be a part of this because our guys, we like winning, man,” forward Samardo Samuels told reporters. “Our job is to come in and provide energy, so the starters can get a break. And when it comes to the fourth quarter, I’m like, ‘Here comes the Kyrie Show.’ He’s an unbelievable talent.”

Irving’s composure and talent has been a major part of Cleveland’s success so far this season. The Cavs were just a game out of eighth place heading into Monday’s action and had covered the number in four of their last five.

Toronto is 7-2 against the spread in its last nine, but will likely be without Jose Calderon (ankle).

Pick: Cavs

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Announcement

Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 3/13 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 3/13 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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