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**Udog** · 03-10-2012, 11:14 PM

Sunday’s betting tips: 'Skins in position for RGIII

Who's hot

NCAAB: St. Bonaventure is 6-1 ATS in its last seven overall.

NCAAB: Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS in its last five overall.

NBA: The Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games and 4-1 ATS in their last five against the Eastern Conference.

NBA: The over is 6-0 in the Grizzlies' last six road games and 6-1 in the last seven meetings between Memphis and Denver.

NHL: The Blackhawks are 4-1 in their last five overall and the under is 6-1 in their last seven against the Western Conference.

NHL: The Blues are 5-1 in their last six road games and 5-1 in their last six against the Blue Jackets.

Who’s not

NCAAB: Xavier is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 overall.

NBA: The Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last six overall and 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.

NBA: The Celtics are 0-8 ATS in their last eight road games.

NHL: The Maple Leafs are 2-12 in their last 14 overall and 1-8 in their last nine against the Eastern Conference.

NHL: The Panthers are 1-4 in their last five overall.

Key stat

11 – Double-doubles in his last 12 outings for Orlando Magic center Dwight Howard. His only blemish in that span was when he missed the rebounds mark by one, recording 33 points and nine rebounds on March 1 against Oklahoma City. Howard is especially on fire of late. His four games since the loss to OKC are as follows: 28 points and 14 rebounds against Milwaukee, 36 and 13 against Toronto, 15 and 17 against Charlotte, and 29 and 18 in a 99-94 win at Chicago on Thursday.

Injuries that shouldn’t be overlooked

North Carolina forward John Henson fell awkwardly on his left wrist in Friday's ACC Tournament win over Maryland and he missed Saturday's semifinal against N.C. State. Henson was a game-time decision but was ruled out after he had pain trying to grip a basketball. It could be a similar situation for Henson and the Tar Heels heading into Sunday's championship against Florida State. James Michael McAdoo started and played 27 minutes on Saturday. Desmond Hubert logged five minutes against the Wolfpack as Carolina's front line was further depleted when Tyler Zeller fouled out with more than a minute remaining in the 69-67 victory. Head coach Roy Williams said afterward that Henson would have played on Saturday if it had been a Final Four game.

Biggest games on the slate

Boston Celtics at Los Angeles Lakers (-6, 180)

ACC Championship: Florida State Seminoles vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (-5, 143.5)

SEC Championship: Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Kentucky Wildcats (-6.5)

Big Ten Championship: Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans (1.5)

Notable quotable

“I love Snaer. He’s just a damn good player. I think he’s the best competitor in our league.” – Duke head coach Mike Krzyzewski on Florida State's Michael Snaer after the Devils lost to Snaer's Seminoles 62-59 in the ACC Tournament semifinals on Saturday. Snaer had 16 points, six assists, two steals, and two blocks in the victory. He scored 17 in this season's only previous meeting between FSU and UNC, an improbable 90-58 home blowout for the 'Noles on January 14.

Tips and notes

The Redskins on Friday traded three first-round picks and a second-round pick to the Rams for this year's No. 2 overall selection. Washington is widely expected to take Baylor quarterback Robert Griffin III if Andrew Luck goes first. The 'Skins are currently +2500 to win the NFC Championship next season and +5000 to win the Super Bowl. With Washington now out of the running for Peyton Manning sweepstakes, Miami has jumped to even money to land the free-agent QB. Denver and Houston are tied for second in the Manning odds at +400.

Minnesota's worst fears were confirmed on Saturday when point guard Ricky Rubio was diagnosed with a torn ACL on Saturday afternoon. Rubio sustained the knee injury with 16 second's left in the Timberwolves 105-102 loss to the Lakers on Friday. Luke Ridnour will likely get most of the work at point guard for the remainder of the season. Rubio was averaging 10.6 points per game, 8.2 assists, 4.2 rebounds, and 2.2 steals.

Speaking of injuries in Minnesota, the Wild have a whopping six players questionable for Sunday's game against Calgary. Defenseman Jared Spurgeon (three goals, 19 assists) is dealing with the flu, center Jarod Palmer is probably not quite ready to return from a concussion, right wing Carson McMillan has a lower body injury, defenseman Justin Falk is dealing with a leg issue, and goalie Josh Harding (9-10-4, 2.79 GAA) left Tuesday's contest with an undisclosed injury. Center Mikko Koivu (10 goals, 27 assists) is already out until later this month, as is goalie Niklas Backstrom (17-17-6, 2.44 GAA) due to a groin problem.

**Udog** · 03-10-2012, 11:14 PM

NASCAR betting: Kobalt Tools 400 preview and picks

After two races in the 2012 NASCAR Sprint Cup season, the series heads to Las Vegas Motor Speedway for Sunday’s Kobalt Tools 400.

The 1.5-mile track is unlike the first two events - the superspeedway at Daytona and the one-mile Phoenix Raceway. This week’s stop is perhaps the most important so far since 1.5-mile tracks make up the bulk of the Sprint Cup schedule and running well here can set the table for a successful season.

While it’s too early to predict a clear front runner, one thing is for certain: Those who have run well at 1.5-mile tracks in the past should continue that trend Sunday.

One team which has shined at the 1.5-mile tracks lately is Roush-Fenway Racing. No driver on that team has performed better than Carl Edwards. This week, Edwards is celebrating an anniversary of sorts - it’s been one year since he last went to victory lane and it just so happens that occurred in Las Vegas.

The start to this season has been a near mirror image of last year. He won the pole at Daytona and finished eighth. A year ago, he was second in the Daytona 500. His performance in Phoenix’s spring race hasn’t been memorable in the last two years, finishing 28th in 2011 and 17th last Sunday.

Edwards ranked 12th in points entering last year’s Las Vegas race. He’s currently 10th heading into the weekend. If his history repeats itself, look for Edwards to take the checkered flag Sunday.

“Last year was a huge weekend for us and I’m excited to go back,” Edwards said. “This will be our first opportunity of the year to run on a 1.5-mile track and to try the things (crew chief) Bob Osborne and everyone at RFR have been working on over the winter. It’s a huge event for us strategically on the schedule to build our intermediate program, which is obviously very important in our quest for the championship.”

Osborne pointed out to me this week that they are bringing the same car that ran well at several 1.5-mile tracks least season. Edwards raced that particular car to a second-place finish and led the most laps at the season-ending race at Homestead last November.

Mister Five-Time, Jimmie Johnson has been showing a little muscle early in the season. The five-time champion is another driver who has historically run well at 1.5-mile tracks.

Johnson last won here in 2009 and, coming off a Top-5 finish last week, has momentum on his side - that and the knowledge that he leads all active drivers in wins here with four, including three in a row from 2005 to 2007.

Speaking of momentum, Edwards’ Roush-Fenway teammate Matt Kenseth is still basking in the glow of his Daytona 500 win. He started on the pole here last season, has two wins at Vegas and always runs well early in the season. Kenseth could spoil the show Sunday with his second win of the season and his third in Sin City.

Head-to-head

Kyle Busch vs. Denny Hamlin: Either of these Joe Gibbs Racing teammates could contend for the win here. Busch won at Vegas in 2009 and Hamlin is coming off a victory last week at Phoenix. But neither has shown anything so far that would make them clear favorites. The duo should stage a fierce duel as they try to contend, but since he’s racing in his hometown, look for Busch to outshine his teammate.

Mark Martin vs. Kasey Kahne: Martin is in a new ride - a Michael Waltrip Racing Toyota - while Kahne is in the Hendrick Motorsports Chevy that was vacated by Martin at the end of last season. Martin is running a part-time schedule and the big picture of the season points means very little. Kahne on the other hand has struggled in his new car and needs to make some noise. Hendrick has historically run well at Vegas, but look for Martin to out-duel his younger rival and finish ahead of Kahne.

Bottom line

Only six of the 14 races have been won from a Top-10 starting position and only one from the pole - Kyle Busch in 2009. Four of the 14 races have been won from a starting position outside the Top 20. The deepest in the field that a race winner has started was 25th, by Matt Kenseth in 2004.

Picks

Carl Edwards (+800)
Jimmie Johnson (+600)
Matt Kenseth (+1,200)

**Udog** · 03-10-2012, 11:15 PM

Spring ahead: April's best MLB bets

A strong start to the season isn’t as important in baseball as it is in other sports. The marathon MLB schedule gives teams plenty of time to find their form.

However, bettors can pad their bankrolls in April by betting on clubs that explode out of the gate. Of course, dominant clubs like the Yankees, Phillies, Rangers and Angels do well, no matter what time of year. But you won’t find much value in their pricey moneylines.

These four clubs not only thrive in the first month of the season but provided some serious value to get the baseball betting season off on the right foot. Find out if they’ll do the same in 2012:

Tampa Bay Rays (41-32 in April last three seasons)

While the Red Sox and Yankees are for the rich in the American League East, the Rays maintain their moneyline value for most of the season. Tampa Bay endured a 9-14 April in 2009, suffering a World Series hangover from the season before. But the last two years, the Rays have posted a 32-18 record in the first month of the schedule.

This season, Tampa Bay opens with three tough series--facing the Yankees, Tigers and Red Sox--then plays the Angels and Rangers at the end of the month, with sets against the Blue Jays and Twins in between. It’s an uphill climb in April, but the Rays will get some favorable moneylines, making them very live dogs to begin the year.

Miami Marlins (41-29 in April last three seasons)

The newly titled Miami Marlins have a history of strong starts and should put together another solid April in 2012. All the hype and big-name free-agent signings may sap some of their moneyline value, but the new $515-million Marlins Park will be jumping in April, something the Marlins never experienced in Sun Life Stadium.

Miami plays 11 of its 23 April games at home, opening the new digs the year with a solo showdown against the Cardinals. The Marlins then hit the road against the Reds and Phillies before heading home to host the Astros and Cubs. They finish April with road series versus the Nationals and Mets in addition to a homestand against the Diamondbacks. Miami is set up for another successful spring, but mind those inflated moneylines.

Toronto Blue Jays (40-35 in April last three seasons)

Toronto is another AL East club that doesn’t waste any time winning in April. The Blue Jays had a brilliant April in 2009, but have cooled a bit the past two seasons, going a combined 25-26. They started with 16 of their first 27 games on the road last season, visiting heavyweights like the Angels, Red Sox, Rangers and Yankees, going 7-9 in those contests but receiving great value on the moneyline.

Toronto has the potential for a huge April in 2012. The opening month of the schedule pits it against the likes of the Indians, Orioles (two series), Royals and Mariners. The Blue Jays have a home series with the Red Sox and Rays and play one game of a three-game home set with the Rangers on April 30. With Canada’s team always flying under the radar, MLB moneylines should be ripe for the picking this spring.

San Francisco Giants (36-31 in April last three seasons)

The Giants have been a safe bet in April the last three seasons, posting a profitable 13-9 record in 2010 which set the tone for their championship season. San Francisco has benefited from the weak National League West in the past, but the rise of the Diamondbacks and a promising Rockies squad could make for tougher sledding in April.

The Giants open the schedule against those two teams on the road before hosting the Pirates and Phillies. San Francisco then hits the bricks for road sets against the Mets and Reds before closing the month at home against the Padres. San Fran has some key players on the mend and is also working in some new faces. The Giants could be a go-against team as they fine-tune and tinker in April.

**Udog** · 03-10-2012, 11:16 PM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 11

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FLORIDA ST (22 - 9) vs. N CAROLINA (28 - 4) - 3/11/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
N CAROLINA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 3-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-2 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VANDERBILT (22 - 10) vs. KENTUCKY (31 - 1) - 3/11/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 62-40 ATS (+18.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
VANDERBILT is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 3-3 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 5-1 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST BONAVENTURE (18 - 11) vs. XAVIER (20 - 11) - 3/11/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
XAVIER is 89-61 ATS (+21.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
XAVIER is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all games this season.
XAVIER is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
XAVIER is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
XAVIER is 3-0 against the spread versus ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
XAVIER is 3-0 straight up against ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OHIO ST (26 - 6) vs. MICHIGAN ST (25 - 7) - 3/11/2012, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OHIO ST is 185-145 ATS (+25.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OHIO ST is 118-87 ATS (+22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 2-2 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 3-1 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-10-2012, 11:16 PM

NCAAB

Sunday, March 11

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SEC tournament: Championship preview and pick
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Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Kentucky Wildcats (-6.5, 139)

THE STORY: Twice this season, the Commodores have pushed the top-ranked Wildcats in the final minutes before losing. Vanderbilt hopes the third time is the charm, when the Commodores make their first SEC championship game appearance in 61 years. Vanderbilt pulled away from Mississippi in the semifinals, setting up a third meeting with Kentucky. The Wildcats edged Vanderbilt by six points in Nashville and nine points in Lexington last month. Kentucky rides a 24-game winning streak into the title game after a semifinal victory over Florida, and is one victory away from its 28th SEC tournament title. The Wildcats are all but assured of being a No. 1 seed in the NCAA tournament regardless of Sunday’s outcome.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT VANDERBILT (23-10): John Jenkins, the SEC’s leading scorer this season (19.9), hit five 3-pointers against Mississippi and scored 23 points despite missing his first five shots. A big area of concern for the third-seeded Commodores is Jeffery Taylor’s scoring slump. The SEC’s second-leading scorer (16.8) has just eight points in two tournament games. Vanderbilt has won six of its past eight games. Lance Goulbourne pulled down 12 rebounds in the semifinals,but Goulbourne and Festus Ezeli will face a big challenge against the Wildcats’ athletic frontcourt.

ABOUT KENTUCKY (32-1): Some have questioned how Kentucky would react in close games. The Wildcats won by an average of nearly 19 points in the regular season, and survived close games with LSU and Florida in their first two postseason contests. Freshman Anthony Davis scored 15 points with 12 rebounds in Saturday’s narrow 74-71 victory over No. 19 Florida. Just as critical was the pair of free throws from Doron Lamb and Marquis Teague in the final 15 seconds to secure the victory.

TRENDS:

* Commodores are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Under is 5-2 in Commodores' last seven overall.
* Under is 21-8-1 in Wildcats' last 30 neutral site games.

TIP-INS:

1. Vanderbilt’s only SEC tournament title came in 1951, with a 61-57 victory over Kentucky in Louisville.

2. The Wildcats are 119-22 all-time in SEC tournament games, and have won 46 of their past 54 SEC tournament contests.

3. Davis averaged 21.5 points and 9.5 rebounds against the Commodores this season. Jenkins averaged 16.5 points against the Wildcats.

Pick: Vanderbilt +6.5

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NCAAB

Sunday, March 11

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Big Ten tournament: Championship preview and pick
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Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans (+1.5, 128.5)

THE STORY: Last week, Ohio State visited Breslin Center and came away with a 72-70 victory over Michigan State, denying the Spartans their chance at claiming an outright Big Ten regular season championship. This time, on a neutral floor, the third-seeded Buckeyes will try to prevent them from winning the conference tournament title. Top-seeded Michigan State hasn’t won the Big Ten tournament since 2000, the same year it won the national championship. Ohio State, meanwhile, has won back-to-back conference crowns and could become the first team to win three straight in the event’s 15-year history.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS.

ABOUT OHIO STATE (27-6): Jared Sullinger had a game-high 24 points in the Buckeyes’ 77-55 semifinal victory over No. 2 seed Michigan. Ohio State took a 34-21 lead at the half and clamped down defensively in the second half, holding the Wolverines to just 30 percent shooting and forcing them into 18 turnovers. The Buckeyes, who split the season series with Michigan State, have won four straight games and have won their two conference tournament games by a combined 39 points. Ohio State is 4-3 all-time in Big Ten title games.

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (26-7): After suffering a two-game losing streak to close out the regular season, Michigan State has responded with two easy wins in the conference tournament, defeating Iowa by 17 and Wisconsin by 13. The Spartans smothered the Badgers defensively in the semifinals, holding them to just 32 points over the game’s final 30 minutes. In the most recent meeting against the Buckeyes, Michigan State blew a 15-point first-half lead. The Spartans haven’t met Ohio State in the Big Ten tournament since 2009, an 82-70 loss in the semifinals.

TRENDS:

* Underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games.
* Spartans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

TIP-INS

1. This will mark Ohio State’s fifth Big Ten title game appearance in the last six years.

2. Ohio State is 4-1 against the Spartans in the last five meetings.

3. Draymond Green has had a double double in three straight games, including a 14-point, 16-rebound effort against Wisconsin.

Pick: Michigan State +1.5

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**Udog** · 03-10-2012, 11:17 PM

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 11

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PHILADELPHIA (24 - 17) at NEW YORK (18 - 22) - 3/11/2012, 12:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 72-55 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 7-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (21 - 18) at LA LAKERS (24 - 16) - 3/11/2012, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 56-70 ATS (-21.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 180 and 184.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 10-31 ATS (-24.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 105-129 ATS (-36.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-5 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 7-5 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (23 - 14) at ORLANDO (26 - 15) - 3/11/2012, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 8-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (16 - 24) at TORONTO (13 - 26) - 3/11/2012, 6:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 7-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 7-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (21 - 19) at CLEVELAND (15 - 23) - 3/11/2012, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 239-186 ATS (+34.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (23 - 15) at DENVER (23 - 18) - 3/11/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 71-54 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 79-52 ATS (+21.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 42-22 ATS (+17.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (23 - 17) at SACRAMENTO (14 - 26) - 3/11/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 49-82 ATS (-41.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
ATLANTA is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (15 - 21) at LA CLIPPERS (23 - 15) - 3/11/2012, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 58-87 ATS (-37.7 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 173-234 ATS (-84.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-5 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-10-2012, 11:17 PM

NBA

Sunday, March 11

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What bettors need to know: Celtics at Lakers
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Boston Celtics at Los Angeles Lakers (-6, 180)

THE STORY: They may not resemble your father's Los Angeles Lakers and Boston Celtics – nor even the caliber of the squads that met in the NBA Finals following the 2008 and 2010 seasons – but the longtime rivals still manage to generate a healthy buzz and put on a good show. That was evident in the Lakers' one-point overtime win at Boston last month that snapped a five-game winning streak by the Celtics. Boston will look to avenge that loss Sunday as they kick off an eight-game road trip.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT THE CELTICS (21-18, 17-22 ATS): Boston enters its marathon road trip well rested – although not entirely by design. After absorbing a 32-point beating by Philadelphia, the Celtics built a 35-point halftime lead vs. Portland on Friday, allowing their aging core to play limited minutes. Ray Allen and Paul Pierce scored 22 points apiece to help Boston improve to 6-1 since the All-Star break. Allen is averaging his lowest point total (14.7) since his rookie season, but he has a career mark of 20.4 points against the Lakers.

ABOUT THE LAKERS (24-16, 19-21 ATS): Amid (false) reports that forward Pau Gasol had been traded, Los Angeles avoided a winless three-game road trip by squeezing out a 105-102 win at Minnesota on Friday. The victory came on the heels of coach Mike Brown apologizing to superstar Kobe Bryant and others for publicly questioning their shot selection in a stunning loss at Washington on Wednesday. Center Andrew Bynum admitted to “loafing” against the Wizards, but he played with a purpose Friday by scoring 26 points and snatching 10 boards.

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings.
* Celtics are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles.
* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. Bryant scored 34 points against Minnesota to become the fifth player in league history to surpass 29,000 points. The others are Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Wilt Chamberlain, Michael Jordan and Karl Malone.

2. Pierce became the third player in franchise history to play in 1,000 career games, joining John Havlicek (1,270) and Robert Parish (1,106). Kevin Garnett moved past Parish for the second-most career defensive rebounds in NBA history with 10,122.

3. The Lakers are one-tenth of a percentage point from being the worst 3-point shooting team in the league, while the Celtics rank last in offensive rebounds per game (8.4).

PREDICTION: Lakers 96, Celtics 89

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NBA

Sunday, March 11

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Pick 'n' roll: Sunday's best NBA bets
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Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks (-2.5, 193)

The New York Knicks need to turn things around – and quickly – in the wake of a disastrous four-game road trip.

Here's all one needs to know about New York's defense: Despite hitting their first 11 shots and shooting nearly 60 percent in the first half, the Knicks trailed by 15 points in the fourth quarter before a dramatic rally fell short in a 118-114 loss at Milwaukee on Friday.

New York hopes to get center Tyson Chandler (hamstring) back in the lineup after surrendering 119 and 118 points in the last two.

After failing to reach 100 points for 19 games, the Sixers have done it in back-to-back contests and three times in the last five.

Pick: Over

Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets (-6, 202)

Perhaps the 2011 run by Memphis wasn't a fluke after all. The Grizzlies, who upset San Antonio in the first round last year then took Oklahoma State to seven games, are catching fire.

They have won five in a row overall (4-1 ATS) as of Saturday evening and nine of their last 10 (6-4 ATS). They are 3-1 (2-2 ATS) in their last four road games. And they are still doing it without Zach Randolph, who is slated to return later this month.

Rudy Gay has scored in double-figures in 18 consecutive games for Memphis and he has double-doubles in two of his last three. Marc Gasol has reached double-figures in scoring in 14 straight contests and he has double-doubles in five of his last eight.

Denver has been solid of late as well, winning five of its last six games (4-2 ATS). However, the Nuggets have been unspectacular at home of late. Prior to a 110-97 win over Golden State on Friday, they edged Sacramento 119-116 in overtime and lost to Cleveland 100-99.

Pick: Grizzlies

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**Udog** · 03-10-2012, 11:18 PM

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 11

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CAROLINA (25-27-0-15, 65 pts.) at FLORIDA (31-23-0-13, 75 pts.) - 3/11/2012, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 25-42 ATS (+75.2 Units) in all games this season.
CAROLINA is 6-20 ATS (+35.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
CAROLINA is 11-21 ATS (+33.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
FLORIDA is 132-152 ATS (+303.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
FLORIDA is 25-50 ATS (-30.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 4-17 ATS (+24.2 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 257-295 ATS (+595.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
FLORIDA is 126-162 ATS (-68.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 8-7 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 8-7-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

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TORONTO (30-30-0-7, 67 pts.) at WASHINGTON (33-28-0-6, 72 pts.) - 3/11/2012, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 28-7 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 22-19 ATS (+48.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-4 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.9 Units)

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CALGARY (31-25-0-12, 74 pts.) at MINNESOTA (29-29-0-10, 68 pts.) - 3/11/2012, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 0-8 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
MINNESOTA is 40-29 ATS (+72.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 13-4 ATS (+8.9 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CALGARY is 19-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 2-8 ATS (-6.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 10-6 (+5.4 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 10-6-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.3 Units)

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ST LOUIS (43-18-0-7, 93 pts.) at COLUMBUS (22-38-0-7, 51 pts.) - 3/11/2012, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 4-0 ATS (+4.0 Units) in March games this season.
ST LOUIS is 43-25 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 22-8 ATS (+9.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 20-4 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ST LOUIS is 34-14 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 55-93 ATS (-77.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 2-13 ATS (+17.8 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 11-31 ATS (+55.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 9-29 ATS (+56.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 9-6 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 9-6-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.3 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (31-25-0-12, 74 pts.) at CHICAGO (37-25-0-7, 81 pts.) - 3/11/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 30-37 ATS (-16.6 Units) in all games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 9-18 ATS (-9.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
LOS ANGELES is 12-17 ATS (-10.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
CHICAGO is 13-18 ATS (-18.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
CHICAGO is 10-15 ATS (-12.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
CHICAGO is 245-274 ATS (-51.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 114-128 ATS (-58.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 8-3 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 8-3-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
10 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+8.9 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (38-21-0-7, 83 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (38-24-0-5, 81 pts.) - 3/11/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 38-28 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 45-30 ATS (+1.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-10 ATS (+6.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-13 ATS (+35.1 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-16 ATS (+41.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 14-7 (+5.4 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 14-7-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
11 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.9 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (28-30-0-9, 65 pts.) at NY RANGERS (42-18-0-7, 91 pts.) - 3/11/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 42-24 ATS (+78.1 Units) in all games this season.
NY RANGERS are 14-3 ATS (+9.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
NY RANGERS are 20-7 ATS (+31.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NY RANGERS are 159-168 ATS (-96.4 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 94-98 ATS (-58.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 43-67 ATS (-26.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 76-105 ATS (-80.3 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 10-7-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.0 Units)

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BOSTON (40-23-0-3, 83 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (41-21-0-5, 87 pts.) - 3/11/2012, 12:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 6-4 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 6-4-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.4 Units)

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**Udog** · 03-10-2012, 11:18 PM

NHL

Sunday, March 11

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Ice picks: Sunday's best NHL bets
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Boston Bruins at Pittsburgh Penguins

So much for Sidney Crosby's return to the ice.

Crosby was never listed as anything better than questionable for Sunday's game against the Bruins, but he ruled himself out after Saturday's practice. Crosby's comeback from concussion and neck issues lasted only eight games and he has not played since December 5.

That will temper some of the excitement for Sunday's showdown between Pittsburgh and Boston, but it may not matter for the Penguins. They have won eight games in a row and are within four points of the Rangers for the top spot in the Atlantic Division and the Eastern Conference.

Pittsburgh has been getting it done with defense of late. The team has given up a mere 11 goals during its eight-game surge. The Pens have posted one shutout and have held opponents to one goal four times during this span.

Marc-Andre Fleury should be in goal after getting a rest in Wednesday's 3-2 win over Toronto. Fleury made 28 saves in a 2-1 shootout win over Florida on Friday. He has allowed only one goal in each of his last three outings.

Pick: Penguins

Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils (-120, 5.5)

Ilya Brzygalov is heating up for the Flyers. As of Saturday afternoon (prior to a night game against Toronto), the netminder has allowed only two total goals in his last three games. He shut out the Capitals last Sunday, beat Detroit 3-2 on Tuesday, and blanked Florida on Thursday.

"It's good to hear that the fans are behind him and behind our team," said teammate Claude Giroux of the crowd's chants for Brzygalov during Thursday's shutout. "I can't even imagine how hard it was for him at one point. He had a tough stretch. He was pretty much getting booed at home ice.

"Now, he's our best player. We need him to be our best player."

Overall, the Flyers have won four in a row. They are still third place in the Atlantic Division but they are also tied for third in the entire Eastern Conference.

The Devils have also been stingy on the defensive end of the ice and they have won three of their last four heading into a Saturday night game against the Islanders. New Jersey has not allowed more than one goal in any of its last four (three total during the stretch).

Pick: Under

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**Udog** · 03-10-2012, 11:19 PM

NOTE:
For the initial posting of trends and indexes, we have provided information available up to the time of posting.
Additional updates for today’s games will be posted ASAP.

**Udog** · 03-11-2012, 09:28 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

-- 2008 Davidson team is the only Southern Conference team to win an NCAA tournament game the last nine years, but SoCon teams are 10-2 against the spread during that time. Something to think about.......

-- Same thing for the NEC, which is winless in NCAA play for a long time, but they've covered six of their seven tournament games.

-- Shea Jones, the son of ESPN announcer Mark Jones, will play hoop at Presbyterian College next season. The elder Jones played college ball at York College in Canada.

-- ESPN needs more MAC games on TV; they're entertaining!!!!

-- Ricky Rubio tore his ACL Friday night, is out for the year, bad news for basketball fans everywhere. Kid is fun to watch.

-- If I ran the Arizona Cardinals, Larry Fitzgerald would've been at the airport to meet Peyton Manning when he flew in from Denver. Maybe he was; to me, Fitzgerald is Arizona's best chance to land #18.

*******************

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Random stuff on Selection Sunday..........

13) I've been a Ram fan long enough that the great George Allen coached the team when I started, way back in 1966. Allen always traded his draft picks; well, the guy who just gave the Rams three picks to move down to the #6 slot in next month's dratt was Bruce Allen, George's son.

12) In other good news for the teams I root for, Yeonis Cespedes drilled a HR in his first spring training game; its only spring training, but its also better than making outs in spring training games. Looks like we may have found a #3 hitter for that new ballpark in San Jose (wishful thinking).

11) We need more MAC games on TV; great fun. Akron has now played in six consecutive MAC title games; they lost in OT in 2010, won in OT LY, then lost by a point last night. Highly competitive league. Lot of good athletes, more entertaining than watching 50-44 games.

10) "We had to overcome a lot of foul trouble, we had to fight through a lot of different things in the game, but our kids never quit. I just think of how proud I am of our guys. We've come a long way and we have gotten a lot better." NC State coach Mark Gottfried's tactful way of saying that they got hosed by refs and deserve to get into the NCAA tournament.

9) Michigan State's win over Wisconsin was their first win in a semi-final game of the Big Dozen tournament in the last decade (1-6).

8) Last time Duke didn't play in ACC final was 2008, when Blue Devils beat Belmont by a point as a 20-point first round favorite, then lost in the second round to West Virginia. Just a little historical perspective.

7) So Pat Knight's Lamar team wins the Southland tournament, then he's on TV saying "I knew they'd respond" to his throwing his players under the bus a few weeks ago. Coaches have to have their players' backs, thats their freakin' job. Knight has clearly shown that he doesn't, but just like his dad, winning makes everything better. Until you don't win, that is.

6) Dick Vitale was touting Duke assistant Chris Collins for the coaching job at Illinois; since when is a top 25 school an entry-level coaching job? Coach K's coaching tree isn't exactly filled with success stories. Let young Collins go win some games/make some mistakes at a mid-major before he is ready for the bigtime. Just like Steve Alford did.

5) Speaking of Alford, his New Mexico Lobos won the Mountain West tournament for first time in seven years, beating San Diego State. They're a good team that shouldn't be easily dismissed from your brackets.

5) I don't know Jay Bilas, don't know anyone who knows him, just hear him a lot on TV, but he comes across as a condescending, pompous guy who thinks he knows everything. He's much more likeable when he's on with McDonough/Raftery, but I won't miss not hearing him again until next basketball season.

4) Missouri has seven scholarship players; three of them got banged up in the Big X tournament this weekend; not serious injuries, but enough that they were limping around some. Caution is advised with advancing a very thin Mizzou squad to the Final Four, especially if they draw a Thursday first round game. They could use another day to rest up.

3) Long Beach State avenged a pair of losses to UCSB in the last couple Big West tournament finals, beating the Gauchos 77-64. 49ers have some seniors who have played lot of tough games over last three years. 49ers are in tournament for first time since 2007.

2) Bubble teams will be rooting like hell against St Bonaventure Sunday, as the Bonnies face Xavier in the A-14 final. Musketeers might already be in; the Bonnies definitely are not, so they could steal a bid.

1) Last game of night was WAC final from Vegas, where New Mexico St outclassed Louisiana Tech 80-57, getting back to NCAAs for second time in last three years- they scared the hell out of Michigan State in 2010.

**Udog** · 03-11-2012, 09:39 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Ohio State vs. Michigan State
The Spartans look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games as an underdog. Michigan State is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's today's picks.

SUNDAY, MARCH 11

Game 887-888: Florida State vs. North Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 70.449; North Carolina 73.941
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 3 1/2; 146
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 6 1/2; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (+6 1/2); Over

Game 889-890: Vanderbilt vs. Kentucky (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 71.443; Kentucky 80.677
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 9; 133
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 7; 138
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-7); Under

Game 891-892: St. Bonaventure vs. Xavier (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 62.202; Xavier 66.412
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 4; 133
Vegas Line: Xavier by 3 1/2; 137
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-3 1/2); Under

Game 893-894: Ohio State vs. Michigan State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 75.719; Michigan State 75.556
Dunkel Line: Even; 136
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 1 1/2; 130
Dunkel Pick Michigan State (+1 1/2); Over

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 11

ACC tournament (Atlanta)
Florida State is trying to become first team other than Carolina/Duke to win ACC tournament since Maryland in 2004; Seminoles pounded on North Carolina 90-57 Jan 14, as Dulkys made 8-10 behind arc and FSU had 14 offensive rebounds. Tar Heels' Henson has an injured left hand, doubtful he plays here, even if he is able to go. North Carolina got only four points from its bench yesterday, playing subs a total of 41 minutes. FSU is 6-2 against the spread as an ACC underdog.

Atlantic 14 tournament (Atlantic City)
Coming into this week, St Bonaventure had won one A-14 tourney game since '04; they've won two this week and six of last seven games overall. Bonnies lost 77-64 at Xavier Jan 14, in game Musketeers shot 50% for night, 8-16 from arc. St Bonaventure played only one guy more than 32 minutes yesterday, as star Nicholson was in foul trouble, which helps some here. Xavier hasn't won this event since 2006; TV people say they are probably in NCAAs, but win here and they can relax.

SEC tournament (New Orleans)
Kentucky beat Vanderbilt twice this season, 69-63 in Nashville Feb 11, then 83-74 in Rupp Arena two weeks later; Commodores have balance on offense and experienced players who should be able to beat Wildcats, if anyone can this year. Kentucky won this tournament last two years, so they've got 8-game tourney win streak on line. Vandy hasn't been to final of SEC tourney since before I was born (lost in semis last couple years), so this is bigger deal for them than it would be for most teams.

Big Dozen tournament (Indianapolis)
Michigan State won first meeting with Ohio State 58-48 in Columbus on Feb 11, then Buckeyes ruined Spartans' Senior Day 72-70 last Sunday, after Michigan State had run out to early 24-9 lead. Spartans fell behind early 17-4 yesterday, but pulled away from anemic Wisconsin to win its first semifinal in last decade (1-6). Higher-seeded team won finals of this event last five years, with Ohio State winning three of those five years. Michigan State played three starters 35+ minutes yesterday.

NCAAB

Sunday, March 11

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
FLORIDA STATE vs. NORTH CAROLINA
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina's last 6 games when playing Florida State
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
VANDERBILT vs. KENTUCKY
No trends available
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kentucky is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

1:00 PM
ST. BONAVENTURE vs. XAVIER
No trends available
Xavier is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Bonaventure
Xavier is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games

3:30 PM
OHIO STATE vs. MICHIGAN STATE
No trends available
Michigan State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ohio State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State's last 6 games when playing Ohio State

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**Udog** · 03-11-2012, 09:41 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Boston at LA Lakers
The Lakers look to take advantage of a Boston team that is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 road games. LA is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

SUNDAY, MARCH 11

Game 871-872: Philadelphia at New York (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 122.518; New York 119.209
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+3); Over

Game 873-874: Boston at LA Lakers (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 117.645; LA Lakers 125.163
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7 1/2; 176
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5 1/2; 179
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-5 1/2); Under

Game 875-876: Indiana at Orlando (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 119.720; Orlando 123.767
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 4; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 5 1/2; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+5 1/2); Over

Game 877-878: Milwaukee at Toronto (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 114.238; Toronto 121.425
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 7; 188
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 879-880: Houston at Cleveland (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 113.429; Cleveland 118.888
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 5 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-2); Under

Game 881-882: Memphis at Denver (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 121.711; Denver 122.749
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 1; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 6; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+6); Over

Game 883-884: Atlanta at Sacramento (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 118.114; Sacramento 117.622
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 1; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+1); Over

Game 885-886: Golden State at LA Clippers (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 115.296; LA Clippers 125.600
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-7); Under

**Udog** · 03-11-2012, 09:42 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 11

Hot Teams
-- Celtics won six of last seven games, but they've lost six of last seven road games (0-7 vs spread). Lakers won their last eight home games (7-1 vs spread).
-- Orlando won/covered four of its last five home games.
-- Toronto is 8-1-1 vs spread in its last ten home games.
-- Denver won five of six games since All-Star break. Grizzlies won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Sacramento won six of its last eight home games. Hawks won four of their last five games.
-- Warriors are 9-6 vs spread in last 15 games as road underdogs.

Cold Teams
-- Knicks lost four of last five games, but all four losses were on road; they're 9-2 vs spread in last eleven home games. 76ers lost five of their last six road games.
-- Pacers lost their last three games by 20-5-2 points.
-- Bucks lost last four road games, by 19-6-5-16 points.
-- Cleveland lost its last four home games (1-3 vs spread). Rockets lost five of their last six games.
-- Clippers lost three of their last five home games.

Wear-and-Tear
-- 76ers: 3rd game/5 days. Knicks: 4th game/6 days.
-- Celtics: 4th game/6 days. Lakers: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Pacers: 2nd in row after three off. Magic: Had last two nites off.
-- Bucks: 3rd game/5 nites. Raptors: 2nd in row after two off.
-- Rockets: 4th game/6 nites. Cavaliers: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Grizzlies: 2nd game in row after two nites off. Nuggets: 3rd game in five nites.
-- Hawks: 4th game/6 nites. Kings: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Warriors: 2nd nite in row after two off. Clippers: 3rd game/5 nites.

Totals
-- Four of last five Philly road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Boston road games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Orlando home games went over total.
-- Last eight Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Last five Houston games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Memphis road games went over total.
-- Seven of last nine Sacramento games went over total.
-- Warriors' last three games all went over the total.

Back-to-Back
-- Pacers are 5-7 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Toronto is 7-4 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Rockets are 2-5 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Grizzlies are 7-3 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Golden State is 6-2 vs spread if it played night before.

Announcement

Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 3/11 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 3/11 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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