Announcement

**Udog** · 03-02-2012, 07:38 AM

Friday’s betting tips: Celtics set to swap Rondo?

Who’s hot

NBA: San Antonio is 11-3-1 against the spread in its last 15 overall.

NBA: The under is 19-3 in the last 22 meetings between Memphis and Toronto.

NHL: The under is 37-13-10 in the New York Rangers’ last 60 road games.

NHL: Ottawa has won six of its last seven.

NCAAB: Akron is 28-12 against the number in its last 40 overall.

NCAAB: Notre Dame is 8-3 against the spread in its last 11.

Who’s not

NBA: Milwaukee is 2-8 against the spread in its last 10 overall.

NBA: The Boston Celtics are 3-13 against the spread in their last 16, dropping them to 13-21 against the spread this season.

NHL: Chicago is 5-12 in its last 17.

NHL: Calgary is 2-20-3 in its last 25 games in Anaheim.

NCAAB: Harvard is 3-6 against the spread in its last nine.

NCAAB: Butler is 1-7-1 against the number in its last nine games against Wisconsin-Milwaukee.

Key stat

75.1 – Notre Dame is averaging 75.1 points per game at home this season, up from its 67.1-point overall average on the year. The Irish definitely could use the comforts at home right now. They have dropped consecutive games, averaging only 49.5 points per game in road losses at St. John’s and Georgetown. Notre Dame, 6-2-2 against the spread at home this season, hosts Providence as an 11-point favorite Friday.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Dirk Nowitzki, Dallas Mavericks - Nowitzki left Wednesday's game at Memphis due to lower-back tightness and is considered questionable for Friday’s game against the Hornets. Nowitzki played only 9 1/2 minutes and scored one point Wednesday, attempting only one shot, before leaving the game early in the second quarter. The reigning NBA Finals MVP entered the game averaging 19.7 points and 6.9 rebounds per game. He had been on a tear in his previous five games, averaging 27.4 points and 11.0 rebounds.

Game of the day

Los Angeles Clippers at Phoenix Suns (2, 196)

Notable quotable

"You try not to touch the other guys too much. Not much shaking hands or patting on the back. They have those sheets around here to wash your hands. Use soap and hope for the best." – Newly-acquired Tampa Bay Lightning defenseman Mike Commodore on battling the flu bug that has hit at least 11 members of the organization. Coach Guy Boucher was so sick in Tampa’s game against Montreal on Tuesday that he brought a bucket with him behind the bench. Tampa Bay hosts the New York Rangers Friday.

Notes and tips

According to ESPN The Magazine’s Chris Broussard, the Boston Celtics are actively trying to trade point guard Rajon Rondo. Broussard reports that the Celtics, not considered to be a playoff contender at this point in the season, have grown tired of Rondo’s distractions both on and off the court. The 26-year-old was suspended two games earlier this month for throwing a ball at an official and routinely squabbles with head coach Doc Rivers. Rondo picked up his third triple-double of the season Wednesday and is averaging a career-high 14.1 points per game. The Celtics host the Nets Friday.

Manny Ramirez will serve as the Oakland Athletics’ designated hitter when the club opens Cactus League play Friday against Seattle. Ramirez has to sit out 50 regular season games after being booked for his second positive PED test, but is eligible in exhibition play.

Davis Love III used a hole-in-one to vault to the top of the leaderboard Thursday after the first round of the Honda Classic at Palm Beach Gardens, Fla. Love, now set at +2000 to win the tournament, shot a 6-under-par 64 that gave him a two-shot lead over an eight-player contingent that included world No. 2 Rory McIlroy (+350). Tiger Woods (+2200) was unable to build on a birdie at the first hole and carded four bogeys in his round of 71 that left him seven shots off the lead.

Miami Heat forward Chris Bosh will miss at least two games following the death of his grandmother. He sat out Thursday's win over Portland and won't play in Friday's matchup with Utah. Bosh could return for Sunday's game against the Los Angeles Lakers. Udonis Haslem is expected to start in place of Bosh, who is averaging 18.4 points and 8.3 rebounds this season.

**Udog** · 03-02-2012, 07:41 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

-- AJ Burnett will have surgery today to fix a broken orbital bone by his eye after he got hurt practicing bunting. More bad news for the Bucs.

-- Back in 1973, George Steinbrenner bought the Bronx Bombers for $8.7M; this year, the Bombers have 10 players earning $10M+.

-- Of the 10 teams in the Missouri Valley Conference, six of them were either 9-9 or 8-10 in conference play this season.

-- Thunder came back from down 11 after three quarters to nip Orlando, 105-102. Oklahoma City is now 29-7.

-- Teams are 7-1 vs spread the night after playing the Thunder.

-- Nevada held off New Mexico State 65-61, clinched #1 seed in WAC tournament, which is next week in Las Vegas, at Orleans Arena.

***************

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Things I'm looking for this month.........

13) March is mostly about college hoops; who will make the field of 68? Who will whine the most about getting left out? My advice to those who don’t make it? Win more games next year. Its as soimple as that.

12) Middle Tennessee? Belmont? VCU? Long Beach State? Creighton? Murray State? Iona? Who is this year’s VCU/Butler? Will there be a Cinderella story this March?

11) At long last, the great national mystery will unravel and we’ll find out where Peyton Manning is playing next year. Draft isn’t until late April, but NFL free agency starts March 13.

10) Will Knicks sink or swim in the NBA’s second half? Will Jeremy Lin continue to thrive, or will the Knicks have chemistry issues? I’m guessing they’ll be just fine.

9) Pac-12 stinks in basketball this year; if Cal wins conference tourney, do they get any other bids? Arizona? Washington? Once the tournament starts, will the conference win any games? Cal has to avoid a team with extreme quickness.

8) What about Harvard? If they get in the field of 68, will they win a game? They’ve beaten Florida State/LMU, so they’re capable, but they’ve also lost to Penn/Princeton, so not sure they’ve improved since the holidays.

7) the coaching carousel has already slowly started to spin; it’ll pick up steam once Championship Week is over, and then after the first weekend of the NCAAs. Always interesting to see who goes for what jobs.

6) Which unknown minor leaguer will take spring training by storm and become the rage of fantasy baseball leagues?

I remember Brandon McCarthy doing this for the White Sox a few years ago; I went to great lengths to get him on my squad, then he fizzled out. Now 5-6 years later, he’s the A’s Opening Day starter. Go figure.

5) Will the A’s Opening Day 3B be a guy named Wes Timmons, who spent the winter as a substitute teacher? Don’t laugh, it very well could happen.

4) If you have the NBA Full Court package, watch the Timberwolves; very fun team to watch, with lot of good young players. Rick Adelman could very well be the most underrated head coach in any team sport. As I write this, Minnesota is 18-17, 8-7 on the road, and they haven’t even been on the cover of Sports Illustrated yet.

3) Will Eldrick Woods win a golf tournament before the Masters? Been over two years now since his last full-field win. Seems like he's lost that arrogance, that assurance that he was always going to win.

2) Is Kentucky battle-tested enough to survive six tournament games in March. They’re obviously talented enough, but they haven’t had to play a lot of nailbiters. Surviving stressful situations makes a team stronger. Wildcats haven’t had a lot of stress this season, because they’re extremely talented.

1) March is my favorite month of the year; ton of important basketball games, the weather starts getting warmer, spring just around the corner. Should be a fun month.

**Udog** · 03-02-2012, 07:44 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 1

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AKRON (20 - 10) at KENT ST (20 - 9) - 3/2/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 118-88 ATS (+21.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
KENT ST is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
AKRON is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 4-2 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 3-3 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OHIO U (23 - 7) at MIAMI OHIO (9 - 19) - 3/2/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
MIAMI OHIO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
OHIO U is 155-119 ATS (+24.1 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
OHIO U is 72-48 ATS (+19.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 5-1 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO is 3-3 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HARVARD (24 - 4) at COLUMBIA (14 - 14) - 3/2/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HARVARD is 79-107 ATS (-38.7 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
COLUMBIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBIA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HARVARD is 3-2 against the spread versus COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
HARVARD is 5-0 straight up against COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DARTMOUTH (5 - 23) at CORNELL (11 - 15) - 3/2/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DARTMOUTH is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
CORNELL is 56-30 ATS (+23.0 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
DARTMOUTH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CORNELL is 3-2 against the spread versus DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
CORNELL is 4-1 straight up against DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROWN (8 - 21) at PENNSYLVANIA (17 - 11) - 3/2/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROWN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
PENNSYLVANIA is 67-96 ATS (-38.6 Units) in all home games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 67-96 ATS (-38.6 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENNSYLVANIA is 3-2 against the spread versus BROWN over the last 3 seasons
PENNSYLVANIA is 4-1 straight up against BROWN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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YALE (19 - 7) at PRINCETON (16 - 11) - 3/2/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PRINCETON is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
PRINCETON is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
PRINCETON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
PRINCETON is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PRINCETON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
YALE is 91-65 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games since 1997.
YALE is 91-65 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
YALE is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1997.
YALE is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PRINCETON is 3-2 against the spread versus YALE over the last 3 seasons
PRINCETON is 4-1 straight up against YALE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PROVIDENCE (15 - 15) at NOTRE DAME (20 - 10) - 3/2/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 1-1 against the spread versus PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 2-0 straight up against PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UNC-WILMINGTON (9 - 20) vs. JAMES MADISON (12 - 19) - 3/2/2012, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
UNC-WILMINGTON is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
JAMES MADISON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
JAMES MADISON is 2-1 against the spread versus UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
JAMES MADISON is 2-1 straight up against UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TOWSON ST (1 - 30) vs. DELAWARE (17 - 12) - 3/2/2012, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DELAWARE is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
DELAWARE is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
DELAWARE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
DELAWARE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TOWSON ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in March games since 1997.
TOWSON ST is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DELAWARE is 3-3 against the spread versus TOWSON ST over the last 3 seasons
DELAWARE is 4-2 straight up against TOWSON ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WM & MARY (6 - 25) vs. NORTHEASTERN (13 - 16) - 3/2/2012, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WM & MARY is 106-141 ATS (-49.1 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
NORTHEASTERN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHEASTERN is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WM & MARY is 4-1 against the spread versus NORTHEASTERN over the last 3 seasons
WM & MARY is 3-2 straight up against NORTHEASTERN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOFSTRA (10 - 21) vs. GEORGIA ST (20 - 10) - 3/2/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
GEORGIA ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.
HOFSTRA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA ST is 2-2 against the spread versus HOFSTRA over the last 3 seasons
HOFSTRA is 3-1 straight up against GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N IOWA (19 - 12) vs. ILLINOIS ST (18 - 12) - 3/2/2012, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N IOWA is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
N IOWA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
ILLINOIS ST is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS ST is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ILLINOIS ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
ILLINOIS ST is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS ST is 4-2 against the spread versus N IOWA over the last 3 seasons
N IOWA is 5-1 straight up against ILLINOIS ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSOURI ST (16 - 15) vs. EVANSVILLE (15 - 14) - 3/2/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI ST is 26-47 ATS (-25.7 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
MISSOURI ST is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
MISSOURI ST is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.
MISSOURI ST is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
EVANSVILLE is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
EVANSVILLE is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
EVANSVILLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
EVANSVILLE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
EVANSVILLE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
EVANSVILLE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
EVANSVILLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
EVANSVILLE is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
EVANSVILLE is 5-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI ST over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI ST is 4-3 straight up against EVANSVILLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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YOUNGSTOWN ST (16 - 14) vs. DETROIT (19 - 13) - 3/2/2012, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
YOUNGSTOWN ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
DETROIT is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
DETROIT is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
DETROIT is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
DETROIT is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
DETROIT is 57-83 ATS (-34.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-1 straight up against YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUTLER (19 - 13) vs. WI-MILWAUKEE (20 - 12) - 3/2/2012, 8:300 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 105-78 ATS (+19.2 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 144-106 ATS (+27.4 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
BUTLER is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
BUTLER is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
BUTLER is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
BUTLER is 132-101 ATS (+20.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
BUTLER is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
BUTLER is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WI-MILWAUKEE is 6-1 against the spread versus BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
BUTLER is 5-3 straight up against WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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APPALACHIAN ST (12 - 17) vs. COLL OF CHARLESTON (19 - 11) - 3/2/2012, 11:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
APPALACHIAN ST is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
APPALACHIAN ST is 4-1 against the spread versus COLL OF CHARLESTON over the last 3 seasons
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 3-2 straight up against APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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THE CITADEL (6 - 23) vs. W CAROLINA (14 - 17) - 3/2/2012, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W CAROLINA is 91-121 ATS (-42.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
W CAROLINA is 29-54 ATS (-30.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
THE CITADEL is 3-1 against the spread versus W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
THE CITADEL is 3-1 straight up against W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FURMAN (14 - 15) vs. SAMFORD (11 - 18) - 3/2/2012, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FURMAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAMFORD is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAMFORD is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAMFORD is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAMFORD is 18-37 ATS (-22.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAMFORD is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in March games since 1997.
SAMFORD is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAMFORD is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAMFORD is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
SAMFORD is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FURMAN is 4-1 against the spread versus SAMFORD over the last 3 seasons
FURMAN is 4-1 straight up against SAMFORD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UT-CHATTANOOGA (11 - 20) vs. GA SOUTHERN (14 - 14) - 3/2/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GA SOUTHERN is 3-2 against the spread versus UT-CHATTANOOGA over the last 3 seasons
UT-CHATTANOOGA is 3-2 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST PETERS (5 - 25) vs. MARIST (13 - 17) - 3/2/2012, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST PETERS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
ST PETERS is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
ST PETERS is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
MARIST is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
ST PETERS is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MARIST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) on Friday nights this season.
MARIST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST PETERS is 4-2 against the spread versus MARIST over the last 3 seasons
ST PETERS is 4-2 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CANISIUS (5 - 24) vs. AMERICAN (20 - 10) - 3/2/2012, 9:50 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CANISIUS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CANISIUS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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W MICHIGAN (12 - 18) at C MICHIGAN (9 - 20) - 3/2/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
C MICHIGAN is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) after a conference game this season.
C MICHIGAN is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 4-2 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 5-1 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E TENN ST (16 - 13) vs. BELMONT (25 - 7) - 3/2/2012, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BELMONT is 1-0 against the spread versus E TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
BELMONT is 6-0 straight up against E TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-02-2012, 07:46 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 1

Kent State (+4.5) lost 84-75 at Akron Jan 21, as Harney came off bench and scored 21 points in 14 minutes, in game Flashes led by 8 at the half. Akron lost three of last four games after an 8-game winning streak; they are 1-2 as MAC road dog, losing last two away games, at Oral Roberts by 6, at Ohio by 24. Kent also lost three of last four games; they're 4-3 as MAC home favorite, covering their last three home games. MAC home favorites of 5 or less points are 9-6 against the spread.

CAA tournament
NC-Wilmington (-3) lost 69-61 at home to James Madison Jan 18, with both teams making less than half their foul shots. Seahawks are 20-55 in CAA play last four years, losing all three games in CAA tournament by 13-17-6 points. UNCW lost its last six games- they're only team to lose to Towson State this season. James Madison is 2-8 in this tournament last eight years, 2-6 in this round; Dukes split their last four games, but are 1-6 vs spread last seven times they were favored.

Towson State lost twice to Delaware this season, 62-43 (+13) on road Jan 23, then 76-69 (+9) at home nine days ago. Tigers are 1-30, 1-17 in CAA; before going 1-36 in league play last two years, Tigers had won at least one game CAA tourney the four years before that. Delaware is 5-4 in this round of CAA tourney the last nine years; they've won last eight games (6-2 vs spread) with win over Towson one of two games they did not cover. Delaware is 4-2 as a CAA favorite this season.

Wm & Mary is 6-4 in this event the last four years, with all six wins by 5 or less points. Northeastern has one win in last three CAA tourneys, bowing out each year by 4-2-2 points. Teams split a pair of home court wins this season; Huskies (-10.5) won 64-50 Jan 14, lost 79-54 (+5.5) Feb 11. Northeastern lost six of its last eight games; they're 3-5 against spread as a CAA favorite. Tribe lost 12 of last 14 games, but covered four of last five; they're 8-8-1 as a conference underdog.

Georgia State (-3.5) came north and whacked Hofstra 59-43 Feb 4, with Pride shooting 29% from floor, 3-22 from arc. Over the last seven years, Hofstra is 5-2 in this round of CAA tourney, but they've usually had a good team. This is first time Georgia State was over .500 in CAA play- they're 4-2 in this round, with both losses by one point; Panthers split their last four CAA games, were 0-5 vs spread in last five- they're 3-8 v spread in last eleven games as a CAA favorite.

Missouri Valley tournament
High expectations for Wichita State squad that is 45-14 in league play last three years, but hasn't won conference tourney; Shockers won twice against Indiana State this season, 75-65 (-6.5) in Terre Haute Jan 15, and 71-66 (-16) at home Feb 4. Sycamores won this tournament LY; they're 0-6 last six times they played in this round after winning the day before, with losses by 1-15-18-21-22-4 points. State played nine guys double figure minutes last nite, with only two guys playing more than 27:00.

Northern Iowa won Arch Madness two of last three years, won its first tourney game three of last four years, with that game decided by 5 or less points four of last five years. Panthers lost MVC opener 65-61 (-1) in Normal Dec 29, then won rematch 78-63 (-6) at home Feb 11. Illinois State has tournament bye for first time in seven years; Redbirds are 5-4 in this event last four years- they're 0-7 vs spread in last seven games as an MVC underdog. Northern Iowa is 5-7 as an MVC favorite.

Evansville beat Missouri State twice this year, upsetting Bears 87-82 as 10.5-point road dog Jan 15, then beating them 75-70 in OT six days ago, in game they trailed by 8 at half. Over last nine years, Missouri State is 5-1 in this round when they had a bye, winning by 14-9-8-3-2 points, but they've lost last four games,and are 2-9 vs spread in last 11 games. . Evansville lost its first game in this tourney last five years, by 5-23-8-6-2 points; they're 8-0 vs spread as a conference underdog.

Drake won four of its last six games; only time they advanced past this round in last nine MVC tourneys was when they won it four years ago. Bulldogs got off to 12-0 start last night in 65-49 win vs woeful Bradley, holding Braves to 34% from floor. Creighton won its first tourney game last three years, by 12-19-15 points; Bluejays won last four games, but last three wins were by combined total of four points. Drake played three guys 34+ minutes last night, with four subs playing 10+ minutes.

WCC tournament
BYU makes its debut in WCC tourney after being 8-5 in MVC tourney last five years, played crosstown at UNLV; Cougars won first tourney game last five years, with four wins by 10+ points. San Diego is 5-3 in last eight games, but they lost by 36-19 points vs BYU this year. USD is 10-5 in last 15 WCC tourney games, after an easy 76-54 win last night, when Toreros shot 56% and played only two guys more than 24 minutes. BYU is 3-6 vs spread in its last nine games as a WCC favorite.

LMU beat San Francisco twice this season by total of only three points; 77-76 on road in OT Dec 31, then 90-88 at home Feb 4. Lions finished above .500 in WCC for first time in six years; they're 3-4 in first WCC tourney game, with wins by 3-3-4 points. Lions are 3-4-1 as a WCC favorite. San Francisco is 9-4 in its last 13 games, they're 4-6 SU in this tournament last seven years, with none of losses by more than 8 points. Dons crushed Portland last night, didn't spend lot of energy.

Ohio Valley tournament
Murray State is now 49-7 in last 56 OVC games, but they've lost in this round of OVC tourney three of last four years; Racers won/covered last five games since its only loss of year; they beat Tennessee Tech twice this season, by 8 at home, by 5 in Cookeville six nights ago, game they were down 6 at half. Over last eight years, Tech is 1-4 in this round of OVC tourney, losing by 6-7-3-29 points- they were down 4 with 2:10 left last night, before late 11-0 run got them through to this game.

Tennessee State is 2-8 in OVC tourney last eight years, losing first game last three years, by 14-33-4 points; Tigers had 9-game win streak ended in rematch with Murray State 8 days ago, their last game. Morehead lost 77-72 (+7) at Tennessee State Jan 11, with Tigers making 13-25 behind arc (Covington was 7-9). Over last four years, Morehead State is 8-1 in OVC tourney, with lone loss by 11 in final two years ago- they've won five of last six games, are 5-2 as an OVC underdog.

**Udog** · 03-02-2012, 07:47 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, March 1

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Trend Report
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11:30 AM
APPALACHIAN STATE vs. COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON
No trends available
College of Charleston is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
College of Charleston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

12:00 PM
UNC WILMINGTON vs. JAMES MADISON
No trends available
James Madison is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
James Madison is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games

2:00 PM
THE CITADEL vs. WESTERN CAROLINA
No trends available
Western Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Carolina's last 5 games

2:30 PM
TOWSON vs. DELAWARE
No trends available
Delaware is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Delaware is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Towson

3:35 PM
NORTHERN IOWA vs. ILLINOIS STATE
No trends available
Illinois State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Illinois State is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Northern Iowa

6:00 PM
FURMAN vs. SAMFORD
No trends available
Samford is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Samford is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Furman

6:00 PM
YOUNGSTOWN STATE vs. DETROIT
No trends available
Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

6:00 PM
WILLIAM & MARY vs. NORTHEASTERN
No trends available
Northeastern is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northeastern's last 5 games

7:00 PM
AKRON vs. KENT STATE
Akron is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Akron is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Kent State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kent State's last 6 games

7:00 PM
OHIO vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
Ohio is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Ohio is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Miami (Ohio) is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 6 games

7:00 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Western Michigan is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games on the road
Central Michigan is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Central Michigan is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games

7:00 PM
HARVARD vs. COLUMBIA
Harvard is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Harvard's last 7 games when playing on the road against Columbia
Columbia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Columbia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
YALE vs. PRINCETON
Yale is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Princeton
Yale is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Princeton
Princeton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Princeton's last 5 games

7:00 PM
PROVIDENCE vs. NOTRE DAME
Providence is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Providence is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Notre Dame's last 14 games

7:00 PM
DARTMOUTH vs. CORNELL
Dartmouth is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dartmouth's last 5 games on the road
Cornell is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cornell's last 8 games

7:00 PM
BROWN vs. PENNSYLVANIA
Brown is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Brown is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Pennsylvania is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
SAINT PETER'S vs. MARIST
No trends available
Marist is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Marist is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Saint Peter's

8:30 PM
HOFSTRA vs. GEORGIA STATE
No trends available
Georgia State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Georgia State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

8:30 PM
CHATTANOOGA vs. GEORGIA SOUTHERN
No trends available
Georgia Southern is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Southern's last 7 games

8:30 PM
BUTLER vs. WISC-MILWAUKEE
No trends available
Wisc-Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisc-Milwaukee's last 5 games

9:50 PM
CANISIUS vs. NIAGARA
No trends available
Niagara is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Niagara is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

10:00 PM
MISSOURI STATE vs. EVANSVILLE
No trends available
Evansville is 15-4-1 ATS in its last 20 games
Evansville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

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**Udog** · 03-02-2012, 07:50 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, March 1

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Capping conference tourneys: How to bet the Big Six
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The mid-majors began March Madness this week, as the small conference tournaments tipped off. But we know you’re waiting for the big boys to show up next week.

Ahh yes, those casual weekday afternoons, when bettors can drift away from their normal jobs and routines and play a game or two, or a future, in the middle of the day when you’re boss isn’t looking.

But which route do you choose? Do you lean on the chalk, thinking that a heavy favorite has too much to lose to not play well headed into the big tournament? Or do you ride a middling team, on the cusp of the Big Dance, that needs a strong showing on national television? A puzzling debate for sure.

So, let’s help. As we near the major tournaments from the BCS leagues, let’s analyze their history over the past three seasons:

Big East:

LAST THREE CHAMPIONS & SEEDS: No. 9 UConn, No. 3 West Virginia, No. 1 Louisville

THE SKINNY: Competition and travel in this super conference is fierce in the regular season, and it often leads to very strong teams finishing in the middle of the pack.

Take UConn, for instance, last season. A good team with plenty of talent, they couldn’t put it all together in the regular season, finishing 9-9 in the league. But Jim Calhoun and Kemba Walker rallied the troops at Madison Square Garden, as a No. 9 seed, and rode that all the way to a national title.

It’s a pattern for the Big East, where good teams become great at The Garden. In 2010, the Mountaineers, as a No. 3, won the league, and then went on to the Final Four, as well. So, keep that in mind. The Big East champion will have a great shot at a national title.

Big Ten:

LAST THREE CHAMPIONS & SEEDS: No. 1 Ohio State, No. 1 Ohio State, No. 3 Purdue

THE SKINNY: There is less travel and less parity in the Big Ten through the winter months, and traditionally, the chalk rises to the surface here, as a result. So, bear that in mind next week, as you ponder the Purdues and the Iowas and the Minnesotas of the world. Good value, good odds, but probably no chance of winning.

That said, there are five teams that are ranked right now: Michigan State, Ohio State, Michigan, Wisconsin and Indiana. But it’s hard, given the past history, to think anyone other than the Spartans or Buckeyes, who are both on the cusp of 25 wins, is going to win this tourney.

SEC:

LAST THREE CHAMPIONS & SEEDS: East No. 2 Kentucky, East No. 1 Kentucky, West No. 3 Mississippi State

THE SKINNY: The Bulldogs, in 2009, proved a middle-of-the-road team can go on a run here, as well. But, as a trend, you’re better off leaning on the elite. Kentucky, in the first two years of the John Calipari Era, displayed the sense of urgency here and flexed its muscle on the way to the Big Dance.

Hard to believe, with a No. 1 ranking, and a perfect league record through Wednesday, that things will change this year. These Wildcats, after all, are better than those two previous versions, and they have a tradition and a standard to uphold. Also bear in mind this: the fan base. Not unlike the Lakers or the Yankees or the Packers, Wildcats Nation travels everywhere and so the fans will be out in full force for the conference title. That leads to bigger expectations, and more incentive to do what everyone knows they’re capable of doing. Besides, there is only one other ranked team in the SEC this week -- Florida -- so the road becomes that much easier.

Pac-12:

LAST THREE CHAMPIONS & SEEDS: No. 3 Washington, No. 3 Washington, No. 6 USC

THE SKINNY: Certainly there is a bit of an unknown here, because the regular season featured Utah and Colorado for the first time. That’s more travel, and more gameplanning, and overall, a new wrinkle to the mix, though the Utes at 3-13 through Wednesday, have been relatively harmless.

But, what we know in the ever-changing league is this: No. 1 seeds struggle. In this incredibly mediocre conference where no one is ranked, you’re better off lying in the weeds, snaring a second-level seed, and walking into the tournament with no pressure. It’s worked for the Huskies the last two seasons, and the Trojans, in 2009, were even in the bottom half of the ladder.

But here’s the conundrum for bettors this year. Washington will be among the top two seeds one way or the other. Will they feed off past experiences and play loose? Or will they feel the pressure, tighten up and bow out early? It should give a ho-hum tourney a little juice one way or the other.

Big 12:

LAST THREE CHAMPIONS & SEEDS: No. 1 Kansas, No. 1 Kansas, No. 1 Missouri

THE SKINNY: OK, so no one is asking to shut down this tournament and not play it anymore because of lack for suspense. But in all the power conferences, the Big 12 has been the most consistent with its champions of late. If you’re No. 1 headed into the tourney, you win it.

This year? Well, there's some decent upstarts like an Iowa State, or a Kansas State, who have both topped 20 wins. But the chalk is the chalk, and with all due respect to Baylor, a Top 10 team and a program on the rise, that means Missouri and Kansas, who combined for 51 wins through Wednesday, are the ones to watch.

Now, there’s value with a team like the Bears, who can run with anyone and have the energy to make a deep run in the NCAA tournament. But if you want to play history, and trends, and can live with the price, the Jayhawks are your team.

ACC:

LAST THREE CHAMPIONS & SEEDS: No. 2 Duke, No. 1 Duke, No. 3 Duke

THE SKINNY: Perhaps, if history is your bag here, you might want to throw out the seeds. Because regardless of the number that precedes them, the Blue Devils seem to be the play. This year, they will be among the top two seeds, and though there is a debate on whether they are truly better than North Carolina, pound for pound, there is something to be said for pedigree and knowing how to win when it matters, not unlike Kansas and Kentucky.

The thing that often gets lost in conference tourney betting -- and it plays a factor here, big time -- is regional, recruiting and rivalries.

Let's face it, Duke will survive without another ACC banner, should they stumble here. But to beat the Tar Heels on this stage, or any other team they compete against off the floor, means that much more over the long haul for the program. The current players may not think that way, certainly. They may not care. But you can bet that coach Mike Krzyzewski knows it, and you can expect him to coach with that in mind.

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**Udog** · 03-02-2012, 07:52 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, March 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
College funds: Friday's best NCAAB bets
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Providence Friars at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-11, 130)

This isn’t exactly the way the Notre Dame Fighting Irish wanted to head into their regular-season finale.

The Irish have dropped two games in a row, both straight up and against the spread, and are showing some major issues on offense.

Notre Dame hit just seven of 48 trey attempts in those two games, but coach Mike Brey tried to stay positive about the slump.

“I think it’s great,” Brey told reporters after Georgetown pounded the visiting Irish 59-41. “I think it comes at a good time. It’s a nice wake-up (call) after an unbelievable run for us. We may be a little human.”

The good news for Irish supporters is that a win Friday will give the club a bye through the first two rounds of the Big East Tournament.

Notre Dame has been an excellent home team all season, going 6-2-2 against the number and Brey will have his troops ready to bounce back Friday.

Pick: Irish

Harvard Crimson at Columbia Lions (8, 116)

All of a sudden things have gotten very testy for the Harvard Crimson.

Not long ago, it looked as though they were going to cruise to an Ivy League title, but now they need two wins this weekend just to guarantee them a share of the conference title.

Last weekend, Pennsylvania shocked Harvard 55-54 with the Crimson set as 11-point favorites. Harvard hit just two of 11 shots from downtown and struggled to contain the Quakers’ offense.

That same sort of offense could be an issue Friday as well.

“I’m concerned because they’re similar in ways to what Penn can do, which is to spread you out and dribble drive,” Harvard coach Tommy Amaker told reporters about facing Columbia. “The kid Barbour is very, very good off the bounce. Instead of trying to run their plays, [they might say], ‘Let’s just open the floor up and see if we can drive it by them.’ That’s what I anticipate they’ll look to do.”

This could be another grind for the Crimson.

Pick: Under

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**Udog** · 03-02-2012, 08:13 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (34-24-0-7, 75 pts.) at OTTAWA (34-23-0-8, 76 pts.) - 3/2/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 81-73 ATS (-32.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-12 ATS (-9.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
CHICAGO is 10-19 ATS (-11.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
CHICAGO is 10-17 ATS (-13.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
OTTAWA is 33-31 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games this season.
OTTAWA is 28-17 ATS (+51.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 37-27 ATS (+64.4 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 300-326 ATS (+684.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 1-1 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 1-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (35-23-0-4, 74 pts.) at WASHINGTON (32-26-0-5, 69 pts.) - 3/2/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 15-3 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
NEW JERSEY is 35-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 8-3 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
NEW JERSEY is 10-6 ATS (+18.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 6-5 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 6-5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.6 Units)

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NY RANGERS (40-15-0-6, 86 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (29-28-0-6, 64 pts.) - 3/2/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 86-76 ATS (-27.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 48-38 ATS (+89.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 40-20 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games this season.
NY RANGERS are 8-2 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
NY RANGERS are 19-6 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-5 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 6-5-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.1 Units)

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MINNESOTA (28-26-0-9, 65 pts.) at DETROIT (42-19-0-3, 87 pts.) - 3/2/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 24-5 ATS (+16.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
DETROIT is 20-5 ATS (+12.2 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
DETROIT is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 7-4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

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DALLAS (33-26-0-5, 71 pts.) at EDMONTON (25-32-0-6, 56 pts.) - 3/2/2012, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 33-30 ATS (+65.0 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 47-31 ATS (+15.6 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 49-95 ATS (-47.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 17-34 ATS (+65.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 30-70 ATS (+109.9 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 8-20 ATS (+30.5 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 47-101 ATS (+182.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-3 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-3-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.4 Units)

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CALGARY (28-24-0-11, 67 pts.) at ANAHEIM (27-27-0-10, 64 pts.) - 3/2/2012, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 7-3 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 7-3-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.1 Units)

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**Udog** · 03-02-2012, 08:15 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 1

Hot teams
-- Senators won six of their last seven games.
-- Washington won its last three games, allowing five goals.
-- Tampa Bay won its last four home games. Rangers won last three games, allowing four goals.
-- Dallas Stars won four of their last five games.

Cold teams
-- Blackhawks lost 13 of last 15 road games.
-- Devils lost their last four games, scoring seven goals.
-- Red Wings lost three of their last four games. Minnesota lost five of its last six road games.
-- Oilers lost five of their last six home games.

Totals
-- Five of last six Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four New Jersey-Washington games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Tampa Bay home games stayed under total.
-- Under is 4-1-2 in last seven Minnesota road games.
-- Last five Dallas road games stayed under the total.

Series records
-- Blackhawks won three of last four games against Ottawa.
-- Devils lost three of last four visits to Washington.
-- Tampa Bay won five of last seven games against the Rangers.
-- Red Wings won seven of last nine games against Minnesota.
-- Oilers lost seven of last eight games against Dallas Stars.

Back-to-Back
-- Devils are 7-3 on the road if they played night before.
-- Rangers are 8-2 if they played the night before.
-- Minnesota is 4-2 if it lost the night before.

**Udog** · 03-02-2012, 08:15 AM

NHL

Friday, March 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. OTTAWA
Chicago is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago

7:00 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. WASHINGTON
New Jersey is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
New Jersey is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Washington is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home

7:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
Minnesota is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Detroit is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Minnesota

7:30 PM
NY RANGERS vs. TAMPA BAY
NY Rangers are 15-6 SU in their last 21 games on the road
NY Rangers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Tampa Bay's last 23 games at home

9:30 PM
DALLAS vs. EDMONTON
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Edmonton
Dallas is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Dallas
Edmonton is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Dallas

10:00 PM
CALGARY vs. ANAHEIM
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 8 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Calgary is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Anaheim's last 8 games when playing at home against Calgary
Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary

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**Udog** · 03-02-2012, 08:18 AM

NHL

Friday, March 2

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Ice picks: Friday's best NHL bets
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Chicago Blackhawks at Ottawa Senators (-130, 5.5)

The Blackhawks and Senators both have some question marks in the crease right now.

Ottawa is still waiting for Craig Anderson to get back on the ice after he cut his hand preparing a meal last week, leaving rookie Robin Lehner and newly-acquired Ben Bishop to man the goal.

Meanwhile in Chicago, Corey Crawford has been pulled in his last two starts, putting Ray Emery back in the spotlight. That spotlight should be a lot brighter in Ottawa.

Emery came in to rescue Crawford after he allowed three goals on 10 shots against the Maple Leafs on Wednesday. Emery stopped 23 of the 24 shots he faced to help the Blackhawks to a 5-4 victory.

"You look at the schedule, it was going to be a tough schedule the past five, six, seven games,” Patrick Kane told reporters after picking up two points against the Leafs. “We knew that, and the rest of the way out. Our goal is to make the playoffs. Once we get in we know we can do some damage."

The Blackhawks will have to watch out for Ottawa’s dangerous power play as the Senators have scored seven times with the man advantage in their last five games.

Still, we think Emery is going to stick it to his former team.

Pick: Blackhawks

Dallas Stars at Edmonton Oilers (-105, 5.5)

When the Edmonton Oilers got off to a great start this season, some people wondered whether they could contend for a playoff spot in the tightly-packed Western Conference.

Some major injuries and inexperience will likely keep them out of the dance this year, but the future is obviously very bright for this club.

"We should be excited about improving as an organization, we should all be excited about that," Oilers coach Tom Renney told reporters. "But we should be disappointed that we don't have ourselves in a playoff position right now; we should be upset enough about that to make sure it doesn't happen again.”

The Oilers just aren’t tight enough yet. They turn the puck over too much in the neutral zone and suffer from lapses in concentration that sometimes turn one-goal deficits into blowouts.

They were picked apart by a disciplined St. Louis team Wednesday and could suffer the same fate against the Stars, who have collected at least a point in seven of their last eight games.

Pick: Stars

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**Udog** · 03-02-2012, 08:25 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 1

Hot Teams
-- Grizzlies won six of their last seven games. Toronto covered its last four games as a home underdog.
-- Nets covered seven of last nine as a road underdog.
-- Bucks covered five of last seven games as a road underdog.
-- Cleveland is 5-2-2 vs spread in last nine games as a home dog. Bulls covered four of last five games as a road favorite.
-- Houston won eight of last ten at home (7-3 vs spread).
-- Warriors won three of last four games, covered four of last five.
-- Spurs covered six of last eight games as a home favorite.
-- Miami covered its last five games as a road favorite.
-- Clippers are 8-3 in last 11 road games, 6-3 vs spread in last nine. Suns won/covered three of last four home games.
-- Lakers won/covered their last six home games. Kings covered eight of last ten games as a road underdog.

Cold Teams
-- Celtics covered once in last six games as a home favorite.
-- Hawks covered once in last five games as a home favorite.
-- Hornets are 4-9 vs spread in last 13 games as a home underdog. Dallas lost four of its last five games.
-- Nuggets lost last four road games but are 4-1 vs spread in last five.
-- 76ers lost their last four home games.
-- Bobcats are 4-7 vs spread in last 11 games as a road underdog.
-- Jazz lost four of their last five games.

Back-to-Back
-- Miami is 4-6 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Clippers are 6-2 vs spread if they played night before; teams are 9-1-1 vs spread the night after playing Sacramento. Phoenix is 3-0 vs spread if it won the night before.

Wear-and-Tear
-- Grizzlies: 2nd game/3 nites. Raptors: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Nets: Had last two nites off. Celtics: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Bucks: 3rd game/4 nites. Hawks: 2nd game/3 nites.
-- Bulls: 3rd game/4 nites. Cavaliers: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Mavericks: 3rd game/4 nites. Hornets: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Nuggets: 2nd game/3 nites. Rockets: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Warriors: 3rd game/4 nites. 76ers: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Bobcats: 2nd game/3 nites. Spurs: 2nd game/3 nites.
-- Heat: 2nd nite in row. Jazz: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Clippers: 3rd game/4 nites. Suns: 2nd nite in row.
-- Kings: 3rd game/4 nites. Lakers: 2nd game/3 nites.

Totals
-- Seven of last nine Toronto home games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Boston home games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Milwaukee road games went over the total.
-- 10 of last 13 Cleveland home games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Dallas road games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Houston home games stayed under total.
-- Under is 9-4 in Philadelphia's last 13 home games.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in Spurs' last nine home games.
-- Four of last six Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Clipper road games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Sacramento games went over total.

**Udog** · 03-02-2012, 08:27 AM

NBA

Friday, March 2

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
Memphis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis

7:30 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Boston
New Jersey is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

7:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago

8:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. PHILADELPHIA
Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. NEW ORLEANS
Dallas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games at home
New Orleans is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas

8:00 PM
DENVER vs. HOUSTON
Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Houston's last 22 games at home
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. SAN ANTONIO
Charlotte is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing San Antonio
Charlotte is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games

9:00 PM
MIAMI vs. UTAH
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Miami
Utah is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing Miami

10:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. LA LAKERS
Sacramento is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 7 games at home
LA Lakers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. PHOENIX
LA Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
LA Clippers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

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**Udog** · 03-02-2012, 08:29 AM

NBA

Friday, March 2

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Pick 'n' roll: Friday's best NBA bets
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Oddsmakers have yet to release odds for the Golden State-Philadelphia matchup. Pick should be considered an early lean.

Milwaukee Bucks at Atlanta Hawks (-6, 189.5)

The All-Star break and the return of leading scorer Joe Johnson did little to help to help the Atlanta Hawks snap out of their offensive malaise. Maybe the sight of the visiting Milwaukee Bucks on Friday night will provide a spark for Atlanta.

The Hawks absorbed an 85-82 home loss to the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday. It was the fourth defeat in an ugly five-game stretch in which Atlanta has failed to surpass 83 points.

Despite getting double-doubles from three players in the loss to Golden State, Atlanta closed out the month of February with a 4-9 overall record and 2-5 mark at home.

Johnson missed the final two games prior to the All-Star break with a sore knee, and admitted he was not 100 percent Wednesday. He finished with 18 points on 6-of-17 shooting.

Johnson reached 20 points only once last month and struggled from behind the arc, connecting on 15 of 57 attempts in 11 games.

Pick: Under

Golden State Warriors at Philadelphia 76ers (N/A)

An inability to win on their home floor has caused the Philadelphia 76ers' lead in the Atlantic Division to dwindle to only three games over the Boston Celtics and New York Knicks. Losers of six of seven overall and four straight at the Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia looks to get back on track when it hosts the Golden State Warriors on Friday night.

The continued absence of center Spencer Hawes (Achilles) was a big factor in Philadelphia's 92-88 loss to Oklahoma City on Wednesday.

His replacements, Lavoy Allen and Nikola Vucevic, combined for two points, six rebounds and six fouls. The Sixers were also manhandled on the glass (56-39) and saw the Thunder attempt nearly three times as many free throws (34 to 12).

Philadelphia has gone 12-2 with Hawes and 9-13 without him. He is not expected to return until March 12.

Pick: Warriors

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Announcement

Friday's Trends and Indexes - 3/2 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Friday's Trends and Indexes - 3/2 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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