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NBA
Dunkel
LA Clippers at Sacramento
The Clippers look to bounce back from a 109-97 loss to Minnesota and build on their 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 games following a defeat. LA is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks
THURSDAY, MARCH 1
Game 701-702: Oklahoma City at Orlando (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 124.584; Orlando 124.488
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 2 1/2; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+2 1/2); Under
Game 703-704: Minnesota at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 118.134; Phoenix 119.484
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+4); Over
Game 705-706: LA Clippers at Sacramento (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 121.946; Sacramento 114.861
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7; 199
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-3 1/2); Under
Game 707-708: Miami at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.664; Portland 123.114
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 2 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 5; 197
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+5); Over
NBA
Long Sheet
Thursday, March 1
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OKLAHOMA CITY (28 - 7) at ORLANDO (23 - 13) - 3/1/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 122-97 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 65-46 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MINNESOTA (18 - 18) at PHOENIX (14 - 20) - 3/1/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 33-49 ATS (-20.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHOENIX is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA CLIPPERS (20 - 12) at SACRAMENTO (12 - 22) - 3/1/2012, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 32-49 ATS (-21.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 183-231 ATS (-71.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 4-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MIAMI (27 - 7) at PORTLAND (18 - 17) - 3/1/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, March 1
Hot Teams
-- Thunder won last six games, is 8-3-1 in last dozen games as a road favorite. Orlando won and covered four of last five home games.
-- Minnesota covered six of last eight games as a road underdog.
-- Sacramento won/covered four of its last five games.
-- Miami won its last eight games (7-1 vs spread).
Cold Teams
-- Suns lost five of their last seven games.
-- Clippers lost three of their last four games.
-- Portland lost seven of its last eleven games.
Back-to-Back
-- Oklahoma City is 2-4-1 vs spread on road if it played night before. Orlando is 3-4 vs spread if it won night before.
-- Minnesota is 5-3 vs spread on road if it played night before; dogs are 8-7 vs spread if playing for third night in row.
-- Portland is 3-2 vs spread at home if it played night before.
Wear-and-Tear
-- Thunder: 2nd nite in row. Magic: 2nd nite in row.
-- T'wolves: 3rd nite in row. Suns: 1st game in eight nites.
-- Clippers: 2nd game/3 nites. Kings: 2nd game/3 nites.
-- Heat: 1st game in a week. Trailblazers: 2nd nite in row.
Totals
-- Thunder's last three road games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-3 in Minnesota's last eleven road games.
-- Three of last four Clipper games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Portland home games went over total.
NBA
Thursday, March 1
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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. ORLANDO
Oklahoma City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
9:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Phoenix is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
10:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. SACRAMENTO
LA Clippers are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games on the road
LA Clippers are 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Sacramento is 22-3 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
10:30 PM
MIAMI vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Portland
Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Portland
Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Portland is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
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NBA
Thursday, March 1
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Pick 'n' roll: Thursday's best NBA bets
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Minnesota Timberwolves at Phoenix Suns (-3.5, 200.5)
Before the Phoenix Suns went into the All-Star break, coach Alvin Gentry left them with some choice words.
The Suns gave up 39 points to Golden State in the first quarter last week and even though they crawled back into it later thanks to 21 points and 15 rebounds from Marcin Gortat, they still fell 106-104 as 4-point favorites.
"That game was lost in the first ten minutes," Gentry told reporters. "We got an opportunity to do something good and to come out like that is just ridiculous. It's unfair to the fans in the stands. The way we approached the game (stunk).”
The Suns haven’t given their hometown supporters much to cheer about all season. They are just 7-9 straight up and 6-10 against the spread as hosts.
That said, the Timberwolves will be playing their third game in three nights, so you have to wonder how much they’ll have left in the tank.
Pick: Suns
Los Angeles Clippers at Sacramento Kings (3.5, 201.5)
Los Angeles has had a bad habit of blowing leads late in games and tanked again in a 109-97 loss to Minnesota on Tuesday.
The Clippers have lost three of four and will try to right the ship when they start a six-game trip Thursday night at Sacramento.
The Clippers have not had much luck in Sacramento, losing seven of eight and 23 of their past 26 there. They’re 2-4-1 against the spread in their last seven versus the Kings.
“We’re going to have to play on a higher level, especially on the road now, but maybe that will help us come together more,” coach Vinny Del Negro told reporters.
We think the best value here is with the under.
Pick: Under
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Dunkel
LA Clippers at Sacramento
The Clippers look to bounce back from a 109-97 loss to Minnesota and build on their 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 games following a defeat. LA is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks
THURSDAY, MARCH 1
Game 701-702: Oklahoma City at Orlando (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 124.584; Orlando 124.488
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 2 1/2; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+2 1/2); Under
Game 703-704: Minnesota at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 118.134; Phoenix 119.484
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+4); Over
Game 705-706: LA Clippers at Sacramento (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 121.946; Sacramento 114.861
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7; 199
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-3 1/2); Under
Game 707-708: Miami at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.664; Portland 123.114
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 2 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 5; 197
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+5); Over
NBA
Long Sheet
Thursday, March 1
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OKLAHOMA CITY (28 - 7) at ORLANDO (23 - 13) - 3/1/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 122-97 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 65-46 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MINNESOTA (18 - 18) at PHOENIX (14 - 20) - 3/1/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 33-49 ATS (-20.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHOENIX is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA CLIPPERS (20 - 12) at SACRAMENTO (12 - 22) - 3/1/2012, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 32-49 ATS (-21.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 183-231 ATS (-71.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 4-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MIAMI (27 - 7) at PORTLAND (18 - 17) - 3/1/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, March 1
Hot Teams
-- Thunder won last six games, is 8-3-1 in last dozen games as a road favorite. Orlando won and covered four of last five home games.
-- Minnesota covered six of last eight games as a road underdog.
-- Sacramento won/covered four of its last five games.
-- Miami won its last eight games (7-1 vs spread).
Cold Teams
-- Suns lost five of their last seven games.
-- Clippers lost three of their last four games.
-- Portland lost seven of its last eleven games.
Back-to-Back
-- Oklahoma City is 2-4-1 vs spread on road if it played night before. Orlando is 3-4 vs spread if it won night before.
-- Minnesota is 5-3 vs spread on road if it played night before; dogs are 8-7 vs spread if playing for third night in row.
-- Portland is 3-2 vs spread at home if it played night before.
Wear-and-Tear
-- Thunder: 2nd nite in row. Magic: 2nd nite in row.
-- T'wolves: 3rd nite in row. Suns: 1st game in eight nites.
-- Clippers: 2nd game/3 nites. Kings: 2nd game/3 nites.
-- Heat: 1st game in a week. Trailblazers: 2nd nite in row.
Totals
-- Thunder's last three road games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-3 in Minnesota's last eleven road games.
-- Three of last four Clipper games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Portland home games went over total.
NBA
Thursday, March 1
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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. ORLANDO
Oklahoma City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
9:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Phoenix is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
10:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. SACRAMENTO
LA Clippers are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games on the road
LA Clippers are 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Sacramento is 22-3 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
10:30 PM
MIAMI vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Portland
Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Portland
Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Portland is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
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NBA
Thursday, March 1
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Pick 'n' roll: Thursday's best NBA bets
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Minnesota Timberwolves at Phoenix Suns (-3.5, 200.5)
Before the Phoenix Suns went into the All-Star break, coach Alvin Gentry left them with some choice words.
The Suns gave up 39 points to Golden State in the first quarter last week and even though they crawled back into it later thanks to 21 points and 15 rebounds from Marcin Gortat, they still fell 106-104 as 4-point favorites.
"That game was lost in the first ten minutes," Gentry told reporters. "We got an opportunity to do something good and to come out like that is just ridiculous. It's unfair to the fans in the stands. The way we approached the game (stunk).”
The Suns haven’t given their hometown supporters much to cheer about all season. They are just 7-9 straight up and 6-10 against the spread as hosts.
That said, the Timberwolves will be playing their third game in three nights, so you have to wonder how much they’ll have left in the tank.
Pick: Suns
Los Angeles Clippers at Sacramento Kings (3.5, 201.5)
Los Angeles has had a bad habit of blowing leads late in games and tanked again in a 109-97 loss to Minnesota on Tuesday.
The Clippers have lost three of four and will try to right the ship when they start a six-game trip Thursday night at Sacramento.
The Clippers have not had much luck in Sacramento, losing seven of eight and 23 of their past 26 there. They’re 2-4-1 against the spread in their last seven versus the Kings.
“We’re going to have to play on a higher level, especially on the road now, but maybe that will help us come together more,” coach Vinny Del Negro told reporters.
We think the best value here is with the under.
Pick: Under
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