Announcement

**Udog** · 02-28-2012, 10:01 AM

Tuesday's betting tips: Vanderbilt skidding at home

Who’s hot

NBA: Dallas is 10-2 against the spread in its last 12 when coming off an ATS loss.

NBA: Detroit is 10-2 against the spread in its last 12 overall.

NHL: The under is 9-3-2 in Washington’s last 14 home games.

NHL: Phoenix is 10-0-1 this month.

NCAAB: Duke has covered in nine of its last 12 meetings with Wake Forest.

NCAAB: Indiana is 8-3 against the spread in its last 11 home games.

Who’s not

NBA: The over is 3-10 in Houston’s last 13 overall.

NBA: Indiana is 1-8 against the spread in its last nine home games.

NHL: Philadelphia is 1-10-2 in its last 13 games against San Jose.

NHL: Montreal has dropped four straight.

NCAAB: Vanderbilt is 4-13 against the spread in its last 17 home games.

NCAAB: UConn is 3-7-1 against the spread in its last 11 overall.

Key stat

5 – Due to various injuries, the Chicago Bulls have played only five games with their starting lineup of Derrick Rose, Luol Deng, Richard Hamilton, Joakim Noah and Carlos Boozer this season. Despite that, the Bulls come out of the All-Star break with a record of 27-8 straight up and 21-14 against the spread.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Elton Brand, Philadelphia 76ers – Brand has missed two straight games with a sprained thumb and isn’t expected to suit up Tuesday against Detroit. The 6-foot-9 forward is averaging 10.1 points and 6.7 rebounds per game.

Game of the day

Michigan State Spartans at Indiana Hoosiers (2, 139)

Notable quotable

"I think we learned we could be a good team, a real good team. I think that's close to the best 40 minutes we've put together all year." – Wisconsin Badgers senior guard Jordan Taylor after scoring 19 points in the club’s upset of Ohio State over the weekend. Wisconsin now gets set for a home date with against Minnesota.

Notes and tips

Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry is dealing with a sprained deltoid ligament in his right foot. An MRI on Sunday revealed the injury, but Curry is hoping to play through the pain. "I'm hopeful I can play Tuesday," Curry told the San Jose Mercury News. "It feels better. Rehab is going well. Just have to see how it responds the next couple of days. I'm confident I won't miss much time, if any." Curry suffered the injury on a layup during last week’s game against the Phoenix Suns.

While the biggest fish in the NHL trade deadline pond, Rick Nash, stayed put, there were a couple moves to make waves. The Nashville Predators acquired right wing Andrei Kostitsyn from the Montreal Canadiens on Monday. The Canadiens receive a second-round pick and a conditional fifth-round selection in the 2013 draft. The 10th overall pick of the 2003 draft, Kostitsyn collected 12 goals and 12 assists in 53 games this season. He is a three-time 20-goal scorer. Meanwhile, the Vancouver Canucks acquired rookie Zack Kassian from the Buffalo Sabres in exchange for fellow rookie Cody Hodgson. The Sabres also obtained defenseman Alexander Sulzer while the Canucks received defenseman Marc-Andre Gragnani in the deal. Hodgson, a center, was taken 10th overall in 2008. He has 16 goals and 17 assists this season.

The St. Louis Rams have made the decision to trade the No. 2 pick in April's draft, according to Adam Schefter of ESPN. The report states that the Rams have held trade discussions with Cleveland, Washington and Miami. It is assumed that the three clubs would be attempting to maneuver up the board to pick one of the top two quarterbacks available - Andrew Luck or Robert Griffin III.

**Udog** · 02-28-2012, 10:01 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- Over/under on the NBA All-Star Game was 284; it went over easily.

-- New Orleans Hornets are a bad team, but they’ve covered pointspread 10 of last 12 times they were a road underdog.

-- Favorites are 0-7 vs spread if they played Dallas the night before.

-- Underdogs are 13-6 vs spread in Boston’s home games. Celtics are 0-5 vs spread on the road if they played the night before.

-- Nets are 0-6 vs spread at home if they played on road night before.

-- Rockets are 7-0 vs spread at home if they played the night before; Hawks are 5-0.

*****************

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.........

13) If you look at 25 NBA games this season where a team was playing for third night in a row, we see that 16 of those 25 games (64%) stayed under the total.

12) You break down teams playing three nights in a row, their pointspread results look like this:
1st night: 17-8 vs spread.
2nd night: 10-15 vs spread.
3rd night: 12-10-3 vs spread.

11) The NBA should hold its All-Star Game on an aircraft carrier, the way North Carolina played Michigan State back in November; it’s a damn playground game anyway, why not play it outside, in front of our troops?

10) Lakers are 10-5 against the spread when they’re favored at home, only 1-5 when they’re favored on foreign soil.

9) How do NFL scouts judge receivers from Georgia Tech? They almost never throw the ball, so you can’t use game film, except to see how they block.

8) Supposedly the Mets’ payroll this season will be around $92M, roughly $50M less than LY, the biggest single-season payroll deduction in baseball history.

7) Joie Chitwood is the president of Daytona Speedway; when we were kids, we always referred to Chitwood anytime we talked about reckless driving. Back then, he either drove in demolition derbies or did some commercials or something that involved stunt driving. It was funny to see his name today.

6) FOX drew a 4.5 rating for its NASCAR coverage Sunday afternoon, when there was no race to show because of rain.

5) Out of the 26 people in our golf pool, four had Eldrick Woods this week in the Match Play event. Always interesting to see how people deal with Woods now that he’s just another guy.

4) None of us had Hunter Mahan, but a couple people had Zach Johnson, who played Mahan in the first round. Whoops.

3) Bubba Watson got bounced from Match Play tournament and wound up on the Georgia Bulldogs’ bench for a women’s basketball game; coach Andy Landers let him call a timeout. Watson’s wife Angie played ball for Georgia and also in the WNBA.

2) Why is the MAAC basketball tournament in Springfield? There aren’t any MAAC teams in Massachusetts.

1) From everything I read about the NFL Scouting Combine this weekend, Robert Griffin III did the Rams a huge favor; some team is going to pay heavily to move up to the 2nd slot to draft him.

**Udog** · 02-28-2012, 10:03 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Michigan State at Indiana
The Spartans are coming off a 62-34 win over Nebraska and look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games after allowing less than 50 points in the previous game. Michigan State is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spartans favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 28

Game 719-720: Michigan State at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 78.072; Indiana 72.048
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 6; 141
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 2; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-2); Over

Game 721-722: Kansas State at Texas A&M (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 67.140; Texas A&M 64.580
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 2 1/2; 118
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 4; 120 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+4); Under

Game 723-724: Connecticut at Providence (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 65.182; Providence 60.049
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 5; 142
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 3; 137
Dunkel Pick Connecticut (-3); Over

Game 725-726: DePaul at West Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 55.359; West Virginia 65.899
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 10 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 13 1/2; 149
Dunkel Pick: DePaul (+13 1/2); Under

Game 727-728: Mississippi at Arkansas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 59.629; Arkansas 66.496
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 7; 138
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 4 1/2; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-4 1/2); Under

Game 729-730: Minnesota at Wisconsin (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 63.322; Wisconsin 70.284
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 7; 122
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 9 1/2; 116
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+9 1/2); Over

Game 731-732: Florida at Vanderbilt (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 66.899; Vanderbilt 74.144
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 7 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 3 1/2; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-3 1/2); Under

Game 733-734: Xavier at St. Louis (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 61.677; St. Louis 65.627
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 4; 133
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 7 1/2; 128
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (+7 1/2); Over

Game 735-736: Duke at Wake Forest (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 70.810; Wake Forest 55.388
Dunkel Line: Duke by 15 1/2; 149
Vegas Line: Duke by 13; 144
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-13); Over

Game 737-738: Central Florida at Memphis (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 61.440; Memphis 69.602
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 8; 127
Vegas Line: Memphis by 11; 132
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+11); Under

Game 739-740: TCU at Wyoming (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 56.123; Wyoming 64.920
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 9; 129
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 7; 124
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (-7); Over

Game 741-742: Loyola-Chicago at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 49.701; Detroit 60.379
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 10 1/2; 121
Vegas Line: Detroit by 13 1/2; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (+13 1/2); Under

Game 743-744: WI-Green Bay at Youngstown State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 55.197; Youngstown State 58.852
Dunkel Line: Youngstown State by 3 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: Youngstown State by 3; 134
Dunkel Pick: Youngstown State (-3); Under

Game 745-746: Wright State at Butler (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 51.409; Butler 58.973
Dunkel Line: Butler by 7 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Butler by 10 1/2; 117 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (+10 1/2); Over

Game 747-748: Illinois-Chicago at WI-Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 46.299; WI-Milwaukee 58.034
Dunkel Line: WI-Milwaukee by 11 1/2; 121
Vegas Line: WI-Milwaukee by 13; 126
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+13); Under

Game 749-750: Weber State at Montana (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 56.644; Montana 63.188
Dunkel Line: Montana by 6 1/2; 139
Vegas Line: Montana by 4 1/2; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana (-4 1/2); Over

Game 751-752: Idaho State at Eastern Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 43.671; Eastern Washington 51.718
Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 8; 133
Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 10; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+10); Under

Game 753-754: Northern Colorado at Portland State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 47.000; Portland State 55.517
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 8 1/2; 156
Vegas Line: Portland State by 7; 152 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (-7); Over

**Udog** · 02-28-2012, 10:04 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 28

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MICHIGAN ST (24 - 5) at INDIANA (22 - 7) - 2/28/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
INDIANA is 42-66 ATS (-30.6 Units) in February games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 3-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS ST (19 - 9) at TEXAS A&M (13 - 15) - 2/28/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1997.
TEXAS A&M is 62-40 ATS (+18.0 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
TEXAS A&M is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 2-1 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 2-1 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CONNECTICUT (17 - 11) at PROVIDENCE (14 - 15) - 2/28/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road lined games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
PROVIDENCE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
PROVIDENCE is 83-114 ATS (-42.4 Units) in all home games since 1997.
PROVIDENCE is 83-114 ATS (-42.4 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
PROVIDENCE is 47-77 ATS (-37.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
PROVIDENCE is 48-76 ATS (-35.6 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
PROVIDENCE is 27-54 ATS (-32.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
PROVIDENCE is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PROVIDENCE is 1-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
PROVIDENCE is 1-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DEPAUL (11 - 17) at W VIRGINIA (17 - 12) - 2/28/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DEPAUL is 3-0 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 3-0 straight up against DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OLE MISS (16 - 12) at ARKANSAS (18 - 11) - 2/28/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 4-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
OLE MISS is 4-1 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (17 - 12) at WISCONSIN (21 - 8) - 2/28/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WISCONSIN is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 2-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA (22 - 7) at VANDERBILT (20 - 9) - 2/28/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
FLORIDA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANDERBILT is 3-3 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 4-2 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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XAVIER (18 - 10) at SAINT LOUIS (22 - 6) - 2/28/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAINT LOUIS is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
XAVIER is 143-111 ATS (+20.9 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
XAVIER is 150-117 ATS (+21.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
XAVIER is 89-59 ATS (+24.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAINT LOUIS is 3-1 against the spread versus XAVIER over the last 3 seasons
XAVIER is 3-1 straight up against SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DUKE (25 - 4) at WAKE FOREST (13 - 15) - 2/28/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 145-184 ATS (-57.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 87-116 ATS (-40.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 2-1 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 3-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UCF (20 - 8) at MEMPHIS (21 - 8) - 2/28/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 146-113 ATS (+21.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 109-81 ATS (+19.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 183-140 ATS (+29.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 120-76 ATS (+36.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
UCF is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
UCF is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 24-38 ATS (-17.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-2 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-1 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TCU (17 - 11) at WYOMING (19 - 9) - 2/28/2012, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 117-154 ATS (-52.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
WYOMING is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
WYOMING is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
WYOMING is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
TCU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in February games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 4-2 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 5-1 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOYOLA-IL (7 - 22) at DETROIT (18 - 13) - 2/28/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 10-18 ATS (-9.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
DETROIT is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
DETROIT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
DETROIT is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-1 against the spread versus LOYOLA-IL over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 7-0 straight up against LOYOLA-IL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WI-GREEN BAY (15 - 14) at YOUNGSTOWN ST (15 - 14) - 2/28/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-GREEN BAY is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WI-GREEN BAY is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WI-GREEN BAY is 5-1 against the spread versus YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
WI-GREEN BAY is 6-1 straight up against YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WRIGHT ST (13 - 18) at BUTLER (18 - 13) - 2/28/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WRIGHT ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
BUTLER is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) when the total is 119.5 or less since 1997.
BUTLER is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all games this season.
BUTLER is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
BUTLER is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUTLER is 4-2 against the spread versus WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
BUTLER is 6-1 straight up against WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IL-CHICAGO (8 - 21) at WI-MILWAUKEE (19 - 12) - 2/28/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 149-108 ATS (+30.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 143-106 ATS (+26.4 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
IL-CHICAGO is 4-3 against the spread versus WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
WI-MILWAUKEE is 7-0 straight up against IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WEBER ST (23 - 4) at MONTANA (22 - 6) - 2/28/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MONTANA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
MONTANA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
WEBER ST is 166-131 ATS (+21.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
WEBER ST is 166-131 ATS (+21.9 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
WEBER ST is 115-79 ATS (+28.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
WEBER ST is 51-25 ATS (+23.5 Units) in February games since 1997.
WEBER ST is 113-77 ATS (+28.3 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
WEBER ST is 79-51 ATS (+22.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
WEBER ST is 81-51 ATS (+24.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA is 4-3 against the spread versus WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA is 4-3 straight up against WEBER ST over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IDAHO ST (9 - 19) at E WASHINGTON (13 - 16) - 2/28/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO ST is 122-165 ATS (-59.5 Units) in all games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 122-165 ATS (-59.5 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 77-109 ATS (-42.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 73-106 ATS (-43.6 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
IDAHO ST is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
E WASHINGTON is 5-0 against the spread versus IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
E WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against IDAHO ST over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N COLORADO (9 - 18) at PORTLAND ST (15 - 13) - 2/28/2012, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND ST is 3-1 against the spread versus N COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
N COLORADO is 3-2 straight up against PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-28-2012, 10:05 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 28

Indiana (+5.5) lost 80-65 in Big Dozen season opener at Michigan State Dec 28; Spartans shot 55% from floor, outscored Hoosiers 17-5 on foul line. State won its last seven games (6-1 vs spread), but covered once in last five games as road favorite- they're 5-3 SU on Big Dozen road, with three straight wins, by 10-14-5 points. Big Dozen home underdogs of 5 or less points are 15-6-1 against the spread. Indiana played Sunday at Minnesota- they covered three of last four games as an underdog.

Texas A&M (+11.5) lost 64-53 at Kansas State Feb 4, despite making 9 of 16 from arc in game they led by point at half; Aggies lost seven of last eight games, are 3-5 SU in Big X home games, losing last four by 3-2-9-8 points. Wildcats are just 4-5 in last nine games, need to win this game to avoid sliding to bubble; they're 4-4 SU on Big X road, winning last two home games, by 1 at Baylor, 10 at Missouri. Big X home underdogs of 5 or less points are 5-6-1 against the spread.

Arkansas (+2) lost 71-63 at Ole Miss Jan 11, despite holding Rebels to 0-7 shooting behind arc and forcing 23 turnovers- Hogs made just 9-17 from foul line, 39% from floor. Arkansas lost five of last seven games, losing last two home games, to Florida by 30, Alabama by 11. Ole Miss is 1-6 on SEC road, 3-3 as road underdog, losing away games by 26-1-2-10-15-13 points, with lone win at Georgia. SEC home favorites of less than 5 points are 10-5 against the spread.

Wisconsin had huge win at Ohio State Sunday, but are still just 3-3 last six games; Badgers (-1) won 68-61 in OT at Minnesota Feb 9- Taylor scored 29 points in game where Badgers were 21-25 from foul line, lot of FTs for them in a game. Gophers lost their last five games- they looked like dead team in Sunday's home loss to Indiana. Minnesota is 3-3 as dog on Big Dozen road, losing their away games by 9-5-16-4-11 points. Big Dozen home favorites of 9+ points are 12-10 against the spread.

Vanderbilt (+6.5) lost 73-65 at Florida Feb 4; Gators made 11-24 from arc, 16-17 on foul line; Commodores are 5-2 in SEC home games, 3-3 as SEC home favorite, losing to Miss State/Kentucky at home- they lost at Kentucky in last game, leading by point at half before losing by 9. SEC home teams are 14-5 against spread when the number is 3 or less points. Florida is 3-3 in last six games after bad loss at Georgia Saturday, scoring 63 or less points in three of last four games; they're 4-3 on SEC road.

Saint Louis (+1.5) won 73-68 at Xavier Jan 25; Billikens had 18 assists on 22 baskets- they had won six in row before strange loss at URI in last game Saturday. SLU is 3-3-1 as home favorite, winning home games by 22-27-24-8-14-20 points, with loss to Temple. Xavier is 3-4 on road in conference play, losing last two games, by 13 at Temple, at UMass by 7- they haven't been same since fight with Cincinnati. Atlantic 14 home favorites of 7 or less points are 25-12 against the spread.

Wake Forest (+21) lost 91-73 at Duke Jan 19, as Dawkins made 7-12 on arc and Blue Devils shot 54% for game. Deacons were 24-35 from line in that game, lot of FTs for visiting team at Cameron-- Wake is extremely well-coached, but shy on talent. Duke won/covered its last six games on ACC road, winning by 7-13-15-11-25-8 points- they play Tar Heels in regular season finale Saturday nite. ACC double digit favorites are 9-20-1 against the spread, 2-5 on the road.

Wyoming (-2.5) lost 58-52 at TCU Feb 2, as Martinez went just 2-12 on arc; Cowboys lost four of last five games, mainly because they faded in second half of those games. Wyoming is 2-2 as Mountain West home favorite, winning home games by 19-2-10 points, but they're just 3-3 SU at home. Horned Frogs won four of last five games (5-0 vs spread); they are 4-3 as road dog, losing away games by 6-23-17-10-1. MWC home favorites are 11-19-1 against spread, 6-8 if spread is 7 or less points.

Montana (+4.5) lost 80-64 at Weber State Jan 14, with NBA prospect Lillard scoring 21 points; winner of this game gets top seed, home court in Big Sky final. Griz forced only four Weber turnovers in first meeting; they're 5-2 as Big Sky home favorite, winning home games by 11-8-18-29-36-18-10 points. Big Sky home favorites of 5 or less points are 9-8 against the spread. Weber won last six games since strange loss at Idaho State; they're 1-3 against the spread as an underdog this season.

Horizon League tournament
Detroit beat Loyola twice this season, 65-54 (-5) on road, 67-52 (-14) at home in rematch; Titans blocked 15 shots in two games, as Loyola shot 37-38% in two losses. Detroit is 10-9 in this tourney last 9 years, 5-3 in this round. Ramblers lost in this round last three tourneys, by 9-14-21 points. Titans are 9-2 in last 11 games, with five of last even wins by 4 or less points- they're 3-5 as Horizon home favorite. Loyola won only one conference game all season, but covered last four road games.

Youngstown State finished over .500 in Horizon play for first time in at least a decade; Penguins (-2) crushed Green Bay 77-47 at home Jan 22, then lost rematch 71-65 (+5) two weeks ago. Penguins made 19-40 from arc in the two games- they're 2-8 in this tourney last nine years, losing last three in this round by 11-14-9 points. Green Bay is 1-4 in tourney last four years; they're 2-4 in this round last nine years. Phoenix won its last five games, with four of the wins by six or less points.

Butler finished second in country last two years; they're 7-1 in last four Horizon tourneys, but this is first time since '05 they haven't had a bye. Wright State won its first tourney game last five years, but they got beat twice by Bulldogs this season, 63-62 Jan 6 in Dayton, 64-53 at Butler in rematch Feb 2, with home team covering both games. Butler made only 7 of 33 treys in the two games. Raiders are 0-4-1 vs spread in last five Horizon road games, losing by 1-16-11-9-7 points.

Milwaukee beat Ill-Chicago twice this season. 73-71 (-15) at home in OT Dec 3, then 72-61 (-5) in Chicago five days ago, as Panthers hit 14 of 25 3-pointers. Milwaukee was +10/+9 in FTAs. Panthers are 4-3 in this event last three years, winning by 9-6-7-7 points. UIC lost its first tourney game last three years, by 3-6-12 points. Milwaukee won its last four games, by 2-4-11-9 points- they're 5-4 as home favorite. Flames are 1-6 in last seven games; only team they beat fired its coach Monday.

**Udog** · 02-28-2012, 10:26 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, February 28

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Game of the day: Michigan State at Indiana
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Michigan State Spartans at Indiana Hoosiers (2, 139)

THE STORY: All that stands in between No. 5 Michigan State and its seventh Big Ten title under Tom Izzo is one more win over its final two games. Unfortunately for the Spartans, the opposition couldn’t be much more difficult.

Before closing out the regular season at home against No. 11 Ohio State this weekend, Michigan State must take its seven-game winning streak to Assembly Hall, where No. 20 Indiana is 16-1 this season. The Hoosiers have 3-0 at home against ranked teams this season, including wins over No.1 Kentucky and the Buckeyes, who were then ranked No. 2 overall.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN; ESPN3.com.

LINE: Indiana opened as a 2-point underdog with a total of 139.

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (24-5, 13-3 Big Ten): The Spartans, who are holding opponents to a conference-low 37.2 percent mark from the field, figure to receive their toughest test yet in a rematch against a Hoosier offense that is shooting 49 percent – best in the Big Ten and the seventh-highest mark in the country.

Draymond Green continues to pad his resume as the likely Big Ten Player of the Year as he became just the fourth player in school history to grab 1,000 career rebounds in Saturday’s 62-34 rout of Nebraska. The senior forward already has a conference-best 17 double-doubles and leads the nation with six games of at least 20 points and 10-rebounds.

ABOUT INDIANA (22-7, 9-7): Christian Watford had a season-high 26 points and 10 rebounds in the Dec. 28 loss to the Spartans that kicked off the conference slate for both teams and ended the Hoosiers’ 12-game season-opening winning streak. But Watford has not been the same dynamic scorer since that contest, averaging only 11 points and scoring in double figures in eight of the next 15 games.

After dropping five of seven games from Jan. 12-Feb.1, the Hoosiers have won five of six in part because they have dominated the glass. In their five victories, they are enjoying a plus-9.8 advantage in rebounding.

TRENDS:

- Indiana is 8-3 against the spread in its last 11 home games.
- Michigan State has covered in six of its last seven.
- The under is 5-1 in Indiana's last six.

TIP-INS

1. Indiana will finish with a .500 winning percentage or better in conference play for the first time since 2007-08 and has already surpassed its eight total Big Ten victories in coach Tom Crean’s first three seasons.
2. Michigan State has won six straight games in this series.
3. The Hoosiers have shot 50 percent or better from the field in 10 of their 17 home games and scored no fewer than 71 points at Assembly Hall this season

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**Udog** · 02-28-2012, 10:27 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, February 28

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College basketball betting notebook: Vegas wary of Wichita State
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Vegas books are keeping a close eye on the Wichita State Shockers as we head into March.

Multiple college basketball pundits, including Sports Illustrated’s Seth Davis, have said the Shockers possess Final Four-potential. A Virginia Commonwealth-like run would not be good for at least one Vegas sportsbook.

The Shockers have gone from +25,000 (250/1) to +4,000 to win the national championship in the last three weeks at Caesars Palace.

“Most of these guys don’t ever expect to cash a ticket on some of these longshots like Wichita State; they just want to be in position to make money [by hedging],” said Caesars senior sportsbook analyst Todd Fuhrman. “Anyone who bet Wichita State--and you could have had them at 250/1 three weeks ago—all you need them to do is get into the Sweet 16, and you’re going to turn a profit.”

Fuhrman acknowledged on his blog taking some bets on the Shockers at 250/1.

Michigan State and Vanderbilt are two other teams Fuhrman would prefer not experience one shining moment at the Final Four in New Orleans. But a miracle run by Southern Cal would hurt the most.

“If USC wins the national championship, I’ll start eating fire for a part-time career,” joked Fuhrman. “But I’m not too worried about that.”

All teams will remain on the betting board until they are eliminated from the conference tournaments. Bettors can expect some serious shifting in the title odds, though, once the NCAA tournament bracket is released on March 11.

“Once we see the strength of the regions, you’ll see some drastic adjustments, especially with teams seeded No. 4 to No. 7,” said Fuhrman.

Current favorites to win national title at Caesars Palace as of Monday afternoon:

Kentucky 9/5
Syracuse 9/2
Michigan State 5/1
Duke 7/1
North Carolina 7/1
Kansas 9/1
Missouri 10/1

Conference win totals

On Nov. 8, Caesars posted conference win totals on 24 college basketball teams. Sixteen of the teams have already been decided, with eight already exceeding their win projections in conference play and the other eight failing to reach theirs.

But there are two big decisions left on the board – Duke and UCLA.

Fuhrman opened the Blue Devils at 13.5 wins. If/when Duke (12-2 ACC) beats Wake Forest on Tuesday, it will set up a deciding game for Caesars against North Carolina on Saturday.

“I’d really like Duke to lose to North Carolina,” said Fuhrman.

It’s a similar situation on UCLA. Fuhrman reported taking multiple limit bets on the Bruins over 11.5 wins in Pac-12 play this year. The action balanced out a little when public money came in on the under when the Bruins stumbled out of the gates with losses to Loyola Marymount and Middle Tennessee. But Fuhrman is still rooting for UCLA (9-7) to collapse in home games against Washington and Washington State.

“I want UCLA to end with nine conference wins, if they could,” said Fuhrman.

NCAA tournament opening spreads

The sportsbooks at the Las Vegas Wynn expects to the first Nevada shop to post lines on the NCAA tournament opening round. Sportsbook director John Avello told *********** Monday that he's planning on opening spreads on each of the 34 first and second-round games Sunday night after the bracket is released on March 11.

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**Udog** · 02-28-2012, 10:27 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, February 28

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College funds: Tuesday's best NCAAB bets
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Duke Blue Devils at Wake Forest Demon Deacons (13, 144.5)

No. 4 Duke must be careful not to look ahead to Saturday’s regular-season finale against No. 8 North Carolina, which likely will decide the ACC title. This will be Senior Night for the Demon Deacons, who are coming off an 85-56 win over B.C. in which they had 19 assists.

Duke leads the ACC in field goal percentage (46.5) and 3-point shooting percentage (38.7). Duke leads the all-time series with Wake Forest, 159-77, including a 91-73 win in Durham, N.C. on Jan. 19.

The Demon Deacons shot 55.4 percent in their blowout of the Eagles, the fourth time they’ve surpassed 50 percent. Sophomore F Travis McKie, who had 21 points, ranks fifth in the ACC in scoring (15.9) and seventh in rebounding (7.1).

Wake is a horrible defensive team, allowing opponents to shoot an ACC-high 43.7 percent but they’ll be up for this last home game.

Pick: Demon Deacons

Florida Gators at Vanderbilt Commodores (-3.5, 141)

Allowing the worst-scoring team in the SEC to shoot 52.9 percent wasn’t what Florida had in mind when it took the floor Saturday against Georgia. So how will the Gators respond when they try to clinch second place in the SEC?

Vanderbilt, which lost to Florida in Gainesville earlier this season, can tie the Gators for second with a victory.

While the Gators were being pushed around in a 76-62 loss at Georgia, Vanderbilt and the top two scorers in the conference – John Jenkins and Jeffery Taylor – gave top-ranked Kentucky all it wanted in an 83-74 loss in Lexington.

Taylor, tied with Boynton for second in the conference in scoring at 17.3, scored 19 against the Wildcats. Jenkins, the conference leader in scoring at 20.0, scored 15 of his 18 points in the second half and has scored 20 or more points in four of his past six games.

Pick: Commodores

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**Udog** · 02-28-2012, 11:30 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Golden State at Indiana
The Warriors look to build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games as an underdog of 5 to 10 1/2 points. Golden State is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Pacers favored by only 3. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 28

Game 701-702: Boston at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 119.998; Cleveland 114.857
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 5; 178
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 3 1/2; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-3 1/2); Under

Game 703-704: Golden State at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 118.614; Indiana 121.698
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 3; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 5 1/2; 202
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+5 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Philadelphia at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 120.288; Detroit 114.020
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 6 1/2; 179
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 4; 183
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-4); Under

Game 707-708: Toronto at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 113.941; Houston 122.150
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 8; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 9 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+9 1/2); Over

Game 709-710: New Orleans at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 111.943; Chicago 128.052
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 16; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 13; 180
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-13); Over

Game 711-712: Washington at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 110.190; Milwaukee 116.458
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 6 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 8; 201
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+8); Under

Game 713-714: New Jersey at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 113.653; Dallas 125.289
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 11 1/2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 10; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-10); Under

Game 715-716: Utah at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 114.855; Sacramento 114.785
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 2 1/2; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+2 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: Minnesota at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 116.526; LA Clippers 126.230
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 9 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-6 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 02-28-2012, 11:34 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 28

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BOSTON (15 - 17) at CLEVELAND (13 - 18) - 2/28/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 52-67 ATS (-21.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 37-52 ATS (-20.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 38-57 ATS (-24.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 7-7 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 9-6 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (13 - 17) at INDIANA (21 - 12) - 2/28/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
INDIANA is 118-85 ATS (+24.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
INDIANA is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (20 - 14) at DETROIT (11 - 24) - 2/28/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in February games this season.
DETROIT is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 68-52 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (10 - 23) at HOUSTON (20 - 14) - 2/28/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 239-183 ATS (+37.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (8 - 25) at CHICAGO (27 - 8) - 2/28/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 77-55 ATS (+16.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 155-114 ATS (+29.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (7 - 26) at MILWAUKEE (13 - 20) - 2/28/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
WASHINGTON is 168-212 ATS (-65.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 50-32 ATS (+14.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 262-315 ATS (-84.5 Units) second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW JERSEY (10 - 25) at DALLAS (21 - 13) - 2/28/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 85-112 ATS (-38.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 35-57 ATS (-27.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 80-54 ATS (+20.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (15 - 17) at SACRAMENTO (11 - 22) - 2/28/2012, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (17 - 17) at LA CLIPPERS (20 - 11) - 2/28/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 78-116 ATS (-49.6 Units) in February games since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-28-2012, 11:35 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 28

Hot Teams
-- Warriors covered seven of their last ten games as a road underdog.
-- Pistons covered their last seven games as a home underdog.
-- Rockets covered six of last eight games as a home favorite. Toronto is 5-2 vs spread in last seven games as a road underdog.
-- New Orleans is 10-2 vs spread in last 12 games as road underdog.
-- Nets covered six of last eight games as a road underdog.
-- Minnesota covered five of last six games as a road underdog.

Cold Teams
-- Celtics lost their last five games, covered one of last nine. Cavaliers are 3-4 in last seven games, with all seven games at home.
-- 76ers lost six of their last seven games.
-- Pacers covered once in last seven games as a home favorite.
-- Bulls are 1-4-1 vs spread in last six games as home favorite.
-- Milwaukee lost six of its last seven games. Wizards are 3-9-1 against spread as road underdog this season.
-- Mavericks are 2-6-1 vs spread in last nine games as home favorite.
-- Jazz lost five of their last six games. Sacramento lost five of last six games but covered last three; locals will be happy about the agreement for a new arena that keeps the Kings from moving.
-- Clippers covered once in last four home games.

Wear and Tear
-- Teams all had the last few days off, so no wear-and-tear index until Thursday at the earliest.

Totals
-- Five of last six Cleveland home games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 9-1-1 in Golden State's last 11 road games.
-- 76ers' last four games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Toronto road games stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-2 in Chicago's last seven games.
-- Eight of last ten Milwaukee home games went over total.
-- Four of last five Dallas road games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Utah road games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Minnesota road games went over the total.

**Udog** · 02-28-2012, 11:36 AM

NBA

Tuesday, February 28

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Pick 'n' roll: Tuesday's best NBA bets
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Minnesota Timberwolves at Los Angeles Clippers (-6.5, 196.5)

Kevin Love may not have showed it last weekend, but he desperately needed a few days off.

After leading the league in the first half of the season by averaging about 40 minutes of work per game, the 6-foot-10 sharpshooter went out and won the 3-Point Shootout and then chipped in 17 points in 18 minutes to help the West win the All-Star game.

Outside of that, he didn’t do much over the break.

"I don't party, I don't drink, I won't be going out at night," Love told reporters before heading to Orlando. "I'm going to take this time to rest."

"Exhausted," he said after last week’s win over Utah. "I thought I was going to die in the first quarter. Yes, I need a break."

That win was the first time in five games that the Timberwolves failed to cover the number and as long as Love doesn’t wear down, Minnesota is going to be a tough team to deal with in the second half.

The Timberwolves only won 17 games last year and have already reached that plateau this season while going 19-15 against the spread.

Pick: Timberwolves

Washington Wizards at Milwaukee Bucks (-8, 200)

Neither the Milwaukee Bucks nor the Washington Wizards had any representation at Sunday’s NBA All-Star Game.

Being a combined 26 games under .500 makes it hard to get individual players noticed in a positive light.

The Bucks stumbled into the break losers of two straight and six of seven, while covering just once over the last eight games. They got some good news over the weekend when it was revealed that Andrew Bogut will not need surgery on his ankle. But they are still without the starting center and his backup, Drew Gooden.

Milwaukee has not given up yet on its season but it also has yet to prove it can beat the better teams in the East. Of the Bucks’ last six losses, three came to the Orlando Magic along with one each against the Chicago Bulls and Miami Heat.

They have also lost to Atlanta and Philadelphia, two more teams expected to coast into the playoffs. After the Wizards, Milwaukee will get a chance to measure itself as it begins a three-game road trip through Boston, Atlanta and Orlando before returning home to face Philadelphia and Chicago.

Pick: Bucks

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**Udog** · 02-28-2012, 11:38 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Detroit at Columbus
The Blue Jackets look to build on their 4-1 record in their last 5 games as a home underdog of +150 to +200. Columbus is the pick (+170) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jackets favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+170). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 28

Game 51-52: Florida at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 9.952; Toronto 11.161
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-130); Over

Game 53-54: NY Islanders at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.620; Washington 9.908
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+155); Under

Game 55-56: Ottawa at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.511; Boston 13.151
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-200); Over

Game 57-58: Detroit at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 10.474; Columbus 11.048
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+170); Under

Game 59-60: Nashville at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 10.734; Carolina 12.095
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 61-62: Los Angeles at Minnesota (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.484; Minnesota 10.599
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-120); Under

Game 63-64: Montreal at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 10.836; Tampa Bay 10.214
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+100); Over

Game 65-66: Vancouver at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 13.270; Phoenix 12.362
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-120); Under

Game 67-68: Philadelphia at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.422; San Jose 11.181
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-130); Over

**Udog** · 02-28-2012, 11:41 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 28

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FLORIDA (29-20-0-12, 70 pts.) at TORONTO (29-26-0-7, 65 pts.) - 2/28/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 103-150 ATS (-48.6 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
FLORIDA is 256-294 ATS (-90.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
FLORIDA is 125-161 ATS (-73.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
FLORIDA is 23-46 ATS (+77.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 28-38 ATS (+69.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 143-141 ATS (-24.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TORONTO is 67-70 ATS (-61.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
TORONTO is 11-19 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 21-37 ATS (-18.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 6-4 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 6-4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (26-28-0-8, 60 pts.) at WASHINGTON (31-26-0-5, 67 pts.) - 2/28/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 14-3 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-6 ATS (+13.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 7-2 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights this season.
WASHINGTON is 17-23 ATS (-19.2 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-3 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-3-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)

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OTTAWA (33-23-0-8, 74 pts.) at BOSTON (37-20-0-3, 77 pts.) - 2/28/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 22-8 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 14-3 ATS (+9.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
OTTAWA is 32-31 ATS (+66.5 Units) in all games this season.
OTTAWA is 19-14 ATS (+37.4 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 29-43 ATS (-39.2 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
BOSTON is 3-9 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games in February games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 13-3 (+8.6 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 13-3-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)

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DETROIT (41-19-0-3, 85 pts.) at COLUMBUS (18-37-0-7, 43 pts.) - 2/28/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 88-90 ATS (-54.8 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 87-69 ATS (+163.5 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 18-43 ATS (-48.9 Units) in all games this season.
COLUMBUS is 20-34 ATS (+60.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 7-28 ATS (+52.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
COLUMBUS is 11-30 ATS (+49.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 11-4 (+4.7 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 11-4-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.5 Units)

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NASHVILLE (37-19-0-7, 81 pts.) at CAROLINA (23-26-0-13, 59 pts.) - 2/28/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 4-0-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (28-23-0-12, 68 pts.) at MINNESOTA (28-25-0-9, 65 pts.) - 2/28/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 27-35 ATS (-17.4 Units) in all games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 12-17 ATS (-10.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
LOS ANGELES is 10-15 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LOS ANGELES is 3-9 ATS (-9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
LOS ANGELES is 7-16 ATS (+23.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
LOS ANGELES is 9-15 ATS (-11.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
MINNESOTA is 2-7 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-5 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-5-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.1 Units)

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MONTREAL (24-29-0-10, 58 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (28-28-0-6, 62 pts.) - 2/28/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 23-39 ATS (-17.1 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 4-16 ATS (+21.8 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.
TAMPA BAY is 85-76 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 19-12 ATS (+32.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 245-336 ATS (+655.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 5-5-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.2 Units)

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VANCOUVER (40-16-0-7, 87 pts.) at PHOENIX (32-21-0-9, 73 pts.) - 2/28/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 127-109 ATS (-48.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 16-6 ATS (+22.2 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 20-16 ATS (+2.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHOENIX is 10-1 ATS (+8.8 Units) in February games this season.
PHOENIX is 67-52 ATS (+14.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 9-4 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
VANCOUVER is 109-61 ATS (+16.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 16-7 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VANCOUVER is 88-85 ATS (+191.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 101-86 ATS (+193.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 31-16 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 5-15 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 6-4-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.7 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (34-20-0-7, 75 pts.) at SAN JOSE (32-22-0-7, 71 pts.) - 2/28/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-24 ATS (-9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-40 ATS (-15.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 15-2 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-15 ATS (+39.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-9 ATS (+6.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
SAN JOSE is 32-29 ATS (-7.2 Units) in all games this season.
SAN JOSE is 4-9 ATS (-12.4 Units) in February games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 3-0 (+3.6 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 3-0-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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Announcement

Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 2/28 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Tuesday's Trends and Indexes - 2/28 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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