Monday's Trends and Indexes - 2/27 (NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

NBA team-by-team trends: Best and worst spot bets

Some say the NBA is simply an acronym for ‘Nothing But Aggravation’. Others insist it’s merely a ‘Nice Bankroll Additive’.

Whatever your take, there is no better time than the present – with the NBA taking a time out for the All-Star break - to examine the condition of each team in the league at this stage of the season.

From the surprise teams to the disappointments, the run to the 2012 playoffs is about to take off.

Here’s a quick look at some of the GOOD, BAD, and UGLY team trends on every team and how they have fared SU (Straight Up) and ATS (Against The Spread) this season in games played through the All-Star break.

In addition, I also break down performance records for each team in games versus .500 or less and greater than .500 opponents this campaign.

ATLANTA HAWKS
Good: 8-1 ATS with no rest
Bad: 2-9 ATS off back to back (BB) wins
Ugly: 0-5 ATS off BB SU&ATS wins
Vs..500 or worse: 13-3 SU, 8-8 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 7-11 SU, 8-10 ATS

BOSTON CELTICS
Good: 5-1 ATS vs. .333 or worse opponents
Bad: 1-4 ATS vs. opponents with no rest
Ugly: 0-4 ATS with revenge vs. opponents with no rest
Vs..500 or worse: 10-7 SU, 7-10 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 5-10 SU, 6-9 ATS

CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
Good: 4-1 ATS away vs. opponents off BB wins
Bad: 1-7 ATS off division game
Ugly: 0-6 ATS off SU&ATS division loss
Vs..500 or worse: 4-11 SU, 6-9 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 0-19 SU, 6-13 ATS

CHICAGO BULLS
Good: 7-1 ATS after allow 100 or more points
Bad: 1-4 ATS off BB wins vs. winning opponents
Ugly: 0-3 ATS off BB SU&ATS wins vs. winning opponents
Vs..500 or worse: 23-3 SU, 17-9 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS

CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
Good: 5-1 ATS off BB losses
Bad: 2-6 ATS as favorites
Ugly: 0-4 ATS as favorites vs. greater than .250
Vs..500 or worse: 10-7 SU, 10-7 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 3-1 SU, 6-8 ATS

DALLAS MAVERICKS
Good: 6-1-1 ATS vs. opponents off BB wins
Bad: 1-3 ATS vs. division
Ugly: 0-3 ATS off division win
Vs. .500 or worse: 12-6 SU, 11-7 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 9-7 SU, 8-7-1 ATS

DENVER NUGGETS
Good: 9-3 ATS road dogs
Bad: 1-7 ATS home off loss
Ugly: 0-6 ATS home off loss vs. opponents off loss
Vs. .500 or worse: 12-4 SU, 10-6 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 6-13 SU, 10-9 ATS

DETROIT PISTONS
Good: 8-2 ATS home vs. .475 or greater opponents
Bad: 6-11 ATS away
Ugly: 0-5 ATS double-digit road dogs
Vs. .500 or worse: 6-15 SU, 9-12 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 5-9 SU, 8-6 ATS

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
Good: 8-2 ATS off BB losses
Bad: 1-7 ATS vs. less than .333 opponents
Ugly: 0-6 ATS w/revenge vs. less than .333 opponents
Vs. .500 or worse: 5-7 SU, 5-7 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 8-10 SU, 10-8 ATS

HOUSTON ROCKETS
Good: 8-0 ATS home off loss
Bad: 2-6 ATS road dogs less than 7
Ugly: 0-5 ATS away with revenge
Vs. .500 or worse: 10-10 SU, 9-11 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 10-4 SU, 11-3 ATS

INDIANA PACERS
Good: 4-0 ATS away off SU favorite loss
Bad: 4-10 ATS off SU&ATS win
Ugly: 0-4 ATS off BB SU&ATS wins
Vs. .500 or worse: 13-5 SU, 8-10 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 8-7 SU, 7-8 ATS

LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
Good: 7-2 ATS vs. opponents with no rest
Bad: 2-7-1 ATS off BB wins
Ugly: 0-4 ATS away off BB wins
Vs. .500 or worse: 8-3 SU, 7-4 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 12-8 SU, 10-9-1 ATS

LOS ANGELES LAKERS
Good: 11-5 ATS home
Bad: 5-13 ATS away
Ugly: 0-5 ATS away vs. opponents off loss
Vs. .500 or worse: 11-6 SU, 9-8 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 9-8 SU, 7-10 ATS

MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
Good: 7-2 ATS non con games
Bad: 3-8 ATS vs. opponents with no rest
Ugly: 0-4 ATS vs. opponents off loss with no rest
Vs. .500 or worse: 10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 9-12 SU, 8-13 ATS

MIAMI HEAT
Good: 4-1 ATS vs. opponents with no rest
Bad: 6-10 ATS vs. opponents off loss
Ugly: 1-7 ATS favorite more than eight vs. non-div favorite opponents off loss
Vs. .500 or worse: 16-3 SU, 9-10 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 11-4 SU, 9-6 ATS

MILWAUKEE BUCKS
Good: 3-0 ATS home vs. opponents off BB losses
Bad: 2-8 ATS vs. opponents with no rest
Ugly: 0-5 ATS home vs. opponents with no rest
Vs. .500 or worse: 8-7 SU, 6-9 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 5-13 SU, 7-11 ATS

MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES
Good: 11-3 ATS away
Bad: 2-7 ATS home vs. opponents with no rest
Ugly: 0-6 ATS home favorite 2 or more vs. opponents with no rest
Vs. .500 or worse: 9-6 SU, 8-7 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 8-11 SU, 12-7 ATS

NEW JERSEY NETS
Good: 5-0 ATS away vs. opponents off DD win
Bad: 3-13 ATS home
Ugly: 0-7 ATS home off win
Vs. .500 or worse: 8-10 SU, 7-11 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 2-15 SU, 7-10 ATS

NEW ORLEANS HORNETS
Good: 11-5 ATS away
Bad: 5-12 ATS home
Ugly: 1-7 ATS home off SU&ATS loss
Vs. .500 or less: 5-12 SU, 8-9 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 3-13 SU, 8-8 ATS

NEW YORK KNICKS
Good: 4-1 ATS as favorites four or less
Bad: 1-6 ATS favorites off SU&ATS win
Ugly: 0-5 ATS favorites off SU&ATS win vs. 333 or less opp
Vs. .500 or worse: 12-10- SU, 8-14 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 5-8 SU, 8-5 ATS

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
Good: 6-1 ATS off loss
Bad: 3-6 ATS vs. opponents with no rest
Ugly: 0-4 ATS away vs. opponents with no rest
Vs. .500 or worse: 18-3 SU, 12-9 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 9-4 SU, 7-6 ATS

ORLANDO MAGIC
Good: 9-2 ATS off SU&ATS loss
Bad: 4-8 ATS off win more than eight
Ugly: 1-7 ATS off ATS win more than eight
Vs. .500 or worse: 16-5 SU, 13-8 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS
Good: 6-0 ATS favorites with no rest
Bad: 4-8 ATS vs. opponents off win
Ugly: 1-5 ATS away vs. opponents off win
Vs. .500 or worse: 13-4 SU, 13-4 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 7-10 SU, 6-11 ATS

PHOENIX SUNS
Good: 4-2 ATS vs. opponents off DD win
Bad: 3-7 ATS favorites
Ugly: 0-4 ATS favorites off SU&ATS loss
Vs. .500 or worse: 9-8 SU, 8-9 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 5-12 SU, 6-11 ATS

PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS
Good: 7-1 ATS home off SU&ATS loss
Bad: 6-10 ATS away
Ugly: 1-8 ATS away off win
Vs. .500 or worse: 8-7 SU, 7-8 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 10-9 SU, 11-8 ATS

SACRAMENTO KINGS
Good: 10-5 ATS off BB losses
Bad: 5-8 ATS with double revenge
Ugly: 1-6 ATS odd DD loss with double revenge
Vs. .500 or less: 6-11 SU, 9-8 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 5-11 SU, 8-8 ATS

SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Good: 8-2 ATS home off win
Bad: 1-3 ATS vs. opponents off SU&ATS win
Ugly: 0-5 ATS off win 14 or more
Vs. .500 or worse: 13-5 SU, 8-9-1 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 11-5 SU, 12-4 ATS

TORONTO RAPTORS
Good: 10-4 ATS off SU&ATS win
Bad: 4-8 ATS vs. opponents off SU&ATS loss
Ugly: 1-5 ATS vs. 333 or worse opponents off SU&ATS loss
Vs. .500 or worse: 7-10 SU / 9-8 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 3-13 SU, 9-6-1 ATS

UTAH JAZZ
Good: 11-7 ATS home
Bad: 5-9 ATS away
Ugly: 1-5 ATS away vs. opponents off SU&ATS loss
Vs. .500 or worse: 10-6 SU, 9-7 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 5-11 SU, 7-9 ATS

WASHINGTON WIZARDS
Good: 3-1 ATS off BB losses vs. opponents off BB wins
Bad: 7-19 ATS dogs
Ugly: 1-10 ATS dogs vs. opponents off SU&ATS loss
Vs. .500 or worse: 5-13 SU, 6-12 ATS
Vs. winning opponents: 2-13 SU, 4-11 ATS

Little did Charlotte realize that its 96-95 loss to Miami on Dec 28 would be the closest it would come to defeating a winning team this season. On the flip side, Golden State, Memphis and New Jersey can take pride in knowing they’ve been the only teams in the loop with a losing record that have managed to slay the Bulls.

FYI: teams that have responded exceptionally well in same season revenge affairs this season include the Trailblazers (5-1 SU and ATS) and the Lakers (3-0 SU and ATS), while the teams that have struggled in these same payback situations include the Bobcats (0-10 SU and 2-8 ATS), the Bucks (0-6 SU and ATS) and the Wizards (1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS).

I’ve done my homework. Now, you do yours and we’ll both enjoy the second half of the season.

[Udog]

NBA First Half Review

The NBA first half is in the books thanks to a frantic two-month run of games following the lockout. Even though it took teams a while to get their legs underneath them, the cream has risen to the top in each conference. From a betting perspective, several trends are coming to light on which clubs are worth wagering on and which ones to stay away from moving forward.

The Good

Chicago

The Bulls are cashing at a 60% rate (21-14 ATS) this season, while owning the second-best record in the Eastern Conference behind the Heat. Chicago finished the first half by covering seven of its final 10 games, including consecutive covers as double-digit favorites over the Hawks and Bucks.

Tom Thibodeau's squad has compiled a 13-7 ATS record away from the United Center, while going 6-3 ATS on their most recent road swing. Following Tuesday's home contest against the Hornets, the Bulls hit the highway for three games, starting with a trip to San Antonio on Wednesday. Chicago plays 14 opponents that are unrested, including a stretch of seven straight games from March 17 through March 28.


The Texas Teams

The Spurs, Mavericks, and Rockets have each cashed 20 of their first 34 games, tops in the Western Conference. San Antonio is the hottest team in the league with wins in 12 of its last 13 games to conclude the first half, while compiling a 10-2-1 ATS record in this hot stretch. The Spurs return home from an 8-1 record on their "Rodeo Road Trip" for seven games starting Wednesday against the Bulls.

Dallas began the season at 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS, but the Mavericks overcame the slow start with a 20-9 SU and 18-11 ATS mark. The Mavs put together a 6-1 ATS record as a road underdog, including outright wins at Boston, Denver, and Philadelphia.

Houston is rolling with an 18-9 ATS record since January 7, including a 10-6 ATS ledger at the Toyota Center in this stretch. The Rockets sit in third place inside the Southwest Division at 20-14, while beating the Spurs and Blazers twice each, Thunder, and Nuggets. Houston has turned into one of the top 'under' teams at 22-12, including a 12-6 'under' mark at home.


The Bad

Southeast Division Cellar

The Bobcats and Wizards are young teams with nowhere to go but up. However, both Charlotte and Washington have a long way to go as the two squads are a combined 11-54 SU and 21-44 ATS.

Charlotte endured a 16-game losing streak in the first half, while winning just four games so far this season. Since beating Golden State as a home underdog on January 14, the Bobcats have failed to break the 100-point mark in each of the last 17 games. Charlotte is the lowest-scoring team in the league by averaging 86.5 points per game, while going 1-6 ATS the last seven contests as a single-digit 'dog.

The Wizards started the season at 1-12, but pulled off the two biggest upsets of the campaign with outright 'dog victories over Oklahoma City (+11) and Portland (+15). Washington has covered only four times in 26 losses, meaning if you think this Wizards team is going to lose, just fade them and make money. This club doesn't play any defense, allowing more than 100 points in 11 of the previous 12 contests.


Updated Futures

Very little has changed at the top with the Heat (6/5), Bulls (5/1), and Thunder (6/1) still as the favorites to win the NBA title. With the emergence of Jeremy Lin and the Knicks recently, New York has been installed at 10/1 odds to hoist the Larry O'Brien trophy, after starting this season at 20/1. San Antonio began this shortened campaign at 25/1 to win their fifth championship, but their latest hot stretch has moved them to 15/1. For a list of the latest championship odds, Sportsbook.com has provided a list right here.


3 in 3 Nights

We've seen 25 teams play the dreaded three games in three nights situation, which has several profitable spots. Instead of waiting until the third night to play or fade these teams, start with the first night of this sequence. In the first game of this grueling stretch, these squads own a 17-8 ATS record, including a 9-2 ATS mark in the favorite role. The second night is the time to fade these teams at 10-15 ATS, while underdogs are 3-8 ATS. The third night started off on fire with a 7-1 ATS ledger, but has cooled off with a 7-10 ATS record the last 17 opportunities.

3/1 MIN at PHX
3/10 DAL at GS
3/16 PHX vs. DET
3/22 LAC at NO
3/24 MIL vs. IND*
3/25 ATL vs. UT
3/25 SA vs. PHI
3/26 WSH vs. DET
4/4 MEM at DAL
4/6 WSH at NJ
4/15 BOS at CHA
4/15 CLE vs. ORL
4/18 PHI at CLE
4/18 SA at SAC
4/19 DET vs. MIN
4/22 GS at MIN

*BOTH TEAMS PLAYING 3/3 NIGHTS

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Monday, February 27

NEW JERSEY at NY RANGERS, 7:35 PM ET
NEW JERSEY: 19-11 SU after playing a home game
NY RANGERS: 87-91 SU in home games vs. division opponents

LOS ANGELES at NASHVILLE, 8:05 PM ET
LOS ANGELES: 9-18 SU off a win or tie in their previous game
NASHVILLE: 11-3 SU revenging a same season loss vs opponent

EDMONTON at WINNIPEG, 8:35 PM ET
EDMONTON: 29-83 SU as a road underdog
WINNIPEG: 15-11 SU after having lost 2 of their last 3 games

ST LOUIS at CALGARY, 9:05 PM ET
ST LOUIS: 0-9 SU when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days
CALGARY: 11-6 SU revenging a same season loss vs opponent

ANAHEIM at COLORADO, 9:05 PM ET
ANAHEIM: 26-15 SU off a home win
COLORADO: 68-55 SU in home games off a road win

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Monday's Top College Basketball Trends

N ARIZONA 2-15 ATS after playing a game as an underdog (vs Montana St)

GEORGETOWN is 8-0 ATS (+8 Units) off a home win by 10 points or more (vs Notre Dame)

OKLAHOMA ST is 7-0 ATS (+7 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent (vs Kansas)

BAYLOR is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival (vs Texas Tech)

[bryce]

Thanks as always UDog! Hope you are doing well! Where's today's stuff! Lol!