The Bum's Saturday's Best Bets NBA 5 -0, NCAAB 14 -6 Last Two Days !

[StarDust Bum]

Suns visit sizzling-hot Kings on Saturday

PHOENIX SUNS (11-15)

at SACRAMENTO KINGS (10-16)


Tip-off: Saturday, 10:05 p.m. ET
Line: Sacramento -2½, Total: 196

The red-hot Kings look for a fourth straight home win when they host the Suns on Saturday night.

In addition to its home win streak, Sacramento has seven straight ATS victories. This run includes SU wins over the Blazers and Thunder. The Kings are 7-4 (SU and ATS) at home and beat the Suns in three straight meetings (SU and ATS) last season, destroying them on the boards, 211 to 149 in the three games. But Phoenix has played very well on the road lately, going 3-1 (SU and ATS) in its past four away from the desert. Can Sacramento extend the home win streak? To find out, connect to the NBA Weekend 6-Pack for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games this weekend.

Phoenix had won three straight games (100.3 PPG) before stalling in a 96-89 home loss to Houston on Thursday. The Suns were dominated on the boards (44-31) and scored a mere 13 points in the final quarter. All-Star PG Steve Nash (15.0 PPG) continues to be the engine of this team with a league-high 10.1 APG. He dished out 13 assists in the loss to the Rockets. Nash has enjoyed great success against the Kings over the years. He’s averaging 23.9 PPG and 12.6 APG in the past 10 meetings, and was a big reason the Suns are 17-5 in their past 22 games versus Sacramento. PF Channing Frye (8.3 PPG, 5.7 RPG) has come on strong in the past three games, averaging 18.0 PPG and 8.0 RPG. He poured in a season-high 21 points and grabbed 10 boards in Thursday’s defeat. C Martin Gortat leads the team in points (15.2 PPG), rebounds (10.1 RPG) and blocks (1.6 BPG). The FoxSheets show this trend backing the Suns:

PHOENIX is 13-3 ATS (81.3%, +9.7 Units) in road games in February games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was PHOENIX 105.1, OPPONENT 99.4 - (Rating = 1*).

Sacramento has won four of five games, none more impressive than its 106-101 victory over the West-leading Thunder on Thursday. PG Tyreke Evans (17.4 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 5.1 APG) led the way with 22 points, five assists and four steals against Oklahoma City. Evans continues his year-long struggle of shooting the basketball though (41.5% FG), as he has made 50% of his shots just once in the past 10 games. Sacramento ranks tied for fifth in the NBA in rebounds (43.8 RPG), thanks to PF DeMarcus Cousins, who ranks fifth in the league with 11.4 boards per game. Cousins has been tremendous in the past four games, averaging 19.5 PPG and 14.8 RPG. He had 19 points and nine rebounds in Thursday’s win. SG Marcus Thornton (17.2 PPG) is the other big scorer for Sacramento, pumping in 19.4 PPG during the team’s 4-1 stretch. Like Evans, he has also struggled shooting the basketball this season (39% FG). This two-star FoxSheets trend thinks the Kings will win and cover:

Play Against - Any team (PHOENIX) - vs. division opponents, off an upset loss as a home favorite. (151-94 over the last 5 seasons.) (61.6%, +47.6 units. Rating = 2*).

[StarDust Bum]

No. 10 Duke looks to keep momentum hosting Maryland

MARYLAND TERRAPINS (14-9)

at DUKE BLUE DEVILS (20-4)


Tip-off: Saturday, 4:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Duke- 16, Total: 152½

Coming off a thrilling buzzer-beating 3-pointer by Austin Rivers against archrival North Carolina, No. 10 Duke returns to Cameron Indoor Stadium to play host to the Maryland Terrapins.

Despite its last minute heroics on Wednesday, Duke has been a mediocre bet as of late, going 4-8 ATS in the past 12 games. The Blue Devils have also lost SU their last two ACC games in Cameron, both to double-digit underdogs (Florida State +10, Miami +12). The Terrapins, on the other hand, have won four consecutive games ATS. The Blue Devils have also struggled mightily as heavy favorites, going just 5-10 ATS when they are laying 10+ points. But when these two teams met earlier in the year, Duke won 74-61, covering a 10.5-point spread. The Blue Devils are now 10-1 SU (7-4 ATS) in the past 11 meetings between these ACC foes. Can Duke cover the monster spread at home on Saturday? For the answer, check out the College Basketball Weekday 6-Pack for picks covering all the big games in college basketball each week. Last weekend, the 6-Pack finished with a 4-1-1 ATS record.

Maryland averages just 69.3 PPG, but they have an elite scorer in Terrell Stoglin (22.0 PPG). He averages 2.7 threes per game and their entire offense runs through him. Stoglin has four consecutive games of 20+ points, averaging 27.0 PPG in that span. He scored 16 in the earlier matchup against Duke, but will need more help from his teammates in this one. Pe’Shon Howard (6.5 PPG, 3.7 APG) registered 10 points in that contest but has simmered down since with just 5.5 PPG since that game. The key may be strong performances from Sean Mosley (10.4 PPG, 5.0 RPG) and 7-footer Alex Len (7.1 PPG, 5.4 RPG) who will need to do a good job battling Plumlee in the post in this game. The FoxSheets show this four-star trend siding with the Terps:

DUKE is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons. The average score was DUKE 82.1, OPPONENT 69.7 - (Rating = 4*).

A sizzling-hot Rivers carried Duke over the Tar Heels with a career-high 29 points on 6-of-10 shooting from beyond the arc, where he shoots a 40.4% this season. The Blue Devils feature a plethora of scoring options, however, with guard Seth Curry and forward Ryan Kelly both averaging 12.7 PPG. Curry and Kelly both scored 15 against North Carolina, with Curry coming off a strong 22-point performance against Miami in the previous game. In the post, Mason Plumlee (11.5 PPG, 9.9 RPG) is an elite rebounder, but has yet to consistently find himself on the offensive end, with just 7.0 PPG over the Blue Devils’ past two contests. Andre Dawkins (9.6 PPG) is also a threat from deep but can also fall off the map at points. The FoxSheets show this coaching trend showing the Blue Devils have the ability to cover monster spreads:

Mike Krzyzewski is 97-64 ATS (60.2%, +26.6 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points as the coach of DUKE. The average score was DUKE 86.8, OPPONENT 62.4 - (Rating = 2*).

[StarDust Bum]

No. 2 Syracuse favored big over UConn Saturday

CONNECTICUT HUSKIES (15-8, 5-6 Big East)

at SYRACUSE ORANGE (24-1, 11-1 Big East)


Tip-Off: Saturday, 1:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Syracuse -11, Total: 132½

Just two months ago, the college basketball world had the first UConn-Syracuse game circled as the premier matchup between the two best teams in the Big East. Entering into Saturday’s game at the Carrier Dome, though, only the Orange have lived up to their end of the bargain.

Despite starting the season as the No. 4 ranked team in the country following last year’s national championship, the Huskies have suffered a catastrophic fall from grace over the past month—losing five of their past six games (SU and ATS). UConn is a miserable 1-6 ATS in road games this season, and averages a measly 58.6 PPG on the road—down 14 points compared to its offensive production at home. The Orange eked out a thrilling 64-61 overtime victory against Georgetown on Wednesday, failing to cover for the fourth time out of their past five home games. Syracuse shot just 34.9 percent from the field on Wednesday—its second-worst output of the season.

Can Syracuse cover this big number over last year’s national champions? For the answer, check out the College Basketball Weekday 6-Pack for picks covering all the big games in college basketball each week. Last weekend, the 6-Pack finished with a 4-1-1 ATS record.

The Huskies have scored 60 or more points just once in their past five games, and have been held under 50 in two of them. They look to bounce back from one of their worst losses in years after getting blown out at Louisville 80-59 on Monday night. Connecticut played well early on and trailed by just five at halftime, but simply quit in the second half in embarrassing fashion—allowing the Cardinals to hit uncontested threes and drive through the paint like a layup line. The lone bright spot for UConn was freshman point guard Ryan Boatright (10.4 PPG, 3.6 APG), who dropped 18 points (5-of-10 FG), picked up six rebounds, and dished out five assists to follow up a 19-point performance against Seton Hall last Saturday. Fellow freshman Andre Drummond (9.7 PPG, 7.5 RPG), on the other hand, is coming off arguably his worst performance of the season, scoring no points and grabbing just four rebounds in 16 minutes of work. The Huskies have little hope of beating the Orange unless leading scorer Jeremy Lamb (17.2 PPG) can get back on track. The sophomore guard has shot a dreadful 27 percent from the field (10-of-37 FG) over his past three games. The FoxSheets show this four-star trend backing the Huskies:

CONNECTICUT is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CONNECTICUT 68.8, OPPONENT 58.6 - (Rating = 4*).

Syracuse has overwhelmed opponents with some incredible offensive depth, with 10 different players averaging 10+ minutes. Senior forward Kris Joseph (14.3 PPG, 4.9 RPG) was the hero for the Orange in Wednesday night’s win over the Hoyas, dropping a career-high 29 points. Joseph also sank a career-high six three-pointers, none bigger than the game-winning shot with 29 seconds left in overtime to break an 81-81 tie. Even though the Orange boast a group of elite scorers, the emergence of Joseph as the go-to guy will be key in their quest for the Final Four. Sophomore center Fab Melo (7.6 PPG, 5.6 RPG) has looked sharp in both games since returning from a three-game academic suspension, scoring 11 points (5-of-8 FG) against the Hoyas, and a career-high 14 (5-of-6 FG) at St. John’s last Saturday.The FoxSheets show this four-star trend expecting the Orange to win big:

CONNECTICUT is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CONNECTICUT 59.6, OPPONENT 71.3 - (Rating = 4*).

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, February 11

Louisville won five of last seven games with West Virginia, as last four games were all decided by 3 or less points; Cardinals lost last two visits here, losing by 3-2 points, as home team won last three series contests. West Virginia lost four of last five games, loisng last two at home; they are 3-3 as home favorites. Louisville won/covered last five games, giving up an average of just 62.4 ppg in those games. Big East home favorites of less than 6 points are 10-8 against the spread.

North Carolina had its heart ripped out by Duke Wednesday, blowing a 10-point lead with 2:15 left; Tar Heels are 2-6-1 as ACC favorite, 1-3-1 at home, winning home games by 23-17-19-12 points. Virginia is 2-2 on ACC road, crushing Ga Tech by 32- other three games were all decided by 3 or less points. Cavaliers are 3-0 as ACC road dog, as visitor is 8-1 vs spread in their conference games. ACC double digit home favorites are 2-11-2 against the spread.

Ohio State won its last six games (5-1 vs spread), winning last two by 6-3 points, as Purdue gave them tough game Tuesday; Buckeyes are 5-1 as Big Dozen home favorites, winning home games by 33-31-17-24-15-3 points. Michigan State won four of its last five games; their last couple losses are by single point each; Spartans are 3-1 vs spread as underdogs this season, winning SU last two times they got points. Big Dozen home favorites of 7+ points are 16-9 against the spread.

Missouri (+5) won 89-88 at Baylor Jan 21, outscoring Bears 22-9 on the foul line, in game where both sides shot 50%+. Tigers won their last four games, last three by 3 or less points- they're 4-1 as Big X home favorite, winning home games by 38-11-19-13-3 points- they have revenge game with Oklahoma State next. Big X home favorites of more than 6 points are 10-15 against the spread. Baylor's only other losses besides Mizzou loss are losses by 18-14 points against Kansas.

Kansas State (-5.5) beat Texas 84-80 at home Jan 18; Wildcats were 21 for 39 on foul line, Texas 19-21; Longhorn star Brown was just 8-28 for night. K-State is 2-3 on Big X road; favorites covered four of those five games, with Wildcats losing by 18-9-2 points. Texas is 4-2 at home in conference, 0-4 as conference favorite, winning home games by 9-10-17-7 points, with losses to Kansas/Missouri. Big X home favorites of 5 or less points are 5-4 against the spread.

Marquette won eight of its last nine games; they're 3-3 as home favorite in Big East play, winnng by 4-19-5-11-20-7 points. Visitor won four of last five Marquette-Cincy games, with Bearcats winning three of its last four visits here, but losing three of last four overall in series. Cincinnati is 4-0 as Big East road underdogs; road teams are 9-2 vs spread in their conference games this season. Big East home favorites of 6+ points are 18-24-1 against the spread.

UNLV (-3.5) lost 69-67 at San Diego State in MWC opener Jan 14, as Aztecs held Rebels to 35% from floor- they were just 11-21 at foul line. Home teams are 7-0 vs spread in Rebels' MVC games; UNLV is 3-0 as home favorite, winning at home by 23-17-21 points. Underdogs are 6-1 vs spread in San Diego State's MWC games; Aztecs are 3-0 as road dog. Mountain West home favorites are 6-11 against the spread this season. Both teams haven't played since last Saturday.

UCLA (+8) lost 85-69 at California Dec 31, as Bears shot 65% on night with only nine turnovers; Bruins are 5-0 as Pac-12 home favorites, with home wins by 7-17-27-17-11 points. UCLA gave up an average of 57.2 ppg in those five games. Pac-12 home favorites of less than 4 points are 5-7 against the spread. Cal Bears won seven of last nine games; favorites are 4-1 vs spread in their Pac-12 road games, with Bears 3-2 SU, losing by 7 at Oregon State, 2 at Washington State (0-1 as road dog).

Southern Miss (+2.5) won 75-68 at Central Florida two weeks ago, with Dodson scoring 22 points in 25 minutes off bench. Eagles had five-game win streak snapped at UAB Wednesday; they're 1-3 as home favorite in league play, winning home games by 2-4-4-3 points. Knights got some revenge over Marshall in Wednesday's win; they're 8-2 vs spread, 3-1 as road underdog, with conference losses by 1-5-13 points. C-USA home favorites of 6 or less points are 13-9-1 against the spread.

Creighton (+7.5) won 68-61 at Wichita Dec 31, holding Shockers to 33% from floor in game Wichita led by 8 at the half; Bluejays were 8-15 from arc, Wichita 5-26. Creighton scored 62-57 points in losing last couple of games, after winning previous 11- they're 4-3 as MVC home fave, with home wins by 17-3-19-26-14-28 points, and loss to Missouri St. MVC home teams are 14-8 against the spread when the number is less than 5 points. Wichita State is 11-1 since that loss to Creighton.

Gonzaga knocked St Mary's off Thursday, now hosts LMU squad they held off 62-58 (-10.5) in LA Jan 14- Lions shot just 38% from the floor. Bulldogs won six of last seven games, but St Mary's win was first cover in last eight games; Zags are 4-2 as WCC home favorite, winning home games by 39-28-22-11-17-14 points. WCC double digit home favorites are 7-11-1 against the spread. Lions are 8-2-1 vs spread in WCC, 6-0 on road, with its only WCC losses by 8-4-7 points.

Kentucky won five of last six games vs Vanderbilt, last three all decided by 4 or less points, with Wildcats losing here 81-77 LY, its fourth loss in last six visits to Nashville. Home teams won seven of last nine series games. Kentucky is 10-0 in SEC, covering last five games- 57-44 win at Georgia was closest of those five games. Vandy is 4-1 at home in league play, losing by point to Miss State- they're 3-1 vs spread as underdog. SEC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 7-3 against the spread.

Temple won its last seven games (5-2 vs spread); they're 3-2 as a home favorite in A-14 games, winning home games by 6-18-18-7 points, with loss to Dayton- they trailed GW by 12 at half last game, but won by 7. Home team is 7-1-2 vs spread in Xavier's A-14 games; Musketeers are 3-2 on road,- its conference losses are by 10-15-5 points- they're 2-0 as an underdog this season. Atlantic 14 home favorites of 7 or less points are 18-8 against the spread.

[StarDust Bum]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, February 11

Hot teams
-- Devils won five of their last six games.
-- Rangers won five of their last seven games.
-- Penguins won their last four home games. Winnipeg won four of its six games since the All-Star break.
-- Sabres won five of their last six games.
-- Montreal won its last three games, allowing four goals.
-- Blues won seven of their last ten games.
-- Coyotes won their last four games, allowing six goals.
-- Canucks won six of their last seven games, last five on road.

Cold teams
-- Predators/Bruins both lost three of their last four games.
-- Islanders lost four of their last five home games. Los Angeles lost three of its last four games overall.
-- Panthers lost ten of their last eleven road games.
-- Flyers lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Oilers lost eight in row, 15 of last 16 road games. Ottawa lost seven of its last eight games.
-- Lightning lost seven of its last nine road games.
-- Maple Leafs lost seven of their last nine road games.
-- Minnesota lost four of its last five games. Columbus lost seven of its last eight road games.
-- Colorado lost five of its last seven road games.
-- Blackhawks lost their last nine road games.
-- Flames lost three of their last four home games.

Totals
-- Under is 7-2 in Nashville's last nine road games.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in Kings' last six road games.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in Florida's last ten home games.
-- Three of Flyers' last four games went over total.
-- Last four Edmonton games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in Winnipeg's last seven road games. Four of last five Pittsburgh home games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Tampa Bay games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-4 in Toronto's last thirteen road games.
-- Under is 6-1-2 in last nine Colorado road games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six St Louis games.
-- Five of last six Phoenix games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in Vancouver's last five road games.

Series records
-- Bruins lost 4-3 in OT at Nashville in LY's meeting.
-- Islanders lost six of last seven games against Los Angeles.
-- Devils won three of last four games against Florida.
-- Rangers won their last six games against Philadelphia.
-- Visiting team won last three Edmonton-Ottawa games.
-- Jets lost 13 of last 15 games against Pittsburgh.
-- Lightning won four of last six games against Buffalo.
-- Visiting team won four of last five Montreal-Toronto tilts.
-- Blue Jackets won two of last three visits to Minnesota.
-- Avalanche won nine of last 11 games against the Blues, but lost their last two visits to St Louis.
-- Visiting team won last four Chicago-Phoenix games.
-- Canucks won nine of last eleven games against Calgary.

Back-to-Back
-- Sabres are 1-5 at home if they played the night before.
-- Colorado is 1-4 when it played the night before.
-- Blackhawks are 2-5 on road when they played night before

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, February 11

Hot Teams
-- Clippers won five of their last six road games; homecoming for Paul, who went to Wake Forest.
-- 76ers are 4-1 as road favorite; this is only their second road game in last three weeks (lost last two at home).
-- Knicks won last four games, covered last seven.
-- Spurs won/covered their last six games.
-- Mavericks won five of their last six road games.
-- Sacramento won its last three home games, covered last seven games overall. Suns won three of their last four road games.

Cold Teams
-- Bobcats covered once in their last nine home games.
-- Indiana lost three of last four games, failed to cover last four at home. Nuggets lost five in row, seven of last eight games.
-- Cavaliers lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Minnesota is 2-6-1 vs spread as a home favorite.
-- Nets lost their last five games (0-4 vs spread last four).
-- Trailblazers covered once in six games as a road underdog.
-- Bucks are 3-4 in last seven home games (3-3 as home dog). Orlando is 4-6 in its last ten games (4-3 as road favorite).

Wear and Tear
-- Clippers: 3rd game/4 nites. Bobcats: 2nd nite in row after two off.
-- Nuggets: 7th game/10 nites. Pacers: 4th game/5 nites.
-- 76ers: 6th game/9 nites. Cavaliers: 4th game/5 nites.
-- Knicks: 3rd game/4 nites. Wolves: 4th game/5 nites.
-- Spurs: Had last two nites off. Nets: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Blazers: 3rd game/4 nites. Mavericks: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Magic: 6th game/9 nites. Bucks: 4th game/5 nites.
-- Suns: 6th game/9 nites. Kings: 4th game/6 nites.

Totals
-- Four of last five Clipper games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Denver road games went over the total.
-- Four of Philly's last five road games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-2 in New York's road games this season.
-- Last four New Jersey home games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-3 in Mavericks' last eleven home games.
-- Four of last five Orlando road games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Sacramento home games went over.

[StarDust Bum]

Check back later for updates and Nba Best Bets.

02/11/2012 @ 09:00 AM CBB [523] DEPAUL +12 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 10:00 AM CBB [532] FLORIDA STATE -7 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 10:00 AM CBB [536] SYRACUSE -10 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 11:00 AM CBB [552] LASALLE +3 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 11:00 AM CBB [553] UTAH U +20 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 11:00 AM CBB [556] OLD DOMINION -1 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 12:30 PM CBB [566] NEW MEXICO -10 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 01:00 PM CBB [571] SOUTH FLORIDA +1½ 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 01:00 PM CBB [573] HOFSTRA +11½ 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 01:00 PM CBB [587] OKLAHOMA STATE +18 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 02:00 PM CBB [591] WICHITA STATE +1 1.91

[StarDust Bum]

Evening NBA Best Bets:

02/11/2012 @ 04:05 PM NBA [502] TOTAL u185½ 1.91
(LA CLIPPERS vrs CHARLOTTE)

02/11/2012 @ 04:35 PM NBA [505] PHILADELPHIA -7½ 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 05:05 PM NBA [507] NEW YORK +6½ 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 05:05 PM NBA [509] SAN ANTONIO -9½ 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 05:05 PM NBA [509] TOTAL o194 1.91
(SAN ANTONIO vrs NEW JERSEY)

02/11/2012 @ 05:35 PM NBA [512] TOTAL u186 1.91
(PORTLAND vrs DALLAS)

02/11/2012 @ 07:05 PM NBA [516] TOTAL u196 1.91
(PHOENIX vrs SACRAMENTO)

[Kaptain]

keep er going BUM....gl tonight

[StarDust Bum]

I don't know why this wasn't posted as it was posted at several different site i post at....anyways this was the NCAAB best bets for tonight Need CS Northridge for a 10 Team Sweep....

02/11/2012 @ 04:10 PM CBB [614] ST. JOSEPHS -6½ 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 04:10 PM CBB [634] LSU -2 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 04:10 PM CBB [637] NORTH TEXAS +6 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 05:25 PM CBB [655] ARKANSAS STATE +6½ 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 06:10 PM CBB [659] KENTUCKY -5 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 06:10 PM CBB [661] SAN FRANCISCO -3 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 07:40 PM CBB [673] CS NORTHRIDGE +8½ 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 05:10 PM CBB [707] SE MISSOURI ST -6½ 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 05:55 PM CBB [710] TENNESSEE STATE -3½ 1.91

02/11/2012 @ 05:40 PM CBB [712] MURRAY STATE -11 1.91

[StarDust Bum]

NCAAB :

Morning Round Goes 7 - 3 - 1

Evening Round Goes 10 - 0

17 - 3 - 1 in College hoops today

14 - 6 - 0 the last two days

Combine 31 - 9 - 1 the last 3 days........ROLLING BABY

[Kaptain]

stay hot BUM....keep er going....thanks....love the new format for your plays, especially the rotation #'s