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**Udog** · 02-05-2012, 08:18 AM

Sunday’s betting tips: Scoring drought in Winnipeg

Who’s hot

NFL: The Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last five overall.

NFL: The under is 5-1 in the Giants' last six overall.

NBA: The under is 7-1 in the Grizzlies' last eight overall.

NCAAB: under is 7-1 in Michigan's last eight overall.

NHL: The Penguins are 8-1 in their last nine overall.

Who’s not

NFL: The Patriots are 1-7 ATS in their last eight playoff games.

NFL: The under is 7-22 in the Patriots' last 29 overall.

NBA: The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and 1-6 ATS in their last even against the Eastern Conference.

NCAAB: Northwestern is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games.

NHL: The over is 1-5 in the Flyers' last six overall and 0-5-2 in the Rangers' last seven home games.

Key stat

1.2 – Goals per game being scored by the Winnipeg Jets in their last five. They are 2-3 in that span with an overtime win and a shootout win. The Jets have been shutout once in this span and they have notched only one goal twice during this stretch. Winnipeg is coming off a 2-1 loss at Florida Friday heading into Sunday's road game at Montreal. A big part of the problem is that Evander Kane has been out with concussion-like symptoms since January 21 and he remains out indefinitely.

Injuries that shouldn’t be overlooked

Northwestern could be without two key players when it travels to Illinois Sunday. JerShon Cobb (6.0 ppg) has been out since January 4 with a hip injury and while he appeared close to a comeback, he suffered a setback and is still out indefinitely. Cobb may be joined on the sideline by 6-foot-11 center Luka Mirkovic (5.9 ppg, 3.8 rpg), who has been out since January 22 with a sprained ankle. Mirkovic is listed as questionable for Sunday. Cobb and Mirkovic combined to play 39 minutes in the Wildcats' 57-56 home loss to Illinois early last month. Northwestern is down to just six scholarship players Sunday.

Biggest game on the slate

Super Bowl XLVI: New York Giants vs. New England Patriots (-3, 53)

Notable quotable

“When we make a lot of mistakes and have the type of turnovers we had [Wednesday] night, we generally don’t win those games. And there’s a karma to the game. It affects oftentimes our offensive rhythm and it affects our defense, giving up easy pick-sixes going the other way.” -- Miami Heat head coach Erik Spoelstra after his team committed 17 turnovers in a loss at Milwaukee.

Tips and notes

The Boston Bruins are giving up goals left and right at the moment. From January 21 to February 2 they've endured five straight games in which they have allowed at least three goals. Boston managed to win two of those contests, including a 6-5 shootout victory at Philadelphia on January 22. The streak of generosity ended on Saturday when the Bruins allowed only two goals at home against Pittsburgh, but they still lost 2-1. Boston faces Washington on Sunday and gave up five goals to the Capitals in their last meeting on January 24.

Miami will be hard-pressed to score an upset victory in Cameron Indoor Stadium on Sunday, and not only because Duke is an 11.5-point favorite. The Hurricanes are already without Garrius Adams due to knee problems and now Kenny Kadji (12.5 ppg, 5.7 rpg) is questionable with a head injury. The 6-foot-11 power forward took a hard fall in practice on Tuesday and he missed Wednesday's overtime home win over Maryland. He is expected to play versus the Blue Devils but may not be 100 percent as he goes up against a strong front line led by Miles and Mason Plumlee.

Spencer Levin has never won on the PGA Tour, but he takes a six-shot lead into Sunday's final round of the Phoenix Open. Keep in mind that Kyle Stanley was under similar circumstances last week at the Farmers Insurance Open. Stanley, who also had never won on the PGA Tour (and still hasn't), had a five-shot lead heading into the final round and six-shot lead after nine holes. Should Levin falter, there are eight golfers within two shots of second place. Webb Simpson, who is in second at 11 under, is going off at +700 to win. Levin is the obvious favorite at -450.

**Udog** · 02-05-2012, 08:21 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

-- Nets started three guys named Williams Saturday night, and another one came off the bench.

-- West Virginia paid Florida State $350,000 to back out of home/home football series with the Seminoles. Must be softening the schedule.

-- There are 131 luxury boxes on the 16th hole at the Phoenix Open. An estimated 25,000 people were at the 16th Saturday.

-- Why would anyone think of signing Manny Ramirez while Vladimir Guerrero was still a free agent?

-- Iowa OC Ken O'Keefe is now the WR coach of the Dolphins; he is a good coach who won a national title in 1992 at the D-III level.

-- When Indiana won at Purdue Saturday, it was Tom Crean's first road win ever in Big Dozen play, against someone other than Penn State.

****************

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday........

13) Before I get into the day's basketball, let me say that I'm a Ram fan, not a fan of any of the five teams Bill Parcells worked for, but if he's not a Hall of Famer, then Yao Ming isn't tall. Anyone who thinks Marv Levy is a Hall of Famer and Parcells isn't shouldn't be allowed to vote. Its a joke.

12) This says a lot more about how the voting process stinks and how it is as much of a popularity contest as anything else. Levy is a good guy and Parcells can be a prick, but thats irrelevent. Voters are supposed to be evaluating a guy's career, not his likeability. Simply put, its not right.

11) Ironic that Curtis Martin got elected and he has already said he will ask Parcells to present him in Canton this summer. That should make for an interesting evening.

10) Switching to hoops, Missouri scored the last 11 points of the game to beat Kansas 74-71, in Jayhawks' last visit to Columbia as a conference rival. Mizzou moves to the SEC next year. No word on whether the two schools will keep their rivalry alive-- it'd be too bad if they didn't.

9) If I'm USC AD Pat Haden, I make Danny Hurley an offer he cannot refuse to become USC's hoop coach next season. The Trojans are awful, both bad and boring to watch- they need a jolt, and if Hurley can win at freakin' Wagner, I'm guessing he can win in LA.

8) Murray State is wobbling under the burden of being unbeaten; Racers struggled to beat a hideous UT-Martin squad 65-58 Saturday. No way do I vote Murray State in the top 10 after that performance.

7) Wisconsin lost 58-52 at home to Ohio State; hard to win when you're 5-27 from the arc, only 3-3 on the foul line. Buckeyes were only 1-7 on arc, but made 13-16 on the charity stripe.

6) Newly-signed Jeremy Lin scored 25 points with five rebounds, seven assists as the Knicks finally won a game, beating New Jersey 99-92. Lin is so new to the Knicks he doesn't even have a place to live; he stayed on teammate Landry Fields' couch Friday night.

5) Iona snapped Manhattan's 8-game winning streak with an 85-73 win in Draddy Gym; Gaels avenged an earlier loss to the Jaspers, when they led by 17 at the half, but couldn't seal the deal. They sealed it Saturday.

4) Clippers have led after the first quarter in 11 of their 13 home games, best record in the NBA. Toronto is 5-16-3 in first quarters, worst mark in the league. Signing Kenyon Martin affirms that the Clippers are serious contenders in the West.

3) Arizona Cardinal coach Ken Whisenhunt grew up in Augusta; when he was a kid, he worked on the scoreboards during The Masters.

2) Patriots cut a WR named Tiquan Underwood; not sure if its related, but Underwood was the guy Tom Brady was chewing out that game in Washington when OC Bill O'Brien then went after Brady, and the two had a shouting match. Curious time to cut a guy.

1) I'm not adverse to beating a dead horse, so one last Parcells point, as to why he belongs in the Hall of Fame. We know he won two titles with the Giants, but he also had the Patriots in the Super Bowl four years after they were 1-15 the year before he took over, and his Jets were 12-4 two years after they were 1-15, The guy was a great coach. A Hall of Famer.

**Udog** · 02-05-2012, 08:25 AM

NFL
Dunkel

NY Giants vs. New England
The Giants look to build on their 8-0 ATS record in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog. New York is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 5

Game 101-102: NY Giants vs. New England (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 143.438; New England 141.965
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: New England by 3; 55
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3); Over

NFL
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 5

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NY GIANTS (12 - 7) vs. NEW ENGLAND (15 - 3) - 2/5/2012, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 63-39 ATS (+20.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NFL
Short Sheet

Sunday, February 5

Super Bowl XLVI
NY GIANTS vs NEW ENGLAND, 6:30 PM ET NBC
NY GIANTS: 10-2 ATS as a Wild Card team
NEW ENGLAND: 26-9 Over in all games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 5

Giants are a #4 seed in NFC who scored in last minute to win their last two meetings with New England, so they will be confident underdogs Sunday night; they were +2 in turnovers in Week 9 meeting this year, and also got three first downs via penalty; Patriots outgained them 438-361. In my opinion, too many people are talking the Giants up and dismissing New England despite Patriots being the better team during the regular season.

We talked two weeks ago about how #4 seeds are worst of the division winners in a conference and how well #4 seeds did in conference title games; they do less well in Super Bowls, going 2-3 over last 19 years, though their last two losses were Titans in ‘99/Cardinals in ’08, two very close calls- they’re 3-2 vs spread in Super Bowls. Underdogs are 5-3 vs spread in last eight Super Bowls, 3-1 in last four. Average total in last three Super Bowls is 51.3. Game is indoors, so weather is no issue.

I think there is value with the Patriots here; they were 9.5-point favorites first time teams met, with game in Foxboro. Giants were a 7-7 team that got hot at right time, but they’ve talked a little bit too much for me this week. Think New England will dedicate this game to the late Mrs Kraft and get their cheater coach his fpurth Super Bowl title. Patriots, 31-20.

NFL

Sunday, February 5

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Trend Report
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6:30 PM
NY GIANTS vs. NEW ENGLAND
NY Giants are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 6 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 8 games

Red - Hot trends are trends 80% or higher. Blue - Cold trends are trends 20% or lower.

ATS Trends

N.Y. Giants
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Giants are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Giants are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog.
Giants are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 playoff games.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Giants are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.

New England
Patriots are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
Patriots are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Superbowl games.
Patriots are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite.
Patriots are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 playoff games.

OU Trends

N.Y. Giants
Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games on fieldturf.
Over is 9-1-1 in Giants last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 8-2 in Giants last 10 playoff games.
Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 11-4-1 in Giants last 16 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Giants last 7 playoff games as an underdog.
Over is 5-2 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.

New England
Over is 5-0 in Patriots last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 8-2 in Patriots last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 22-7 in Patriots last 29 games overall.
Over is 22-7 in Patriots last 29 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 24-8 in Patriots last 32 games as a favorite.
Over is 14-5 in Patriots last 19 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 8-3-1 in Patriots last 12 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Over is 26-10-1 in Patriots last 37 games on fieldturf.

Head to Head

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New England.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

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NFL

Sunday, February 5

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NFL Total Bias: Super Bowl XLVI's over/under pick
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I’ve never been much of a numbers guy.

Considering my chosen profession, that shouldn’t be a surprise to you. I needed a tutor to get through Grade 10 academic math, partly due to sheer laziness and partly due to sheer terror of an = sign.

The funny thing about it is that I never thought my issue carried over to sports.

I can still tell you more Wayne Gretzky numbers than you care to hear or what Bo Jackson’s career slugging percentage was (.474). I drooled all over myself when Randy Moss averaged 19 yards per catch and scored 17 touchdowns as a rookie back in ’98. I can convert odds and calculate units won/lost in my sleep.

For a stats junkie, these two weeks leading up to the Super Bowl should be gift from the football Gods, but for me it never plays out like that.

Maybe it’s all the Roman numerals.

More likely, though, is that it’s just a little overwhelming. Numbers do funny things to me when I’m mulling them about for too long.

I remember being hunched over one of those terrible classroom desks, completely stuck on one math problem during a quiz. I’d be sweating bullets, knowing that once this problem got in my head, I might as well sign my name and hand my paper in then because I was already cooked.

I guess I haven’t changed much since then.

In all honesty, this 54-point total listed for Sunday’s game has me bumbling around like John Nash in "A Beautiful Mind."

When the line was initially released, I wished I could have written this column that night to get in on the under when some shops had totals as high as 56.5 on the board. Wise advice from seasoned oddsmakers years ago had me immediately thinking that when a game’s this big, bettors aren’t hoping for field goals.

But you can’t base your pick strictly on an inflated Super Bowl total – which this most certainly is. I’ve gone back and forth on my pick a few times, thinking about Brady and Eli going shot-for-shot in an end zone orgy and whether New England’s defense can manage to pull its own weight for a mere 60 minutes.

Like you, I’m still worried about Ron Gronkowski’s ankle and I can’t help but wonder if the clock is going to strike 12 at some point for these surging Giants.

But whether you’re talking about the biggest football game in the world or a 10th grade math exam, in the end it always comes back to preparation, which is why coaching (or tutors) are so important.

Ron Borges has a great piece about the similarities between Bill Belichick and Tom Coughlin in Wednesday’s Boston Herald.

The column’s real strength is its quotes from players who have been coached by both Belichick and Coughlin over the years (of course, they coached together from 1988-90 in New York). It’s pretty evident that above everything else, the one thing that ties the two together is attention to detail.

“When I was the secondary coach and Tom was the receivers coach at the Giants,” Belichick said at Tuesday’s press conference, “we worked against each other daily and we also had great rapport off the field of helping each other out, talking about the different techniques and players of our upcoming opponents and suggestions on how to cover them or run routes — helping each other out on things like that as well as working with each other on the practice field.

“He’s shared things with me and I’ve shared things with him. That’s part of a friendship; that’s part of a mutual respect that we have.”

That’s why as everybody breaks drown Brady vs. Manning and New York’s defensive line against New England’s pass defense, I just keep coming back to Belichick vs. Coughlin.

With two weeks to prepare for this game and all the history between these two coaches, I just can’t see this being a blowout for either team. And as strong as both offenses are, Belichick and Coughlin always seem to find a way of taking away their opposition’s greatest weapons.

That’s what I think keeps this game under the total as the Patriots pull out a 27-21 victory.

Anything can happen on any given Sunday, but more often than not it’s all the hours you put in off the field that produce success on it. Belichick has been dreaming about this particular Sunday for a very long time.

Conference Championships record: 1-1

Season record to date: 33-28

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NFL

Sunday, February 5

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Super Bowl tale of the tape: Giants vs. Patriots
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New York Giants vs. New England Patriots (-3, 54)

Offense

In many ways, Eli Manning rescued the Giants’ season from the brink of disaster. He finished with a career-best 4,933 yards (fourth best in the league) to go along with 29 touchdowns and 16 interceptions. He has thrown for at least 300 yards in three of his last four and has 11 touchdowns and only one interception over that span.

Wideouts Victor Cruz and Mario Manningham combined for more than 2,700 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns, while Cruz averaged 18.7 yards per catch. Ahmad Bradshaw started just nine games but still managed 659 rushing yards and nine touchdowns, although he is still dealing with a foot problem and only averaged 3.9 yards per carry on the year.

The Giants’ running game ranks 32nd, averaging 89.2 yards per game and New York’s total offense puts up 385.1 yards per game and 24.6 points per contest.
Paced by Tom Brady’s right arm, the Patriots average 428.2 yards and 32.1 points per game. Brady put up a career-best 5,235 passing yards (the second-highest total in history) with 39 TDs, 12 INTs and a 105.6 passer rating.

Four different Patriots caught at least 50 passes. Wes Welker pulled in 122 grabs, while Rob Gronkowski (who is still battling a high ankle sprain) scored 17 touchdowns. Gronkowski and fellow tight end Aaron Hernandez (910 yards, seven touchdowns), helped New England to the fourth-best red-zone offense in the league, scoring majors on 65 percent of its opportunities.

The Patriots rotate running backs in and out of the lineup, but do manage 110.2 yards per game on the ground.

Edge: Patriots

Defense

New England’s secondary was ripped apart in the regular season, allowing 293.9 passing yards per game (31st), while the running defense is just mediocre yielding 117.1 yards per contest. The Pats ranked in the middle of the pack in sacks during the regular season (40), but have rebounded with eight in the postseason. They ranked second in the league with 23 regular-season interceptions. In the regular season they gave up 411 yards per game but have cut that number to 325 in the playoffs.

New York tied for second with 40 sacks during the regular season. Jason Pierre-Paul led the way with 16.5 sacks and the club has added nine more since then. The Giants checked in just behind the Pats with 20 interceptions in the regular season and also forced 16 fumbles. The Giants owned the No. 27 total defense in the league yielding 376.4 points per game in the regular season but have allowed only 321 yards and 13 points per game in the playoffs.

Edge: Giants

Special teams

Neither of these teams excel on special teams.

The Patriots probably have the edge in the kicking department as Stephen Gostkowski hit almost 85 percent of his field goal tries this year, while punter Zoltan Mesko averages 46.5 yards per punt.

New England is taking kicks back an average of 32.3 yards in the postseason, significantly better than its 21.4 average in the regular season. However, the Pats don’t get much on punt returns (10.3 yards in the postseason and much worse in the regular season). On the bright side, New England held teams to 21.6 yards per kick return and coverage specialist Matthew Slater went to the Pro Bowl.

Lawrence Tynes hits just 78 percent of his field goal attempts for the Giants while punter Steve Weatherford averages 45.7 yards per boot. New York allows opposing teams to take kicks back an average of 22.9 yards per kickoff and 9.9 yards on punts. The Giants may use Jerrel Jernigan on some returns Sunday. They are averaging only 16 yards per kickoff return in the postseason and 7.5 yards on punts. They were only marginally better in those two areas during the regular season.

Just a slight edge to the Patriots here.

Edge: Patriots

Word on the street

“I think it starts with hitting him, even when you don’t actually get sacks, just keeping people around him so he can’t step up. I think he gets a little frustrated when he has to go to his second or third receivers. You can kind of confuse him sometimes with our coverage. I think there are a lot of things that can get him rattled, but it just seems like not too many people are able to do that.” - New York Giants defensive lineman Justin Tuck about facing Tom Brady.

"You have to try to take something away. I'm not sure what you try to take away. I guess you have to pick your poison. The way Eli (Manning) is playing right now, he's making all the right choices. The running backs are running hard.” – Patriots linebacker Jerod Mayo about his team’s game plan against New York.

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NFL

Sunday, February 5

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Super Bowl XLVI: What bettors need to know
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New York Giants vs. New England Patriots (-3, 54)

THE STORY: Two Super Bowl MVP quarterbacks, a rematch of one of the biggest upsets in the game's history and fervent fan bases that share much of the same geographic region.

Storylines abound for Sunday's Super Bowl XLVI matchup between the New York Giants and New England Patriots, yet much of the hype has centered on the left foot of a second-year tight end. An injury to New England's Rob Gronkowski, who is expected to play but it is unclear how much due to a high ankle sprain, could have the biggest impact on the outcome when the Patriots and Giants clash in the Super Bowl for the second time in five seasons.

New York won the previous matchup as a double-digit underdog, spoiling New England's bid for a perfect 19-0 season with a 17-14 victory in February 2008. The Giants are also the last team to beat the Patriots, who have won 10 straight games since a 24-20 loss to New York in Week 9 that snapped New England's streak of 20 consecutive regular-season home victories.

In both matchups, Giants quarterback Eli Manning – the MVP of Super Bowl XLII – led a last-minute comeback to upstage Patriots QB Tom Brady, a two-time Super Bowl MVP.

TV: NBC, 6:30 p.m. ET.

LINE (Check out our in-depth action report on the Super Bowl odds): Oddsmakers opened the Patriots as big as 4-point favorites. Action on the Giants has moved the spread down to -2.5. The total opened at 55 points and dropped to as low as 54 this week.

ABOUT THE GIANTS (12-7, 11-7-1 ATS): New York has taken a path that is eerily similar to its Super Bowl run four years ago, shaking off a mediocre regular season to rattle off five consecutive victories that included beating the NFC’s top two seeds – Green Bay and San Francisco – on the road.

Defense has sparked the turnaround for the Giants, who have surrendered only 39 points in three postseason victories while registering nine sacks and forcing seven turnovers. Manning threw for a career-high 4,933 yards with 29 touchdowns vs. only 16 interceptions in the regular season and has been steely efficient in the postseason with eight TDs and one pick.

Manning threw for a league-high 15 fourth-quarter touchdowns in the regular season, including two in the victory over the Patriots. Receivers Hakeem Nicks (4 TDs in the postseason), Victor Cruz (NFC-high 1,536 yards) and Mario Manningham (3 TDs in the postseason) give Manning plenty of weapons.

Running back Ahmad Bradshaw, who missed the regular-season meeting, rushed for 74 yards in the NFC title game. He’ll be complemented by bruiser Brandon Jacobs, who ran for 72 yards against the Patriots in November.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (15-3, 10-8 ATS): Brady followed up a record-setting effort against Denver with one of his worst postseason performances in a 23-20 win over Baltimore in the AFC title game. He finished with 239 yards and was picked off twice while failing to throw a touchdown pass for the first time since Week 17 of the 2009 season.

Brady overcame a wobbly start to throw for 342 yards and two TD passes against New York in November, but eight of his completions and one TD went to Gronkowski, who has been limited in practice since being injured. Gronkowski was the centerpiece of the Patriots’ high-powered offense, hauling in 90 receptions and setting league records for TDs (17) and receiving yards (1,327) by a tight end.

Brady, who threw for 5,235 yards, 39 TDs and 12 interceptions, will join John Elway as the only quarterback to start five Super Bowls and can surpass Joe Montana (16) for the most postseason victories. Receiver Wes Welker had a league-high 122 catches, including nine for 136 yards against the Giants. The big question is whether New England’s much-maligned defense can stop Manning when it counts.

SUPER BOWL HISTORY

GIANTS (3-1): Def. Denver 39-20 (1986); def. Buffalo 20-19 (1990); lost to Baltimore 34-7 (2000); def. New England 17-14 (2007).

PATRIOTS (3-3): Lost to Chicago 46-10 (1985); lost to Green Bay 35-21 (1996); def. St. Louis 20-17 (2001); def. Carolina 32-29 (2003); def. Philadelphia 24-21 (2004); lost to N.Y. Giants (2007).

BETTING TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings in New England.
* Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Sunday’s game will mark the first time that both starting quarterbacks have been former Super Bowl MVPs.

2. New York is the second team to advance to the Super Bowl (Arizona 2008) by beating three playoff opponents with better records.

3. The previous four Super Bowl appearances by New England, all coming in a seven-year span, were decided by three points.

4. Patriots head coach Bill Belichick and New York’s Tom Coughlin each served on the same staff with the Giants under Bill Parcells.

5. In the Week 9 meeting, the Patriots and Giants played the first scoreless opening half of the season.

PREDICTION: Giants 27, Patriots 23 - A hobbled Gronkowski is too much to overcome for New England’s offense, particularly in the red zone, and New York makes it two Super Bowl wins in five seasons.

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NFL

Sunday, February 5

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Best last-minute bets for Super Bowl XLVI
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It’s a bad dream, like that reoccurring one about the big test you forgot to study for.

But as you pinch your arm and do a double-take at the clock, you realize you left out one huge, giant, Vince Wilfork-sized thing while planning your perfect Super Bowl Sunday.

You forgot to bet!

Somewhere in between making your special five-alarm chilli and arranging to have your phone disconnected between kickoff and the final whistle, you totally spaced on getting your action down on the biggest betting day of the year.

Take a breath. Now take another.

*********** comes to the rescue like a David Tyree helmet catch with our best last-minute bets for Super Bowl XLVI.

First score of the game – Giants field goal (+350)

With the Pats’ tendency to defer receiving to the second half and the Giants’ tendency to receive the opening kick, there’s a good chance that New York will have the first crack with the football.

Like two prize fighters, these teams will feel each other out in the opening quarter. New England has a bend-but-don’t-break defense and with New York not showing its hand, expect the G-Men to strike first with a field goal. It’s how they got things started versus the Patriots in Super Bowl XLII.

Total sacks by both teams – Over 3.5 (-130)

With the number of times the Pats and Giants will drop back, taking the over just seems like solid math.

New York has nine sacks this postseason and was tied for third in the league with 48 QB kills in the regular season. New England has eight sacks in just two playoff games and knows it must get Eli moving if it is going to stop the downfield attack.

Will the team that scores first win the Super Bowl? – Yes (-170)

This seems like a high price for a simple prop bet. But c’mon, you’re doing this at the last minute. Looking back over the history of the Big Game, the team that has scored first has gone 29-16. That includes the Packers last year.

If you’re thinking about taking our “First score of the game” prop above, you may want to throw down some coin on the G-Men +3.

Player to record reception first: Welker (-110)/ Gronkowski (-120)

There is still a big question mark when it comes to Rob Gronkowski’s bum ankle, so we’ll gladly look to Brady’s former go-to guy Wes Welker with the reduced juice.

Welker has been very quiet in the playoffs, but was a beast versus the Giants in the regular season, catching 12 balls for 138 yards. With New York focused on New England’s dynamic tight end, Welker should have space to operate.

Super Bowl MVP – Stephen Gostkowski +10,000

With a spread this close, the Vegas oddsmakers expect this one to come down to the wire.

The Patriots have a history of winning big games on the foot of their kicker and Gostkowski is paying off like a Kris Humphries tell-all book. However, in the history of the Super Bowl MVP, it’s never gone to a kicker.

Other value MVP bets include Pats WR Deion Branch (+6,600), who won the honor in Super Bowl XXXIX, and Giants’ bulldozing running back Brandon Jacobs (+7,500), who could easily rush for two TDs on two total yards if New York gets to the goal line a few times.

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**Udog** · 02-05-2012, 08:28 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Michigan at Michigan State
The Spartans look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 home games. Michigan State is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has he Spartans favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-8 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 5

Game 805-806: West Virginia at Providence (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 66.695; Providence 59.148
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 7 1/2; 139
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 4 1/2; 144
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-4 1/2); Under

Game 807-808: Michigan at Michigan State (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 67.933; Michigan State 78.413
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 10 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 8 1/2; 126
Dunkel Pick Michigan State (-8 1/2); Over

Game 809-810: Minnesota at Nebraska (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 65.004; Nebraska 62.177
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 3; 128
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 1; 123
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-1); Over

Game 811-812: Youngstown State at Loyola-Chicago (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 51.742; Loyola-Chicago 49.059
Dunkel Line: Youngstown State by 2 1/2; 116
Vegas Line: Youngstown State by 4; 118
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (+4); Under

Game 813-814: Cleveland State at Illinois Chicago (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 61.429; Illinois-Chicago 54.162
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 7 1/2; 121
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 9 1/2; 126
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+9 1/2); Under

Game 815-816: Villanova at Pittsburgh (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 60.996; Pittsburgh 70.725
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 9 1/2; 153
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 8; 148
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-8); Over

Game 817-818: Miami (FL) at Duke (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 62.066; Duke 75.909
Dunkel Line: Duke by 14; 144
Vegas Line: Duke by 11 1/2; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-11 1/2); Under

Game 819-820: Northwestern at Illinois (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 62.207; Illinois 70.364
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 8; 133
Vegas Line: Illinois by 6; 130
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-6); Over

Game 821-822: Niagara at Rider (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 49.251; Rider 57.154
Dunkel Line: Rider by 8; 147
Vegas Line: Rider by 5 1/2; 153 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rider (-5 1/2); Under

Game 823-824: Loyola-MD at St. Peter's (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 57.493; St. Peter's 47.096
Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 10 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 8 1/2; 123 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (-8 1/2); Over

Game 825-826: Siena at Fairfield (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 49.207; Fairfield 57.683
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 8 1/2; 130
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 11; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Siena (+11); Over

**Udog** · 02-05-2012, 08:30 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 5

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W VIRGINIA (15 - 8) at PROVIDENCE (13 - 10) - 2/5/2012, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PROVIDENCE is 82-112 ATS (-41.2 Units) in all home games since 1997.
PROVIDENCE is 82-112 ATS (-41.2 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
PROVIDENCE is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PROVIDENCE is 47-74 ATS (-34.4 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
PROVIDENCE is 27-52 ATS (-30.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN (17 - 6) at MICHIGAN ST (17 - 5) - 2/5/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 33-8 ATS (+24.2 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MICHIGAN is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 4-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 3-2 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (16 - 7) at NEBRASKA (11 - 10) - 2/5/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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YOUNGSTOWN ST (12 - 10) at LOYOLA-IL (5 - 17) - 2/5/2012, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-IL is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOYOLA-IL is 4-1 against the spread versus YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
LOYOLA-IL is 3-2 straight up against YOUNGSTOWN ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND ST (19 - 4) at IL-CHICAGO (7 - 15) - 2/5/2012, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IL-CHICAGO is 98-68 ATS (+23.2 Units) in all home games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 98-68 ATS (+23.2 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
CLEVELAND ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after a conference game this season.
CLEVELAND ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND ST is 4-2 against the spread versus IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND ST is 6-0 straight up against IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VILLANOVA (10 - 12) at PITTSBURGH (14 - 9) - 2/5/2012, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games this season.
VILLANOVA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
VILLANOVA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
VILLANOVA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-0 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-0 straight up against VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (13 - 7) at DUKE (19 - 3) - 2/5/2012, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
DUKE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 104-73 ATS (+23.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
MIAMI is 88-62 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
MIAMI is 88-62 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
MIAMI is 81-53 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
MIAMI is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
MIAMI is 81-52 ATS (+23.8 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
MIAMI is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
MIAMI is 97-69 ATS (+21.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MIAMI is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
MIAMI is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
DUKE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 4-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NORTHWESTERN (13 - 8) at ILLINOIS (16 - 6) - 2/5/2012, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) in February games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 3-2 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 3-2 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NIAGARA (9 - 15) at RIDER (9 - 15) - 2/5/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 59-86 ATS (-35.6 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
RIDER is 6-24 ATS (-20.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
RIDER is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
RIDER is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
RIDER is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
RIDER is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
RIDER is 3-1 against the spread versus NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
RIDER is 4-0 straight up against NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOYOLA-MD (17 - 5) at ST PETERS (5 - 18) - 2/5/2012, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST PETERS is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 95-49 ATS (+41.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 95-49 ATS (+41.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 79-38 ATS (+37.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 36-7 ATS (+28.3 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 74-44 ATS (+25.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
LOYOLA-MD is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LOYOLA-MD is 33-8 ATS (+24.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
ST PETERS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
ST PETERS is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ST PETERS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST PETERS is 4-2 against the spread versus LOYOLA-MD over the last 3 seasons
ST PETERS is 4-2 straight up against LOYOLA-MD over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SIENA (10 - 12) at FAIRFIELD (12 - 10) - 2/5/2012, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SIENA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
FAIRFIELD is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
FAIRFIELD is 4-2 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
SIENA is 4-2 straight up against FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-05-2012, 08:35 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 5

I'm sure West Virginia had pleasant week of practice after losing its last three games, scoring 63 ppg; Mountaineers scored 74+ points in all five of its Big East wins. WVU is 1-4 on Big East road, winning at Rutgers; they scored 57 ppg in the four losses. Providence is 2-8 in conference, but 2-3 at home with a win over Louisville; Friars' home losses are by 14-9-7 points. West Virginia needs to win this game. Big East home underdogs of 5 or less points are 6-8 against the spread.

Michigan State (-1) lost 60-59 in Ann Arbor Jan 17, their third loss in a row to Michigan after winning 18 of previous 21 meetings; Wolverines shot 51% in that first game, would expect stronger effort here, as State is 4-0 as Big Dozen home fave, winning at home by 15-34-25-16 points. Michigan is 4-1 as conference underdog, 3-1 on road- their losses are by 2-16-15 points in Big Dozen play. Big Dozen single digit home favorites are 13-14 against spread. Spartans allowed 50.7 ppg last three games.

Minnesota lost four of its six Big Dozen road games, winning at Penn St by 14, Indiana by 4; Gophers are 10-0 this season against teams ranked outside top 100. Nebraska is 3-7 in conference games, 2-2 at home, with wins over Penn State by 12, Indiana by 1- they've allowed 78.7 ppg in last three games, after allowing average of 62.7 ppg in first seven league games. Big Dozen underdogs are 10-4 against the spread when number is 3 or less points.

Youngstown State (-8.5) beat Loyola Chi 68-64 in OT in first meeting, despite Penguins making just 10-23 from line, 6-19 from arc- they're 3-4 on Horizon road, but got upset at UIC Thursday after having won three of previous four games. Horizon home underdogs are 9-6 vs spread, 5-4 if spread is less than 5 points. Penguins are 2-2 as Horizon favorite, 0-1 on road. Loyola 0-11 in league play, 3-7 vs spread as a dog, but they did cover two of their last three conference games.

Cleveland State (-16) beat Ill-Chicago 73-56 in first meeting, holding the Flames to 30% from floor, 5-17 from arc; Vikings made 11-20 from arc in game they led 35-18 at the half. Horizon home underdogs are 9-6 vs spread, 4-2 if spread is more than 5 points. Cleveland won its last four games (3-0-1 vs spread); they're 3-1 as Horizon road favorites, winning away games by 2-5-7-18-20 points. UIC covered five of last six games, all of which were decided by 8 or less points.

Villanova/Pittsburgh are both 3-7 in Big East, but Panthers won three in row, scoring 76.7 ppg after an 8-game losing streak made worse because PG Woodall was hurt. Villanova allowed 76+ points in each of its last six games; they're 1-4 on Big East road, 2-2 as road underdog, losing on road by 14-4-4-10 points. Big East home favorites of 8 or less points are 14-15 against the spread. Pitt had scored 63 points in six of first seven conference games, before scoring 86-72-72 in last three games.

Miami won its last three games after starting 1-3 in ACC; they're 1-0-1 as an ACC dog this season, with losses by 1-17-5 points- they won in double OT last game, over Maryland. Road team is 6-1 against spread in Duke's ACC games; Blue Devils are 0-3 as ACC home favorite, winning home games by 3-18 points with a loss to Florida State. Duke has game with North Carolina on deck, but they better not look past Hurricanes. ACC double digit home favorites are 1-9-2 against the spread.

Northwestern (-2.5) lost 57-56 at home to Illinois Jan 4, as Shurna was held to 3 points in second half, after scoring 17 in first. Wildcats are 1-3 as Big Dozen road underdog, losing away games by 33-2-20-23 points. Illinois snapped 3-game skid with tense 42-41 win over Michigan State, holding Spartans to 24% from floor. Big Dozen home favorites of 6 or less points are 7-10 against the spread. All five of Illinois' league home games were decided by 5 or less points, or in overtime.

Niagara lost its last four games, by 7-12-17-8 points, but covered five of last seven; they're 4-1 against spread as a MAAC road dog. Rider is 3-1 in its last four games; they're 7-2-1 against spread in last ten games, 4-0 vs spread in last four at home, winning by 13-24-35-11 points. MAAC home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-5-1 against the spread. Rider is 8-5 in its last 13 games after starting season 1-10; only one of their last nine games was decided by less than nine points.

St Peter's (+12.5) lost 65-54 at Loyola 12 days ago, with Greyhounds grabbing 14 offensive boards. Loyola won five in row, eight of last nine games- they're 4-1 on MAAC road, 3-0 as road favorite, winning away games by 7-4-12-18 points, with a loss at Iona. St Peter's snapped skid with win at Siena Friday, but they're 3-6 as MAAC underdog, 1-2 as a home dog, losing last three home games by 14-12-24 points. MAAC single digit home underdogs are 3-8 against the spread.

Disappointing Fairfield won four of last five games, allowing 59.3 ppg in the four wins; Stags (-6.5) got upset 73-60 at Siena Jan 6, as Siena made 8-13 from despite using only six players- both guards played the entire 40 minutes. Saints'slack of depth explains their 0-5 mark as road dog in MAAC play, with losses by 7-36-19-11-11 points- they even lost last game at home to a bad St Peter's team. Fourth straight home game for the Stags. MAAC double digit home favorites are 3-9 against the spread.

**Udog** · 02-05-2012, 08:36 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, February 5

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Trend Report
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12:00 PM
LOYOLA vs. SAINT PETER'S
Loyola is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Loyola is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Saint Peter's
Saint Peter's is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Saint Peter's is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games

12:00 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. PROVIDENCE
West Virginia is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Providence is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Providence's last 6 games

1:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. NEBRASKA
Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Nebraska is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 6 games

1:00 PM
MICHIGAN vs. MICHIGAN STATE
Michigan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Michigan is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Michigan State
Michigan State is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Michigan State's last 12 games

1:00 PM
NIAGARA vs. RIDER
Niagara is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Niagara's last 6 games on the road
Rider is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Rider is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

2:00 PM
VILLANOVA vs. PITTSBURGH
Villanova is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Villanova is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games

2:00 PM
YOUNGSTOWN STATE vs. LOYOLA OF CHICAGO
Youngstown State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Youngstown State is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Loyola of Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Loyola of Chicago's last 6 games

2:00 PM
CLEVELAND STATE vs. ILLINOIS-CHICAGO
Cleveland State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland State's last 6 games on the road
Illinois-Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Illinois-Chicago is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

3:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN vs. ILLINOIS
Northwestern is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Northwestern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Illinois is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Illinois is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games

3:00 PM
MIAMI vs. DUKE
Miami is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Duke is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Duke is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

3:30 PM
SIENA vs. FAIRFIELD
Siena is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Siena is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Fairfield is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Fairfield is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 02-05-2012, 08:38 AM

NCAAB

Sunday, February 5

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College funds: Sunday's best NCAAB bets
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Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans (-8.5, 126)

Michigan State is 13-0 at home this season and 7-3 ATS, including 4-0 ATS in their last four. The Spartans, however, could be in unfamiliar territory on Sunday against Michigan.

Senior captain Draymond Green, who leads the team in both scoring (14.9 ppg) and rebounding (10.2) suffered a knee injury in a 42-41 loss at Illinois on Tuesday. It could have been worse, but the sprain leaves Green probable for the rivalry game against the Wolverines. He was recently upgraded from doubtful, but he may not be 100 percent.

Michigan State needs Green at full strength because Michigan is playing solid basketball and is a half-game ahead of the Spartans in the Big Ten standings at 7-3. The Wolverines are coming off a 68-56 home win over Indiana on Wednesday.

The Spartans will have to do a better job of containing Michigan guard Trey Burke, who went for 18 points against Indiana and has scored in double-figures in 16 of his last 17 games. Burke scored a game-high 20 points in a 60-59 win over Michigan State on January 17.

Pick: Michigan

Villanova Wildcats at Pittsburgh Panthers (-8, 144.5)

An eight-game slide in December and January was Pittsburgh's longest in more than 10 years. It should come as no surprise that the end of the losing streak coincided with the return of point guard Tray Woodall.

Woodall missed the last six games of the skid with an abdominal injury before returning on January 21. The Panthers lost at home to Louisville, but Woodall was easing back into action and contributed only two assists and one rebound.

Now, Pittsburgh is in the midst of a three-game winning streak (all versus Big East competition) and Woodall has been a huge factor in all three games. He had 17 points and nine assists in a blowout of Providence, dished out 10 assists in a 12-point victory over Georgetown, and poured in 24 points in a win at West Virginia on Tuesday. The Panthers covered the spread in all three contests.

"We were flowing," Woodall said after beating Providence last week. "We were setting each other up. When I'm out there it allows guys more room to work the ball and everyone is able to get shots. It looked real good out there with everyone knocking down shots with confidence."

Villanova, meanwhile, is 1-6 on the road this season and the team has lost two in a row overall (0-2 ATS).

Pick: Pittsburgh

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**Udog** · 02-05-2012, 08:49 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Pittsburgh at New Jersey
The Devils look to build on their 4-0 record in their last 4 games when playing with 0 days of rest. New Jersey is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Devils favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 5

Game 1-2: Boston at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.661; Washington 10.497
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-145); Over

Game 3-4: Pittsburgh at New Jersey (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.144; New Jersey 12.653
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+105); Under

Game 5-6: Philadelphia at NY Rangers (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 12.014; NY Rangers 10.498
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+125); Under

Game 7-8: Winnipeg at Montreal (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 19.951; Montreal 11.488
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-130); Over

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 5

Hot teams
-- Washington won ten of its last twelve home games.
-- New Jersey is 3-0 since All-Star break, scoring 15 goals. Penguins won five of their last six road games.
-- Flyers are 7-0 in game following their last seven losses. Rangers won three of their last four games.

Cold teams
-- Bruins lost their last two games, scoring one goal.
-- Jets lost ten of their last fifteen games. Montreal lost five of its last seven home games.

Totals
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Boston road games.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in New Jersey's last eight home games.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in Philly's last five away games.
-- Last five Winnipeg road games stayed under the total.

Series records
-- Bruins lost seven of last nine visits to Washington.
-- Home side won seven of last eight Penguin-Devil games.
-- Rangers won their last five games against Philadelphia.
-- Montreal won four of its last five games against the Jets.

Back-to-Back
-- Washington is 2-4 if it played the day/nite before. Bruins are 2-0 if they lost the day/nite before.
-- New Jersey is 7-3 if it played day/nite before, 3-1 if it won. Penguins are 2-4 on road if they played day/nite before.
-- Flyers are 3-5 if they played the night before.
-- Montreal is 2-3 if it lost the day/nite before.

NHL

Sunday, February 5

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Trend Report
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12:30 PM
BOSTON vs. WASHINGTON
Boston is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games on the road
Washington is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

1:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY RANGERS
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the NY Rangers last 10 games when playing Philadelphia

1:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. NEW JERSEY
Pittsburgh is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing New Jersey
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
New Jersey is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

2:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. MONTREAL
Winnipeg is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Montreal is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Montreal's last 12 games

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NHL

Sunday, February 5

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Ice picks: Sunday's best NHL bets
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Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils (108, 5)

No Sidney Crosby, no problem. At least for the moment.

The Penguins had won eight in a row prior to Wednesday's 1-0 loss at Toronto. They scored 33 goals during those eight wins, an average of 4.13 goals per game. Pittsburgh scored only two goals on Saturday, but it still won 2-1 at Boston.

New Jersey, meanwhile, is giving up goals at an alarming rate. The Devils allowed four on Saturday at Philadelphia, but they came away with a 6-4 victory. They have surrendered 20 goals in their last five contests.

The Devils have three players questionable for Sunday's home date with Pittsburgh. Center Ryan Carter (two goals, two assists, 60 penalty minutes) is dealing with a hand injury, center Adam Henrique (13 goals, 21 assists) has missed three games due to a groin problem, and a bruised back has sidelined defenseman Adam Larsson (two goals, 14 assists) for the last two contests.

Pick: Penguins

Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers (-138, 5.5)

Starting goalie Henrik Lundqvist is a huge reason why the Rangers are on top of the Atlantic Division and in contention for the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference. He is in the top five in all four of the key goaltending categories - wins (fifth with 23), shutouts (tied for first with six), GAA (second at 1.77), and save percentage (first at .939).

Lundqvist is especially on fire at the moment. He has allowed only two goals in his last three games and he is coming off two straight shutouts. On Wednesday, he stopped 34 shots before New York won at Buffalo in a shootout.

The Flyers can expect to see Lundqvist in goal on Sunday because he had almost a week off for the All-Star break and he got some rest on Tuesday when backup Martin Biron was in goal for a shootout loss at New Jersey.

Pick: Rangers

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**Udog** · 02-05-2012, 08:58 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Toronto at Miami
The Raptors look to take advantage of a Miami team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games. Toronto is the pick (+16 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by only 12 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+16 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 5

Game 801-802: Memphis at Boston (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 121.678; Boston 124.681
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 3; 180
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 5; 177 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+5); Over

Game 803-804: Toronto at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 113.264; Miami 125.711
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 12 1/2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 16 1/2; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+16 1/2); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 5

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MEMPHIS (12 - 11) at BOSTON (12 - 10) - 2/5/2012, 12:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 72-45 ATS (+22.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 65-36 ATS (+25.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
BOSTON is 68-88 ATS (-28.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (8 - 16) at MIAMI (17 - 6) - 2/5/2012, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points since 1996.
TORONTO is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's write-Up

Sunday, February 5

Hot Teams
-- Celtics won seven of their last eight games (4-7 as home favorite).
-- Miami won eight of its last nine home games (1-4 vs spread last five as home favorite). Raptors are 4-3 in last seven games (8-7 as road dog).

Cold Teams
-- Memphis lost four of last five road games (4-6 as road dog).

Wear and Tear
-- Grizzlies: 5th game/7 days. Celtics: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Raptors: 4th game/6 nites. Heat: 3rd game/5 days.

Totals
-- Six of last seven Memphis road games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Miami home games stayed under.

NBA

Sunday, February 5

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Trend Report
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12:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. BOSTON
Memphis is 15-5-2 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Boston
Memphis is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston
Boston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Memphis
Boston is 5-15-2 ATS in its last 22 games when playing Memphis

1:00 PM
TORONTO vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

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NBA

Sunday, February 5

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Pick 'n' roll: Sunday's best NBA bets
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Memphis Grizzlies at Boston Celtics (-4.5, 179)

Jesus Shuttlesworth has game. And he's had a whole lot of game especially since returning from an ankle injury on January 29.

Ray Allen missed three games late last month with the injury, but he has now scored in double-figures in four straight outings. Allen is scoring 15 points per game during this stretch and he has connected on 11 of 19 three-point attempts in his last four.

Not coincidentally, the Celtics have won three in a row and seven of their last eight (5-3 ATS) heading into Sunday's home game against the Grizzlies. They have won four of their last five at home after Friday's 91-89 comeback victory over the Knicks.

The Grizzlies are mediocre at defending the 3-point line, allowing opponents to shoot 34.8 percent from beyond the arc (16th in the NBA). As for the team's overall outlook, Memphis has lost five of its last seven games (3-4 ATS).

Pick: Celtics

Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat (-16, 189)

Don't be alarmed by the bloated 16-point spread. Lately, when the Raptors lose, they lose in a major way.

Toronto lost by 15 at Denver on January 27 before things really got ugly. The team fell 100-77 at home to Atlanta on Tuesday and it got blown out 100-64 at Boston on Wednesday. The Raptors have actually won two of their last five, but those victories came against lowly New Jersey and Washington.

Such is life for Toronto without Andrea Bargnani, who has missed the last five games (and all three blowout losses) with a strained left calf. Bargnani sustained the injury on January 25 against the Jazz and he remains out indefinitely.

Miami, on the other hand, actually has all hands on deck at the moment. The Big Three is healthy and played like it in a dominant 20-point road win at Philadelphia on Friday. Dwyane Wade scored 26 points, Chris Bosh added 12, and LeBron James contributed 19 points, 12 rebounds, and eight assists.

Pick: Heat

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**Udog** · 02-05-2012, 09:01 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 5

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BOSTON (32-16-0-2, 66 pts.) at WASHINGTON (27-20-0-4, 58 pts.) - 2/5/2012, 12:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 137-118 ATS (+263.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
BOSTON is 10-1 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 25-16 ATS (+42.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 11-19 ATS (-17.4 Units) in home games after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 16-21 ATS (-14.5 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.4 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (30-18-0-4, 64 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (29-19-0-3, 61 pts.) - 2/5/2012, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 29-21 ATS (+2.8 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 13-2 ATS (+10.1 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 36-23 ATS (+7.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 19-13 ATS (+5.2 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 25-13 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 11-4 ATS (+15.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 10-5 (+6.3 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 10-5-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
11 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+8.4 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (30-15-0-6, 66 pts.) at NY RANGERS (32-12-0-5, 69 pts.) - 2/5/2012, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 32-16 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-5 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-13 ATS (+37.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 152-166 ATS (-77.9 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 48-68 ATS (-39.1 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 92-97 ATS (-54.3 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 128-162 ATS (-100.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 8-7 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 8-7-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.7 Units)

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WINNIPEG (24-23-0-6, 54 pts.) at MONTREAL (19-24-0-9, 47 pts.) - 2/5/2012, 2:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 18-11 ATS (+30.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 13-4 ATS (+17.7 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
MONTREAL is 18-33 ATS (-16.7 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 3-12 ATS (+18.3 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 6-5 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-5-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

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**Kaptain** · 02-05-2012, 10:05 AM

as always, thanks U dog.......appreciate your efforts......you have a good SB Sunday my man....

The previous four Super Bowl appearances by New England, all coming in a seven-year span, were decided by three points.

**Udog** · 02-05-2012, 10:22 AM

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, February 5

MEMPHIS at BOSTON, 12:05 PM ET NBA TV
MEMPHIS: 14-0 ATS at Boston
BOSTON: 7-0 Under at home off ATS loss

TORONTO at MIAMI, 1:05 PM ET
TORONTO: 30-15 ATS as road dog of 12.5+ pts
MIAMI: 11-1 Over as a home favorite of 12.5+ points

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 02-05-2012, 10:25 AM

Originally posted by Kaptain View Post

as always, thanks U dog.......appreciate your efforts......you have a good SB Sunday my man....

The previous four Super Bowl appearances by New England, all coming in a seven-year span, were decided by three points.

Thanks, Kapt.! I hope your SB Sunday is super fun!

Announcement

Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 2/5 (NFL, NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 2/5 (NFL, NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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