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**Udog** · 01-30-2012, 08:08 AM

Monday’s betting tips: WVU cashing in at home

Who’s hot

NBA: Oklahoma City had covered in eight of its last 10 ahead of Sunday’s action.

NBA: Dallas has covered in seven straight meetings with Phoenix.

NCAAB: The over is 6-2 in Missouri’s last eight road games.

NCAAB: West Virginia is 8-2 against the spread in its last 10 home games.

Who’s not

NBA: Detroit is 4-11-1 against the spread in its last 16 overall.

NBA: San Antonio is 1-10-1 against the spread in its last 12 meetings with Memphis.

NCAAB: Texas is 6-13 against the number in its last 19 overall.

NCAAB: The over is 1-5 in Pitt’s last six road games.

Key stat

24.8 – Texas Longhorns junior guard J’Covan Brown is averaging 24.8 points per game over his last five and went off for 32 points in last weekend’s loss to Baylor. The Longhorns host No. 2 Missouri Monday. Brown scored 34 points and hit a career-best seven 3-pointers when Texas lost to Missouri 84-73 earlier this month.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Jason Kidd, Dallas Mavericks - Kidd is expected to be sidelined for at least one week with a right calf strain after he was injured in the first quarter of Friday's victory over the Utah Jazz, playing only two minutes in the contest. The 38-year-old Kidd missed four games earlier this season due to back spasms. Kidd is averaging just 4.1 points and 5.1 assists this season.

Game of the day

Missouri Tigers at Texas Longhorns (pick 'em, 145.5)

Notable quotable

"Me and him, we have history, and we’re gonna rekindle that on the football field. I don’t know what it is that he does, but there’s something that he’s doing that really gets under my skin, and we just fight." – New York Giants defensive end Osi Umenyiora on his rivalry with Matt Light of the New England Patriots.

Notes and tips

The West Virginia Mountaineers nearly shocked Syracuse at the Carrier Dome over the weekend and felt they should have at least went to overtime with the Orange. Mountaineers forward Deniz Kilicli had a shot blocked in the final seconds with WVU down by two that the team thought should have been goaltending. West Virginia is back in action Monday against Pitt as a 6.5-points favorite.

The Los Angeles Daily News is reporting the Lakers are interested in signing free agent Gilbert Arenas. The Lakers are looking for some secondary scoring to help take some of the pressure off Kobe Bryant. Arenas averaged 17 points per game with the Orlando Magic last season.

**Udog** · 01-30-2012, 08:11 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Mike Brey is doing a good job with Notre Dame; his Irish team upset UConn 50-48 Sunday, his undermanned Irish are now 6-3 in Big East.

-- AFC won the Pro Bowl 59-41; NHL All-Star Game ended up 12-9. I'd tell you more, but I saw a combined four minutes of the two games.

-- Not sure what it says about an All-Star Game when two players are captains, and they choose sides, like on the playground.

-- Oregon State won at Oregon for only second time in last eight years, are now 14-7 as Craig Robinson has made Beavers into a running team, and in the process, a better team, and more fun to watch.

-- Cavaliers scored last 12 points of game to beat the Celtics 88-87 to put Boston back under .500 at 9-10. Rookie Irving, who played half a year at Duke but never played in an ACC game, had 23 for the Cavs.

-- Lakers won at Minnesota, just their second win in eight games away from the Staples Center.

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a suprisingly fun weekend......

13) Kyle Stanley earned $648,000 Sunday, but will probably remember it as one of the worst days of his life. Leading by three shots on the 18th hole, Stanley triple-bogeyed 18, then lost in a playoff in an unthinkable collapse, losing to Brandt Snedeker in a playoff. Trainwrecks are hard to turn away from, and this one was a classic.

12) David Mathis finished 125th on the PGA Money List LY, with his earnings of $715,404.25, so Stanley is just about assured of keeping his card for next year, but this would've been his first win, gotten him into the Masters and Kapalua next January and guaranteeing his card thru 2014, not to mention the extra $432,000 that Snedeker got for winning.

11) CBS stayed with the tournament until 7pm, when it was switched to the Golf Channel so 60 Minutes could start on time. Stuff like that never happened when Eldrick Woods plays in a tournament........

10).......speaking of which, that thud you heard around 7am Sunday was the heart of golf TV executives hitting the floor when Woods lost to the immortal Robert Rock in Abu Dhabi.

This was supposed to be the week that Woods won a real tournament, declared himself back to the old Tiger and got golf back into mainstream sports' front page, when people who don't normally follow golf follow Woods. Not so fast, as Woods lost a head-to-head match with one of the few golfers who doesn't wear a hat. Good for Rock, bad for golf.

9) One question about Rock; why doesn't he wear a hat? Golfers make a small fortune as human billboards; certainly someone has offered him lot of cash to wear their hat, especially playing in same foursome as Woods. He'll be in the Ryder Cup; wonder if he'll be wearing hats by then.

8) Then there was the tennis match from Australia that started around 3:45am here in New York and ended five hours and 53 minutes later, one of the greatest sporting events you'll ever see. Djokovic-Nadal was just a treat to watch, two great athletes competing at the highest level, with an extreme level of mental toughness on both sides.

Too bad they couldn't have just split the prize money and played for the trophy; they both deserved to win. Bad for Nadal, good for tennis.

7) One complaint about the Golf Channel's coverage from Abu Dhabi; they put the Golf Channel logo in the lower righthand part of the screen, right where the players' scores were often shown, so lot of the time, you couldn't see the players' scores. Upper right would've been a lot better, but then again, no one asked me.

6) When I was a kid, I wasn't allowed to watch the Three Stooges- they poked each other in the eyes, they hit each other with tools, they slapped each other in the head. Wonder what my late mom would've thought about the X Games, where guys do flips on snowmobiles? I'm guessing the Stooges would've seemed tame by comparison.

5) Is Blake Ahearn the greatest free throw shooter ever? He set all-time college record at Missouri State, and now has made 106 foul shots in row playing for in the NDBL, where he is leading the league in scoring. Why isn't he in the NBA? The Knicks couldn't use him? Detroit? Washington?

4) Referees handed Syracuse their 63-61 win over West Virginia Saturday, but fact remains, they're screwed unless Fab Melo gets eligible again- they got outrebounded 41-20 by the Mountaineers, an astounding statistic.

3) Pretty cool seeing Graeme McDowell shoot a hole-in-one on the 12th hole at Abu Dhabi; over the last seven holes, he was -5, after being -6 for the tournament's first 65 holes.

2) European Tour is in Qatar next week, Dubai (no relation to Abu Dhabi) the week after that. I need to buy myself a damn globe.

1) So Eldrick Woods has now led 64 tournaments after three rounds, and won 55 of them; the big question is, will he ever win again? And the other question of the weekend is, after Sunday, will Kyle Stanley ever win?

**Udog** · 01-30-2012, 08:13 AM

Patriots' Belichick lists TE Gronkowski at day-to-day

New England Patriots head coach Bill Belichick said tight end Rob Gronkowski will be listed as day-to-day this week.

Gronkowski suffered an ankle injury the New England's AFC Championship Game and had yet to practice.

He was wearing a walking boot with the Patriots arrived in Indianapolis on Sunday for next weekend's Super Bowl matchup against the New York Giants.

Profootballtalk.com, citing a league source, reported that Gronkowski probably will not practice before Sunday's game and could require arthroscopic surgery after the season.

Gronkowski's father, Gordy, told a Buffalo television station that his son is dealing with a high ankle sprain.

Gronkowski has had a monster season, setting league records for tight ends for touchdowns (17) and receiving yards (1,327).

He also came up huge in New England's 45-10 playoff win over Denver, hauling in 10 catches for 145 yards and three touchdowns.

Most sportsbooks still have New England set as a 3-point favorite.

NFL
Dunkel

NY Giants vs. New England
The Giants look to build on their 8-0 ATS record in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog. New York is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 5

Game 101-102: NY Giants vs. New England (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 143.438; New England 141.965
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: New England by 3; 55
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3); Over

NFL
Long Sheet

Sunday, February 5

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NY GIANTS (12 - 7) vs. NEW ENGLAND (15 - 3) - 2/5/2012, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 63-39 ATS (+20.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NFL
Short Sheet

Sunday, February 5

Super Bowl XLVI
NY GIANTS vs NEW ENGLAND, 6:30 PM ET NBC
NY GIANTS: 10-2 ATS as a Wild Card team
NEW ENGLAND: 26-9 Over in all games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

NFL

Sunday, February 5

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Trend Report
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6:30 PM
NY GIANTS vs. NEW ENGLAND
NY Giants are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 6 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 8 games

Red - Hot trends are trends 80% or higher. Blue - Cold trends are trends 20% or lower.

ATS Trends

N.Y. Giants
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Giants are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Giants are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog.
Giants are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 playoff games.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Giants are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.

New England
Patriots are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
Patriots are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Superbowl games.
Patriots are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite.
Patriots are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 playoff games.

OU Trends

N.Y. Giants
Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games on fieldturf.
Over is 9-1-1 in Giants last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 8-2 in Giants last 10 playoff games.
Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 11-4-1 in Giants last 16 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Giants last 7 playoff games as an underdog.
Over is 5-2 in Giants last 7 games as an underdog.

New England
Over is 5-0 in Patriots last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 8-2 in Patriots last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 22-7 in Patriots last 29 games overall.
Over is 22-7 in Patriots last 29 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 24-8 in Patriots last 32 games as a favorite.
Over is 14-5 in Patriots last 19 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 8-3-1 in Patriots last 12 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Over is 26-10-1 in Patriots last 37 games on fieldturf.

Head to Head

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New England.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

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**Udog** · 01-30-2012, 08:14 AM

NHL

Monday, January 30

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Best bets on ice: NHL first half wagering review
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Will the Rangers slow down? Will the Flyers get healthy? Will the Kings ever start scoring again?

All good questions as we gaze into the NHL 2012 crystal ball.

Best money team: New York Rangers (+20.10 units)

Brad Richards and Marian Gaborik have supplied the offense, Henrik Lundqvist has provided the goaltending, and coach John Tortorella has supplied the theater as the Rangers have been the league’s best team in so many ways. Philadelphia, Pittsburgh and Boston – perhaps the three biggest favorites in the East as the season opened – have battled injuries and inconsistency, and the Rangers have pounced.

They even have a flair for the dramatic, too. They posted a 3-2 win over the Flyers in the Winter Classic, announcing to all of North America that they were here to stay. All signs point to a fun-filled spring in Manhattan.

Worst money team: Buffalo Sabres (-28.77 units)

The Sabres looked as if they’d won the Stanley Cup on Tuesday in New Jersey. A 2-1 shootout victory over the Devils in dramatic fashion put a positive end to an awfully negative first half and perhaps showed the league Buffalo will have at least a little fight in the second half. After all, it can’t get any worse.

The team with the league’s highest payroll has received an insufficient season from goaltender Ryan Miller and not enough return on long-term investments Ville Leino and Christian Ehrhoff. You can forget about the postseason dreams the rest of the way. Best thing the Sabres can do now is try to avoid the East basement.

Best home team: St. Louis Blues (21-3-4)

Can a coach win the Jack Adams Trophy for a half season? OK, maybe that’s a stretch, but it is hard to believe the reclamation project Ken Hitchcock adopted when he took the St. Louis gig on Nov. 7 and what he’s done with it.

The Blues are nearly unbeatable at home and have 65 points at the break. And that’s including a two-game losing streak to close the half. It's been a team effort.

David Backes has 16 goals, Alexander Steen is a plus-20, and goaltenders Brian Elliott and Jaroslav Halak have a 1.69 and 2.04 goals-against average, respectively. There’s a long way to go and the West is loaded, but the Blues seem to have it all. And whatever they don’t have, Hitchcock seems to find a way around it.

Worst home team: Columbus Blue Jackets (8-13-3)

The end finally came for coach Scott Arniel this month. A good guy, and a good hockey mind in a bad situation, he just couldn’t find the right solution for the Blue Jackets. Truth is, no one may be able to find that.

The team with just one playoff appearance in its history can’t seem to get out of its own way this season and the boatload of offseason moves – acquiring forward Jeff Carter and defenseman James Wisniewski, among them -- just haven’t worked out.

The Blue Jackets are a mess on home ice, and they lost four in a row overall to end the first half. There aren’t many better fade plays out there than going against Columbus in Columbus, despite the hefty price tag.

Best road team: Philadelphia Flyers (18-7-2)

The injuries just keep on coming for Philadelphia, but the Flyers keep on chugging. While not in the region of the Rangers just yet, they are only three points out in the Atlantic Division with plenty of time left.

The loss of defenseman Chris Pronger has been glaring, and injuries to James van Riemsdyk, Claude Giroux and Danny Briere have truly been costly. But despite another shaky goaltending situation, the Flyers have made the most of their trips, and seem to be enjoying when they get out of the belly of the beast known as the City of Brotherly Love.

Coach Peter Laviolette is getting the most out of his makeshift lineup and it just goes to show you how deep an organization general manager Paul Holmgren has built.

Worst road team: Carolina Hurricanes (5-13-6)

This title truly belongs to Columbus (5-17-3), but we have to spread the blame around, right? The Blue Jackets, after all, have enough problems.

The Hurricanes, with Kirk Muller now behind the bench, haven’t been able to figure things out away from Raleigh. It’s surprising because they do have offensive touch and a good goaltending situation. But it’s just not all coming together this year, as they entered the break with 45 points, tied with the Islanders for last in the East.

Goaltender Cam Ward has 18 wins, but also 17 losses, and the leading goal scorer Tuomo Ruutu has just 15. That’s not going to get it done, home or away.

Best over team: Tampa Bay Lightning (31-16)

Can you believe it? The team that reminded us all of the old neutral-zone trap Devils last season is the best over buy in the league? Well, with goal scorers aplenty needing to take more chances because the team is usually trailing in the third period, more and more Lightning games are going over the total.

In fact, they entered the break having gone over in seven of their last eight games. Steven Stamkos has 32 goals, Vincent Lecavalier has 19, and Martin St. Louis has 12. And when you combine that with a team 3.23 goals-against average, you are going to end up on over-land more times than not.

Best under team: Los Angeles Kings (11-27)

Weekly readers of Pucking the Trends know all about the Kings by now. Los Angeles is going to play tight-checking, take-little-risk, dump-and-chase hockey whether you like it or not.

St. Louis (12-26) and Detroit (20-29) are close, but you can't beat the Kings in the under-world. Los Angeles entered the break with the under going 3-0-3 in its last six while scoring one goal or fewer in three of the last five games.

Anze Kopitar has 15 goals, but the list of players who haven't touched double digits yet - Justin Williams, Simon Gagne and Dustin Penner among them - is too long to think Los Angeles is going to snap out of this style anytime soon.

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NHL

Monday, January 30

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Pucking the trends: This week's best NHL bets
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Every week, we update you on who's hot, who's not and situational betting spots in the National Hockey League.

HOT TEAM: Anaheim Ducks

There haven’t been many opportunities this season to put the Ducks in this tax bracket, so let’s give them the honor this week as we turn toward the second half.

Heading into Tuesday’s game at Phoenix, the Ducks already have eight wins in the new calendar year and have won five of the last six overall. Teemu Selanne has 30 assists and 45 points, Corey Perry has 22 goals and 39 points, and the Ducks goaltenders have combined for a 2.80 goals-against average.

Granted, they are still 12 points out of a playoff spot in the tough Western Conference. But spirit has been restored in Anaheim, and you might be able to grab some serious value out of them the rest of the way.

COLD TEAM: Winnipeg Jets

In taking a 22-22-6 mark into the break, you can make a case that says the Jets’ season has already been made. After digesting the move from Atlanta, transitioning over to a new front office and coaching staff, and most of all, preparing for all those lengthy road trips, Winnipeg orchestrated a decent 50-game stretch to open the season.

But the miles seem to be catching up to the Jets now. They entered the All-Star break off three consecutive losses and have lost four of the last five headed into Tuesday’s tilt at the Flyers.

Scoring is becoming a problem as the Jets have just two -- Evander Kane (18) and Andrew Ladd (16) -- players over the 15-goal mark. The Jets have scored just once in their last six periods.

OVER PLAY: Boston Bruins

Maybe this is just the week for some strange faces in strange places. Anaheim is winning, and Boston is notching overs. Who would have guessed it? The Bruins, who lost to the Capitals, 5-3, on Wednesday, will take a five-game underless streak (3-0-2) into Tuesday’s game vs. Ottawa.

They are playing some uncharacteristic, up-and-down hockey, of late, and have allowed 13 goals in their last three games.

Obviously, the Bruins are still in good shape -- just two points behind the Rangers for the No. 1 seed in the East -- and all signs point to an active spring in Beantown. But grab those overs while you can, because this run likely won’t last.

UNDER PLAY: New York Rangers

With the defense getting healthier every day, and All-Star goaltender Henrik Lundqvist in prime form, the Rangers have easily become the hottest under buy out there.

New York hasn't cashed an over since Dec. 23. Yep, Christmas, New Year's, the Winter Classic and the All-Star Game have all passed since the last time the Rangers went over the total.

Headed into Tuesday's game versus the rival New Jersey Devils, New York is riding a 14-game over-less streak.

Last Wednesday's 3-0 win over the Jets in New York was their fourth shutout, and ninth under in that stretch, joined by five pushes.

Lundqvist has been amazing all season -- the Rangers have allowed just 96 goals overall -- and as the proud owners of the top spot in the Eastern Conference, it's hard for New Yorkers to not think this is the year to get back to the Stanley Cup Finals for the first time since 1994.

SURVEYING THE SCHEDULE:

** The Sharks, rounding themselves into playoff form, have a busy stretch post-break. On Tuesday, when they play Columbus, they will begin a stretch of three games in five days that also includes dates with Dallas (Thursday) and Phoenix (Saturday).

** Same deal for Minnesota, one of the more inconsistent teams of the first half. If the Wild want to settle things down once and for all, this week will be a good start. On Tuesday, they also begin a three-game stretch that spans five days. Their opponents? Nashville (Tuesday), Colorado (Thursday) and Dallas (Saturday).

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**Udog** · 01-30-2012, 08:17 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Missouri at Texas
The Tigers look to take advantage of a Texas team that is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 home games. Missouri is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-1). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JANUARY 30

Game 741-742: Pittsburgh at West Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 62.732; West Virginia 70.695
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 8; 133
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 6 1/2; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-6 1/2); Under

Game 743-744: Princeton at Pennsylvania (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 54.646; Pennsylvania 54.679
Dunkel Line: Even; 129
Vegas Line: Pennsylvania by 2; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick Princeton (+2); Over

Game 745-746: Missouri at Texas (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 73.271; Texas 70.872
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 2 1/2; 150
Vegas Line: Missouri by 1; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-1); Over

Game 747-748: Western Carolina at Wofford (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 47.863; Wofford 55.569
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 7 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Wofford by 9; 129
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (+9); Under

Game 749-750: College of Charleston at Samford (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 55.390; Samford 50.610
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 5; 131
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 3 1/2; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-3 1/2); Under

Game 751-752: SE Missouri State at Eastern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Missouri State 46.596; Eastern Illinois 47.356
Dunkel Line: Eastern Illinois by 1; 142
Vegas Line: Eastern Illinois by 2 1/2; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SE Missouri State (+2 1/2); Over

Game 753-754: Austin Peay at Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 51.413; Tennessee State 51.886
Dunkel Line: Even; 136
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 2; 140
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (+2); Under

Game 755-756: SIU-Edwardsville at Tennessee Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 39.933; Tennessee Tech 58.546
Dunkel Line: Tennessee Tech by 18 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Tennessee Tech by 17; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (-17); Over

Game 757-758: Northern Colorado at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 44.905; Northern Arizona 40.678
Dunkel Line: Northern Colorado by 4; 147
Vegas Line: Northern Colorado by 2 1/2; 140
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (-2 1/2); Over

Game 765-766: Morgan State at Hampton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morgan State 45.948; Hampton 46.842
Dunkel Line: Hampton by 1; 125
Vegas Line: Morgan State by 1 1/2; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hampton (+1 1/2); Under

Game 767-768: Texas Southern at Alabama State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Southern 45.615; Alabama State 40.193
Dunkel Line: Texas Southern by 5 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Texas Southern by 3; 117 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Southern (-3); Over

**Udog** · 01-30-2012, 08:18 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, January 30

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PITTSBURGH (13 - 9) at W VIRGINIA (15 - 7) - 1/30/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PRINCETON (10 - 8) at PENNSYLVANIA (10 - 9) - 1/30/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENNSYLVANIA is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PENNSYLVANIA is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PRINCETON is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
PRINCETON is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
PRINCETON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
PRINCETON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PENNSYLVANIA is 66-93 ATS (-36.3 Units) in all home games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 66-93 ATS (-36.3 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENNSYLVANIA is 2-2 against the spread versus PRINCETON over the last 3 seasons
PRINCETON is 4-0 straight up against PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSOURI (19 - 2) at TEXAS (13 - 8) - 1/30/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
MISSOURI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 2-1 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 2-1 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W CAROLINA (9 - 13) at WOFFORD (14 - 8) - 1/30/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W CAROLINA is 86-117 ATS (-42.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
W CAROLINA is 27-53 ATS (-31.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
WOFFORD is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all home games this season.
WOFFORD is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
WOFFORD is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
W CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus WOFFORD over the last 3 seasons
WOFFORD is 3-2 straight up against W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COLL OF CHARLESTON (12 - 9) at SAMFORD (7 - 13) - 1/30/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 81-49 ATS (+27.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 81-49 ATS (+27.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
SAMFORD is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAMFORD is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAMFORD is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAMFORD is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAMFORD is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAMFORD is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
SAMFORD is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAMFORD is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SAMFORD is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SAMFORD is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 3-0 against the spread versus SAMFORD over the last 3 seasons
COLL OF CHARLESTON is 3-0 straight up against SAMFORD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SE MISSOURI ST (11 - 9) at E ILLINOIS (9 - 11) - 1/30/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SE MISSOURI ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
SE MISSOURI ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
E ILLINOIS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
E ILLINOIS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E ILLINOIS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
E ILLINOIS is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
E ILLINOIS is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
E ILLINOIS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SE MISSOURI ST is 3-2 against the spread versus E ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
SE MISSOURI ST is 3-2 straight up against E ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AUSTIN PEAY (9 - 14) at TENNESSEE ST (14 - 9) - 1/30/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE ST is 40-61 ATS (-27.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
TENNESSEE ST is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.
TENNESSEE ST is 35-57 ATS (-27.7 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
TENNESSEE ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.
TENNESSEE ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE ST is 3-1 against the spread versus AUSTIN PEAY over the last 3 seasons
AUSTIN PEAY is 3-2 straight up against TENNESSEE ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SIU EDWARDSVL (5 - 13) at TENNESSEE TECH (13 - 9) - 1/30/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE TECH is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE TECH is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE TECH is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) in January games since 1997.
TENNESSEE TECH is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SIU EDWARDSVL is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE TECH over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE TECH is 2-1 straight up against SIU EDWARDSVL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N COLORADO (6 - 13) at N ARIZONA (5 - 16) - 1/30/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N COLORADO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games this season.
N ARIZONA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
N ARIZONA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
N ARIZONA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest this season.
N ARIZONA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ARIZONA is 4-2 against the spread versus N COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
N COLORADO is 5-1 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MORGAN ST (6 - 12) at HAMPTON (8 - 13) - 1/30/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MORGAN ST is 3-1 against the spread versus HAMPTON over the last 3 seasons
MORGAN ST is 4-1 straight up against HAMPTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS SOUTHERN (7 - 13) at ALABAMA ST (7 - 13) - 1/30/2012, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA ST is 4-1 straight up against TEXAS SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 01-30-2012, 08:19 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, January 30

Pitt won its last two games after an 8-game skid left them 0-7 to start in Big East play; Panthers are 5-2 in last seven games against West Virginia, winning three of last five visits here. Big East home favorites of 7 or less points are 8-10 against the spread. Mountaineers got hosed at Carrier Dome Saturday, losing by a hoop, their second loss in row- they're 4-0 at home in conference play, with three wins by 12+ points. Panthers are stronger now with PG Woodall back in lineup.

Princeton won its last five games with Penn, winning last three visits to Palestra by 3-7-12 points; Tigers haven't played in 16 days after a split in first two Ivy games- they're 6-3 in last nine road games, and wins over Florida State/Rutgers means they're better than average Ivy team. Penn is Quakers won four of last five games, but its been nine days since they last played (84-80 win over local rival St Joe's). Penn is 2-8 vs teams in top 125. Ivy League home favorites are 3-6 vs spread.

Missouri won five of last six games with Texas, beating Longhorns by 11 in first meeting 16 days ago, as Mizzou survived Brown's 34-point outburst (6-7 from arc). Tigers lost three of last four visits to Austin, losing by 12-20-13 points. Texas lost four of last five games, with last three losses by 4-5-3 points- they're 3-1 at home in conference, losing only by 3 to Kansas. Big X home teams are 4-0 vs spread if number is 3 or less points. Texas is bubble team, needs this more than Mizzou.

Western Carolina lost seven of last eight games vs D-I teams, in between they beat some NAIA team 141-39, not sure why, but their only win in last right vs D-I squads was 67-57 at home over Wofford 23 days ago, as Cole was 6-7 behind arc (rest of team was 0-6). Western lost its last five road games, with four losses by 12+ points. Wofford won its last five games, all by 7+ points. Southern Conference home favorites of 8+ points are 12-6 against the spread.

Charleston lost its first game for interim coach Byington to Wofford at home, Cougars' 4th loss in row and 8th in last 11 games- they scored an average of only 60 ppg in last three games. Charleston is 1-3 at home in conference, with only win at Furman. Samford upset Davidson in last game, as 12-point home dogs; their fourth win in last five games, third in row at home. Princeton offense is hard to prepare for in less than two days. SoCon home underdogs are 9-5 against the spread.

SE Missouri won seven of its last nine games, is tied for second in OVC; they beat Eastern Illinois 80-73 at home 16 days ago, making 11-20 from arc (Smith was 7-10 on 3's), but Redhawks did lose last two road games, scoring 60.5 ppg in losses at Tennessee Tech/Eastern Kentucky. Eastern Illinois lost its last five games, losing last two at home by 9-12 points; Panthers scored 53.5 ppg in their last four games. OVC home teams are 10-6-2 if spread is 4 or less points.

Austin Peay won six of last seven games after starting season 3-13; they beat Tennessee State 69-63 at home two weeks ago, ending game with a 12-4 run that broke up tie game. OVC home favorites of 4 or less points are 7-4-2 vs spread. Peay won two of last three road games; their last three wins are all by 12+ points. Tennessee State's only loss in last six games was at Peay; they're 4-0 at home in OVC, with three of four Lsby 5 or less points, or in overtime.

SIU-Edwardsville upset Tennessee Tech 83-68 in its OVC opener, with Tech shooting just 34.8% from floor, 3-17 from arc, while Cougars made 8-14 behind arc. SIU-E lost its last five games after starting OVC play at 3-1- four of their last five losses are by 11+ points. OVC home favorites of 12+ points are 3-6 against the spread. Tech is just 2-3 in its last five games, but their last three wins are by 11-15-17 points. Not whole lot to choose from in this game; neither team is worth an investment.

Northern Colorado is very young and not very good, losing its last three games by 18-12-5 points, losing last game in double OT at Idaho State Thursday, but Bears did beat Northern Arizona 80-64 at home Dec 31, shooting 59% from floor, 7-11 from arc. NC is #2 in country, mkaing 44.7% of its 3's. Lumberjacks lost their last eight games, though six of the eight were on road; opponents make 57.7% of 2-point shots against them, worst in country. Big Sky home underdogs are 3-6-1 vs spread.

**Udog** · 01-30-2012, 08:19 AM

NCAAB

Monday, January 30

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Trend Report
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6:15 PM
USC UPSTATE vs. JACKSONVILLE STATE
No trends available
Jacksonville State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville State's last 5 games

7:00 PM
WESTERN CAROLINA vs. WOFFORD
Western Carolina is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Western Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Wofford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Wofford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
PRINCETON vs. PENNSYLVANIA
Princeton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Princeton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Pennsylvania is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
PALM BEACH ATLANTIC vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
No trends available
Central Florida14-4-1 SU in its last 19 games
Central Florida17-0-1 SU in its last 18 games at home

7:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. WEST VIRGINIA
Pittsburgh is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
West Virginia is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of West Virginia's last 5 games

7:00 PM
JAMES MADISON vs. EAST TENNESSEE STATE
James Madison is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
James Madison is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
No trends available

8:00 PM
COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON vs. SAMFORD
College of Charleston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Samford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Samford is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games

8:00 PM
SE MISSOURI STATE vs. EASTERN ILLINOIS
SE Missouri State is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of SE Missouri State's last 7 games when playing on the road against Eastern Illinois
Eastern Illinois is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Eastern Illinois is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
SIU EDWARDSVILLE vs. TENNESSEE TECH
SIU Edwardsville is 1-23 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Tennessee Tech is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee Tech's last 6 games

8:00 PM
AUSTIN PEAY vs. TENNESSEE STATE
Austin Peay is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Austin Peay's last 6 games on the road
Tennessee State is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Tennessee State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

8:35 PM
NORTHERN COLORADO vs. NORTHERN ARIZONA
Northern Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Northern Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Northern Arizona
Northern Arizona is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Northern Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
MISSOURI vs. TEXAS
Missouri is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Missouri is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Texas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

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**Udog** · 01-30-2012, 08:21 AM

NCAAB

Monday, January 30

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College funds: Monday's best NCAAB bets
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Pitt Panthers at West Virginia Mountaineers (-7, 137.5)

You knew things were pretty desperate when Pitt coach Jamie Dixon abandoned his usual man-to-man defense for a zone, but that switch may have turned his club’s season around.

Pitt frustrated Georgetown’s offense in a 72-60 win over the Hoyas on Saturday. The Panthers held Georgetown to 42 percent shooting while winning the battle of the boards 35-23.

"We were aggressive," Lamar Patterson told reporters after scoring 18 points in the win. "We weren't letting them push us around. We just held our ground and really wanted to focus in on defense. We haven't been good on defense all year, basically, so we wanted to show everyone we could play defense."

The Panthers had dropped eight straight games before they downed Providence last week. They still have a lot of work to do, but at least they’re protecting the bucket better.

West Virginia has dropped consecutive games, though the Mountaineers did hang around with the Orange at the Carrier Dome over the weekend.

This one should be tight.

Pick: Panthers

Missouri Tigers at Texas Longhorns (pick 'em, 145.5)

When you can shoot just 39 percent and still come away with a win, you have to feel pretty good.

That’s exactly how the No. 2 Tigers feel after sneaking by Texas Tech on Saturday despite the poor shooting effort.

"We just didn't make shots, even though we had a lot of good looks," Missouri Tigers coach Frank Haith told reporters. "Does it make the game look ugly? I guess when they don't go in, yes. But we still have to find a way to win."

The Tigers failed to cover as 23.5-point favorites, falling to 10-6 against the spread on the year. This Texas team is hard to figure out.

The Longhorns have dropped four of their last five, but played Baylor tough in a 76-71 loss, covering as 7-point underdogs. J’Covan Brown had 32 points and hit four treys, though the rest of the Longhorns are going to have to give him some help to keep this close.

Other than Brown, only Sheldon McClellan averages double digits in scoring.

Pick: Tigers

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**Udog** · 01-30-2012, 08:24 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Minnesota at Houston
The Timberwolves look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 road games. Minnesota is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockets favored by only 5. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+7). Here are all of today's picks

MONDAY, JANUARY 30

Game 701-702: Chicago at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 122.250; Washington 115.317
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 7; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 10; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+10); Under

Game 703-704: Orlando at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 113.913; Philadelphia 125.691
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 12; 184
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 5 1/2; 179 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-5 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: New Orleans at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 115.399; Miami 126.743
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 11 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 13; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+13); Over

Game 707-708: Detroit at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 109.301; Milwaukee 124.943
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 15 1/2; 177
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 7; 180
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-7); Under

Game 709-710: San Antonio at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 119.527; Memphis 128.622
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 9; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 5 1/2; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-5 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: Minnesota at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 119.097; Houston 124.166
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 5; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 7; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+7); N/A

Game 713-714: Portland at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 120.339; Utah 125.523
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 5; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 2; 188 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-2); Under

Game 715-716: Dallas at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 121.038; Phoenix 116.684
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 4 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 717-718: Oklahoma City at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 122.754; LA Clippers 118.949
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 2 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-2 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 01-30-2012, 08:26 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, January 30

Hot Teams
-- Bulls covered eight of their last ten road games. Washington won two of three games since they changed coaches.
-- 76ers won/covered nine of their last 11 home games.
-- Miami won seven of last eight games, but is 0-4 vs spread in its last four home games.
-- Bucks are 5-2 at home (2-1 as home favorites).
-- Rockets won nine of eleven home games (8-2-1 vs spread). Minnesota covered four of its last five road games.
-- Mavericks won five of their last six games.
-- Thunder won 11 of last 12 games, covered five of last six on the road. Clippers won seven of their last ten games.

Cold Teams
-- Orlando lost five of its last seven games; they were outscored by 76 points in their last ten quarters.
-- New Orleans lost 10 of last 11 games, but covered five of last six.
-- Pistons are 1-8-1 vs spread as a road underdog.
-- Memphis lost its last three games, scoring 86.3 ppg. Spurs lost eight of ten road games (2-2-1 as road dog).
-- Portland lost six of its last eight road games. Utah covered once in its last four home games.
-- Suns lost eight of their last eleven games.

Wear and Tear
-- Bulls: 3rd game/4 nites. Wizards: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Magic: 6th game/8 nites. 76ers: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Hornets: 4th game/6 nites. Heat: 7th game/10 nites.
-- Pistons: 4th game/6 nites. Bucks: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Spurs: 4th game/6 nites. Grizzlies: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Wolves: 4th game/6 nites. Rockets: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Blazers: Had last two nites off. Jazz: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Mavericks: 4th game/6 nites. Suns: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Thunder: Had last two nites off. Clippers:

Totals
-- Six of last eight Chicago games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Orlando road games went over the total. Philly's last five home games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Miami home games stayed under total.
-- Eight of ten Detroit road games stayed under the total. Milwaukee's last four games all went over.
-- Seven of last nine San Antonio road games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Portland games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Phoenix games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Clipper games went over the total.

**Udog** · 01-30-2012, 08:33 AM

NBA

Monday, January 30

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. PHILADELPHIA
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. WASHINGTON
Chicago is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Washington
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New Orleans's last 14 games
New Orleans is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
DETROIT vs. MILWAUKEE
Detroit is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing Milwaukee
Detroit is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. MEMPHIS
San Antonio is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Memphis
San Antonio is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio
Memphis is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

8:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Houston
Minnesota is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Minnesota

9:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. UTAH
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 10 games when playing Utah
Portland is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 10 games when playing Portland
Utah is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Portland

9:00 PM
DALLAS vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Phoenix is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games

10:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. LA CLIPPERS
Oklahoma City is 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games when playing LA Clippers
Oklahoma City is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the LA Clippers last 10 games at home

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**Udog** · 01-30-2012, 08:36 AM

NBA

Monday, January 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NBA betting trend: Home court rules in the West
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It was a head-scratcher to say the least.

Missing two of their three leading scorers, the Milwaukee Bucks were getting 5.5 points against visiting Los Angeles Lakers. And even though the Purple and Gold had been struggling away from the Staples Center, no one expected Kobe and Co. to have any trouble blowing out the Bucks.

Final score: Bucks 100, Lakers 89.

The loss dropped Los Angeles’ road mark to 1-7 both straight up and against the spread.

[Editor’s note: The Lakers won and covered at Minnesota as 2-point underdogs on Sunday but nearly choked away a 15-point third quarter lead.]

And it’s not just the Lakers who are first degree fade material on the highway. Going into Sunday’s slate, Western Conference home teams are 92-66 ATS (58.2 percent) and just 63-73 ATS (45.9%) on the road, according to Covers Expert and database madman Marc Lawrence.

That’s a big change. The West, by far the better of the two conferences, went 324-278-13 ATS on the road last season and 313-292-10 ATS the campaign before.

Here’s a look at three other notable squads no-showing - like a Tony Soprano crew member - on the road.

San Antonio Spurs: (Home 7-4 ATS. Away 3-7 ATS)

It’s pretty simple with the Spurs. They just don’t play defense well outside of their own gym. San Antonio allows a stingy 89.5 points per game at home but 102.2 on the road. (That’s almost a 13-point swing for those of you counting at home).

Monday will be the Spurs’ seventh away game of their last nine contests. They play three home games following that Monday date against the Grizzlies and then leave town for nine straight away matchups.

Portland Trail Blazers: (Home 8-1-1 ATS. Away 3-7 ATS)

The Rose Garden has always been kind to the Trail Blazers. Portland is 99-34 straight up on its home floor over the last four seasons. Year in and year out, you can bank on this team having more energy in front of the Blazer-maniacs then it does in alien arenas.

LaMarcus Aldridge brings his A-game regardless of area code but supporting members Gerald Wallace Wesley Matthews and Jamal Crawford see their combined offensive output drop to 30.2 ppg on the road compared to 49.6 at home.

Los Angeles Clippers: (Home 8-3 ATS. Away 1-4 ATS)

OK, sure, small sample size especially when you consider one of those five roadies was actually against the Lakers at the Staples Center. Still they got smoked at San Antonio, Portland and Utah.

Lob City, despite its aerial moniker, doesn’t travel well.

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**Udog** · 01-30-2012, 08:38 AM

NBA

Monday, January 30

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Pick 'n' roll: Monday's best NBA bets
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San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies (-6, 189)

One thing the San Antonio Spurs will not have to worry about Monday is whether its starters got enough rest.

Trailing by 18 points in the third quarter at Dallas on Sunday, coach Gregg Popovich pulled all his starters and watched as the bench scored the final 51 points and forced overtime. The reserves ended up falling just short in the 101-100 setback, dropping the Spurs to 2-8 on the road.

Where San Antonio really seems to struggle away from home is on defense, where it has surrendered an average of 102.3 points versus 89.5 at home. The Spurs will try to correct that discrepancy Monday.

The Grizzlies looked like they were on their way to realizing their preseason potential with a seven-game winning streak earlier this month, but a three-game slide has raised more questions.

Pick: Grizzlies

Detroit Pistons at Milwaukee Bucks (-7, 180.5)

No Andrew Bogut, no problem. The Milwaukee Bucks shocked the Los Angeles Lakers 100-89 on Saturday without their starting center in the lineup.

The Bucks will be without Bogut for at least three months after he suffered a broken ankle against the Houston Rockets on Wednesday. Drew Gooden stepped into the starting lineup and scored 23 points against Los Angeles.

The Detroit Pistons play the second of a four-game road trip in Milwaukee on Monday. Detroit is 1-9 on the road, including a 95-74 loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Saturday.

The Pistons are the worst offensive team in the NBA and are scoring only 81.4 points per road game this season. Detroit is 2-6 in its last eight games.

Milwaukee beat visiting Detroit 102-93 on Jan. 12. The teams have split their last 10 meetings.

Pick: Under

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Announcement

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 1/30 (NFL, NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 1/30 (NFL, NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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