Super Bowl XLVI play

[roccodean]

1-5*

2* NYG +3
may bump to 3*
get this in before goes down

[roccodean]

good luck
props to follow

You will hear this game analyzed to death, but I'm going to make this simple…the Giants are the better team and will win the game. And they are getting points! Let's start on the offensive side of the ball. During the regular season the Giants only averaged 3.5 YPR, but in the post season they are averaging 4.2 YPR and 117 YPG. In the air, Eli was 3rd in the NFL averaging 8.4 YPPA. It's no secret that Brady is good and he averaged 8.6 YPPA. The Pats run O is poor (24th in YPR during the regular season). There is no doubt that the media overanalyzes injuries and overreacts. But, the Gronkowski injury is significant because of the match up problems it creates. He will play but insiders tell me the high ankle sprain will have him limited to about 60-70%. Defensively there is no doubt that the Giants are far superior. On paper, the Giants actually aren't that spectacular defensively, but if you watch them they are dynamic. And, the last 5 games they have been playing lights out. NE allows 4.6 YPR and an astounding 8 YPPA. The Pats have played 15 players as DB's this year! They are so poor they are going to have a 5'10" (in Timberlands) wide receiver (Edelman) covering a Giants WR (probably Manningham)…I like those odds. G MEN!!!!!!

[roccodean]

Team to receive opening kickoff: NYG (-170)
The pats have deferred the last 28 times they won the coin toss. The Giants have chosen to receive 7 out of the last 9 times they won the toss.

NYG to score first
The stats tell us the NE will defer if they win the toss and the Giants will take the ball. Even if the Giants don't score on the first drive they still are at an advantage to score first (will get the ball 1st,3rd,etc.).

NE rush yards under 105.5

Manningham over 3 receptions (-160)
In big games the second and third receivers tend to have bigger games.

Cruz under 88.5 yards receiving (+120)
The Pats are going to blanket Cruz and might give him some under routes, but I feel he goes under the 88.5 yards.

Jarvis Green Ellis longest rush attempt under 12 yards (+120)
He doesn't have break away ability. Longest run of year 18 yards.

Under 11 penalties by both teams
Both of these teams are disciplined and will be extra careful in big game.

Under 1.5 fumbles lost (-170)
I love this prop! I actually bet this as a 1* play. It is fumbles LOST. When the ball is fumbled, 50% of the time the team that fumbles recovers the ball, so this already puts you at an advantage for the under.

NE to win coin toss
NFC has won 14 Super Bowl coin toss' in a row. The odds of this are less than .005% Every event is independent, but when you take the overall odds they are astronomical that this will continue.

Long shot props:
First player to score- Branch +1500
First player to score- Manningham +1200
These are just fun props to root for. As stated above, often it is not the marquee receiver to have big games.

[jt4545]

Gl today

[Kaptain]

gl today

[Sirporkie]

GL rocco

[roccodean]

Winner and 8-1 on props not counting stupid long shot ones!
thanks all