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Friday's Trends and Indexes - 1/13 (NFL, NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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  • #16
    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Friday, January 13


    Hot Teams
    -- Pacers won three of their last four games.
    -- 76ers won/covered eight of their first ten games; they're 4-0 as a home gavorite this season.
    -- Bulls won nine of last ten games (7-2-1 vs spread).
    -- Spurs are 7-0 at home (4-2-1 as home favorites). Portland won seven of first ten games (1-2 on road).
    -- Dallas won/covered five of its last six games.
    -- Nuggets won six of their seven home games.
    -- Lakers won their last seven home games (5-2 vs spread). Cleveland is 6-3 vs spread in its last nine games.

    Cold Teams
    -- Pistons lost their last six games (0-6 vs spread). Charlotte lost its last four home games, by 1-21-6-12 points.
    -- Toronto lost four of its last five games.
    -- Washington is 0-5 on the road, 1-3-1 as road underdogs.
    -- Celtics lost last two games, covered one of last four at home.
    -- Houston lost five of its last six games. Kings are 1-4 as road dogs, losing by 22-17-27-27 points.
    -- Minnesota lost four of its last five games. New Orleans lost its last four home games, by 15-8-8-10 points.
    -- Bucks are 0-6 on the road (1-3 as road underdog).
    -- Nets lost five of last six road games, but are 4-3 as road dogs. Suns lost last two games, by 16-11 points.
    -- Miami lost its last two games, both in OT; three of their four games on this trip went OT.

    Totals
    -- Four of five Detroit road games stayed under total.
    -- Last four Indiana games stayed under the total.
    -- Last five Washington games stayed under the total.
    -- Four of last five Boston games stayed under total.
    -- Four of five Sacramento road games stayed under.
    -- Six of last eight Minnesota games stayed under total.
    -- All three Portland road games stayed under the total.
    -- Four of Bucks' last five games went over. Last three Dallas home games stayed under the total.
    -- Over is 3-0-1 in Nets' last four games.
    -- Five of seven Miami road games went over the total.
    -- Last three Laker games stayed under the total.

    Wear and Tear
    -- Pistons: 6th game/8 nites. Bobcats: 8th game/11 nites.
    -- Pacers: 3rd game/5 nites. Raptors: 6th game/8 nites.
    -- Wizards: 3rd game/4 nites. 76ers: 6th game/8 nites.
    -- Bulls: 6th game/8 nites. Celtics: 2nd game in last week.
    -- Kings: 3rd game/4 nites. Rockets: 3rd game/4 nites.
    -- Wolves: Had last two nites off. Hornets:
    -- Blazers: 6th game/9 nites. Spurs: 7th game/10 nites.
    -- Bucks: 5th game/7 nites. Mavericks: 3rd game/4 nites.
    -- Nets: 3rd game/5 nites. Suns: 4th game/6 nites.
    -- Heat: 3rd game/4 nites. Nuggets: 3rd game/5 nites.
    -- Cavaliers: 4th game/6 nites. Lakers: 6th game/9 nites.

    Comment


    • #17
      NBA

      Friday, January 13


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
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      7:00 PM
      WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
      Washington is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
      Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

      7:00 PM
      INDIANA vs. TORONTO
      Indiana is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
      Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
      Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana
      Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

      7:00 PM
      DETROIT vs. CHARLOTTE
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
      Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      Charlotte is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
      Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

      8:00 PM
      CHICAGO vs. BOSTON
      Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road
      Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
      Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago

      8:00 PM
      MINNESOTA vs. NEW ORLEANS
      Minnesota is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
      New Orleans is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

      8:00 PM
      SACRAMENTO vs. HOUSTON
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games on the road
      Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games when playing Sacramento
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home

      8:30 PM
      PORTLAND vs. SAN ANTONIO
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games on the road
      Portland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
      San Antonio is 8-15-1 ATS in its last 24 games at home
      San Antonio is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Portland

      8:30 PM
      MILWAUKEE vs. DALLAS
      Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
      Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

      9:00 PM
      NEW JERSEY vs. PHOENIX
      New Jersey is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
      New Jersey is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Phoenix
      Phoenix is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Jersey
      Phoenix is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

      10:30 PM
      CLEVELAND vs. LA LAKERS
      Cleveland is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing LA Lakers
      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing LA Lakers
      LA Lakers are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against Cleveland
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

      10:30 PM
      MIAMI vs. DENVER
      Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
      Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
      Denver is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Miami
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home


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      Comment


      • #18
        NBA

        Friday, January 13


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Pick 'n' roll: Friday's best NBA bets
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets (3, N/A)

        The Denver Nuggets reeled off six straight paydays beginning with an upset win on the road against the Lakers on New Year's eve, but things have been a little rocky since then.

        They have dropped two of the last three both straight up and against the spread after coming out on top of a 123-115 shootout with New Jersey Wednesday.

        Danilo Gallinari, who picked up a slightly sprained ankle in the win, had another solid game with 23 points and five rebounds but it wasn’t enough to help Nuggets bettors cover 11.5-point chalk.

        Part of the problem was Denver turned the ball over 20 times, which has coach George Karl concerned about Friday’s game.

        "If we turn the ball over 20 times against Miami, we're in trouble,” Karl told reporters. “We have to be committed to making better decisions, simpler decisions."

        We tend to agree. Miami will be on a mission after dropping consecutive decisions in overtime.

        Pick: Heat


        Portland Trail Blazers at San Antonio Spurs (-1.5, 193.5)


        The San Antonio Spurs have a perfect straight up record at home heading into Friday’s date with a Trail Blazers team that’s sure to put that streak to the test.

        The Spurs have dropped four straight against the number and needed overtime to slip past Houston on Wednesday.

        Meanwhile, Portland is also coming off a tough loss to Orlando, but the team is trying to take some positives from it. The Blazers were down 20 points in the fourth quarter before rallying in the 107-104 loss.

        "When you play so hard like that, there are good things in your team's future," Jamal Crawford told the Blazers' official website. "We didn't throw in the towel at all. We continued to fight and continued to play hard."

        If Portland brings that momentum into this one, the Spurs’ home streak could be in jeopardy.

        Pick: Trail Blazers


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        Comment


        • #19
          NBA
          Dunkel


          Miami at Denver
          The Heat look to take advantage of a Denver team that is 0-3-1 ATS in its last 4 home games against teams with a winning road record. Miami is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

          FRIDAY, JANUARY 13

          Game 801-802: Detroit at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)

          Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 108.172; Charlotte 110.227
          Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 2; 182
          Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 4 1/2; 176 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+4 1/2); Under

          Game 803-804: Indiana at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 119.835; Toronto 112.470
          Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 7 1/2; 183
          Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 5 1/2; 178
          Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-5 1/2); Over

          Game 805-806: Washington at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Washington 108.946; Philadelphia 128.997
          Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 20; 188
          Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 12 1/2; 183
          Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-12 1/2); Over

          Game 807-808: Chicago at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 124.409; Boston 118.823
          Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 5 1/2; 174
          Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 177
          Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-1); Under

          Game 809-810: Sacramento at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 112.616; Houston 120.912
          Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 8 1/2; 202
          Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 8; 198
          Dunkel Pick: Houston (-8); Over

          Game 811-812: Minnesota at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 117.198; New Orleans 114.795
          Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 3 1/2; 179
          Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 183
          Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-1); Under

          Game 813-814: Portland at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Portland 121.332; San Antonio 123.721
          Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 2 1/2; 197
          Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 1 1/2; 193 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-1 1/2); Over

          Game 815-816: Milwaukee at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 115.418; Dallas 123.565
          Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 8; 181
          Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 8 1/2; 184
          Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+8 1/2); Under

          Game 817-818: New Jersey at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 110.461; Phoenix 120.730
          Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 10 1/2; 194
          Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 197 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-7); Under

          Game 819-820: Miami at Denver (10:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Miami 126.569; Denver 120.561
          Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 6; 215
          Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 3 1/2; 210
          Dunkel Pick: Miami (-3 1/2); Over

          Game 821-822: Cleveland at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
          Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 113.561; LA Lakers 127.132
          Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 13 1/2; 184
          Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 10; 187 1/2
          Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-10); Under

          Comment


          • #20
            NCAAB
            Short Sheet

            Friday's Top College Basketball Trends


            VALPARAISO is 10-0 ATS off double digit road loss (vs Youngstown State)

            COLUMBIA is 3-16 ATS at home if both teams scored 70+ pts L3 games (vs Penn)

            PENNSYLVANIA is 9-0 ATS Away if they made 88% or better FT's last game (vs COLUMBIA)

            EVANSVILLE is 15-3 ATS off an Over (vs Drake)

            DRAKE is 1-10 ATS Away off a win (vs Evansville)

            LOYOLA-MD is 20-4 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 pts (vs Fairfield)

            INDIANA ST is 8-0 ATS off a win by 3 pts or less (vs S ILLINOIS)

            BRADLEY is 8-0 ATS Away off a road game (vs Wichita St)

            Comment


            • #21
              NHL
              Short Sheet

              Friday, January 13


              PHOENIX at COLUMBUS, 7:00 PM ET
              PHOENIX: 29-14 SU off BB losses
              COLUMBUS: 4-19 SU off division road loss

              TAMPA BAY at WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET NHL
              TAMPA BAY: 6-17 SU in road games
              WASHINGTON: 18-3 SU off home win by 1 goal

              TORONTO at BUFFALO, 7:30 PM ET
              TORONTO: 8-1 SU Away off division win
              BUFFALO: 13-20 SU at home w/ revenge

              PITTSBURGH at FLORIDA, 7:30 PM ET
              PITTSBURGH: 11-3 SU Away off BB losses
              FLORIDA: 2-8 SU vs. Pittsburgh

              ANAHEIM at EDMONTON, 9:30 PM ET
              ANAHEIM: n/a
              EDMONTON: n/a

              ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

              Comment


              • #22
                NBA
                Short Sheet

                Friday, January 13


                DETROIT at CHARLOTTE, 7:05 PM ET
                DETROIT: 0-8 ATS playing 5th time in 7 days
                CHARLOTTE: 16-5 ATS off BB ATS losses

                INDIANA at TORONTO, 7:05 PM ET
                INDIANA: 9-19 ATS at Toronto
                TORONTO: 6-0 Under playing 3rd game in 4 days

                WASHINGTON at PHILADELPHIA, 7:05 PM ET
                WASHINGTON: 14-32 ATS in road games
                PHILADELPHIA: 17-5 Under off loss by 6 pts or less

                CHICAGO at BOSTON, 8:05 PM ET ESPN
                CHICAGO: 6-1 ATS playing 3rd game in 4 days
                BOSTON: 14-28 ATS if home favorite L2 games

                SACRAMENTO at HOUSTON, 8:05 PM ET
                SACRAMENTO: 14-28 ATS off BB Unders
                HOUSTON: 5-1 Under in January

                MINNESOTA at NEW ORLEANS, 8:05 PM ET
                MINNESOTA: 22-9 Under off home loss
                NEW ORLEANS: 60-38 Under in all games

                PORTLAND at SAN ANTONIO, 8:35 PM ET
                PORTLAND: 43-20 ATS playing 3rd game in 4 days
                SAN ANTONIO: 2-5 ATS vs. Portland

                MILWAUKEE at DALLAS, 8:35 PM ET
                MILWAUKEE: 12-25 ATS vs. non-conference
                DALLAS: 37-17 ATS off BB SU wins

                NEW JERSEY at PHOENIX, 9:05 PM ET
                NEW JERSEY: 12-26 ATS vs. team w/ losing record
                PHOENIX: 7-0 Under when the total is between 190 and 199.5

                MIAMI at DENVER, 10:35 PM ET ESPN
                MIAMI: 33-55 ATS off BB road losses
                DENVER: 4-1 ATS as home dog

                CLEVELAND at LA LAKERS, 10:35 PM ET
                CLEVELAND: 35-17 Under Away off SU win as road dog
                LA LAKERS: 5-17 ATS at home on Friday night

                ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

                Comment

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