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**Udog** · 01-11-2012, 08:33 AM

Wednesday’s betting tips: Under trend still rolling in NBA

Who’s hot

NBA: Atlanta has covered the number in six of its last seven meetings with Indiana.

NBA: Denver is 38-15-2 against the spread in its last 55 games overall.

NHL: The under is 4-0 in Washington’s last four home games.

NHL: New Jersey is 9-4 in its last 13.

NCAAB: Syracuse is 20-8 against the spread in its last 28 road games.

NCAAB: Kentucky is 3-12-1 against the spread in its last 16 overall.

Who’s not

NBA: Utah is 2-6 against the spread in its last eight meetings with the L.A. Lakers.

NBA: New Jersey is 1-6 against the spread in its last seven games following an ATS win.

NHL: Pittsburgh has lost four straight and is 2-8 in its last 10 games against Washington.

NHL: Edmonton has lost six of its last seven.

NCAAB: Villanova is 3-13 against the spread in its last 16 home games.

NCAAB: The under is 4-9 in Missouri’s last 13 overall.

Key stat

60.62 – Under bettors continue to cash in early in the NBA season with 60.62 percent of the league’s games (97-63 over/under) playing below their respective totals heading into Tuesday’s action.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

B.J. Monteiro, Duquesne Dukes – Monteiro is expected to sit out his second consecutive game Wednesday when the Dukes visit Xavier after he was hit with a bottle during an altercation on New Year’s Eve. The 6-foot-5 guard is averaging 15.2 points and 5.7 rebounds per game.

Game of the day

Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics (-5.5, 185)

Notable quotable

“He’s like Magic Johnson. He’s a point forward. He can do so many things. He gets excited by getting his guys shots, but then on the flip side he can still score, and he can drive you, he can post you up. So, he’s a tough guard.” - Missouri coach Frank Haith on Iowa State’s Royce White, who posted 10 points, 10 assists and 18 rebounds in Saturday’s 77-71 win over Texas A&M. The No. 9 Tigers visit Iowa State Wednesday as 4-point favorites.

Notes and tips

Los Angeles Lakers superstar Kobe Bryant has no plans to undergo a surgical procedure on a torn ligament in his right wrist. The Los Angeles Times reported that Bryant will not huddle with the German doctor who treated his arthritic knee with platelet-rich plasma therapy last year. If Bryant underwent a similar procedure to promote healing in his wrist, he would have to fly to Germany and would need at least a week to recover. The newspaper reported that the team is not inclined to allow Bryant to go, given the high level of his play despite the injury. Bryant had 26 points and nine assists in a 90-82 victory over the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday night. He is averaging 27.6 points, 6.1 assists and 5.8 rebounds.

Baltimore Ravens coach John Harbaugh said he expects linebacker Ray Lewis and Anquan Boldin to be at 100 percent for Sunday's playoff game against the Houston Texans. Lewis missed four games due to turf toe but returned for the final three games of the season, making 27 tackles. "He looks great," Harbaugh said of the former NFL Defensive Player of the Year. Boldin sat out the past two games of the regular season while recovering from surgery on the meniscus in his knee. Harbaugh said Boldin has been running and looks good to go. The 31-year-old Boldin had 57 catches for 887 yards and three touchdowns this season. Baltimore is set as a 7.5-point favorite.

Monday’s BCS national championship game between Louisiana State and Alabama was a defensive struggle. Things probably won’t be much different when the SEC rivals meet on the hardwood Wednesday in Tuscaloosa. Crimson Tide fans may still be nursing hangovers when two of the best defenses in the nation clash. Alabama gives up just 55.9 points per game (10th nationally) while LSU yields 59.8 (39th). Alabama is a 11.5-point favorite with a 117-point total.

**Udog** · 01-11-2012, 08:35 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Providence celebrated their 1987 Final Four team Monday night but sent coach Rick Pitino back to Kentucky unhappy, as the Friars waxed Pitino's Louisville team, 90-59. Cardinals are in a funk right now.

-- Bill Callahan is leaving the Jets to replace legendary Hudson Houck as offensive line coach of the Cowboys. Houck has retired.

-- Oakland Raiders will now have had seven head coaches in eight years, as Hue Jackson got the boot after just one season in Oakland.

-- There are five golfers with their PGA Tour card for 2012 that are 22 years old or younger.

-- Robert Griffin III is entering the NFL Draft; not sure where he'll be picked in the draft. I don't think he'll be able to play well right away; he is more of a developmental project, like Steve McNair was.

-- Speaking of Baylor, Bears' basketball team won a great game 75-73 at Kansas State. Baylor is a Final Four team, if they stay healthy.

*****************

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but...........

13) Why its not easy being a network TV analyst: In the past 10 days, I’ve had three people I know, all avid sports fans, complain bitterly to me about Troy Aikman’s analysis on NFL games; weird thing is, two guys say he hates the Giants, third guy complains that he favors the Giants, especially Eli Manning. These three people are all listening to the same broadcast but hearing different things. And I actually like Aikman on TV, but I’m not a Dallas or a Giant fan. Other than that, we all agree.

12) College football is just plain weird; they have playoffs at every level but the top, making you believe that level is extremely corrupt, as far as who pockets what $$$ from all these BCS bowls and their TV money. Imagine how huge an 8-team playoff would be?

11) Former Saints’ QB Bobby Hebert is a talk show host in New Orleans; his son T-Bob is a lineman for LSU. The elder Hebert went off on Les Miles in the postgame press conference for not giving senior backup QB Jarrett Lee a chance to save the Tigers’ season. Pretty tough when you go 13-1 and the most prominent parent in your group rips you publicly.

10) If you live in Albany and like to bet the horses, check out the new OTB betting parlor on Central Ave by Everett Rd, where the teletheater was. Looks like a Vegas sportsbook, as much as something in Albany can look like something in Las Vegas.

9) Most surprising stat from early in the NBA season: Teams playing third night in row are 6-1 SU, 5-1-1 vs spread so far this season. Wolves losing to Chicago Tuesday was the first loss.

8) I don’t think the Knicks are all that great, but they’ve been favored in eight of their first nine games; maybe they’ve just had an easy schedule so far. If so, they could be in trouble, because they haven’t looked that good in these first nine games. 76ers are a good test tonight.

7) Teams that played the Lakers the night before are 1-6-1 against the spread this season.

6) I know very few people start out famous, but it seems odd that at one time in the early 80’s, Rick Pitino was an obscure assistant coach at Hawai’i; it just doesn’t seem to fit. But he was.

5) Brandon Paul hung 43 on Ohio State Tuesday nite, as Illinois upset the Buckeyes in Champaign, on a night when the Illini honored Lou Henson, their all-time winningest coach.

4) Drayton McLane bought the Astros in 1992 for $117M; he sold them last year for $680M. Must be fun to be rich.

3) Rams can walk from St Louis after the 2014 season, which has people in Missouri nervous, but owner Stan Kroenke is from Missouri, I don’t think he’ll move the Rams unless civic leaders stonewall him on getting improvements to Jones Dome. In a perfect world he’d get a new stadium, but the days of teams getting stadiums handed to them appear to be winding down. I’d like to see the Rams stay in St Louis, though, for sure.

2) Mark Jackson's Warriors beat the Miami Heat to OT without Steph Curry, whose ankle continues to be a problem; Warriors have beaten the Bulls and Miami, but are 1-6 against everyone else. Go figure. .

1) Two days after losing to the Giants and Atlanta has already lost both its coordinators; Brian Van Gorder went to Auburn to run their defense, and Mike Mularkey is Jacksonville's new head coach.

**Udog** · 01-11-2012, 08:46 AM

NFL divisional playoffs odds: Opening line report

We talked to sportsbook oddsmakers to get their thinking behind opening lines for the NFL divisional playoffs.

No. 3 New Orleans Saints at No. 2 San Francisco 49ers, 4:30 p.m. Saturday

Wynn Las Vegas opening line: Saints -3 (-120), 46.5
BetOnline.com line as of late Sunday: Saints -3.5, 47

Wynn sportsbook manager John Avello expects another flood of Saints money.

"We were thinking 3 and then we went to -3 (-120) after Saturday's performance," Avello told *********** after the Saints broke the postseason record with 626 total yards in their 45-28 thrashing of Detroit. "I don't know how we keep bettors off this team right now. I bet you I'll be at 3.5 pretty soon.

"The public loves the Saints, they see this offense and they just think they can score at will," he continued. "They're going to overlook the Niners because that team hasn't been in the playoffs in a while. They're the No. 2 seed, but in reality everybody believes the Saints are the No. 2 seed. I just think we're going to need San Fran. But we'll see how it turns out."

New Orleans has won and covered nine straight. With Drew Brees breaking records on a weekly basis, the Saints have averaged 44.3 points over their last four games.

Lions-Saints just soared over a record total for an NFL playoff game. Still, Avello said he opened Saints-Niners at 46.5 for two reasons: San Fran's No. 2-ranked defense (14.3 points allowed per game) and the style the Niners must play.

"San Fran cannot get into a shootout," he said.

No. 4 Denver Broncos at No. 1 New England Patriots, 8 p.m. ET Saturday

Las Vegas Hilton SuperBook opening line: Patriots -13.5, 50.5
BetOnline.com line as of laste Sunday: Patriots -13.5 (-120), 51

Some books already moved to 14.

Jay Kornegay, director of the Las Vegas Hilton SuperBook, expects to follow suit.

“Looks like the money is going to push it to 14, but the question is where does it go from that point?” he told ***********.

Kornegay gave Denver its props, especially for its play-action passes, but noted the Broncos faced a depleted version of the Steelers on Sunday.

“It was a great win, but I’m not really sold on the Denver Broncos making a run to the Super Bowl,” he said.

When New England visited Denver on Dec. 18, the Pats rallied from a 16-7 deficit to win 41-23, covering as 7-point favorites. The game sailed over the 47.5 total.

Tom Brady threw for 320 yards and two TDs, and tight ends Aaron Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski combined for 13 catches and 182 yards.

No. 3 Houston Texans at No. 2 Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m. Sunday

Caesars Palace opening line: Ravens -7.5, 38.5
Wynn Las Vegas opening line: Ravens -7, 38.5
BetOnline.com line as of late Sunday: Ravens -9 (+115), 37.5

Oddsmakers didn't overreact to Houston's 31-10 wild card win over Cincinnati.

"I'm still not sold on the Texans," Todd Fuhrman, senior race and sports analyst for Caesars Entertainment, told ***********. "The game wasn't nearly as lopsided as the final score indicated."

He opened Texans-Ravens at 7.5 because "the Ravens coming off a bye is worth at least one full point, and I think the hook will give us better balance than opening at just a TD."

Offshore books that opened the game at 7 quickly moved higher as Baltimore money poured in.

Avello also wasn't swayed by the Texans' first-ever playoff win.

“Arian Foster looked pretty good, that’s for sure,” he said. “But the Texans played at Baltimore in the middle of the season, the line was 7 and they lost by a couple touchdowns. It’s going to be tough for the Texans, and for T.J. Yates. He’ll find the going much more difficult.”

Avello based his opening line primarily on power ratings.

“I really don’t vary much by going with a lot of opinion at this point,” he said. “Our ratings say 7. The total has got to be on the low side. You can’t think there’s going to be a whole lot of scoring, not with the way the Ravens play at home. I think we’re where we need to be.”

It’s a matchup of Top-5 defenses. Baltimore allows 16.6 points per game (3rd), Houston 17.4 (4th).

When the teams met in Week 6 in Baltimore, Houston led 14-13 in the third quarter. But the Ravens dominated from that point, winning 29-14 as 7-point favorites. The score fell a half-point shy of the 43.5 total.

Joe Flacco threw for 305 yards, Ray Rice ran for 101 and Baltimore held Houston’s vaunted ground game to 3.7 yards per carry.

Matt Schaub quarterbacked the Texans that day. This time it will be the rookie Yates facing Terrell Suggs, Haloti Ngata, Ray Lewis, Ed Reed and company.

Yates played efficiently on Saturday, going 11 of 20 for 159 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions. He did throw one ill-advised pass Chris Crocker should have picked off.

Foster, who ran for 153 yards Saturday, was held to 49 yards on 15 carries in the Oct. 16 loss in Baltimore.

No. 4 New York Giants at No. 1 Green Bay Packers, 4:30 p.m. ET Sunday

Las Vegas Hilton SuperBook opening line: Packers -9, 51.5

BetOnline.com line as of late Sunday: Packers -9 (-105), 51.5

Offshores that opened anywhere but 9 quickly fell into line.

At first glance this seems like a big number. The Giants dismantled Atlanta on Sunday, their defense not allowing a point. And New York nearly upset Green Bay in Week 13.

But oddsmakers aren’t buying that it’s 2007 all over again.

“The Packers are going to be a little more creative than the Falcons,” Kornegay told ***********. “The Giants played well but I’m not going to get too excited about them because they haven’t put a string of good games together all year.

“Green Bay still remembers what happened a few years back [losing the NFC championship game 23-20 at home to New York],” he continued. “The Falcons were very conservative and didn’t make the right adjustments. We know the Packers are better coached than that.”

Kornegay said a total of 51 would “be on the short side and we’ll probably stay on the high side throughout the week, unless weather comes into play.”

In Week 13, these teams played a thriller at MetLife Stadium. Green Bay won 38-35, failing to cover as a 7-point favorite. The game went over the 53.5 total by nearly 20 points.

They combined for 53 first downs and nearly 900 yards of offense.

Although it was their fourth straight loss, the Giants took heart from pushing the then-undefeated Super Bowl champs to the limit.

NFL
Dunkel

Division Round

New Orleans at San Francisco
The Saints look to build on their 8-0 ATS record in their last 8 games as a favorite. New Orleans is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Saints favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3). Here are all of this week's picks.

SATURDAY, JANUARY 14

Game 109-110: New Orleans at San Francisco (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 148.439; San Francisco 139.534
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 9; 53
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3); Over

Game 111-112: Denver at New England (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 128.417; New England 144.965
Dunkel Line: New England by 16 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: New England by 13 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-13 1/2); Under

SUNDAY, JANUARY 15

Game 113-114: Houston at Baltimore (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 134.089; Baltimore 137.112
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 3; 39
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 9; 35 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+9); Over

Game 115-116: NY Giants at Green Bay (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 138.390; Green Bay 142.058
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 3 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 9; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+9); Under

NFL
Long Sheet

Division Round

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Saturday, January 14

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NEW ORLEANS (14 - 3) at SAN FRANCISCO (13 - 3) - 1/14/2012, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (9 - 8) at NEW ENGLAND (13 - 3) - 1/14/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 144-108 ATS (+25.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 89-64 ATS (+18.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 62-38 ATS (+20.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, January 15

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HOUSTON (11 - 6) at BALTIMORE (12 - 4) - 1/15/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 2-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY GIANTS (10 - 7) at GREEN BAY (15 - 1) - 1/15/2012, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games this season.
GREEN BAY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
GREEN BAY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
GREEN BAY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 54-31 ATS (+19.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games against NFC North division opponents since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 1-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 2-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NFL
Short Sheet

Division Round

Saturday, 1/14/2012

NEW ORLEANS at SAN FRANCISCO, 4:30 PM ET FOX
NEW ORLEANS: 12-3 ATS as favorite
SAN FRANCISCO: 0-6 ATS off division win

DENVER at NEW ENGLAND, 8:00 PM ET CBS
DENVER: 5-1 ATS in New England
NEW ENGLAND: 25-8 Over in all games

Sunday, 1/15/2012

HOUSTON at BALTIMORE, 1:00 PM ET CBS
HOUSTON: 7-18 ATS Away off home win
BALTIMORE: 55-36 ATS as home favorite

NY GIANTS at GREEN BAY, 4:00 PM ET FOX
NY GIANTS: 6-0 Over off 3+ wins
GREEN BAY: 7-1 Over in home games

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

NFL

Division Round

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Trend Report
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Saturday, January 14

4:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing New Orleans

8:00 PM
DENVER vs. NEW ENGLAND
Denver is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Sunday, January 15

1:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. BALTIMORE
Houston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

4:30 PM
NY GIANTS vs. GREEN BAY
NY Giants are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
NY Giants are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games at home

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NFL

Division Round

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NFL odds: Divisional playoff betting trends
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After expanding its playoff format to 12 teams in 1990, the NFL left the door wide open to the possibilities of a Wild Card team running the table and hoisting the Lombardi Trophy.

And while a wild card team has done so only seven times in Super Bowl history, five such winners have been crowned since 1997.

Last year witnessed the Packers hauling home the hardware. In 2007 it was the New York Giants, in 2005 the Pittsburgh Steelers, in 2000 the Baltimore Ravens and in 1997 the Denver Broncos.

Will the trend continue this season or will the top seeded teams have their say? With both of the No.1 seeds owning the league’s worst defenses, a strong case might be made for New Orleans to continue its hot streak. Before we crown anyone just yet, let’s first check a few Divisional Round angles in the NFL playoffs that are noteworthy. All results are since 1990 and are against the spread (ATS), unless noted otherwise.

Top seeds generally up to speed

No. 1 seeds enjoy the luxury of not only hosting a game in this round but also play with an added week of rest.

For the most part these teams have had major success, going 31-11 SU and 23-19 ATS in this role.

The best the NFC has to offer has gone 19-2 SU and 15-6 ATS, including 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS versus a foe off a spread win of more than 13 points in its wild card game.

Top seeds from the AFC have struggled, going 12-9 SU and 8-13 ATS, including 5-5 SU and 1-9 ATS when playing off back-to-back wins.

Success breeds success

Rested hosts in this round that enjoyed success last season use that experience to their advantage.

Teams that won 11 or more games last year are 38-9 SU and 29-17-1 ATS at home with a week to prepare in Division Round contests

On the flip side, teams that were losing teams last years (seven or fewer wins) are just 7-34 SU and 15-24-1 ATS in this round.

Put one up against the other – an 11-plus win home team against a losing team last year – and these hosts respond with aplomb, going an eye-opening 16-0 SU and 12-3-1 ATS.

Highway blues

Life on the road for wild card teams who won at home has been rocky, especially if they grabbed the cash as well.

These highwaymen are just 15-36 SU and 20-29-1 ATS in this role against well-rested higher-seeded foes.

And if these same wild card winners take to the road off one win, they dip to a disgusting 0-15 SU and 1-13-1 ATS in these affairs.

There you have it. A trio of time-tested theories to help guide you through the NFL Divisional Round games this week. Do the math, figure them out and play accordingly.

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NFL

Division Round

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NFL Spread Sheet: Beware of the bye week
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The team that needed a bye the most, Pittsburgh, didn’t get one.

So how much will it benefit Green Bay, San Fran, New England and Baltimore?

Teams with rest and homefield advantage are 11-17 against the spread -- just 14-14 straight up -- since 2005. They went 2-2 last year.

The 14-14 mark is striking when you consider how many points teams often lay in this round. (See chart below).

In three of four games this weekend, the favorite is laying over a touchdown against a dog that just won convincingly (Texans, Giants) or pulled off a huge upset (Broncos).

Undoubtedly, the bye helps injured players like Greg Jennings return to the field, and helps banged-up players get closer to full strength. But on the whole, bettors may be over inflating its value.

“Many of these teams had little to play for on the final week of the regular season, so it’s almost like having back-to-back weeks of not being in the usual playing rhythm,” Covers Expert David Malinsky said. “That has an impact in a sport in which playing rhythm is so important.”

In today’s pass-happy NFL, precision and timing are key.

“When you look at the Green Bay game, Aaron Rodgers has not taken a snap at game speed in three weeks, and he’s got to bring Jennings back into the offense,” said Todd Fuhrman, senior race and sports analyst at Caesars Entertainment. “If it takes a quarter to get your feet underneath you, and you’re laying more than a touchdown, it becomes much harder to cover the number.”

Of the four rested teams, only Green Bay had nothing to play for in Week 17. Rodgers has not played since Christmas. So the Pack had the longest layoff from a normal game.

But Covers Expert Scott Rickenbach said even missing a week can be disruptive.

“When you go from playing every week for weeks on end and develop nice momentum, a week off can be the last thing a team needs,” he said. “Every situation must be analyzed as a standalone but I do believe this is part of what has led to the 11-17 ATS mark.”

The NFL is far more specialized than it used to be. For many running backs, receivers and defensive players, 35 snaps comprise a full workload. So the bye isn’t as critical as before.

Take the Saints’ backfield, for example. Darren Spoles played 39 snaps last Saturday against Detroit, Pierre Thomas played 37 and Chris Ivory 21. All should be fresh when they face the Niners.

Out of 65 defensive snaps in the Falcons-Giants game, Justin Tuck played 45, Osi Umenyiora 42, Chris Canty 33 and Mathias Kiwanuka 25. They should have plenty left in the tank.

Biggest divisional round spreads

The 13.5-point spread in Denver-New England ties the 2008 Jacksonville-New England game for the highest divisional round spread since 1999.

Here are the biggest spreads since 1985. Favorites went 8-8-1 ATS.

Jan. 7, 1995: Chicago at San Francisco (-17, 44): 49ers 44, Bears 15

Jan. 10, 1999: Arizona at Minnesota (-16.5, 53): Vikings 41, Cardinals 21

Jan. 3, 1998: Minnesota at San Francisco (-14, 43): 49ers 38, Vikings 22

Jan. 4, 1998: Tampa Bay at Green Bay (-14, 39): Packers 21, Buccaneers 7

Jan. 4, 1997: Jacksonville at Denver (-14, 47): Jaguars 30, Broncos 27

Jan. 9, 1999: Miami at Denver (-14, 48): Broncos 38, Dolphins 3

Jan. 16, 1994: Green Bay at Dallas (-14, 42.5): Cowboys 27, Broncos 17

Jan. 7, 1996: Philadelphia at Dallas (-13.5, 45.5): Cowboys 30, Eagles 11

Jan. 12, 2008: Jacksonville at New England (-13.5, 51): Patriots 31, Jaguars 20

Jan. 4, 1992: Atlanta at Washington (-11.5, 42.5): Redskins 24, Falcons 7

Jan. 20, 2002: Green Bay at St. Louis (-11.5, 55.5): Rams 45, Packers 17

Jan. 5, 1992: Kansas City at Buffalo (-11, 42.5): Bills 37, Chiefs 14

Jan. 4, 1986: Baltimore at Miami (-11): Dolphins 24, Colts 21

Jan. 10, 1988: Minnesota at San Francisco (-10.5, 46.5): Vikings 36, 49ers 24

Jan. 7, 1996: Indianapolis at Kansas City (-10.5, 40): Colts 10, Chiefs 7

Jan. 13, 2008: San Diego at Indianapolis (-10.5, 46): Chargers 28, Colts 24

Jan. 7, 1990: Pittsburgh at Denver (-10.5, 39.5): Broncos 24, Steelers 23

Snowball factor

In the last 20 divisional round games, a team has covered the spread by double digits 12 times, underdogs included. It happened twice last year.

Malinsky said playoff games can snowball and “bring extreme results.”

“When you fall behind by a big margin, you know your season is over and often lose heart,” he said. “In the regular season you keep playing because there is a lot ahead, and you want to stay in focus. But when you know the end is in sight, that can be a crushing psychological blow.”

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**Udog** · 01-11-2012, 08:49 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

LSU at Alabama
The Tigers look to build on their 9-1 ATS record in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. LSU is the pick (+11 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Crimson Tide favored by only 10. Dunkel Pick: LSU (+11 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 11

Game 741-742: Northwestern at Michigan (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 60.014; Michigan 73.756
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 13 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Michigan by 8; 133
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-8); Under

Game 743-744: St. John's at Marquette (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 57.782; Marquette 69.820
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 12; 147
Vegas Line: Marquette by 13 1/2; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick St. John's (+13 1/2); Over

Game 745-746: Syracuse at Villanova (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 76.208; Villanova 65.855
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 10 1/2; 153
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 9 1/2; 145
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (-9 1/2); Over

Game 747-748: Rutgers at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 57.136; Pittsburgh 66.794
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 9 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 8 1/2; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-8 1/2); Under

Game 749-750: Northeastern at Hofstra (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 50.168; Hofstra 52.088
Dunkel Line: Hofstra by 2; 136
Vegas Line: Hofstra by 4; 130
Dunkel Pick: Northeastern (+2); Over

Game 751-752: Rhode Island at George Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 51.546; George Washington 55.177
Dunkel Line: George Washington by 3 1/2; 125
Vegas Line: George Washington by 7; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+7); Under

Game 753-754: Fordham at St. Joseph's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 52.439; St. Joseph's 69.198
Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 17; 140
Vegas Line: St. Joseph's by 14 1/2; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (-14 1/2); Over

Game 755-756: Duquesne at Xavier (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duquesne 62.472; Xavier 64.720
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 2 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Xavier by 8; 147
Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (+8); Under

Game 757-758: Dayton at St. Bonaventure (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 60.565; St. Bonaventure 64.758
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 4; 131
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 2 1/2; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (-2 1/2); Over

Game 759-760: Wake Forest at Maryland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 55.841; Maryland 56.820
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 1; 136
Vegas Line: Maryland by 5; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+5); Under

Game 761-762: Northern Illinois at Western Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 39.667; Western Michigan 55.626
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 16; 134
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 17 1/2; 127
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+17 1/2); Over

Game 763-764: Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 50.396; Eastern Michigan 47.583
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 3; 110
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 2; 111
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-2); Under

Game 765-766: Akron at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 64.480; Bowling Green 56.238
Dunkel Line: Akron by 8; 139
Vegas Line: Akron by 2; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-2); Over

Game 767-768: Buffalo at Ohio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 60.362; Ohio 63.308
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 3; 141
Vegas Line: Ohio by 7; 144
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+7); Under

Game 769-770: Miami (OH) at Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 53.138; Kent State 60.494
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 7 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Kent State by 11; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+11); Over

Game 771-772: Houston at Central Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 54.224; Central Florida 66.031
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 12; 129
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 10; 136
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-10); Under

Game 773-774: Charlotte at Massachusetts (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 59.277; Massachusetts 60.713
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 1 1/2; 149
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 5; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+5); Over

Game 775-776: Southern Mississippi at Memphis (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 61.320; Memphis 70.328
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 9; 132
Vegas Line: Memphis by 7 1/2; 139
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+4); Under

Game 777-778: William & Mary at Towson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 44.110; Towson 39.169
Dunkel Line: William & Mary by 5; 124
Vegas Line: William & Mary by 3 1/2; 119 1/2
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (-3 1/2); Over

Game 779-780: Old Dominion at Delaware (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 57.518; Delaware 56.146
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 1 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Pick; 126 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion; Under

Game 781-782: Kentucky at Auburn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 75.156; Auburn 59.351
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 16; 131
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 18; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+18); Under

Game 783-784: Marshall at UAB (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 61.922; UAB 58.135
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 4; 127
Vegas Line: Marshall by 2 1/2; 119 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-2 1/2); Over

Game 785-786: Arkansas at Mississippi (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 61.640; Mississippi 64.223
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 2 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 1; 139
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-1); Under

Game 787-788: Missouri at Iowa State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 71.117; Iowa State 68.715
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 2 1/2; 156
Vegas Line: Missouri by 4; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+4); Over

Game 789-790: UTEP at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 59.001; Tulsa 60.259
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 1 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 6; 124
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+6); Over

Game 791-792: Rice at SMU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 55.613; SMU 59.137
Dunkel Line: SMU by 3 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: SMU by 2; 125
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-2); Under

Game 793-794: Penn State at Nebraska (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 54.982; Nebraska 61.602
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 6 1/2; 118
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 5; 114 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-5); Over

Game 795-796: Kansas at Texas Tech (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 71.689; Texas Tech 59.872
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 12; 131
Vegas Line: Kansas by 14 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+14 1/2); Under

Game 797-798: Texas A&M at Texas (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 59.994; Texas 68.922
Dunkel Line: Texas by 9; 128
Vegas Line: Texas by 10 1/2; 122 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+10 1/2); Over

Game 799-800: Georgia Tech at NC State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 55.799; NC State 68.267
Dunkel Line: NC State by 12 1/2; 134
Vegas Line: NC State 9 1/2; 138
Dunkel Pick: NC State (-9 1/2); Under

Game 801-802: Temple at St. Louis (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 63.136; St. Louis 72.529
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 9 1/2; 123
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 7 1/2; 130
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-7 1/2); Under

Game 803-804: LSU at Alabama (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 62.526; Alabama 72.685
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 10; 124
Vegas Line: Alabama by 11 1/2; 117 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+11 1/2); Over

Game 805-806: Denver at Colorado State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 59.788; Colorado State 59.642
Dunkel Line: Even; 122
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 3 1/2; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+3 1/2); Under

Game 807-808: Morehead State at Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 48.024; Tennessee State 54.621
Dunkel Line: Tennessee State by 6 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Tennessee State by 4 1/2; 130 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee State (-4 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 01-11-2012, 08:50 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, January 11

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NORTHWESTERN (11 - 4) at MICHIGAN (13 - 3) - 1/11/2012, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 3-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 3-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST JOHNS (8 - 7) at MARQUETTE (12 - 4) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARQUETTE is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ST JOHNS is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOHNS is 2-1 against the spread versus MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
MARQUETTE is 2-1 straight up against ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SYRACUSE (17 - 0) at VILLANOVA (8 - 8) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all games this season.
VILLANOVA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
VILLANOVA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 2-1 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 2-1 straight up against VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RUTGERS (9 - 7) at PITTSBURGH (11 - 5) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NORTHEASTERN (6 - 8) at HOFSTRA (6 - 10) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOFSTRA is 3-2 against the spread versus NORTHEASTERN over the last 3 seasons
HOFSTRA is 3-2 straight up against NORTHEASTERN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RHODE ISLAND (3 - 13) at GEORGE WASHINGTON (5 - 10) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RHODE ISLAND is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games this season.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 2-0 against the spread versus RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
GEORGE WASHINGTON is 1-1 straight up against RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FORDHAM (7 - 8) at ST JOSEPHS (11 - 5) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FORDHAM is 151-193 ATS (-61.3 Units) in all games since 1997.
FORDHAM is 151-193 ATS (-61.3 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
FORDHAM is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 112-149 ATS (-51.9 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
FORDHAM is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ST JOSEPHS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
ST JOSEPHS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
ST JOSEPHS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
ST JOSEPHS is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games on Wednesday games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOSEPHS is 1-1 against the spread versus FORDHAM over the last 3 seasons
ST JOSEPHS is 2-0 straight up against FORDHAM over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DUQUESNE (9 - 6) at XAVIER (10 - 5) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUQUESNE is 43-65 ATS (-28.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
XAVIER is 141-107 ATS (+23.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
XAVIER is 139-105 ATS (+23.5 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
XAVIER is 147-112 ATS (+23.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
XAVIER is 86-54 ATS (+26.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
DUQUESNE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
XAVIER is 2-0 against the spread versus DUQUESNE over the last 3 seasons
XAVIER is 2-0 straight up against DUQUESNE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DAYTON (12 - 4) at ST BONAVENTURE (8 - 6) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST BONAVENTURE is 56-82 ATS (-34.2 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
ST BONAVENTURE is 44-67 ATS (-29.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
ST BONAVENTURE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
ST BONAVENTURE is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games on Wednesday games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST BONAVENTURE is 1-1 against the spread versus DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
DAYTON is 2-0 straight up against ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WAKE FOREST (10 - 5) at MARYLAND (10 - 4) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 53-79 ATS (-33.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 52-78 ATS (-33.8 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 142-181 ATS (-57.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MARYLAND is 52-26 ATS (+23.4 Units) on Wednesday games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 3-0 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND is 2-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N ILLINOIS (1 - 12) at W MICHIGAN (6 - 9) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 2-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 3-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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C MICHIGAN (6 - 8) at E MICHIGAN (6 - 9) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
C MICHIGAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 43-71 ATS (-35.1 Units) in January games since 1997.
E MICHIGAN is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 3-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 3-1 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AKRON (9 - 6) at BOWLING GREEN (7 - 7) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
AKRON is 3-1 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 4-0 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (7 - 4) at OHIO U (12 - 3) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
OHIO U is 100-68 ATS (+25.2 Units) in all home games since 1997.
OHIO U is 100-68 ATS (+25.2 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
OHIO U is 149-111 ATS (+26.9 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
OHIO U is 69-47 ATS (+17.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
OHIO U is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 3-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 2-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI OHIO (4 - 9) at KENT ST (10 - 4) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 2-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (9 - 6) at UCF (12 - 3) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 2-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (9 - 5) at MASSACHUSETTS (12 - 4) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
CHARLOTTE is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
MASSACHUSETTS is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SOUTHERN MISS (15 - 2) at MEMPHIS (10 - 5) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 104-76 ATS (+20.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 178-136 ATS (+28.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 115-72 ATS (+35.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
SOUTHERN MISS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-2 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WM & MARY (3 - 13) at TOWSON ST (0 - 16) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WM & MARY is 100-134 ATS (-47.4 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOWSON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus WM & MARY over the last 3 seasons
TOWSON ST is 1-1 straight up against WM & MARY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OLD DOMINION (8 - 8) at DELAWARE (7 - 7) - 1/11/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLD DOMINION is 67-96 ATS (-38.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
OLD DOMINION is 67-93 ATS (-35.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
DELAWARE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DELAWARE is 3-1 against the spread versus OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
OLD DOMINION is 4-1 straight up against DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KENTUCKY (15 - 1) at AUBURN (10 - 5) - 1/11/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all games this season.
KENTUCKY is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
KENTUCKY is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
AUBURN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 91-65 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 2-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARSHALL (11 - 4) at UAB (5 - 9) - 1/11/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 55-79 ATS (-31.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
MARSHALL is 54-77 ATS (-30.7 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
MARSHALL is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game since 1997.
MARSHALL is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UAB is 2-2 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 3-1 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARKANSAS (12 - 3) at OLE MISS (10 - 5) - 1/11/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 67-93 ATS (-35.3 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 49-85 ATS (-44.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 51-85 ATS (-42.5 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 41-68 ATS (-33.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
OLE MISS is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) on Wednesday games since 1997.
OLE MISS is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
OLE MISS is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 3-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
OLE MISS is 3-1 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSOURI (14 - 1) at IOWA ST (12 - 3) - 1/11/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
MISSOURI is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
IOWA ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
IOWA ST is 78-51 ATS (+21.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
IOWA ST is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 2-2 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 4-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTEP (8 - 8) at TULSA (7 - 9) - 1/11/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTEP is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UTEP is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 5-0 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 5-1 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RICE (9 - 7) at SMU (9 - 6) - 1/11/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 60-84 ATS (-32.4 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
SMU is 62-88 ATS (-34.8 Units) in all home games since 1997.
SMU is 62-88 ATS (-34.8 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
SMU is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 40-63 ATS (-29.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 3-2 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 4-1 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PENN ST (9 - 8) at NEBRASKA (8 - 7) - 1/11/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
PENN ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when the total is 119.5 or less since 1997.
PENN ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS (12 - 3) at TEXAS TECH (7 - 7) - 1/11/2012, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 2-1 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 3-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS A&M (9 - 5) at TEXAS (11 - 4) - 1/11/2012, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-2 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 4-1 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA TECH (7 - 8) at NC STATE (12 - 4) - 1/11/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-1 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEMPLE (10 - 4) at SAINT LOUIS (13 - 3) - 1/11/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
TEMPLE is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
TEMPLE is 146-110 ATS (+25.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAINT LOUIS is 1-1 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 2-0 straight up against SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LSU (11 - 4) at ALABAMA (12 - 3) - 1/11/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
LSU is 76-52 ATS (+18.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
LSU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LSU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 4-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 4-0 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (13 - 3) at COLORADO ST (10 - 4) - 1/11/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 27-42 ATS (-19.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 27-42 ATS (-19.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 6-23 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 6-23 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 62-34 ATS (+24.6 Units) in January games since 1997.
DENVER is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 2-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MOREHEAD ST (8 - 9) at TENNESSEE ST (9 - 8) - 1/11/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MOREHEAD ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MOREHEAD ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE ST is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
TENNESSEE ST is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
TENNESSEE ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
TENNESSEE ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE ST is 3-1 against the spread versus MOREHEAD ST over the last 3 seasons
MOREHEAD ST is 3-1 straight up against TENNESSEE ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 01-11-2012, 08:51 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, January 11

Northwestern is 4-3 in its last seven games against Michigan. splitting last four games played here; Wildcats lost three of last four games, with losses by 8-1-33 points- they're 1-4 vs top 50 teams, with best win on a neutral floor over #32 Seton Hall. 13-3 Michigan lost its only true away games, by 12 at Virginia, 2 at Indiana- they won two of three on neutral floor on Maui, beating Memphis/UCLA. Big Dozen single digit home favorites are 4-6 vs spread this season.

St John's (+6.5) upset Marquette 80-68 here LY, ending 8-game series skid; five of Eagles' last eight series wins were by 9 or less points. Red Storm split first four Big East games, losing by 15 to Louisville, by 14 at UConn- they scored 61.3 ppg last three games. Marquette lost four of last six games after 10-0 start; their defense is slipping, allowing 74.3 to last four opponents. Last three Marquette games were decided by 7 or less points. Big East double digit home favorites are 2-5-1 vs spread.

Underdog is 7-2 vs spread in last nine Syracuse-Villanova games, with dog winning six of last eight SU; Wildcats are 4-23 vs spread in last 27 lined games; they're 3-6 in last nine games, 1-6 vs top 100 teams, with five of six losses by 10+ points. Syracuse doesn't go on road whole lot; they're 3-0 on foreign soil, winning by 16-14-19 points. Big East single digit home underdogs are 6-4 vs spread. Orange are #3 in country- they force turnovers on over 27% of opponents' possessions.

Rutgers lost six of last seven games against Pitt, losing last three by 6-3-29 points; underdog is 5-2 vs spread in last seven series games. Panthers haven't won game in 22 days, losing last four games, three by 5 or less points- they're 8th-worst team in whole country at forcing turnovers. Knights lost both true road games, by 15 at Miami, 2 at USF; they're #10 in country, forcing turnovers on 25.9% of possessions. Big East single digit home favorites are 7-6 vs spread.

Home team won five of last six Xavier-Duquesne games; Dukes lost last four visits to Cintas Center by 21-21-27-36 points- they're 1-3 on road, with losses by 8-16-14 points and a win at George Mason. Xavier lost five of last seven games (wins by 10-8 points), as they struggle to regain chemistry after multiple suspensions that are over now. Duquesne won four of its last five games, with only loss in OT to St Joe's. Atlantic 14 single digit home favorites are 4-3 vs spread.

Wake Forest lost seven of last nine games vs Maryland, losing three of last four visits here, with losses by 4-7-21 points; Deacons are on road for first time in 32 days; they're 2-1 on road, losing at Seton Hall by 14, winning at Nebraska/High Point. Underdogs are 7-0-1 vs spread in first eight ACC games this season. Maryland had 7-game win streak ended in ACC opener at NC State; they're 2-4 vs teams ranked #160 or higher. Last three Wake games were decided by 4 or less points.

Buffalo won four of last six games against Ohio, taking two of last three in Athens, with wins by 2-5 points; Bulls are 2-3 on road, losing by 8-2-15 points- they're 2-2 vs top 100 teams, with best win 84-55 at Dayton. Buffalo allowed 93-87 points in losing last two road games. Ohio scored 62 ppg in losing last two games, to Robert Morris (forced 31 turnovers)/ Bowling Green. MAC favorites are 4-3 vs spread, 2-1 at home. Five of last six series games were decided by 7 or less points.

Southern Mississippi lost its last 16 games vs Memphis, but last five were all by 7 or less points; Eagles lost last eight visits here, with five of losses by 14+ (last two were by 7-6). USM won its last 11 games since ; losing to unbeaten Murray State in double OT up at Alaskan Shootout, with four of those 11 wins on road. Conference USA favorites are 4-6 vs spread, 3-3 at home. Memphis won its last four games, allowing average of 53.8 ppg; they're 2-5 vs top 100 teams, beating Belmont/Miami.

Arkansas lost six of last seven games against Ole Miss, losing last three by 2-9-10 points, but Rebels threw leading scorer off team for off-court reasons, then went to LSU and lost SEC opener by 26, their fourth loss in last five games. Rebels make just 28% behind arc, 59.7% on foul line. Son of Arkansas coach Anderson (video guy for team) got second DUI over weekend, so both teams dealing with distractions. Hogs lost only two road games (Oklahoma/UConn). SEC home favorites are 3-1.

Missouri won its last seven games with Iowa State, winning last three in Hilton Coliseum by 14-2-6 points; Tigers lost first game at K-State on Saturday, just their second true road game (won at Old Dominion by 7). Mizzou is down to seven scholarship players, can't afford foul trouble. Cyclones won last seven games, scoring 75.5 ppg in first two games in Big X, beating Longhorns/Aggies. Big X home underdogs are 3-1 against the spread. State is 1-2 vs top 50 teams, losing to No Iowa/Michigan.

Home side is 14-1 in last 15 Texas A&M-Texas games; Aggies lost last eight visits to Austin, by 20-35-13-2-27-9-5-21 points. A&M lost last four games vs D-I opponents, scoring 53.3 in last three, losses by 7-9-24 points. Losing last two home games, to Rice/Iowa State is a big red flag. Longhorns are 1-4 when they allow 70+ points, 10-0 when they do not; they split last four games, all of their wins are by 9+ points. Big X double digit home favorites are 1-3 vs spread.

LSU lost last four games with Alabama by 17-19-24-11 points; they've lost last seven visits here, by 15-5-10-9-6-19-24 points. Tigers are 8-1 in last nine games, losing by 5 to Virginia- they're 1-2 vs top 100 teams, beating Marquette in game they trailed 13-0 early. SEC favorites are 5-3 vs spread, 3-1 at home. Alabama won its last four games, holding foes to 53.5 ppg, with all four wins by 15+ points. Tide will no doubt wheel out the national championship football trophy for a game against LSU.

Denver lost six of last seven games with Colorado State, losing last four visits to Fort Collins by 5-4-12-16 points; Pioneers are 5-1 away from home, with only loss at #19 Cal by 21. Rams won last five games, four by 14+ points; they're 1-4 vs top 100 teams, with best win by a point over #100 Colorado. Sun Belt single digit road underdogs are 10-8 vs spread in non-conference games; Mountain West home favorites of 5 or less points are 2-4 against the spread.

**Udog** · 01-11-2012, 08:51 AM

NCAAB

Wednesday, January 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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6:30 PM
NORTHWESTERN vs. MICHIGAN
Northwestern is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northwestern's last 6 games on the road
Michigan is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. MASSACHUSETTS
Charlotte is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Massachusetts is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Massachusetts is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
Central Michigan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Central Michigan's last 23 games on the road
Eastern Michigan is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
Eastern Michigan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
DUQUESNE vs. XAVIER
Duquesne is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Duquesne's last 7 games on the road
Xavier is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Xavier is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

7:00 PM
RHODE ISLAND vs. GEORGE WASHINGTON
Rhode Island is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rhode Island's last 7 games on the road
George Washington is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
George Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. KENT STATE
Miami (Ohio) is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 5 games on the road
Kent State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Kent State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
DAYTON vs. ST. BONAVENTURE
Dayton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dayton's last 7 games on the road
St. Bonaventure is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
St. Bonaventure is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
OLD DOMINION vs. DELAWARE
Old Dominion is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Old Dominion is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Delaware
Delaware is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Delaware is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Old Dominion

7:00 PM
NORTHEASTERN vs. HOFSTRA
Northeastern is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Northeastern is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Hofstra
Hofstra is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Hofstra is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home

7:00 PM
WAKE FOREST vs. MARYLAND
Wake Forest is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Wake Forest is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Maryland
Maryland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Maryland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
SYRACUSE vs. VILLANOVA
Syracuse is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Syracuse's last 6 games on the road
Villanova is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Villanova is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
FORDHAM vs. SAINT JOSEPH'S
Fordham is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Fordham is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Saint Joseph's
Saint Joseph's is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Saint Joseph's is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

7:00 PM
ST. JOHN'S vs. MARQUETTE
St. John's is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
St. John's is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Marquette is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Marquette is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games

7:00 PM
WILLIAM & MARY vs. TOWSON
William & Mary is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Towson is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Towson is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
LONGWOOD vs. BROWN
No trends available
Brown is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Brown is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

7:00 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
Northern Illinois is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Northern Illinois is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
Houston is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Central Florida
Central Florida is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Florida's last 6 games

7:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. OHIO
Buffalo is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
Ohio is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Ohio is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home

7:00 PM
SOUTHERN MISS vs. MEMPHIS
Southern Miss is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southern Miss is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Memphis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
RUTGERS vs. PITTSBURGH
Rutgers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Rutgers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
AKRON vs. BOWLING GREEN
Akron is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Akron's last 9 games on the road
Bowling Green is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Bowling Green is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

8:00 PM
MOREHEAD STATE vs. TENNESSEE STATE
Morehead State is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Morehead State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee State
Tennessee State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Tennessee State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Morehead State

8:00 PM
TEXAS-PAN AMERICAN vs. TCU
No trends available
TCU is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
TCU is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
RICE vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
Rice is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Rice is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Southern Methodis
Southern Methodist is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Southern Methodist is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

8:00 PM
TEXAS EL PASO vs. TULSA
Texas El Paso is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Texas El Paso is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tulsa
Tulsa is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Tulsa is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home

8:00 PM
KENTUCKY vs. AUBURN
Kentucky is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kentucky's last 5 games on the road
Auburn is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
Auburn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
MARSHALL vs. UAB
Marshall is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against UAB
Marshall is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against UAB
UAB is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
UAB is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home

8:00 PM
ARKANSAS vs. MISSISSIPPI
Arkansas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Arkansas is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Mississippi is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Mississippi is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games

8:00 PM
MISSOURI vs. IOWA STATE
Missouri is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Missouri is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:30 PM
PENN STATE vs. NEBRASKA
Penn State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Penn State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Nebraska is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Nebraska is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
DENVER vs. COLORADO STATE
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado State
Colorado State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
KANSAS vs. TEXAS TECH
Kansas is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Kansas is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Texas Tech is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Texas Tech is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Kansas

9:00 PM
TEXAS A&M vs. TEXAS
Texas A&M is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas A&M is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Texas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
LSU vs. ALABAMA
LSU is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
LSU is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Alabama
Alabama is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Alabama is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

9:00 PM
TEMPLE vs. SAINT LOUIS
Temple is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Temple is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Saint Louis is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
Saint Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Georgia Tech is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against North Carolina St
North Carolina State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
North Carolina State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

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**Udog** · 01-11-2012, 08:53 AM

NCAAB

Wednesday, January 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
College funds: Wednesday's best NCAAB bets
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Kansas Jayhawks at Texas Tech Red Raiders (14.5, 134)

Kansas looks to go 3-0 in the Big 12 for the sixth straight season when it travels to Texas Tech. Kansas averages 75.1 points, but gets especially high marks for its defense, which allows only 59.2 points and has held eight opponents to 58 or fewer.

The Jayhawks are led by Thomas Robinson, the only player in the conference to average a double-double: 17.5 points and 12.1 rebounds. He leads the team with 39 of the club’s 78 dunks.

Guard Tyshawn Taylor averages 14.7 points and has a team-high 77 assists; he’s averaging 6.8 assists over the last seven games. Travis Releford has been particularly hot; he scored a career-high 28 points in the last game against Oklahoma and is averaging 22 in three league games.

Tech has suffered through patches of inconsistency that seem to inevitably come with youth: the Raiders have seven freshman.

Pick: Jayhawks

Arkansas Razorbacks at Mississippi Running Rebels (-1.5, 138.5)

With leading scorer Marshawn Powell out for the rest of the season with a knee injury, Arkansas’ season could have imploded. Instead, the Razorbacks have not lost in nearly a month heading into their first SEC road game at Mississippi. Arkansas opened conference play Saturday with a 98-88 upset win over then-No. 16 Mississippi State, the Razorbacks’ seventh consecutive victory.

First-year head coach Mike Anderson has the Razorbacks rolling, and guard play has fueled Arkansas’ recent surge. Freshman guard B.J. Young leads the team in scoring at 14.8 points, shooting 52.7 percent from the field and 43.1 percent from 3-point range. Sophomore Mardracus Wade averages 11.3 points, shooting 51 percent from the field and 49.3 percent from outside.

Without Dundrecous Nelson and reserve Jamal Jones, the Rebels are going to have a hard time keeping this close.

Pick: Razorbacks

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**Udog** · 01-11-2012, 10:03 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, January 11

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PITTSBURGH (21-15-0-4, 46 pts.) at WASHINGTON (21-17-0-2, 44 pts.) - 1/11/2012, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-2 (+6.2 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 8-2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW JERSEY (23-16-0-2, 48 pts.) at EDMONTON (16-22-0-3, 35 pts.) - 1/11/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 23-17 ATS (+40.6 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 30-19 ATS (+5.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 40-82 ATS (-66.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 4-25 ATS (+32.0 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 1-12 ATS (+21.2 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 15-37 ATS (+63.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 12-36 ATS (+64.2 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 8-27 ATS (+46.4 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 1-10 ATS (+14.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 1-1 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 1-1-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, January 11

Hot teams
-- Washington won six of its last seven home games.

Cold teams
-- Pittsburgh lost its last five games, scoring six goals.
-- Edmonton lost 11 of its last 13 games. Devils lost three of their last four road games.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Pittsburgh road games stayed under total.
-- Over is 11-4-1 in last sixteen New Jersey road games.

Series records
-- Penguins lost eight of last ten games against Washington.
-- Devils are 3-2 in last five games against Edmonton, 1-1 here.

Back-to-Back
-- Penguins are 3-3 if they played the night before.
-- Devils are 6-2 on road if they played the night before.

NHL

Wednesday, January 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Pittsburgh's last 20 games when playing on the road against Washington
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Washington's last 20 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

9:00 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Jersey's last 16 games on the road
New Jersey is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing New Jersey
Edmonton is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

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NHL

Wednesday, January 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ice picks: Wednesday's best NHL bets
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals (N/A)

The only thing consistent about the Washington Capitals this season is their maddening inconsistency. Just when it looks like they’re making strides, they stumble again.

Washington was cruising on a four-game winning streak before they were outscored 10-4 in back-to-back losses to San Jose and Los Angeles in California.

“The frustrating part is we put three, four great games together and played the way we’re capable of playing,” said Dennis Wideman. “It’s like we take a big breath or something and all of a sudden we turn around and we’re not playing the way we’re capable of. We lose two and we’re back to where we were.”

Now they have to deal with the Penguins likely without leading scorer Nicklas Backstrom and defenseman Mike Green again. The only good news is Alex Semin finally seems to have woken up, notching points in eight of his last nine games.

We’ll stick with the under.

Pick: Under

New Jersey Devils at Edmonton Oilers (-110, 5)

When the young Edmonton Oilers got off to a blazing start, you knew it would catch up with them eventually. But the bad luck they’ve endured over the last little while has been pretty harsh.

Rookie sensation Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and leading scorer Jordan Eberle, as well as defensemen Ryan Whitney, Cam Barker and Tom Gilbert are dealing with injuries. Meanwhile, the Oilers have won just twice since downing Calgary a month ago.

"There's an ebb and flow to the hockey season and there's no reason why we can't get ourselves winning again and get ourselves on a couple of real good rolls that really help reel people in," coach Tom Renney told reporters.

That may be true, but Edmonton should have a tough time against the Devils, who had picked up at least a point in five of six heading into Tuesday’s date with Calgary.

Pick: Devils

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**Udog** · 01-11-2012, 10:08 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, January 11

Hot Teams
-- Atlanta won its last three games, by 6-15-5 points. Indiana is 3-0 at home, winning by 13-7-14 points.
-- 76ers won/covered their last six games. New York won its last three games, by 3-23-4 points, but they're 0-4 vs spread at home.
-- Bulls won eight of last nine games (7-2 vs spread).
-- Thunder won their last four games (3-1 vs spread).
-- Boston won four of its last five games. Mavericks won/covered four of last five games.
-- San Antonio is 6-0 at home (4-1-1 vs spread).
-- Nuggets are 3-1-1 as a home favorite.
-- Utah won last five games, covered last four; they're 5-0 at home.
-- Portland is 6-0 at home, covering last five.
-- Miami won five of six on road (2-3 as road favorite).
-- Clippers won last three home games, by 5-28-6 points.

Cold Teams
-- Sacramento is 0-4 as road underdog, losing by 22-17-22-27 points. Raptors lost three of their last four games.
-- Wizards are 1-3 as road dog, losing all four games by 18-21-8-18.
-- New Orleans lost six of its last seven games.
-- Rockets lost four of their last five games.
-- Nets lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Lakers are 0-3 on road, losing by 9-9-11 points.
-- Orlando is 0-2 as underdog this year, losing by 8-14 points.

Totals
-- Five of six Atlanta road games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of ten Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of nine Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Four of Thunder's five road games stayed under total.
-- Three of four Boston home games stayed under total.
-- Last three Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Denver home games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-3 in Laker games this season.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in Orlando games this season.
-- Eight of ten Miami games went over the total.

Wear and Tear
-- Hawks: 5th game/7 nites. Pacers: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Kings: 3rd game/4 nites. Raptors: 3rd in row, 6th game/8 nites.
-- 76ers: 3rd in row, 5th/6 nites. Knicks: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Wizards: 4th game/6 nites. Bulls: 3rd in row, 7th game/9 nites.
-- Thunder: 5th game/6 nites. Hornets: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Mavericks: 7th game/11 nites. Celtics: 1st game since Friday.
-- Rockets: 5th game/8 nites. Spurs: 6th game/8 nites.
-- Nets: 4th game/6 nites. Nuggets: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Lakers: 5th game/7 nites. Jazz: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Magic: Had last two nights off. Trailblazers: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Heat: 7th game/11 nights. Clippers: 2nd game/2 nights.

**Udog** · 01-11-2012, 10:11 AM

NBA

Wednesday, January 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. INDIANA
Atlanta is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Atlanta is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
Indiana is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Atlanta

7:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Sacramento

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing New York
New York is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New York's last 13 games at home

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. BOSTON
Dallas is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Dallas
Boston is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Dallas

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Oklahoma City
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CHICAGO
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Washington is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
Chicago is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home

8:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. SAN ANTONIO
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Antonio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games
New Jersey is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. UTAH
LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of the LA Lakers last 18 games on the road
Utah is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Utah is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing LA Lakers

10:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. PORTLAND
Orlando is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Orlando's last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games

10:30 PM
MIAMI vs. LA CLIPPERS
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
LA Clippers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games at home

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**Udog** · 01-11-2012, 10:13 AM

NBA

Wednesday, January 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pick 'n' roll: Wednesday's best NBA bets
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Atlanta Hawks at Indiana Pacers (N/A)

Indiana has used strong team defense to build up its record, allowing only one team – the Heat – to break the century mark.

The Pacers fell at Philadelphia 96-86 on Monday and are enduring a difficult early travel schedule with 13 of 20 games on the road through the end of January.

Indiana’s hot start has been a result of its improved defense. The Pacers have allowed an average of 90 points despite playing six of their first nine on the road.

They played Monday without Danny Granger (food poisoning) and George Hill (back). Instead, Indiana leaned on the inside combination of Roy Hibbert and David West for points while giving Dahntay Jones and Lance Stephenson bigger roles in the rotation.

The under has cashed in nine of Indiana's last 13 and that trend might be a good bet Tuesday as well.

Pick: Under

New Jersey Nets at Denver Nuggets (-12, 195)

Everybody’s entitled to a bad day and that’s exactly how the Denver Nuggets are dealing with Monday’s 94-81 loss to New Orleans.

Before taking that blowout as 13-point favorites, the Nuggets had reeled off six straight paydays for their supporters.

"It just seemed like we had dead legs," Al Harrington told reporters after the loss. "We just weren't ourselves and, as a result, we weren't getting up and down the court like we usually do. We just have to lick our wounds ... and beat New Jersey on Wednesday."

That shouldn’t be much of a problem if Denver gets back to its game. The Nets are giving up 97.6 points per game and have cracked the 100-point plateau at the offensive end just once this season.

Pick: Nuggets

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**Udog** · 01-11-2012, 10:42 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, January 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (7 - 3) at INDIANA (6 - 3) - 1/11/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (3 - 7) at TORONTO (4 - 6) - 1/11/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (7 - 2) at NEW YORK (5 - 4) - 1/11/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after allowing 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (1 - 8) at CHICAGO (9 - 2) - 1/11/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 35-56 ATS (-26.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 27-48 ATS (-25.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 134-171 ATS (-54.1 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 30-47 ATS (-21.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 63-45 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 78-51 ATS (+21.9 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (9 - 2) at NEW ORLEANS (3 - 6) - 1/11/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 115-158 ATS (-58.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (5 - 5) at BOSTON (4 - 4) - 1/11/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 241-183 ATS (+39.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 26-41 ATS (-19.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (3 - 6) at SAN ANTONIO (6 - 4) - 1/11/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 146-112 ATS (+22.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW JERSEY (2 - 8) at DENVER (6 - 4) - 1/11/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 74-99 ATS (-34.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 55-39 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (7 - 4) at UTAH (6 - 3) - 1/11/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.
UTAH is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 9-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 10-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (6 - 3) at PORTLAND (7 - 2) - 1/11/2012, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 41-55 ATS (-19.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-0 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (8 - 2) at LA CLIPPERS (4 - 3) - 1/11/2012, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 01-11-2012, 11:53 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Guys,

Been waiting a long time for this report to finish and I have to get busy. I'll update ASAP. Same for pucks.

Oklahoma City at New Orleans
The Thunder look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in the last 6 meetings between the two teams. Oklahoma City is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-7). Here are all of today's picks

WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 11

Game 701-702: Atlanta at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line & Total:
Vegas Line & Total:
Dunkel Pick:

Game 703-704: Sacramento at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 111.023; Toronto 113.032
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 5; 189
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+5); Under

Game 705-706: Philadelphia at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 121.941; New York 120.416
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 4 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+4 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: Washington at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 108.721; Chicago 128.634
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 20; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 14; 180 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-14); Over

Game 709-710: Oklahoma City at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 122.134; New Orleans 112.171
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 7; 187
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-7); Over

Game 711-712: Dallas at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 118.073; Boston 121.807
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 3 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 5 1/2; 184
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+5 1/2); Under

Game 713-714: Houston at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 116.186; San Antonio 120.447
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7; 198
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+7); Over

Game 715-716: New Jersey at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 110.292; Denver 123.730
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 13 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 12; 195
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-12); Under

Game 717-718: LA Lakers at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 123.132; Utah 118.022
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5; 188
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-1 1/2);

Game 719-720: Orlando at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 122.140; Portland 124.077
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 3; 190
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+3); Under

Game 721-722: Miami at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings:
Dunkel Line & Total:
Vegas Line & Total:
Dunkel Pick:

Announcement

Wednesday's Trends and Indexes - 1/11 (NFL, NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

Wednesday's Trends and Indexes - 1/11 (NFL, NBA, NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

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