Ckoin had his Bowl GOY yesterday, and the day before, and the day before that, and the day before that,..........Screw that scam artist. By the way alatex sports picked the over in the Houston/Hawaii game in its weekly newsletter.
Gold Star (Been jot lately; 8-2 last ten top plays, W last night)-5*NM
Prime Star (7-2 last nine top plays; L last night) 2 NM- Over
Carl Kelly (7-2 last nine top plays; L last night) 7*OSU
Vegas Insiders (7-2 last nine top plays; W last night) 25*OSU
Ness (15-10 on daily top plays, but 10-2 on last 12 top plays; didn;t get his play last night)-10NM- Under
All "top plays" mentioned above are college only and reflect his highest rated play of each game day. I get 48 services, but after the midpoint of the season, I don't tracj anything but services hitting over 60% on their highest rated plays of the day. Otherwise its info overload, and frankly, if a guy releases a 10* and three 3*s I couldn;t care less what he does on the smaller plays.
GLTA
Oregon State finished the season at 7-5 SU and their success was mainly in the hands of RB Jackson. During those 5 SU losses (1-4 ATS) they average just 115 rushing yards per game, but in the 7 wins they averaged a very solid 231 yards on the ground. Looking even further at the numbers we find that each of those 5 losses came during the 5 games with their lowest total rushing yards- 139, 74, 91, 37 & 75- It also shows that they failed to break the 100 yard mark in 4 of those 5 losses! Now they face a New Mexico squad that watched it's defense finish first in the Mountain West Conference against the run while allowing just 2.5 yards per carry, 80 average yards rushing per game, and only 7 rushing TDs. New Mexico will control the Oregon State rushing game and line of scrimmage, therefore, controlling the game. This will be especially true as this game will be played at a neutral location and we find Oregon State is 1-9 ATS as road favorites, including 0-2 SU & ATS this year in that role!
THE GEMLINE NOW 2-1 ON BOWLS HAS THE FIRST 7* OF THE BOWL SEASON,I WILL ONLY HAVE THREE 7* BOWL PLAYS ALONG WITH THE 10* BOWL GEM OF THE YEAR.
Bittersweet night in the NBA going 1-2 but winning yet another 7* play to make them 18-6 this year.Get todays bowl GEM one of my 4 strongest plays of the bowl games.
7* Oregon State -1.5
"Please watch out for each other
and love and forgive everybody.
It's a good life, enjoy it".
Found this write up on another site. Very interesting.
LV Bowl notes
The Lobos and Beavers collide in a Christmas Eve duel from Merry Las Vegas this evening. New Mexico comes in at 8-4 SU and 7-4 ATS. On the road, the Lobos are 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS. Oregon State comes into this contest at 7-5 SU and 5-6 ATS. Away from Corvallis, the Beavers are just 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS. Quite honestly, this is one of the more interesting bowl games to handicap.
New Mexico led the Mountain West Conference in rushing defense and also total defense. Their offense was incredibly balanced, running and passing for 200+ yards a piece and scoring 31.5 points per game in the process. The Lobos finished the season on a 7-1 SU run their last eight and a 6-1 ATS run their last seven. And their statistical dominance to close the year was downright alarming.
New Mexico’s last five contests overall saw them out gain quality conference foes in Utah, UNLV, Colorado State, Air Force and Wyoming by an average of 232 yards per game!!! Their star RB Moore is one of the very best in the country, rushing for a school-record 1,438 yards. On defense, the Lobos rank 4th in the nation against the run, with only Ohio State, LSU and USC ahead of them!!! NMSU had already sold 5,500 tickets to this game, which means Sam Boyd Stadium will be heavily Lobo’s partisan.
In addition to their incredible offense, Oregon State can play some defense as well. In fact, they are 7th in the nation in rush defense, permitting only 90 yards per game. Overall, OSU is a dangerous team that is loaded from top to bottom with quality athletes. Back in Mike Riley’s first go round in Corvallis, he started to rely heavily upon Junior College players to come in and make an immediate impact on the OSU program. Previously, the Beavers had a very difficult time matching the sort of athletes other Pac-10 schools were enrolling. This is the same strategy Kansas State has used and thrived at for years.
Oregon State went from being the laughing stock of the Pac-10, to a program that has attended three bowls in their last four seasons. Four years ago, OSU went 11-1 and finished as high as #4 in various polls. They actually pasted the Notre Dame 41-9 in the Fiesta Bowl that season. We bring this up only because Conference Strength is particularly important when capping the bowls.
Remember, this very same Lobo’s bunch attended the Las Vegas
Bowl last year and were matched up against a Pac-10 opponent.
A decent, but certainly not great, Bruins team rolled New Mexico
27-13. In watching that contest, one aspect was crystal clear.
New Mexico was simply outclassed from a talent standpoint.
Offsetting this fact is that the MWC has been improving by the
year and the Pac-10 in general was dismal at best season.
Here is the final assessment. Oregon State has the better players, but they are also a very undisciplined team. We watched many of their games this season and penalties and turnovers were the story in almost each. In fact, their QB Derek Anderson threw 23 picks, which was the most in the entire nation. As a team, OSU had 37 giveaways. And if there is a coach at the college level that is better at confusing quarterback’s than Rocky Long, we’re not sure who it is.
There is a decent technical argument here for the Lobos as well. Recall, they come in on a strong 6-1 ATS run and were 4-1 ATS on the road. Meanwhile, OSU has lost 8 of their last 11 ATS away from Corvallis. In addition, the Beavers are 1-7 ATS their last seven as a road favorite and 0-2 ATS as a road favorite this year. Note also that bowl dogs priced at +3 or less are 21-12 ATS the past four years. Even more interesting is that Pac-10 favorites that play prior to January 1 are 5-21 ATS their last twenty-six bowl games!!!
With REVENGE against the Pac-10 on hand, Play on New Mexico
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