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  • The Bum's Thursday Best Bets NCAAB & NHL !

    Memphis, Georgetown meet again Thursday

    MEMPHIS TIGERS (6-4)

    at GEORGETOWN HOYAS (9-1)


    Tip-off: Thursday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
    Line: Georgetown -5, Total: 144

    Memphis visits 16th-ranked Georgetown for a rare out-of-conference rematch on Thursday night.

    A month ago at the Maui Invitational, the teams went to overtime with the Hoyas winning 91-88 in what might have been the best performance of the year for both teams. They shot a combined 42% from three and 84% from the line. But the home court advantage will give Georgetown a major boost in this one. The Hoyas are 6-0 SU at the Verizon Center this year, and Memphis is 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 ATS against teams currently ranked in the Top 25. GEORGETOWN is the pick.

    The FoxSheets have a rare five-star coaching trend backing the Hoyas:

    John Thompson III is 17-2 ATS (+14.8 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) as the coach of GEORGETOWN. The average score was GEORGETOWN 70.3, OPPONENT 55.9 - (Rating = 5*).

    Memphis has played a tough early-season schedule. Along with the games in Maui, the Tigers also traveled to Louisville last week (a SU loss and ATS push). They have an outstanding array of athletes, led by their backcourt of SG Will Barton (20.7 PPG, 8.6 RPG) and PG Joe Jackson (13.9 PPG). In the first meeting between these teams, Barton scored 22 and Jackson added 20. But they haven’t defended particularly well, especially against top teams. In Maui, they allowed 54% shooting in a loss to Michigan, gave up 19 offensive rebounds in a double-OT win over Tennessee, allowed Georgetown to ring up 91 points in an OT loss, and then against Louisville committed 28 fouls and sent the Cardinals to the line 40 times, giving up 95 points.

    Georgetown has generally clamped down on the defensive end. The Hoyas are allowing just 57.5 PPG and 38% shooting from the field, and have held seven of their 10 opponents below 60 points. They also have a good amount of offensive firepower, especially with a couple of seniors—SG Jason Clark (15.5 PPG) and C Henry Sims (12.6 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 3.9 APG)—stepping up. Those two torched the Tigers in Maui, with Clark going for 26 and Sims adding 24 points with eight rebounds and five assists. SF Hollis Thompson has solidified himself as one of the nation’s premiere deep threats, hitting 50% of his threes so far this season. As a team the Hoyas are making 49% of their shots, including 37% from behind the arc.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  • #2
    No. 11 Florida hosts FSU Thursday night

    FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES (8-3)

    at FLORIDA GATORS (9-2)


    Tip-off: Thursday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
    Line: Florida -8.5, Total: 137

    It will be a classic battle of offense versus defense when high-scoring No. 11 Florida hosts defensive-minded Florida State on Thursday night.

    The Gators are currently leading the nation in offensive efficiency and are third in points per game (86.1). That’s due to the fact that they’re making more threes (11.2 per game) than anyone in the nation. Meanwhile, the Seminoles are again an elite defensive team, third in the nation in defensive efficiency (they were first last year) and have allowed more than 70 points in a game just once so far this season. But while FSU has a size advantage and will surely try to control tempo, the Gators guards should be able to take over this game. FSU is extremely turnover-prone (18.7 per game) and doesn’t guard the three-point line well enough (UConn made 44% 3-pt FG in an overtime with over the Seminoles, and Michigan State hit 42% of its threes in a win over FSU) to contain the Gators. FLORIDA is the pick.

    The FoxSheets have a three-star trend siding with the Gators:

    Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (FLORIDA) - an explosive offensive team (>=78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games. (69-31 over the last 5 seasons, 69%, +34.9 units. Rating = 3*).

    The Gators will likely be without sixth man Mike Rosario (9.4 PPG, 42% 3-pt FG), who is struggling with a back injury, but UF has more than enough perimeter firepower without him in Kenny Boynton (18.7 PPG, 46% 3-pt FG), Erving Walker (14.5 PPG, 5.0 APG) and Bradley Beal (15.0 PPG, 6.3 RPG). The interior will again be a question mark against an FSU team that has good size. C Patric Young (11.0 PPG, 7.5 RPG) will have to hold his own against the likes of 6-foot-10 Bernard James (10.5 PPG, 9.2 RPG, 2.6 BPG) and 6-foot-11 Xavier Gibson (8.0 PPG, 5.5 RPG).

    The Seminoles will need their perimeter players to perform on both ends of the court to hang close. Michael Snaer (13.2 PPG) is trying to carry the offense this year, but is shooting only 39.5% from the field. SF Okaro White (8.3 PPG, 5.2 RPG) and guards Deividas Dulkys (7.5 PPG) and Luke Loucks (6.5 PPG) have been equally inconsistent on the offensive end, as the ‘Noles shoot just 31.8% from three as a team. They’re 1-3 SU and ATS away from Tallahassee this year.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-22-2011, 06:01 PM.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #3
      gl to whatever you post tonight SD Bum.....thanks my man


      Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Armadillo's Write-Up

        Thursday, December 22

        Florida State lost last two games with Florida by 16-4 points, after they won previous three; Seminoles lost three of last four visits here, losing by 14-8-16 points. State is 0-3 vs teams in top 120, losing by 5-2-16 points. Gators won eight of last nine games; only teams that beat them (Ohio St/Syracuse) are in top 5 in country. ACC road underdogs of more than 5 points are 7-9 vs spread; SEC single digit favorites are 15-13.

        Memphis lost 91-88 in OT to Georgetown on Maui in 5th-place game, when both teams were playing 3rd straight day. Tigers are 0-4 vs teams in top 50, losing by 12-3-4-8 points- they're 1-1 on road, winning at #76 Miami, losing by 8 at Louisville. Conference USA road underdogs of 8 or less points are 11-6-1 vs spread; Big Easst home favorites of 6 or less points are 1-5. Georgetown is 2-1 vs top 40 teams, with three games won by a total of nine points.

        10-1 Northwestern won only road game by 16 at Georgia Tech; they're 3-1 vs top 100 teams, 0-1 vs top 50 clubs (69-41 vs Baylor). Creighton isn't overly athletic like Baylor, but they're 9-1, winning at San Diego St by hoop, losing at St Joe's in only top 100 games. Bluejays are in top 10 in country shooting both 2's and 3's. Big Dozen road underdogs of 8 or less points are 8-5 vs spread; MVC single digit home favorites are 6-12.

        UCSB lost four of last five games, with all four losses vs top 65 teams; Gauchos are 1-2 on road, losing by 7 at Washington, 20 at Cal. All eight of BYU's D-I wins are by 14+ points. UCSB is 3-0 vs WCC teams, but best of the three teams is ranked #190. Gauchos are 2nd-worst team in country at forcing turnovers. Big West double digit road underdogs are 11-14 vs spread; WCC double digit home favorites are 8-7-1.

        Butler is way overscheduled, playing sixth top 40 team, third in last six days; they've lost four of last five games, are 0-4 on the road, losing by 3-16-3-16 points. 10-1 Stanford has played #307 schedule; they're 2-1 vs top 120 teams, losing by 6 to Syracuse, beating NC State by 4 and Oklahoma State by 15. Horizon double digit road underdogs are 7-9-1 vs spread; Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 16-19.

        Milwaukee lost to Marquette the last four years, losing by 3 at home LY after losing here by 35-20-20 points three years prior; Panthers are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 13-16-6 points. 10-1 Eagles lost first game Monday at LSU, after leading early 13-0; they're 5-0 at home, with all five wins by 18+ points. Horizon road dogs of 13+ points are 6-4-1 vs spread; Big East home favorites of 12+ points are 10-22-1 vs spread.

        Missouri beat Illinois last two years by 13-11 points, after losing seven in row to Illini before that; 11-0 Tigers are 3-0 vs top 100 teams, with wins over Notre Dame (by 29), Cal (39), Villanova (10). Illinois lost at home to UNLV by 16 in Chicago Saturday then struggled to win by 4 over Cornell Monday. Big Dozen underdogs of 6 or less points are 6-3 vs spread; Big X favorites of 6 or less are 8-6-1.

        First true road game for Kansas squad that lost to Davidson Monday in KC; they've played #14 schedule so far, but Taylor is slowed by a bad knee. Jayhawks are 3-0 vs teams not in top 100, winning home games by 46-23-28 points. USC is 0-5 vs top 100 teams, losing by 2-11-15-3-4 points. Trojans are 3-4 at home. Big X faves of 6 or less points are 8-6-1 vs spread; road favorites are 5-5-1. Pac-12 home underdogs are 4-5.

        6-4 Clemson has played #309 schedule so far, not good omen for when ACC play starts; Tigers are 2-1 on road, losing by 16 at Arizona, with wins at Citadel/Iowa. UTEP is 0-3 on road, losing by 16-5-11 points, but they gave UNLV all they could handle last week before losing late. ACC road favorites of less than 8 points are 7-5 vs spread; Conference USA road underdogs of 8 or less points are 11-6-1. Both teams turn ball over too much.

        Long Beach State is 3-5 vs D-I teams playing #1 schedule in US- their last D-I win was exactly a month ago, at Boise State. Xavier gets its star guard Holloway back for this game but shooting guard Lyons is still out; Musketeers lost by 22 to Oral Roberts without both guards Sunday. Big West teams are 3-6 v spread when number is 3 or less points; Atlantic 14 teams are 11-5 when spread is 2 or less points, 9-1 on road.

        Missouri State is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 5-16-5 points; they're 3-2 on road, with best win at #105 Nevada. West Virginia (three players back from LY) is 4-2 vs top 100 teams, winning by 7-21-5-11 points, losing to Kent State/@ Mississippi State. Mountaineers' beat K-State in OT at Kansas City in their only other road game. MVC road underdogs of 5 or less points are 6-3 vs spread; Big East road favorites of 5 or less points are 10-7.

        10-0 Baylor might be best team in country, winning at Northwestern by 28, at BYU by 3 and beating San Diego State by 10 at home; Bears either force a turnover or block a shot on 45.2% of possessions- they also hit 41.5% of shots behind arc. 10-1 St Mary's has played #325 schedule, losing by 12 at Denver, winning by 5 at Cal Poly in only road games. WCC road underdogs of 7 or less points are 4-7-1 vs spread; Big X road favorites are 5-5-1.

        7-1 Auburn has played 2nd-easiest schedule in country, losing by 22 at Seton Hall in only road game; five of Tigers's seven wins are vs teams ranked #279 or lower. Hawai'i turns ball over 24.3% of time, could be a problem vs quick Tigers. Warriors are 4-4 vs D-I teams, with best win vs very young #264 Pacific. Auburn forces turnovers on 22.4% of time. SEC single digit road underdogs are 13-7 vs spread; WAC single digit home favorites are 4-12.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #5
          Sorry had computer problems...but this is what am going with:

          NCAAB

          Thursday, December 22

          Game Score Status Pick Amount

          Missouri St. - 8:00 PM ET West Virginia -5 500
          West Virginia - Over 131.5 500

          Arkansas St. - 8:00 PM ET Saint Louis -17 500
          Saint Louis - Under 117 500

          North Dakota State - 8:00 PM ET North Dakota State +11 500
          Minnesota -

          Idaho - 8:00 PM ET Green Bay -3.5 500
          Green Bay -

          South Florida - 8:00 PM ET Southern Mississippi -8.5 500
          Southern Mississippi -

          Louisiana State - 8:00 PM ET North Texas +3 500
          North Texas -

          Rice - 8:00 PM ET Rice +8.5 500
          Texas A&M -

          Louisiana Tech - 8:00 PM ET Arkansas -15 500
          Arkansas -

          Texas Tech - 8:05 PM ET Oral Roberts -14 500
          Oral Roberts -

          Northwestern - 8:05 PM ET Creighton -7.5 500
          Creighton - Over 149.5 500

          Boise St. - 8:30 PM ET Iowa -5.5 500
          Iowa -

          Miami (OH) - 8:30 PM ET Miami (OH) +24 500
          Ohio St. -

          Lehigh - 9:00 PM ET Michigan St -15 500
          Michigan St -

          Air Force - 9:00 PM ET Gonzaga -17 500
          Gonzaga -

          Butler - 9:00 PM ET Stanford -12.5 500
          Stanford -

          UC Santa Barbara - 9:00 PM ET Brigham Young -11.5 500
          Brigham Young -

          UMKC - 9:00 PM ET New Mexico -24 500
          New Mexico -

          Illinois - 9:00 PM ET Illinois +7 500
          Missouri -

          Wis.-Milwaukee - 9:00 PM ET Wis.-Milwaukee +14 500
          Marquette -

          Citadel - 9:00 PM ET Denver -22 500
          Denver -

          UC Davis - 9:00 PM ET Southern Utah -11 500
          Southern Utah -

          Utah - 9:00 PM ET Weber St. -14 500
          Weber St. -

          Wyoming - 9:05 PM ET Wyoming -6 500
          Idaho State -

          Colorado St. - 9:05 PM ET Colorado St. -2.5 500
          Northern Colorado -

          Pepperdine - 10:00 PM ET Pepperdine +11.5 500
          Washington St. -

          Portland - 10:00 PM ET Nevada -12.5 500
          Nevada -

          San Jose St. - 10:00 PM ET UC Riverside -4.5 500
          UC Riverside -

          CSU Northridge - 10:00 PM ET Washington -20 500
          Washington -

          Kent St. - 10:05 PM ET Utah St. -1.5 500
          Utah St. -

          Portland St. - 10:05 PM ET Cal St. Fullerton -10.5 500
          Cal St. Fullerton -

          SE Missouri St. - 10:05 PM ET Sacramento State -4.5 500
          Sacramento State -

          St. Mary's - 10:30 PM ET St. Mary's +3 500
          Baylor -

          Kansas - 11:00 PM ET Southern California +6.5 500
          Southern California -

          Long Beach St. - 11:00 PM ET Long Beach St. -1.5 500
          Xavier -

          Auburn - 11:59 PM ET Hawaii +0 500
          Hawaii - Over 138.5 500
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #6
            NHL

            Thursday, December 22

            Game Score Status Pick Amount

            Columbus 0 0th Columbus +152 500
            Nashville 0 Over 5 500

            Montreal - 8:30 PM ET Winnipeg -135 500
            Winnipeg - Under 5.5 500

            Detroit - 9:30 PM ET Detroit -129 500
            Calgary - Over 5.5 500

            Minnesota - 9:30 PM ET Edmonton -121 500
            Edmonton - Under 5 500

            Anaheim - 10:00 PM ET Anaheim +156 500
            Los Angeles - Under 5.5 500
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment

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