Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 12/11 (NCAAB, NHL, Misc.)

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Sunday, December 11

Good Luck on day #345 of 2011!

At this time, the sports menu in this thread consists of NCAAB and NHL until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted.

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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Matchup Links

NCAAB Matchups

NCAAB Hot and Not

NCAAB Injuries

NHL Matchups

NHL Injuries

NHL Hot and Not

NASCAR Schedules

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[Udog]

Sunday’s betting tips: Falcons all over the under

Who’s hot

NFL: The Dolphins are 6-0 ATS in their last six overall and the under is 9-1-1 in their last 11 overall.

NFL: The 49ers are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 overall and the under is 6-1 in their last seven overall.

NFL: The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and the under is 7-0 in their last seven overall.

NHL: The Rangers are 12-4 in their last 16 overall and the over is 4-1 in their last five overall.

NCAAB: California is 4-0 in its last four home games and the under is 7-1 in its last eight overall.

Who’s not

NFL: The Falcons are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four overall and the over is 0-8 in their last eight overall.

NFL: The Chargers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven overall and 1-4 ATS in their last five against the AFC.

NFL: The Vikings are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four overall and 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine against the NFC North.

NHL: The over is 1-6 in the Sharks’ last seven against the Western Conference and 1-4 in their last five road games.

NCAAB: Detroit is 3-12-3 ATS in its last 18 road games.

Key stat

13 – Number of rushing touchdowns scored by Panthers’ rookie Cam Newton, a single-season record for a quarterback (previously held by Steve Grogan with 12). Newton has rushed 100 times for 518 yards and has passed for 3,297 yards with 13 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Carolina hosts the Falcons on Sunday afternoon. In Week 6 at Atlanta (a 31-17 loss), Newton rushed for one score but threw three picks and was held to a season-low 44.6 passer rating.

Injuries that shouldn’t be overlooked

The Eagles are playing only for pride now, but they may be playing without wide receiver Jeremy Maclin on Sunday at Miami. Maclin (hamstring) was downgraded to questionable on Saturday. He is traveling with the team but nobody can count on him suiting up.

In another Saturday development, St. Louis QB Sam Bradford (ankle) practiced for the first time this week. However, he participated merely on a limited basis and he is still listed as questionable for Monday night's NFC West contest against Seattle.

Biggest game on the slate

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys (-3.5, 48.5)

Notable quotable

“The fact that he was in a fender-bender? How guys drive and things like that.… Let's worry about him on the field. Ndamukong is a hard-working guy and he hasn't had any kind of issues with the law, including this one. Let's worry about him on the field and get him back playing well. He's under a microscope, but that's too much of a microscope.” – Detroit Lions’ head coach Jim Schwartz on Suh’s recent car crash. Suh will miss Sunday’s home game against Minnesota, the second in his two-game suspension for stomping on Packers’ lineman Evan Dietrich-Smith.

Tips and notes

The Colts obviously haven’t won any games and they are hardly covering any spreads, either. They are 3-9 ATS this season and 1-7 ATS in their last eight overall. But something will have to give on Sunday at Baltimore. The Colts, who are getting a whopping 16.5 points, are 7-0 ATS their last seven against the Ravens and 4-0 ATS in their last four in Baltimore. Obviously this is a much different Indy team, but will 16.5 be enough to keep the streak going?

UNC-Greensboro is not off to a good start and it won’t get any easier on Sunday at Florida State. The Spartans are 2-7 (2-5 ATS) and 0-6 (1-4 ATS) on the road. In two games against major-conference competition they lost 92-63 at Tennessee and 86-45 at Georgetown. Keep an eye on the health of FSU forward Terrance Shannon, though. Shannon (8.3 ppg, 4.4 rpg) is questionable with a shoulder injury.

Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane, and Patrick Sharp are the top three point-scorers for the Blackhawks and those three have been especially on fire of late. Toews went point-less on Thursday but he still has seven goals and 13 points in his last seven games. Kane has seven assists and eight points in his last five. Sharp has eight goals and 11 points in his last seven. The Sharks will have to brace themselves for another Chicago onslaught.

[Udog]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks and six least popular picks in Hilton handicapping contest, which has 517 contestants, all of whom who pick five NFL games a week against the spread. They put up $1,500 each, so these are serious handicappers........Steelers (20), Browns (21) played on Thursday, so we'll leave them out of this......

T5) Seattle Seahawks 109
T5) Houston Texans 109
4) Tennessee Titans 136
3) San Francisco 49ers 138
2) Atlanta Falcons 144
1) New Jersey Giants 164

T25) Jacksonville Jaguars 40
T25) Buffalo Bills 40
27) Carolina Panthers 39
28) Baltimore Ravens 25
T29) Minnesota Vikings 22
T29) St Louis Rams


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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Some bowl knowledge for you to peruse.......

13) Earlier this week I said I’d look this up; over the last five years, double digit faves are 7-10 vs spread in bowl games, with five dogs winning SU.

12) I had to check this twice, but its true; over the last five years, teams from the Big Dozen Conference (Ohio State/Michigan/Penn State etc…) have been the underdog in 30 of their 37 bowl games; they’re 3-4 when the favorite, 17-13 as the dog (9-4 last two years).

11) Over last three years, SEC teams are 6-0 in bowls against Big X Conference (Texas/Oklahoma, etc) teams; last Big X win was Missouri’s 38-7 win over Arkansas in 2007, and starting next year, Mizzou will be an SEC team, too.

10) Underdogs are 29-13 vs spread in ACC’s last 42 bowls, with ACC clubs 7-15 as a favorite, 14-6 as an underdog.

9) Surprisingly, Big East teams are 20-8 in bowl games the last five years, but they’re also 9-0 vs C-USA/MAC teams, so they’ve been cleaning up in second-tier bowls. Still, 11-8 against everyone else is pretty good.

8) Over the last five years, Big X teams are a terrible 13-26 vs spread in bowls, 9-16 when favored, 4-9 when getting points. Something to think about when Baylor-Texas-Oklahoma schools take the field.

7) Somehow, Conference USA gets six bowl bids a year, probably because their schools are all in the South, near where the bowl games are. Anyway, C-USA teams are 11-19 in their last 30 bowls, 1-14 vs SEC/Big Dozen/Big East schools, 5-0 vs MAC teams, which tells you a lot about the MAC.

6) MAC teams lost 17 of their last 21 bowls; over last three years, they’re 2-11-1 vs spread in bowls. Guess all that weeknight TV exposure they had in October/November didn’t help.

5) MAC teams are 5-15-1 vs spread in those 21 bowls, 3-11 as the dog.

4) In last five years, there hasn’t been a bowl between a Big East/Big Dozen team; is there a reason for this or just a coincidence?

3) Mountain West teams won 14 of their last 19 bowls, covering eight of last 12 as a bowl underdog.

2) Over last five years, SEC teams are 18-11 vs spread when laying points in bowls.

1) Underdogs are 13-7 vs spread in WAC’s last 20 bowls, with WAC favorites covering two of last nine tries. Dogs dominated WAC’s league schedule the entire season this fall, so that makes some sense.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, December 11

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S ILLINOIS (1 - 4) at W MICHIGAN (1 - 7) - 12/11/2011, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ILLINOIS is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
S ILLINOIS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
W MICHIGAN is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
S ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SANTA CLARA (5 - 2) at WASHINGTON ST (5 - 4) - 12/11/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SANTA CLARA is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SANTA CLARA is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 1-0 straight up against SANTA CLARA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW MEXICO ST (5 - 3) at UTEP (1 - 4) - 12/11/2011, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO ST is 3-2 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 3-2 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (5 - 6) at ALABAMA (7 - 2) - 12/11/2011, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAL DAVIS (1 - 7) at HAWAII (2 - 4) - 12/11/2011, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAL DAVIS is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CAL DAVIS is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAWAII is 1-0 against the spread versus CAL DAVIS over the last 3 seasons
HAWAII is 1-0 straight up against CAL DAVIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE ST (2 - 6) at TULANE (9 - 1) - 12/11/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UNC-GREENSBORO (2 - 7) at FLORIDA ST (6 - 3) - 12/11/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) against ACC opponents since 1997.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 1-0 straight up against UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons

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UC-RIVERSIDE (2 - 5) at MONTANA ST (5 - 3) - 12/11/2011, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA ST is 63-42 ATS (+16.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
UC-RIVERSIDE is 1-0 against the spread versus MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
UC-RIVERSIDE is 1-0 straight up against MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MURRAY ST (9 - 0) at MEMPHIS (5 - 2) - 12/11/2011, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MURRAY ST is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
MURRAY ST is 49-84 ATS (-43.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 177-133 ATS (+30.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E WASHINGTON (5 - 3) at CS-FULLERTON (5 - 3) - 12/11/2011, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E WASHINGTON is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in December games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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IONA (7 - 1) at MARSHALL (5 - 2) - 12/11/2011, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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COPPIN ST (3 - 4) at ILLINOIS (9 - 0) - 12/11/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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[Udog]

NCAAB

Sunday, December 11

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
FAIRFIELD vs. NEW HAMPSHIRE
Fairfield is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games on the road
No trends available

1:00 PM
UNC GREENSBORO vs. FLORIDA STATE
UNC Greensboro is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 6 games
Florida State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

2:00 PM
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Southern Illinois's last 7 games on the road
Southern Illinois is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Western Michigan is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games at home
Western Michigan is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games

2:00 PM
FLORIDA A&M vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
No trends available
South Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
South Florida is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

2:00 PM
LYNCHBURG vs. ELON
No trends available
Elon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Elon is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

2:00 PM
NORTH FLORIDA vs. KANSAS STATE
No trends available
Kansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Kansas State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

2:00 PM
USC UPSTATE vs. DAYTON
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dayton's last 6 games
Dayton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

2:30 PM
IONA vs. MARSHALL
Iona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Iona's last 13 games on the road
Marshall is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Marshall is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

3:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 5 games
North Carolina State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

4:00 PM
UC RIVERSIDE vs. MONTANA STATE
UC Riverside is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of UC Riverside's last 8 games on the road
Montana State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Montana State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. FURMAN
No trends available
Furman is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Furman is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

4:00 PM
SANTA CLARA vs. WASHINGTON STATE
Santa Clara is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Washington State is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home

4:00 PM
NORFOLK STATE vs. VIRGINIA TECH
No trends available
Virginia Tech is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Virginia Tech is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home

4:05 PM
ALCORN STATE vs. SOUTH ALABAMA
No trends available
South Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Alcorn State
South Alabama is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

5:00 PM
STONY BROOK vs. BOSTON COLLEGE
No trends available
Boston College is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Boston College is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home

5:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. TEXAS EL PASO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico State's last 6 games on the road
New Mexico State is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Texas El Paso
Texas El Paso is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing New Mexico State
Texas El Paso is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against New Mexico State

5:00 PM
JACKSON STATE vs. CALIFORNIA
No trends available
California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
California is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

5:15 PM
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida International's last 6 games on the road
Florida International is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
No trends available

6:00 PM
IDAHO vs. SEATTLE
Idaho is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Idaho's last 9 games on the road
No trends available

6:00 PM
MURRAY STATE vs. MEMPHIS
Murray State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home

6:00 PM
DETROIT vs. ALABAMA
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
Alabama is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
Alabama is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home

6:05 PM
EASTERN WASHINGTON vs. CS FULLERTON
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Eastern Washington's last 9 games on the road
Eastern Washington is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
CS Fullerton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE STATE vs. TULANE
Jacksonville State is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games ,on the road
Tulane9-1-1 SU in its last 11 games
Tulane9-0-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

8:00 PM
COPPIN STATE vs. ILLINOIS
No trends available
Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

10:00 PM
UC DAVIS vs. HAWAII
UC Davis is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Hawaii is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Hawaii is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home


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[Udog]

NCAAB

Sunday, December 11

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College funds: Sunday's best NCAAB bets
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Murray State Racers at Memphis Tigers (-11, 139)

Memphis is already battle-tested heading into Sunday’s home game against Murray State. And that could be a good thing because the Tigers are likely in for another tough one against the Racers, who are 9-0 and on the brink of the Top 25.

Two straight overtime games in mid-November saw Memphis edge Tennessee 99-97 in OT before falling to Georgetown 91-88 in OT one day later. The Tigers are coming off arguably their best performance of the season, during which they needed just 40 minutes to win 71-54 at Miami (FL) on Tuesday.

“We have to make sure we limit their runs,” Murray State head coach Steve Prohm said of the Tigers. “They get a lot of easy baskets in transition. We have to make sure we don't let them score off of turnovers. Shot selection will be key, but we aren't going to go down there and be passive at all. That doesn't mean we won't play fast. We want to be disciplined and make good decisions.

“If we're going to turn the ball over we need to throw it the stands not throw it from me to you and have them get a deflection and get an easy basket. We need to make them score against our defense.”

Even the opposing coach knows Memphis is going to score. The only question is in how many different ways the Tigers are going to do it.

Pick: Memphis


Coppin State Eagles at Illinois Fighting Illini (-18.5, 137.5)

Coppin State sure isn’t shying away from tough competition during its non-conference schedule. The Eagles have not won any of their big games, but they have tested themselves against Oklahoma, Connecticut, and Purdue.

Next up for Coppin State is another formidable foe in 9-0 Illinois. The Fighting Illini haven’t even played as difficult a schedule as the Eagles, but they just recently picked up the pace with a 71-62 win at Maryland on November 29 and an 82-75 home victory over Gonzaga last Saturday.

The Eagles have experience going up against bigger teams, and this time they will have to do it quite literally.

Illini center Meyers Leonard (7’1’’, 265 pounds) has already played almost as many minutes through nine games as he logged all of last season. He was recently named Big 10 Co-Player of the Week thanks to his performances against the Terps (12 points, six rebounds, three blocks) and Zags (21 points, six rebounds).

“He's just kind of at the beginning of what seems to be a skyrocketing career,” ESPN’s Doug Gottlieb said of Leonard. “I like him a lot. I thought Gonzaga was a pretty good litmus test of where he is because he was going against legit size. You can see the improvement almost game by game.”

Pick: Illinois


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[Udog]

NHL

Sunday, December 11

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Ice picks: Sunday's best NHL bets
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San Jose Sharks at Chicago Blackhawks (-125, 5.5)

Is there a goalie controversy brewing in Chicago?

Ray Emery, the backup to Corey Crawford for most of the season, has played three games in a row. Emery won two of those contests, allowing just two goals each at St. Louis and then at the Islanders on Thursday. Head coach Joel Quenneville said there is no controversy, but he added that Emery could get another start on Sunday.

“I don't call this a goalie controversy at all,” Quenneville noted. “If you look at all the teams in the league, I think every goalie that wasn't a starter gets a chance to get a couple games in a row or even more. Over the course of a season you're going to see some things where the other guy gets multiple starts.”

Of course, it may not matter who starts for the Blackhawks. They have scored 16 goals in their last four outings and have earned points in all four.

The Sharks, meanwhile, have lost four of their last six despite Thursday’s 5-2 home win over Dallas. They will be playing on no day’s rest after Saturday night’s game at St. Louis.

Pick: Blackhawks


Florida Panthers at New York Rangers (-145, 5)

Jose Theodore should be back in goal for the Southeast Division-leading Panthers after getting a rest in his team’s 2-1 overtime loss at Buffalo on Friday night.

Theodore is 11-5-3 with a 2.17 GAA and .929 save percentage this season. He has allowed only six total goals in his last five games (three wins, a loss, and an overtime loss). On Thursday, Theodore made 40 saves in a 2-0 shutout at Boston.

“It was a game where I saw the puck well and knew it would be tough for them to score,” Theodore said after the shutout. “When I am at the top of my game, I’m tough to beat.”

“We have to keep this going. We’re playing confident right now,” said Tomas Kopecky, who scored once against the Bruins. “We’re trying to prove those people who never believed in us [wrong]. I think we’re doing a pretty good job of it.”

The Rangers, meanwhile, have dropped two in a row following a five-game winning streak. They will be coming off a Saturday night date at Buffalo.

Pick: Panthers


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[Udog]

NOTE:
For the initial posting of trends and indexes, we have provided information available up to the time of posting.
Additional updates for today’s games will be posted ASAP.

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel


Detroit at Alabama
The Crimson Tide look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is 3-12-3 ATS in its last 18 road games. Alabama is the pick (-13 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tide favored by 16 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-13 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 11

Game 841-842: Southern Illinois at Western Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 48.333; Western Michigan 55.350
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 7; 138
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 8 1/2; 132
Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (+8 1/2); Over

Game 843-844: Santa Clara at Washington State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 58.129; Washington State 60.936
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 3; 137
Vegas Line: Washington State by 6 1/2; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+6 1/2); Under

Game 845-846: New Mexico State at UTEP (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 60.149; UTEP 57.398
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 3; 138
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 5; 135
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+5); Over

Game 847-848: Detroit at Alabama (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 54.548; Alabama 71.085
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 16 1/2; 130
Vegas Line: Alabama by 13 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-13 1/2); Under

Game 849-850: UC-Davis at Hawaii (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 43.116; Hawaii 52.203
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 9; 142
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 11; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Davis (+11); Under

Game 851-852: Jacksonville State at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 45.999; Tulane 62.889
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 17; 144
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 853-854: NC-Greensboro at Florida State (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 43.866; Florida State 67.348
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 23 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Florida State by 26; 137
Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (+26); Under

Game 855-856: UC-Riverside at Montana State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Riverside 48.169; Montana State 52.757
Dunkel Line: Montana State by 4 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: Montana State by 6; 128
Dunkel Pick: UC-Riverside (+6); Over

Game 857-858: Murray State at Memphis (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 61.489; Memphis 70.327
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 9; 144
Vegas Line: Memphis by 11; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (+11); Over

Game 859-860: Eastern Washington at CS-Fullerton (6:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 54.137; CS-Fullerton 54.468
Dunkel Line: Even; 138
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 3; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+3); Under

Game 861-862: Iona at Marshall (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 66.192; Marshall 66.362
Dunkel Line: Even; 148
Vegas Line: Marshall by 2; 152
Dunkel Pick: Iona (+2); Under

Game 871-872: Coppin State at Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Coppin State 44.547; Illinois 72.240
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 27 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: Illinois by 18 1/2; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-18 1/2); Over

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, December 11

Southern Illinois is 1-4, with only win over #344 Chicago State; Salukis are shooting just 22.9% behind arc, 38.6% inside it- they lost their only road game by 7 at Northeastern. Western Michigan is 0-7 vs D-I teams, playing the #4 schedule in country, with none of their opponents ranked under #150 (SIU is #247). MAC single digit home favorites are 6-1-1 vs spread; MVC single digit toad underdogs are 10-8.

Washington State is 3-0 at home, winning by 11-32-26 points; Coogs are 5-4, allowing 50 ppg during current 3-game win streak. Santa Clara won four of last five games, but hasn't played in eight days- they lost by 33 at UCSB in their only true road game. Pac-12 single digit home favorites are 4-11 vs spread; WCC road underdogs of 7 or less points are 7-10 vs spread. Coogs won by 6 in OT at Santa Clara in LY's meeting.

New Mexico State (-10) beat UTEP 89-73 in first meeting, making 9-18 from arc and grabbing 21 offensive rebounds; State lost three of its last four games, and are 2-6 in last eight visits here, with only wins by 6-7 points. Miners are least experienced team in country; this is their first game in 13 days- they allowed 47 ppg in splitting pair of home games. C-USA teams are 9-18-1 vs spread if number is 5 or less points, 4-5 at home. WAC road favorites are 5-3 vs spread.

Detroit got big man Holman back, which helps them a lot; they won last two games, scoring 92 points in last game, Holman's first this year, but Alabama will be smarting after losing last two games to Georgetown by 2, Dayton by 12. Titans are 0-3 on road, losing by 6-6-5 points. Bama Horizon road favorites of 13+ points are 5-3-1 vs spread; SEC double digit home favorites are 8-15-1 against the spread.

UC-Davis is 0-7 vs D-I teams despite shooting 37.9% behind arc, losing two road games by 15-20 points; three of Aggies' last four losses are by 20+ points. Hawai'i is 2-4, with both wins vs Big West opponents; next year, Hawai'i will be Big West team too. Warriors are 0-3 if they score less than 75 points. WAC home favorites of 9+ points are 4-1 vs spread. Big West road underdogs of 15 or less points are 9-11.

Tulane is 10-1 playing worst schedule of 345 D-I teams in USA; Green Wave are playing 9th game against team ranked below #200, plus couple non-D-I games they had. Jacksonville State is 2-5 vs D-I teams, with no wins against teams in top 300. Gamecocks are 0-4 on road, losing by 14-14-5-2 points. OVC road underdogs of 16+ points are 8-6 vs spread; C-USA home favorites are 7-12, 3-4 if spread was double digits.

Florida State is bully team, 6-0 vs teams not ranked in top 125, with all six wins by 13+ points; FSU forces turnovers on 24.3% of opponents' possessions, but they're turning ball over 26% of time themselves. Not good. NC-Greensboro lost its two games vs top 100 teams, losing by 41-22 points to Georgetown/MTSU. ACC home favorites of 20+ points are 4-1; Southern Conference road underdogs of 13+ points are 5-8.

Montana State is 3-3 vs D-I teams, beating three lowest teams they've faced by 6-7-4 points; Bobcats lost by 11 at Riverside in LY's meeting. Cal-Riverside hasn't played in 11 days; they've lost five of their last six games, but lost in OT to Youngstown/BC while beating Washington St. Big Sky home favorites are 3-5 vs spread; Big West road underdogs of 8 or less points are 6-2 vs spread. Riverside scored 45 ppg in losing first two road games, by 11-4 points.

Murray State is 9-0 but played three non-D-I teams; Racers are ranked 6th in 3-point shooting (44.8%), 4th from foul line (81.1%); they've got two top 100 wins (So Miss/Dayton) so step up here against Memphis squad that is already playing 5th game vs top 70 teams-- four of their five wins are by 16+ points. C-USA home favorites are 7-12, 3-4 if spread was double digits; OVC double digit road underdogs are 14-12.

Eastern Washington is 4-3, but all three losses were to top 100 teams; their wins are by 9-17-20-7 points. Eagles are putting opponents on foul line more than anyone in country. Cal State-Fullerton is 4-3 vs D-I teams, but lost by 15 to Wichita State in its only game vs team ranked above #214; Titans are turning ball over 26.5% of time (331st). Big West home faves are 7-3 vs spread; Big Sky road dogs of 7 or less are 6-4.

Iona won its last seven games; they're playing 4th road game in last ten days, and their next four games after this are also on road; Gaels are #15 team in offense efficiency, #8 in experience- their three games with top 100 teams were decided by 1-5-2 points. Marshall lost its last two tilts, by 2 at Ohio, by 6 at Syracuse. MAAC road dogs of 5 or less points are 5-2 vs spread; C-USA home favorites of 8 or less points are 3-7.

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel

San Jose at Chicago
The Sharks look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 2-5 in its last 7 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. San Jose is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Sharks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+110). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 11

Game 51-52: San Jose at Chicago (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.235; Chicago 10.576
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+110); Over

Game 53-54: Florida at NY Rangers (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 12.027; NY Rangers 12.878
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-150); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-150); Under




NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, December 11

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SAN JOSE (15-10-0-1, 31 pts.) at CHICAGO (17-8-0-4, 38 pts.) - 12/11/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 292-316 ATS (+611.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 157-164 ATS (+356.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 143-108 ATS (+27.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 157-127 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 120-79 ATS (+31.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 8-5 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 8-5-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)

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FLORIDA (16-8-0-5, 37 pts.) at NY RANGERS (16-6-0-4, 36 pts.) - 12/11/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 38-25 ATS (+7.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 23-11 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 10-6 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games first half of the season this season.
NY RANGERS are 76-80 ATS (-41.3 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 83-92 ATS (-65.8 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 124-159 ATS (-136.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 5-4-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.2 Units)

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NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, December 11

Hot teams
-- Blackhawks won five of their last seven games.
-- Rangers won last four road games, outscoring foes 19-9. Florida won three of last four games and is 7-4 in last eleven on road.

Cold teams
-- San Jose lost three of last four games; they were shut out in their last couple road games.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Chicago home games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Florida road games stayed under the total.

Series records
-- Sharks won four of last five games against Chicago.
-- Rangers lost three of last four games against Florida.

Back-to-Back
-- Sharks are 2-0 on road if they played the night before.
-- Rangers are 2-0 at home if they played the night before.




NHL

Sunday, December 11

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. NY RANGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Florida's last 12 games when playing NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Rangers last 7 games when playing at home against Florida
NY Rangers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Florida

7:00 PM
SAN JOSE vs. CHICAGO
San Jose is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing San Jose
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose


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[Spark]

Play on any team coming off of a Monday night win by 17 points or more with no bye week (42-23, 64.6% ATS since 1999): There was a time way back in the day where backing the opposite of what a team did on Monday night the following Sunday was profitable, with the theory being that the teams that lost in the national spotlight would be motivated to play better while the teams that won would be overvalued after the whole world just watched them win. Instead, just the opposite has been true since 1999, and we think that the reason is this original line of thinking became so prevalent that the contrarian actually became the mainstream, giving value to backing teams to repeat their Monday performances. This angle won again last week with the Saints and the trend obviously says to take San Diego -7 in Week 14.

Play on any conference road underdog coming off of a road game (81-54-2, 61.9% ATS since 2008): It used to be that teams playing consecutive road games were great fades, but as that angle became common knowledge, bookmakers started to adjust the point spreads for teams playing on the road off of a road game. Well, based on the results of the last three years, they may have over-adjusted the lines especially in this specific case of conference games where the visiting teams are fairly familiar with their next opponents. There are two qualifying plays under this angle for Week 14, but they may carry a parental advisory warning: the winless Indianapolis Cots +16½ and the Kansas City Chiefs +10½.

Play on any road underdog coming off of a road game (272-199-13, 57.8% ATS since 2002): This is similar to the previous angle, except that this one entails all road underdogs (not just conference) and goes back much further for a nice sample size. It is rather remarkable that there is still a popular misconception that teams playing their second straight road game are automatically bad bets, as the oddsmakers have apparently been over-adjusting the back-to-back road factor when the road team is an underdog for nine full years now! In the years that we have been doing this column, this angle has produced the biggest profit over the last nine years, as it now stands at +53.1 units over 471 decisions based on odds of -110. There are four qualifying plays for Week 14, including the two dogs from the previous angle as well as two non-conference road dogs: Oakland +11 at Green Bay and Philadelphia +3 at Miami.

Play on any divisional road team looking to avenge a loss of 14 points or more (75-53, 58.6% since 2002): NFL teams or all professional teams for that matter do not like getting embarrassed, and most of them have long memories. This is especially true when the big loss was to a division rival that they face twice a year. There is one qualifier this week and it will be the St. Louis Rams Monday night.

During the month of December only, play against any road underdog coming off of three or more ATS wins (62-41-6, 60.2% ATS since 1985): If a team is an underdog this late in the year after three ATS wins when logic dictates that the team is peaking, there is usually a very good reason for it. Finding something that has gone over the magical 60 percent mark with at least 100 plays is pretty special, and this angle has one play in Week 14: Cincinnati -3 over a hot Houston Texans team.

Play on any road underdog coming off of six or more consecutive straight up losses (81-52-1, 60.9% ATS since 1985): We went all the way back to 1985 to make this sample size as meaningful as possible, and the results are quite good. These are teams that most squares would never bet their hard earned money on but that sharps love, as they are almost always getting added line value. This angle won again with the winless Colts in Week 13, and there is one qualifying play for Week 14 which is easy to figure out: the Colts +16½ again.

[Udog]

NHL
Short Sheet

Sunday, December 11

SAN JOSE at CHICAGO, 7:00 PM ET
SAN JOSE: 40-18 SU after playing a road game
CHICAGO: 11-18 SU off a road win

FLORIDA at NY RANGERS, 7:00 PM ET
FLORIDA: 10-6 SU in road games
NY RANGERS: 18-30 SU after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Sunday, December 11

Today's Top Trends For College Basketball

ALABAMA is 7-0 ATS in home games after playing a road game (vs Detroit)

FLORIDA ST is 2-11 ATS in home games after playing a game as favorite (vs UNC-GREENSBORO)

JACKSONVILLE ST is 11-1 ATS after scoring 60 points or less (vs Tulane)

S ILLINOIS is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after playing a home game (vs W Michigan)