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based on 1-5*
good luck
may add Ariz,mia,indy,dall
3* Tenn +3.5 over New Orleans (possible 4* upgrade)
New Orleans is a different team on the road and in the cold. The Saints D is 30th in run D and with CJ now playing better they are going to eat them for breakfast. The Saints strength is obviously their passing game, but the Titans are 4th in passing D (YPPA). Ther eis a 112-58 ATS trend on the Titans. I have this game as NO -1. The Titans win this game outright...fire on them and the money line!
2* Washington +8.5 over N.E.
New England shouldn't be a 8.5 road fav against the Youngstown State Penguins. They are 20th against the run and 28th vs the pass. The Skins D is pretty solid (10th vs the run and 13th vs the pass). The Skins have a good home dog trend that is 96-56 ATS. I know it's not easy to bet a big home fav because they are so inferior but remember NFL road favorites of a touchdown or more are 46% ATS since 1989. Give me the Skins in a close game.
2* Oakland +11.5 over Green Bay
Looking at GB's stats, they shouldn't be undefeated. But, they are great in turnover ratio and penalties. GB strength is the pass game and Oakland is 5th in pass D. Oakland's strong run game (6th) will run all over GB's weak run D (29th in YPR). There is a large dog trend favoring Oakland this is 56-27 ATS. My line is GB -10, so there is some value on Oakland.
good luck
may add Ariz,mia,indy,dall
3* Tenn +3.5 over New Orleans (possible 4* upgrade)
New Orleans is a different team on the road and in the cold. The Saints D is 30th in run D and with CJ now playing better they are going to eat them for breakfast. The Saints strength is obviously their passing game, but the Titans are 4th in passing D (YPPA). Ther eis a 112-58 ATS trend on the Titans. I have this game as NO -1. The Titans win this game outright...fire on them and the money line!
2* Washington +8.5 over N.E.
New England shouldn't be a 8.5 road fav against the Youngstown State Penguins. They are 20th against the run and 28th vs the pass. The Skins D is pretty solid (10th vs the run and 13th vs the pass). The Skins have a good home dog trend that is 96-56 ATS. I know it's not easy to bet a big home fav because they are so inferior but remember NFL road favorites of a touchdown or more are 46% ATS since 1989. Give me the Skins in a close game.
2* Oakland +11.5 over Green Bay
Looking at GB's stats, they shouldn't be undefeated. But, they are great in turnover ratio and penalties. GB strength is the pass game and Oakland is 5th in pass D. Oakland's strong run game (6th) will run all over GB's weak run D (29th in YPR). There is a large dog trend favoring Oakland this is 56-27 ATS. My line is GB -10, so there is some value on Oakland.
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