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**Udog** · 11-30-2011, 10:22 AM

College football odds: Week 14 opening line report

In a strange twist of fate, Georgia’s season, pre-bowl of course, will come to an end right where it began some three months before. But the mood around the team could not be more different.

The Bulldogs, in what seems like an eternity ago, dropped a disheartening 35-21 decision to Boise State in Atlanta’s Georgia Dome on Sept. 3. It was a night to forget, as a team from a non-BCS conference traveled into their neck of the woods, into SEC country, and had its way.

Georgia coach Mark Richt was immediately placed in the line of fire. His job was in jeopardy, as well. And his program was in a state of flux. Indeed, it was chaos in Athens, Ga.

And then, to complicate matters, the Bulldogs lost in Week 2, in their conference opener to South Carolina, 45-42. What could happen next, they thought?

Well, sometimes things right themselves in college football, and Richt will attest to that. Twelve weeks later, no one’s talking about his job security, and the Bulldogs appear in great shape, as champions of the SEC East. On Saturday, after having won 10 consecutive games (8-2 ATS), they will attempt to derail LSU’s dream season in the conference title game.

“To win 10 in a row is nice. When we were 0-2, a lot of people, within our building, thought we could snap out of it,” Richt said. “But you can't win 10 in row, without winning one in a row. So, that kind of became our war cry.”

So far, so good. But with the Tigers on tap, and all that is at stake, Georgia is going to need more than just a motto.

“They need to win this game, LSU, obviously,” Pete Korner, of Esportclub, LLC, in Las Vegas told ***********. “Georgia will be ready, but it means so much to LSU.”

Korner and his line consultant group sent out Tigers -10 to his clients. The Wynn Las Vegas, the first sportsbook to post weekly college football odds, went a little higher, installing LSU as 11-point chalk.

“Like I said, Georgia can play, and will be ready,” Korner said. “But it is all important for LSU now. And it just bodes well for them to win big.”

And with that, let’s take a look at some of next week’s other marquee games:

Conference Championship Games:

MAC: Ohio (+3.5) vs. Northern Illinois (Detroit, Mich.)

This league often gets a bad name, especially around bowl season, when it’s tough for it to snag wins and, perhaps more important, some respect. But the MAC produced five teams with at least seven wins this season, and the Bobcats and Huskies are the best of the bunch.

“Two good teams with great years,” Korner said. “Should be close, and those who will watch this will see the very best of that conference.”

CUSA: Southern Miss (+14) at Houston

The Case Keenum Show kicked it up a notch against Tulsa on Friday, and the Cougars are so close to a BCS berth now, they can taste it.

“Houston is always trouble, we’ve been missing on these numbers,” said Korner, who recommended the Cougars as 17-point faves. “Most of our power ratings came up low on this game. We’re just jacking it up, because Houston needs a big win, of course.”

Big Ten: Michigan State (+9.5) vs. Wisconsin (Indianapolis, Ind.)

The Spartans may need more than a Hail Mary this time around, as the Badgers finally are playing up to their capabilities. Just ask Penn State, which never had a chance in Madison on Saturday.

“This will be a good game. Michigan State has played well, but Wisconsin could have been the team vying for the title game right about now. That’s how good they are,” Korner said. “Michigan State is not going to go away in this game. The score will be close for a while. But Wisconsin should show here that they could have been one of the top two or three teams in the country.”

The Sports Club sent out MSU +8 but some offshore books had this spread at 10 points late Sunday night.

ACC: Clemson (+7) vs. Virginia Tech (Charlotte, N.C.)

The Hokies have a distant chance at the BCS title game, so expect Frank Beamer’s bunch to play accordingly. Clemson had a tremendous season, but in big games, their defense has been exposed. The pros expect more of the same.

“Clemson has looked just rotten lately,” Korner said. “Our power ratings were close, but this is Virginia Tech’s game here. They’re still a good team, have been for a long time, and know how to play in these situations.”

Korner’s group recommended a lower number (4.5) than what most books opened with on Sunday.

Pac-12: UCLA (+30.5) at Oregon

The Ducks will be kicking themselves for that home loss to USC for a long time, but they can continue to take out their frustrations here on the Bruins, and set themselves up for a BCS at-large berth.

“Whatever they want to do with this game, it’s up to Oregon,” Korner said. “Had to go with a big, big number, and let’s see where it goes.”

Regular-Season Games:

Oklahoma (+3) at Oklahoma State

A lot more than state pride on the line, as the Cowboys try to improve their final case for the BCS title game, and the Sooners try to lock up one of the BCS at-large berths. Should be a dandy.

“A very good game, and we were close on this line,” Korner said. “Lot of points, fun to watch, and the total is at 78. This is one of those games where whoever has the ball last will win it.”

West Virginia (Pick) at South Florida

The Big East title race is far too jumbled -- and perhaps too meaningless -- to lay out for everyone. But just know this, from the Mountaineers’ perspective. They need a win and some help. They can only control the former.

“This is a true, pick ‘em game here,” Korner said. “We know that South Florida quarterback B.J. Daniels is probable, so that plays into it. But it should be a good, clean game.”

UConn (+9.5) at Cincinnati

Same deal here for the Bearcats. They have a chance at a BCS berth, as does West Virginia and Louisville, the latter of which isn’t even playing this week. So, expect Cincinnati to sense that and play accordingly against the Huskies.

“UConn had its day,” said Korner, referring to the Huskies’ win over Rutgers on Saturday. “So I think this one is all Cincinnati. My power ratings said 16 here, but I brought it down a little. But this one means too much to Cincinnati.”

**Udog** · 11-30-2011, 10:23 AM

Instant replay: NCAAF and NFL betting recap

Each week, we’ll recap all the betting information you need to know from the college and pro football action that went down over the weekend.

NCAAF betting recap

Barring some sort of huge upset, we’re going to have a rematch between LSU and Alabama in the BCS championship game – like it or not.

LSU plays Georgia this Saturday and will punch its ticket for the big game with a win, while Alabama’s regular season is done after it demolished 42-14 in the Iron Bowl. Sounds like it’s a done deal.

Meanwhile, favorites had a nice week in college pigskin, going 28-23-3 against the spread with visiting favorites going 11-6-1 against the number.

Andrew Luck led Stanford to a 28-14 win over Notre Dame as a 7-point favorite in what will likely be his last home game as a Cardinal and Michigan earned its first win over Ohio State in eight years, but couldn’t cover as an 8.5-point favorite.

NFL betting recap

Following Thanksgiving Day’s action, Sunday’s games always seem to lack a little luster. But at least Tim Tebow came to play. Again.

Tebow led the Broncos to a huge 16-13 overtime win over the listless San Diego Chargers. Nick Novak missed on a 53-yard field goal attempt, which opened the door for another Tebow drive that set up Matt Prater’s winning kick. The Broncos are now just a game behind Oakland for the division lead and have covered the number in four straight games.

On the other end of the spectrum, Indianapolis fell to 0-11 straight up and 2-9 against the spread with a 27-19 loss to Carolina.

Underdogs were 6-5-1 against the number ahead of Monday night’s matchup between the Giants and Saints with visiting underdogs going 5-2-1 against the spread. Three underdogs won outright while total plays finished split at six overs and six unders.

**Udog** · 11-30-2011, 10:23 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 14

West Virginia at South Florida
The Mountaineers look to take advantage of a USF team that is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 Thursday games. West Virginia is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Mountaineers favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-1). Here are all of this week's lined games.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 1

Game 303-304: West Virginia at South Florida (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 93.065; South Florida 88.836
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 4; 58
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 1; 55
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-1); Over

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 2

Game 305-306: Ohio vs. Northern Illinois (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 81.748; Northern Illinois 88.857
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 7; 65
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 3 1/2; 70
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-3 1/2); Under

Game 307-308: UCLA at Oregon (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 86.728; Oregon 120.353
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 33 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Oregon by 31 1/2; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-31 1/2); Under

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 3

Game 309-310: Connecticut at Cincinnati (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 90.178; Cincinnati 92.058
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 53
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 10; 49
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+10); Over

Game 311-312: Syracuse at Pittsburgh (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 78.123; Pittsburgh 95.594
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 17 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 10 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-10 1/2); Over

Game 313-314: Iowa State at Kansas State (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 98.749; Kansas State 102.764
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 4; 51
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 10 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+10 1/2); Under

Game 315-316: Wyoming at Colorado State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 84.815; Colorado State 72.309
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 12 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 5 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (-5 1/2); Over

Game 317-318: UNLV at TCU (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 64.045; TCU 100.084
Dunkel Line: TCU by 36; 55
Vegas Line: TCU by 39 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+39 1/2); Under

Game 319-320: Oklahoma at Oklahoma State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 109.974; Oklahoma State 120.096
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 10; 80
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 3 1/2; 74
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-3 1/2); Over

Game 321-322: Texas at Baylor (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 100.916; Baylor 102.493
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 1 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Baylor by 2 1/2; 64
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+2 1/2); Under

Game 323-324: Idaho at Nevada (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 72.578; Nevada 88.969
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 16 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Nevada by 20 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+20 1/2); Over

Game 325-326: New Mexico at Boise State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 56.030; Boise State 107.748
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 51 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Boise State by 48 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-48 1/2); Under

Game 327-328: BYU at Hawaii (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 95.116; Hawaii 78.488
Dunkel Line: BYU by 16 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: BYU by 7; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-7); Over

Game 329-330: Utah State at New Mexico State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 79.904; New Mexico State 71.854
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 8; 57
Vegas Line: Utah State by 13 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+13 1/2); Under

Game 331-332: Fresno State at San Diego State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 78.736; San Diego State 84.814
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 6; 56
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 8; 59
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+8); Under

Game 333-334: Troy at Arkansas State (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 65.043; Arkansas State 88.487
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 23 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 17 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-17 1/2); Over

Game 335-336: Middle Tennessee State at North Texas (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 65.879; North Texas 69.790
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 4; 52
Vegas Line: North Texas by 5 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (+5 1/2); Under

Game 337-338: UL-Monroe at FAU (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 74.367; FAU 60.747
Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 13 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 7; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (-7); Over

Game 339-340: Southern Mississippi at Houston (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 99.505; Houston 107.516
Dunkel Line: Houston by 8; 77
Vegas Line: Houston by 13; 71
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (+13); Over

Game 341-342: LSU vs. Georgia (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 122.417; Georgia 104.720
Dunkel Line: LSU by 17 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: LSU by 13 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-13 1/2); Under

Game 343-344: Virginia Tech vs. Clemson (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 98.041; Clemson 95.836
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 2; 56
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 7; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (+7); Over

Game 345-346: Michigan State vs. Wisconsin (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 98.029; Wisconsin 112.407
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 14 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 9; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-9); Under

**Udog** · 11-30-2011, 10:24 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 14

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Thursday, December 1

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W VIRGINIA (8 - 3) at S FLORIDA (5 - 6) - 12/1/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
S FLORIDA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, December 2

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N ILLINOIS (9 - 3) vs. OHIO U (9 - 3) - 12/2/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 1-0 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 1-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UCLA (6 - 6) at OREGON (10 - 2) - 12/2/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 2-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 2-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, December 3

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CONNECTICUT (5 - 6) at CINCINNATI (8 - 3) - 12/3/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 2-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SYRACUSE (5 - 6) at PITTSBURGH (5 - 6) - 12/3/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IOWA ST (6 - 5) at KANSAS ST (9 - 2) - 12/3/2011, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
KANSAS ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
KANSAS ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
KANSAS ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WYOMING (7 - 4) at COLORADO ST (3 - 8) - 12/3/2011, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
WYOMING is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UNLV (2 - 9) at TCU (9 - 2) - 12/3/2011, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after a bye week since 1992.
TCU is 52-29 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 2-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA (9 - 2) at OKLAHOMA ST (10 - 1) - 12/3/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS (7 - 4) at BAYLOR (8 - 3) - 12/3/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games this season.
BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
BAYLOR is 38-61 ATS (-29.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BAYLOR is 65-90 ATS (-34.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BAYLOR is 61-88 ATS (-35.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IDAHO (2 - 9) at NEVADA (6 - 5) - 12/3/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
IDAHO is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 2-0 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 2-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW MEXICO (1 - 10) at BOISE ST (10 - 1) - 12/3/2011, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 101-60 ATS (+35.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 60-27 ATS (+30.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 70-39 ATS (+27.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 101-60 ATS (+35.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 81-50 ATS (+26.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 63-36 ATS (+23.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 62-36 ATS (+22.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 65-31 ATS (+30.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BYU (8 - 3) at HAWAII (6 - 6) - 12/3/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UTAH ST (6 - 5) at NEW MEXICO ST (4 - 8) - 12/3/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 30-53 ATS (-28.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-1 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FRESNO ST (4 - 8) at SAN DIEGO ST (7 - 4) - 12/3/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO ST is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TROY (3 - 8) at ARKANSAS ST (9 - 2) - 12/3/2011, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
ARKANSAS ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
ARKANSAS ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
ARKANSAS ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIDDLE TENN ST (2 - 9) at NORTH TEXAS (4 - 7) - 12/3/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on turf this season.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTH TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
NORTH TEXAS is 1-1 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA MONROE (3 - 8) at FLA ATLANTIC (1 - 10) - 12/3/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
LA MONROE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 2-0 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SOUTHERN MISS (10 - 2) at HOUSTON (12 - 0) - 12/3/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
HOUSTON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home lined games this season.
HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 70 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
HOUSTON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
HOUSTON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
SOUTHERN MISS is 102-74 ATS (+20.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-1 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-1 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA (10 - 2) vs. LSU (12 - 0) - 12/3/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LSU is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
LSU is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
LSU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA TECH (11 - 1) vs. CLEMSON (9 - 3) - 12/3/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CLEMSON is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 38-17 ATS (+19.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 110-80 ATS (+22.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN ST (10 - 2) vs. WISCONSIN (10 - 2) - 12/3/2011, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 11-30-2011, 10:24 AM

NCAAF

Week 14

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Trend Report
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Thursday, December 1

8:00 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
West Virginia is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of West Virginia's last 10 games
South Florida is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of South Florida's last 9 games

Friday, December 2

7:00 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. OHIO
Northern Illinois is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ohio
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
Ohio is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

8:00 PM
UCLA vs. OREGON
UCLA is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oregon
UCLA is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oregon
Oregon is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Oregon is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home

Saturday, December 3

12:00 PM
SYRACUSE vs. PITTSBURGH
Syracuse is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Syracuse is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Syracuse
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Syracuse

12:00 PM
SOUTHERN MISS vs. HOUSTON
Southern Miss is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 6 games when playing Houston
Houston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Southern Miss
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

12:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. CINCINNATI
Connecticut is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Connecticut's last 7 games
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Cincinnati is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

12:30 PM
IOWA STATE vs. KANSAS STATE
Iowa State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games
Kansas State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Kansas State is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Iowa State

2:00 PM
WYOMING vs. COLORADO STATE
Wyoming is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Colorado State
Wyoming is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Colorado State is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Wyoming
Colorado State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

2:30 PM
UNLV vs. TCU
UNLV is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing TCU
UNLV is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing TCU
TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing UNLV
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of TCU's last 5 games when playing UNLV

3:30 PM
UTAH STATE vs. NEW MEXICO STATE
Utah State is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah State's last 6 games when playing New Mexico State
New Mexico State is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
New Mexico State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Utah State

3:30 PM
TEXAS vs. BAYLOR
Texas is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Baylor
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games when playing Baylor
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baylor's last 7 games when playing Texas

TBA
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Louisiana-Monroe is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Florida Atlantic
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games on the road
Florida Atlantic is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Florida Atlantic's last 11 games at home

4:00 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. NORTH TEXAS
Middle Tennessee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Middle Tennessee's last 6 games on the road
North Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Middle Tennessee
North Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Middle Tennessee

4:00 PM
GEORGIA vs. LSU
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LSU's last 5 games when playing Georgia
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

4:05 PM
IDAHO vs. NEVADA
Idaho is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nevada
Idaho is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nevada
Nevada is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Idaho
Nevada is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

4:30 PM
TROY vs. ARKANSAS STATE
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Troy's last 24 games on the road
Troy is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Arkansas State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Troy
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas State's last 7 games when playing Troy

6:00 PM
NEW MEXICO vs. BOISE STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico's last 6 games on the road
New Mexico is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Boise State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Boise State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games

7:30 PM
BYU vs. HAWAII
BYU is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hawaii
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of BYU's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Hawaii's last 15 games
Hawaii is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State
Oklahoma is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Oklahoma State's last 13 games at home

8:00 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. CLEMSON
Virginia Tech is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games
Clemson is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
Clemson is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Virginia Tech

8:00 PM
FRESNO STATE vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
Fresno State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Fresno State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Fresno State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego State's last 6 games at home

8:15 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. WISCONSIN
Michigan State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Wisconsin's last 9 games
Wisconsin is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

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**Udog** · 11-30-2011, 10:25 AM

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 14

Thursday, 12/1/2011

W VIRGINIA at S FLORIDA, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
W VIRGINIA: 17-5 ATS Away vs. team w/ losing record
S FLORIDA: 0-6 ATS at home vs. conference

Friday, 12/2/2011

MAC Championship Game - Ford Field - Detroit, MI
N ILLINOIS vs. OHIO U, 7:00 PM ET ESPN2
N ILLINOIS: 10-2 Over off an Under
OHIO U: 0-3 ATS as neutral field dog of 7 pts or less

PAC 12 Championship Game
UCLA at OREGON, 8:00 PM ET FOX
UCLA: 1-8 ATS Away vs. conference
OREGON: 27-9 ATS off 2 game homestand

Saturday, 12/3/2011

CONNECTICUT at CINCINNATI, 12:00 PM ET ESPN2
CONNECTICUT: 10-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
CINCINNATI: 1-5 ATS off conference road win

SYRACUSE at PITTSBURGH, 12:00 PM ET ESPN
SYRACUSE: 0-6 ATS off home game
PITTSBURGH: 10-3 ATS off SU loss

IOWA ST at KANSAS ST, 12:30 PM ET FSN
IOWA ST: 2-10 ATS Away if they committed 4+ TO's last game
KANSAS ST: 6-0 ATS off SU dog win

WYOMING at COLORADO ST, 2:00 PM ET MTN
WYOMING: 11-2 ATS Away off conference game
COLORADO ST: 1-9 ATS off 3 straight conf losses

UNLV at TCU, 2:30 PM ET VERSUS
UNLV: 1-12 ATS in road games
TCU: 12-3 ATS at home off bye week

OKLAHOMA at OKLAHOMA ST, 8:00 PM ET (TC) | ABC
OKLAHOMA: 4-0 ATS off BB ATS losses
OKLAHOMA ST: 12-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

TEXAS at BAYLOR, 3:30 PM ET ABC
TEXAS: 12-4 Over off win by 3 pts or less
BAYLOR: 6-0 ATS in home games

IDAHO at NEVADA, 4:00 PM ET
IDAHO: 14-20 ATS off home loss
NEVADA: 6-1 Under off road loss

NEW MEXICO at BOISE ST, 6:00 PM ET MTN
NEW MEXICO: 5-1 Under vs. conference
BOISE ST: 1-5 ATS vs. conference

BYU at HAWAII, 7:30 PM ET ESPN2
BYU: 10-0 ATS after outgaining opp by 125+ total yards
HAWAII: 1-6 ATS after 1st month of season

UTAH ST at NEW MEXICO ST, 3:30 PM ET (TC)
UTAH ST: 3-7 ATS off BB SU wins
NEW MEXICO ST: 1-10 ATS after allowing 37+ points 3 straight games

FRESNO ST at SAN DIEGO ST, 8:00 PM ET CBSC
FRESNO ST: 2-11 ATS off SU loss as home favorite
SAN DIEGO ST: 10-24 ATS off BB ATS wins

Added Games

TROY at ARKANSAS ST, 4:30 PM ET (TC)
TROY: 2-8 ATS on Saturday
ARKANSAS ST: 9-2 ATS in all games

MIDDLE TENN ST at NORTH TEXAS, 4:00 PM ET
MIDDLE TENN ST: 0-8 ATS playing w/ 6 or less days rest
NORTH TEXAS: 6-0 ATS after allowing 475+ total yards

LA MONROE at FLA ATLANTIC, 4:00 PM ET (TC)
LA MONROE: 2-10 ATS playing with rest
FLA ATLANTIC: 0-11 ATS if they committed 1 or less turnovers

Conference USA Championship Game
SOUTHERN MISS at HOUSTON, 12:00 PM ET ESPN2
SOUTHERN MISS: 4-15 ATS Away off SU win where they lost ATS
HOUSTON: 6-0 ATS as home favorite

SEC Championship Game - Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
GEORGIA vs. LSU, 4:00 PM ET CBS
GEORGIA: 0-6 ATS as an underdog
LSU: 6-0 ATS off conf win by 10+

ACC Championship Game - Bank Of America Stadium - Charlotte, NC
VIRGINIA TECH vs. CLEMSON, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
VIRGINIA TECH: 28-11 ATS w/ revenge
CLEMSON: 1-5 ATS vs. Virginia Tech

Big 10 Championship Game - Lucas Oil Stadium - Indianapolis, IN
MICHIGAN ST vs. at WISCONSIN, 8:15 PM ET (TC) | FOX
MICHIGAN ST: 10-3 Over vs. Wisconsin
WISCONSIN: 6-0 ATS off 3 straight conf wins

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Spark** · 11-30-2011, 10:29 AM

Thanks dog

**Udog** · 12-01-2011, 07:29 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 14

Thursday's game

Home side won last four West Virginia-South Florida games, with dogs covering four of last five; Mountaineers lost last two visits here by 11-8 points. USF needs win here to be bowl eligible; they've lost six of last seven games after 4-0 start, losing their last three home games by 3-3-10 points. West Virginia won five of last seven games; they've won three of four road games, despite allowing 33 ppg on foreign soil. Underdogs are 4-1 vs spread in last five WVU games, with last three decided by total of six points. Average total in West Virginia road games is 64.3.

**Udog** · 12-01-2011, 07:31 AM

NCAAF

Week 14

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West Virginia at South Florida: What bettors need to know
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West Virginia Mountaineers at South Florida Bulls (+1.5, 55)

THE STORY: No. 22 West Virginia needs help to qualify for a BCS Bowl game, but the Mountaineers can’t reach that goal or gain a share of the Big East title without a win at South Florida Thursday. The Mountaineers have been victorious three of their last four to give themselves a chance. If West Virginia wins and Cincinnati beats Connecticut, the Mountaineers would forge a three-way with Louisville and Cincinnati. The Mountaineers, who have lost their last two at USF, would have a highest-ranked team in the BCS and gain the bid – most likely to the Orange Bowl. South Florida looked like it would be in the running for that early after winning its first four games, but the Bulls will need a win over West Virginia to become bowl eligible.

TV: ESPN

LINE: South Florida opened as a 1.5-point favorite, however, action on WVU flipped the odds to have the Mountaineers as 1.5-point road chalk.

ABOUT WEST VIRGINIA (8-3, 4-2 Big East, 5-6 ATS): The Mountaineers would lose out on a BCS bid, due to its 38-35 loss to Louisville, if Cincinnati does not beat UConn. But West Virginia has to focus on the job ahead with quarterback Geno Smith at the helm of its high-powered passing offense. Smith broke single-season school records in yards (3,741), completions and pass attempts in the 21-20 victory over Pittsburgh Friday. Wide receiver Stedman Bailey also broke the single-season school record for yards with 1,117 and Tavon Austin went over 1,000 yards.

ABOUT SOUTH FLORIDA (5-6, 1-5 Big East, 4-7 ATS): Quarterback B.J. Daniels, averaging almost 300 yards of total offense, is still questionable with a sore throwing shoulder but has been feeling better. If Daniels can’t go, Bobby Eveld will get another start. Eveld, a sophomore, was 20-for-35 with 210 yards in the loss to Louisville Friday with a touchdown pass and an interception. The Bulls’ top receiver Sterling Griffin could return from an ankle injury after missing four games. USF will need more than the 64 yards rushing it had last week. The Bulls have lost its last five games by a total of 25 points.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Mountaineers are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. USF is second in the nation in sacks and tackles for losses per game.

2. Austin is second in the nation in all-purpose yards.

3. USF has not missed playing a bowl game since 2004.

PREDICTION: West Virginia 31, South Florida 20 – If the Mountaineers can control the pass rush, they should control the game.

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**Udog** · 12-01-2011, 07:35 AM

College football Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Week 14

West Virginia Mountaineers at South Florida Bulls (+1.5, 55)

Why West Virginia will cover: West Virginia possesses the sixth-best pass offense in the nation, while USF is 84th against the pass. The Bulls are just 1-7 ATS in its last eight.

Why South Florida will cover: The Mountaineers have been playing with fire lately, winning their last two by a combined four points. And the Bulls’ offense ranks high in passing and rushing. With improvement in red zone efficiency, USF could play with anyone.

Points: The over is 7-1 in West Virginia’s last eight as a favorite and is 6-3 in USF’s last nine.

UCLA Bruins at Oregon Ducks (-31.5, 65.5)

Why UCLA will cover: The Bruins average 193 ypg rushing, and will try to shorten the game.

Why Oregon will cover: UCLA has scored six points or less in three straight. The Bruins will have to score a lot more than that to cover. UCLA is 2-6 ATS against opponents with a winning record.

Points: UCLA’s offense has been dreadful, though Oregon can get to 50 in a blink.

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at Houston Cougars (-13, 71.5)

Why Southern Miss will cover: The Eagles can move the ball through the air and on the ground, and Houston’s defense isn’t superb. Southern Miss is 7-2-1 ATS in its last eight, and is excited to play a spoiler role.

Why Houston will cover: Is USM’s 55th-ranked pass defense good enough to slow down the No. 1 passing and scoring offense? Probably not.

Points: The over is 3-1 in USM’s last four, and this is the second-lowest over/under number for a Houston game since Sept. 29.

Connecticut Huskies at Cincinnati Bearcats (-10, 49)

Why Connecticut will cover: UConn is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 conference games, while Cincy is only 4-12 in its last 16. The Huskies’ third-ranked run defense matches up well with what the Bearcats want to do.

Why Cincinnati will cover: A new QB hasn’t slowed the Cincy offense. The defense should punish Connecticut’s struggling run game.

Points: The under has hit in Cincy’s last four, and has missed in UConn’s last four.

Iowa State Cyclones at Kansas State Wildcats (-10.5, 54)

Why Iowa State will cover: The Cyclones, after a bad start, are 4-1 ATS in the last five. If ISU can get going on the ground, that opens things up for the rest of the offense.

Why Kansas State will cover: K-State is 9-1 ATS in its last 10. The Wildcats’ balanced attack on offense may overwhelm an ISU defense that isn’t great at stopping anything.

Points: The under is 5-0 in ISU’s last five, but is 1-5 in KSU’s last six.

UNLV Runnin’ Rebels at TCU Horned Frogs (-38.5, 58)

Why UNLV will cover: The Rebels need to sap some clock with its No. 45 run game and hope that time runs quickly, or hope TCU rests some starters in the second half.

Why TCU will cover: This is the third-largest spread TCU has faced this season. It hit on the other two. The Rebels are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 against teams with winning records.

Points: The over is 11-4 in TCU’s last 15.

Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears (-2.5, 64)

Why Texas will cover: The Longhorns’ defense has improved all season, while the offense should be fired up to face Baylor’s D, which ranks in the bottom 20 in every statistical category.

Why Baylor will cover: Texas is 96th in passing, which should help Baylor’s maligned defense. QB Robert Griffin III is back from a concussion.

Points: The over is 6-0 in Baylor home games, though the under is 4-1-1 in Texas’ last six.

LSU Tigers at Georgia Bulldogs (13.5, 46)

Why LSU will cover: LSU is 7-1 ATS against teams with a winning record. The second-ranked defense has smothered much better offenses than the Bulldogs.

Why Georgia will cover: LSU’s defense gets the headlines, but Georgia’s is no slouch, ranking No. 6 against the run, No. 12 vs. the pass and No. 10 in points allowed. And its offense can do everything effectively. Georgia is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 overall.

Points: Strong defenses that have led the teams this far. That isn’t likely to change now.

New Mexico Lobos at Boise State Broncos (-48.5, 61)

Why New Mexico will cover: Boise State is 0-5 ATS in its last five, while UNM is 3-0 ATS in its last three and has found a run defense. Against anybody, that’s a mighty spread.

Why Boise State will cover: The Broncos may be struggling down the stretch, but the Lobos rank 120th offensively and 119th defensively in scoring. They are, statistically speaking, the absolute worst team in the nation.

Points: The under is 4-0 in UNM’s last four, but the over is 6-1 in Boise State’s last seven.

Oklahoma Sooners at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-3.5, 74)

Why Oklahoma will cover: Oklahoma’s offense is nearly as strong as OSU’s, but the defense ranks about 60 spots higher in points allowed and rush defense. After a seven-win streak ATS, Okie State is 1-2 of late.

Why Oklahoma State will cover: OSU’s second-ranked passing and scoring offense matches up very well against the 87th-ranked pass defense of OU. The Cowboys are 6-2-1 ATS against teams with a winning record. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 in this rivalry.

Points: The teams combine to average 93 points per game, which makes this mark look low.

Virginia Tech Hokies at Clemson Tigers (7, 52.5)

Why Virginia Tech will cover: Tech’s eighth-ranked defense has allowed more than 21 points just once in the last six weeks. Clemson is 0-4 ATS in its last four. The Hokies’ strong run game matches up well against the Tigers’ shaky run defense.

Why Clemson will cover: VT is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11, while Clemson is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 conference games. Clemson’s passing game remains strong.

Points: The under has been the trend for both teams the last month.

Michigan State Spartans at Wisconsin Badgers (-9.5, 54.5)

Why Michigan State will cover: MSU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine thanks to a defense that ranks in the top 11 across the board. Sparty already beat Bucky once, albeit on a Hail Mary.

Why Wisconsin will cover: MSU can throw the ball, but doesn’t have a run game to complement it. Wisconsin ranks No. 3 in slowing the pass, and the Badgers’ offense, which averages 230 ypg passing and 247 ypg rushing, is on a roll.

Points: The over is 7-2 in UW’s last nine and is 8-1 in the last nine meetings.

**Udog** · 12-01-2011, 07:37 AM

Where the action is: Mid-week football line moves

For our weekly look at football lines on the move, we chatted up Todd Fuhrman, race and sportsbook analyst at Caesar's in Las Vegas. Here are some thoughts about why these odds are jumping around.

NFL

Dallas at Arizona Open: +6.5 Move: +4.5

After a terrible October that saw the Cowboys drop three of four games outright, Dallas has rebounded to win four straight. However, the Cowboys are just 1-3 against the spread in that stretch and could be up against an Arizona club that may have its starting QB back in action.

"We've seen sharp money come in on the Cardinals when we opened the game," Fuhrman say. "Plenty of speculation about Kevin Kolb's status and if he can go, he's definitely worth at least two points to Cardinals backers. Dallas has had extra time to prepare from the Thanksgiving showcase, but this is a side that hasn't exactly thrived as road chalk."

Kansas City at Chicago Open: -8.5 Move: -7

It wasn't all bad for Chicago quarterback Caleb Hanie in his first career start, at least after he got out of a miserable first half. He had some problems reading coverage schemes, which can be expected, and made some nice throws and scampers once he settled in. Still, it doesn't look like that was nearly enough to sway bettors with early action coming in on the woeful Chiefs.

"Tough to figure out which offense in this game is more inept than the other," Fuhrman says. "There's been some appetite to take a Chiefs defense that looked very good on Sunday night against Pittsburgh, especially when they face Caleb Hanie, who still appears to be getting his feet wet. When points are going to be at a premium, there will always be an appetite to take the dog especially at over a touchdown."

Indianapolis at New England Open: -21 Move: -20

At 21 points, you almost have to take the underdog, right? Then again, it wouldn't surprise us to see this line to go back to three full touchdowns before the kickoff. The public loves the Pats just as much as it hates the Colts.

"This may be just a price grab because any bettor who believes in Dan Orlovsky or the Colts right now probably needs their head examined," Fuhrman says. Underdogs in this price range have been a profitable proposition historically but much like every Sunday, I know I'll be rooting for the hapless Colts to get the cover."

NCAAF

Southern Mississippi at Houston Open: -13.5 Move: -12

Everybody loves Case Keenum and Houston's big offense right now, which makes this move interesting.

"This number has actually come back down some despite the initial move," Fuhrman says. "I think Houston's ATS success this year has the public foaming at the mouth to bet them each and every week. Last week sharps everywhere lined up to fade the Cougars and didn't quite work out but doesn't mean they wont try their luck with USM again this Saturday."

LSU at Georgia Open: +10 Move: +14

It will pay to shop around with this game. As of Wednesday evening, this line was set anywhere between +12.5 and +14 so it looks like it's going to keep oddsmakers busy.

"From 11 to 13.5 it's been pure public love for the No. 1 team in the land but every time a book flickers 14 there's been immediate buyback," Fuhrman says. "I think any sharp contingent looking to fade the Tigers will wait for the best number while the betting public has no reason to abandon their cash cow in the SEC championship game."

**Udog** · 12-02-2011, 07:39 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 14

Friday's games

Ohio/Northern Illinois combined to go 0-4 in MAC title games last six years; one of these teams is going to get monkey off back. Bobcats won both games vs Northern last five years, upsetting Huskies 35-23 as a 16-point road dog in 2006, beating them 38-31 (even) in '09. Ohio won its last five games, Northern Illinois won its last seven, with four of last five wins by six or less points, so two hot teams here; Huskies allowed 30+ points in three of their last five games, but won 'em all, including one games by a 63-60 score. Four of last five MAC title games stayed under total; single digit favorites are 3-1 against the spread in this game.

UCLA is 6-6, already fired Neuheisel; their last five losses are by 29-26-36-25-50 points; they're 3-6 as an underdog this year. Oregon won last four games over UCLA by average score of 36-17, with Ducks crushing UCLA 60-13 LY, outgaining Bruins 583-290. Oregon's two losses were to LSU (40-27), USC (38-35); UCLA scored total of 37 points in their last four road games. Ducks are 5-3-1 as a favorite this year, going 0-3-1 vs spread in last four home games. Pac-12 faves of more than 20 points are 13-4-1 vs spread this season, 8-3-1 at home. UCLA can go to bowl even if they lose this game and finish 6-7, but will anyone want them?

**Udog** · 12-02-2011, 07:41 AM

NCAAF

Friday, December 2

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Pac-12 Championship Game: What bettors need to know
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UCLA Bruins at Oregon Ducks (-31.5, 66)

THE STORY: A Rose Bowl berth is on the line when Oregon hosts UCLA in Friday’s inaugural Pac-12 Championship.

The No. 7 Ducks beat out Stanford for the North crown while UCLA squeaked in as the South’s representative. The division title didn’t prevent Rick Neuheisel from losing his job as UCLA athletic director Dan Guerrero announced his firing two days after Saturday’s horrific 50-0 loss to USC.

The Trojans also spoiled Oregon’s season, beating the Ducks 38-35 on Nov. 19 to knock Oregon out of the national championship picture. The winner meets the Big Ten champ (either Wisconsin or Michigan State) in the Rose Bowl.

TV: Fox, 8 p.m. ET

LINE: Oregon opened at -30.5 and has been bet up to 31.5-point favorite, with a couple -32 showing up briefly. The total has come up from 65.5 to 66 points.

AROUND OREGON (10-2, 8-1 Pac-12 North, 6-4 ATS): The Ducks have scored 551 points - second-most in school history behind last season’s 611.

First-team All-Pac-12 running back LaMichael James leads the nation in rushing at 142.7 yards per game and ranks fourth in conference history with 4,704 yards. He needs 107 yards to pass USC’s Marcus Allen.

Junior quarterback Darron Thomas has 27 touchdown passes against just five interceptions. Thomas has 60 career TD passes, two behind the school record held by Danny O’Neil (1991-94).

Oregon has three first-team all-conference defensive players in junior defensive end Dion Jordan (team-high 12 tackles for loss), senior linebacker Josh Kaddu (tied with Jordan for the sack leadership with 6.5) and senior safety Eddie Pleasant (team-best three interceptions).

ABOUT UCLA (6-6, 5-4 Pac-12 South, 4-8 ATS): Neuheisel is 21-28 in four seasons entering his final game. He will not coach UCLA in a bowl game if it qualifies.

Senior receiver Nelson Rosario has 1,008 receiving yards and ranks fifth in school history with 2,209 yards. Junior middle linebacker Patrick Larimore has a team-best 75 tackles.

The Bruins didn’t have a single offensive or defensive player named to the all-conference first or second team. Derrick Coleman was a second-teamer as a special teams standout.

TRENDS:

* Under is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings.
* Bruins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
* Bruins are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as underdogs.
* Ducks are 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 conference games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. UCLA leads the series 39-25 but the Ducks have won nine of the last 11 meetings, including 60-13 in 2010.

2. Oregon running back De’Anthony Thomas was Pac-12 co-Offensive Freshman of the Year with 1,908 all-purpose yards and 16 touchdowns.

3. UCLA last won a conference title in 1998 when it went 10-2, 8-0 under Bob Toledo.

PREDICTION: Oregon 58, UCLA 6 – This will get ugly early and the Ducks can pick and choose the winning margin.

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**Udog** · 12-02-2011, 04:59 PM

NCAAF

Saturday, December 3

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College football betting weather report: Week 14
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Find out how weather will impact you college football bets in Week 14 of the regular season:

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at Houston Cougars (-14, 72)

Rain is in the forecast for Robertson Stadium, with a 20 percent chance of showers and 14-mph winds, blowing SSE down field.

Iowa Cyclones at Kansas State Wildcats (-10, 51.5)

There is a 99 percent chance of rain in the Little Apple – Manhattan, Kansas – this Saturday. Game-time temperatures will dip into the low 30s.

Wyoming Cowboys at Colorado State Rams (+5.5, 52)

Snow could chill this heated border war, with a 50 percent chance of the white stuff in Fort Collins. Temperatures will fall into the low 20s.

UNLV Runnin’ Rebels at TCU Horned Frogs (-38.5, 57)

The forecast in Fort Worth is calling for a 60 percent chance of rain and winds, blowing south from corner to corner, at speeds of up to 15 mph.

Texas Longhorns at Baylor Bears (-2.5, 64)

Rain is in the forecast for Waco Saturday, with a 20 percent chance of showers. Winds will reach speeds of up to 12 mph early in the game, before settling down in the second half.

UL Monroe Warhawks at FAU Owls (+7.5, 47.5)

There is a 10 percent chance of showers late into this game, with winds reaching speeds of up to 15 mph, blowing ENE down field.

BYU Cougars at Hawaii Warriors (+8, 55.5)

Clear skies will give way to rain early into this tilt, with a 36 percent chance of showers in Aiea.

Oklahoma Sooner at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-3.5, 71.5)

Bedlam will get a heavy dose of rain, with a 77 percent chance of showers in Stillwater. Winds will reach speeds of up to 15 mph, blowing west from end to end.

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Announcement

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (12/1 - 12/3)

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (12/1 - 12/3)

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