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CFL
Dunkel
Week 19
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 4
Game 493-494: Saskatchewan at Edmonton (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 104.267; Edmonton 119.134
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 15; 44
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 8 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-8 1/2); Under
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 5
Game 495-496: Winnipeg at Calgary (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 109.150; Calgary 116.724
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 7 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Calgary by 6; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-6); Under
Game 497-498: Montreal at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 114.565; BC 114.884
Dunkel Line: Even; 57
Vegas Line: BC by 3; 54
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+3); Over
CFL
Long Sheet
Week 19
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Friday, November 4
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SASKATCHEWAN (5 - 12) at EDMONTON (10 - 7) - 11/4/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in all games this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus division opponents this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 62-40 ATS (+18.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 103-68 ATS (+28.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 89-61 ATS (+21.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
EDMONTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 61-88 ATS (-35.8 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
EDMONTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 7-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 6-3 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Saturday, November 5
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WINNIPEG (10 - 7) at CALGARY (10 - 7) - 11/5/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
WINNIPEG is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
WINNIPEG is 90-63 ATS (+20.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-1 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MONTREAL (10 - 7) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (10 - 7) - 11/5/2011, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 4-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 19
Saskatchewan (5-12) @ Edmonton (10-7)-- Eskimos beat Riders twice so far this year, 42-28 (+6.5) on Opening Day in Regina, 17-1 (-6) four weeks ago at home. Edmonton won three of last four games; they're 4-2 as home favorites, winning home games by 18-16-1-16-14 points. Riders snapped 5-game skid with win in home finale last week; they're 2-6 as a road underdog, losing away games by 30-13-6-37-16-12 points, with a couple wins, at Montreal/Winnipeg. Last seven Saskatchewan games, three of last four Eskimo games stayed under the total.
Winnipeg (10-7) @ Calgary (10-7)-- Stampeders (-3) won 21-20 back in Week 3 at Winnipeg, rallying from down 11-7 at half; Calgary won last couple games after 2-5 skid- they're 4-4 at home, beating Roughriders in last two home games, 40-3/25-13. Stampeders are 4-4 as home favorites. Bombers lost six of last nine games after 7-1 start; they're 2-3 in last five road games- they covered five of six as a road underdog this year. Over is 5-2 in last seven Calgary games, 1-3 in last four Winnipeg tilts. Stamps allowed 32+ points in each of their last five losses.
Montreal (10-7) @ BCLions (10-7)-- Lions (+6.5) opened season with a 30-26 loss at Montreal; after a 1-6 start, BC has gone 9-1, losing only at Hamilton two weeks ago. BC won its last four home games, by 22-9-2-9 points- they're 4-4 as home favorites. Under is 3-1 in last four Montreal games, 3-0 in Lions' last three. Alouettes are 0-5 against spread in last five games, losing last two weeks 26-25/32-37; they've lost four of last six road games, are 1-1 as underdog this season. This is first time since Week 8 that Montreal has been an underdog.
CFL
Week 19
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Trend Report
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Friday, November 4
9:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. EDMONTON
Saskatchewan is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Edmonton is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
Saturday, November 5
4:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. CALGARY
Winnipeg is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Winnipeg is 16-6-2 ATS in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
10:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Montreal is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Montreal is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of British Columbia's last 13 games
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CFL
Week 19
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Canadian Bacon: Week 19 CFL odds and picks
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Saskatchewan Roughriders at Edmonton Eskimos (-8.5, 47)
The Edmonton Eskimos are still fighting for first place in the West despite losing 29-20 last week in Vancouver.
After struggling in the midseason, Ricky Ray has been pretty solid down the stretch and has six touchdown passes in his last three games. Running back Jerome Messam had a tougher night than usual in British Columbia and was limited to only 62 rushing yards, but expect him to bounce back this week.
On defense, the Eskimos have been sloppy over the last few weeks and will need to tighten up. Out of the playoff picture, the Roughriders are trying to end the season on a bright note but will also look to give coach Ken Miller a final win before he retires. It could also be the last game for 33-year-old Jason Clermont.
Pick: Edmonton
Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Calgary Stampeders (-6, 51.5)
After stumbling in Toronto, the Blue Bombers must beat the Stampeders to finish on top of their division, which will give them a week off and a home game for the Eastern final.
However, they will face the Stampeders without QB Buck Pierce, who suffered a knee injury, and without DB Johnny Sears, who was suspended for a helmet-to-helmet hit on Toronto’s QB Steven Jyles Friday night.
And there’s some tension in the locker room too. Defensive end Odell Willis doesn’t appreciate being use in a rotation with teammate Doug Brown and has vented about it on his Twitter account. A loss in Calgary and a win for the Alouettes in B.C. would give Montreal first place, the bye and the right to host the Eastern final.
The Stampeders can still finish second and host the West Division semifinal next week instead of travelling to either Edmonton or Vancouver. But if both the Eskimos and the Lions lose, then the Stamps would take first place and host the Western final.
Drew Tate was pretty solid last week in the win against Montreal but when your substitute is Henry Burris, you have to stay on top of your game to keep the starting job.
Pick: Calgary
Montreal Alouettes at B.C. Lions (-3.5, 54)
The Alouettes are going to Vancouver with a chance to take first place from the Blue Bombers – if Winnipeg loses earlier on Saturday. So the Als will only know the relevance of this final regular season when they step on the field of B.C. Place.
In any case, Montreal will be without two key players: LT Josh Bourke (shoulder) and WR Kerry Watkins (broken leg). The Als have plenty of resources to replace Watkins but it is not quite the case when it comes to replacing Bourke, their best offensive lineman. The Alouettes have won only once in their last 10 visits in Vancouver since 2001.
The Lions would secure first place in the West and will host the division’s final in two weeks with a win. Travis Lulay was outstanding last week with 322 passing yards and three touchdowns which made him Offensive Player of the Week. At the end of the game, with the Eskimos within two points, Lulay led an 80-yard surge to put the game away.
Pick: B.C.
Dunkel
Week 19
FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 4
Game 493-494: Saskatchewan at Edmonton (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 104.267; Edmonton 119.134
Dunkel Line: Edmonton by 15; 44
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 8 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-8 1/2); Under
SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 5
Game 495-496: Winnipeg at Calgary (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 109.150; Calgary 116.724
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 7 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Calgary by 6; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-6); Under
Game 497-498: Montreal at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 114.565; BC 114.884
Dunkel Line: Even; 57
Vegas Line: BC by 3; 54
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+3); Over
CFL
Long Sheet
Week 19
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Friday, November 4
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SASKATCHEWAN (5 - 12) at EDMONTON (10 - 7) - 11/4/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in all games this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus division opponents this season.
SASKATCHEWAN is 62-40 ATS (+18.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 103-68 ATS (+28.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 89-61 ATS (+21.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
EDMONTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 61-88 ATS (-35.8 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
EDMONTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 7-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 6-3 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Saturday, November 5
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WINNIPEG (10 - 7) at CALGARY (10 - 7) - 11/5/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
WINNIPEG is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
WINNIPEG is 90-63 ATS (+20.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-1 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MONTREAL (10 - 7) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (10 - 7) - 11/5/2011, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 4-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 19
Saskatchewan (5-12) @ Edmonton (10-7)-- Eskimos beat Riders twice so far this year, 42-28 (+6.5) on Opening Day in Regina, 17-1 (-6) four weeks ago at home. Edmonton won three of last four games; they're 4-2 as home favorites, winning home games by 18-16-1-16-14 points. Riders snapped 5-game skid with win in home finale last week; they're 2-6 as a road underdog, losing away games by 30-13-6-37-16-12 points, with a couple wins, at Montreal/Winnipeg. Last seven Saskatchewan games, three of last four Eskimo games stayed under the total.
Winnipeg (10-7) @ Calgary (10-7)-- Stampeders (-3) won 21-20 back in Week 3 at Winnipeg, rallying from down 11-7 at half; Calgary won last couple games after 2-5 skid- they're 4-4 at home, beating Roughriders in last two home games, 40-3/25-13. Stampeders are 4-4 as home favorites. Bombers lost six of last nine games after 7-1 start; they're 2-3 in last five road games- they covered five of six as a road underdog this year. Over is 5-2 in last seven Calgary games, 1-3 in last four Winnipeg tilts. Stamps allowed 32+ points in each of their last five losses.
Montreal (10-7) @ BCLions (10-7)-- Lions (+6.5) opened season with a 30-26 loss at Montreal; after a 1-6 start, BC has gone 9-1, losing only at Hamilton two weeks ago. BC won its last four home games, by 22-9-2-9 points- they're 4-4 as home favorites. Under is 3-1 in last four Montreal games, 3-0 in Lions' last three. Alouettes are 0-5 against spread in last five games, losing last two weeks 26-25/32-37; they've lost four of last six road games, are 1-1 as underdog this season. This is first time since Week 8 that Montreal has been an underdog.
CFL
Week 19
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Trend Report
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Friday, November 4
9:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. EDMONTON
Saskatchewan is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Edmonton is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
Saturday, November 5
4:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. CALGARY
Winnipeg is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Winnipeg is 16-6-2 ATS in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
10:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Montreal is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Montreal is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of British Columbia's last 13 games
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CFL
Week 19
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Canadian Bacon: Week 19 CFL odds and picks
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Saskatchewan Roughriders at Edmonton Eskimos (-8.5, 47)
The Edmonton Eskimos are still fighting for first place in the West despite losing 29-20 last week in Vancouver.
After struggling in the midseason, Ricky Ray has been pretty solid down the stretch and has six touchdown passes in his last three games. Running back Jerome Messam had a tougher night than usual in British Columbia and was limited to only 62 rushing yards, but expect him to bounce back this week.
On defense, the Eskimos have been sloppy over the last few weeks and will need to tighten up. Out of the playoff picture, the Roughriders are trying to end the season on a bright note but will also look to give coach Ken Miller a final win before he retires. It could also be the last game for 33-year-old Jason Clermont.
Pick: Edmonton
Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Calgary Stampeders (-6, 51.5)
After stumbling in Toronto, the Blue Bombers must beat the Stampeders to finish on top of their division, which will give them a week off and a home game for the Eastern final.
However, they will face the Stampeders without QB Buck Pierce, who suffered a knee injury, and without DB Johnny Sears, who was suspended for a helmet-to-helmet hit on Toronto’s QB Steven Jyles Friday night.
And there’s some tension in the locker room too. Defensive end Odell Willis doesn’t appreciate being use in a rotation with teammate Doug Brown and has vented about it on his Twitter account. A loss in Calgary and a win for the Alouettes in B.C. would give Montreal first place, the bye and the right to host the Eastern final.
The Stampeders can still finish second and host the West Division semifinal next week instead of travelling to either Edmonton or Vancouver. But if both the Eskimos and the Lions lose, then the Stamps would take first place and host the Western final.
Drew Tate was pretty solid last week in the win against Montreal but when your substitute is Henry Burris, you have to stay on top of your game to keep the starting job.
Pick: Calgary
Montreal Alouettes at B.C. Lions (-3.5, 54)
The Alouettes are going to Vancouver with a chance to take first place from the Blue Bombers – if Winnipeg loses earlier on Saturday. So the Als will only know the relevance of this final regular season when they step on the field of B.C. Place.
In any case, Montreal will be without two key players: LT Josh Bourke (shoulder) and WR Kerry Watkins (broken leg). The Als have plenty of resources to replace Watkins but it is not quite the case when it comes to replacing Bourke, their best offensive lineman. The Alouettes have won only once in their last 10 visits in Vancouver since 2001.
The Lions would secure first place in the West and will host the division’s final in two weeks with a win. Travis Lulay was outstanding last week with 322 passing yards and three touchdowns which made him Offensive Player of the Week. At the end of the game, with the Eskimos within two points, Lulay led an 80-yard surge to put the game away.
Pick: B.C.
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