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The Bum's NFL Week # 10 Best Bets 11/06-11/07 !

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  • #16
    Oakland Raiders Host Rematch With Denver Broncos

    Two months is a long time in the NFL, and we need look no further than Denver (2-5 straight up and against the spread) and Oakland (4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS) as confirmation.

    When the Broncos and Raiders faced off in their Monday night opener in the Mile High City, the quarterback matchup featured Kyle Orton and Jason Campbell. Oakland was also to rely heavily upon its ground game featuring RB Darren McFadden. Tim Tebow was unlikely to see action for Denver.

    Carson Palmer? He was semi-retired in Orange County, California after refusing to report to his employer, the Cincinnati Bengals, biding his time with his own workouts alongside one of his former wide receivers, T.J. Houshamndzadeh, most recently with Baltimore but looking for a new team.

    Fast forward eight weeks, and many of the components have changed for this Sunday’s rematch at the Coliseum. The Don Best odds screen notes shows that the majority of Las Vegas betting outlets have the Raiders listed as 8-point favorites, with a total at 43, for the 4:05 p.m. (ET) kickoff. CBS will provide the TV coverage.

    As for those changes from the first meeting? Neither Orton (benched) nor Campbell (broken collarbone) are in their respective lineups. McFadden’s status is questionable with a mid-foot sprain. And the quarterback matchup features none other than Tebow for Denver and...Carson Palmer for the Raiders.

    Indeed, the Palmer storyline might actually eclipse the hullabaloo that has surrounded Tebow since he was named the Bronco starting QB by coach John Fox two weeks ago. More on the ex-Florida Heisman winner in a moment.

    The developments in Oakland are a bit more intriguing because the Raiders, unlike Denver, have a playoff look about them. If, that is, Palmer can pick up the Raider offense better than he did in his debut game October 23 vs. the Chiefs, when he was mostly awful, completing 11-of-21 passes and one TD.

    The problem was that only eight of his completions were to Oakland receivers; the other three were recorded by Kansas City defenders. And his lone TD pass was actually scored by Chiefs DB Brandon Flowers. Coupled with Kyle Boller’s three interceptions, it was a nightmare six-interception day sans Campbell for the Oakland offense, blanked 28-0 by the Chiefs.

    The subsequent bye week might have benefited the Raiders, however, if Palmer was indeed able to get more comfy with coach Hue Jackson’s playbook. Reportedly, Palmer was working with only 15 plays for the game vs. Kansas City. As for old friend Houshmandzadeh, he was signed this week by Oakland, ostensibly to provide Palmer with a familiar target.

    The only problem for the Raiders is that we’re not talking about 2005 in Cincinnati, when the Palmer-Houshmandzadeh combination was riding high. Palmer has endured significant punishment and injuries since and was hardly lighting the league afire in his most recent action with the Bengals last season, tossing 20 interceptions for a 4-12 team.

    As for Houshmandzadeh, his star has faded from the Bengal days, too, to the point he was only marginally effective when last seen with the Ravens a year ago. His 30 catches with Baltimore in 2010 were his fewest since his rookie year in 2001 with Cincy, when he caught 21 passes.

    Still, the Raiders can be encouraged by recent games against the Broncos, ones Oakland has mostly dominated. The Raiders have won and covered the last four meetings and are 9-2 vs. the number their last 11 vs. Denver.

    Moreover, the Raiders have been manhandling the Broncos lately, especially a year ago when winning both meetings by a combined 98-37 scoreline. Over the last three clashes, including the 23-20 Monday night win during opening week, Oakland has averaged 256 yards on the ground vs. an overmatched Bronco defense. McFadden, in particular, has been dominant, rumbling for 150 yards in the September win, which is why his status is important for this week.

    As for the Broncos, the Tebow experiment continues. Results have been predictable the past two games since Tebow took over the controls from the ineffective Orton, as the ex-Gator has struggled. This was especially true last week vs. the Lions, when Tebow hit the deck more often than Floyd Patterson while suffering seven sacks. In the face of such pressure, Tebow completed only 18 of his 39 pass attempts, although he did escape from the pocket enough times to gain 63 yards on the ground.

    Tebow is now 2-3 as a Broncos starter, and was able to rally the team from double-digit deficits in both of those wins (last December vs. Houston and October 23 at Miami). But his limitations have been exposed in a structured NFL offense, and he continues to have problems reading blitzes. Tebow is still at his best when able to improvise, as he was in the final few minutes of the Dolphins game two weeks ago.

    Most sources believe Tebow probably has the month of November as an audition for Fox and team president John Elway, who inherited Tebow from the Josh McDaniels regime. Some insiders believe that if Tebow fails to progress in the next few weeks, Fox is likely to give Brady Quinn a look in December before the Broncos decide which direction they wish to take, which could also include one of what looks like a bountiful haul of QBs in the upcoming draft.

    Denver has other problems, however, including the status of RB Willis McGahee, who missed the Detroit game with a hand injury. The Broncos rank 26th in total offense and 21st in total defense, as Fox attempts to rebuild a roster that was torn asunder by the McDaniels regime.

    Of the 19 draft picks by young Josh in 2009 and 2010, only eight are currently on the Broncos active roster. And of McDaniels’ eight picks in the first two rounds those years, only three (Tebow, LG Zane Beadles and DE Robert Ayers) are in the current starting lineup.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

    Comment


    • #17
      Baltimore Ravens Battle Pittsburgh Steelers Sunday Night

      First place will be on the line in the AFC North on ESPN's Sunday Night Football when the Baltimore Ravens pay a visit to their hated rivals, the Pittsburgh Steelers. Kickoff from Heinz Field is set for primetime in Week 9 at 8:20 (ET).

      Though the Cincinnati Bengals are still right there with these teams at 5-2 through seven games, no one really believes that they are going to be able to survive the second half of the season when they have to take on both the Ravens and Steelers twice each.

      It's no doubt a crucial match for both the Steelers and Ravens, but especially so for Pittsburgh (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS). The Steelers might have the top record in the AFC right now at 6-2, but a loss in this one drops them to 0-2 in division with both losses coming against the Ravens (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS).

      Though Baltimore's lead would only be a half-game in the division, that half-game is in the loss column, plus the Steelers would have to overcome the tiebreaker to avoid having to go on the road in the playoffs, assuming that they get that far.

      The key to this game is going to be the protection for Ben Roethlisberger. The first time these two squads met in Week 1, Big Ben was sacked four times and pressured countless other times. He was intercepted three times and lost two fumbles, accounting for five of Pittsburgh's seven turnovers in the brutal 35-7 defeat.

      The Ravens have one of the top defenses in football, ranking No. 1 in the league at 263.3 YPG and No. 2 in scoring at 15.7 PPG. The defense has seven interceptions and 14 recovered fumbles, accounting for four touchdowns in the interim.

      There are six players with at least a pair of sacks as well, led by Terrell Suggs, who has bagged six QBs in seven games.

      Offensively, Anquan Boldin could be in for another big day. The former Florida State Seminole had seven catches last week for 145 yards in the comeback win over the Arizona Cardinals, giving him four games this year with at least 74 receiving yards. Boldin enters Sunday just 108 yards shy of the 9,000-yard plateau for his career.

      But of course, Pittsburgh's front seven is going to have to be all over Ray Rice as well to have any degree of success. Rice had 149 total yards and two touchdowns the first time that these two teams met, and he is averaging 123 total yards and a trip to the end zone in every game that he plays.

      The Steelers rank No. 2 in the league in total defense at 270.8 YPG and No. 3 in scoring at 17.4 PPG. The bad news for this unit though, is that it could be without Chris Hoke (neck) and James Farrior (calf), and it is doubtful that either LaMarr Woodley (hamstring) or James Harrison (eye) play.

      Also on the injury report are Hines Ward and Emmanuel Sanders, two of the top four receivers that Roethlisberger has to work with.

      Strangely enough with all of this defense that both sides have to work with, the series has been marked by high-scoring affairs. The 'over' is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings between the rivals here in the Steel City, and 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings overall.

      Pittsburgh is 5-2-1 ATS and 5-3 SU over the course of the last eight meetings in this series, including taking two out of three last year.

      Despite their injuries, the Steelers are getting the nod by three points by the oddsmakers. The total has dropped just a tad from 42½ at the start of the week to 41½ as of Wednesday afternoon.

      It is going to be cold Sunday night in Pittsburgh with temperatures expected in the low-40s, but there is no chance for rain.
      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

      Comment


      • #18
        Chicago Bears At Philadelphia Eagles Monday Night Football

        The Philadelphia Eagles looked as good as they did in their season opener in their first game following their bye week last Sunday night. The problem is, the last time the Eagles won a game so convincingly, they went on to lose their next four games. Philadelphia (3-4) will host its second straight prime-time game when the Chicago Bears (4-3) visit Lincoln Financial Field on Monday Night Football.

        The Eagles are coming off an impressive 34-7 rout of the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football, improving to 13-0 following a bye week under head coach Andy Reid. They moved up to No. 8 in the Don Best Linemakers Poll this week and will seek their third straight win overall against a Bears team that has won two in a row and is ranked No. 13.

        Game time is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. (ET) with television coverage provided by ESPN.

        Philly opened as a 7-point favorite according to the Don Best odds screen and has been bet up as high as -9 at some sportsbooks. The total started at 47 and has risen as high as 48 following early betting action.

        Chicago has won three of the last four meetings as underdogs against the Eagles, who were able to shut down Bears running back Matt Forte in the lone win during that stretch two years ago at Soldier Field. Forte rushed 14 times for just 34 yards in that game while Philadelphia quarterback Michael Vick was involved in just a few plays as the backup to former signal caller Donovan McNabb.

        The underdog is 7-2 against the spread in the last nine meetings, and the Eagles are just 3-7 ATS in their past 10 games overall.

        Forte remains disappointed with team management since he is still without a contract extension, and he rushed for 117 yards on 14 carries in last year’s 31-26 win over Philadelphia while QB Jay Cutler tied a career high with four touchdown passes.

        Vick was the one held in check in last year’s meeting – for three quarters anyway. Chicago led 31-13 heading into the fourth quarter and sacked Vick four times, although he still finished with 333 yards passing as he tried to rally the Eagles back.

        While Vick has been a dangerous weapon since he took over the starting job in Philly, he has not been nearly as effective. Last year, he threw his first interception of the game at Chicago in Week 12. Vick has already turned the ball over 11 times this season, including eight picks.

        The Bears will need to contain Eagles RB LeSean McCoy, who rushed for a career-high 185 yards on 30 carries and scored two touchdowns against the Cowboys last week. Chicago is also breaking in a pair of young safeties after letting veteran Chris Harris go during the bye. Rookie free safety Chris Conte will make his third start of the season and has played well in his first two.

        Another rookie who was expected to return for the Bears following their bye week may be available but will likely not start. Offensive tackle Gabe Carimi has been out since Week 2 due to a knee injury while wide receiver Earl Bennett (chest) will also be active for the first time since then. Bennett scored two touchdowns against the Eagles in last year’s win.

        Chicago head coach Lovie Smith is 4-3 after bye weeks but 4-1 over the past five seasons.

        The weather forecast for Philadelphia on Monday calls for a high temperature of 61 during the day, cooling down to 47 at night.
        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

        Comment


        • #19
          Inside the Numbers - Week 9

          November 2, 2011

          Sunday, Nov. 6 (1:00 p.m. ET)
          Matchup Inside the Numbers

          ATL: 7-4 ATS L11 away favorite
          ATL: 6-2 ATS L8 away vs AFC
          IND: 4-1 'over' L5 home vs NFC
          IND: 2-6 ATS L8 home

          TAM: 8-1 ATS L9 away underdog
          TAM: 6-1-1 ATS L8 off loss
          NOR: 0-6 ATS L6 home vs division
          NOR: 7-2 ATS L9 home off loss

          CLE: 1-4 ATS L5 away
          CLE: 1-7 ATS L8 underdog
          HOU: 2-6 ATS L8 off home win
          HOU: 1-6 ATS L7 home vs non-division

          NYJ: 4-1 'under' L5 off bye
          NYJ: 4-2 ATS L6 away vs division
          BUF: 5-3 ATS L8 home
          BUF: 9-5-1 ATS L15 overall

          MIA: 16-7 ATS L23 away underdog
          MIA: 1-6 ATS L7 vs non-division
          KC: 3-6 ATS L9 home favorite
          KC: 6-3 ATS L9 vs non-division

          SFO: 3-5 ATS L8 away favorite
          SFO: 8-4 'over' L12 overall
          WSH: 11-3 'under' L14 overall
          WSH: 6-2 ATS L8 off away loss

          SEA: 1-12-1 ATS L14 away 'dog vs non-division
          SEA: 3-5-1 ATS L9 off home loss
          DAL: 0-4 ATS L4 off division loss
          DAL: 1-6 ATS L7 home off loss

          Sunday, Nov. 6 (4:05 p.m. ET)
          Matchup Inside the Numbers

          DEN: 2-9 ATS L11 vs division
          DEN: 3-6 ATS L9 away underdog
          OAK: 7-1 ATS L8 vs division
          OAK: 0-5 ATS L5 off bye

          CIN: 6-2 ATS L8 away
          CIN: 7-1 ATS L8 vs AFC
          TEN: 4-2 ATS L6 home
          TEN: 1-7 ATS L8 off home win


          Sunday, Nov. 6 (4:15 p.m. ET)
          Matchup Inside the Numbers


          STL: 4-2 ATS L6 vs division
          STL: 0-5 ATS L5 away
          ARZ: 2-8 ATS L10 vs division
          ARZ: 1-6 ATS L7 off away loss

          NYG: 1-5-1 ATS L7 vs AFC
          NYG: 6-4 ATS L10 away
          NEP: 14-4 'over' L18 overall
          NEP: 2-4 ATS L6 off loss

          GNB: 11-3 ATS L14 overall
          GNB: 6-2 ATS L8 away
          SDG: 6-3-1 ATS L10 vs NFC
          SDG: 4-2 ATS L6 home off loss


          Sunday, Nov. 6 (8:25 p.m. ET)
          Matchup Inside the Numbers

          BAL: 3-5 ATS L8 vs division
          BAL: 8-3 ATS L11 off ATS loss
          PIT: 6-2 ATS L8 vs division
          PIT: 2-5-1 ATS L8 off home win


          Monday, Nov. 7 (8:35 p.m. ET)
          Matchup Inside the Numbers

          CHI: 4-8 ATS L12 away underdog
          CHI: 10-5 'over' L15 overall
          PHI: 1-5 ATS L6 off home win
          PHI: 2-6 ATS L8 home vs non-division
          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

          Comment


          • #20
            Tech Trends - Week 9

            November 1, 2011

            Sunday, Nov. 6 (1:00 p.m. ET)
            Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

            Colts no covers last 4 TY and only 2-6 vs. line in 2011. Indy "over" 6-2 TY. Falcons 10-4 vs. spread last 14 away (though only 1-3 TY) and "over" 6-3 last 9 away. "Over" and Falcons, based on "totals" and team trend.

            Bucs have won last two at NO as road dog. Visitor 4-1 SU and vs. line in series since 2009 although host Bucs won earlier meeting TY. Bucs 12-3 vs. line last 15 as true visitor. But Saints have covered last 3 and 6 of last 7 at Superdome and are 2-0 vs. line off SU loss TY. Slight to Saints, based on recent trends.

            Browns only 2-13 vs. spread last 14 on board. Texans "under" 6-2 TY, Cleveland "under" last 3 TY. Texans and "under," based on recent trends.

            Note that underdog team 6-1 vs. line in Bills games TY. Jets no covers first three TY and last four overall on road. Jets "over" 13-1 last 14 away. Bills "over" 6-1 last 7 since late 2010. "Over," based on "totals" trends.

            Sparano has also dropped 3 of last 5 vs. number away but still 19-8 last 27 vs. line on road. Sparano also "under" 6-1 TY. Chiefs have covered last 5 after Monday win over SD. Slight to Dolphins and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
            Harbaugh 6-0-1 vs. line TY. Skins, "under" 10-4 last 14 since mid 2010. 49ers, based on recent trends.

            Pete Carroll has covered last two on road after dropping 9 of first 11 vs. spread away. Dallas "over" 9-3 last 12 at home, Pete Carroll "over" 7-2 last 9 away. Dallas 2-7 as home chalk since LY. "Over" and Slight to Seahawks, based on "totals"" and team trends.


            Sunday, Nov. 6 (4:05 p.m. ET)
            Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

            Raiders have won and covered last four in series. Oakland also 9-2 vs. line last 11 in series. "Overs" 7-2 last nine meetings. Denver "over" 21-7 last 27 since late 2009. "Over" and Raiders, based on "totals" and team trends.

            Bengals have covered last four and six of last seven TY. Titans just 5-10 vs. spread last 15 as chalk. Bengals, based on team trends.


            Sunday, Nov. 6 (4:15 p.m. ET)
            Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

            Rams 1-6 vs. line TY, also 2-9 last 11 on board. Slight to Cards, based on recent Rams woes.

            First non-preseason meeting between these two since Super Bowl XLII. Belichick "under" last two TY but still "over" 20-6 last 26, Giants "over" 5-2 TY. Couglin 14-7 last 21 as road dog since late 2006. "Over" and Giants, based on "totals" and team trends.

            Pack 7-2 last 9 vs. line on road. Norv 10-6 as dog since 2007 and "under" 7-1 last 8 as host. Packers and Slight to "under," based on team and "totals" trends.


            Sunday, Nov. 6 (8:25 p.m. ET)
            Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

            No team has swept the pointspread decisions in this series since 2006, before Harbaugh or Tomlin had arrived in their current jobs. Ravens won and covered 35-7 in opener. "Overs" 8-4 last 12 in series. Harbaugh only 5-8 last 13 as dog. Ravens however are 4-1-1 vs. line last six reg.-season visits to Heinz Field. Slight to "over," based on "totals" trends.




            Monday, Nov. 7 (8:35 p.m. ET)
            Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

            Bears have won and covered the last two years in series and have won and covered last two as well TY. Bears "under" 7-1-2 last 10 away. Bears and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.
            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

            Comment


            • #21
              Trending: NFL rookie quarterbacks

              One of the developing story lines from the first part of the NFL season is the emergence of four starting rookie quarterbacks. Led by Cam Newton and Andy Dalton, these young signal callers have been quite successful ATS and there has been a surprisingly strong lean toward the Over in their games:
              Player ATS Over-Under
              Andy Dalton, CIN 6-1 6-1
              Cam Newton, CAR 5-3 5-3
              Christian Ponder, MIN 2-0 1-1
              Blaine Gabbert, JAC 2-3-1 1-5
              TOTAL 15-7-1 (68%) 13-10 (57%)

              If you discount the three head-to-head matchups between these rookies (Bengals-Jaguars Over, Jaguars-Panthers Under and Vikings-Panthers Under), the percentages increase to 75% ATS (12-4) and 65% Over (11-6).

              A year ago, we saw a similar ATS trend in the first half of the season, but the totals skewed toward the Under, which would be the conventional wisdom for games involving a starting rookie quarterback (through November 7, 2010):
              Player ATS Over-Under
              Sam Bradford, STL 6-2 2-6
              Colt McCoy, CLE 2-1 3-0
              Jimmy Clausen, CAR 1-1 0-2
              Max Hall, ARI 1-2 2-1
              TOTAL 10-6 (63%) 7-9 (44%)


              However, the second half of last season was not as kind to starting rookie quarterbacks, while there was a slight increase in their Over percentage:
              Player ATS Over-Under
              Tim Tebow, DEN 2-1 2-1
              Sam Bradford, STL 4-4 4-4
              John Skelton, ARI 2-2 3-1
              Joe Webb, MIN 1-1 0-2
              Jimmy Clausen, CAR 2-5 3-3
              Rusty Smith, TEN 0-1 0-1
              Colt McCoy, CLE 0-5 3-2
              TOTAL 11-19 (37%) 15-14 (52%)


              Whether it was the odds makers, the grind of a grueling 16-game season, or other factors that caught up with the starting rookie quarterbacks, the significant drop-off is worth noting as we track the progress of this year’s crop of starting rookie signal callers.
              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

              Comment


              • #22
                Where the action is: Mid-week football line moves

                For our weekly look at football lines on the move, we chatted up Todd Fuhrman, race and sportsbook analyst at Caesar's in Las Vegas. Here are some thoughts about why these odds are jumping around.

                NCAAF

                LSU at Alabama -5 ---> -4.5

                Right now most shops are sending out Alabama -4.5 and Fuhrman isn’t so sure the action is moving the right way.

                “Public, public, public,” Fuhrman says. “For whatever reason the betting public believes they're pulling a quick one on the books grabbing LSU with the points and I'm not sure I see it quite the same way.

                "Nick Saban off a bye playing at home with the best player on the field in Heisman hopeful Trent Richardson seems an awfully intriguing public fade in my opinion.”

                *Also, if you haven't already noticed, we're following this game's line moves all week with this story. Check back for the latest as the kickoff nears.

                Texas Tech at Texas -10.5 ---> -14

                Texas Tech is 3-3 against the spread in its last six and is just coming off an embarrassing outright loss at home to Iowa State as fat 15.5-point favorites. Can you blame early bettors for jumping on the Longhorns?

                "If anyone out there has figured out Texas Tech please let me know," Fuhrman says. "This team needed late heroics to squeak by Nevada early in the year yet somehow goes into Norman and smacks the Sooners. Last week's loss is still a head scratcher since we figured they'd be flat against Iowa State, but losing 41-7 at home had a major wow factor. Texas is Texas and while I'm still not buying the Horns as a consistent double-digit chalk in conference, the bettors are telling us otherwise."

                Vanderbilt at Florida -11 ---> -13.5

                Vanderbilt has dropped two of its last three, but has also managed to cover the number in three straight. Still, bettors don't seem convinced the Commodores can hang with a battle-tested Florida club.

                "The Gators have run through an SEC gauntlet lately, playing the conference's best teams in succession, Fuhrman says. John Brantley appears to be healthier than he's been and Vandy probably was overvalued by bookmakers on the opener based on their recent home results.

                "I'll be impressed if the Commodores answer the bell in the Swamp Saturday after the heartbreaking loss to Arkansas one week ago."


                NFL

                Seattle at Dallas -13 ---> -11.5

                This was supposed to be "the year" for the Cowboys, right? So far, they've been nothing but a headache for bettors, going just 2-4 against the number over their last six. The real issue here is Seattle is just as inconsistent at 3-3-1 against the number.

                "I'm not sure what I'd call the Cowboys effort Sunday night but it sure wasn't one that makes you believe they're legitimate NFC contenders," Fuhrman says about Dallas' 34-7 blowout loss at Philadelphia. "Seattle has shown nothing to the betting public over the last few weeks. However, in this instance the double-digit points seem attractive given Dallas' sluggish effort in Week 8."

                Miami at Kansas City -5 ---> -4

                For all you bettors that left the Chiefs for dead when Jamaal Charles went down, take notice. Kansas City has covered the number in five straight games and better than 71 percent of *********** Consensus bettors were siding with the Chiefs as of Wednesday evening.

                "Congrats to the K.C. Chiefs for making the AFC west a three horse race," Fuhrman says. "I'll be even more impressed if they go out and handle business against an NFL doormat in Miami following two huge wins over their division rivals. Situational handicappers will back Miami here and you see that in the move, while the betting public will be late arrivals on the K.C. bandwagon eager to lay points with a pedestrian offense."

                Denver at Oakland -7 ---> -8.5

                Well, Tebowmania sure was fun while it lasted. While the Denver quarterback has turned from Broncos savior to whipping boy, this week's line has followed suit.

                "Tebow factor in reverse is what we're seeing here," Fuhrman says. "The luster has apparently worn off Denver and bettors are eager to oppose the Broncos' offense with a Carson Palmer led Raider team that will most likely be without the services of Darren McFadden. If the Raiders are serious about winning their division, they should be eager to beat up on the Broncos but do they have the firepower to do so?"
                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                Comment


                • #23
                  One-Win Wonders: Arizona Hosts St. Louis Rams

                  Arizona has one eight of the last nine matchups with the St. Louis Rams.
                  There won’t be any playoff implications when the Arizona Cardinals host the St. Louis Rams this Sunday, but both teams will be playing for pride and looking for their second win of the season.

                  Sunday’s game starts at 4:15 p.m. (ET) and will be televised nationally on FOX. Arizona is currently around a 2-point favorite on the Don Best odds screen.

                  As would be expected of two teams with only one win each, both Arizona and St. Louis rank near the bottom of the league in this week’s Don Best Linemakers Poll. Arizona is No. 25 while St. Louis is two spots lower at No. 27.

                  St. Louis (1-6) stunned the football world last Sunday with a 31-21 win over the New Orleans Saints. The Rams' outright win as a 13 ½-point underdog at home was their first victory straight up and against the spread of the season, and reminded everyone that anything can happen on any given Sunday.

                  The catalyst for St. Louis’s upset win was the resurgence of Steven Jackson who rushed for 159 yards and two touchdowns on 25 carries. New Orleans couldn’t find an answer for stopping him.

                  Quarterback Sam Bradford is currently considered questionable for this Sunday’s action with the same high ankle sprain that has kept him out the last two weeks. His return would give the Rams’ passing attack a big boost.

                  Arizona (1-6) held a 24-3 lead in Baltimore Sunday but couldn’t hold on for the win, instead settling for a cover as an 11-point underdog. The Cardinals have now lost six straight games, and the ATS win was their first in five games.

                  Kevin Kolb has been disappointing at quarterback this season, but things aren’t likely to get much better with his replacement, John Skelton, projected to start Sunday. Kolb is currently considered doubtful with a foot injury.

                  The defense has also been a major concern for Arizona, who has given up 30 points or more in each of the last four weeks.

                  St. Louis’ 19-6 win over the Cardinals in Arizona last season marked the first time the Rams had beaten Arizona since 2006. The Cardinals are 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS in their last nine games against the Rams.

                  The Rams are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five games on the road, but Arizona is just 3-6 SU and ATS in the last nine games at home.

                  Interestingly, despite the offensive nature of these two teams over the years, totals betting has trended heavily towards the ‘under’ recently. Each of the last six games between Arizona and St. Louis has gone ‘under’ the total. The total for Sunday is currently set at 41 ½.
                  Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    San Francisco 49ers Head East To Washington Redskins

                    The San Francisco 49ers will try to keep their dominant season rolling this Sunday with a road win over the beat-up Washington Redskins.

                    San Francisco is currently a 3 ½-point favorite on the Don Best odds screen. Sunday’s game is set to kick off at 1:00 p.m. (ET) and will be televised nationally on FOX.

                    Despite being separated by quite a bit in the standings, San Francisco and Washington rank pretty close together in the Don Best Linemakers Poll. The 49ers are No. 16 in this week’s poll, while Washington comes in at No. 22.

                    San Francisco (6-1) is the only team in the NFL this season without a loss against the spread, boasting a 6-0-1 ATS record. The Niners have already picked up some tough road wins this season with victories over Cincinnati, Philadelphia and Detroit.

                    The 49ers' bread and butter is their running game, and Washington appears to be a pretty favorable matchup. Frank Gore has led San Francisco to the league’s 6th-best rushing attack with 137.6 yards per game, and shouldn’t have much trouble against Washington’s 21st-ranked rushing defense (120.4 yards against per game).

                    Washington (3-4) started the season off strong with a 3-1 record both SU and ATS, but has reeled off three straight losses (0-3 ATS as well) since coming off the bye week. Starting running back Tim Hightower and wide receiver Santana Moss were both injured in Washington’s loss at Carolina two weeks ago, and their presence was clearly missed in last Sunday’s 23-0 shutout loss at Buffalo.

                    The Redskins managed just 178 yards of total offense against the Bills, with John Beck throwing two interceptions and the team combining for only 26 rushing yards. Considering San Francisco’s defense is much stronger than Buffalo’s, Washington will have to figure out some fixes in a hurry.

                    Trap games are one of the trickiest things in sports betting to diagnose, but this game certainly seems to have the feel of one. Considering each team’s recent form – San Francisco is 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five, Washington is 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three – and how awful Washington looked last week, it’s a bit surprising that San Francisco is only a 3 ½-point favorite here. Perhaps the line is factoring in the tough travel?

                    The total for Sunday’s game is currently set at 37 ½. The ‘under’ has prevailed in three of San Francisco’s last five games on the road and five of Washington’s last six games at home.

                    A lot of sunshine is in the forecast for the DC area on Sunday, with afternoon highs reaching the upper-50s.
                    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      Dallas Cowboys Collide With Seattle Seahawks

                      It’s hard to believe that just one game separates the Dallas Cowboys and Seattle Seahawks, but that’s the case as they meet Sunday afternoon in Big D.

                      Oddsmakers certainly believe there’s a big difference in talent with Dallas listed as an 11½-12 point favorite at Don Best. The NFL betting total is 44 points and FOX will broadcast from Cowboys Stadium at 1:00 p.m. (ET).

                      The Cowboys (3-4 straight up, 3-3-1 against the spread) were considered ‘tough-luck losers’ earlier in the season with their three defeats to the Jets (27-24), Detroit (34-30) and New England (20-16) all by four points or less.

                      That tag was thrown out the window last Sunday night in Philadelphia, a 34-7 blowout as 3-point ‘dogs that was over at halftime. The most shocking statistic was the Dallas run defense allowing 239 yards after previously being top-ranked (69.7 YPG).

                      Owner Jerry Jones said that fans shouldn’t "dwell" on last week’s defeat and there’s still time for a run with the schedule considerably easier the next five weeks. The team also returns home where it last beat St. Louis 34-7 as 14-point favorites, its first home cover in three tries. It did help that Rams quarterback Sam Bradford was out and replaced by A.J. Feeley.

                      Dallas found a new weapon against St. Louis in rookie running back DeMarco Murray. He exploded for 253 yards and then had 74 yards on just eight carries against Philly. He should continue to be the featured back, especially with Felix Jones (ankle) questionable to miss his third straight game.

                      Murray will get his touches rushing the ball, but the big advantage this week is in the passing game. Dallas has very good weapons in wideouts Miles Austin, Dez Bryant and Laurent Robinson, plus tight end Jason Witten. The Seattle cornerbacks have been decimated this season with the current starters Richard Sherman and Brandon Browner.

                      Quarterback Tony Romo will have guys open and just needs to deliver the ball and not turn it over. His subpar 18-of-35 effort (51.4 percent) for 203 yards last week will be a big motivating factor.

                      The ‘under’ is 3-0 in Dallas’ last three games and 2-1 at home this year. The ‘over’ was a perfect 8-0 at home for the Boys last season.

                      Dallas is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games as a home favorite (1-2 ATS this year).

                      The Seahawks (2-5 SU, 3-3-1 ATS) are in an apparent rebuilding season as a young team, jettisoning veteran quarterback Matt Hasselbeck and others in the offseason as it looked towards the future.

                      The future has looked very iffy the last two weeks after losses at Cleveland (6-3) and home to Cincinnati (34-12). Charlie Whitehurst started both games at quarterback and proved he’s a backup for a reason. The 137 total yards of offense against Cleveland was an utter embarrassment.

                      Tarvaris Jackson (chest) came into last game in the second quarter and threw for 323 yards, even if it did take him 40 attempts. That Cincy game was actually a 17-12 margin in the fourth quarter before a field goal, plus a punt and interception return for a touchdown.

                      Jackson will be back as the starter this week and could give Dallas trouble with both his arm and legs. Seattle has two good receivers with Sidney Rice and rookie Doug Baldwin. They could have success on the outside with Dallas cornerback Mike Jenkins (hamstring) out. Key inside linebacker Sean Lee (wrist) is also out and his speed will be missed in the middle of the field.

                      Seattle has committed 60 penalties on the year, fourth-most in the league. That needs to be cleaned up by Pete Carroll, but it will be hard with the team youth and his often too relaxed coaching style.

                      The Seahawks are 1-3 SU and 1-2-1 ATS on the road this year. They did have a stunning 36-25 win at the Giants as 10-point ‘dogs on October 9. However, they scored just 6.7 PPG in the other three road games.

                      These teams last met in 2009 with the Cowboys winning 38-17 at home. They’re 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings overall (3-2 SU).

                      Showers are projected on Sunday with temps reaching the lows 70. Dallas would close the roof under that scenario.
                      Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        Houston Texans At Home To Meet Cleveland Browns

                        Competitors in the AFC will square off in NFL Week 9 betting action, as the Houston Texans play host to the Cleveland Browns. Reliant Stadium will be the site for this tussle, and kickoff is set for Sunday at 1:00 p.m. (ET) on CBS.

                        Cleveland (3-4 SU, 1-4-2 ATS) has had major problems moving the football this year, and it is the main reason why this team is in last place in the stacked AFC North. The Browns rank No. 26 in the league in total yards at 306.0 YPG and No. 28 in scoring at just 15.3 PPG.

                        Since beating the Indianapolis Colts 27-19 in Week 2, the squad hasn't scored more than 17 points in a game. To make matters worse, the offense only has one touchdown and three field goals over the course of the last three games.

                        The West Coast offense for Colt McCoy is leading to him throwing the football a ton. He is averaging 40.9 pass attempts per game, but is only completing 57.0 percent and is accounting for a dreadful 5.7 yards per pass attempt.

                        The running game should get a boost this week with the return of Peyton Hillis. The Madden cover boy has only played in four games this year due to various injuries, and has just 211 yards and two touchdowns.

                        In the event that Hillis' hamstring isn't fully ready to go, it'll mean a ton of carries for Chris Ogbonnaya in all likelihood. Ogbonnaya was just picked up off of the Texans' practice squad a few weeks ago, and he would be forced into starting duties against his former team on Sunday with the team's leading rusher, Montario Hardesty, out with a calf injury.

                        The Texans (5-3 SU, 4-3-1 ATS) look like they have started to figure it out again. After losing back-to-back games to the Oakland Raiders and Baltimore Ravens, Houston has knocked off the Tennessee Titans and Jacksonville Jaguars in double-digit victories, and the march to the playoffs appears to be back on.

                        This is another important game for head coach Gary Kubiak, who probably needs to get his team to the postseason to keep his job. The Texans are still atop the AFC South at this point, and there might only be one game for the rest of the season that the team isn't favored in.

                        As has been the case for the past month, Andre Johnson is still questionable with a hamstring injury. Despite Johnson only playing in four of the team's eight games, he is still second on the squad in receiving yards with 352.

                        Arian Foster and Ben Tate make up a tremendous backfield duo, and they are taking all of the pressure off Matt Schaub and the passing game. These two have combined for 1,040 rushing yards and another 357 receiving yards this year, totaling six touchdowns.

                        The Texans and Browns have played each other six times in the past, with the teams splitting the SU and ATS proceedings. Five straight games have stayed 'under' the total.

                        This week, there is no doubt who the favored team is, as the Texans are getting the nod by 11 points. This is up from the opening number of Houston by nine. The total has been stuck at 41 all week long.

                        Temperatures are expected to be in the mid-70s in Houston on Sunday, which means that the roof should be open at Reliant Stadium as it was last week. There is no threat of rain.
                        Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          Cincinnati Bengals Battle NFL Odds at Tennessee Titans

                          Two teams heading in opposite directions with different quarterback situations will meet on Sunday in Nashville as the struggling Tennessee Titans host the upstart Cincinnati Bengals. The Titans (4-3) managed to break a two-game skid against the winless Indianapolis Colts last week with a 27-10 victory and will now try to end a four-game winning streak for the Bengals (5-2).

                          Game time is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. (ET) with television coverage provided by CBS. Tennessee opened as a 3-point favorite with the total at 40. Bettors have moved the total up as high as 42 while most sportsbooks still have the Titans at -3.

                          Both Cincinnati and Tennessee selected quarterbacks in the NFL Draft this past April, but each team has taken a different approach with its rookie. The Bengals decided to start second-round pick Andy Dalton right away, and he has produced wins in five of seven games, with the two losses decided by a combined seven points.

                          Cincinnati moved up to No. 17 in this week’s Don Best Linemakers Poll.

                          If Carolina Panthers rookie QB Cam Newton was not playing like an All-Pro in his first year, Dalton would likely be considered for Rookie of the Year honors. The former TCU great started all four years in college and was 36-3 in his final three seasons for the Horned Frogs. Dalton has taken his winning attitude to Cincinnati, with the latest victory coming at Seattle last week, 34-12.

                          The Bengals defense remains the team’s strength though, ranking fourth in the league in both yards allowed per game (297.4) and points allowed per game (17.6). They held the Seahawks to just 61 rushing yards on 20 carries and have limited opponents to an average of just 85.4 yards per game on the ground, which is the second-best of any team in the NFL.

                          Ironically, the Titans running game has been their biggest weakness, as former 2,000-yard rusher Chris Johnson has been a shell of himself this year after sitting out training camp due to a contract dispute. Johnson has only 302 yards rushing in six games this year, and he is averaging just 2.8 yards per carry.

                          Tennessee’s offense has been run by veteran QB Matt Hasselbeck, who has been solid starting ahead of rookie first-round pick Jake Locker. Hasselbeck has played well in the team’s wins and bad in the losses while Locker has seen very limited action, completing one of his two pass attempts for 12 yards this season.

                          The Titans are ranked No. 21 in the poll and have won seven of the last 10 meetings with Cincinnati dating back to 1999. However, the Bengals have covered the spread in their past four games overall with the ‘over’ cashing each time, and they are 8-0 vs. the line in their last eight games against AFC opponents.

                          The ‘over’ is also 6-1 in Cincy’s games this season and 4-2 in the past six meetings.

                          The weather forecast for Nashville on Sunday is mostly cloudy with a high temperature of 65 and a 10 percent chance of rain.
                          Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            Las Vegas Hilton SuperContest Week 8 Update

                            Feral Child and Iced Tea are tied atop the SuperContest standings.
                            The two most lopsided games on the Las Vegas Hilton SuperContest picks card for the eighth stanza in the NFL regular season resulted in a win and a loss, bringing a little more upheaval to the standings for a second consecutive week.

                            Contestant Feral Child used a perfect 5-0 entry to push into a tie for the current lead with Iced Tea. The tandem has opened a 3-point lead in the SuperContest Standings, the leaders listed below.

                            Detroit's visit to Denver and the Sunday night game between NFC East rivals Dallas and Philadelphia proved to be the most popular games in the contest. More than 55 percent included the Cowboys, Eagles game on their card, with over 52 percent listing the Lions, Broncos battle in the Mile High City.

                            In each case, the contest wagers were one-sided; 229 of 273 entries went with Detroit (-1½) while 227 of 287 had Dallas (+3½). Those in the majority for both games ended up level following the Lions' 45-10 rout in Denver and the Eagles' 34-7 prime-time dominance of Dallas.

                            Another loss for the majority was the matchup in Seattle between the Seahawks and Bengals (-2½). Andy Dalton, along with Cincinnati's defense and special teams, shined in the 34-12 triumph. Contest entries were more than two-to-one (131-61) backing Seattle.

                            No doubt that the Rams (+13) beating the Saints was the top upset of Week 8, and Pittsburgh's 25-17 win at home as 3-point underdogs to the Patriots and near upsets for Miami and Arizona were also a water cooler topic this week. But the Don Best/Las Vegas Hilton 'Just Cover, Baby' Award in honor of Al Davis for Week 8 goes to...the San Francisco 49ers.

                            Favored by 8½ at home against the Cleveland Browns, the Niners continued an excellent start to the 2011 campaign with a 20-10 victory. David Akers' 26-yard field goal with less than two minutes left secured the spread payoff for 126 contestants compared to 76 on the Browns.

                            Here are the present leaders in the LV Hilton SuperContest:


                            STANDINGS PTS RECORD
                            Iced Tea 30.0
                            30-10-0

                            Feral Child 30.0
                            29-9-2

                            SamsWins.com2 27.0
                            26-12-2

                            Sans Souci 27.0
                            26-12-2

                            R2K2 26.5
                            25-12-3

                            Go Big Red 26.5
                            26-13-1

                            TexasEx91 26.5
                            26-13-1

                            Kokomo 26.5
                            26-13-1

                            GameAnalysts.com 26.0
                            25-13-2

                            Burl Ives 26.0
                            26-14-0

                            Eight with 25.5
                            Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              London Fade

                              November 3, 2011

                              In 2005, the NFL began its International Series which featured a regular season game outside of the United States. The first game watched Arizona beat San Francisco 31-14 from Mexico City, Mexico. Since that game, the venue has switched to London, England.
                              Starting in 2007, the NFL has now played five games at Wembley Stadium, including last month’s matchup between Chicago and Tampa Bay. The Bears defeated the Buccaneers 24-18 as 1 ½-point favorites, and the combined 42 points dipped ‘under’ the closing total of 44.

                              Including this year, total players have now seen the ‘under’ go 4-1 (80%) in the five games played at Wembley. Even though the sample is still considered small, it’s something to note for 2012 and future seasons. Sticking with that comment, we did the quick research on teams playing after the London game.

                              Again, you only have eight games to judge but it doesn’t take a genius to see that there is definitely a hangover affect.

                              Oct. 28, 2007 New York Giants 13 Miami 10

                              Following Game:
                              Giants 20 vs. Cowboys 31 (New York +2, OVER 48)
                              Dolphins 10 vs. Bills 13 (Miami +3, UNDER 41)

                              Betting Results: 0-2 SU, 0-1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U

                              Oct. 26, 2008 New Orleans 37 San Diego 32

                              Following Game:
                              Saints 20 at Falcons 34 (New Orleans +1, OVER 51)
                              Chargers 20 vs. Chiefs 19 (San Diego -14.5, UNDER 47)

                              Betting Results: 1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS, 1-1 O/U

                              Oct. 25, 2009 New England 35 Tampa Bay 7

                              Following Game:
                              Patriots 27 vs. Dolphins 17 (New England -10.5, UNDER 47)
                              Buccaneers 38 vs. Packers 28 (Tampa Bay +9.5, OVER 43)

                              Betting Results: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS, 1-1 O/U

                              Oct. 31, 2010 San Francisco 24 Denver 16

                              Following Game:
                              49ers 23 vs. Rams 20 (San Francisco -4.5, OVER 38.5)
                              Broncos 49 vs. Chiefs 29 (Denver +1, OVER 44)

                              Betting Results: 2-0 SU 1-1 ATS, 2-0 O/U

                              When you tally up the Betting Results, you can see that teams have gone 5-3 straight up in their following game back in the States. However, the record against the spread is just 2-5-1 (29%). The ‘over’ has gone 5-3 in these games. If you delve into the numbers further, you can see that only once (New Orleans – 2008) did these teams have to travel off the London bye.

                              This week, both the Buccaneers and Bears will be on the road when they visit New Orleans and Philadelphia respectively.

                              Chicago is 1-2 both SU and ATS away from home this season, but the lone win was technically on the road – London. Tampa Bay is 1-1 on the road, rallying past Minnesota (24-20) in Week 2 and then getting blasted by San Francisco (48-3) in Week 5. Also, make a note that the Saints will be looking to avenge a 26-20 road loss to the Bucs on Oct. 16.

                              Coincidentally, the Saints and Eagles are both laying comparable numbers (8 to 9) this week.
                              Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Tip Sheet - Week 9

                                November 3, 2011

                                Following a week in which only one game involved both teams above .500, the Week 9 card showcases six games with clubs owning better than .500 marks. We'll take a look at the five games during the day, leading up to the Steelers/Ravens showdown on Sunday night. The AFC East can have a three-way tie by days' end if the Jets win and Patriots lose, but New York will be tested when it heads to Buffalo for an important division battle.

                                Jets at Bills (-1 ½, 44) - 1:00 PM EST

                                Buffalo is not letting up after a quick start as the Bills go for their sixth win of the season on Sunday. Chan Gailey's squad took care of the Redskins in Toronto last week, 23-0 as four-point favorites, bouncing back from a three-point loss to the Giants prior to the bye week. Now, Buffalo gets a shot at the other New York team, as the Jets own a surprising 0-3 SU/ATS mark on the highway.

                                The Jets' defense has been exploited in road losses at Oakland, Baltimore, and New England by allowing 32.7 ppg in those three games. Buffalo's offense has shined at home with three efforts of at least 30 points, while the 23 points put up against Washington was played on a neutral field. Both these teams are great 'over' plays this season with a combined 11-3 mark, as each meeting last season sailed 'over' the total. The Bills are playing with revenge this week after getting swept by the Jets in 2010, including a humiliating 38-14 home defeat as 6 ½-point underdogs.

                                Buccaneers at Saints (-8 ½, 50) - 1:00 PM EST

                                These two teams met up three weeks ago in Tampa, as the Bucs held off the Saints, 26-20 as six-point home 'dogs. New Orleans' roller-coaster ride since that loss has seen its thrills and spills, including a 62-7 pounding of the hapless Colts in front of a nationally-televised audience. A week later, the Saints couldn't get out of their own way in an ugly 31-21 setback at previously winless St. Louis, as New Orleans closed as a 13 ½-point road favorite.

                                The Bucs have been up and down all season, including a 48-3 blowout loss at San Francisco, while owning a 2-0 record inside the NFC South. Tampa Bay returns to the field after falling to Chicago in London, 24-18, two weeks ago to drop to 4-3. The Saints enter this contest with an amazing 0-6 ATS mark the last six games as a home favorite against division foes, including two non-covers against the Bucs in this span. In spite of Tampa Bay's defeat at San Francisco, the Bucs still own a solid 8-1 ATS record the last nine contests as a road underdog.

                                Bengals at Titans (-3, 41 ½) - 4:05 PM EST

                                Cincinnati continues to take care of business, coming off a wire-to-wire victory at struggling Seattle as short road favorites. The Bengals look for their sixth victory on the season as Marvin Lewis' team heads to Tennessee. The Titans bounced back from an embarrassing home loss to Houston with a rout of the winless Colts last week. Tennessee is still within striking distance inside the watered-down AFC South, but three of its four wins have come against also-rans (Denver, Cleveland, and Indianapolis).

                                The Bengals weren't great pointspread plays the last few seasons with Carson Palmer at quarterback, but rookie Andy Dalton has led Cincinnati to an impressive 6-1 ATS mark. All four teams in the AFC North rank in the top-five in the league in total defense, as the Bengals sit in fourth allowing 297 yards a game. However, that great defense isn't resulting in many 'under' plays, as the 'over' is 6-1 in Cincinnati's seven games this season. These two old AFC Central rivals are meeting for the first time since 2008, when the Titans cruised past the Bengals, 24-7 as one -point road 'dogs.

                                Giants at Patriots (-9, 51) - 4:15 PM EST

                                A rematch of one of the greatest finishes in Super Bowl history takes place in Foxboro on Sunday afternoon as New England attempts to rebound against New York. The Patriots lost for the second time this season after getting tripped up at Pittsburgh, 25-17 as short road 'chalk.' The Giants head to Gillette Stadium following a close-shave victory over the winless Dolphins last Sunday, but failed to cover as double-digit favorites.

                                Tom Coughlin's club is starting a brutal stretch that includes games against the 49ers, Eagles, Saints, Packers, and Cowboys over the next two months. The Giants will have to work on improving their ATS mark against AFC opponents as Big Blue is 1-5-1 ATS the previous seven interconference games. Meanwhile, the Patriots are just 2-4 ATS the last six contests following a loss, including a win at Oakland in Week 4 after getting tripped up at Buffalo.

                                Packers (-5 ½, 51) at Chargers - 4:15 PM EST

                                The last unbeaten team in the NFL travels out west seeking an 8-0 start as Green Bay heads to San Diego. The Packers are fresh off the bye week as Mike McCarthy's squad has won 14 straight games dating back to last December. The Chargers come into this matchup off the disappointing overtime setback at Kansas City as three-point road favorites, while Philip Rivers tries to put his late fumble in regulation in the rear-view mirror.

                                San Diego starts Week 9 in a three-way tie for first place in the AFC West with Kansas City and Oakland, while looking to bounce back from a pair of squandered leads in road losses to the Chiefs and Jets. The Bolts have beaten one team (Chiefs last season) that owned a .500 record or better at the time they played since last December, a span of 12 games. Green Bay owns a strong 6-2 ATS record in the previous eight games away from Lambeau Field, while the two ATS losses came as heavy favorites at Carolina and Minnesota this season.
                                Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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