Announcement

**Udog** · 10-29-2011, 11:34 PM

Sunday’s betting tips: Another shootout in Pittsburgh?

Who’s hot

NFL: The Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last five overall and 5-0 ATS in their last five home games.

NFL: The over is 6-0 in the Colts’ last six overall and 4-1 in the Titans’ last five overall.

NFL: The 49ers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven overall and 4-0-1 ATS in their last five home games.

NHL: The Kings are 5-1 in their last six overall and 5-1 in their last six road games.

CFL: Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last five against teams with winning SU records.

Who’s not

NFL: The Dolphins are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 overall and 0-3-1 ATS in their last four road games.

NFL: The over is 1-6 in the Jaguars’ last seven overall and 1-5 in the Texans’ last six against the AFC.

NFL: The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last five overall and 0-5 ATS in their last five home games.

NHL: The Blue Jackets are 3-13 in their last 16 home games dating back to last season.

CFL: Montreal is 0-4 ATS in its last four overall.

Key stat

150.9 – Number of rushing yards allowed per game by the Indianapolis Colts, second worst in the NFL ahead of only St. Louis and well behind any other team. Something will have to give when Titans’ running back Chris Johnson faces this porous run defense. Johnson has a mere 268 yards on 93 carriers (2.9 average) this season and he has rushed for more than 53 yards just once in six games.

Injuries that shouldn’t be overlooked

New England Patriots’ running back BenJarvus Green-Ellis is listed as questionable for Sunday’s showdown at Pittsburgh due to a toe injury. He was limited in practice all week but is not expected to miss the game.

A bigger area of concern could be New England’s secondary, where Ras-I Dowling has been placed on injured reserve. The Pats released Leigh Bodden on Friday, meaning they only have two defensive backs (Devin McCourty and Kyle Arrington) on the roster with significant starting experience. They are dead last in the league in passing defense, giving up 322.2 yards per game.

Biggest games on the slate

New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers (2.5, 52.5)

Notable quotable

“I don't think we've diminished our start by any means. I think the way we approach the season is in four quarters. In the first quarter, we obviously came out 4-0. The second quarter, we're obviously 1-2 and we want to be able to get to .500 with that.” – Detroit Lions’ defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh in the wake of his team’s current two-game losing streak at the hands of San Francisco and Atlanta. Detroit visits Tim Tebow and Denver on Sunday.

Tips and notes

Steelers’ receiver Hines Ward is questionable with an ankle injury for Sunday’s game against New England. He is not expected to play. Still, Pittsburgh may be able to do its part in another PIT-NE clash going over the total. Seven of the last eight meetings between the two teams have gone over and the over is 5-0 in the last five in Pittsburgh. The Patriots have scored at least 30 points in five of six outings this season.

There’s a lot going on in Miami right now, and not just because Tony Sparano is on the hot seat as the Dolphins are in hot pursuit of Andrew Luck. They ruled out both running back Daniel Thomas and cornerback Vontae Davis from Sunday’s game against the Giants. Wideout Brandon Marshall doesn’t seem to concerned. He offered a borderline guarantee on Twitter, saying, “"To: Media When we win Sunday please don't say the Giants didn't take us serious."

The Ottawa Senators are the only team in the NHL that has allowed more than 40 goals this season, and they have let in a whopping 43. Sure, they have played 11 games (more than most squads), but they still own a league-worst 3.91 GAA. As a result, a recent over trend could continue when Ottawa hosts Toronto. The over is 7-1-1 in the Sens’ last nine home games and 5-0 in the Maple Leafs’ last five overall.

**Udog** · 10-29-2011, 11:38 PM

CFL
Dunkel

Week 18

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 30

Game 297-298: Calgary at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 113.071; Montreal 116.536
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 3 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Montreal by 4 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+4 1/2); Over

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 18

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Sunday, October 30

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CALGARY (9 - 7) at MONTREAL (10 - 6) - 10/30/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-2 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-2 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 18

Calgary (9-7) @ Montreal (10-6)-- Alouettes (+1) lost 38-31 at Calgary in Week 8; they've won four of last five games but failed to cover four in a row- they're 2-5 in last seven as a favorite. Stampeders lost last three on road, by 19-2-2 points, after winning first five road games this year. Weird that Calgary is 9-7 but has only been an underdog twice this year, and both of those games were decided by two points. Five of last seven Montreal games stayed under total.

CFL

Week 18

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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
CALGARY vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Calgary is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
Montreal is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Calgary

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CFL

Week 18

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Canadian Bacon: Week 18 CFL odds and picks
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Calgary Stampeders at Montreal Alouettes (-4.5, 56)

The Alouettes’ unity is being questioned. Running back Brandon Whittaker leads the CFL but feels he could get more touches. Wideout Kerry Watkins has been dropping too many balls and is still complaining the offense is too focused on slotbacks Jamal Richardson and S.J. Green.

The Alouettes spoiled a golden opportunity to secure first place in the east by collapsing in the fourth quarter against Winnipeg last week and now coach Marc Trestman is being scrutinized by some of his players.

The Stampeders, who stand third in the West, must win to keep hopes of hosting a playoff game in November. Drew Tate, who has been taking over a struggling Henry Burris at pivot, should be able to exploit the weaknesses of the Alouettes secondary especially with the return of Ken-Yon Rambo (Achilles).

Pick: Calgary

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**Udog** · 10-29-2011, 11:43 PM

NHL

Sunday, October 30

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Ice picks: Sunday’s best NHL bets
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Anaheim Ducks at Columbus Blue Jackets (115, 5)

The Blue Jackets are not just the worst team in the NHL. They are looking like by far the worst team in the NHL.

Columbus owns a mere three points through 10 games, at least twice as few as every other team in the league. The team is 1-8-1 heading into Saturday night’s game at Chicago. Although the Jackets managed to beat Detroit on Tuesday, they followed that up with a 4-1 loss at Buffalo on Thursday.

Look no further than an obvious culprit—the power play—to discover what’s ailing Columbus. It is dead last in the NHL in penalty killing (a horrific 64.7 percent) and second to last in power-play conversions (9.8 percent).

Anaheim (1-3 in its last four prior to Saturday night) has not exactly been setting the world on fire. Still, the Ducks have at least been competitive. Two of their last three losses came by one goal (including one in a shootout) and the other came by two.

Pick: Ducks

Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche (-103, 5)

Los Angeles is off to a fine start this season. Heading into a Saturday night game at Phoenix, the Kings are 6-2-1 and sit one point back of Dallas (having played one fewer game than the Stars) in the Pacific Division.

Their road record is almost perfect, having won three games in addition to a shootout loss at New Jersey. L.A. takes a three-game road winning streak during a stretch of five victories in six games into Sunday’s contest at Colorado.

The Avalanche had the benefit of an off day at home on Saturday, but they do not have much else going for them. Colorado is coming off a 3-1 home loss to Edmonton on Friday and it has now dropped two in a row and three of four.

Goals could be hard to come by in this one, especially for the Avalanche. The under is 6-1 in L.A.’s last seven overall and 6-1 in Colorado’s last seven home games.

Kings’ goalie Jonathan Quick posted three consecutive shutouts between October 18 and October 22. He boasts a 6-0-1 record to go along with a 1.12 GAA and .962 save percentage

Pick: Kings

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**Udog** · 10-29-2011, 11:43 PM

NOTE:
For the initial posting of trends and indexes, we have provided information available up to the time of posting.
Additional updates for today’s games will be posted ASAP.

**Udog** · 10-30-2011, 07:40 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks and six least popular picks in Hilton handicapping contest, which has 517 contestants, all of whom who pick five NFL games a week against the spread. They put up $1,500 each, so these are serious handicappers........

6) San Francisco 126
5) Kansas City 133
4) Seattle 131
3) New England 150
2) Dallas 227
1) Detroit 229 27) St Louis 57

28) Indianapolis 52
29) Jacksonville 51
30) Denver 42
31) Tennessee 38
32) Arizona 36

********************

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday......

13) Wisconsin had their hearts torn out a second straight Saturday, as Ohio State scored on a 40-yard pass with 0:20 left to stun the Badgers 33-29. It is one thing to run the score up on weakling Indiana, but when Wisconsin had tough games to win this month, they folded like a cheap suit.

12) 30-40 years from now, players/coaches from this year's Vanderbilt club will shake their heads over how they lost to Arkansas Saturday. This is the kind of game downtrodden programs screw up, retarding program's progess. Vandy led 28-20 and had the ball inside the Arkansas 10 when a Commodore fumble was run back 94 yards for a Razorback TD. Then the Vandy kicker missed a 27-yard FG with 0:08 to seal a brutal 31-28 defeat.

11) Every game Georgia wins helps Boise State's case with the BCS, so Broncos had to be happy Dawgs survived their horrendous special teams play to edge Florida 24-20. Georgia has now won six games in a row.

10) Underdogs continue to dominate the Clemson-Georgia Tech series, as the Tigers lost yet again in Atlanta, their first loss of the season.

9) Akron scored on the last play of the game to cut Central Michigan's lead to 23-22, then went for two to win the game but lost instead. Its a gutless move by the coach to go for the win right there, unless they have an awful kicker. Just play overtime and give your kids the best chance to win.

8) Texas A&M lost another game they led by 10+ points at the half- they lsot 38-31 in OT to a Missouri team they led by 11 points at the half.

7) Illinois has now covered 12 of its last 14 games as a road underdog, but a shaky pass interference call on a 4th down play with 1:31 left gave Penn State a 10-7 win at snowy Happy Valley.

6) Rutgers led erratic West Virginia 31-21 at the half, then didn't score in the second half and lost 41-31, much to the delight of the lous table behind me in the SouthPoint sportsbook. Mountaineers play lousy defense.

5) So does Baylor; Bears gave up 327 rushing yards on just 27 carries in a dreadful 59-24 drubbing at Oklahoma State. Game was 35-nil at the half.

4) Tennessee has now failed to cover their last eight games as a home dog.

3) Texas Tech beat Oklahoma in Norman last week, then came home and laid an egg Saturday, losing 41-7 at home to Iowa State. Handling success obviously isn't one of their strong suits.

2) Iowa Hawkeyes are now 0-3 on the road after a hideous 22-21 loss to a lousy Minnesota team. Sad to say but Iowa will be in a bowl game.

1) Stanford-USC was a tremendous game that kept the crowd in the sports book here on the edge of their seats. Think the game was so intense that it will take a lot of both sides for the immediate future.

**Udog** · 10-30-2011, 07:42 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Toronto at Ottawa
The Maple Leafs look to take advantage of an Ottawa team that is coming off a 5-4 win over the Rangers and is 2-7 in its last 9 games after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Toronto is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Maple Leafs favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 30

Game 1-2: Anaheim at Columbus (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 10.646; Columbus 11.579
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+115); Under

Game 3-4: Toronto at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.630; Ottawa 11.249
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+100); Over

Game 5-6: Los Angeles at Colorado (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.791; Colorado 11.354
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-130); Over

Game 7-8: St. Louis at Edmonton (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.654; Edmonton 12.173
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-115); Under

**Udog** · 10-30-2011, 07:45 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, October 30

Hot teams
-- Senators won last five games, the last four by one goal each. Toronto won seven of its first ten games.
-- Los Angeles won five of its last seven games.
-- Edmonton won its last four games, outscoring foes 10-4. Blues won three of their last four games.

Cold teams
-- Ducks lost four of their last five games. Columbus is 1-10 this season.
-- Colorado is 0-3 at home, outscored 9-2.

Totals
-- Under is 5-0-1 in Anaheim's road games.
-- Over is 8-3 in Ottawa games this season.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Los Angeles games.
-- Last seven Edmonton games stayed under the total.

Series records
-- Ducks won five of last seven visits to Columbus.
-- Senators lost seven of last ten games against Toronto.
-- Kings won their last five games against Colorado.
-- Blues won six of last seven games against Edmonton.

**Udog** · 10-30-2011, 07:51 AM

NHL

Sunday, October 30

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Trend Report
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6:30 PM
ANAHEIM vs. COLUMBUS
Anaheim is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games at home
Columbus is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. OTTAWA
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. COLORADO
Los Angeles is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 7 games on the road
Colorado is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Colorado's last 23 games at home

8:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis

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**Udog** · 10-30-2011, 09:11 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 30

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ANAHEIM (5-4-0-1, 11 pts.) at COLUMBUS (1-9-0-1, 3 pts.) - 10/30/2011, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 53-44 ATS (+97.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 39-30 ATS (+75.1 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 1-9 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games this season.
COLUMBUS is 1-9 ATS (+10.3 Units) first half of the season this season.
COLUMBUS is 15-34 ATS (+61.5 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 5-3 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 5-3-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.0 Units, Under=-1.0 Units)

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TORONTO (7-2-0-1, 15 pts.) at OTTAWA (6-5-0-0, 12 pts.) - 10/30/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 285-288 ATS (+605.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
OTTAWA is 2-10 ATS (-8.3 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 60-64 ATS (-58.6 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
OTTAWA is 129-106 ATS (-45.9 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 8-5 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 8-5-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.1 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (6-2-0-2, 14 pts.) at COLORADO (6-4-0-0, 12 pts.) - 10/30/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 49-41 ATS (-1.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 16-9 ATS (+27.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 64-67 ATS (+156.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
COLORADO is 107-105 ATS (-48.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.
COLORADO is 3-11 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 7-1 (+6.1 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 7-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

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ST LOUIS (5-5-0-0, 10 pts.) at EDMONTON (6-2-0-2, 14 pts.) - 10/30/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 6-21 ATS (+38.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 6-2 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 6-2-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.3 Units)

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**Kaptain** · 10-30-2011, 10:10 AM

thanks for all your efforts and what you do in here U Dog.....much appreciated

**Udog** · 10-30-2011, 10:27 AM

Originally posted by Kaptain View Post

thanks for all your efforts and what you do in here U Dog.....much appreciated

Good morning, Kapt.!! I appreciate the kind words! Good luck today!

**Udog** · 10-30-2011, 11:08 AM

NHL
Short Sheet

Sunday, October 30

ANAHEIM at COLUMBUS, 6:30 PM ET
ANAHEIM: 14-6 Over off BB Unders
COLUMBUS: 5-24 SU off road loss

TORONTO at OTTAWA, 7:30 PM ET
TORONTO: 10-4 SU Away off 1 goal win
OTTAWA: 4-18 SU off road game where both teams scored 3+ goals

LOS ANGELES at COLORADO, 8:00 PM ET
LOS ANGELES: 14-5 SU off OT loss
COLORADO: 1-7 SU vs. Los Angeles

ST LOUIS at EDMONTON, 8:00 PM ET
ST LOUIS: 0-10 SU Away off BB Away games
EDMONTON: 71-49 SU off BB games where 4 or fewer goals were scored

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 10-31-2011, 09:24 AM

Wrong day in the wrong thread

Announcement

Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 10/30 (NHL, CFL, Misc.)

Sunday's Trends and Indexes - 10/30 (NHL, CFL, Misc.)

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