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  • Friday's Trends and Indexes - 10/28 (NHL, CFL, Misc.)

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, October 28

    Good Luck on day #301 of 2011!

    At this time, the sports menu in this thread consists of NHL and CFL until their seasons are played out. Also, general sports news and notes will be posted.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Matchup Links

    NHL Matchups

    NHL Injuries

    NHL Hot and Not

    CFL Matchups

    CFL Stats Center

    CFL Hot or Not

    CFL Trends

    CFL News and Weather

    NASCAR Schedules

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Friday’s betting tips: Big action coming in on TCU

    Who’s hot

    NCAAF: BYU is 9-4 against the spread in its last 13 overall.

    NHL: San Jose is 12-5 in its last 17 meetings with Detroit.

    NHL: The over is 7-3 in St. Louis’ last 10 road games.

    CFL: Toronto is 4-2 against the spread in its last six games against Winnipeg.

    Who’s not

    NCAAF: TCU is 0-5 against the number in its last five non-conference games.

    NHL: Colorado is 6-22 in its last 28 home games.

    NHL: Chicago is 2-8-1 in its last 12 games against Carolina.

    CFL: The over is 0-3 in Winnipeg’s last three overall.

    Key stat

    56- About 56 percent of the NHL’s games heading into Thursday’s action have played under their posted totals. A little more than 57 percent of the games over the last week have played under.

    Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

    Andre Johnson, Houston Texans - Johnson will be a game-time decision for this weekend's game against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Head coach Gary Kubiak confirmed Jackson's status following Thursday's practice session. The All-Pro wideout hasn't played since suffering a strained hamstring in a Week 4 game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Texans have been cautious with the 30-year-old, and ran him through a normal practice Thursday with no complications. Johnson has 25 catches for 352 yards and a pair of touchdowns this season. Houston is currently a 9.5-point favorite at home to Jacksonville Sunday.

    Game of the day

    Brigham Young at Texas Christian (-13.5, 56)

    Notable quotable

    "I see the game going, and the rotation going, as it has been going. I like the direction of our team offensively. Again, if the team were to struggle, and if we weren’t able to move the ball and score points, Jake would come in and perform. But I like the chance for the quarterbacks to get into rhythm and to play, and until proven otherwise, we will go down the same road we have been traveling, with Riley." – BYU coach Rocco Mendenhall on junior Riley Nelson starting again Friday and likely playing the entire game. The team hasn’t had a three-and-out since Nelson took over Jake Heaps more than three games ago.

    Notes and tips

    Texas Christian has been a strong bet at home for a long time, going 26-12 in its last 36 home games and bettors are lining up to bet the Horned Frogs Friday when they host BYU. As of Thursday night, almost 64 percent of *********** Consensus bettors were backing TCU as 13-point favorites. BYU is 4-4 against the spread this season.

    Formula One drivers' champion Sebastien Vettel has hinted at the possibility of letting Red Bull teammate Mark Webber overtake him at the season-ending Indian Grand Prix. A Webber victory would give Red Bull the top two spots in the standings, which would be a fitting end to a season in which the team ran away with the constructors' title. Vettel, who has won 10 of 16 races this season, said "scenarios" could be in play that would allow him to concede the lead to Webber. Vettel has previously said he didn't like the idea of helping out his teammate in that regard, but with history on the line has apparently capitulated.

    South Carolina freshman running back Brandon Wilds will start Saturday's game against Tennessee. Wilds gets the start after stud running back Marcus Lattimore was sidelined for the remainder of the season with a ligament and cartilage damage in his left knee. Lattimore suffered the injury while blocking during the fourth quarter of a 14-12 victory over Mississippi State on Oct. 15. Wilds had five carries in his last two games and 13 for the season.

    Detroit Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford worked with the first-team offense during Thursday's practice session and is on track to start Sunday's game against the Denver Broncos. Stafford has been hobbled by an ankle injury but reportedly looked good in limited action Thursday. The 23-year-old rolled his ankle late in the Lions' 23-16 loss to the Atlanta Falcons. He appeared to move well in Wednesday's practice and should be able to suit up Sunday. Stafford has completed 60.2 percent of his passes this season, throwing for 1,912 yards with 16 touchdowns and four interceptions.

    Comment


    • #3
      CFL
      Dunkel


      Week 18


      Hamilton at Saskatchewan
      The Roughriders look to take advantage of a Hamilton team that is 1-9-1 ATS in its last 11 games in Saskatchewan. Saskatchewan is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Tiger-Cats favored by only 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+6). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

      FRIDAY, OCTOBER 28

      Game 291-292: Toronto at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)

      Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 107.117; Winnipeg 113.933
      Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 7; 52
      Vegas Line: Winnipeg by 8; 48 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+8); Over


      SATURDAY, OCTOBER 29

      Game 293-294: Hamilton at Saskatchewan (3:00 p.m. EST)

      Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 111.950; Saskatchewan 107.267
      Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 4 1/2; 48
      Vegas Line: Hamilton by 6; 50 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+6); Under

      Game 295-296: Edmonton at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)
      Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 112.615; BC 123.075
      Dunkel Line: BC by 10 1/2; 46
      Vegas Line: BC by 4 1/2; 49 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: BC (-4 1/2); Under


      SUNDAY, OCTOBER 30

      Game 297-298: Calgary at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)

      Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 113.071; Montreal 116.536
      Dunkel Line: Montreal by 3 1/2; 58
      Vegas Line: Montreal by 4 1/2; 56
      Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+4 1/2); Over




      CFL
      Long Sheet


      Week 18


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      Friday, October 28

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      TORONTO (4 - 12) at WINNIPEG (10 - 6) - 10/28/2011, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      TORONTO is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
      WINNIPEG is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
      WINNIPEG is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      TORONTO is 5-4 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
      TORONTO is 5-4 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Saturday, October 29

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      HAMILTON (8 - 8) at SASKATCHEWAN (4 - 12) - 10/29/2011, 3:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 88-61 ATS (+20.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
      HAMILTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games this season.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off a division game this season.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in games played on turf this season.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
      SASKATCHEWAN is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) off a loss against a division rival this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
      SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
      3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      EDMONTON (10 - 6) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (9 - 7) - 10/29/2011, 10:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      EDMONTON is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 68-94 ATS (-35.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-4 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-4 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
      6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Sunday, October 30

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      CALGARY (9 - 7) at MONTREAL (10 - 6) - 10/30/2011, 1:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      MONTREAL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
      MONTREAL is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      MONTREAL is 3-2 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
      MONTREAL is 3-2 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      CFL
      Armadillo's Write-Up


      Week 18


      Toronto (4-12) @ Winnipeg (10-6)-- Big win for Winnipeg last week vs Montreal. edging Alouettes, tying them for top spot in East- they're 2-2 as home favorite; this is first time they've been favored in last five tilts. Toronto is 4-4 as road dogs, with last three road losses all by 10+ pts. Bombers won two of three games against Toronto this season, winning 22-16 (-2) here in Week 2, 33-24 (+3) two weeks later in Toronto, then losing 25-24 (-3.5) five weeks ago.

      Hamilton (9-7) @ Saskatchewan (4-12)-- Roughriders are in tank, losing last five games (0-5 vs spread) by average score of 31-8; they got waxed 33-3 (+2) at Hamilton way back in Week 3. Riders are 2-6 at home this year, losing last two home games 42-5/29-18. Hamilton lost four of last five road games- they're 2-3 as a favorite this season, 1-0 as a road fave. Under is 12-2 in Roughriders' last 14 games, 4-0 in Hamilton's last four. Saskatchewan is 3-10 vs spread as an underdog.

      Edmonton (10-6) @ BC Lions (9-7)-- Lions won two of three this year vs Eskimos, losing 33-17 (+2.5) on road in Week 3, then winning 36-1 in Week 8, game that started Lions on their hot streak. Eskimos lost 33-24 (+5.5) four weeks ago in previous visit here. BC had 8-game win streak snapped last week; they're 3-4 as home favorite, but did win last three at home, by 22-9-2 points. Under is 9-3 in Lions' last 12 games. Edmonton won three of last four road games; they're 4-2 as a road underdog.

      Calgary (9-7) @ Montreal (10-6)-- Alouettes (+1) lost 38-31 at Calgary in Week 8; they've won four of last five games but failed to cover four in a row- they're 2-5 in last seven as a favorite. Stampeders lost last three on road, by 19-2-2 points, after winning first five road games this year. Weird that Calgary is 9-7 but has only been an underdog twice this year, and both of those games were decided by two points. Five of last seven Montreal games stayed under total.




      CFL

      Week 18


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
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      Friday, October 28

      8:00 PM
      TORONTO vs. WINNIPEG
      The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 13 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 10 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
      Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Winnipeg's last 20 games


      Saturday, October 29

      3:00 PM
      HAMILTON vs. SASKATCHEWAN
      Hamilton is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Saskatchewan
      The total has gone OVER in 8 of Hamilton's last 11 games when playing Saskatchewan
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games at home
      Saskatchewan is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

      10:00 PM
      EDMONTON vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
      Edmonton is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing British Columbia
      Edmonton is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
      British Columbia is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
      British Columbia is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Edmonton


      Sunday, October 30

      1:00 PM
      CALGARY vs. MONTREAL
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
      Calgary is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Montreal
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
      Montreal is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Calgary


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      CFL

      Week 18


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Canadian Bacon: Week 18 CFL odds and picks
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Toronto Argonauts at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-8, 48)

      The Blue Bombers have now taken full control of their destiny with a comeback victory last week against the Montreal Alouettes that gave them sole possession of first place in the East with two games to play. If Winnipeg wins this week against Toronto and the Alouettes lose, the Blue Bombers will secure first place and host the East final.

      The Bombers can’t afford to stumble against the Argos at home in front of another sell-out crowd at Canad Inns Stadium for their last regular season game in Winnipeg. Head coach Paul LaPolice warned his players not to take this game lightly since these Argos did pull an upset against the Bombers last month and did the same two weeks ago against the Calgary Stampeders.

      After taking over Cleo Lemon’s job as starting QB, Steven Jyles has completed only 56 percent of his passes and has twice as many interceptions (10) than touchdowns. The Argonauts have lost their last seven games on the road, while the Blue Bombers won only three of their last eight games.

      Pick: Winnipeg


      Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Saskatchewan Roughriders (+6.5, 50)

      The Tiger-Cats played like a Grey Cup contender last week in a 42-10 mauling of the B.C. Lions, ending the Lions’ eight-game winning streak. The quarterback duo of Kevin Glenn and Quinton Porter seems to be working as they both had 116 passing yards last week. Hamilton hasn’t said who will start against Saskatchewan, but both will likely see some action.

      Meanwhile, wideout Chris Williams was back at practice this week and could play, but the Tiger-Cats will be without LB Jamall Johnson and CB Woodny Turenne.
      The Roughriders are just looking to end the season on a positive note. Darian Durant and Andy Fantuz are both out for the rest of the season.

      Pick: Hamilton


      Edmonton Eskimos at B.C. Lions (-4.5, 49)


      If you’re only watching one game this weekend, make sure it’s this one. The Eskimos are on top in the West and a win would secure first place and a bye week before hosting the division final. The Lions could derail that plan and prolong the debate for another week with a win.

      As mentioned, B.C. saw its winning streak snapped last week and also suffered a number of injury casualties – including Akeem Foster.They brought back veteran receiver Ryan Thelwell and acquired LB Neil McKinlay.

      Travis Lulay has led Edmonton to three straight wins and sits second in most QB statistics next to Montreal’s Anthony Calvillo. But don’t forget who is in third place in most of those categories: Edmonton’s Ricky Ray.

      Pick: B.C.


      Calgary Stampeders at Montreal Alouettes (-4.5, 56)

      The Alouettes’ unity is being questioned. Running back Brandon Whittaker leads the CFL but feels he could get more touches. Wideout Kerry Watkins has been dropping too many balls and is still complaining the offense is too focused on slotbacks Jamal Richardson and S.J. Green.

      The Alouettes spoiled a golden opportunity to secure first place in the east by collapsing in the fourth quarter against Winnipeg last week and now coach Marc Trestman is being scrutinized by some of his players.

      The Stampeders, who stand third in the West, must win to keep hopes of hosting a playoff game in November. Drew Tate, who has been taking over a struggling Henry Burris at pivot, should be able to exploit the weaknesses of the Alouettes secondary especially with the return of Ken-Yon Rambo (Achilles).

      Pick: Calgary


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      Comment


      • #4
        NHL
        Long Sheet

        Friday, October 28


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CHICAGO (5-1-0-2, 12 pts.) at CAROLINA (3-3-0-3, 9 pts.) - 10/28/2011, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CHICAGO is 230-261 ATS (-102.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
        CHICAGO is 115-137 ATS (-56.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
        CAROLINA is 29-56 ATS (-39.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        CAROLINA is 2-11 ATS (-9.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CAROLINA is 1-1 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
        CAROLINA is 1-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SAN JOSE (4-3-0-0, 8 pts.) at DETROIT (5-2-0-0, 10 pts.) - 10/28/2011, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SAN JOSE is 153-124 ATS (+24.1 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
        SAN JOSE is 155-163 ATS (+353.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
        SAN JOSE is 136-104 ATS (+26.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SAN JOSE is 12-8 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
        SAN JOSE is 12-8-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
        11 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.3 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        EDMONTON (4-2-0-2, 10 pts.) at COLORADO (6-3-0-0, 12 pts.) - 10/28/2011, 9:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        EDMONTON is 4-22 ATS (+42.1 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
        COLORADO is 49-40 ATS (-0.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        EDMONTON is 39-33 ATS (+80.9 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1996.
        COLORADO is 7-18 ATS (+27.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
        COLORADO is 4-12 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
        COLORADO is 3-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        EDMONTON is 6-6 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        COLORADO is 6-6-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.7 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ST LOUIS (5-4-0-0, 10 pts.) at CALGARY (3-4-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/28/2011, 9:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CALGARY is 12-18 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        CALGARY is 5-4-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




        NHL

        Friday, October 28


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Ice picks: Friday's best NHL bets
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        San Jose Shark at Detroit Red Wings (-140, 5.5)

        The Red Wings hope a date with the rival Sharks is what they need to turn it up a notch.

        Detroit has dropped two straight heading into Friday’s game against San Jose, a team that has ended its playoff hunt two years in a row. That should be some solid motivation.

        “These don’t make up for the playoff losses, don’t ever kid yourself,” coach Mike Babcock told reporters. “But they’re coming in here, and we’d like to beat them. They’ve got a good team, we like our team, so let’s see what happens. Let’s have fun.”

        Nobody in Detroit is having much fun right now. With Jimmy Howard away from the team to be with his new baby, the Wings were throttled 7-1 at Washington and 4-1 at Columbus. Ty Conklin looked lost in both of those games but Howard is expected to start Friday.

        Even still, these teams usually fill the net when they get together so we’ll go with the over.

        Pick: Over


        Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes (+120, 5.5)


        Like so many teams before them, the Chicago Blackhawks struggled with inconsistency early last season following their Stanley Cup championship run. This year is a different story.

        Chicago has just one regulation loss in eight games this season and the team seems to be coming together after some offseason moves altered the team’s chemistry a bit. For now at least, even Dan Carcillo is fitting in nicely on a line with Patrick Kane and Marian Hossa.

        "It seems like it's been lines one, two, three and four have each stepped up in certain games and taken over a little bit," Kane told the team's official website. "It's nice to have that balance on the lines, and it can be any line's game on a given night. We're seeing that from everyone."

        Meanwhile, the Hurricanes haven’t found the right recipe with their lines yet. Paul Maurice shuffled his lines again during Wednesday’s practice following the club’s third consecutive loss. They’ve picked up points in two of those, but will need to be better to keep up with Chicago Friday.

        Pick: Blackhawks


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by Udog; 10-28-2011, 12:38 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NOTE:
          For the initial posting of trends and indexes, we have provided information available up to the time of posting.
          Additional updates for today’s games will be posted ASAP.

          Comment


          • #6
            Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

            College basketball programs that spent most money in 2009-10 (thanks to bbstate.com for this information):

            6) Louisville Cardinals $9,089,769

            5) Oklahoma State Cowboys $9,477,405

            4) Northwestern Wildcats $10,048,801-- They spent this on what???

            3) Kansas Jayhawks $10,984,833

            2) Kentucky Wildcats $11,573,283

            1) Duke Blue Devils $12,286,475


            **************


            Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random thoughts with the weekend here....

            13) Anyone who doesn't think Texas should've walked Pujols with first base open, two out and an 8-7 lead is a second-guessing nitwit. If they had not walked him there, Nolan Ryan might've gone into the dugout and tore Ron Washington's larynx out. It was the obvious thing to do, but the right move doesn't always work out.

            12) Sitting in sports book watching the Texas Rangers gag away a World Series title with about fifty guys wearing big, black ten gallon hats was a weird experience. Cowboys don't say much. Maybe they just don't like baseball, or they don't like to lose. But they're quiet humans.

            11) That was the most exciting baseball game I've ever seen. Not the most well-played, but for sheer drama and importance, it was the best.

            10) Sean Payton announced he will coach from the press box in St Louis Sunday; hey, he could coach from the blackjack table on the riverboat in the Mississippi River by the Gateway Arch, and Saints still win by 20.

            9) Colts/Titans lost last week by a combined total of 103-14. Someone is going to be relieved to win Sunday; the loser will be truly miserable.

            8) Lot of pressure on the Baltimore offense this week; they've won four games by 15+ points, but the offense has sputtered. Time for Flacco to step up his game, especially on shorter passes.

            7) Eagles won their last 12 post-bye games; Patriots won last eight. Both teams have tough games this week. We'll see if the streaks survive.

            6) Beware any underdog that lost their previous game while allowing less than 10 points; its a theory I read over 30 years ago, and it still carries a surprising amount of juice. In other words, a trap game for the Bengals in Seattle Sunday.

            5) Navy has beaten Notre Dame three of the last four years; Illinois won three of last four meetings with Penn State. Both are underdogs Saturday.

            4) Georgia has a better team that Florida this year, but Gators are 18-3 in last 21 series games, and they haven't always had the better team. Huge game for the Mark Richt era in Athens.

            3) How will Wisconsin play at Ohio State after losing on a Hail Mary on the play in East Lansing last week? Tough loss to bounce back from.

            2) Underdogs are 11-3 vs spread in last 14 Clemson-Georgia Tech games, 5-0 in games played in Atlanta. Tigers are breaking trends all over so far this season; this would be another big one to break.

            1) First NFL rematch of the year is Chargers at Chiefs Halloween night at Arrowhead. Jacksonville snapped a long losing streak by home dogs on Monday night last week; can the Chiefs make it two upsets in a row?
            Last edited by Udog; 10-28-2011, 09:10 AM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NHL
              Dunkel



              San Jose at Detroit
              The Sharks look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is coming off a 4-1 loss at Columbus and is 2-5 in its last 7 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. San Jose is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Sharks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

              FRIDAY, OCTOBER 28

              Game 1-2: Chicago at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)

              Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.202; Carolina 11.624
              Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1/2; 4
              Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-135); 5
              Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+115); Under

              Game 3-4: San Jose at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.100; Detroit 11.001
              Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 6
              Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-140); 5 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+120); Over

              Game 5-6: Edmonton at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.937; Colorado 11.590
              Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 5
              Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-150); 5 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+130); Under

              Game 7-8: St. Louis at Calgary (9:00 p.m. EST)
              Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.192; Calgary 12.234
              Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 6
              Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-115); 5 1/2
              Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-115); Over




              NHL
              Armadillo's Write-Up

              Friday, October 28


              Hot teams
              -- Chicago won five of its last seven games.
              -- Sharks won last three games, outscoring foes 11-6.
              -- Edmonton won its last three games, 2-0/3-2/2-1.
              -- Blues won their last three games, allowing four goals.

              Cold teams
              -- Carolina lost its last three games, scoring seven goals.
              -- Red Wings lost last two games 7-1/4-1; they're 3-0 at home winning by a combined score of 12-5.
              -- Colorado lost its two home games, 3-0/3-1.
              -- Flames are 3-5 in their first eight games.

              Totals
              -- Blackhawks' last two visits to Carolina both went over the total.
              -- Over is 6-1 in Sharks' last seven visits to Detroit.
              -- Last six Edmonton games stayed under the total.
              -- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Calgary games.

              Series records
              -- Chicago won three in a row vs Carolina, outscoring them 3-2/4-2/5-2.
              -- Sharks are 5-3 in last eight visits to Detroit; they beat Red Wings 4-3 in playoffs last spring.
              -- Road team won four of last five Edmonton-Colorado games.
              -- Flames won last four games vs St Louis, outscoring Blues 14-3.

              Comment


              • #8
                NHL

                Friday, October 28


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                Trend Report
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                7:00 PM
                CHICAGO vs. CAROLINA
                Chicago is 2-8-1 SU in its last 11 games ,when playing Carolina
                The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
                Carolina8-2-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Chicago
                Carolina5-0-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago

                7:30 PM
                SAN JOSE vs. DETROIT
                San Jose is 8-16-1 SU in its last 25 games ,when playing on the road against Detroit
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Jose's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
                Detroit is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing San Jose
                Detroit is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against San Jose

                9:00 PM
                EDMONTON vs. COLORADO
                Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
                Edmonton is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing at home against Edmonton

                9:00 PM
                ST. LOUIS vs. CALGARY
                St. Louis is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Calgary
                St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
                The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
                Calgary is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against St. Louis


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                Comment


                • #9
                  MLB
                  Dunkel


                  Texas at St. Louis
                  The Rangers look to bounce back from last night's 10-9 loss and build on their 13-3 record in their last 16 games when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in the previous game. Texas is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Texas (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

                  FRIDAY, OCTOBER 28

                  Game 965-966: Texas at St. Louis (8:05 p.m. EST)

                  Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 16.931; St. Louis (Carpenter) 15.812
                  Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7
                  Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 8
                  Dunkel Pick: Texas (+120); Under




                  MLB
                  Armadillo's Write-Up

                  Friday, October 28


                  Carpenter goes on three days' rest; he is 3-0, 3.33 in five starts this fall; he has a 2.00 RA in his last four home starts. Harrison is 1-1, 4.61 in his three postseason starts; he hasn't gotten more than 15 outs in any of the three games.

                  Cardinals scored 32 runs in this World Series, but 26 of them came in Games 3/6; they're 5-3 at home in playoffs, Rangers are 3-5 away from home; over is 5-3 in those games.Under is 4-3-1 in St Louis home tilts. Redbirds scored 3 or less runs in four of six series games. Texas is 8-1 when it allows 3 or less runs in playoffs this fall, 2-5 when it allows more. NL park, no DH in this game. In this postseason, St Louis is 7-2 if game goes over, 2-5 if it stays under.

                  After watching last night's game, and I am not rooting for either side, but how could you bet against St Louis after last night's near-death escape?




                  MLB

                  Friday, October 28


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                  Trend Report
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                  8:05 PM
                  TEXAS vs. ST. LOUIS
                  Texas is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 9 games
                  St. Louis is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home


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                  MLB

                  Friday, October 28


                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  Rangers at Cardinals - Game 7: What bettors need to know
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                  Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals (-140)

                  Series tied 3-3

                  THE STORY
                  : The St. Louis Cardinals staged one of the top World Series comebacks of all-time in Game 6 to set up a winner-take-all finale against the Texas Rangers on Friday. Texas was one strike away from winning in both the ninth and 10th innings but the Cardinals rallied both times and won 10-9 on David Freese’s dramatic 11th-inning homer. The St. Louis comebacks – and Texas collapses – prompt the first World Series Game 7 since the Anaheim Angels defeated the San Francisco Giants in 2002.

                  TV: 8:05 p.m. ET, Fox.

                  PITCHING MATCHUP: Rangers LH Matt Harrison (0-1, 7.36 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Chris Carpenter (1-0, 2.77 ERA)

                  Harrison lasted just 3 2/3 innings in Game 3, won 16-7 by the Cardinals. Harrison gave up five runs (three earned) and six hits. He hasn’t gone longer than five innings in any of his three postseason starts.

                  Carpenter allowed two runs in each of his World Series starts, pitching six innings to win Game 1 and hurling seven innings while taking a no-decision in Game 5. All the runs off him have come on homers – Mike Napoli’s two-run shot in the opener and solo shots by Adrian Beltre and Mitch Moreland in Game 5.

                  ABOUT THE CARDINALS: Freese etched his name into St. Louis lore in Game 6 by smacking a game-tying two-run triple with two out in the ninth in addition to his game-winning homer. Lance Berkman delivered the game-tying single in the 10th as part of 3-for-5 game in which he homered, scored four times and had three RBIs. Albert Pujols had a double in Game 6 for his first hit since going 5-for-6 with three homers in Game 3. Matt Holliday left Thursday’s game with a bruised right pinkie but expects to play Friday. Allen Craig also homered in Game 6.

                  ABOUT THE RANGERS: Napoli reached base five times in Game 6 and had his 10th RBI of the season but also sprained his left ankle. Postgame X-rays were negative. Nelson Cruz (strained groin) also is ailing and left the game a few innings after belting his record-tying eighth homer of the postseason. Josh Hamilton hit a two-run homer in the 10th for his first blast of the postseason and had three hits and three RBIs. Beltre also homered. Neftali Feliz (ninth) and Scott Feldman (10th) were the relievers who blew late leads and Mark Lowe served up Freese’s game-winning shot.

                  TRENDS:

                  * Rangers are 1-4 in their last five World Series road games.
                  * Cardinals are 5-1 in their last six World Series home games.
                  * Under is 7-2 in Rangers' last nine World Series games.
                  * Under is 6-2 in Cardinals' last eight World Series home games.


                  UMPIRE - Jerry Layne:

                  * Under is 4-1 in Laynes last five games behind home plate.
                  * Rangers are 1-6 in their last seven games with Layne behind home plate.
                  * Cardinals are 7-1 in their last eight games with Layne behind home plate.
                  * Under is 3-0-1 in Laynes last four interleague games behind home plate.

                  FINAL PITCH: The home team has won the last eight times the World Series has featured a Game 7. The last road team to win a Game 7 was the 1979 Pittsburgh Pirates.


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                  Comment


                  • #10
                    MLB
                    Long Sheet

                    Friday, October 28


                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    TEXAS (106 - 72) at ST LOUIS (100 - 79) - 8:05 PM
                    MATT HARRISON (L) vs. CHRIS CARPENTER (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    ST LOUIS is 76-50 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                    ST LOUIS is 41-33 (+8.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                    ST LOUIS is 30-18 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
                    ST LOUIS is 101-80 (+4.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    ST LOUIS is 36-17 (+16.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
                    ST LOUIS is 100-78 (+5.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    CARPENTER is 15-2 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    CARPENTER is 10-2 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)
                    TEXAS is 101-66 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    TEXAS is 79-46 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                    TEXAS is 79-47 (+18.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                    TEXAS is 45-25 (+16.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
                    TEXAS is 53-38 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                    TEXAS is 107-71 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    TEXAS is 52-28 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
                    HARRISON is 8-1 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
                    ST LOUIS is 9-15 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season.
                    ST LOUIS is 23-23 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
                    CARPENTER is 4-8 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season. (Team's Record)

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    ST LOUIS is 3-3 (+0.7 Units) against TEXAS this season
                    4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

                    MATT HARRISON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
                    HARRISON is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.907.
                    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

                    CHRIS CARPENTER vs. TEXAS since 1997
                    CARPENTER is 3-6 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 6.38 and a WHIP of 1.677.
                    His team's record is 5-8 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-6. (+0.6 units)

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                    Comment


                    • #11
                      MLB
                      Short Sheet

                      Friday, 10/28/2011


                      World Series - Best of 7 - Game 7 - TIED 3-3
                      TEXAS at ST LOUIS, 8:05 PM ET FOX
                      HARRISON: 15-3 TSR 2nd half of the season
                      CARPENTER: 8-11 TSR as home favorite

                      ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        NHL
                        Short Sheet

                        Friday, 10/28/2011


                        CHICAGO at CAROLINA, 7:00 PM ET
                        CHICAGO: 1-5-2 SU at Carolina
                        CAROLINA: 14-7 SU off BB losses

                        SAN JOSE at DETROIT, 7:30 PM ET NHL
                        SAN JOSE: 20-8 SU off road win
                        DETROIT: 8-16 SU off BB road games

                        EDMONTON at COLORADO, 9:00 PM ET
                        EDMONTON: 0-13 SU Away if 3 or less total goals were scored last game
                        COLORADO: 4-12 SU at home after allowing 4+ goals

                        ST LOUIS at CALGARY, 9:00 PM ET
                        ST LOUIS: 0-9 SU Away off BB road games
                        CALGARY: 15-6 Over off division game

                        ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          MLB

                          Friday, October 28


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                          Hot lines: Friday's best MLB bet
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                          Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals (-140)

                          Friday’s World Series game is the first Game 7 since the Angels took the Giants the distance back in 2002. And, after a dramatic collapse in Game 6 Thursday, memories of that 2002 World Series are being stirred.

                          San Francisco looked as if it had the World Series by the tail, up 5-0 in the bottom of the seventh, but fell apart in the final frames, losing Game 6 6-5 and spiraling into a lackluster effort in Game 7, eventually losing 4-1.

                          Texas has a short time to get its head right after such a terrible loss. The Rangers were just one or two pitches away from their first World Series, something that isn’t lost on manager Ron Washington.

                          “Of course I had that feeling,” Washington told reporters about being so close to a championship. “Bringing (Darren Oliver) in on those two lefties, I thought maybe we could get those guys out, having the pitcher come up, I don't think it could have been more perfect. But it just wasn't to happen tonight.”

                          Washington and his players must reset their mind for Friday’s game. However, with the Cardinals holding all the momentum and a huge home-field edge, history will repeat itself in Game 7.

                          Pick: St. Louis -140


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