Announcement

**Udog** · 10-27-2011, 07:30 AM

Thursday’s betting tips: Bettors like Cardinals after rainout

Weather to watch

-There is a 40 percent chance of rain in both of Thursday’s college football games – Virginia at Miami and Rice at Houston. Wind may also be a factor in Houston with 12-17 mph winds expected.

-Weather isn’t expected to be a factor in Game 6 of the World Series following Wednesday’s rainout. Temperatures should be around 50 degrees with a 6 mph wind blowing in from left field to first base.

Who’s hot

MLB: St. Louis is 5-1 in its last six games as a favorite.

NCAAF: Houston is 4-0 against the spread in its last four home games.

NHL: Boston is 12-5 in its last 17 home games.

NHL: Washington is 7-0 to start the season.

Who’s not

MLB: The over is 0-4 in Texas’ last four interleague road games.

NCAAF: Miami is 2-6 against the spread in its last eight home games.

NHL: The New York Islanders are just 6-20 in their last 26 meetings with Pittsburgh.

NHL: Dallas is 3-10 in its last 13 games against Los Angeles.

Key stat

4-7-1 – Conventional wisdom suggests NFL teams would be more profitable after their bye weeks but so far this season teams are 4-7-1 against the spread following their off week. Buffalo, Cincinnati, New York Giants, New England, Philadelphia and San Francisco were off last week.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Tim Connolly, Toronto Maple Leafs – Connolly (shoulder) is currently listed as questionable for Thursday night’s game against New York at Madison Square Garden, but word has it he may make his regular season debut with the Maple Leafs. The Rangers are set as -160 favorites in their home opener. MSG was undergoing renovations, forcing the team on the road to begin the season.

Game of the day

Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals (-115, 7)

Notable quotable

"We've got to be physical," "You can't make errors with Case. For us to have a chance, we have to make sure that we have the best tackling game of the year. They are just incredibly gifted. And they have an incredibly gifted man at the quarterback who gets the ball where it needs to go." – Rice coach David Bailiff on facing Houston and quarterback Case Keenum. Rice is set as a big 27.5-point underdog at Houston.

Notes and tips

Following Wednesday’s rainout of Game 6 of the World Series, the St. Louis Cardinals remain set around -115 against the Texas Rangers and the majority of bettors see this series going seven games. As of Wednesday evening, about 55 percent of *********** Consensus bettors were backing the Cards, while a number of Vegas sportsbooks had moved them to -120. Jaime Garcia and Colby Lewis will enjoy an extra day of rest after being scheduled to start Wednesday. The total remains at 7 at most shops.

With Virginia’s passing attack struggling, coach Mike London is making some changes to the team’s dual-quarterback system. Sophomore Michael Rocco will get more snaps Thursday against Miami, leaving freshman David Watford with a smaller role. Rocco is said to be still nursing a rib injury and had 10 consecutive incompletions last week against N.C. State, but Watford also threw three picks in that game. Virginia is a 13.5-point underdog at Miami.

Seattle Seahawks running back Marshawn Lynch will be a game-time decision for Sunday's game against the Cincinnati Bengals. Lynch was a last-minute scratch from last week's game against the Cleveland Browns when he hurt his lower back in **** warmups. The team's leading rusher with 239 yards and two touchdowns on 58 carries, Lynch was coming off his best game of the season when he rushed for 98 yards against the New York Giants. The Seahawks are set as 3-point underdogs.

**Udog** · 10-27-2011, 07:33 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds on teams to win Super Bowl; opening odds and current:

11-4-- Green Bay Packers-- Opened at 6-1. The favorite now.

4-1-- New England Patriots-- Opened at 13-2. Big game this week.

7-1-- Baltimore Ravens-- Opened 15-1. Offense has been awful.

7-1-- New Orleans Saints-- Sproles for Bush was major upgrade.

12-1-- San Diego Chargers-- Trying to sweep Chiefs Monday nite.

13-1-- Pittsburgh Steelers-- Playing much better of late.

***********************

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Greetings from America's favorite city

13) The Pro Rodeo Tour is in town this week; I swear to God I saw a guy at the hotel today who looks like the late Haystacks Calhoun. Overalls and all. Awful lot of black 10-gallon hats and big boots, and those are just the women. I had no idea there was actually professional rodeo.

12) One of the side benefits of the rodeo being in town is a ton of country music playing; wouldn't want to listen to it seven days a week, but its an interesting change. Bartenders were complaining that cowboys are cheap, which will keep the beautiful women away. Hey, I'm not cheap!!!!!

11) OK back to business; the World Series got rained out, so that puts up the possibility of Carpenter starting Game 7 for the Cardinals, if they can somehow win Game 6. I'm still annoyed that the whole communication fiasco happened in Game 5. This is 2011, we're all smarter than that.

10) It snowed in Denver Wednesday morning, meaning the Broncos had to practice in the snow, and weather could be a factor in Detroit's visit to the Mile High City Sunday. Guess Tim Tebow didn't get to work on his passing mechanics too much then.

9) UConn has five coaches on its football staff who have 29+ years of coaching experience; thats good for teaching, but who does the legwork for recruiting? Recruiting is a younger man's game.

8) Having the third and fourth week of NBA play cancelled means that Carmelo Anthony's return to Denver is shot, as is one of Lebron James' two visits to Cleveland. Still think the whole season will be cancelled.

7) ESPN has upgraded its afternoon TV shows; the numbers show isn't bad at 3:30; the blonde on that show has a big future. Surprisingly, Dan LeBatard has a show with his dad, and it is terrific. LeBatard comes off as an obnoxious jerk when he's on TV by himself, but with his dad, he's lot more likeable and the show works. Its lighthearted and fun.

6) Why on God's green earth does ESPN put Stephen A Smith on the air? He and Mad Dog Russo are the two most annoying people to ever grace our nation'a airwaves, and that includes Morton Downey Jr, Joan Rivers and anyone who has ever been on Survivor. Stephen A needs to go.

5) I had no idea the Pan Am Games were going on until I read that one of the best prospects on my fantasy baseball team tore thumb ligaments and needed surgery. Terrific. Guy gets hurt playing in freakin' Panama.

4) Philadelphia Eagles have won their last 12 post-bye games; Patriots have won their last eight, the two longest post-bye win streaks ever, in the relatively short history of byes. Both teams have tough games this week, the Iggles hosting Dallas, the Patriots visiting Pittsburgh.

3) A local complained to me tonight that its only 65 degrees outside; I had to laugh. Its October 26 and 65 is cold? I love this place.....

2) Did I mention there's a lot of smoking in casinos? You can't smoke in New York if you're indoors in a public place, so its weird to see it here. In some casinos, you can't eat/smoke in the same area, which is also weird.

1) So anyway, I stand out like a sore thumb here because I wear Adidas sneakers and don't dress like Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid, but in America's favorite city, there's enough fun for everyone. Time to go down to the casino and have myself some, I reckon.....

**Udog** · 10-27-2011, 07:40 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Texas at St. Louis
The Rangers look to close out the series and build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 games versus a left-handed starter. Texas is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Texas (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 27

Game 961-962: Texas at St. Louis (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 16.134; St. Louis (Garcia) 15.609
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-100); Over

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 27

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TEXAS (106 - 71) at ST LOUIS (99 - 79) - 8:05 PM
COLBY LEWIS (R) vs. JAIME GARCIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 99-78 (+4.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 75-50 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 78-56 (+9.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 47-32 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ST LOUIS is 40-33 (+7.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 29-18 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 100-80 (+3.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
GARCIA is 18-7 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 53-37 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 89-66 (+21.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 107-70 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 32-24 (+11.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 200-169 (+34.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997.
TEXAS is 101-65 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 79-45 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 25-29 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-2 (+0.2 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

COLBY LEWIS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LEWIS is 0-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JAIME GARCIA vs. TEXAS since 1997
GARCIA is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.571.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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MLB
Short Sheet

Thursday, October 27

World Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TEX Leads 3-2
TEXAS at ST LOUIS, 8:05 PM ET FOX
LEWIS: 12-18 TSR working on 5 or 6 days rest
GARCIA: STL 24-9 if bullpen pitched 1 or less inning last game

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, October 27

Lewis is 1-1, 2.95 in three postseason starts; this is his 7th consecutive start on road. Garcia has a 1.93 RA in three home playoff starts, but the Redbirds lost four of his last five starts overall. Cardinals scored 22 runs in this World Series, but 16 of them came in Game 3; they're 4-3 at home in playoffs, Rangers are 3-4 on road; over is 4-3 in those games. Under is 4-2-1 in St Louis home tilts. Redbirds scored 3 or less runs in four of five series games. Texas is 8-1 when it allows 3 or less runs in playoffs this fall, 2-4 when it allows more. NL park, no DH in this game. In this postseason, St Louis is 6-2 if game goes over, 2-5 if it stays under.

MLB

Thursday, October 27

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Trend Report
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8:05 PM
TEXAS vs. ST. LOUIS
Texas is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games
Texas is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
St. Louis is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 10 games at home

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MLB

Thursday, October 27

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Rangers at Cardinals - Game 6: What bettors need to know
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Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals (-115, 7.5)

Texas leads series 3-2

THE STORY: The Texas Rangers go after their first World Series title Wednesday in Game 6 against the host St. Louis Cardinals. Texas recorded a 4-2 victory on Monday with postseason hero Mike Napoli smacking the go-ahead two-run double to take a 3-2 lead in the series. Napoli has nine RBIs in 13 at-bats in the series and is only the second player in World Series history with four multi-RBI games. The other is Mickey Mantle for the 1960 New York Yankees. Game 7, if necessary, is scheduled for Thursday in St. Louis.

TV: 8:05 p.m. ET, Fox

WEATHER: The forecast in St. Louis is calling for a 94 percent chance of showers and winds, blowing NNW from the third base line to first base line, at speeds of up to 11 mph. Those winds will change to blowing north, in from center towards home plate.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rangers RH Colby Lewis (0-0, 1.35 ERA) vs. Cardinals LH Jaime Garcia (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Lewis is 1-1 with a 2.95 ERA in three postseason starts. He gave up just one run and four hits in 6 2/3 innings while taking a no-decision in Game 2. Nick Punto had two of the hits.

Garcia pitched seven shutout innings of three-hit ball in Game 2 but didn’t get the win due to Jason Motte’s ninth-inning implosion. He struck out seven and walked one. Garcia is 0-2 with a 3.97 ERA in four postseason starts.

ABOUT THE CARDINALS: St. Louis left 12 runners on base in Game 5. Matt Holliday reached base three times on a single and two walks but left five runners on base the two times he was retired. Albert Pujols was walked intentionally three times and went 0-for-2. Yadier Molina had three hits and drove in his fifth run of the series. Allen Craig was caught stealing twice to become the first player thrown out multiple times in a World Series game since the Yankees’ Billy Martin in 1955.

ABOUT THE RANGERS: Napoli has driven in nearly half of Texas’ 19 runs in the series. Mitch Moreland and Adrian Beltre hit solo homers for the Rangers’ other runs. Beltre is batting .381 in the series while Moreland is batting just .111 in 27 postseason at-bats. Michael Young is hitting .211 in the series with three of his four hits going for extra bases. Josh Hamilton is just 3-for-19 in the series and homerless in 60 postseason at-bats. Neftali Feliz has two saves in the World Series and six in the postseason.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Rangers are 7-1 in their last eight games vs. a left-handed starter.
* Cardinals are 4-1 in their last five World Series home games.
* Under is 7-1 in Rangers last eight World Series games.
* Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last seven World Series home games.

UMP TRENDS - Gary Cederstrom:

* Under is 7-1 in Cederstroms last eight interleague games behind home plate.
* Under is 14-3-1 in Cederstroms last 18 games behind home plate.
* Rangers are 20-6 in their last 26 games with Cederstrom behind home plate.
* Cardinals are 3-7 in their last 10 games with Cederstrom behind home plate.

FINAL PITCH: St. Louis scored 16 runs in Game 3 of the World Series but has only tallied six in the other four games.

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MLB

Thursday, October 27

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Hot lines: Thursday's best MLB bet
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Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals (-115, 7.5)

The St. Louis Cardinals are probably happy to have another day to get over their Game 5 collapse. Game 6 was set to go Wednesday night but was postponed until Thursday due to rain. The weather is supposed to be crisp but clear Thursday with light winds.

Everything seemed to be rolling in the right direction for the Cardinals Monday until some apparent miscommunication derailed them in a 4-2 loss, putting their backs against the wall down 3-2 in the series.

First, Allen Craig tried to steal second base in the seventh inning for some reason with Albert Pujols at the plate and was predictably thrown out. The Cardinals couldn’t capitalize. Then manager Tony LaRussa said there were more communication issues as he tried to get his relievers ready in the bullpen.

In short, it wasn’t exactly St. Louis Cardinals baseball. You don’t get on this kind of run by making sloppy mistakes and you have to think the Cardinals will bounce back.

Wednesday's starting pitchers will just get another day of rest as Jaime Garcia and Colby Lewis are expected to share the hill Thursday.

Garcia has been dominant in front of his hometown crowd at Busch Stadium, working on a 1.93 ERA. Of course, he’ll have his hands full again with a Texas lineup led by the red-hot Mike Napoli that has already seen him once this series. Still, Garcia’s confident.

"Obviously, you learn things from hitters, and I've been watching them the last couple games in Texas, too," Garcia said. "But it all comes down to going out there and basically being able to execute what you want to. It doesn't matter which team, which lineup, what part of the season it is. It's just going out there and worrying about the little things that you can control."

Both Garcia and Colby Lewis have been dealing lately and while we’re leaning toward the Cards, we'll take a shot at the under right now.

Pick: Under

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**Udog** · 10-27-2011, 07:45 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 27

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WINNIPEG (2-5-0-1, 5 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (5-2-0-1, 11 pts.) - 10/27/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-25 ATS (-13.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-11 ATS (-9.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 7-1 (+9.6 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 7-1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.3 Units)

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COLUMBUS (1-7-0-1, 3 pts.) at BUFFALO (5-3-0-0, 10 pts.) - 10/27/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 34-57 ATS (+97.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 61-128 ATS (+240.5 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 15-34 ATS (+51.9 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 25-61 ATS (+102.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 12-28 ATS (+43.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 89-79 ATS (+177.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
BUFFALO is 16-22 ATS (-10.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 2-7 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 2-1-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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MONTREAL (1-5-0-2, 4 pts.) at BOSTON (3-5-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/27/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 1-7 ATS (-7.2 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 1-7 ATS (-7.2 Units) first half of the season this season.
MONTREAL is 25-17 ATS (+43.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 13-6 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 0-4 ATS (-5.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BOSTON is 0-4 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 12-7 (+8.6 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 12-7-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.5 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

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TORONTO (5-2-0-1, 11 pts.) at NY RANGERS (3-2-0-2, 8 pts.) - 10/27/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 82-83 ATS (+187.5 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 15-25 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 51-70 ATS (-30.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 6-2 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 6-2-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (3-4-0-0, 6 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (7-2-0-2, 16 pts.) - 10/27/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 3-21 ATS (+40.1 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 19-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 30-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 58-80 ATS (-30.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 10-3 (+5.4 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 10-3-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)

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FLORIDA (5-3-0-0, 10 pts.) at OTTAWA (4-5-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/27/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 245-285 ATS (-90.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 7-1 (+6.0 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 7-1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

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TAMPA BAY (4-3-0-2, 10 pts.) at NASHVILLE (3-4-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/27/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 235-323 ATS (-109.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 102-160 ATS (-65.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 101-88 ATS (+193.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 61-48 ATS (+110.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 12-19 ATS (-7.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 2-0 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 2-0-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)

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ANAHEIM (4-3-0-1, 9 pts.) at MINNESOTA (3-2-0-3, 9 pts.) - 10/27/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 53-43 ATS (+96.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-3-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.5 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (5-2-0-1, 11 pts.) at DALLAS (7-2-0-0, 14 pts.) - 10/27/2011, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 7-2 ATS (+4.4 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 7-2 ATS (+4.7 Units) first half of the season this season.
LOS ANGELES is 18-6 ATS (+9.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 14-6 ATS (+20.1 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 64-67 ATS (+156.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 10-3 (+5.8 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 10-3-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.4 Units)

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WASHINGTON (7-0-0-0, 14 pts.) at EDMONTON (4-2-0-2, 10 pts.) - 10/27/2011, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 109-152 ATS (-61.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
EDMONTON is 6-21 ATS (+32.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-0-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (4-2-0-1, 9 pts.) at PHOENIX (3-3-0-2, 8 pts.) - 10/27/2011, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 5-13 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 14-30 ATS (-19.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 99-84 ATS (+0.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 121-116 ATS (+282.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 1-1-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)

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**Udog** · 10-27-2011, 07:48 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, October 27

Hot teams
-- Rangers won three of last four games; this is their home opener.
-- Pittsburgh won its last four games, outscoring foes 14-4.
-- Senators won last three games, allowing six goals. Florida won four of its last six games.
-- Lightning won its last three games, outscoring foes 11-4.
-- Dallas won six of its last seven games. Kings won four of their last five games.
-- Washington is 7-0, outscoring last three opponents 15-3. Oilers won last two games, 2-0/3-2.
-- New Jersey won four of its last six games.

Cold teams
-- Winnipeg is 0-4 on road, outscored 16-8. Flyers lost three of their last four games.
-- Columbus lost eight of its first nine games. Sabres are 0-2 at home, losing both games 4-3.
-- Canadiens lost six of their last seven games. Boston lost four of its six home games.
-- Maple Leafs lost two of first three home games.
-- Islanders lost last three games, outscored 11-3.
-- Nashville lost five of last six games; they're 0-3 at home.
-- Minnesota lost five of its last seven games. Anaheim lost last three games, scoring seven goals.
-- Coyotes lost last three home games, outscored 10-4.

Totals
-- Last five Philly games went over the total.
-- All four Columbus games went over the total. Four of last five Buffalo games stayed under the total.
-- Six of eight Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Ranger games. Last four Toronto games all went over.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Penguins' last seven games.
-- Three of last four Florida games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Nashville games stayed under the total.
-- All four Anaheim road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Dallas games, 7-0 in Kings' last seven games.
-- Last five Edmonton games stayed under the total.
-- Three of four Phoenix home games stayed under total.

Series records
-- Flyers lost seven of last eight games against Winnipeg.
-- Sabres beat Columbus twice LY, 5-0/5-4.
-- Bruins won four of last five against Montreal, rallying from down 2-0 to beat Canadiens in first round of playoffs last spring.
-- Rangers won last three games vs Toronto, outscoring them 11-1.
-- Islanders lost four of last five games against Pittsburgh.
-- Panthers lost their last six games against Ottawa.
-- Predators won last two games vs Tampa Bay, 7-4/4-3.
-- Ducks lost seven of last ten games against Minnesota.
-- Kings won last three games against Dallas, 3-2/3-1/1-0.
-- Oilers lost three of last four games against Washington.
-- Home side won four of last five Devil-Coyote games; New Jersey lost its last two visits to Phoenix, 3-1/4-3.

**Udog** · 10-27-2011, 07:52 AM

NHL

Thursday, October 27

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
COLUMBUS vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Columbus is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games

7:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. BOSTON
Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Montreal is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games
Boston is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home

7:00 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Islanders last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
NY Islanders are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. NY RANGERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games
NY Rangers are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games at home

7:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
FLORIDA vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games
Florida is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
ANAHEIM vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Anaheim is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Anaheim
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim

8:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NASHVILLE
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Nashville
Nashville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Nashville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:30 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. DALLAS
Los Angeles is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Dallas's last 19 games when playing Los Angeles
Dallas is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Los Angeles

9:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games
Washington is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Edmonton's last 9 games at home

10:00 PM
NEW JERSEY vs. PHOENIX
New Jersey is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
New Jersey is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Phoenix is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Phoenix is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games

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**Udog** · 10-27-2011, 07:54 AM

NHL

Thursday, October 27

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Ice picks: Thursday’s best NHL bets
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Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators (-120, 5.5)

If you offered Ottawa coach Paul MacLean a 4-5-0 start before the team’s opening game, he would have been a dummy not to take it.

The Sens got out of the gate slowly, losing five of their first six, but have rebounded to win three straight heading into their 10th game of the season. It’s been a group effort to turn things around, too.

They have scored four power play goals over the winning streak and Craig Anderson has been spectacular between the pipes after a terrible start to the year. The real struggle this team will face all season long is consistency. – just like the Florida Panthers.

Florida is riding an upswing right now thanks to some terrific goaltending from rookie Jacob Markstrom. The problem is that the Panthers also have Jose Theodore on the roster and – for now at least – won’t hand Markstrom the reins.

"Theo is our starter. He's a great player and will get back in there soon," coach Kevin Dineen told reporters after Monday’s 2-1 win over Montreal. "But Jacob Markstrom not only earned the start but earned the victory. He's doing a great job. I don't get too mixed up in the big-picture decisions, just the little day-to-day things."

The big question remains whether Markstrom gets another start here. If he does, you could make an argument for a Panthers bet but as it stands now, we’ll go with the under.

Pick: Under

Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild (-115, 5)

With a top line that consists of Bobby Ryan, Ryan Getzlaf and reigning Hart Trophy winner Corey Perry, the Ducks normally don’t have to worry much about their power play. But right now, they have reason to worry.

After winning four straight to start the season, Anaheim has picked up just a single point in its last three. Meanwhile, the power play is clicking at just 11.4 percent.

“We spend too much time on entry,” Ryan told reporters about the power play. “We’re not getting through all three zones quick and efficiently. We’re not quick enough to get on pucks after rebounds. Obviously they’re getting the pucks, they’re making that little play and they’re gone.”

Minnesota knows all about issues with the man advantage. The Wild’s power play is even worse at 9.7 percent and while they’ve been picking up points here and there, they have just two wins since their season-opening win over the lowly Blue Jackets.

Something’s got to give for both of these power play units and with a 5-goal total on the board, we’ll take a shot with the over.

Pick: Over

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**Udog** · 10-27-2011, 08:23 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Washington at Edmonton
The Oilers look to build on their 5-1 record in their last 6 games as a home underdog. Edmonton is the pick (+145) according to Dunkel, which has the Oilers favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+145). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 27

Game 51-52: Winnipeg at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 10.551; Philadelphia 10.278
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-230); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+190); Over

Game 53-54: Columbus at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.049; Buffalo 12.305
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-210); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-210); Under

Game 55-56: Montreal at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 12.194; Boston 11.189
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-200); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+170); Over

Game 57-58: Toronto at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 10.596; NY Rangers 11.533
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-150); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-150); Under

Game 59-60: NY Islanders at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.393; Pittsburgh 11.077
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-200); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+170); Over

Game 61-62: Florida at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.268; Ottawa 10.911
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-105); Under

Game 63-64: Tampa Bay at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 10.847; Nashville 11.562
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-110); 5
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-110); Over

Game 65-66: Anaheim at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.101; Minnesota 10.780
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-105); Under

Game 67-68: Los Angeles at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.292; Dallas 11.138
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-120); Under

Game 69-70: Washington at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.417; Edmonton 11.586
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+145); Under

Game 71-72: New Jersey at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.926; Phoenix 11.366
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+105); Under

**Udog** · 10-27-2011, 09:45 AM

NHL
Short Sheet

Thursday, October 27

WINNIPEG at PHILADELPHIA, 7:00 PM ET
WINNIPEG: 7-1 SU vs. Philadelphia
PHILADELPHIA: 5-10 SU at home after allowing 5+ goals

COLUMBUS at BUFFALO, 7:00 PM ET
COLUMBUS: 32-72 SU as an underdog
BUFFALO: 28-16 SU off SU loss

MONTREAL at BOSTON, 7:00 PM ET NHL
MONTREAL: 9-3 SU after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games
BOSTON: 17-2 SU after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

TORONTO at NY RANGERS, 7:00 PM ET
TORONTO: 7-2 SU Away off BB Overs
NY RANGERS: 8-15 SU at home when the money line is -100 to -150

NY ISLANDERS at PITTSBURGH, 7:00 PM ET
NY ISLANDERS: 0-6 SU at Pittsburgh
PITTSBURGH: 12-1 SU off division win

FLORIDA at OTTAWA, 7:30 PM ET
FLORIDA: 2-14 SU off road win
OTTAWA: 7-1 SU vs. Florida

TAMPA BAY at NASHVILLE, 8:00 PM ET
TAMPA BAY: 22-11 SU off 2 game unbeaten streak
NASHVILLE: 0-5 SU at home off BB games w/ 4 or less goals scored

ANAHEIM at MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET
ANAHEIM: 0-4 SU at Minnesota
MINNESOTA: 26-20 SU off Under in last game

LOS ANGELES at DALLAS, 8:30 PM ET
LOS ANGELES: 14-7 SU Away off a loss
DALLAS: 1-5 SU at home vs. Los Angeles

WASHINGTON at EDMONTON, 9:30 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 45-18 SU off home win
EDMONTON: 7-28 SU playing only their 2nd game in 5 days

NEW JERSEY at PHOENIX, 10:00 PM ET
NEW JERSEY: 24-31 SU off shutout win on the road
PHOENIX: 37-26 SU off division loss by 1 goal

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Announcement

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 10/27 (MLB, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

Thursday's Trends and Indexes - 10/27 (MLB, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

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