Announcement

**Udog** · 10-25-2011, 10:53 PM

Wednesday’s betting tips: Stingy ump to work Ranger-Cards

Weather to watch

Meteorologists expect a wet and chilly Game 6 of the World Series Wednesday night. As of Thursday evening the forecast predicted a 60 percent chance of rain with temperatures around 50 degrees with 12 mph winds blowing in from left field toward first base.

Who’s hot

NCAAF: Connecticut is riding a 9-0 run against the spread against teams with a losing record.

MLB: St. Louis is 13-3 in its last 16 games following a loss.

NHL: The over is 4-0 in Philadelphia’s last four games.

Who’s not

NCAAF: Pitt is 0-4 against the spread in its last four games as a favorite.

MLB: Texas is 1-4 in its last five games following a win.

NHL: Calgary is 0-5 in its last five meetings with Colorado.

Key stat

14-3-1 – The under is 14-3-1 in the last 18 games that Gary Cederstrom has worked behind home plate. Cederstrom is expected to be calling balls and strikes for Wednesday’s Game 6 of the World Series.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Chris Pronger, Philadelphia Flyers – The Flyers’ captain is expected to be sidelined for at least two weeks after taking a stick to the right eye during Monday's 4-2 win over the Toronto Maple Leafs. Pronger was hit as Toronto's Mikhail Grabovski followed through on his shot during the first period. The 37-year-old defenseman, who does not wear a shield, immediately clutched at his face and skated to the bench before heading to the locker room.

Game of the day

Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals (-120, 7.5)

Notable quotable

“I know fans are upset, and they should be -- I'm upset, I go home my wife is upset, my mom is upset and my brother is giving me input on who the quarterback should be. But they should be upset because the standard and expectations of Pitt football is to win championships, and we haven't played at that level.” – Pitt coach Todd Graham ahead of Wednesday’s home game against Connecticut. Pitt is set as a 10-point favorite.

Notes and tips

Army quarterback Trent Steelman will miss Saturday's game against Fordham with a high ankle sprain, snapping a streak of 32 consecutive starts. Steelman suffered the injury last week against Vanderbilt, with coach Rich Ellerson declaring that the quarterback is week-to-week. The junior, who has rushed for 576 yards and 11 scores, had started every game of his college career.

Pitt’s best offensive lineman, senior Lucas Nix, is a game-time decision for Wednesday night’s big game against Connecticut. The Panthers are expected to field their fifth different offensive line combination in their last six games due to multiple injuries.

Baltimore Ravens linebacker Terrell Suggs questioned the team's offensive game plan following Monday night's 12-7 road loss to Jacksonville. The Ravens did not have a first down until deep into the third quarter and did not score until 2:02 remained in the game. They managed 11 first downs and 146 total yards. "I don't really know what the game plan was," Suggs told reporters. While Joe Flacco threw 38 passes - and averaged less than four yards per attempt - running back Ray Rice had just eight carries and receiver Anquan Boldin had four catches. Baltimore is set as a big 13-point favorite at home to Arizona.

**Udog** · 10-25-2011, 10:56 PM

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 26

Texas at St. Louis
The Rangers look to close out the series and build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 games versus a left-handed starter. Texas is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Texas (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 26

Game 961-962: Texas at St. Louis (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 16.134; St. Louis (Garcia) 15.609
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-100); Over

MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 26

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TEXAS (106 - 71) at ST LOUIS (99 - 79) - 8:05 PM
COLBY LEWIS (R) vs. JAIME GARCIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 99-78 (+4.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 75-50 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 78-56 (+9.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 47-32 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ST LOUIS is 40-33 (+7.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 29-18 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 100-80 (+3.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
GARCIA is 18-7 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 53-37 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 89-66 (+21.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 107-70 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 32-24 (+11.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 200-169 (+34.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997.
TEXAS is 101-65 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 79-45 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 25-29 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-2 (+0.2 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

COLBY LEWIS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LEWIS is 0-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JAIME GARCIA vs. TEXAS since 1997
GARCIA is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.571.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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MLB
Short Sheet

Wednesday, October 26

World Series - Best of 7 - Game 6 - TEX Leads 3-2
TEXAS at ST LOUIS, 8:05 PM ET FOX
LEWIS: 12-18 TSR working on 5 or 6 days rest
GARCIA: STL 24-9 if bullpen pitched 1 or less inning last game

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

MLB

Wednesday, October 26

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Trend Report
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8:05 PM
TEXAS vs. ST. LOUIS
Texas is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games
Texas is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
St. Louis is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 10 games at home

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MLB

Wednesday, October 26

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Rangers at Cardinals - Game 6: What bettors need to know
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Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals (-115, 7.5)

Texas leads series 3-2

THE STORY: The Texas Rangers go after their first World Series title Wednesday in Game 6 against the host St. Louis Cardinals. Texas recorded a 4-2 victory on Monday with postseason hero Mike Napoli smacking the go-ahead two-run double to take a 3-2 lead in the series. Napoli has nine RBIs in 13 at-bats in the series and is only the second player in World Series history with four multi-RBI games. The other is Mickey Mantle for the 1960 New York Yankees. Game 7, if necessary, is scheduled for Thursday in St. Louis.

TV: 8:05 p.m. ET, Fox

WEATHER: The forecast in St. Louis is calling for a 94 percent chance of showers and winds, blowing NNW from the third base line to first base line, at speeds of up to 11 mph. Those winds will change to blowing north, in from center towards home plate.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rangers RH Colby Lewis (0-0, 1.35 ERA) vs. Cardinals LH Jaime Garcia (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Lewis is 1-1 with a 2.95 ERA in three postseason starts. He gave up just one run and four hits in 6 2/3 innings while taking a no-decision in Game 2. Nick Punto had two of the hits.

Garcia pitched seven shutout innings of three-hit ball in Game 2 but didn’t get the win due to Jason Motte’s ninth-inning implosion. He struck out seven and walked one. Garcia is 0-2 with a 3.97 ERA in four postseason starts.

ABOUT THE CARDINALS: St. Louis left 12 runners on base in Game 5. Matt Holliday reached base three times on a single and two walks but left five runners on base the two times he was retired. Albert Pujols was walked intentionally three times and went 0-for-2. Yadier Molina had three hits and drove in his fifth run of the series. Allen Craig was caught stealing twice to become the first player thrown out multiple times in a World Series game since the Yankees’ Billy Martin in 1955.

ABOUT THE RANGERS: Napoli has driven in nearly half of Texas’ 19 runs in the series. Mitch Moreland and Adrian Beltre hit solo homers for the Rangers’ other runs. Beltre is batting .381 in the series while Moreland is batting just .111 in 27 postseason at-bats. Michael Young is hitting .211 in the series with three of his four hits going for extra bases. Josh Hamilton is just 3-for-19 in the series and homerless in 60 postseason at-bats. Neftali Feliz has two saves in the World Series and six in the postseason.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Rangers are 7-1 in their last eight games vs. a left-handed starter.
* Cardinals are 4-1 in their last five World Series home games.
* Under is 7-1 in Rangers last eight World Series games.
* Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last seven World Series home games.

UMP TRENDS - Gary Cederstrom:

* Under is 7-1 in Cederstroms last eight interleague games behind home plate.
* Under is 14-3-1 in Cederstroms last 18 games behind home plate.
* Rangers are 20-6 in their last 26 games with Cederstrom behind home plate.
* Cardinals are 3-7 in their last 10 games with Cederstrom behind home plate.

FINAL PITCH: St. Louis scored 16 runs in Game 3 of the World Series but has only tallied six in the other four games.

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**Udog** · 10-25-2011, 11:06 PM

MLB

Wednesday, October 26

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Hot lines: Wednesday's best MLB bet
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Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals (-115, 7.5)

Everything seemed to be rolling in the right direction for the St. Louis Cardinals in Monday’s Game 5 until some apparent miscommunication derailed them in a 4-2 loss, putting their backs against the wall down 3-2 in the series.

First, Allen Craig tried to steal second base in the seventh inning for some reason with Albert Pujols at the plate and was predictably thrown out. The Cardinals couldn’t capitalize. Then manager Tony LaRussa said there were more communication issues as he tried to get his relievers ready in the bullpen.

In short, it wasn’t exactly St. Louis Cardinals baseball. You don’t get on this kind of run by making sloppy mistakes and you have to think the Cardinals will bounce back.

Jaime Garcia has been dominant in front of his hometown crowd at Busch Stadium, working on a 1.93 ERA. Of course, he’ll have his hands full again with a Texas lineup led by the red-hot Mike Napoli that has already seen him once this series. Still, Garcia’s confident.

"Obviously, you learn things from hitters, and I've been watching them the last couple games in Texas, too," Garcia said. "But it all comes down to going out there and basically being able to execute what you want to. It doesn't matter which team, which lineup, what part of the season it is. It's just going out there and worrying about the little things that you can control."

The weather is supposed to be cold, windy and wet again Wednesday and both Garcia and Colby Lewis have been dealing. We’re leaning toward the Cards but will take a shot at the under right now.

Pick: Under

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**Udog** · 10-25-2011, 11:06 PM

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 26

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PHILADELPHIA (5-2-0-1, 11 pts.) at MONTREAL (1-5-0-2, 4 pts.) - 10/26/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 193-195 ATS (-74.2 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
MONTREAL is 69-55 ATS (+128.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
MONTREAL is 1-7 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 1-7 ATS (-7.8 Units) first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 9-4 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 9-4-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

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COLORADO (6-2-0-0, 12 pts.) at CALGARY (2-4-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/26/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
COLORADO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 7-5-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.1 Units)

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ST LOUIS (4-4-0-0, 8 pts.) at VANCOUVER (4-3-0-1, 9 pts.) - 10/26/2011, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 70-61 ATS (+139.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-4 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 4-4-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.7 Units)

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NHL

Wednesday, October 26

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Ice picks: Wednesday's best NHL bets
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Philadelphia Flyers at Montreal Canadiens (+110, 5.5)

With the Montreal Canadiens off to their worst start in 70 years, the last thing they needed was more bad news.

Turns out their leading scorer, Max Pacioretty, is going to be on the shelf for a while. A number of different news outlets are reporting that he has a ligament problem in his wrist, but the team has yet to confirm that. Pacioretty has two goals and four assists in eight games this season and the team is starting to get desperate.

"That was one of the things I spoke to the team about this morning, where we are right now and what we need to do to make the playoffs," coach Jacques Martin told reporters Tuesday. "I was trying to bring some urgency. In reality, we think we'll need 96 points to make the playoffs, which was our total last year. I wanted to be sure they see what it looks like. So we're conscious of it, and we need to act in order to correct this."

Meanwhile, the Flyers are facing their first adversity of the year after jumping out to a 5-2-1 record. Jaromir Jagr scored a pair of goals and assisted on another to help the Flyers to a 4-2 win over Toronto Monday, but captain Chris Pronger suffered an eye injury and will miss at least two or three weeks.

Even without Pronger, the Flyers are way deeper than Montreal.

Pick: Flyers

Colorado Avalanche at Calgary Flames (-125, 5.5)

Life on the road often has a way of bringing a young team together. So far that’s exactly what’s happening with the Colorado Avalanche.

Colorado gave up a 3-1 lead at Chicago Saturday, but Gabriel Landeskong sent the game to overtime with a goal with 1:48 left in regulation. The Avalanche ended up earning their sixth straight win in the shootout.

“It’s always nice to be on the road with the boys,” defenseman Shane O’Brien told reporters. “We’ve got a good group of guys in here. Everyone gets along with everyone. They have fun coming to the rink. Right now, we’re road warriors, so we’re going to try to continue that.”

The Flames have just six goals in their last four games and could have a tough time containing Colorado’s speedy attack. Nice value on the underdog here.

Pick: Avalanche

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**Udog** · 10-25-2011, 11:14 PM

NOTE:
For the initial posting of trends and indexes, we have provided information available up to the time of posting.
Additional updates for today’s games will be posted ASAP.

**Udog** · 10-26-2011, 07:12 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Jim Tressel works as a consultant for the Colts; seems like a natural to take over as head coach if Jim Irsay cans Coach Caldwell.

-- The Kerry Collins era in Indianapolis won't be remembered fondly, if it remembered at all.

-- Isn't West Virginia an improvement over Missouri for the Big 12 in both football and basketball?

-- NHL hasn't decided whether its players will take part in the next Oympic Games, which are in Russia; sounds like they don't want to stop the regular for two weeks, unless Olympics are in North America.

-- Red Sox solved the John Lackey problem; Lackey will have surgery on his elbow and will miss the 2012 season. Interesting to see if Boston fans will still hate him in '13.

-- How badly does FOX want the Cardinals to win Wednesday to force a Game 7, which always brings good TV ratings?

**********************

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.......

13) What happened with the Cardinal bullpen Monday is both stupid and inconceivable; how about text messaging as well as communicating by the bullpen phone? Its a billion dollar industry and that happens? How does the dugout not have a TV monitor so you can see the bullpens, like they do in Toronto? 9-year olds commnicate by text; it isn't that hard.

12) If the Rangers win the World Series, they'll be the 10th different club to win the World Series in the last 11 years; Red Sox are only team to win it twice since turn of the century, and they just sent both their manager and GM packing because of one lousy month. Go figure.

11) Did I mention the hotel I'm staying at has a Steak 'n Shake, a bowling alley, and a movie theater? Sportsbook is comfortable, too.

10) On the way to the airport this morning, noticed that gas was $3.79 at one gas station; half-mile up the road, it was $3.65. Is the gas at the first station that much better? Or are the bastards at Exxon-Mobil that much greedier than the greedy bastards at Hess?

9) Ever see the TV show "The Linemakers" on Velocity Network? I saw it once; tonight, I had dinner about 20 feet from where they were taping it in the sportsbook here. Guys who run sportsbooks here talk about the week's upcoming football games. They smoke like chimneys in between shooting takes of each spot.

8) Six NFL teams made quarterback changes last week, for various reasons and Denver was only team that won (they trailed 15-0 with 3:00 left). For investment purposes, Seattle either pushed/covered, so you went 5-1 or 4-1-1 vs spread if you played against these teams.

7) USC LB Chris Galippo: "When they didn't call those timeouts, they just quit. That's what Notre Dame football is all about." Very surprised USC won that game so easily Saturday; even more surprised USC ran the last 6:43 of the game out without throwing a single pass.

6) At what point will NBA players realize they can't win in this dispute, and the longer it lasts, the more they lose? Agents already know it, but their careers are longer than players'; they can withstand a long standoff.

5) All I want when the NBA finally begins is that high school kids can go to the pros right out of high school, if they're good enough. The farce of great players going to college for one year doesn't help anyone. From all I've heard, this seems to be something both sides agree on.

4) Wonder how many kids who came out of college last year to play pro ball are regretting not staying in school? Should have stayed in school, as there might not be an NBA this year. Kids could've worked on improving their games, got better, then made more money? Oh well.......

3) Wonder how much it helps these Sun Belt teams in terms of recruiting to play these nationally televised Tuesday night games in front of 5,000 or so fans? Not the greatest atmosphere to play in, but on the other hand, they are on national television.

2) I'll say this about the Baltimore Ravens; once the defense starts with public complaints about the offense, things seldom end well. If a team is divided, they've got no shot. And this is before the halfway point of the season, and they've only lost two games. Not good.

1) First college basketball games that count are November 7, only 12 days away; ESPN has 24 hours of basketball eight days later. Things move lot more quickly these days; college hoop could conceivably start 11 days after the World Series ends.

**Udog** · 10-26-2011, 07:14 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, October 26

Lewis is 1-1, 2.95 in three postseason starts; this is his 7th consecutive start on road. Garcia has a 1.93 RA in three home playoff starts, but the Redbirds lost four of his last five starts overall. Cardinals scored 22 runs in this World Series, but 16 of them came in Game 3; they're 4-3 at home in playoffs, Rangers are 3-4 on road; over is 4-3 in those games. Under is 4-2-1 in St Louis home tilts. Redbirds scored 3 or less runs in four of five series games. Texas is 8-1 when it allows 3 or less runs in playoffs this fall, 2-4 when it allows more. NL park, no DH in this game. In this postseason, St Louis is 6-2 if game goes over, 2-5 if it stays under.

**Udog** · 10-26-2011, 07:17 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 26

Philadelphia at Montreal
The Flyers look to build on their 8-2 record in their last 10 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Philadelphia is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Flyers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-140). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 26

Game 1-2: Philadelphia at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.159; Montreal 10.313
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-140); Over

Game 3-4: Colorado at Calgary (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.264; Calgary 11.560
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-120); Under

Game 5-6: St. Louis at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 10.884; Vancouver 12.040
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-155); Over

**Udog** · 10-26-2011, 07:18 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, October 26

Hot teams
-- Flyers are 3-0 on the road, outscoring foes 12-3.
-- Colorado is 6-0 on the road so far this season.
-- Blues won last two games, 3-2ot/4-2.

Cold teams
-- Canadiens lost their last six games, outscored 23-13.
-- Flames lost three of their last four games.
-- Vancouver lost three of its last four road games.

Totals
-- Three of last four Montreal games stayed under total.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in Calgary's last four games.
-- Three of Canucks' last four road games stayed under total.

Series records
-- Flyers are 9-3 in last twelve games against Montreal.
-- Flames won seven of last nine games against Colorado.
-- Canucks are 10-5 in their last 15 games against St Louis.

**Udog** · 10-26-2011, 07:22 AM

NHL

Wednesday, October 26

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 12 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

10:00 PM
COLORADO vs. CALGARY
Colorado is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Colorado's last 13 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing Colorado

10:00 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. VANCOUVER
St. Louis is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing Vancouver
St. Louis is 6-17-2 SU in its last 25 games ,when playing on the road against Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Vancouver's last 22 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing St. Louis

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**Udog** · 10-26-2011, 09:39 AM

NHL
Short Sheet

Wednesday, 10/26/2011

PHILADELPHIA at MONTREAL, 7:30 PM ET
PHILADELPHIA: 19-7 SU as a road favorite of -200 or less
MONTREAL: 0-5 SU in home games

COLORADO at CALGARY, 9:00 PM ET
COLORADO: 6-0 SU in a road game where where the total is 5.5
CALGARY: 8-14 SU in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games

ST LOUIS at VANCOUVER, 10:00 PM ET
ST LOUIS: 17-28 SU after one or more consecutive overs
VANCOUVER: 69-33 SU as a home favorite

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Announcement

Wednesday's Trends and Indexes - 10/26 (MLB, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

Wednesday's Trends and Indexes - 10/26 (MLB, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

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