Announcement

**Udog** · 10-17-2011, 08:39 PM

College football odds: Week 8 opening line report

It can't keep going this way, can it? The best teams in the country are covering the spread regardless of how high the numbers are oddsmakers are posting.

The top 10 teams in the AP poll are 17-1-1 and double-digit favorites are 28-8-1 both against the spread over the last two weeks. Alabama, LSU, Clemson, Oklahoma State, Stanford, Boise State and Wisconsin are a combined 37-7-1 ATS this season.

Sportsbook managers are trying to adjust but the big faves in college football keep covering those monster spreads.

"Shame on us for not seeing the separation of talent sooner," MGM Mirage sportsbook manager Jay Rood told *********** heading into last Saturday's games.

Still, the books needed a late Kansas cover against the Sooners to prevent a historically awful day.

"Oklahoma covers and it could have been one or the worst Saturday ever," Hilton Las Vegas race and sportsbook director Jay Kornegay told *********** in an email Sunday morning.

You can bet the oddsmakers didn't want to experience another Saturday rooting for the underdogs in college football. The spreads are big and so are the stakes for BCS championship hopefuls.

We talked to Pete Korner, founder of the line consultant group Sports Club in Las Vegas, to find out his recommended spreads and compared them to the Wynn Las Vegas' opening numbers.

Washington (+20) at Stanford

Andrew Luck and Co. struggled for a half vs. Washington State, but still recovered and blew the Cougars away by the end of the night. Not much value with the underdogs vs. Stanford when stuff like that happens.

“We’re going to take the highest number we can with Stanford the rest of the way,” said Korner, who recommended a spread three points larger to his clients. “At some of the other books in Reno and Tahoe, places close to Stanford and Northern California, they keep getting players coming over and betting Stanford, Stanford, Stanford. They don’t care what the number is. So, we’re going to keep erring on the side of the big favorites.”

Auburn (+21) at LSU

Let the BCS posturing begin. With the standings out, LSU can continue its pursuit of style points against a rival.

“We keep getting burned by the favorites up on top of the rankings,” Korner said. “So, we had to go high. I think Auburn can cover it, but it won’t be easy.”

Korner sent out Auburn +20 while the Wynn posted Tigers -21 as their opening number. LSU was bet up a half point soon afterward.

Air Force (+29.5) at Boise State

More of the same for the Broncos, who as always, need bigger blowouts than the big boys of the SEC to stay in the mix. Korner and company sent out BSU +28.

“We went as high as we could go,” Korner said. “It’s all about how much do they want it. They most likely won’t let up.”

The Wynn went a little higher, going over the four TD-spread at 29.5.

Tennessee (+27.5) at Alabama

Just goes to show you just how good these top-tier SEC teams are. Here’s a classic, southern rivalry, and the spread is almost four touchdowns.

“You would think in the SEC, these games would be close,” Korner said. “But not this year. The talent differential is glaring, and with these big teams, especially at home, it’s no contest.”

Texas Tech (+25.5) at Oklahoma

Don’t forget about the Sooners, who just keep on trucking. Their schedule hasn’t worked in their favor, so they’re trying to make up for it with high scores.

“We’re starting to overvalue the favorites here. We have no choice,” Korner said. “This is a home game for Oklahoma, and too much on the line for them not to keep it going.”

Wisconsin (-7) at Michigan State

The Spartans are an improved bunch, but they might be a tad hung over after exposing Michigan on Saturday. And surging Wisconsin might be out of their real-estate district anyhow. The Wynn posted a surprisingly low spread at Badgers -7 while Korner’s group sent out MSU +8.

“I would have liked it higher than 8, but didn’t want to put my personal feelings into it,” Korner said. “Both teams are playing well, and Michigan State might just be good enough to cover. But the spread might go up to 11 by then. We figure 8 is the right number for a road team in the Big Ten. But Wisconsin is really good.”

UCLA (+4) at Arizona

With a week off and a new coach, Tim Kish, the defensive coordinator who will serve as interim after Mike Stoops was let go, there is a thought that a change will do the Wildcats some good.

“That, and we haven’t been impressed with UCLA,” Korner said. “With Arizona, there’s not much there, either. But we do believe there will be a renewed energy.”

Korner’s group sent out UCLA +5.5.

West Virginia (-13.5) at Syracuse

The Mountaineers, the best of a bad conference, can truly start to flex their muscles now that the BCS standings are out.

“West Virginia is better than they’ve showed, and they’ll be coming off a week off, as well,” Korner said. “This will be theirs to win or lose. Syracuse won’t be able to put up much of a fight for too long.”

The Wynn’s opening number was the same as Korner’s recommendation to his client sportsbooks.

North Carolina (+11) at Clemson

The darlings of the ACC, Clemson struggled some, but still had enough to get by Maryland and keep its perfect season intact. Las Vegas was watching.

“We were disappointed in Clemson a little,” said Korner, who sent out UNC +15. “But we think they can bounce back here. I thought they could really put up a big number here, so I wanted to take that into account.”

The Wynn got bet down to 9.5 almost immediately after opening Clemson -11.

**Udog** · 10-17-2011, 08:40 PM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 8

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Tuesday, October 18

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FLA INTERNATIONAL (4 - 2) at ARKANSAS ST (4 - 2) - 10/18/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Thursday, October 20

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UCF (3 - 3) at UAB (0 - 6) - 10/20/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
UCF is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UCF is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 2-0 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 2-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UCLA (3 - 3) at ARIZONA (1 - 5) - 10/20/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
UCLA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
UCLA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 38-64 ATS (-32.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 2-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, October 21

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RUTGERS (5 - 1) at LOUISVILLE (2 - 4) - 10/21/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 1-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 1-1 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W VIRGINIA (5 - 1) at SYRACUSE (4 - 2) - 10/21/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 22

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INDIANA (1 - 6) at IOWA (4 - 2) - 10/22/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 1-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NC STATE (3 - 3) at VIRGINIA (4 - 2) - 10/22/2011, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ILLINOIS (6 - 1) at PURDUE (3 - 3) - 10/22/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 1-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARYLAND (2 - 4) at FLORIDA ST (3 - 3) - 10/22/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA TECH (6 - 1) at MIAMI (3 - 3) - 10/22/2011, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WAKE FOREST (4 - 2) at DUKE (3 - 3) - 10/22/2011, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARKANSAS (5 - 1) at OLE MISS (2 - 4) - 10/22/2011, 12:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
OLE MISS is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (5 - 1) at S FLORIDA (4 - 2) - 10/22/2011, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N CAROLINA (5 - 2) at CLEMSON (7 - 0) - 10/22/2011, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N ILLINOIS (4 - 3) at BUFFALO (2 - 5) - 10/22/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
BUFFALO is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON COLLEGE (1 - 5) at VIRGINIA TECH (6 - 1) - 10/22/2011, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 87-57 ATS (+24.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 108-77 ATS (+23.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 73-50 ATS (+18.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS A&M (4 - 2) at IOWA ST (3 - 3) - 10/22/2011, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 1-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W MICHIGAN (4 - 3) at E MICHIGAN (4 - 3) - 10/22/2011, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW MEXICO (0 - 6) at TCU (4 - 2) - 10/22/2011, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 89-64 ATS (+18.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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C MICHIGAN (2 - 5) at BALL ST (4 - 3) - 10/22/2011, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 1-1 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 1-1 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULSA (3 - 3) at RICE (2 - 4) - 10/22/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
RICE is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
RICE is 50-18 ATS (+30.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
RICE is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
RICE is 45-23 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
RICE is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
RICE is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
RICE is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 2-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARMY (2 - 4) at VANDERBILT (3 - 3) - 10/22/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARMY is 10-28 ATS (-20.8 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
ARMY is 8-28 ATS (-22.8 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 29-52 ATS (-28.2 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) in October games since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
ARMY is 1-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOUISIANA TECH (2 - 4) at UTAH ST (2 - 4) - 10/22/2011, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 1-1 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEMPLE (5 - 2) at BOWLING GREEN (3 - 4) - 10/22/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 1-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
TEMPLE is 1-0 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OHIO U (4 - 3) at AKRON (1 - 5) - 10/22/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AKRON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 2-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 2-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (1 - 6) at TULANE (2 - 5) - 10/22/2011, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OKLAHOMA ST (6 - 0) at MISSOURI (3 - 3) - 10/22/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON (5 - 1) at COLORADO (1 - 6) - 10/22/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 28-52 ATS (-29.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
COLORADO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 31-56 ATS (-30.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEBRASKA (5 - 1) at MINNESOTA (1 - 5) - 10/22/2011, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UTAH (3 - 3) at CALIFORNIA (3 - 3) - 10/22/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 1-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 1-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AIR FORCE (3 - 3) at BOISE ST (6 - 0) - 10/22/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 19-42 ATS (-27.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 81-45 ATS (+31.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 49-25 ATS (+21.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 49-25 ATS (+21.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 63-31 ATS (+28.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BOISE ST is 70-41 ATS (+24.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 62-32 ATS (+26.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 65-26 ATS (+36.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 62-38 ATS (+20.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 60-23 ATS (+34.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 70-36 ATS (+30.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KANSAS ST (6 - 0) at KANSAS (2 - 4) - 10/22/2011, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
KANSAS is 50-75 ATS (-32.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS is 57-89 ATS (-40.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 32-60 ATS (-34.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS TECH (4 - 2) at OKLAHOMA (6 - 0) - 10/22/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 86-61 ATS (+18.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 114-84 ATS (+21.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON ST (1 - 5) vs. WASHINGTON ST (3 - 3) - 10/22/2011, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 91-63 ATS (+21.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OREGON ST is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) in October games since 1992.
OREGON ST is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E CAROLINA (2 - 4) at NAVY (2 - 4) - 10/22/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 121-87 ATS (+25.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 121-87 ATS (+25.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 113-79 ATS (+26.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 77-50 ATS (+22.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 1-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FRESNO ST (3 - 4) at NEVADA (3 - 3) - 10/22/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in October games since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 29-51 ATS (-27.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
NEVADA is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 1-1 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 2-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARSHALL (3 - 4) at HOUSTON (6 - 0) - 10/22/2011, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PENN ST (6 - 1) at NORTHWESTERN (2 - 4) - 10/22/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in October games over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI OHIO (2 - 4) at TOLEDO (4 - 3) - 10/22/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TOLEDO is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
TOLEDO is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TOLEDO is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
TOLEDO is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
TOLEDO is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO is 1-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (3 - 3) at ALABAMA (7 - 0) - 10/22/2011, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

USC (5 - 1) at NOTRE DAME (4 - 2) - 10/22/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 2-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SMU (5 - 1) at SOUTHERN MISS (5 - 1) - 10/22/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN MISS is 99-72 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (5 - 1) at STANFORD (6 - 0) - 10/22/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 60-88 ATS (-36.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
STANFORD is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
STANFORD is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
STANFORD is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
STANFORD is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
STANFORD is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AUBURN (5 - 2) at LSU (7 - 0) - 10/22/2011, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LSU is 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
LSU is 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
LSU is 26-50 ATS (-29.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
LSU is 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LSU is 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LSU is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
LSU is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 1-1 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-1 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISCONSIN (6 - 0) at MICHIGAN ST (5 - 1) - 10/22/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO ST (3 - 3) at UTEP (3 - 3) - 10/22/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO ST (3 - 3) at HAWAII (3 - 3) - 10/22/2011, 11:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 28-51 ATS (-28.1 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
HAWAII is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAWAII is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
HAWAII is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAFAYETTE (6 - 1) at W KENTUCKY (2 - 4) - 10/22/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 1-1 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIDDLE TENN ST (1 - 4) at FLA ATLANTIC (0 - 6) - 10/22/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA MONROE (2 - 4) at NORTH TEXAS (2 - 5) - 10/22/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 2-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 2-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROY (2 - 4) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (4 - 2) - 10/25/2011, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (3 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (3 - 4) - 10/26/2011, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 2-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-17-2011, 08:41 PM

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 8

Tuesday, 10/18/2011

FLA INTERNATIONAL at ARKANSAS ST, 8:00 PM ET
FLA INTERNATIONAL: 0-6 ATS after playing 2 straight non-conference games
ARKANSAS ST: 5-1 ATS in all games

Thursday, 10/20/2011

UCF at UAB, 8:00 PM ET
UCF: 15-6 ATS as a favorite
UAB: 5-1 UNDER in all games

UCLA at ARIZONA, 9:00 PM ET
UCLA: 6-15 ATS as an underdog
ARIZONA: 38-64 ATS as a favorite

Friday, 10/21/2011

RUTGERS at LOUISVILLE, 8:00 PM ET
RUTGERS: 2-9 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
LOUISVILLE: 20-13 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses

W VIRGINIA at SYRACUSE, 8:00 PM ET
W VIRGINIA: 10-3 ATS after scoring 42 points or more in 2 straight games
SYRACUSE: 1-6 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points

Saturday, 10/22/2011

INDIANA at IOWA, 12:00 PM ET
INDIANA: 24-41 ATS off 2 straight losses against conference rivals
IOWA: 9-1 ATS as a home favorite of 21.5 to 28 points

NC STATE at VIRGINIA, 12:00 PM ET
NC STATE: 8-3 ATS in the second half of the season
VIRGINIA: 1-5 ATS after having won 2 out of their last 3 games

ILLINOIS at PURDUE, 12:00 PM ET
ILLINOIS: 1-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
PURDUE: 3-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points

MARYLAND at FLORIDA ST, 12:00 PM ET
MARYLAND: 25-10 ATS off 2 straight losses against conference rivals
FLORIDA ST: 1-6 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game

GEORGIA TECH at MIAMI, 12:00 PM ET
GEORGIA TECH: 5-1 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games
MIAMI: 4-10 ATS in the second half of the season

WAKE FOREST at DUKE, 12:00 PM ET
WAKE FOREST: 1-5 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs
DUKE: 7-2 ATS in weeks 5 through 9

ARKANSAS at OLE MISS, 12:20 PM ET
ARKANSAS: 9-2 ATS 9-2 ATS as a favorite
OLE MISS: 7-18 ATS in home games off 1 or more straight overs

CINCINNATI at S FLORIDA, 12:00 PM ET
CINCINNATI: 2-6 ATS off a win against a conference rival
S FLORIDA: 8-2 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 or less points

N CAROLINA at CLEMSON, 12:00 PM ET
N CAROLINA: 5-2 ATS as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points
CLEMSON: 14-5 UNDER after playing a conference game

N ILLINOIS at BUFFALO, 12:00 PM ET
N ILLINOIS: 9-1 ATS after playing a conference game
BUFFALO: 0-6 ATS after a game where they forced no turnovers

BOSTON COLLEGE at VIRGINIA TECH, 3:00 PM ET
BOSTON COLLEGE: 1-5 ATS in all games
VIRGINIA TECH: 7-0 ATS off a road win against a conference rival

TEXAS A&M at IOWA ST, 3:30 PM ET
TEXAS A&M: 27-47 ATS in road games after playing a game at home
IOWA ST: 16-6 ATS in home games after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games

W MICHIGAN at E MICHIGAN, 1:00 PM ET
W MICHIGAN: 1-5 ATS off a loss against a conference rival
E MICHIGAN: 0-7 ATS in home games after playing their last game on the road

NEW MEXICO at TCU, 2:00 PM ET
NEW MEXICO: 3-11 ATS after a loss by 21 or more points
TCU: 68-45 ATS in the second half of the season

C MICHIGAN at BALL ST, 2:00 PM ET
C MICHIGAN: 6-17 ATS off a home loss against a conference rival
BALL ST: 0-6 ATS as a home favorite

TULSA at RICE, 7:00 PM ET
TULSA: 58-35 ATS in home games
RICE: 4-14 ATS off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog

ARMY at VANDERBILT, 7:00 PM ET
ARMY: 8-28 ATS after a bye week
VANDERBILT: 2-9 ATS after playing a conference game

LOUISIANA TECH at UTAH ST, 3:00 PM ET
LOUISIANA TECH: 8-21 ATS off a road win
UTAH ST: 8-4 ATS in weeks 5 through 9

TEMPLE at BOWLING GREEN, 3:30 PM ET
TEMPLE: 12-3 ATS in road games
BOWLING GREEN: 4-8 ATS in weeks 5 through 9

OHIO U at AKRON, 3:30 PM ET
OHIO U: 3-13 ATS in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders
AKRON: 10-2 ATS after a bye week

MEMPHIS at TULANE, 3:30 PM ET
MEMPHIS: 1-6 ATS off a home loss against a conference rival
TULANE: 5-14 ATS against conference opponents

OKLAHOMA ST at MISSOURI, 12:00 PM ET
OKLAHOMA ST: 10-2 ATS after the first month of the season
MISSOURI: 8-19 ATS after a win by 28 or more points

OREGON at COLORADO, 3:30 PM ET
OREGON: 8-1 ATS in October games
COLORADO: 31-56 ATS in weeks 5 through 9

NEBRASKA at MINNESOTA, 3:30 PM ET
NEBRASKA: 1-5 ATS in all games
MINNESOTA: 10-2 OVER in weeks 5 through 9

UTAH at CALIFORNIA, 7:00 PM ET
UTAH: 45-25 ATS as an underdog
CALIFORNIA: 14-33 ATS when the line is +3 to -3

AIR FORCE at BOISE ST, 3:30 PM ET
AIR FORCE: 19-42 ATS off a loss against a conference rival
BOISE ST: 45-22 ATS as a home favorite

KANSAS ST at KANSAS, 12:00 PM ET
KANSAS ST: 14-5 ATS against conference opponents
KANSAS: 5-14 ATS against conference opponents

TEXAS TECH at OKLAHOMA, 8:00 PM ET
TEXAS TECH: 18-4 ATS off a home loss
OKLAHOMA: 17-40 ATS after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games

OREGON ST vs. at WASHINGTON ST, 10:30 PM ET - CenturyLink Field - Seattle, WA
OREGON ST: 47-27 ATS in October games
WASHINGTON ST: 9-3 ATS in October games

E CAROLINA at NAVY, 3:30 PM ET
E CAROLINA: 1-3 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points
NAVY: 40-13 ATS after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers

FRESNO ST at NEVADA, 4:00 PM ET
FRESNO ST: 29-51 ATS in weeks 5 through 9
NEVADA: 28-13 ATS as a home favorite

MARSHALL at HOUSTON, 4:30 PM ET
MARSHALL: 28-49 ATS in road games
HOUSTON: 9-1 ATS as a home favorite

PENN ST at NORTHWESTERN, 7:00 PM ET
PENN ST: 2-9 ATS after playing a game at home
NORTHWESTERN: 37-19 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points

MIAMI OHIO at TOLEDO, 7:00 PM ET
MIAMI OHIO: 14-7 ATS after the first month of the season
TOLEDO: 5-17 ATS as a home favorite

TENNESSEE at ALABAMA, 7:15 PM ET
TENNESSEE: 10-2 ATS in road games off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival
ALABAMA: 22-10 ATS as a favorite

USC at NOTRE DAME, 7:30 PM ET
USC: 19-35 ATS in home games in the second half of the seaso
NOTRE DAME: 2-11 ATS after playing their last game on the road

SMU at SOUTHERN MISS, 8:00 PM ET
SMU: 1-5 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less
SOUTHERN MISS: 55-32 ATS after playing a non-conference game

WASHINGTON at STANFORD, 8:00 PM ET
WASHINGTON: 2-11 ATS off a home blowout win by 28 points or more
STANFORD: 6-0 ATS as a favorite

AUBURN at LSU, 3:30 PM ET
AUBURN: 9-2 ATS off a home win
LSU: 8-21 ATS in home games off a road win

WISCONSIN at MICHIGAN ST, 8:00 PM ET
WISCONSIN: 9-2 ATS after the first month of the seaso
MICHIGAN ST: 3-8 ATS in the second half of the season

COLORADO ST at UTEP, 8:00 PM ET
COLORADO ST: 1-5 ATS in all games
UTEP: 5-1 ATS in all games

NEW MEXICO ST at HAWAII, 11:59 PM ET
NEW MEXICO ST: 28-51 ATS after playing a conference game
HAWAII: 13-4 ATS when playing on a Saturday

LA LAFAYETTE at W KENTUCKY, 4:00 PM ET
LA LAFAYETTE: 9-1 ATS in road games
W KENTUCKY: 12-7 ATS against conference opponents

MIDDLE TENN ST at FLA ATLANTIC, 8:00 PM ET
MIDDLE TENN ST: 13-4 ATS after a 2 game home stand
FLA ATLANTIC: 2-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread

LA MONROE at NORTH TEXAS, 7:00 PM ET
LA MONROE: 5-1 ATS off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 or more points
NORTH TEXAS: 6-17 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 10-17-2011, 08:42 PM

NCAAF

Week 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tuesday, October 18

8:00 PM
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. ARKANSAS STATE
Florida International is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Florida International is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arkansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 5 games when playing Florida International
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 5 games at home

Thursday, October 20

8:00 PM
CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. UAB
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Central Florida's last 5 games when playing UAB
Central Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing UAB
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UAB's last 5 games when playing Central Florida
UAB is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
UCLA vs. ARIZONA
UCLA is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
UCLA is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

Friday, October 21

8:00 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. SYRACUSE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of West Virginia's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of West Virginia's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Syracuse's last 7 games
Syracuse is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home

8:00 PM
RUTGERS vs. LOUISVILLE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Rutgers's last 6 games
Rutgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Louisville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games at home

Saturday, October 22

12:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. CLEMSON
North Carolina is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
North Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Clemson is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing North Carolina
Clemson is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against North Carolina

12:00 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Georgia Tech's last 8 games when playing Miami
Georgia Tech is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Georgia Tech
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Georgia Tech

12:00 PM
ILLINOIS vs. PURDUE
Illinois is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Illinois is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Purdue
Purdue is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games at home

12:00 PM
OKLAHOMA STATE vs. MISSOURI
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma State's last 11 games on the road
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Missouri's last 6 games at home
Missouri is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

12:00 PM
NORTH CAROLINA STATE vs. VIRGINIA
North Carolina State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Virginia
North Carolina State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia's last 6 games at home
Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against North Carolina State

12:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
Cincinnati is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
South Florida is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
South Florida is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati

12:00 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. BUFFALO
Northern Illinois is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
Northern Illinois is 13-5-1 ATS in its last 19 games
Buffalo is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games
Buffalo is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home

12:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE STATE vs. KENTUCKY
Jacksonville State is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Jacksonville State is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
Kentucky is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Kentucky is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

12:00 PM
KANSAS STATE vs. KANSAS
Kansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas's last 6 games
Kansas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

12:00 PM
WAKE FOREST vs. DUKE
Wake Forest is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Wake Forest is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Duke is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wake Forest
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Duke's last 9 games

12:00 PM
MARYLAND vs. FLORIDA STATE
Maryland is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing Florida State
Maryland is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Florida State
Florida State is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Florida State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home

12:00 PM
INDIANA vs. IOWA
Indiana is 3-19 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Indiana is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa's last 6 games when playing Indiana
Iowa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana

12:20 PM
ARKANSAS vs. MISSISSIPPI
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas's last 6 games on the road
Arkansas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Mississippi
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Mississippi's last 12 games
Mississippi is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games
Western Michigan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Western Michigan
Eastern Michigan is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games at home

2:00 PM
CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. BALL STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 5 games when playing Ball State
Ball State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Ball State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Central Michigan

2:00 PM
NEW MEXICO vs. TCU
The total has gone OVER in 14 of New Mexico's last 20 games
New Mexico is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing TCU
TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico
The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU's last 5 games at home

3:00 PM
IDAHO STATE vs. BYU
Idaho State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Idaho State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
BYU is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
BYU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

3:00 PM
LOUISIANA TECH vs. UTAH STATE
Louisiana Tech is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Utah State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Louisiana Tech
Utah State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Louisiana Tech

3:00 PM
BOSTON COLLEGE vs. VIRGINIA TECH
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston College's last 12 games
Boston College is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Virginia Tech is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Virginia Tech's last 14 games

3:30 PM
TEXAS A&M vs. IOWA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 7 games
Iowa State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games

3:30 PM
EAST CAROLINA vs. NAVY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of East Carolina's last 5 games
East Carolina is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Navy is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
Navy is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

3:30 PM
TEMPLE vs. BOWLING GREEN
Temple is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Temple's last 5 games when playing Bowling Green
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Bowling Green's last 5 games when playing Temple
Bowling Green is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
NEBRASKA vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games
Nebraska is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games at home
Minnesota is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games at home

3:30 PM
OHIO vs. AKRON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ohio's last 7 games when playing Akron
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Ohio's last 12 games
Akron is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ohio
Akron is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games

3:30 PM
AIR FORCE vs. BOISE STATE
Air Force is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Air Force's last 5 games
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boise State's last 6 games at home

3:30 PM
OREGON vs. COLORADO
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 6 games
Colorado is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games at home

3:30 PM
AUBURN vs. LSU
Auburn is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games
Auburn is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LSU's last 7 games at home
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. TULANE
Memphis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tulane
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Tulane is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tulane is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis

4:00 PM
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Western Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Western Kentucky is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games

4:05 PM
FRESNO STATE vs. NEVADA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Fresno State's last 7 games
Fresno State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Nevada
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada's last 5 games
Nevada is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games

4:30 PM
MARSHALL vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Marshall's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Marshall's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
ARMY vs. VANDERBILT
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Army's last 9 games
Army is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Vanderbilt is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Vanderbilt is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games at home

7:00 PM
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. NORTH TEXAS
Louisiana-Monroe is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing North Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games
North Texas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
North Texas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe

7:00 PM
TULSA vs. RICE
Tulsa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tulsa's last 9 games when playing Rice
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Rice's last 9 games when playing Tulsa
Rice is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Tulsa

7:00 PM
UTAH vs. CALIFORNIA
Utah is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Utah is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
California is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
California is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
PENN STATE vs. NORTHWESTERN
Penn State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Northwestern
Penn State is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Northwestern is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Northwestern is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. TOLEDO
Miami (Ohio) is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toledo
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 15 games
Toledo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami (Ohio)
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toledo's last 6 games

7:15 PM
TENNESSEE vs. ALABAMA
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Tennessee's last 18 games
Tennessee is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Alabama is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama's last 7 games when playing Tennessee

7:30 PM
SOUTHERN CAL vs. NOTRE DAME
Southern Cal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Notre Dame
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Cal's last 5 games on the road
Notre Dame is 4-8-2 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Notre Dame is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
WISCONSIN vs. MICHIGAN STATE
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Wisconsin's last 15 games
Michigan State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games

8:00 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. TEXAS EL PASO
Colorado State is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Colorado State is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Texas El Paso is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Texas El Paso is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games

8:00 PM
TEXAS TECH vs. OKLAHOMA
Texas Tech is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 5 games
Oklahoma is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Texas Tech
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas Tech

8:00 PM
SOUTHERN METHODIST vs. SOUTHERN MISS
Southern Methodist is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Southern Methodist's last 12 games
Southern Miss is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Southern Miss is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. STANFORD
Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Stanford's last 5 games
Stanford is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington

8:00 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Middle Tennessee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Middle Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Florida Atlantic is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida Atlantic's last 7 games

10:30 PM
OREGON STATE vs. WASHINGTON STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oregon State's last 12 games
Oregon State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington State's last 9 games when playing Oregon State
Washington State is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Oregon State

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 10-18-2011, 09:17 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 8

Florida International at Arkansas State
The Golden Panthers look to take advantage of an Arkansas State team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games as a favorite from 1 to 3 points. Florida International is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wolves favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+3). Here are all of this week's lined games.

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 18

Game 301-302: Florida International at Arkansas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 81.536; Arkansas State 82.033
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 1; 57
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 3; 54
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+3); Over

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 20

Game 303-304: Central Florida at UAB (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 86.816; UAB 68.785
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 18; 42
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 15; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-15); Under

Game 305-306: UCLA at Arizona (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 85.219; Arizona 92.767
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 7 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-3); Under

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 21

Game 307-308: Rutgers at Louisville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 86.262; Louisville 84.905
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 1 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Louisville by 2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+2); Over

Game 309-310: West Virginia at Syracuse (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 101.990; Syracuse 83.352
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 18 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 13 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-13 1/2); Over

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 22

Game 311-312: Indiana at Iowa (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 73.002; Iowa 94.622
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 21 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Iowa by 23 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+23 1/2); Under

Game 313-314: NC State at Virginia (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 82.668; Virginia 85.099
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 2 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Virginia by 5 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+5 1/2); Over

Game 315-316: Illinois at Purdue (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 94.618; Purdue 83.725
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 11; 44
Vegas Line: Illinois by 5 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-5 1/2); Under

Game 317-318: Maryland at Florida State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 85.084; Florida State 100.931
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 16; 59
Vegas Line: Florida State by 18; 55
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+18); Over

Game 319-320: Georgia Tech at Miami (FL) (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 96.121; Miami (FL) 96.323
Dunkel Line: Even; 57
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 3; 62
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+3); Under

Game 321-322: Wake Forest at Duke (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 87.494; Duke 84.985
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 2 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 3; 59
Dunkel Pick: Duke (+3); Over

Game 323-324: Arkansas at Mississippi (12:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 103.390; Mississippi 85.085
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 18 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 17; 56
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-17); Under

Game 325-326: Cincinnati at South Florida (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 95.126; South Florida 102.442
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 7 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: South Florida by 2 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-2 1/2); Under

Game 327-328: North Carolina at Clemson (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 90.781; Clemson 107.314
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 16 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Clemson by 10; 58
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-10); Over

Game 329-330: Northern Illinois at Buffalo (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 91.257; Buffalo 74.150
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 17; 57
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 13 1/2; 62
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-13 1/2); Under

Game 331-332: Boston College at Virginia Tech (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 81.970; Virginia Tech 100.834
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 19; 46
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 21 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+21 1/2); Over

Game 333-334: Texas A&M at Iowa State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 105.467; Iowa State 82.900
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 22 1/2; 69
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 20; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-20); Over

Game 335-336: Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 80.753; Eastern Michigan 71.223
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 9 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 13 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+13 1/2); Under

Game 337-338: New Mexico at TCU (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 58.460; TCU 105.430
Dunkel Line: TCU by 47; 57
Vegas Line: TCU by 41; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-41); Under

Game 339-340: Central Michigan at Ball State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 74.855; Ball State 74.875
Dunkel Line: Even; 64
Vegas Line: Ball State by 2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+2); Over

Game 341-342: Tulsa at Rice (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 88.682; Rice 76.076
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 12 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 10 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-10 1/2); Under

Game 343-344: Army at Vanderbilt (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Army 84.161; Vanderbilt 90.244
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 6; 47
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 9 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Army (+9 1/2); Over

Game 345-346: Louisiana Tech at Utah State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 78.566; Utah State 85.639
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 7; 63
Vegas Line: Utah State by 5 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-5 1/2); Over

Game 347-348: Temple at Bowling Green (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 97.587; Bowling Green 81.471
Dunkel Line: Temple by 16; 43
Vegas Line: Temple by 12 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-12 1/2); Under

Game 349-350: Ohio at Akron (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 79.640; Akron 60.553
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 19; 55
Vegas Line: Ohio by 14; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-14); Over

Game 351-352: Memphis at Tulane (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 54.579; Tulane 64.993
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 10 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Tulane by 13; 52
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+13); Under

Game 353-354: Oklahoma State at Missouri (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 107.155; Missouri 102.321
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 5; 66
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 8; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (+8); Under

Game 355-356: Oregon at Colorado (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 115.395; Colorado 81.519
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 34; 69
Vegas Line: Oregon by 32; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-32); Over

Game 357-358: Nebraska at Minnesota (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 101.245; Minnesota 69.255
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 32; 52
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 24 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-24 1/2); Under

Game 359-360: Utah at California (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 88.582; California 92.401
Dunkel Line: California by 4; 51
Vegas Line: California by 2 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: California (-2 1/2); Over

Game 361-362: Air Force at Boise State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 84.055; Boise State 119.269
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 35; 70
Vegas Line: Boise State by 30 1/2; 65
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-30 1/2); Over

Game 363-364: Kansas State at Kansas (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 91.280; Kansas 81.306
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 10; 58
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 12; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+12); Under

Game 365-366: Texas Tech at Oklahoma (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 93.070; Oklahoma 123.723
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 30 1/2; 73
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 28; 69 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-28); Over

Game 367-368: Oregon State at Washington State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 85.836; Washington State 87.214
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 1 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Washington State by 3 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+3 1/2); Under

Game 369-370: East Carolina at Navy (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 78.401; Navy 84.540
Dunkel Line: Navy by 6; 61
Vegas Line: Navy by 9; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+9); Under

Game 371-372: Fresno State at Nevada (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 76.127; Nevada 97.009
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 21; 62
Vegas Line: Nevada by 10 1/2; 59
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-10 1/2); Over

Game 373-374: Marshall at Houston (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 77.279; Houston 99.386
Dunkel Line: Houston by 22; 58
Vegas Line: Houston by 20; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-20); Under

Game 375-376: Penn State at Northwestern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 93.111; Northwestern 87.208
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 6; 49
Vegas Line: Penn State by 4; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-4); Over

Game 377-378: Miami (OH) at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 80.524; Toledo 94.315
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 14; 53
Vegas Line: Toledo by 17 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+17 1/2); Over

Game 379-380: Tennessee at Alabama (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 93.482; Alabama 123.537
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 30; 43
Vegas Line: Alabama by 28; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-28); Under

Game 381-382: USC at Notre Dame (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 91.468; Notre Dame 107.246
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 16; 60
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 8; 58
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-8); Over

Game 383-384: SMU at Southern Mississippi (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 94.224; Southern Mississippi 91.819
Dunkel Line: SMU by 2 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 3; 57
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+3); Under

Game 385-386: Washington at Stanford (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 101.366; Stanford 114.153
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 13; 66
Vegas Line: Stanford by 20 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+20 1/2); Over

Game 387-388: Auburn at LSU (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 91.903; LSU 119.628
Dunkel Line: LSU by 27 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: LSU by 22 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-22 1/2); Under

Game 389-390: Wisconsin at Michigan State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 116.917; Michigan State 98.284
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 18 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 8 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-8 1/2); Under

Game 391-392: Colorado State at UTEP (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 75.350; UTEP 74.430
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 1; 60
Vegas Line: UTEP by 7 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+7 1/2); Over

Game 393-394: New Mexico State at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 66.631; Hawaii 90.972
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 24 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 21; 57
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-21); Under

Game 395-396: UL-Lafayette at Western Kentucky (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 75.615; Western Kentucky 74.351
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 1 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 3 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+3 1/2); Over

Game 397-398: Middle Tennessee State at Florida Atlantic (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 72.703; Florida Atlantic 61.376
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 11 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 6; 61
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-6); Under

Game 399-400: UL-Monroe at North Texas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 71.773; North Texas 75.367
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 3 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 6; 47
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+6); Over

**Udog** · 10-18-2011, 09:18 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, October 18

Home team won last four FIU-Arkansas State games; Panthers lost last three visits to Jonesboro by 17-3-42 points. ASU is 4-2, with losses at Illinois (33-15, +18), Virginia Tech (26-7, +24)- they're 2-0 as a favorite this season. Panthers are 2-0 as underdogs this season, 2-0 on road, with wins at Louisville (24-17, +4), Akron (27-17, -19). State covered three of last four as home favorite- they won last two games, both conference road tilts, by total of nine points. FIU is 10-13 as road dog in Cristobal's tenure as coach, 3-2 in last five. Under is 5-0 in ASU's 2011 lined games. Home favorites are 4-6 vs spread in Sun Belt conference games.

**Udog** · 10-18-2011, 09:22 AM

NCAAF

Tuesday, October 18

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Game of the day: Florida International at Arkansas State
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Florida International at Arkansas State (-3, 54)

Mid-week Sun Belt football is back, featuring a nationally televised matchup between a pair of teams trying to stay alive in the conference race.

Florida International was an early-season ATS dynamo, winning its first three games and covering the spread in each. But an injury to star wide receiver/kick returner T.Y. Hilton led to losses in two of the Golden Panthers’ last three, with their only win coming against an Akron team that is considered among the absolute worst in the nation. Hilton will play Tuesday.

The Golden Panthers haven’t covered the spread since upsetting Central Florida on Sept. 19 and must travel to Jonesboro, Ark., as short road dogs.

Arkansas State has played well for first-year coach Hugh Freeze and has covered in five of six. The Red Wolves bounced back from a bad loss at Western Kentucky with a solid road conference win at Louisiana-Monroe on Oct. 8.

THE LINE

Arkansas State opened as a 2.5-point favorite Sunday at the Las Vegas Wynn. Early money came in on the Red Wolves, pushing the number to as high as 3.5. The number had settled back at -3 as of Monday afternoon.

STATISTICALLY SPEAKING

Florida International boasts a balanced offensive attack, orchestrated by quarterback Wes Carroll, a transfer from Mississippi State. The Golden Panthers average 248 passing yards and 156 on the ground. They’re not only excellent at getting to the passer (2.83 sacks, 19th nationally), but they also protect Carroll well, allowing just over one sack per game (32nd nationally).

Protecting the quarterback will be key, as Arkansas State also ranks high in sacks (2.67, 22nd). The Red Wolves, however, have been susceptible to pressure and are surrendering more than two sacks (2.17, 73rd). Of course, they throw it a lot, too, with junior quarterback Ryan Aplin. His favorite target is Josh Jarboe, a highly-touted recruit, who originally signed with Oklahoma.

Arkansas State is 15th in passing offense at 303.5 yards, tops in the Sun Belt.

INJURIES

Hilton, arguably the best pro prospect in the conference, appeared to be back at full strength in the win over Akron. He caught 12 passes for 144 yards against the Zips for his fourth 100-yard receiving game this season.

The Golden Panther also expect a boost from the return of wide out Jacob Younger, who missed the Akron game.

Arkansas State is reporting no injuries.

LAST MEETING

Carroll connected on a 42-yard touchdown pass to Hilton with less than two minutes to play, lifting the Golden Panthers to a 31-24 win over Arkansas State. Florida International held Aplin to just 126 yards passing in the win.

TRENDS

Florida International is 1-8 ATS in its last nine October games.

Florida International is 9-13 ATS as a road dog under coach Mario Cristobal.

Florida International is 0-3 all-time in Jonesboro.

The Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings, with the games averaging 44.6 points.

The Under is 7-1 in Red Wolves’ last eight.

Arkansas State is 10-20 ATS in its last 30 conference games.

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**Udog** · 10-18-2011, 09:39 AM

Instant replay: NCAAF and NFL betting recap

Each week, we recap all the betting information you need to know from the college and pro football action that went down over the weekend.

We knew it had to happen eventually, and finally after five weeks, the NFL’s over bettors had a bad day. With oddsmakers boosting totals to coincide with the rash of offense we have seen, sharp under bettors jumped at some overinflated numbers.

Meanwhile, the best teams in college football continue to make life miserable for bookmakers. If you’re having a tough time finding another team for a parlay ticket, you might as well start looking at The Associated Press poll’s top 10.

NCAAF betting recap

Over the past two weeks, the top 10 teams in the AP poll are a combined 17-1-1 against the spread. That’s an absolute kick in the pants to sportsbooks. However, favorites were only 23-26-1 overall last week with away underdogs checking in at 16-12-1 against the number while 17 underdogs won outright.

As teams like Wisconsin, LSU, Boise State and Alabama all cruised to comfortable wins while covering the number, South Carolina supporters who had their club at -3.5 had no such luck. The Gamecocks held a 14-10 lead with just seconds left on the clock when USC quarterback Connor Shaw took a shotgun snap deep in his own territory and promptly trotted out the back of the end zone to take the intentional safety.

Final score: South Carolina 14, Mississippi State 12. Now that’s a bad beat.

That game was also one of a whack of games that played under the total this week. The under ended up 27-19.

NFL betting recap

For the first time this season, the under is the big story on Monday morning. Nine of Sunday’s 12 contests played under the total.

The only games that played over were Cincinnati’s 27-17 win over Indy (40-point total), the Giants’ dramatic victory over Buffalo and Chicago’s blowout of Minnesota on Sunday night.

Heading into Monday night’s game between Miami and the New York Jets, about 58 percent of this season’s games have played over the total.

Favorites ended up going 7-4-1 on the day and only two underdogs took home outright wins. Away teams took it on the chin as well, going 2-10 straight up.

**Udog** · 10-20-2011, 08:17 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, October 20

Central Florida won six of last seven games vs UAB, winning last three here by 7-14-6 points; Knights won LY's game 42-7. Underdogs are 4-3 vs spread in series games, 1-3 in C-USA conference games, 0-3 if spread is double digits. UCF lost three of last four games, scoring 17 or less in all four games- they're 0-3 SU on road this year, but covered six of last eight games as a road favorite. UAB is 0-6 but covered three of last four games; four of their six losses are by 17+ points.

Arizona already fired its coach, which normally dooms a season; they've won last four games vs UCLA, all by 7+ points, winning last three here by 14-7-38 points. Wildcats outrushed UCLA 473-136 last two times they met, but this year, Arizona lost last five games, giving up 43 ppg, so Stoops was canned. Bruins allowed 25+ points in their three wins, 38-49-45 in three losses. Pac-10 home favorites of less than 15 points are 2-5 vs spread in conference play.

**Udog** · 10-20-2011, 08:35 AM

NCAAF

Thursday, October 20

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Central Florida at UAB: What bettors need to know
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Central Florida Knights at UAB Blazers (+16, 44.5)

The winless Blazers host the Knights for a Thursday night, C-USA showdown at Legion Field. Alabama-Birmingham has just one win over UCF in their last seven meetings and is 2-5 against the spread in that span, going back to 2001.

LINE MOVES

Oddsmakers opened with the home side set as a two-touchdown underdog, with money on UCF pushing the spread as high as 16.5. The total opened at 44 and has climbed as high as 45.5.

KNIGHT AND DAY

Central Florida boasts one of the best defenses in the country, currently ranked No. 3 in yards allowed and passing defense. However, that stop unit took one on the chin in last week’s 38-17 loss to Southern Methodist.

The Knights allowed SMU to pass for 358 yards and two touchdowns through the air – the most amount of passing yardage allowed to a conference foe since facing Houston in 2009.

"This is very frustrating because we're not used to this," cornerback Josh Robinson told the Central Florida Future. "We expect more out of our defense."

Luckily for UCF, the Blazers passing game isn’t as potent as SMU’s. Alabama-Birmingham puts up just over 209 passing yards per game and has a TD-to-INT count of 2-to-8 this season.

Blazers quarterback Bryan Ellis threw two scores and two picks in his return from a concussion in a 37-20 loss to Tulsa last weekend. Ellis had been out since September 24, with backup Jonathan Perry under center in his absence.

DEAD WITHOUT SHED

The Blazers will be without leading rusher Pat Shed Thursday. He injured his knee in the loss to Tulsa last week and will definitely not play against the Knights.

Shed leads UAB with 223 yards on the ground and one touchdown. He’s also caught the ball 23 times for 146 yards receiving.

Sophomore running back Greg Franklin will get the majority of carries in his place. Franklin has rushed 20 times for 129 yards this season.

QB CONTROVERSY

There is trouble brewing in Orlando at the quarterback position.

Starter Jeff Godfrey is under fire for his run-first mentality, with the local media and UCF faithful believing redshirt freshman Blake Bortles is the better fit for the Knights' pocket-passing schemes, and that the speedy Godfrey should be moved to receiver.

Godfrey is passing for 186.3 yards an outing while rushing for a total of 224 yards and eight touchdowns – the most of any QB in C-USA. He passed for 231 yards versus SMU, throwing one touchdown before giving way to Bortles, who went 9 for 12 for 118 yards and a score. The combined 349 yards passing was the most from UCF since 2003.

Bortles is also the prototypical QB, standing 6-foot-4 and 223 pounds, while Godfrey is only 5-foot-11 and 182 pounds soaking wet. However, despite the brewing controversy, UCF head coach George O'Leary confirmed that this is still Godfrey’s team.

"Jeff made a lot of good throws and made some yards with his feet," O'Leary told reporters. "But Blake has more opportunity to throw down the field. We have to sit down and see what the best situation for our team. But we have to get Blake in more often."

Alabama-Birmingham shouldn’t be too much of a test for whichever QB is calling the plays Thursday. The Blazers rank 111th in the land in pass defense, giving up an average of 292.2 yards through the air.

Spread it on

There is betting value in an 0-6 Blazers squad, especially up against a UCF team that is 0-4 ATS in their last four outings.

Despite a big zero in the win column, UAB has covered the spread the last four games, facing an average spread of nearly +18 in that stretch. The Blazers have dropped the last four games by an average margin of 10.25 points.

But a short week of practice may slow down the money train for UAB backers. In their last six Thursday contests, the Blazers are only 1-4-1 ATS.

"It's kind of an awkward week with preparation all around," head coach Neil Callaway told the media. "Technically, today is Thursday in terms of game preparation. We did a little more just because of time. We'll come back out tomorrow and treat it pretty much like a Friday."

Callaway is on the hot seat at Alabama-Birmingham after the team’s poor start. He’s 15-38 since taking over the Blazers in 2007. Plenty of fans are calling for his job heading into this Thursday’s action.

Trends

* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Knights are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games as favorites.
* Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven conference games.

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**Udog** · 10-20-2011, 08:37 AM

NCAAF

Thursday, October 20

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UCLA at Arizona: What bettors need to know
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UCLA Bruins at Arizona Wildcats (-4, 62)

THE STORY: It was only a matter of time that Arizona’s failures would cost coach Mike Stoops his job. After five straight losses the ax fell a week ago, ending Stoops’ 7½ years with the program. Stoops had some success but lately failed to maintain the program’s image, the Desert Swarm defense. Arizona ranks last in the Pac-12 in just about every important defensive category. Defensive coordinator Tim Kish makes his interim-coaching debut against Rick Neuheisel, another coach on the hot seat, when Arizona hosts UCLA in a nationally-televised conference battle in the Desert Thursday night.

TV: ESPN

LINE MOVES: The Wildcats opened as 3.5-point favorites and have climbed as high as 4.5 The total opened at 61.5 and has risen to 62.

ABOUT UCLA (3-3, 2-1 Pac-12, 1-5 ATS): The Bruins have done more flip-flopping than a GOP presidential candidate lately. Unsettled at quarterback, the Bruins have gone back-and-forth with Kevin Prince and Richard Brehaut. That rotation has certainly come to an end following the broken leg Brehaut suffered last game. Prince will be back under center against the Wildcats after leading UCLA to a come-from-behind 28-25 win over Washington State in its last outing. But no matter who’s throwing the ball, the Bruins would like to run behind Johnathan Franklin (2,092 career yards) and Derrick Coleman, who have powered UCLA to the 28th best rushing attack in the country. They’ve scored at least one rushing TD in 12 straight games.

ABOUT ARIZONA (1-5, 0-4 Pac-12, 2-4 ATS): The Wildcats seemed headed toward the top of the conference after starting last season 7-1. But since then Arizona has lost 10 of its last 11 games. A 37-27 setback to a then-winless Oregon State team on Oct. 8 proved to be Stoops’ last stand. The Wildcats have beaten UCLA the last three times in the desert and still have a solid offense led by quarterback Nick Foles and his talented receivers. Foles has thrown for 2,250 yards on the season, second best in the nation, and 15 touchdowns. Arizona’s running-game, however, is a mess, a victim of a young offensive line. It ranks next-to-last in the country averaging just 71 yards a game.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Arizona defeated UCLA 29-21 last season in a game played at the Rose Bowl. The Wildcats have won the last four in the series.

2. Explosive Wildcat WR Juron Criner is questionable with a knee sprain.

3. The Wildcats have surrendered at least 37 points in its last five games.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Home team is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Bruins are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings.
* Bruins are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings in Arizona.

PREDICTION: Arizona 31, UCLA 28 -- Don’t expect too much defense in this one, but Foles should be able to carve up the Bruins in the air in a tight contest at Tucson.

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**Udog** · 10-20-2011, 08:41 AM

Where the action is: Mid-week football line moves

For our weekly look at football lines on the move, we chatted up Todd Fuhrman, race and sportsbook analyst at Caesar's in Las Vegas. Here are some thoughts about why these odds are jumping around.

NCAAF

Rutgers at Louisville +1.5 ---> -2

Rutgers heads into this one riding a 5-1 run both against the spread and straight up, but the team's lone loss was on the road at North Carolina. Meanwhile, Louisville has dropped three straight but has covered in three of its last four.

"This is a Louisville team which drew a ton of wiseguy action last week against Cincinnati and it looks to be more of the same this week," Fuhrman says. "The Cardinal have shown steady improvement this year and the university has shown faith in Charlie Strong by adding seven years to his deal. Rutgers has been a pleasant surprise but I'm not sure they were ready to be road chalk."

Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan +14 ---> +12

Western Michigan was tearing through pointspreads until meeting up with Northern Illinois last week, taking a 51-22 beating as a 1.5-point underdog. Eastern Michigan is just coming off an outright upset victory at Central Michigan as an 11-point underdog.

"Western Michigan limped to the finish last week against NIU and bettors seem to think this may continue Saturday," Fuhrman says. "Eastern Michigan has quietly surprised behind the strength of their run-based offense. Their ability to shorten games is a huge advantage when you're catching double digits at home."

Utah at California -2.5 ---> -1.5 ---> -3

Who knows what Utah is going to show this week? The Utes are 3-9 against the number in their last 12 but showed some moxie last week at Pitt.

"Utah is one of the tougher teams to figure out for bettors and bookies alike," Fuhrman says. "The team responded well last week at Pittsburgh with news QB Jordan Wynn would be lost for the year but it was their defense, not offense, that got the job done. Cal was a huge disappointment last Thursday hosting USC so expect coach Tedford to expect a much better effort with the extra prep time."

NFL

San Diego at New York Jets -1.5 --->+1

So are the Jets really this bad to see this type of movement against a Chargers team that is just 2-6-1 in its last nine games as a road favorite. The Chargers are only 1-5 against the number in the last six meetings between these two clubs.

"In my opinion this is one of the market's biggest over reactions to a sluggish Jets performance on Monday," Fuhrman says. "Sanchez is a streaky QB who needs confidence to be successful and looked to find his stride in the second half. However, the Chargers come in rested off a bye and may get Antonio Gates back this week. This could be one of the most heavily bet games of the weekend and I can make strong cases for both sides."

St. Louis at Dallas -10.5 --->-12.5

This one's pretty obvious - nobody wants to bet St. Louis and probably rightfully so.

"This number climbed amid speculation that Sam Bradford might not start for the Rams but as of today he's been upgraded to probable," Fuhrman says. "Right now it's been downright impossible to find people willing to bet St Louis so this week will be no different. My biggest question is can the Rams outscore their baseball brethren Cardinals this week since they couldn't last Sunday?"

Denver at Miami -3 ---> -1.5

Has Tim Tebow mania gotten the better of oddsmakers or does everybody just hate the Dolphins? Maybe both.

"Another knee-jerk reaction from the market given how bad the Dolphins looked against the Jets," Fuhrman says. "The Broncos suddenly have quite a buzz around them with Tebow under center and may trend upward over the back half of their season while Miami appears content to play out the stretch and focus on the future with a little Luck."

Chicago at Tampa Bay over/under 42 ---> 44

Every year the NFL sends a game to Europe and every year we see that game's line on the move. So far the spread is holding steady around Tampa Bay +1, but there has been some movement on the total.

" The biggest question betting a total for the annual NFL in London event is field conditions," Fuhrman says. "We've seen the traditional soccer stadium have problems in the past holding up in the trenches because of excessive rain. Hard to decipher this line move given both teams come into this game fresh off their most complete efforts of the season against divisional rivals."

**Udog** · 10-20-2011, 11:31 PM

College football Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Week 8

West Virginia Mountaineers at Syracuse Orange (+13.5, 58)

Why West Virginia will cover: West Virginia averages 380 yards through the air, while Syracuse ranks 114th in pass defense. The team is 3-1 ATS in its last four, while SU is 1-3.

Why Syracuse will cover: The defense has been inconsistent, but will finally get healthy for the first time this week. The offense hasn’t been great, but finds ways to score.

Points: The over has hit in the Mountaineers’ last five games and is 3-1 in the Orange’s last four.

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Missouri Tigers (+6.5, 68.5)

Why Oklahoma State will cover: OSU is No. 2 in scoring (49.2 ppg) and in passing (396 ypg), while slowing the pass is Mizzou’s biggest weakness. The Cowboys are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 overall.

Why Missouri will cover: Missouri is 0-3 on the road, but 3-0 at home, and is 6-2 ATS in its last eight at home.

Points: The over is 4-1 in Missouri’s last five and 2-1-1 in OSU’s last four. Both have the offenses to put up big numbers.

North Carolina Tar Heels at Clemson Tigers (-10, 57.5)

Why North Carolina will cover: The Heels have been successful thanks to a defense ranked 24th in points allowed. The offense does just enough.

Why Clemson will cover: Clemson is 6-1 ATS, including 5-0 in its last five. The offense ranks in the top 30 in every category.

Points: The over is 6-2 in Clemson’s last eight, but the under is 9-2 in its last 11 ACC games.

Illinois Fighting Illini at Purdue Boilermakers (+4, 47)

Why Illinois will cover: Illinois has shut down the opposition, allowing just 17.7 ppg (17th), while an offense that averages 210 ypg on the ground wears down defenses.

Why Purdue will cover: Purdue stays in games by running the ball effectively (24th) while slowing opponents. Just one foe has scored more than 24 points.

Points: Purdue is 2-0-2 with the over in its last four, and the over is 7-1 in Illinois’ last eight in the Big Ten. Both teams have been led by their defenses, though.

Kansas State Wildcats at Kansas Jayhawks (+10.5, 62.5)

Why Kansas State will cover: KU’s defense ranks worst in the nation in points allowed (49 ppg). K-State’s rushing attack should eventually wear down the Jayhawks, just as Oklahoma did last week. KSU is 5-0 ATS in its last five.

Why Kansas will cover: KU showed heart against a powerful Sooners squad, and has an offense – averaging more than 200 yards passing and rushing per game – to never be out of a game.

Points: The over has been big for both teams all season.

Arkansas Razorbacks at Mississippi Rebels (+16, 56)

Why Arkansas will cover: Arkansas averages 337 ypg through the air, and Ole Miss hasn’t been able to score on anyone of note. The team is 4-2 ATS.

Why Mississippi will cover: Ole Miss has been decent against the pass, and Arkansas has struggled against the run (93rd). If the Rebels can get an early lead, we could be in for a surprise.

Points: The over is 3-1 for the Razorbacks’ last four and has hit in the Rebels’ last two.

Boston College Eagles at Virginia Tech Hokies (-21, 43.5)

Why Boston College will cover: With three losses by single digits, the Eagles aren’t has terrible as their 1-5 record suggests. VT has been erratic, especially offensively.

Why Virginia Tech will cover: Va. Tech is 14th in scoring defense and eighth in rushing defense, and B.C. is struggling to score as it is. The Hokies were 0-5 ATS in their last five before blowing out Wake Forest, so maybe it’s the start of a new trend.

Points: The under is 1-5 in B.C. games, and hit four straight for VT games before the last two weeks (both over).

Oregon Ducks at Colorado Buffaloes (+32, 66.5)

Why Oregon will cover: Oregon averages 315 yards rushing (fifth) and nearly 49 ppg (third). Colorado may not know what hit it by halftime.

Why Colorado will cover: The Buffs have struggled, but that’s a big spread, especially for a team that plays games which hit the under more often than not. And they’re 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 at home. The availability of Oregon RB LaMichael James and QB Darron Thomas is in question.

Points: How powerful Oregon’s offense will be depends on the health of its stars.

Texas A&M Aggies at Iowa State Cyclones (+20, 65.5)

Why Texas A&M will cover: Texas A&M has a multifaceted offense that ranks among the nation’s best in every category. Iowa State can’t stop the run or pass. Do the math.

Why Iowa State will cover: Texas A&M has allowed 45 and 55 points in its last two games, opening up the possibility a weakness has been exposed.

Points: The over has hit in the last three games for both teams.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Miami Hurricanes (-2.5, 62)

Why Georgia Tech will cover: The Jackets are in a bit of a slump, but still 4-2-1 ATS and rank No. 2 in rush yards (348 ypg). Miami is 94th in rush yards allowed.

Why Miami will cover: Georgia Tech was 4-0-1 ATS early, but 0-2 recently. Meanwhile, Miami was 1-3 ATS to start but 2-0 since. The Canes are in full form after the early season suspensions.

Points: The under is a big hit in Miami home games the last several years, is 6-2 in GT’s last eight in the ACC and is 6-2 in these teams’ last eight meetings.

Auburn Tigers at LSU Tigers (-22.5, 46.5)

Why Auburn will cover: LSU will be without star CB Tyrann Mathieu, RB Spencer Ware, and DB Tharold Simon, who were suspended one game for violating the team’s drug policy. Auburn is improving by leaps and bounds every week, thanks mostly to a defense that held Florida to six points last week.

Why LSU will cover: The Tigers are steamrolling everyone, with a defense that ranks in the top 15 in every major category and an offense that pounds opponents to a pulp. They are very deep and can absorb the hit from those suspensions. Auburn’s offense, by the way, is giving a sophomore QB his first career start.

Points: The under is 4-0 in Auburn’s last four, and nobody goes off on LSU’s defense.

Air Force Falcons at Boise State Broncos (-30.5, 64.5)

Why Air Force will cover: The Falcons can gash opponents not ready for their style (336 ypg, third). That’s a big spread against a team that will drain the clock.

Why Boise State will cover: Boise State can score at will on anybody and Air Force has one of the nation’s worst defenses. Plus, the Broncos are 24th against the run.

Points: The under is 7-2 in BSU’s last nine in conference. But every AFA game has hit the over, and Boise State can score as quickly as anybody.

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Minnesota Golden Gophers (24.5, 56.5)

Why Nebraska will cover: While neither team has a defense worth worrying about, Nebraska at least has an offense to pour on the points (22nd in scoring). Minnesota, with a 109th-ranked offense, is 2-4 ATS.

Why Minnesota will cover: The Huskers are only 1-5 ATS. The Gophers have shown the ability to run the ball, and Nebraska is 74th at stopping it.

Points: The over has hit in four of NU’s last five games and in the Gophers’ last four.

Marshall Thundering Herd at Houston Cougars (-22, 59.5)

Why Marshall will cover: Despite a 3-4 overall record, Marshall is 5-2 ATS.

Why Houston will cover: The Cougars throw it more than anyone else, No. 1 in pass yards (435.5) and No. 4 in points (47.0). The Herd is No. 73 in passing defense and its offense ranks 99th or worse in everything.

Points: The under is 6-1 in Herd games, but is 2-4 for Houston.

Penn State Nittany Lions at Northwestern Wildcats (4, 47.5)

Why Penn State will cover: The Lions are finding ways to win with a defense ranking sixth overall and seventh against the pass. The Wildcats are swooning, losers of four straight.

Why Northwestern will cover: Penn State may win, but it is just 1-8 ATS in its last nine.

Points: The under is 6-0-1 in PSU games, but the over has hit in Northwestern’s last three.

Tennessee Volunteers at Alabama Crimson Tide (-28.5, 45.5)

Why Tennessee will cover: That can seem like an awfully high spread against a competent Vols squad, especially one that has a half-decent defense and an offense that averages 294 yards through the air.

Why Alabama will cover: The Tide is 7-1 ATS, the lone loss being a 47-point spread to North Texas (W, 41-0). Bama will score 30, but can Tennessee score at all against the No. 1 defense?

Points: Bama had held four of its seven opponents to seven points or fewer, and nobody has more than 14. The Tide may have to practically cover it alone.

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma Sooners (-28.5, 69.5)

Why Texas Tech will cover: That’s an awfully big spread for a team averaging 43.8 points (ninth) and 372 yards passing (sixth). Tech is 4-2 ATS.

Why Oklahoma will cover: TTU has no shot at stopping OU’s offense, but the Sooners also have a defense that allows just 15.8 ppg.

Points: The over hit on Tech’s last five games and three of OU’s last four. We’ll see some scoring here.

Washington Huskies at Stanford Cardinal (-20.5, 61)

Why Washington will cover: This is a big statement game for the Huskies, and they have the offense to make it interesting. The Huskies are 5-0 ATS in their last five.

Why Stanford will cover: The Cardinal are the most reliable around, a perfect 6-0 ATS. Stanford has the No. 5 scoring offense and No. 5 scoring defense. It is ranked 14th in passing, while Washington is 116th in pass defense.

Points: Despite two high-octane offenses, the under has been hitting for both teams so far.

Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan State Spartans (8, 47.5)

Why Wisconsin will cover: The Badgers are 5-0-1 ATS because their offense is No. 1 in scoring (50.7 ppg) and the defense is No. 3 (9.7). That’s a tough combo to tackle.

Why Michigan State will cover: If anyone can slow UW’s offensive juggernaut, it may be MSU, which ranks No. 3 in run defense (67 ypg) and No. 1 against the pass (119). The offense has enough juice at least stay close.

Points: The under is 5-1 for MSU games, but 2-4 for UW. And the over is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.

**Udog** · 10-20-2011, 11:35 PM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, October 21

Louisville lost last three games, scoring 13-7-16 points; they canned the offensive coordinator and head coach got new 7-year contract- guess its not his fault they stink. Rutgers won its last four games- their two road games were decided by total of 5 points. Last three Rutgers-Louisville games were all decided by 20+ points; Cardinals are 3-1 as series fave. Under is 4-0-1 in Louisville's lined games this season, 4-1 in Rutgers' last five games. Three of last five Rutgers games were decided by FG or less.

Syracuse (+13) upset West Virginia 19-14 LY, its first series win in last nine tries; Mountaineers won last four visits here, by 21-41-8-11 points, as favorites covered five of last seven series meetings here. Syracuse has already played three OT games this year; their last three games were all decided by exactly 3 points. Last four West Virginia games and four of five Syracuse games all went over the total. Mountaineers struggled in its only road games, winning 37-31 (+1) at Maryland after leading 27-10 at the half- they were outrushed 188-92, outgained Terrapins 480-477.

Announcement

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 8 (10/18 - 10/22)

NCAAF Trends and Indexes - Week 8 (10/18 - 10/22)

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