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**Udog** · 10-17-2011, 07:14 AM

Monday’s betting tips: MNF spread hovers around key number

Who’s hot

NFL: Miami is 11-4-1 against the spread in its last 15 road games.

NHL: Florida has won five of its last seven meetings with Tampa Bay.

NHL: Nashville has won 16 of its last 21 meetings with Edmonton.

Who’s not

NFL: The New York Jets are 1-5 against the spread in their last six overall.

NHL: Tampa Bay has lost four straight.

NHL: Winnipeg is 0-3 to start the season.

Key stat

3 – The Miami Dolphins have just three runs of 15 or more yards this season and two of those runs came from quarterback Chad Henne, who is on injured reserve.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Evgeni Malkin, Pittsburgh Penguins – Malkin is expected to miss Monday’s game at Winnipeg with soreness in his surgically-repaired right knee. He has missed three of the last four games. The Penguins are set as -140 favorites.

Game of the day

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (-6.5, 42.5)

Notable quotable

“They want to fine me, hit me with a $50,000 fine. I’m going to play. The quarter and a half I’m out there, I’m going to play like a monster. I might get into a fight with Bart Scott. (Antonio) Cromartie, we pretty much matured our relationship a little bit. We used to fight in Denver and San Diego. If that happens, it happens. We’ll see.” – Miami wideout Brandon Marshall about breaking out Monday night against the Jets.

Notes and tips

As of Sunday evening, the New York Jets were set as 6.5-point favorites at most books, though a few shops still had the Jets at -7. Almost 68 percent of *********** Consensus bettors are backing the Jets, who are 18-6-2 against the spread in their last 26 meetings with the Miami Dolphins. The total is holding steady at 42.5.

Texas Rangers star outfielder Josh Hamilton told a radio station Saturday that he is playing at about 50 percent due to a groin injury. "I’m about 50 percent," Hamilton told ESPN 103.3 FM Radio in Dallas. "I’m going to give you 100 percent of my 50 percent." Hamilton receives daily treatment for the injury, which has bothered him since midway through the regular season. It did not appear to bother him Saturday night, when he made a spectacular running catch in left field in which he collided with the outfield wall. The Rangers won, 15-5, to advance to the World Series for the second straight year. They await the winner of the Milwaukee-St. Louis series. The 2010 American League MVP, Hamilton is batting .293 with seven RBI in the postseason.

San Jose Sharks goaltender Antti Niemi may make his first start of the season on Monday against the Anaheim Ducks. "There’s a real good chance that Nemo gets his first game (on Monday) as long as everything goes as planned," Sharks coach Todd McLellan told the San Jose Mercury News. Niemi has not played since having surgery to remove a cyst. The 28-year-old Finn posted a 35-18-6 mark with six shutouts and a 2.38 goals-against average last season.

**Udog** · 10-17-2011, 07:17 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

BCS standings, for what they're worth......

6) Wisconsin-- Bielema should send Tom O'Brien couple kegs of beer for cutting Russell Wilson loose at NC State.

5) Boise State-- On behalf of geography teachers everywhere, I beg the Broncos not to join the Big East.

4) Oklahoma State-- Powerful offense is led by 27-year old quarterback who used to play minor league baseball.

3) Oklahoma-- Wonder if Bob Stoops will bring his brother Mike back after he was fired as coach out at Arizona.

2) Alabama-- All they do is win- they play LSU November 5th.

1) LSU-- Philip Rivers' brother is a freshman QB for the Tigers who will red-shirt this year and hopefully end LSU's streak of winning in spite of the quarterback position.

*****************

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday........

13) Tough day for Saints' coach Sean Payton, who tore his MCL as well as breaking his leg in the first quarter of the Saints' 26-20 loss at Tampa Bay. Payton didn't even go to the press box; he stayed in the locker room. It is likely he won't be back on the field during games for at least a month.

12) Bad day for offenses; under was 9-3 Sunday, with only 48 offensive touchdowns scored in thirteen games. With only one defensive TD and two kick returns for a TD. scoring was way down this week.

11) So far this season, there have been 405 offensive TDs scored in the 90 games that have been played, an average of 4.50 per game, but there were 156 in the first two weeks (4.88) so TDs are getting fewer and fewer.

10) 49ers overcame 15 penalties for 120 yards, a minus-2 turnover ratio to upset the Lions 25-19; both teams are now 5-1. Teams exchanged words after the game, because of a rushed post-game handshake between the two head coaches that Jim Schwartz didn't appreciate.

9) Scoring has decreased in recent weeks, but red zone production is on an increase-- here are points per possession in red zone so far in 2011:
Weeks 1-3: 1,462 points on 325 drives= 4.50 points/possession
Weeks 4-6: 1,215 points on 253 drives= 4.80 points/possession

8) Raiders lost QB Jason Campbell for the year with a broken collarbone, which leaves Kyle Boller as their starting QB. Sitting at 4-2, they almost have to call David Garrard's agent, don't they?

7) If you bet the Colts +7, my condolences. Indy was driving for at least the tying TD, trailing 20-17 until a fumble was run back for a TD by one of Cincinnati's defensive ends with 2:29 left to give the Bengals a 27-17 win-- it was the only defensive TD scored in the NFL all day. Colts also had a tying 52-yard FG blocked with 5:38 left.

6) Tom Brady drove New England 80 yards in 10 plays for the winning score, as the Patriots edged Dallas 20-16. First time since last year's game vs Cleveland that the Patriots scored less than 30 points. Common thread is that Rob Ryan was the opposing defensive coordinator in both games.

5) Green Bay, Philadelphia and Pittsburgh all won without scoring a point in the second half of their game.

4) NFC East teams have played 14 non-division games; the visiting team is 10-3-1 against the spread in those 14 games.

3) Why would anyone run an NFL franchise and let Donovan McNabb be the starting quarterback? He's in his mid-30's and he's not good.

2) Rex Grossman threw 22 passes Sunday; nine hit the ground, nine were caught by his Redskin teammates, four were intercepted. Terrible day.

1) I am told a guy in Delaware won $100,000 this weekend, hitting one of those parlay cards that are legal there. Apparently they have next week's games on each card- the guy hit 13 games last week, and needed Philly and Baltimore today. He hit both and cashed $100,000. Just so you know, he had $5 down on a 15-team parlay. Damn nice score. Good for him.

**Udog** · 10-17-2011, 07:21 AM

NHL
Dunkel

Colorado at Toronto
The Maple Leafs look to take advantage of a Colorado team that is 4-24 in its last 28 games against teams with a winning record. Toronto is the pick (-145) according to Dunkel, which has the Leafs favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-140). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, OCTOBER 17

Game 51-52: Colorado at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 10.895; Toronto 12.635
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-140); Under

Game 53-54: Florida at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.170; Tampa Bay 10.454
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+145); Over

Game 55-56: Pittsburgh at Winnipeg (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.254; Winnipeg 10.170
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 57-58: Nashville at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 10.848; Edmonton 11.723
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+105); Over

Game 59-60: Anaheim at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.016; San Jose 12.132
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-175); Under

**Udog** · 10-17-2011, 07:25 AM

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, October 17

Hot teams
-- Colorado won its last four games, scoring 13 goals in last two. Maple Leafs are off to a 3-0 start (2-0/6-5/3-2), all at home.
-- Florida won two of first three games, allowing six goals.
-- Ducks won their last three games, allowing three goals.

Cold teams
-- Lightning lost its last four games, outscored 18-9.
-- Pittsburgh lost three of its last four games. Jets lost their first three games, scoring five goals.
-- Predators lost their first two home games, 5-2/3-2so. Edmonton lost its last two games, 2-1so/4-3.
-- Sharks lost their last two games, 1-0/4-2.

Totals
-- No decent totals trends for Colorado-Toronto game.
-- Over is 12-6 in last 18 Florida-Tampa Bay games.
-- Five of last seven Pittsburgh-Winnipeg games went over total.
-- Last four Edmonton games stayed under the total.
-- Three of four Anaheim games stayed under the total.

Series records
-- Maple Leafs won 4-3 in Denver in LY's meeting.
-- Panthers won five of their last seven games vs Tampa Bay.
-- Pittsburgh won 12 of last 13 games against Winnipeg.
-- Predators won 16 of their last 20 games against Edmonton.
-- Ducks lost eight of their last ten visits to San Jose.

**Udog** · 10-17-2011, 07:29 AM

NHL

Monday, October 17

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
COLORADO vs. TORONTO
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Colorado

7:30 PM
FLORIDA vs. TAMPA BAY
Florida is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Florida is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing at home against Florida

8:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. WINNIPEG
Pittsburgh is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

9:30 PM
NASHVILLE vs. EDMONTON
Nashville is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Edmonton's last 19 games
Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville

10:30 PM
ANAHEIM vs. SAN JOSE
Anaheim is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Anaheim's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games at home
San Jose is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home

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**Udog** · 10-17-2011, 07:31 AM

NHL

Monday, October 17

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Pucking the trends: Best NHL bets this week
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Every week, we update you on who's hot, who's not and situational betting spots in the National Hockey League.

HOT TEAM: Washington Capitals

Critics will be quick to say what we all know about the Capitals, right? “Let’s see it in the postseason.” In the Alex Ovechkin Era, it’s been nothing but playoff heartbreak in Washington, but maybe, just maybe, this year will be different.

But that’s still 78 games away. For now, all you should be concerned about is the bargain-basement addition of goaltender Tomas Vokoun has made the Capitals a strong buy in the early going. A 2-1 win over Ottawa on Saturday gave the netminder a 3-0 mark, and gave the team a 4-0 mark.

Headed into Tuesday’s date with Florida, Vokoun’s former team, the Capitals have scored 15 goals already, and are 3-0 on home ice, where the fans can be all too critical of them at times.

As always in the regular season, with all the flash and dash that Ovechkin brings, Washington is a very public team, so you will often have a hefty price tag to swallow. But wins are wins, and the Capitals seem content on stockpiling them these days.

COLD TEAM: Winnipeg Jets

Clearly, with the NHL fever pitch that has gripped this city, the Jets are going to get a pass this season. After all, while there was some talent shipped up to Canada from Atlanta, it wasn’t exactly playoff talent, and there are a lot of factors at play off the ice for this team as it gets used to its new surroundings.

And those are all good things for fade bettors, because the Jets have stumbled out of the box. Saturday’s 4-1 loss in Phoenix gave Winnipeg an 0-3 record, all in regulation, so there isn’t a point to be had yet.

The Jets are averaging less than two goals a game, and Jim Slater and Ron Hainsey lead the team in scoring with two whole points each. Through Saturday, the Jets were already eight points behind Washington in the Southeast and were searching for answers.

So, while the comeback is cute and it is indeed great to see those uniforms on the ice, keep in mind that Winnipeg is shaping up to be one of league’s better fades this season.

OVER PLAY: Ottawa Senators

It looks like it’s going to be a long season in Ottawa, too, as the youth movement continues to push forward. There is talent there, but the division will be a tough one to navigate through when you don’t play much defense.

And make no mistake. Ottawa’s not playing much defense these days. Saturday’s 2-1 loss at Washington was the first solid effort the Senators made on the backline, but it doesn’t help the early totals much.

Ottawa is 4-1 over headed into Tuesday’s date with the Flyers, and has allowed 23 goals already. The low point? How about Thursday, when Colorado’s Joakim Lindstrom scored twice and the Avalanche hammered the Senators 7-1.

There are a lot of teams, still in a feeling-out process, who will emerge as solid over buys. But for now, Ottawa seems like your best bet.

UNDER PLAY: Boston Bruins

Tough to call it a Stanley Cup hangover when you’re 2-3 out of the box and only two points out of first place through Saturday night. It’s not the best start, but it’s understandable, certainly.

Of course, for under players, none of that matters. Wins and losses in the standings don’t mean much to them, it’s goals for and against. And for the champions so far, there’s not a lot in either column.

Saturday’s 3-2 win in Chicago gave the Bruins a clean 5-0 mark under, and in many cases, it wasn’t even close. On opening night, they lost to the Flyers, 2-1. Four days later, they lost to the Avalanche, 1-0.

The offense is bound to pick it up, but Boston -- with Tim Thomas in net and Zdeno Chara on defense -- should remain on your under radar all season. After all, tight defense and stingy goaltending worked for them last year, didn’t it?

Surveying the schedule:

** The Kings have to happy with a 2-1-1 mark on a trip that went overseas, and then over to the East Coast. With some rest, they can finally host their season opener on Tuesday vs. St. Louis. And as a reward for their brutal travel schedule out of the box, Los Angeles will play just three games over an eight-day stretch, starting on Sunday. Expect some fresh legs from the Kings this week.

** Beware of an early trend with the Sharks. In their first crack at back-to-back games, they went 0-2 last week, losing to Anaheim and St. Louis by a combined 5-2. Well, on Friday and Saturday, they will play at New Jersey and then at Boston, respectively, after a lengthy plane trip across the country. They drop those two, and you might just have a trend to buy all season long.

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**Udog** · 10-17-2011, 07:58 AM

NHL

Monday, October 17

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Ice picks: Monday's best NHL bets
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Pittsburgh Penguins at Winnipeg Jets (+120, N/A)

The Winnipeg Jets were one of the NHL’s feel-good stories to start the season but things could get ugly unless they pull it together quickly.

Winnipeg dropped a 4-1 decision to Phoenix on Saturday, the club’s third consecutive loss to start the season. Now patience is already wearing thin.

“You’ve got a franchise that is not used to winning and it shows,” Jets coach Claude Noel told reporters Saturday. “This group has gone into a market that is frenzied, and frenzied for winning, and they’ve decided that this is what they are going to show them, so I don’t know.”

He has reason to be upset. The Jets have been outscored 13-5 so far this year and haven’t scored a power play goal in 13 opportunities.

It’s not going to get any easier with Pittsburgh coming to town either. The Pens lost in overtime to Washington before falling 3-2 to Buffalo on Saturday, but this club has been fantastic without Sidney Crosby so far.

Pick: Penguins

Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs (-135, 5.5)

Not many would have predicted the Leafs and Avalanche would have just one loss between them at this point.

The Avs tied a franchise record with their fourth consecutive road win to start the season by downing Montreal 6-5 in a shootout on Saturday while Toronto improved to 3-0 with a win over Calgary.

A lot of the credit for Colorado’s good start should be handed to goaltender Semyon Varlamov. The Avs traded a first round pick to pry the young goaltender away from Washington and the deal looks good now.

He made38 stops Saturday and is holding his club in games as he faces a ton of rubber every night.

"He gave us a chance to win. He made some big saves," Avs coach Joe Sacco said of Varlamov. "I think in the first period, we looked a little bit tired playing four (games) in six nights.”

We like the way Varlamov is playing but the Avs can’t keep giving up so many quality scoring chances.

Pick: Maple Leafs

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**Udog** · 10-17-2011, 08:03 AM

College football odds: Week 8 opening line report

It can't keep going this way, can it? The best teams in the country are covering the spread regardless of how high the numbers are oddsmakers are posting.

The top 10 teams in the AP poll are 17-1-1 and double-digit favorites are 28-8-1 both against the spread over the last two weeks. Alabama, LSU, Clemson, Oklahoma State, Stanford, Boise State and Wisconsin are a combined 37-7-1 ATS this season.

Sportsbook managers are trying to adjust but the big faves in college football keep covering those monster spreads.

"Shame on us for not seeing the separation of talent sooner," MGM Mirage sportsbook manager Jay Rood told *********** heading into last Saturday's games.

Still, the books needed a late Kansas cover against the Sooners to prevent a historically awful day.

"Oklahoma covers and it could have been one or the worst Saturday ever," Hilton Las Vegas race and sportsbook director Jay Kornegay told *********** in an email Sunday morning.

You can bet the oddsmakers didn't want to experience another Saturday rooting for the underdogs in college football. The spreads are big and so are the stakes for BCS championship hopefuls.

We talked to Pete Korner, founder of the line consultant group Sports Club in Las Vegas, to find out his recommended spreads and compared them to the Wynn Las Vegas' opening numbers.

Washington (+20) at Stanford

Andrew Luck and Co. struggled for a half vs. Washington State, but still recovered and blew the Cougars away by the end of the night. Not much value with the underdogs vs. Stanford when stuff like that happens.

“We’re going to take the highest number we can with Stanford the rest of the way,” said Korner, who recommended a spread three points larger to his clients. “At some of the other books in Reno and Tahoe, places close to Stanford and Northern California, they keep getting players coming over and betting Stanford, Stanford, Stanford. They don’t care what the number is. So, we’re going to keep erring on the side of the big favorites.”

Auburn (+21) at LSU

Let the BCS posturing begin. With the standings out, LSU can continue its pursuit of style points against a rival.

“We keep getting burned by the favorites up on top of the rankings,” Korner said. “So, we had to go high. I think Auburn can cover it, but it won’t be easy.”

Korner sent out Auburn +20 while the Wynn posted Tigers -21 as their opening number. LSU was bet up a half point soon afterward.

Air Force (+29.5) at Boise State

More of the same for the Broncos, who as always, need bigger blowouts than the big boys of the SEC to stay in the mix. Korner and company sent out BSU +28.

“We went as high as we could go,” Korner said. “It’s all about how much do they want it. They most likely won’t let up.”

The Wynn went a little higher, going over the four TD-spread at 29.5.

Tennessee (+27.5) at Alabama

Just goes to show you just how good these top-tier SEC teams are. Here’s a classic, southern rivalry, and the spread is almost four touchdowns.

“You would think in the SEC, these games would be close,” Korner said. “But not this year. The talent differential is glaring, and with these big teams, especially at home, it’s no contest.”

Texas Tech (+25.5) at Oklahoma

Don’t forget about the Sooners, who just keep on trucking. Their schedule hasn’t worked in their favor, so they’re trying to make up for it with high scores.

“We’re starting to overvalue the favorites here. We have no choice,” Korner said. “This is a home game for Oklahoma, and too much on the line for them not to keep it going.”

Wisconsin (-7) at Michigan State

The Spartans are an improved bunch, but they might be a tad hung over after exposing Michigan on Saturday. And surging Wisconsin might be out of their real-estate district anyhow. The Wynn posted a surprisingly low spread at Badgers -7 while Korner’s group sent out MSU +8.

“I would have liked it higher than 8, but didn’t want to put my personal feelings into it,” Korner said. “Both teams are playing well, and Michigan State might just be good enough to cover. But the spread might go up to 11 by then. We figure 8 is the right number for a road team in the Big Ten. But Wisconsin is really good.”

UCLA (+4) at Arizona

With a week off and a new coach, Tim Kish, the defensive coordinator who will serve as interim after Mike Stoops was let go, there is a thought that a change will do the Wildcats some good.

“That, and we haven’t been impressed with UCLA,” Korner said. “With Arizona, there’s not much there, either. But we do believe there will be a renewed energy.”

Korner’s group sent out UCLA +5.5.

West Virginia (-13.5) at Syracuse

The Mountaineers, the best of a bad conference, can truly start to flex their muscles now that the BCS standings are out.

“West Virginia is better than they’ve showed, and they’ll be coming off a week off, as well,” Korner said. “This will be theirs to win or lose. Syracuse won’t be able to put up much of a fight for too long.”

The Wynn’s opening number was the same as Korner’s recommendation to his client sportsbooks.

North Carolina (+11) at Clemson

The darlings of the ACC, Clemson struggled some, but still had enough to get by Maryland and keep its perfect season intact. Las Vegas was watching.

“We were disappointed in Clemson a little,” said Korner, who sent out UNC +15. “But we think they can bounce back here. I thought they could really put up a big number here, so I wanted to take that into account.”

The Wynn got bet down to 9.5 almost immediately after opening Clemson -11.

**Udog** · 10-17-2011, 08:48 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, October 17

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COLORADO (4-1-0-0, 8 pts.) at TORONTO (3-0-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/17/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 284-286 ATS (-53.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
COLORADO is 17-9 ATS (+26.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 14-7 ATS (+22.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 4-0 ATS (+4.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
COLORADO is 4-0 ATS (+4.0 Units) in road games first half of the season this season.
COLORADO is 24-14 ATS (+40.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 81-57 ATS (+21.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
TORONTO is 54-67 ATS (-47.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.
TORONTO is 50-71 ATS (-23.8 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 1-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)

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FLORIDA (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (1-2-0-2, 4 pts.) - 10/17/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 0-8 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 11-24 ATS (+36.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 32-22 ATS (+55.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 32-24 ATS (+59.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 8-5 (+3.6 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 8-5-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (3-1-0-2, 8 pts.) at WINNIPEG (0-3-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/17/2011, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 7-1 (+5.1 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 7-1-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

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NASHVILLE (2-1-0-1, 5 pts.) at EDMONTON (1-1-0-1, 3 pts.) - 10/17/2011, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 100-85 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 15-10 ATS (+28.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 23-19 ATS (+48.7 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 52-113 ATS (+165.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 4-20 ATS (+29.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 9-28 ATS (+48.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 5-3 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 5-3-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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ANAHEIM (3-1-0-0, 6 pts.) at SAN JOSE (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/17/2011, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 27-10 ATS (+12.2 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 135-103 ATS (+239.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 52-40 ATS (+92.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 8-5 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 8-5-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

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**Udog** · 10-17-2011, 10:20 AM

NHL
Short Sheet

Monday, October 17

COLORADO at TORONTO, 7:00 PM ET
COLORADO: 4-0 SU in road games
TORONTO: 3-10 SU in home games after a 2 game unbeaten streak

FLORIDA at TAMPA BAY, 7:30 PM ET
FLORIDA: 0-8 SU in road games after a division game
TAMPA BAY: 32-22 SU vs. division opponents

PITTSBURGH at WINNIPEG, 8:30 PM ET
PITTSBURGH: N/A
WINNIPEG: N/A

NASHVILLE at EDMONTON, 9:30 PM ET
NASHVILLE: 8-2 SU in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games
EDMONTON: 0-9 SU off a home loss against a division rival

ANAHEIM at SAN JOSE, 10:30 PM ET
ANAHEIM: 20-8 SU off a home win
SAN JOSE: 27-10 SU after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 10-17-2011, 08:50 PM

NFL Week 6 through the eyes of an ordinary bettor

There were plenty of doubters when oddsmakers made San Francisco the favorite to win the West.

Count me in. I didn’t think the Niners could do it, mostly because of their starting quarterback. But I knew they had a chance because of Jim Harbaugh.

I got to know Harbaugh pretty well covering Stanford for two years. I interviewed him at practices and one seat separated us at a weekly media roundtable.

Harbaugh is cut from the Bo Schembechler mold. He demands physicality, headiness and a blue-collar work ethic from his guys. He gets great play out of average players.

Harbs is one of the best motivators I’ve met. His enthusiasm is contagious. When we left our pressers, I wanted to put on pads and hit somebody.

The guy brings a lot of personality, and a little bit of crazy.

We got a little taste after the game when the “What’s your deal” saga became the “Get out of my face” celebration. Harbs could use a sportsmanship lesson from Tony Dungy. But you gotta love him.

His don’t-give-a-crap attitude makes him a bettor’s coach. He always seemed to know the Stanford spreads. And he doesn’t mind running up the score. But his gambler mentality is why backers get burned sometimes.

There’s no question Harbaugh has a few things to learn about NFL “protocol” but one thing is certain, the Niners are playing above their heads because their head man is damn good.

The Good…

We know that Aaron Rodgers can beat the bejesus out of you when he’s motivated. But even if he isn’t, and he’s just average, the Packers are still covering.

Clay Matthews said a couple weeks ago that they haven’t played their best ball yet. That’s true and the rest of the league should be very concerned.

The Pack offense disappeared in the second half Sunday. Mr. Rodgers completed all of six passes. And that’s a concern for us. They’re content sitting on big leads and letting the defense do its thing. Something to think about before doubling up at halftime.

I really thought the Bengals were going to have trouble matching their four wins from last season. So did most bettors because books couldn’t drop their win total fast enough.

Andy Dalton isn’t doing anything spectacular but he’s playing sound football. Like fellow rookie Cam Newton, the Ginger Kid gives his team a chance to win.

Mike Zimmer told us before the season that he had one helluva defense. He wasn’t lying. This line rotation is downright dirty and the D picks up the offense when it needs to.

Final good vibe, thanks for making me look smart Devin Hester. Why would anyone kick to this guy?

The Bad…

Can someone please explain the “Calvin Johnson” rule to me?

Nasty Nate Burleson did not possess that ball through the catch. I’m not sure how they reversed that call. Even the rules guru Mike Periera thought it was incomplete. The play actually looked a lot like Johnson’s from last year.

It didn’t affect the end result but it confused the masses even more. We’ve seen this happen often this year, and one call seems to contradict another. The problem needs to be corrected, and receivers need to hold onto the ball.

Speaking of the Leos, they have some problems.

The O-line was raped yesterday. Stafford was sacked a handful of times, and hurries and hits were in the double-digit range. They have to keep him healthy.

The ground game has to get better too. Like the Cowgirls, the Lions don’t have a power back to grind out a lead.

This is a good squad but these problems must dissipate before Detroit can be dubbed elite.

The Ugly…

I said multiple times last week that if the Redskins lost it would be Rextasy’s fault. They did and it was.

I’ve learned my lesson. I will never bet on a team led by that clown again.

I shouldn’t have the opportunity because he cemented himself as a career backup. A coach should automatically lose his job for starting him. Eight completions, four picks…you’ve got to be effin’ kidding me.

The Rat should have switched to Beck during the bye. It might not matter. Let’s not lose sight of the fact that this team started 3-2 last year and then won three games the rest of the way.

There should also be a permanent quarterback change in Minny. McFlabb basically took a knee in the end zone last night and was smiling on the ground. More sacks. More skipped balls. Ponder looked good enough.

The Leans…

I’ll have some plays but I don’t have any leans for Week 7 right now.

I just want to kindly ask you guys and gals to say a prayer for those close to Dan Wheldon. A fine life and career cut short by tragedy.

NFL Record: 16-4-2, $1190

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Monday's Trends and Indexes - 10/17 (MLB, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

Monday's Trends and Indexes - 10/17 (MLB, NHL, CFL, Misc.)

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